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MOST

Missouri State 13 at USC 73

USC
2025 · Week 1 · Aug 30, 2025 · Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
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Win probability · USC
modelUSC aheadMOST aheadconfidence bandkey playUSC scoreMOST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · Cian McKelvey run for 4 yds to the USC 10
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+49.0+24.50−24.5−49.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 10:12: Yousef Obeid 44 yd FG GOOD — MOST win probability +0.1 pts (now 2%) (top driver: MOST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 0:28: Bryan Jackson run for 3 yds for a TD (Ryon Sayeri KICK) — USC win probability +0.3 pts (now 97%) (top driver: USC has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 13:21: Jayden Maiava pass complete to Lake McRee for 64 yds for a TD (Ryon Sayeri KICK) — USC win probability +1.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: USC has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 3:35: Jayden Maiava run for 3 yds for a TD (Ryon Sayeri KICK) — USC win probability +0.3 pts (now 98%) (top driver: USC has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 0:25: Jayden Maiava pass complete to Eli Sanders for 73 yds for a TD (Ryon Sayeri KICK) — USC win probability +0.7 pts (now 100%) (top driver: USC has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
USC made the numbers' call on 0 of 1MOST made the numbers' call on 9 of 10
  1. Q1 10:12MOST 4th & 3 at USC 27, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 2.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    2.6%−0.1
    62% to make
    Punt
    2.2%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:18MOST 4th & 7 at MOST 28, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.2%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.2%
    average punt
  3. Q2 13:31MOST 4th & 8 at MOST 27, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.5%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.6%
    average punt
  4. Q2 7:58MOST 4th & 5 at USC 33, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.8%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    2.8%−0.1
    49% to make
    Punt
    2.6%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 1:35MOST 4th & 14 at MOST 40, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.8%−0.1
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.9%
    average punt
  6. Q3 8:03MOST 4th & 13 at MOST 40, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  7. Q3 5:42MOST 4th & 17 at USC 29, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    14% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.2%
    58% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−0.3
    average punt
  8. Q3 3:17MOST 4th & 1 at MOST 34, down 43
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.1%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q4 10:51USC 4th & 3 at MOST 15, up 50
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    83% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.5
    average punt
  10. Q4 8:34MOST 4th & 20 at MOST 15, down 53
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.1%−0.1
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  11. Q4 0:06MOST 4th & 4 at USC 49, down 60
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
USC made the numbers' call on 10 of 10MOST made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 6:58USC Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:28USC Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 13:21USC Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 12:00USC Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 7:58MOST Touchdown, down 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 3:35USC Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 0:25USC Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 10:26USC Touchdown, up 38 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 5:30USC Touchdown, up 42 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 13:30USC Touchdown, up 49 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 4:46USC Touchdown, up 59 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MOSTDrive 1FG
11 plays · 48 yds · 4:441% → 2%
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.6%
Jacob Clark pass incomplete to Dash LukeSimilar
Q1 14:45
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+11
98.6%
Jacob Clark pass complete to Ronnel Johnson for 11 yds to the MOST 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
98.5%
Shomari Lawrence run for 1 yd to the MOST 37Similar
Q1 13:12
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+6
98.5%
Jacob Clark pass complete to Jmariyae Robinson for 6 yds to the MOST 43Similar
Q1 12:35
3RD & 3
OWN 43
+23
98.4%
Shomari Lawrence run for 23 yds to the USC 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:55
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
98.3%
Shomari Lawrence run for 2 yds to the USC 32Similar
Q1 11:17
2ND & 8
OPP 32
0
98.2%
Jacob Clark pass incomplete to Dash LukeSimilar
Q1 11:10
3RD & 8
OPP 32
+5
98.2%
Jacob Clark pass complete to Shomari Lawrence for 5 yds to the USC 27Similar
Q1 10:12
4TH & 3
OPP 27
+44
98.1%
Yousef Obeid 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 2TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:5598% → 98%
Q1 9:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
98.0%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Makai Lemon for 5 yds to the USC 30Similar
Q1 9:37
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+16
98.0%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Ja'Kobi Lane for 16 yds to the USC 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:51
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
97.9%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Makai Lemon for 5 yds to the MOST 49Similar
Q1 8:15
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+12
97.9%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Makai Lemon for 12 yds to the MOST 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:46
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+6
97.8%
Jayden Maiava run for 6 yds to the MOST 31Similar
Q1 7:16
2ND & 4
OPP 31
+26
97.8%
Waymond Jordan run for 26 yds to the MOST 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
97.9%
Waymond Jordan run for 5 yds for a TD (Ryon Sayeri KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MOSTDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 13 yds · 1:212% → 2%
Q1 6:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
97.8%
Jacob Clark pass complete to Dash Luke for 4 yds to the MOST 21Similar
Q1 6:10
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+7
97.7%
Shomari Lawrence run for 7 yds to the MOST 28Similar
Q1 5:28
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
97.6%
Jacob Clark pass incomplete to Ronnel JohnsonSimilar
Q1 5:18
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
97.7%
Anthony Frederique punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 4TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:4398% → 97%
Q1 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
97.6%
Waymond Jordan run for 3 yds to the USC 28Similar
Q1 4:43
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
97.5%
Jayden Maiava pass incomplete to Ja'Kobi LaneSimilar
Q1 4:34
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+17
97.4%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Makai Lemon for 17 yds to the USC 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:54
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+9
97.5%
Eli Sanders run for 9 yds to the MOST 46Similar
Q1 3:24
2ND & 1
OPP 46
+5
97.4%
(03:28) PENALTY MSU Offside (Smithson,Sterling) 5 yards from MSU46 to MSU41, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:05
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
97.4%
Eli Sanders run for 5 yds to the MOST 36Similar
Q1 2:32
2ND & 5
OPP 36
0
97.3%
Jayden Maiava pass incomplete to Makai LemonSimilar
Q1 2:25
3RD & 5
OPP 36
+13
97.3%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Ja'Kobi Lane for 13 yds to the MOST 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:48
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
97.2%
Eli Sanders run for 3 yds to the MOST 20Similar
Q1 1:05
2ND & 7
OPP 20
+17
97.1%
Eli Sanders run for 17 yds to the MOST 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
97.4%
Bryan Jackson run for 3 yds for a TD (Ryon Sayeri KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MOSTDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:293% → 3%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
97.2%
Jacob Clark sacked by Kameryn Fountain for a loss of 4 yards to the MOST 21Similar
Q2 14:49
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+6
97.3%
Jacob Clark pass complete to Makai Cope for 6 yds to the MOST 27Similar
Q2 14:08
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
97.2%
Jacob Clark pass complete to Ramone Green Jr. for no gain to the MOST 27Similar
Q2 13:31
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
97.2%
Anthony Frederique punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 6TD
1 play · 64 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q2 13:21
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+64
98.6%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Lake McRee for 64 yds for a TD (Ryon Sayeri KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MOSTDrive 7INT TD
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:162% → 2%
Q2 13:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
98.0%
Shomari Lawrence run for a loss of 2 yards to the MOST 23Similar
Q2 12:42
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+6
98.0%
Jacob Clark pass complete to Jmariyae Robinson for 6 yds to the MOST 29Similar
Q2 12:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
-39
98.0%
Jacob Clark pass intercepted Bishop Fitzgerald return for 39 yds for a TD (Ryon Sayeri KICK)Similar
Q2 12:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-5
97.8%
PENALTY USC Delay Of Game 5 yards from MSU03 to MSU08. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MOSTDrive 8TD
9 plays · 65 yds · 3:512% → 3%
Q2 11:49
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
97.9%
Shomari Lawrence run for no gain to the MOST 35Similar
Q2 11:14
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
97.4%
Missouri State Penalty, Illegal Shift (Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 10:43
3RD & 11
OWN 34
+28
97.4%
Jacob Clark pass complete to Ramone Green Jr. for 28 yds to the USC 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:02
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-3
97.5%
Ramone Green Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards to the USC 41Similar
Q2 9:20
2ND & 13
OPP 41
+11
97.4%
Jacob Clark pass complete to Dash Luke for 11 yds to the USC 30Similar
Q2 8:37
3RD & 2
OPP 30
-3
97.5%
Jacob Clark sacked by Braylan Shelby for a loss of 3 yards to the USC 33Similar
Q2 7:58
4TH & 5
OPP 33
+33
97.4%
Jacob Clark pass complete to Tristian Gardner for 33 yds for a TD (Yousef Obeid KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 9TD
9 plays · 76 yds · 4:1298% → 98%
Q2 7:47
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
98.4%
Waymond Jordan run for 1 yd to the USC 25Similar
Q2 7:09
2ND & 9
OWN 25
+8
98.4%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Lake McRee for 8 yds to the USC 33Similar
Q2 6:38
3RD & 1
OWN 33
+7
98.3%
Waymond Jordan run for 7 yds to the USC 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+26
98.4%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Makai Lemon for 26 yds to the MOST 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:14
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+16
98.4%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Waymond Jordan for 16 yds to the MOST 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:42
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+4
98.2%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Ja'Kobi Lane for 4 yds to the MOST 14Similar
Q2 4:10
2ND & 6
OPP 14
+11
98.1%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Tanook Hines for 11 yds to the MOST 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
98.4%
Jayden Maiava run for 3 yds for a TD (Ryon Sayeri KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MOSTDrive 10PUNT
10 plays · 15 yds · 1:543% → 3%
Q2 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
97.4%
Ramone Green Jr. run for 7 yds to the MOST 32Similar
Q2 2:53
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+12
97.3%
Ramone Green Jr. run for 12 yds to the MOST 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:13
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
96.9%
Ramone Green Jr. run for 3 yds to the MOST 47Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 7
OWN 47
-5
96.8%
(02:00) PENALTY MSU False Start (Nnabugwu,Ebubedike) 5 yards from MSU47 to MSU42. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:54
2ND & 12
OWN 42
+2
97.0%
Jacob Clark pass complete to Shomari Lawrence for 2 yds to the MOST 40Similar
Q2 1:48
3RD & 14
OWN 40
0
97.1%
Jacob Clark pass incomplete to Ronnel JohnsonSimilar
Q2 1:35
4TH & 14
OWN 40
0
96.7%
Anthony Frederique punt for 57 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 11TD
5 plays · 97 yds · 1:0499% → 100%
Q2 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+13
98.7%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Makai Lemon for 13 yds to the USC 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-1
98.4%
Eli Sanders run for a loss of 1 yard to the USC 15Similar
Q2 0:59
2ND & 11
OWN 15
+12
98.4%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Makai Lemon for 12 yds to the USC 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
98.9%
Jayden Maiava pass incomplete to Walker LyonsSimilar
Q2 0:25
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+73
99.6%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Eli Sanders for 73 yds for a TD (Ryon Sayeri KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MOSTDrive 12END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
99.6%
Shomari Lawrence run for a loss of 1 yard to the MOST 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 13TD
10 plays · 74 yds · 4:23100% → 100%
Q3 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+6
99.6%
Bryan Jackson run for 6 yds to the USC 32Similar
Q3 14:17
2ND & 4
OWN 32
+19
99.6%
Husan Longstreet pass complete to Zacharyus Williams for 4 yds to the MOST 36 for a 1ST down Missouri State Penalty, UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (Dylan Dixson) to the MOST 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:43
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-1
99.6%
King Miller run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 13:06
2ND & 11
50
+3
99.7%
King Miller run for 3 yds to the MOST 47Similar
Q3 12:22
3RD & 8
OPP 47
+8
99.7%
Husan Longstreet run for 8 yds to the MOST 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:51
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+15
99.7%
(11:56) No Huddle-Shotgun Longstreet,Husan pass incomplete short right to Tabaracci,Carson thrown to MSU26 PENALTY MSU Pass Interference (Anderson,Thomas) 15 yards from MSU39 to MSU24, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:39
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+7
99.7%
Husan Longstreet pass complete to Walker Lyons for 7 yds to the MOST 17Similar
Q3 10:56
2ND & 3
OPP 17
+12
99.8%
Husan Longstreet run for 12 yds to the MOST 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
99.8%
Husan Longstreet run for 5 yds for a TD (Ryon Sayeri KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MOSTDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 2:160% → 0%
Q3 10:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
99.8%
Jacob Clark pass complete to Jmariyae Robinson for 18 yds to the MOST 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
99.8%
Jacob Clark pass complete to Tristian Gardner for 6 yds to the MOST 49Similar
Q3 8:55
2ND & 4
OWN 49
-9
99.8%
Jacob Clark sacked by Jide Abasiri for a loss of 9 yards to the MOST 40Similar
Q3 8:09
3RD & 13
OWN 40
0
99.8%
Jacob Clark pass incomplete to Antonio RobinsonSimilar
Q3 8:03
4TH & 13
OWN 40
0
99.8%
Anthony Frederique punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Zacharyus Williams at the USC 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 15FUMBLE
2 plays · -5 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-5
99.8%
Husan Longstreet sacked by Mitchell Toney for a loss of 5 yards to the USC 22 Husan Longstreet fumbled, recovered by MOST DJ Wesolak , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q3 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-5
99.8%
Husan Longstreet sacked by Mitchell Toney for a loss of 5 yards to the USC 22 Husan Longstreet fumbled, recovered by MOST DJ Wesolak , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MOSTDrive 16FG
4 plays · -7 yds · 2:030% → 0%
Q3 7:45
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-3
99.8%
Shomari Lawrence run for a loss of 3 yards to the USC 25Similar
Q3 7:06
2ND & 13
OPP 25
+4
99.8%
Jacob Clark pass complete to Jeron Askren for 4 yds to the USC 21Similar
Q3 6:24
3RD & 9
OPP 21
-8
99.9%
Jacob Clark sacked by Braylan Shelby for a loss of 8 yards to the USC 29Similar
Q3 5:42
4TH & 17
OPP 29
+46
99.8%
Yousef Obeid 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 17TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
99.9%
King Miller run for 75 yds for a TD (Ryon Sayeri KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MOSTDrive 18INT
9 plays · 42 yds · 4:270% → 0%
Q3 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.9%
Shomari Lawrence run for 5 yds to the MOST 30Similar
Q3 4:48
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+3
99.9%
Shomari Lawrence run for 3 yds to the MOST 33Similar
Q3 3:42
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+1
99.9%
Jacob Clark pass complete to Hayden Hagler for 1 yd to the MOST 34Similar
Q3 3:17
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+3
99.9%
Shomari Lawrence run for 3 yds to the MOST 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+18
99.9%
Jacob Clark pass complete to Dash Luke for 18 yds to the USC 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:53
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+12
99.9%
Shomari Lawrence run for 12 yds to the USC 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:10
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
99.9%
Jacob Clark pass incomplete to Jeron AskrenSimilar
Q3 0:58
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+15
99.9%
USC Penalty, Sideline Inteference (15 Yards) to the MOST 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 19TD
5 plays · 38 yds · 1:52100% → 100%
Q3 0:22
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-5
99.9%
PENALTY USC Illegal Formation 5 yards from MSU38 to MSU43. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 15
OPP 43
+25
99.9%
Husan Longstreet pass complete to Prince Strachan for 25 yds to the MOST 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:30
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
99.9%
Husan Longstreet pass complete to Jay Fair for no gain to the MOST 18Similar
Q4 14:09
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+1
99.9%
Husan Longstreet run for 1 yd to the MOST 17Similar
Q4 13:30
3RD & 9
OPP 17
+17
99.9%
Husan Longstreet run for 17 yds for a TD (William Weisberg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MOSTDrive 20FUMBLE
2 plays · 6 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 13:12
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+6
100.0%
Cole Feuerbacher pass complete to Ronnel Johnson for 6 yds Ronnel Johnson fumbled, recovered by USC Isaiah RubinSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 21FG
5 plays · 7 yds · 2:13100% → 100%
Q4 13:04
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+12
99.9%
Husan Longstreet pass complete to Dj Jordan for 22 yds USC Penalty, Offensive Holding (Corey Simms) to the MOST 29Similar
Q4 12:53
1ST & 17
OPP 29
+6
99.9%
Husan Longstreet pass complete to Corey Simms for 6 yds to the MOST 23Similar
Q4 12:18
2ND & 11
OPP 23
+5
99.9%
Husan Longstreet run for 5 yds to the MOST 18Similar
Q4 11:44
3RD & 6
OPP 18
+3
99.9%
King Miller run for 3 yds to the MOST 15Similar
Q4 10:51
4TH & 3
OPP 15
+32
99.9%
Ryon Sayeri 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MOSTDrive 22PUNT
7 plays · -10 yds · 1:570% → 0%
Q4 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
100.0%
(10:51) Shotgun Feuerbacher,Cole pass complete short right to Rexroat,James caught at MSU43, for 18 yards to the MSU43, End Of Play PENALTY MSU Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Loaiza,Cristian) 5 yards from MSU25 to MSU20. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:02
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+2
100.0%
Cole Feuerbacher run for 2 yds to the MOST 22Similar
Q4 9:27
2ND & 13
OWN 22
0
100.0%
Missouri State Penalty, Illegal Shift (Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 8:58
3RD & 17
OWN 18
+3
100.0%
Cole Feuerbacher pass complete to Connor Lair for 3 yds to the MOST 15Similar
Q4 8:34
4TH & 20
OWN 15
0
100.0%
Stewart McDonald punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 23TD
7 plays · 52 yds · 3:40100% → 100%
Q4 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-2
99.9%
Bryan Jackson run for a loss of 2 yards to the USC 46Similar
Q4 7:50
2ND & 12
OWN 46
+1
99.9%
Bryan Jackson run for 1 yd to the USC 47Similar
Q4 7:08
3RD & 11
OWN 47
+26
99.9%
Husan Longstreet run for 11 yds to the MOST 42 for a 1ST down Missouri State Penalty, Illegal Use Of Hands (Ryan Williams) to the MOST 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:31
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
100.0%
Husan Longstreet pass complete to Bryan Jackson for no gain to the MOST 27Similar
Q4 5:50
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+15
100.0%
Husan Longstreet pass complete to Zacharyus Williams for 15 yds to the MOST 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:22
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
100.0%
Bryan Jackson run for 3 yds to the MOST 9Similar
Q4 4:46
2ND & 7
OPP 9
+9
100.0%
Husan Longstreet pass complete to Carson Tabaracci for 9 yds for a TD (William Weisberg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MOSTDrive 24PUNT
11 plays · 32 yds · 4:260% → 0%
Q4 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+9
100.0%
Reggie Branch II run for 9 yds to the MOST 28Similar
Q4 3:44
2ND & 1
OWN 28
+6
100.0%
Reggie Branch II run for 6 yds to the MOST 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
100.0%
Cole Feuerbacher pass complete to Dillon Hipp for 1 yd to the MOST 35Similar
Q4 2:21
2ND & 9
OWN 35
+2
100.0%
Reggie Branch II run for 2 yds to the MOST 37Similar
Q4 1:50
3RD & 7
OWN 37
+8
100.0%
Cole Feuerbacher pass complete to Iverson Young for 8 yds to the MOST 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
100.0%
Iverson Young run for 2 yds to the MOST 47Similar
Q4 0:58
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+2
100.0%
Iverson Young run for 2 yds to the MOST 49Similar
Q4 0:14
3RD & 6
OWN 49
+2
100.0%
Cole Feuerbacher run for 2 yds to the USC 49Similar
Q4 0:06
4TH & 4
OPP 49
0
100.0%
Stewart McDonald punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the USC 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 25END OF GAME
1 play · 4 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+4
100.0%
Cian McKelvey run for 4 yds to the USC 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 13:21
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Lake McRee for 64 yds for a TD (Ryon Sayeri KICK)
+1.3
TD · Q2 0:25
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Eli Sanders for 73 yds for a TD (Ryon Sayeri KICK)
+0.7
TD · Q1 0:28
Bryan Jackson run for 3 yds for a TD (Ryon Sayeri KICK)
+0.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com