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MTST

Montana State 13 at Oregon 59

ORE
2025 · Week 1 · Aug 30, 2025 · Autzen Stadium
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Win probability · ORE
modelORE aheadMTST aheadconfidence bandkey playORE scoreMTST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDFGTDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · C. Perry takes a knee
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsOffense timeouts
+47.5+23.80−23.8−47.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 11:57: Jayden Limar run for 16 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK) — MTST win probability +0.8 pts (now 3%) (top driver: offense timeouts not recorded for this play).
  2. TD · Q1 9:16: Dante Moore pass complete to Kenyon Sadiq for 20 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK) — ORE win probability +0.3 pts (now 97%) (top driver: offense timeouts not recorded for this play).
  3. TD · Q2 11:08: Jordon Davison run for 2 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK) — ORE win probability +0.9 pts (now 97%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 4:34: Noah Whittington run for 1 yd for a TD (Gage Hurych KICK) — ORE win probability +2.4 pts (now 99%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
  5. FG · Q2 1:03: Myles Sansted 42 yd FG GOOD — MTST win probability +0.3 pts (now 1%) (top driver: MTST has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ORE made the numbers' call on 3 of 3MTST made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 10:34MTST 4th & 4 at MTST 27, down 7
    Close callPunted · 4.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.0%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:41MTST 4th & 8 at MTST 27, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.7%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:16ORE 4th & 5 at MTST 5, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 95.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.2%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.2%
    92% to make
    Punt
    94.5%−0.7
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:35MTST 4th & 1 at ORE 40, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    4.1%−0.7
    34% to make
    Punt
    4.1%−0.7
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00ORE 4th & 1 at MTST 5, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 95.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.6%
    67% to convert
    Field goal
    95.2%−0.4
    92% to make
    Punt
    94.1%−1.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:44MTST 4th & 10 at MTST 25, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.7%−0.3
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:34MTST 4th & 1 at ORE 26, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    1.4%−0.1
    64% to make
    Punt
    1.1%−0.5
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:03MTST 4th & 12 at ORE 25, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    1.0%
    66% to make
    Punt
    0.7%−0.3
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:14MTST 4th & 10 at ORE 24, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.6%
    68% to make
    Punt
    0.2%−0.4
    average punt
  10. Q3 2:28MTST 4th & 21 at MTST 28, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.2
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  11. Q4 11:37MTST 4th & 16 at MTST 42, down 46
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  12. Q4 6:50ORE 4th & 1 at MTST 1, up 46
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%−0.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    99.2%−0.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ORE made the numbers' call on 8 of 8MTST made the numbers' call on 0 of 1
  1. Q1 11:57ORE Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 9:16ORE Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 11:08ORE Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 4:34ORE Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:03ORE Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 6:43ORE Touchdown, up 38 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 0:26ORE Touchdown, up 45 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 6:50ORE Touchdown, up 52 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 2:22MTST Touchdown, down 47 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OREDrive 1TD
7 plays · 74 yds · 3:0398% → 97%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+35
97.5%
Noah Whittington run for 35 yds to the MTST 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
97.5%
Dante Moore pass complete to Gary Bryant Jr. for 5 yds to the MTST 34Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 34
+8
97.5%
Dante Moore run for 8 yds to the MTST 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+8
97.5%
Noah Whittington run for 8 yds to the MTST 18Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 18
+2
97.5%
Noah Whittington run for 2 yds to the MTST 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:57
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
96.7%
Jayden Limar run for 16 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSTDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 1:183% → 4%
Q1 11:52
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
96.8%
Justin Lamson pass complete to Taco Dowler for 3 yds to the MTST 24Similar
Q1 11:52
2ND & 7
OWN 24
0
96.8%
Justin Lamson pass incomplete to Ryan KingSimilar
Q1 11:52
3RD & 7
OWN 24
+5
96.8%
PENALTY ORE Offside (Tuioti,Teitum) 5 yards from MSU24 to MSU29. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:52
3RD & 2
OWN 29
-2
96.8%
Adam Jones run for a loss of 2 yards to the MTST 27Similar
Q1 10:34
4TH & 4
OWN 27
0
96.5%
Colby Frokjer punt for 13 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MTST 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 3TD
3 plays · 40 yds · 1:1896% → 97%
Q1 10:34
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+17
96.3%
Dakorien Moore run for 17 yds to the MTST 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:34
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
96.3%
Noah Whittington run for 3 yds to the MTST 20Similar
Q1 9:16
2ND & 7
OPP 20
+20
96.6%
Dante Moore pass complete to Kenyon Sadiq for 20 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSTDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 1:353% → 4%
Q1 9:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
96.6%
Julius Davis run for 1 yd to the MTST 26Similar
Q1 9:16
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+6
96.6%
Justin Lamson run for 6 yds to the MTST 32Similar
Q1 9:16
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
96.5%
Montana State Penalty, Illegal Formation (Chris Long) declinedSimilar
Q1 7:48
4TH & 3
OWN 32
-5
96.2%
Frokjer,Colby punt 53 yards to the ORE15 Bryant Jr.,Gary return 4 yards to the ORE19 (Johnson,Brody), out of bounds PENALTY MSU Illegal Formation (Eiden IV,Kenneth) 5 yards from MSU32 to MSU27. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:41
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+2
96.2%
Colby Frokjer punt blocked by Jeremiah McClellan blocked by Jeremiah McClellan Frokjer,Colby punt 0 yards to the MSU27 blocked by McClellan,Jeremiah recovered by ORE Austin,Daylen at MSU12 Austin,Daylen return 2 yards to the MSU10 (Dethman,Mason). , Daylen Austin returns for 2 yds to the MTST 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 5FG
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:2597% → 97%
Q1 7:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
96.5%
Dakorien Moore run for no gain to the MTST 10Similar
Q1 7:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
0
96.5%
Dante Moore pass incomplete to Justius LoweSimilar
Q1 7:41
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
96.5%
Dante Moore run for 5 yds to the MTST 5Similar
Q1 6:16
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+23
96.6%
Atticus Sappington 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSTDrive 6DOWNS
10 plays · 34 yds · 4:413% → 5%
Q1 6:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
96.7%
Justin Lamson run for a loss of 1 yard to the MTST 24Similar
Q1 6:16
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+14
96.7%
Justin Lamson pass complete to Taco Dowler for 14 yds to the MTST 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:16
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
96.7%
Justin Lamson pass complete to Rylan Schlepp for 3 yds to the MTST 41Similar
Q1 6:16
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+10
96.7%
Justin Lamson pass complete to Taco Dowler for 10 yds to the ORE 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:16
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-5
96.6%
PENALTY MSU False Start (Jefferson,Cedric) 5 yards from ORE49 to MSU46. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:16
1ST & 15
OWN 46
+12
96.7%
Taco Dowler run for 12 yds to the ORE 42Similar
Q1 6:16
2ND & 3
OPP 42
+2
96.3%
Adam Jones run for 2 yds to the ORE 40Similar
Q1 6:16
3RD & 1
OPP 40
0
96.3%
Justin Lamson run for no gain to the ORE 40Similar
Q1 1:35
4TH & 1
OPP 40
-1
95.3%
Julius Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the ORE 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 7TD
12 plays · 59 yds · 5:2796% → 97%
Q1 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+18
96.3%
Dante Moore pass complete to Malik Benson for 18 yds to the MTST 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:35
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
96.3%
Dante Moore run for 5 yds to the MTST 36Similar
Q1 1:35
2ND & 5
OPP 36
0
96.3%
Dante Moore pass incomplete to Kyler KasperSimilar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 5
OPP 36
+6
96.0%
Noah Whittington run for 6 yds to the MTST 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
96.2%
Jayden Limar run for 1 yd to the MTST 29Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 29
+7
96.2%
Dante Moore pass complete to Malik Benson for 7 yds to the MTST 22Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 22
+8
96.1%
Dante Moore pass complete to Gary Bryant Jr. for 8 yds to the MTST 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+2
96.2%
Jay Harris run for 2 yds to the MTST 12Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 12
0
96.1%
Dante Moore pass incomplete to Kenyon SadiqSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 12
+7
96.0%
Dante Moore pass complete to Malik Benson for 7 yds to the MTST 5Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 5
+3
95.9%
Jordon Davison run for 3 yds to the MTST 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
96.8%
Jordon Davison run for 2 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSTDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 1:244% → 3%
Q2 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
96.2%
Adam Jones run for 1 yd to the MTST 26Similar
Q2 11:08
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+4
96.2%
Justin Lamson pass complete to Taco Dowler for 4 yds to the MTST 30Similar
Q2 11:08
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
96.1%
Justin Lamson pass incomplete to Chris LongSimilar
Q2 11:08
4TH & 5
OWN 30
-5
96.2%
PENALTY MSU Delay Of Game (Johnson,Brody) 5 yards from MSU30 to MSU25. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:44
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+10
96.7%
Colby Frokjer punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ORE 48 , Gary Bryant Jr. returns for 10 yds to the ORE 48 Gary Bryant Jr. fumbled, recovered by MTSTSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 9TD
10 plays · 52 yds · 5:1097% → 99%
Q2 9:44
1ST & 11
OWN 48
+12
96.8%
Dante Moore pass complete to Justius Lowe for 12 yds to the MTST 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:44
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
96.8%
Noah Whittington run for 2 yds to the MTST 38Similar
Q2 9:44
2ND & 8
OPP 38
+7
96.8%
Dante Moore pass complete to Dakorien Moore for 7 yds to the MTST 31Similar
Q2 9:44
3RD & 1
OPP 31
+4
96.8%
Noah Whittington run for 4 yds to the MTST 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:44
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
96.9%
Kenyon Sadiq run for 3 yds to the MTST 24Similar
Q2 9:44
2ND & 7
OPP 24
+1
96.9%
Noah Whittington run for 1 yd to the MTST 23Similar
Q2 9:44
3RD & 6
OPP 23
+13
96.8%
Dante Moore pass complete to Dakorien Moore for 13 yds to the MTST 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
96.9%
Jayden Limar run for 3 yds to the MTST 7Similar
Q2 9:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
96.8%
Noah Whittington run for 6 yds to the MTST 1Similar
Q2 4:34
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.2%
Noah Whittington run for 1 yd for a TD (Gage Hurych KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSTDrive 10FG
15 plays · 50 yds · 3:311% → 1%
Q2 4:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
99.4%
Justin Lamson pass complete to Taco Dowler for 16 yds to the MTST 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:34
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+9
99.3%
Julius Davis run for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 4:34
4TH & 1
OPP 26
+3
98.5%
Justin Lamson run for 3 yds to the ORE 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:34
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-4
99.3%
Justin Lamson sacked by Matayo Uiagalelei for a loss of 4 yards to the ORE 27Similar
Q2 4:34
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
99.2%
Justin Lamson pass incomplete to Jabez WoodsSimilar
Q2 4:34
2ND & 14
OPP 27
+2
99.3%
Justin Lamson run for 2 yds to the ORE 25Similar
Q2 4:34
3RD & 12
OPP 25
0
99.4%
Justin Lamson pass incomplete to Taco DowlerSimilar
Q2 4:34
2ND & 1
50
+3
99.1%
Justin Lamson pass complete to Taco Dowler for 3 yds to the ORE 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:34
1ST & 15
OWN 48
-5
99.3%
PENALTY MSU False Start (Lencioni,Rocky) 5 yards from MSU48 to MSU48. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:34
1ST & 15
OWN 48
+9
99.3%
Justin Lamson pass complete to Rocky Lencioni for 9 yds to the ORE 43Similar
Q2 4:34
2ND & 6
OPP 43
+8
99.2%
Justin Lamson pass complete to Taco Dowler for 8 yds Taco Dowler fumbled, recovered by MTST for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:34
2ND & 10
OPP 35
0
99.3%
Justin Lamson pass incomplete to Ryan KingSimilar
Q2 4:34
3RD & 10
OPP 35
+9
99.3%
Justin Lamson pass complete to Taco Dowler for 9 yds to the ORE 26Similar
Q2 1:03
4TH & 12
OPP 25
+42
99.0%
Myles Sansted 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 11TD
9 plays · 67 yds · 1:0099% → 99%
Q2 1:03
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+28
98.8%
Dante Moore pass complete to Jeremiah McClellan for 13 yds to the MTST 46 for a 1ST down Montana State Penalty, Roughing The Passer (Kenneth Eiden IV) to the MTST 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:03
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+6
98.9%
Dante Moore pass complete to Cooper Perry for 6 yds to the MTST 33Similar
Q2 1:03
2ND & 4
OPP 33
+8
98.9%
Dante Moore pass complete to Malik Benson for 8 yds to the MTST 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:03
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
99.0%
Dante Moore pass incomplete to Kenyon SadiqSimilar
Q2 1:03
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+14
99.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun Moore,Dante pass incomplete deep right to Benson,Malik thrown to MSU05, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY MSU Pass Interference (Williams,Carson) 14 yards from MSU25 to MSU11, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:03
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
99.0%
Dante Moore pass incomplete to Jeremiah McClellanSimilar
Q2 0:03
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+11
99.1%
Dante Moore pass complete to Malik Benson for 11 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSTDrive 12FG
10 plays · 51 yds · 4:460% → 1%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
99.6%
Justin Lamson pass complete to Chris Long for 16 yds to the MTST 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+7
99.6%
Adam Jones run for 7 yds to the MTST 48Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 48
+1
99.5%
Adam Jones run for 1 yd to the MTST 49Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 49
+3
99.5%
Justin Lamson pass complete to Rocky Lencioni for 3 yds to the ORE 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+24
99.6%
Justin Lamson pass complete to Taco Dowler for 24 yds to the ORE 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+1
99.6%
Justin Lamson pass complete to Julius Davis for 1 yd to the ORE 23Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 23
-1
99.6%
Julius Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the ORE 24Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 24
0
99.6%
Justin Lamson pass incomplete to Taco DowlerSimilar
Q3 10:14
4TH & 10
OPP 24
+42
99.5%
Myles Sansted 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 13TD
8 plays · 70 yds · 3:31100% → 100%
Q3 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
99.6%
Dante Moore pass complete to Gary Bryant Jr. for 4 yds to the ORE 34Similar
Q3 10:14
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+6
99.6%
Dante Moore pass complete to Dakorien Moore for 6 yds to the ORE 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
99.7%
Dante Moore pass complete to Makhi Hughes for 4 yds to the ORE 44Similar
Q3 10:14
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+2
99.7%
Makhi Hughes run for 2 yds to the ORE 46Similar
Q3 10:14
3RD & 4
OWN 46
-10
99.7%
Moore,Dante pass complete short middle to Hughes,Makhi caught at ORE48, for 5 yards to the MSU49 (Grebe,Bryce), out of bounds PENALTY ORE Holding (Bedford,Matthew) 10 yards from ORE46 to ORE36. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:14
3RD & 14
OWN 36
+50
99.6%
Dante Moore pass complete to Jay Harris for 50 yds to the MTST 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:43
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
99.8%
Dante Moore pass complete to Gary Bryant Jr. for 14 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSTDrive 14PUNT
9 plays · 3 yds · 4:150% → 0%
Q3 6:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.8%
Adam Jones run for no gain to the MTST 25Similar
Q3 6:43
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
99.8%
Justin Lamson run for 8 yds to the MTST 33Similar
Q3 6:43
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+6
99.8%
Justin Lamson pass complete to Taco Dowler for 6 yds to the MTST 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:43
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
99.8%
Adam Jones run for 2 yds to the MTST 41Similar
Q3 6:43
2ND & 8
OWN 41
-5
99.8%
PENALTY MSU False Start (Provience,Hunter) 5 yards from MSU41 to MSU36. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:43
2ND & 13
OWN 36
+1
99.8%
Justin Lamson run for 1 yd to the MTST 37Similar
Q3 6:43
3RD & 12
OWN 37
-9
99.8%
Justin Lamson sacked by Matayo Uiagalelei for a loss of 9 yards to the MTST 28Similar
Q3 2:28
4TH & 21
OWN 28
+7
99.9%
Colby Frokjer punt for 44 yds , Gary Bryant Jr. returns for 7 yds to the ORE 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 15TD
6 plays · 65 yds · 2:02100% → 100%
Q3 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
99.8%
Dierre Hill Jr. run for 5 yds to the ORE 40Similar
Q3 2:28
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+4
99.8%
Jordon Davison run for 4 yds to the ORE 44Similar
Q3 2:28
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+8
99.8%
Jordon Davison run for 8 yds to the MTST 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:28
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
99.8%
Austin Novosad pass incomplete to Dierre Hill Jr.Similar
Q3 2:28
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+40
99.8%
Austin Novosad pass complete to Kyler Kasper for 40 yds to the MTST 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
99.9%
Jordon Davison run for 8 yds for a TD (Gage Hurych KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSTDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 3:230% → 0%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.9%
Chris Long run for 4 yds to the MTST 29Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+8
99.9%
Julius Davis run for 8 yds to the MTST 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+11
99.9%
Justin Lamson pass complete to Chris Long for 11 yds to the MTST 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
99.9%
Justin Lamson run for 1 yd to the MTST 49Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 49
+1
99.9%
Justin Lamson pass complete to Taco Dowler for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
50
-8
99.9%
Justin Lamson sacked by Nasir Wyatt for a loss of 8 yards to the MTST 42Similar
Q4 11:37
4TH & 16
OWN 42
0
99.9%
Colby Frokjer punt for 58 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 17TD
8 plays · 80 yds · 4:47100% → 100%
Q4 11:37
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+25
99.9%
Luke Moga run for 25 yds to the ORE 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:37
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+10
99.9%
Da'Jaun Riggs run for 10 yds to the MTST 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:37
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+28
99.9%
Dierre Hill Jr. run for 28 yds to the MTST 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:37
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+15
99.9%
Dierre Hill Jr. run for 15 yds to the MTST 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
99.9%
Da'Jaun Riggs run for 1 yd to the MTST 1Similar
Q4 11:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.9%
Dierre Hill Jr. run for no gain to the MTST 1Similar
Q4 11:37
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.9%
Dierre Hill Jr. run for no gain to the MTST 1Similar
Q4 6:50
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
100.0%
Jordon Davison run for 1 yd for a TD (Gage Hurych KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSTDrive 18TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:280% → 0%
Q4 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
100.0%
Justin Lamson pass complete to Taco Dowler for 9 yds to the MTST 34Similar
Q4 6:50
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+2
100.0%
Adam Jones run for 2 yds to the MTST 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
100.0%
Justin Lamson pass complete to Jabez Woods for 9 yds to the MTST 45Similar
Q4 6:50
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+5
100.0%
Justin Lamson pass complete to Jabez Woods for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:50
1ST & 10
50
+24
100.0%
Justin Lamson pass complete to Rocky Lencioni for 24 yds to the ORE 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:50
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+3
100.0%
Justin Lamson pass complete to Rocky Lencioni for 3 yds to the ORE 23Similar
Q4 6:50
2ND & 7
OPP 23
0
100.0%
Justin Lamson pass incomplete to Jacob TrimbleSimilar
Q4 6:50
3RD & 7
OPP 23
+7
100.0%
Justin Lamson pass complete to Dane Steel for 7 yds to the ORE 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:50
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+14
100.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun Lamson,Justin pass incomplete short left to Long,Chris thrown to ORE00, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY ORE Pass Interference (Offord,Na'eem) 14 yards from ORE16 to ORE02, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.9%
Adam Jones run for 2 yds for a TD (Myles Sansted KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 19END OF GAME
5 plays · 13 yds · 2:15100% → 100%
Q4 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+6
100.0%
Da'Jaun Riggs run for 6 yds to the ORE 30Similar
Q4 2:15
2ND & 4
OWN 30
+5
100.0%
Brock Thomas run for 5 yds to the ORE 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
100.0%
Da'Jaun Riggs run for 3 yds to the ORE 38Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 7
OWN 38
-1
99.9%
C. Perry takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 4:34
Noah Whittington run for 1 yd for a TD (Gage Hurych KICK)
+2.4
TD · Q2 11:08
Jordon Davison run for 2 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)
+0.9
TD · Q1 11:57
Jayden Limar run for 16 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)
-0.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com