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NU

Northwestern 3 at Tulane 23

TULN
2025 · Week 1 · Aug 30, 2025 · Yulman Stadium
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Win probability · TULN
modelTULN aheadNU aheadconfidence bandkey playTULN scoreNU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGFGTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 5:52 · Preston Stone pass incomplete to Ricky Ahumaraeze
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+34.5+17.30−17.3−34.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 111Home team on offense+22.6Score differential+17.0Pregame prior+4.6Garbage-time factor+4.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+6.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.2
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 0:40: Luke Akers 21 yd FG GOOD — NU win probability +2.1 pts (now 37%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  2. FG · Q2 11:07: Patrick Durkin 22 yd FG GOOD — TULN win probability +3.0 pts (now 69%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 1:28: Jake Retzlaff run for 69 yds for a TD (Patrick Durkin KICK) — TULN win probability +13.9 pts (now 87%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q2 0:53: Maurice Turner run for 4 yds to the TULN 28 — TULN win probability +5.2 pts (now 90%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  5. FG · Q3 7:22: Patrick Durkin 31 yd FG GOOD — TULN win probability +3.2 pts (now 95%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TULN made the numbers' call on 5 of 9NU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 8:57NU 4th & 6 at NU 29, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.5%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:15TULN 4th & 3 at TULN 33, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.4%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:40NU 4th & 3 at TULN 3, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 31.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.3%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    30.8%−0.5
    93% to make
    Punt
    27.7%−3.6
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:07TULN 4th & 3 at NU 4, up 4
    Close callKicked a field goal · 67.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.1%
    45% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    66.6%−0.5
    93% to make
    Punt
    63.1%−4.0
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:23TULN 4th & 8 at NU 39, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 71.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    71.4%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    71.0%−0.4
    36% to make
    Punt
    71.1%−0.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:18TULN 4th & 14 at NU 23, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 71.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.2%−1.2
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    71.5%
    70% to make
    Punt
    67.4%−4.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:00NU 4th & 15 at NU 25, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.2%−2.9
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.1%
    average punt
  8. Q3 7:22TULN 4th & 6 at NU 13, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 91.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.2%−0.3
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    91.5%
    85% to make
    Punt
    86.2%−5.4
    average punt
  9. Q3 5:52NU 4th & 4 at TULN 47, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.5%−0.3
    average punt
  10. Q3 4:25TULN 4th & 4 at NU 47, up 20
    Close callPunted · 96.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.1%−0.3
    average punt
  11. Q3 2:18NU 4th & 2 at TULN 35, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    2.3%−1.0
    45% to make
    Punt
    1.9%−1.4
    average punt
  12. Q3 2:18NU 4th & 2 at TULN 35, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    2.3%−1.0
    45% to make
    Punt
    1.9%−1.4
    average punt
  13. Q3 0:54TULN 4th & 2 at TULN 43, up 20
    Close callPunted · 97.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.4%−0.3
    average punt
  14. Q4 9:26TULN 4th & 6 at TULN 30, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.5%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.6%
    average punt
  15. Q4 8:35NU 4th & 22 at NU 8, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−0.5
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.1%
    average punt
  16. Q4 6:15TULN 4th & 4 at NU 46, up 20
    Close callPunted · 98.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    98.6%−0.4
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    98.8%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TULN made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 10:27TULN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 1:28TULN Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NUDrive 1INT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:5737% → 37%
Q1 14:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-7
63.4%
Preston Stone sacked by Kameron Hamilton for a loss of 7 yards to the NU 18 Preston Stone fumbled, recovered by NU Caleb Tiernan , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q1 13:53
2ND & 17
OWN 18
+6
63.4%
Joseph Himon II run for 6 yds to the NU 24Similar
Q1 13:21
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+17
63.5%
Tulane Penalty, Offensive Holding (17 Yards) to the NU 36Similar
Q1 13:21
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+10
63.5%
Tulane Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the TULN 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 2TD
8 plays · 51 yds · 2:4564% → 65%
Q1 13:12
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
63.6%
Jake Retzlaff run for 1 yd to the TULN 49Similar
Q1 12:44
2ND & 9
OWN 49
0
63.6%
Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to Bryce BohanonSimilar
Q1 12:31
3RD & 9
OWN 49
+15
63.4%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Omari Hayes for 15 yds to the NU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:06
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+11
63.7%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Omari Hayes for 11 yds to the NU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:35
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+13
63.9%
Maurice Turner run for 13 yds to the NU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:51
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+9
63.9%
Maurice Turner run for 9 yds to the NU 3Similar
Q1 10:44
2ND & 1
OPP 3
+1
63.9%
Maurice Turner run for 1 yd to the NU 2 for a 1ST down Northwestern Penalty, Illegal Substitution (Carmine Bastone) to the NU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
65.4%
J. Retzlaff pass to J. Reid for 1 yd for a TD (P. Durkin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:2435% → 35%
Q1 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
64.7%
Cam Porter run for 1 yd to the NU 26Similar
Q1 9:47
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
64.9%
Preston Stone pass incomplete to Ricky AhumaraezeSimilar
Q1 9:32
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+3
65.3%
Preston Stone pass complete to Alex Lines for 3 yds to the NU 29Similar
Q1 8:57
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+1
65.5%
Luke Akers punt for 46 yds , Omari Hayes returns for 1 yd to the TULN 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:3665% → 65%
Q1 8:51
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+7
65.3%
Maurice Turner run for 7 yds to the TULN 33Similar
Q1 8:26
2ND & 3
OWN 33
0
65.8%
Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to Anthony Brown-StephensSimilar
Q1 8:23
3RD & 3
OWN 33
0
65.4%
Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to Maurice TurnerSimilar
Q1 8:15
4TH & 3
OWN 33
0
65.2%
Alec Clark punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Drew Wagner at the NU 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 5FG
13 plays · 69 yds · 7:2135% → 37%
Q1 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+11
65.4%
Preston Stone pass complete to Frank Covey IV for 11 yds to the NU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
65.3%
Joseph Himon II run for 1 yd to the NU 40Similar
Q1 6:47
2ND & 9
OWN 40
+6
65.5%
Preston Stone pass complete to Griffin Wilde for 6 yds to the NU 46Similar
Q1 6:09
3RD & 3
OWN 46
+4
65.4%
Joseph Himon II run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:25
1ST & 10
50
+21
65.3%
Preston Stone pass complete to Ricky Ahumaraeze for 21 yds to the TULN 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:38
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+8
64.9%
Preston Stone pass complete to Griffin Wilde for 8 yds to the TULN 21Similar
Q1 4:04
2ND & 2
OPP 21
+2
64.9%
Cam Porter run for 2 yds to the TULN 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:23
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
65.0%
Joseph Himon II run for 4 yds to the TULN 15Similar
Q1 2:42
2ND & 6
OPP 15
+6
65.0%
Caleb Komolafe run for 6 yds to the TULN 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
64.8%
Caleb Komolafe run for 2 yds to the TULN 7Similar
Q1 1:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
64.8%
Preston Stone pass incomplete to Griffin WildeSimilar
Q1 1:14
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
65.5%
Caleb Komolafe run for 4 yds to the TULN 3Similar
Q1 0:40
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+21
63.5%
Luke Akers 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 6FG
14 plays · 77 yds · 4:2064% → 69%
Q1 0:27
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
64.2%
Zuberi Mobley run for 3 yds to the TULN 22Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 7
OWN 22
0
64.2%
Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to Bryce BohanonSimilar
Q2 14:55
3RD & 7
OWN 22
+14
63.5%
(14:59) No Huddle-Shotgun Retzlaff,Jake pass incomplete short left to Preston,Shazz thrown to TLN37, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY NWU Pass Interference (Fussell,Josh) 14 yards from TLN22 to TLN36, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+13
64.7%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Omari Hayes for 13 yds to the TULN 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:12
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
65.5%
Zuberi Mobley run for 5 yds to the NU 46Similar
Q2 13:47
2ND & 5
OPP 46
+9
65.8%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Omari Hayes for 9 yds to the NU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:10
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
65.9%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Bryce Bohanon for 3 yds to the NU 34Similar
Q2 12:43
2ND & 7
OPP 34
-10
66.3%
(12:46) No Huddle-Shotgun Turner,Maurice rush middle for 0 yards to the NWU34 (Fitzgerald,Robert) PENALTY TLN Holding 10 yards from NWU34 to NWU44. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:22
2ND & 17
OPP 44
+33
65.1%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Justyn Reid for 33 yds to the NU 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:54
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
66.4%
Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to Bryce BohanonSimilar
Q2 11:43
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+7
66.4%
Jake Retzlaff run for 7 yds to the NU 4Similar
Q2 11:10
3RD & 3
OPP 4
0
65.8%
Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to Maurice TurnerSimilar
Q2 11:07
4TH & 3
OPP 4
+22
68.8%
Patrick Durkin 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 7INT
3 plays · 4 yds · 0:3832% → 32%
Q2 10:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
68.2%
Cam Porter run for 4 yds to the NU 29Similar
Q2 10:21
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
67.9%
Preston Stone pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 8FG
13 plays · 18 yds · 4:5371% → 71%
Q2 10:11
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
70.5%
Arnold Barnes III run for 5 yds to the NU 36Similar
Q2 9:36
2ND & 5
OPP 36
0
70.8%
Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to Tre ShackelfordSimilar
Q2 9:26
3RD & 5
OPP 36
-3
70.4%
Jake Retzlaff run for a loss of 3 yards to the NU 39Similar
Q2 8:23
4TH & 8
OPP 39
+10
70.5%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Zycarl Lewis Jr. for 10 yds to the NU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:05
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
73.0%
Maurice Turner run for no gain to the NU 29Similar
Q2 7:21
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+4
73.2%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Shazz Preston for 4 yds to the NU 25Similar
Q2 6:46
3RD & 6
OPP 25
+6
72.9%
Zuberi Mobley run for 6 yds to the NU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-9
73.0%
Jake Retzlaff sacked by Aidan Hubbard for a loss of 9 yards to the NU 28Similar
Q2 5:25
2ND & 19
OPP 28
0
72.5%
Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to Anthony MillerSimilar
Q2 5:24
3RD & 19
OPP 28
+5
71.5%
Jake Retzlaff run for 5 yds to the NU 23 Tulane Penalty, Offensive Holding (Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 5:18
4TH & 14
OPP 23
+41
71.1%
Patrick Durkin 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 9INT
9 plays · 36 yds · 3:2027% → 28%
Q2 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
73.5%
Joseph Himon II run for 8 yds to the NU 33Similar
Q2 4:21
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+2
72.6%
Caleb Komolafe run for 2 yds to the NU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:41
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
73.8%
Preston Stone pass complete to Griffin Wilde for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:20
1ST & 10
50
+7
72.6%
Preston Stone pass complete to Carson Grove for 7 yds to the TULN 43Similar
Q2 2:45
2ND & 3
OPP 43
+2
72.7%
Caleb Komolafe run for 2 yds to the TULN 41Similar
Q2 2:08
3RD & 1
OPP 41
+2
72.9%
Caleb Komolafe run for 2 yds to the TULN 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:52
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
71.9%
Preston Stone pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 10TD
3 plays · 87 yds · 0:1574% → 87%
Q2 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+18
73.5%
Maurice Turner run for 18 yds to the TULN 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+69
87.4%
Jake Retzlaff run for 69 yds for a TD (Patrick Durkin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · -5 yds · 0:1917% → 16%
Q2 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
82.6%
Preston Stone pass incomplete to Ricky AhumaraezeSimilar
Q2 1:11
2ND & 10
OWN 30
-11
83.6%
Preston Stone sacked by Jack Tchienchou for a loss of 11 yards to the NU 19Similar
Q2 1:10
3RD & 21
OWN 19
+6
83.8%
Joseph Himon II run for 6 yds to the NU 25Similar
Q2 1:00
4TH & 15
OWN 25
+2
84.4%
Luke Akers punt for 53 yds , Omari Hayes returns for 2 yds to the TULN 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 12END OF HALF
5 plays · 60 yds · 0:5390% → 88%
Q2 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
89.6%
Maurice Turner run for 4 yds to the TULN 28Similar
Q2 0:16
2ND & 6
OWN 28
+9
87.6%
Maurice Turner run for 9 yds to the TULN 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:08
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+13
87.0%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Justyn Reid for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:03
1ST & 10
50
0
87.7%
Jake Retzlaff pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
50
+34
87.7%
Jake Retzlaff run for 34 yds to the NU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 13FG
17 plays · 62 yds · 7:2985% → 95%
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
85.4%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Johnny Pascuzzi for 8 yds to the TULN 33Similar
Q3 14:33
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+1
85.7%
Maurice Turner run for 1 yd to the TULN 34Similar
Q3 13:54
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
85.6%
Maurice Turner run for 2 yds to the TULN 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
85.8%
Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to Johnny PascuzziSimilar
Q3 13:13
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+11
86.2%
Arnold Barnes III run for 11 yds to the TULN 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+14
87.1%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Omari Hayes for 14 yds to the NU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:22
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
87.9%
Arnold Barnes III run for 5 yds to the NU 34Similar
Q3 11:47
2ND & 5
OPP 34
+4
88.4%
Arnold Barnes III run for 4 yds to the NU 30Similar
Q3 11:06
3RD & 1
OPP 30
+2
89.9%
Jake Retzlaff run for 2 yds to the NU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:29
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
90.4%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Omari Hayes for 4 yds to the NU 24Similar
Q3 10:00
2ND & 6
OPP 24
+1
90.7%
Zuberi Mobley run for 1 yd to the NU 23Similar
Q3 9:21
3RD & 5
OPP 23
+6
91.2%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Omari Hayes for 6 yds to the NU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:42
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
91.8%
Bryce Bohanon run for no gain to the NU 17Similar
Q3 8:08
2ND & 10
OPP 17
0
92.0%
Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to Maurice TurnerSimilar
Q3 7:56
3RD & 10
OPP 17
+4
91.9%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Maurice Turner for 4 yds to the NU 13Similar
Q3 7:22
4TH & 6
OPP 13
+31
95.1%
Patrick Durkin 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 14DOWNS
6 plays · 28 yds · 1:165% → 5%
Q3 7:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+22
95.2%
Preston Stone pass complete to Griffin Wilde for 22 yds to the NU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:38
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
95.0%
Cam Porter run for 6 yds to the TULN 47Similar
Q3 6:01
2ND & 4
OPP 47
0
94.9%
Preston Stone pass incomplete to Frank Covey IVSimilar
Q3 5:56
3RD & 4
OPP 47
0
95.3%
Preston Stone pass incomplete to Frank Covey IVSimilar
Q3 5:52
4TH & 4
OPP 47
0
95.3%
Preston Stone pass incomplete to Ricky AhumaraezeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:1696% → 96%
Q3 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
96.2%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Omari Hayes for 2 yds to the TULN 49Similar
Q3 4:59
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+4
96.1%
Jake Retzlaff run for 4 yds to the NU 47Similar
Q3 4:33
3RD & 4
OPP 47
0
96.2%
Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to Zycarl Lewis Jr.Similar
Q3 4:25
4TH & 4
OPP 47
0
95.8%
Alec Clark punt for 47 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 16DOWNS
8 plays · 45 yds · 2:004% → 3%
Q3 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+25
96.0%
Cam Porter run for 25 yds to the NU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:41
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+8
95.9%
Preston Stone pass complete to Chase Farrell for 8 yds to the TULN 47Similar
Q3 3:23
2ND & 2
OPP 47
+4
95.7%
Preston Stone pass complete to Alex Lines for 4 yds to the TULN 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:08
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
96.4%
Preston Stone pass incomplete to Ricky AhumaraezeSimilar
Q3 3:03
2ND & 10
OPP 43
0
96.4%
Preston Stone pass incomplete to Ricky AhumaraezeSimilar
Q3 2:55
3RD & 10
OPP 43
+8
96.5%
Cam Porter run for 8 yds to the TULN 35Similar
Q3 2:18
4TH & 2
OPP 35
0
96.7%
Preston Stone pass incomplete to Ricky AhumaraezeSimilar
Q3 2:18
4TH & 2
OPP 35
0
96.7%
Preston Stone pass incomplete to Ricky AhumaraezeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:1397% → 97%
Q3 2:07
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
96.7%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Oliver Mitchell Jr. for 2 yds to the TULN 37Similar
Q3 1:34
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+6
96.3%
Javin Gordon run for 6 yds to the TULN 43Similar
Q3 1:02
3RD & 2
OWN 43
0
97.6%
Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to Javin GordonSimilar
Q3 0:54
4TH & 2
OWN 43
0
97.4%
Alec Clark punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Drew Wagner at the NU 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 18INT
10 plays · 53 yds · 2:553% → 2%
Q3 0:49
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+15
97.4%
(00:54) No Huddle-Shotgun Stone,Preston pass incomplete deep right to Wilde,Griffin thrown to NWU37 broken up by Johnson,Jahiem PENALTY TLN Pass Interference (Johnson,Jahiem) 15 yards from NWU14 to NWU29, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
97.3%
Preston Stone pass incomplete to Joseph Himon IISimilar
Q3 0:35
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+3
97.4%
Caleb Komolafe run for 3 yds to the NU 32Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 7
OWN 32
+11
97.6%
Preston Stone pass complete to Frank Covey IV for 11 yds to the NU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+8
97.6%
Preston Stone pass complete to Griffin Wilde for 8 yds to the TULN 49Similar
Q4 14:32
2ND & 2
OPP 49
+3
97.5%
Joseph Himon II run for 3 yds to the TULN 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:06
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+7
98.1%
Preston Stone pass complete to Joseph Himon II for 7 yds to the TULN 39Similar
Q4 13:42
2ND & 3
OPP 39
0
97.8%
Preston Stone pass complete to Alex Lines for no gain to the TULN 39Similar
Q4 13:13
3RD & 3
OPP 39
+6
98.2%
Joseph Himon II run for 6 yds to the TULN 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:54
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
98.1%
Preston Stone pass intercepted Javion White return for no gain to the TULN 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 19PUNT
12 plays · 28 yds · 3:2198% → 99%
Q4 12:47
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+3
98.2%
Jake Retzlaff run for 3 yds to the TULN 5Similar
Q4 12:32
2ND & 7
OWN 5
+4
98.5%
Maurice Turner run for 4 yds to the TULN 9Similar
Q4 12:22
3RD & 3
OWN 9
+3
98.5%
Arnold Barnes III run for 3 yds to the TULN 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+7
98.6%
Javin Gordon run for 7 yds to the TULN 19Similar
Q4 11:02
2ND & 3
OWN 19
+7
98.7%
Javin Gordon run for 7 yds to the TULN 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
98.8%
Javin Gordon run for 1 yd to the TULN 27Similar
Q4 9:40
2ND & 9
OWN 27
0
98.8%
Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to Tre ShackelfordSimilar
Q4 9:35
3RD & 9
OWN 27
+3
98.8%
Zuberi Mobley run for 3 yds to the TULN 30Similar
Q4 9:26
4TH & 6
OWN 30
0
98.8%
Alec Clark punt for 70 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · -12 yds · 0:441% → 0%
Q4 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-12
99.5%
Preston Stone sacked by Santana Hopper for a loss of 12 yards to the NU 8Similar
Q4 8:55
2ND & 22
OWN 8
0
99.5%
Preston Stone pass incomplete to Chase FarrellSimilar
Q4 8:47
3RD & 22
OWN 8
0
99.5%
Preston Stone pass incomplete to Frank Covey IVSimilar
Q4 8:35
4TH & 22
OWN 8
0
99.6%
Luke Akers punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Omari Hayes at the TULN 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 2:1999% → 99%
Q4 8:34
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-1
99.0%
Maurice Turner run for a loss of 1 yard to the TULN 47Similar
Q4 7:50
2ND & 11
OWN 47
+4
99.0%
Maurice Turner run for 4 yds to the NU 49Similar
Q4 7:02
3RD & 7
OPP 49
+3
99.1%
Javin Gordon run for 3 yds to the NU 46Similar
Q4 6:15
4TH & 4
OPP 46
0
99.1%
Alec Clark punt for 45 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 22FUMBLE
11 plays · 41 yds · 3:470% → 0%
Q4 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
99.7%
PENALTY NWU False Start (Beerntsen,Evan). NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 6:08
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+3
99.7%
Caleb Komolafe run for 3 yds to the NU 4Similar
Q4 5:24
2ND & 7
OWN 4
+10
99.7%
Caleb Komolafe run for 10 yds to the NU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+6
99.8%
Preston Stone pass complete to Caleb Komolafe for 6 yds to the NU 20Similar
Q4 4:18
2ND & 4
OWN 20
0
99.7%
Preston Stone pass incomplete to Frank Covey IVSimilar
Q4 4:04
3RD & 4
OWN 20
+5
99.8%
Preston Stone pass complete to Griffin Wilde for 5 yds to the NU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
99.8%
(03:55) PENALTY NWU False Start 5 yards from NWU25 to NWU20. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:25
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+14
99.8%
Preston Stone pass complete to Joseph Himon II for 14 yds to the NU 34Similar
Q4 3:03
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+18
99.8%
Preston Stone pass complete to Joseph Himon II for 3 yds to the TULN 37 for a 1ST down Tulane Penalty, UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (E'zaiah Shine) to the TULN 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:46
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
99.8%
Preston Stone pass complete to Hunter Welcing for 2 yds to the TULN 46Similar
Q4 2:28
2ND & 8
OPP 46
-12
99.8%
Preston Stone run for a loss of 12 yards to the NU 42 Preston Stone fumbled, recovered by TULN Tre'Von McAlpineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 23END OF GAME
5 plays · 15 yds · 2:17100% → 100%
Q4 2:17
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
99.5%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Omari Hayes for no gain to the NU 42Similar
Q4 1:44
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+15
99.6%
Maurice Turner run for 15 yds to the NU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:57
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
99.7%
B. Sullivan takes a kneeSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 27
0
99.7%
B. Sullivan takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 1:28
Jake Retzlaff run for 69 yds for a TD (Patrick Durkin KICK)
+13.9
KEY PLAY · Q2 0:53
Maurice Turner run for 4 yds to the TULN 28
+5.2
FG · Q3 7:22
Patrick Durkin 31 yd FG GOOD
+3.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com