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FAU

Florida Atlantic 7 at Maryland 39

MD
2025 · Week 1 · Aug 30, 2025 · SECU Stadium
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Win probability · MD
modelMD aheadFAU aheadconfidence bandkey playMD scoreFAU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDFGFGEnd of GameFG—MD 99.2%Sean O'Haire 24 yd FG GOOD FloridaAtlantic Penalty, Illegal Formation(Wendol Philord) declinedAWAY 7 - HOME 38 · Q3 11:13
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 11:13 · Sean O'Haire 24 yd FG GOOD Florida Atlantic Penalty, Illegal Formation (Wendol Philord) declined
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 128Home team on offense+30.1Pregame prior+16.0Score differential+21.9Blowout margin+8.9Garbage-time factor+8.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+6.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 6:38: Caden Veltkamp pass intercepted Daniel Wingate return for 20 yds for a TD (Sean O'Haire KICK) — MD win probability +2.1 pts (now 83%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 4:59: Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Asaad Waseem for 27 yds for a TD (Garrison Smith KICK) — FAU win probability +2.8 pts (now 21%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 7:51: Malik Washington pass complete to Shaleak Knotts for 29 yds for a TD (Sean O'Haire KICK) — MD win probability +3.7 pts (now 87%) (top driver: MD has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 3:17: Malik Washington pass complete to Kaleb Webb for 29 yds for a TD — MD win probability +8.9 pts (now 95%) (top driver: MD has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 0:37: Malik Washington pass complete to Dorian Fleming for 9 yds for a TD (Sean O'Haire KICK) — MD win probability +3.0 pts (now 99%) (top driver: MD has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MD made the numbers' call on 10 of 13FAU made the numbers' call on 9 of 11
  1. Q1 10:48FAU 4th & 4 at MD 4, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 18.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    18.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    18.4%−<0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    17.9%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:40MD 4th & 15 at MD 14, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.0%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:39FAU 4th & 7 at FAU 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.8%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.0%
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:44MD 4th & 6 at MD 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.2%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.3%
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:55MD 4th & 6 at MD 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.8%−0.2
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.9%
    average punt
  6. Q1 0:30FAU 4th & 9 at MD 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 22.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    22.1%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    22.1%−0.1
    38% to make
    Punt
    22.0%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 14:01MD 4th & 9 at FAU 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 78.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.9%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    78.0%
    54% to make
    Punt
    77.7%−0.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 11:18MD 4th & 9 at FAU 37, up 3
    Close callPunted · 77.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.7%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    77.6%−0.1
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    77.4%−0.3
    average punt
  9. Q2 6:22FAU 4th & 2 at MD 43, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 14.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    13.1%−1.3
    28% to make
    Punt
    13.4%−1.0
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:51FAU 4th & 6 at FAU 25, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.5%−0.3
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.7%
    average punt
  11. Q3 11:13MD 4th & 6 at FAU 6, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.9%−<0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.0%
    91% to make
    Punt
    97.9%−1.0
    average punt
  12. Q3 10:02FAU 4th & 5 at FAU 37, down 31
    Close callWent for it · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.7%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.7%
    average punt
  13. Q3 8:30MD 4th & 4 at FAU 24, up 31
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.4%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.4%−<0.1
    68% to make
    Punt
    99.0%−0.4
    average punt
  14. Q3 4:41MD 4th & 6 at MD 8, up 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.6%
    average punt
  15. Q3 2:40FAU 4th & 3 at MD 48, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.3%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q3 0:57FAU 4th & 12 at MD 45, down 34
    Close callWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−0.1
    25% to make
    Punt
    0.2%
    average punt
  17. Q4 14:19MD 4th & 2 at FAU 39, up 34
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    99.6%−0.1
    36% to make
    Punt
    99.6%−0.1
    average punt
  18. Q4 13:21FAU 4th & 1 at FAU 49, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.1%−0.1
    average punt
  19. Q4 9:32MD 4th & 8 at MD 40, up 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  20. Q4 7:00FAU 4th & 3 at FAU 49, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  21. Q4 6:54FAU 4th & 7 at MD 41, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−<0.1
    32% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  22. Q4 3:30MD 4th & 3 at MD 38, up 34
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  23. Q4 1:00MD 4th & 4 at FAU 39, up 34
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%−<0.1
    36% to make
    Punt
    99.9%−0.1
    average punt
  24. Q4 1:00MD 4th & 4 at FAU 39, up 34
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%−<0.1
    36% to make
    Punt
    99.9%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MD made the numbers' call on 4 of 4FAU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 6:38MD Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:59FAU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    19.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    19.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 7:51MD Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 3:17MD Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:37MD Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FAUDrive 1DOWNS
17 plays · 73 yds · 4:0217% → 18%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
83.5%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Easton Messer for 10 yds to the FAU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:39
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
83.4%
Maryland Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Daniel Wingate) to the MD 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:14
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
83.3%
Caden Veltkamp pass incomplete to Easton MesserSimilar
Q1 14:02
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
83.2%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Gemari Sands for no gain to the MD 46Similar
Q1 13:45
3RD & 10
OPP 46
+5
83.1%
(13:45) No Huddle-Shotgun Veltkamp,Caden pass intercepted by Wingate,Daniel at UMD30, End Of Play PENALTY UMD Encroachment 5 yards from UMD46 to UMD41. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 13:19
3RD & 5
OPP 41
+10
83.0%
Gemari Sands run for 10 yds to the MD 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:03
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+5
82.8%
PENALTY UMD Delay Of Game (Wingate,Daniel) 5 yards from UMD31 to UMD26. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:52
1ST & 5
OPP 26
+2
82.8%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Easton Messer for 2 yds to the MD 24Similar
Q1 12:33
2ND & 3
OPP 24
-1
82.6%
Gemari Sands run for a loss of 1 yard to the MD 25Similar
Q1 12:10
3RD & 4
OPP 25
+5
82.6%
(12:14) No Huddle-Shotgun Sands,Gemari rush middle for 1 yard loss to the UMD26 (Fontus,Dillan) PENALTY UMD Offside (Fontus,Dillan) 5 yards from UMD25 to UMD20, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:48
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+11
82.4%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Martavious Collins for 11 yds to the MD 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
82.2%
Caden Veltkamp run for no gain to the MD 9Similar
Q1 10:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
82.0%
Caden Veltkamp pass incomplete to Michael KirchSimilar
Q1 10:57
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
82.1%
(10:57) PENALTY UMD Offside (Stewart,Sidney) 5 yards from UMD09 to UMD04. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:53
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
82.1%
Caden Veltkamp pass incomplete to Michael KirchSimilar
Q1 10:48
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
82.2%
Caden Veltkamp run for 2 yds to the MD 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 1:0082% → 82%
Q1 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+2
82.3%
Nolan Ray run for 2 yds to the MD 4Similar
Q1 10:18
2ND & 8
OWN 4
+15
82.2%
Malik Washington pass complete to Dorian Fleming for 15 yds to the MD 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:58
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
82.1%
Malik Washington pass incomplete to Leon Haughton Jr.Similar
Q1 9:56
2ND & 10
OWN 19
0
82.1%
Malik Washington pass incomplete to Jalil FarooqSimilar
Q1 9:52
3RD & 10
OWN 19
0
81.9%
Malik Washington pass incomplete to Jalil FarooqSimilar
Q1 9:52
4TH & 10
OWN 19
-5
81.8%
(09:52) PENALTY UMD Delay Of Game (McFerson,Bryce) 5 yards from UMD19 to UMD14. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:40
4TH & 15
OWN 14
0
81.8%
Bryce McFerson punt for 56 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:5718% → 18%
Q1 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
81.9%
Caden Veltkamp pass incomplete to Easton MesserSimilar
Q1 9:32
2ND & 10
OWN 30
0
81.9%
Caden Veltkamp pass incomplete to JR Wilson Jr.Similar
Q1 9:21
3RD & 10
OWN 30
+3
82.0%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Dominique Henry for 3 yds to the FAU 33Similar
Q1 8:39
4TH & 7
OWN 33
+2
81.8%
Logan Lupo punt for 36 yds , Ricardo Cooper Jr. returns for 2 yds to the MD 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 19 yds · 1:4682% → 81%
Q1 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+15
81.6%
DeJuan Williams run for 15 yds to the MD 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:07
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
81.6%
Malik Washington pass incomplete to Shaleak KnottsSimilar
Q1 7:56
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+2
81.5%
Malik Washington pass complete to Dorian Fleming for 2 yds to the MD 34Similar
Q1 7:21
3RD & 12
OWN 34
+6
81.0%
Malik Washington pass complete to Dorian Fleming for 6 yds to the MD 40Similar
Q1 6:44
4TH & 6
OWN 40
0
80.9%
Bryce McFerson punt for 60 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 5INT TD
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0017% → 17%
Q1 6:38
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-20
82.9%
Caden Veltkamp pass intercepted Daniel Wingate return for 20 yds for a TD (Sean O'Haire KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 6TD
6 plays · 58 yds · 1:1717% → 21%
Q1 6:16
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-7
82.6%
Asaad Waseem run for a loss of 7 yards to the FAU 35Similar
Q1 5:55
2ND & 17
OWN 35
0
82.9%
Caden Veltkamp pass incomplete to Dominique HenrySimilar
Q1 5:48
3RD & 17
OWN 35
+18
83.1%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Gemari Sands for 18 yds to the MD 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:11
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+20
82.2%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Easton Messer for 20 yds to the MD 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:59
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+27
79.4%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Asaad Waseem for 27 yds for a TD (Garrison Smith KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:5380% → 79%
Q1 4:48
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
80.2%
Malik Washington pass incomplete to Octavian Smith Jr.Similar
Q1 4:41
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+4
80.1%
Nolan Ray run for 4 yds to the MD 18Similar
Q1 4:04
3RD & 6
OWN 18
0
79.6%
Malik Washington pass incomplete to Kaleb WebbSimilar
Q1 3:55
4TH & 6
OWN 18
0
79.4%
Bryce McFerson punt for 47 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 8DOWNS
9 plays · 20 yds · 3:1920% → 22%
Q1 3:49
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
79.6%
Xavier Terrell run for 2 yds to the FAU 37Similar
Q1 3:18
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+1
79.4%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Michael Kirch for 1 yd to the FAU 38Similar
Q1 3:10
3RD & 7
OWN 38
+5
79.4%
(03:10) No Huddle-Shotgun Veltkamp,Caden pass intercepted by Huskey,Jalen at UMD34 Huskey,Jalen return 0 yards to the UMD34 (Henry,Dom) PENALTY UMD Offside (Reddick,Trey) 5 yards from FAU38 to FAU43. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:22
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+2
78.3%
Caden Veltkamp run for 2 yds to the FAU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+16
78.2%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Dominique Henry for 16 yds to the MD 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:22
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+1
78.0%
Gemari Sands run for 1 yd to the MD 38Similar
Q1 2:22
2ND & 9
OPP 38
+2
78.1%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Easton Messer for 2 yds to the MD 40Similar
Q1 2:22
3RD & 11
OPP 40
+2
78.5%
Caden Veltkamp run for 2 yds to the MD 38Similar
Q1 0:30
4TH & 9
OPP 38
-7
78.2%
Caden Veltkamp sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the MD 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 9FG
6 plays · 24 yds · 1:2980% → 79%
Q1 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
79.8%
DeJuan Williams run for 6 yds to the FAU 49Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 4
OPP 49
+17
79.9%
DeJuan Williams run for 17 yds to the FAU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
80.2%
Malik Washington pass incomplete to Octavian Smith Jr.Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 32
0
80.1%
Malik Washington pass incomplete to AJ SzymanskiSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 32
+1
79.6%
Malik Washington pass complete to Octavian Smith Jr. for 1 yd to the FAU 31Similar
Q2 14:01
4TH & 9
OPP 31
+49
79.2%
Sean O'Haire 49 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 10INT
5 plays · 12 yds · 0:5521% → 22%
Q2 14:01
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
79.2%
Gemari Sands run for 4 yds to the FAU 31Similar
Q2 14:01
2ND & 6
OWN 31
0
79.0%
Caden Veltkamp pass incomplete to Dominique HenrySimilar
Q2 14:01
3RD & 6
OWN 31
+8
79.4%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Easton Messer for 8 yds to the FAU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:06
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-9
78.3%
Caden Veltkamp pass intercepted Dontay Joyner return for 9 yds to the FAU 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 12 yds · 1:4880% → 78%
Q2 13:06
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+6
80.1%
Malik Washington pass complete to Shaleak Knotts for 6 yds to the FAU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:06
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+1
80.2%
Malik Washington pass complete to Shaleak Knotts for 1 yd to the FAU 37Similar
Q2 13:06
2ND & 9
OPP 37
0
80.1%
Malik Washington pass incomplete to Octavian Smith Jr.Similar
Q2 13:06
3RD & 9
OPP 37
0
79.7%
Malik Washington pass incomplete to Dorian FlemingSimilar
Q2 11:18
4TH & 9
OPP 37
0
78.1%
Bryce McFerson punt for 33 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 12SF
2 plays · -4 yds · 0:0021% → 21%
Q2 11:18
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+1
78.8%
Xavier Terrell run for 1 yd to the FAU 5Similar
Q2 11:18
2ND & 9
OWN 5
0
79.0%
Caden Veltkamp pass incomplete to Michael KirchSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 13TD
8 plays · 50 yds · 2:5182% → 87%
Q2 10:42
1ST & 10
50
+3
81.8%
DeJuan Williams run for 3 yds to the FAU 47Similar
Q2 10:42
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+9
82.9%
Malik Washington pass complete to Jalil Farooq for 9 yds to the FAU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:42
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
82.9%
DeJuan Williams run for 4 yds to the FAU 34Similar
Q2 10:42
2ND & 6
OPP 34
+9
83.0%
Malik Washington pass complete to Jalil Farooq for 9 yds to the FAU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:42
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-5
83.0%
PENALTY UMD False Start (Bah,Aliou) 5 yards from FAU25 to FAU30. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:42
1ST & 15
OPP 30
+1
82.9%
Malik Washington pass complete to Jalil Farooq for 1 yd to the FAU 29Similar
Q2 7:51
2ND & 14
OPP 29
+29
86.6%
Malik Washington pass complete to Shaleak Knotts for 29 yds for a TD (Sean O'Haire KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 14DOWNS
6 plays · 20 yds · 1:2415% → 15%
Q2 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+12
85.3%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Dominique Henry for 12 yds to the FAU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
84.8%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Easton Messer for 3 yds to the MD 48Similar
Q2 7:46
2ND & 7
OPP 48
0
84.7%
Caden Veltkamp pass incomplete to Jayshon PlattSimilar
Q2 7:46
3RD & 7
OPP 48
+5
85.0%
Gemari Sands run for 5 yds to the MD 43Similar
Q2 6:22
4TH & 2
OPP 43
0
85.0%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Easton Messer for no gain to the MD 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 15TD
8 plays · 57 yds · 3:0587% → 95%
Q2 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+7
86.6%
Nolan Ray run for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 6:22
2ND & 3
50
+2
86.7%
Nolan Ray run for 2 yds to the FAU 48Similar
Q2 6:22
3RD & 1
OPP 48
+6
86.3%
Malik Washington pass complete to Dorian Fleming for 6 yds to the FAU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:22
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
86.8%
Malik Washington pass incomplete to Jalil FarooqSimilar
Q2 6:22
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+9
86.7%
Malik Washington pass complete to Nolan Ray for 9 yds to the FAU 33Similar
Q2 6:22
3RD & 1
OPP 33
-5
86.4%
PENALTY UMD False Start (Gilchrist,Jaylen) 5 yards from FAU33 to FAU38. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:22
3RD & 6
OPP 38
+9
86.3%
Malik Washington pass complete to Leon Haughton Jr. for 9 yds to the FAU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:17
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+29
95.2%
Malik Washington pass complete to Kaleb Webb for 29 yds for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 1:226% → 6%
Q2 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
93.6%
Caden Veltkamp pass incomplete to Dominique HenrySimilar
Q2 3:13
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+5
93.6%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Easton Messer for 5 yds to the FAU 26Similar
Q2 3:13
3RD & 5
OWN 26
+4
93.5%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Asaad Waseem for 4 yds to the FAU 30Similar
Q2 3:13
4TH & 1
OWN 30
-5
93.2%
PENALTY FAU False Start (Richardson,Daughtry) 5 yards from FAU30 to FAU25. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:51
4TH & 6
OWN 25
+3
94.0%
Logan Lupo punt for 45 yds , Ricardo Cooper Jr. returns for 3 yds to the MD 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 17TD
10 plays · 67 yds · 1:1495% → 99%
Q2 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
95.3%
Malik Washington pass complete to DeJuan Williams for 4 yds to the MD 37Similar
Q2 1:51
2ND & 6
OWN 37
+22
95.4%
Malik Washington pass complete to Octavian Smith Jr. for 22 yds to the FAU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:51
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-1
95.6%
Malik Washington pass complete to DeJuan Williams for a loss of 1 yard to the FAU 42Similar
Q2 1:51
2ND & 11
OPP 42
+10
95.6%
Malik Washington pass complete to Shaleak Knotts for 10 yds to the FAU 32Similar
Q2 1:51
3RD & 1
OPP 32
-5
95.4%
PENALTY UMD False Start (Herron,Alan) 5 yards from FAU32 to FAU37. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:51
3RD & 6
OPP 37
+10
95.4%
Malik Washington pass complete to Octavian Smith Jr. for 10 yds to the FAU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:51
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+18
95.6%
Malik Washington pass complete to DeJuan Williams for 18 yds to the FAU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
95.5%
Malik Washington pass incomplete to Dorian FlemingSimilar
Q2 0:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
98.5%
Malik Washington pass complete to Dorian Fleming for 9 yds for a TD (Sean O'Haire KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 18END OF HALF
4 plays · 22 yds · 0:322% → 2%
Q2 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-2
98.1%
Xavier Terrell run for a loss of 2 yards to the FAU 34Similar
Q2 0:04
2ND & 12
OWN 34
+1
98.1%
Caden Veltkamp run for 1 yd to the FAU 35Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 11
OWN 35
+23
98.1%
Gemari Sands run for 23 yds to the MD 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 19FG
12 plays · 69 yds · 3:3899% → 99%
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
98.7%
Nolan Ray run for 1 yd to the MD 26Similar
Q3 14:24
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+2
98.7%
Malik Washington pass complete to Dorian Fleming for 2 yds to the MD 28Similar
Q3 13:54
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-10
98.8%
(14:04) No Huddle Washington,Malik rush right for 7 yards gain to the UMD35, out of bounds at UMD35 PENALTY UMD Holding (Bah,Aliou) 10 yards from UMD28 to UMD18. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 13:28
3RD & 17
OWN 18
+24
98.8%
Malik Washington pass complete to Jalil Farooq for 24 yds to the MD 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:54
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+13
98.9%
Malik Washington pass complete to Shaleak Knotts for 13 yds to the FAU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:34
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+26
99.0%
Nolan Ray run for 11 yds to the FAU 34 for a 1ST down Florida Atlantic Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Terez Reid) to the FAU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:09
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+14
99.1%
(12:19) No Huddle-Shotgun Washington,Malik pass incomplete short left to Fleming,Dorian thrown to FAU00, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY FAU Pass Interference (Williams,Dillion) 14 yards from FAU19 to FAU05, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-1
99.0%
Nolan Ray run for a loss of 1 yard to the FAU 6Similar
Q3 11:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
99.1%
Malik Washington pass incomplete to Nolan RaySimilar
Q3 11:16
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
99.1%
Malik Washington pass incomplete to Jalil FarooqSimilar
Q3 11:13
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+24
99.2%
Sean O'Haire 24 yd FG GOOD Florida Atlantic Penalty, Illegal Formation (Wendol Philord) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 20DOWNS
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:531% → 1%
Q3 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
99.2%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Gemari Sands for 1 yd to the FAU 33Similar
Q3 10:30
2ND & 9
OWN 33
+4
99.3%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Easton Messer for 4 yds to the FAU 37Similar
Q3 10:15
3RD & 5
OWN 37
0
99.3%
Caden Veltkamp pass incomplete to Jayshon PlattSimilar
Q3 10:02
4TH & 5
OWN 37
+3
99.3%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Easton Messer for 3 yds to the FAU 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 21FG
5 plays · 16 yds · 1:3299% → 100%
Q3 10:02
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+10
99.4%
Malik Washington pass complete to Kaleb Webb for 10 yds to the FAU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:38
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
99.4%
DeJuan Williams run for 2 yds to the FAU 28Similar
Q3 8:58
2ND & 8
OPP 28
+4
99.5%
Malik Washington pass complete to Ryan Manning for 4 yds to the FAU 24Similar
Q3 8:34
3RD & 4
OPP 24
0
99.5%
Malik Washington pass incomplete to Ryan ManningSimilar
Q3 8:30
4TH & 4
OPP 24
+42
99.5%
Sean O'Haire 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 22INT
8 plays · 54 yds · 2:411% → 0%
Q3 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.4%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Michael Kirch for 1 yd to the FAU 26Similar
Q3 7:44
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+15
99.5%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Easton Messer for 15 yds to the FAU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
99.5%
Xavier Terrell run for 1 yd to the FAU 42Similar
Q3 6:56
2ND & 9
OWN 42
+6
99.6%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Easton Messer for 6 yds to the FAU 48Similar
Q3 6:07
3RD & 3
OWN 48
+31
99.6%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Asaad Waseem for 31 yds to the MD 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:41
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
99.5%
Caden Veltkamp pass incomplete to Easton MesserSimilar
Q3 5:38
2ND & 10
OPP 21
0
99.6%
Caden Veltkamp pass intercepted by Lavain Scruggs returned for 0 yards to the MD 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:50100% → 100%
Q3 5:31
1ST & 10
OWN 4
-1
99.6%
Nolan Ray run for a loss of 1 yard to the MD 3Similar
Q3 4:53
2ND & 11
OWN 3
0
99.6%
Malik Washington pass incomplete to Nolan RaySimilar
Q3 4:48
3RD & 11
OWN 3
+5
99.6%
Malik Washington pass complete to Nolan Ray for 5 yds to the MD 8Similar
Q3 4:41
4TH & 6
OWN 8
0
99.6%
Bryce McFerson punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Easton Messer at the FAU 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 24DOWNS
9 plays · 2 yds · 3:380% → 0%
Q3 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-1
99.7%
Gemari Sands run for a loss of 1 yard to the FAU 44Similar
Q3 3:56
2ND & 11
OWN 44
+3
99.7%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Martavious Collins for 3 yds to the FAU 47Similar
Q3 3:09
3RD & 8
OWN 47
+5
99.7%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Jabari Smith for 5 yds to the MD 48Similar
Q3 2:40
4TH & 3
OPP 48
+5
99.7%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Easton Messer for 5 yds to the MD 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:27
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
99.7%
Caden Veltkamp pass incomplete to Jayshon PlattSimilar
Q3 2:22
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+2
99.7%
Gemari Sands run for 2 yds to the MD 41Similar
Q3 1:45
3RD & 8
OPP 41
+1
99.8%
Gemari Sands run for 1 yd to the MD 40Similar
Q3 1:09
4TH & 7
OPP 40
-5
99.8%
(01:20) PENALTY FAU False Start (Rohe,Keon) 5 yards from UMD40 to UMD45. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:57
4TH & 12
OPP 45
-8
99.8%
Caden Veltkamp sacked by Jayden Shipps for a loss of 8 yards to the FAU 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 25DOWNS
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:28100% → 100%
Q3 0:47
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
99.8%
DeJuan Williams run for 3 yds to the FAU 44Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+2
99.8%
DeJuan Williams run for 2 yds to the FAU 42Similar
Q4 14:51
3RD & 5
OPP 42
+3
99.8%
DeJuan Williams run for 3 yds to the FAU 39Similar
Q4 14:19
4TH & 2
OPP 39
-1
99.8%
DeJuan Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the FAU 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 26INT
8 plays · 42 yds · 1:590% → 0%
Q4 14:09
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
99.8%
Xavier Terrell run for 1 yd to the FAU 41Similar
Q4 13:46
2ND & 9
OWN 41
0
99.8%
Caden Veltkamp pass incomplete to Jayshon PlattSimilar
Q4 13:37
3RD & 9
OWN 41
+8
99.8%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Asaad Waseem for 8 yds to the FAU 49Similar
Q4 13:21
4TH & 1
OWN 49
+14
99.8%
Xavier Terrell run for 14 yds to the MD 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:02
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
99.8%
Caden Veltkamp pass incomplete to Easton MesserSimilar
Q4 12:56
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+15
99.8%
Maryland Penalty, Roughing The Passer (Messiah Delhomme) to the MD 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:32
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
99.8%
Xavier Terrell run for no gain to the MD 18Similar
Q4 12:10
2ND & 10
OPP 18
0
99.8%
Caden Veltkamp pass intercepted by La'Khi Roland, touchback.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 27PUNT
9 plays · 20 yds · 2:28100% → 100%
Q4 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
99.8%
Iverson Howard run for 3 yds to the MD 23Similar
Q4 11:24
2ND & 7
OWN 23
0
99.8%
Iverson Howard run for no gain to the MD 23Similar
Q4 10:51
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+15
99.9%
(10:54) No Huddle-Shotgun Martin,Justyn pass incomplete deep right to Scott,Jordan thrown to UMD45 broken up by McGhee,Damarius PENALTY FAU UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Tooley III,Chris) 15 yards from UMD23 to UMD38, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:42
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
99.9%
Justyn Martin run for 2 yds to the MD 40Similar
Q4 10:30
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+5
99.8%
Iverson Howard run for 5 yds to the MD 45Similar
Q4 9:58
3RD & 3
OWN 45
-5
99.9%
(09:58) PENALTY UMD False Start (Smith,Zymear) 5 yards from UMD45 to UMD40. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:38
3RD & 8
OWN 40
0
99.9%
Khristian Martin pass incomplete to Ryan ManningSimilar
Q4 9:32
4TH & 8
OWN 40
0
99.9%
Bryce McFerson punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FAU 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 28INT
12 plays · 44 yds · 2:210% → 0%
Q4 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+4
99.9%
Zach Gibson pass complete to JR Wilson Jr. for 4 yds to the FAU 19Similar
Q4 9:03
2ND & 6
OWN 19
0
99.9%
Zach Gibson pass incomplete to Jabari SmithSimilar
Q4 8:58
3RD & 6
OWN 19
+23
99.9%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Jabari Smith for 23 yds to the FAU 42 for a 1ST down Maryland Penalty, Defensive Offside (Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
99.9%
(08:49) No Huddle-Shotgun Shields-Dutton,Kaden rush left for 3 yards gain to the FAU45 (Smith,Carlton) PENALTY FAU Holding offsetting UMD Illegal Substitution offsetting. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
99.9%
Kaden Shields-Dutton run for 4 yds to the FAU 46Similar
Q4 7:34
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+3
99.9%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Kaden Shields-Dutton for 3 yds to the FAU 49Similar
Q4 7:16
3RD & 3
OWN 49
0
99.9%
Zach Gibson pass incomplete to Kaden Shields-DuttonSimilar
Q4 7:00
4TH & 3
OWN 49
+7
99.9%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Jabari Smith for 7 yds to the MD 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
99.9%
Zach Gibson pass incomplete to Branden HochSimilar
Q4 6:54
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+3
99.9%
Kaden Shields-Dutton run for 3 yds to the MD 41Similar
Q4 6:54
4TH & 7
OPP 41
0
99.9%
Zach Gibson pass interceptedSimilar
Q4 6:54
3RD & 7
OPP 41
0
99.9%
Zach Gibson pass incomplete to JR Wilson Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 29PUNT
9 plays · 30 yds · 3:24100% → 100%
Q4 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+8
99.9%
Iverson Howard run for 8 yds to the MD 16Similar
Q4 6:54
2ND & 2
OWN 16
+1
99.9%
Iverson Howard run for 1 yd to the MD 17Similar
Q4 6:54
3RD & 1
OWN 17
+6
99.9%
Khristian Martin run for 6 yds to the MD 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+8
99.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun Martin,Khristian pass incomplete short middle to Smith,Zymear thrown to UMD33, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY FAU Pass Interference (Tooley III,Chris) 8 yards from UMD23 to UMD31, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
99.9%
Khristian Martin pass incomplete to Jordan ScottSimilar
Q4 6:54
2ND & 10
OWN 31
-3
99.9%
Iverson Howard run for a loss of 3 yards to the MD 28Similar
Q4 6:54
3RD & 13
OWN 28
+10
99.9%
Khristian Martin pass complete to Josiah McLaurin for 10 yds to the MD 38Similar
Q4 3:30
4TH & 3
OWN 38
0
99.9%
Bryce McFerson punt for 62 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 30INT
5 plays · 16 yds · 1:170% → 0%
Q4 3:21
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
99.9%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Branden Hoch for 9 yds to the FAU 29Similar
Q4 2:58
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+4
99.9%
Kaden Shields-Dutton run for 4 yds to the FAU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
99.9%
Zach Gibson pass incomplete to Branden HochSimilar
Q4 2:41
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+3
99.9%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Reid Mikeska for 3 yds to the FAU 36Similar
Q4 2:04
3RD & 7
OWN 36
-2
100.0%
Zach Gibson pass intercepted Ricardo Cooper Jr. return for 2 yds to the FAU 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 31DOWNS
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:56100% → 100%
Q4 1:56
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+7
99.9%
Iverson Howard run for 7 yds to the FAU 38Similar
Q4 1:48
2ND & 3
OPP 38
+2
99.9%
Iverson Howard run for 2 yds to the FAU 36Similar
Q4 1:36
3RD & 1
OPP 36
-3
99.9%
Eli Mason run for a loss of 3 yards to the FAU 39Similar
Q4 1:00
4TH & 4
OPP 39
0
99.9%
Khristian Martin pass incomplete to Jordan ScottSimilar
Q4 1:00
4TH & 4
OPP 39
0
99.9%
Khristian Martin pass incomplete to Jordan ScottSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 32END OF GAME
4 plays · 25 yds · 0:550% → 0%
Q4 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+7
100.0%
Kaden Shields-Dutton run for 7 yds to the FAU 46Similar
Q4 0:26
2ND & 3
OWN 46
+7
100.0%
Kaden Shields-Dutton run for 7 yds to the MD 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:15
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+6
100.0%
Xavier Terrell run for 6 yds to the MD 41Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 4
OPP 41
+5
99.9%
Xavier Terrell run for 5 yds to the MD 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 3:17
Malik Washington pass complete to Kaleb Webb for 29 yds for a TD
+8.9
TD · Q2 7:51
Malik Washington pass complete to Shaleak Knotts for 29 yds for a TD (Sean O'Haire KICK)
+3.7
TD · Q2 0:37
Malik Washington pass complete to Dorian Fleming for 9 yds for a TD (Sean O'Haire KICK)
+3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com