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NEB

Nebraska 20 at Cincinnati 17

CIN
2025 · Week 1 · Aug 28, 2025 · GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
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Win probability · CIN
modelCIN aheadNEB aheadconfidence bandkey playCIN scoreNEB score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 1:04 · Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Cyrus Allen for 12 yds to the CIN 46 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+32.5+16.30−16.3−32.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 161Pregame prior−0.3Home team on offense−17.8Garbage-time factor−9.9Score differential−0.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−3.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−3.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:11: Dylan Raiola pass complete to Nyziah Hunter for 5 yds for a TD (Kyle Cunanan KICK) — NEB win probability +10.0 pts (now 76%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 6:53: Brendan Sorsby run for 7 yds for a TD (Stephen Rusnak KICK) — CIN win probability +17.6 pts (now 46%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  3. TD · Q4 10:36: Dylan Raiola pass complete to Dane Key for 3 yds for a TD (Kyle Cunanan KICK) — NEB win probability +17.1 pts (now 84%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 7:15: Brendan Sorsby run for 1 yd for a TD (Stephen Rusnak KICK) — CIN win probability +29.9 pts (now 49%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 0:34: Timeout Nebraska, clock 00:34 — NEB win probability +24.0 pts (now 92%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CIN made the numbers' call on 6 of 7NEB made the numbers' call on 5 of 8
  1. Q1 12:00CIN 4th & 12 at CIN 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.9%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:00NEB 4th & 10 at NEB 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.3%−0.3
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:47CIN 4th & 2 at NEB 27, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 40.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    39.9%−0.3
    62% to make
    Punt
    38.6%−1.6
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:56NEB 4th & 9 at CIN 33, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 57.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.8%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    57.0%
    49% to make
    Punt
    56.5%−0.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:27CIN 4th & 4 at CIN 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.2%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:36NEB 4th & 4 at CIN 4, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 58.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.2%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    57.6%−0.5
    93% to make
    Punt
    52.3%−5.9
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:53CIN 4th & 14 at CIN 21, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.3%−2.8
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.1%
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:54NEB 4th & 12 at CIN 37, up 3
    Close callPunted · 60.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.7%−0.4
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    60.1%
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    59.4%−0.7
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:25NEB 4th & 2 at CIN 43, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 73.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    73.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    70.9%−2.6
    28% to make
    Punt
    71.8%−1.7
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:37CIN 4th & 2 at NEB 37, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 27.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    27.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    25.3%−2.1
    40% to make
    Punt
    25.1%−2.3
    average punt
  11. Q3 4:11NEB 4th & 2 at NEB 45, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.7 ptsPunted · 61.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.6%−1.7
    average punt
  12. Q3 2:38CIN 4th & 5 at CIN 19, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.4%−1.0
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.4%
    average punt
  13. Q4 10:36NEB 4th & 2 at CIN 3, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 67.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    67.0%
    49% to convert
    Field goal
    62.5%−4.5
    93% to make
    Punt
    44.6%−22.4
    average punt
  14. Q4 2:10NEB 4th & 14 at CIN 46, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.7%−2.8
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    72.8%−2.6
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    75.4%
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:04CIN 4th & 7 at CIN 34, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 25.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    17.8%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    12.3%−5.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CIN made the numbers' call on 1 of 2NEB made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 0:11NEB Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 6:53CIN Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 10:36NEB Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.7%−0.4
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 7:15CIN Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    30.6%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    30.8%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CINDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 11 yds · 2:5233% → 34%
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
32.5%
Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete to Caleb GoodieSimilar
Q1 14:44
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+13
32.6%
Evan Pryor run for 13 yds to the CIN 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
33.0%
Cyrus Allen run for 3 yds to the CIN 44Similar
Q1 13:24
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+3
33.3%
Evan Pryor run for 3 yds to the CIN 47Similar
Q1 12:52
3RD & 4
OWN 47
-5
33.5%
(12:55) PENALTY CIN False Start (Tengesdahl,Evan) 5 yards from CIN47 to CIN42. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:31
3RD & 9
OWN 42
+3
33.6%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Cyrus Allen for 3 yds to the CIN 39Similar
Q1 12:00
4TH & 12
OWN 39
+3
33.6%
Max Fletcher punt for 52 yds , Jacory Barney Jr. returns for 3 yds to the NEB 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 2:5766% → 65%
Q1 11:57
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
33.8%
Dylan Raiola pass incomplete to Emmett JohnsonSimilar
Q1 11:47
2ND & 10
OWN 12
+6
33.9%
Emmett Johnson run for 6 yds to the NEB 18Similar
Q1 11:00
3RD & 4
OWN 18
+6
34.3%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Jacory Barney Jr. for 6 yds to the NEB 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-13
34.3%
Nebraska Penalty, Personal Foul (-13 Yards) to the NEB 13Similar
Q1 10:10
2ND & 21
OWN 13
+4
34.5%
Emmett Johnson run for 4 yds to the NEB 17Similar
Q1 9:27
3RD & 17
OWN 17
+7
35.1%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Luke Lindenmeyer for 7 yds to the NEB 24Similar
Q1 9:00
4TH & 10
OWN 24
0
35.3%
Archie Wilson punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Manny Covey at the CIN 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 3FG
10 plays · 38 yds · 4:0135% → 39%
Q1 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
35.1%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Joe Royer for 1 yd to the CIN 36Similar
Q1 8:16
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+10
35.4%
Tawee Walker run for 10 yds to the CIN 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:37
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+9
36.2%
Tawee Walker run for 9 yds to the NEB 45Similar
Q1 7:04
2ND & 1
OPP 45
+10
36.6%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Cyrus Allen for 10 yds to the NEB 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:31
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+6
37.1%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Patrick Gurd for 6 yds to the NEB 29Similar
Q1 6:06
2ND & 4
OPP 29
0
37.3%
Tawee Walker run for no gain to the NEB 29Similar
Q1 5:33
3RD & 4
OPP 29
-5
37.7%
(05:34) PENALTY CIN False Start (Buford,Deondre) 5 yards from NEB29 to NEB34. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:22
3RD & 9
OPP 34
+7
37.7%
Brendan Sorsby run for 7 yds to the NEB 27Similar
Q1 4:47
4TH & 2
OPP 27
+45
38.6%
Stephen Rusnak 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 4FG
12 plays · 42 yds · 4:3962% → 62%
Q1 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
38.5%
Emmett Johnson run for 11 yds to the NEB 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:02
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
38.5%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Nyziah Hunter for 7 yds to the NEB 43Similar
Q1 3:33
2ND & 3
OWN 43
-2
38.1%
Isaiah Mozee run for a loss of 2 yards to the NEB 41Similar
Q1 2:52
3RD & 5
OWN 41
+11
38.7%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Dane Key for 11 yds to the CIN 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:26
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
38.1%
Emmett Johnson run for 6 yds to the CIN 42Similar
Q1 1:45
2ND & 4
OPP 42
-1
38.4%
Dylan Raiola sacked by Brian Simms III for a loss of 1 yard to the CIN 43Similar
Q1 1:10
3RD & 5
OPP 43
+9
38.9%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Dane Key for 9 yds to the CIN 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:39
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
38.5%
Emmett Johnson run for 1 yd to the CIN 33Similar
Q1 0:04
2ND & 9
OPP 33
0
38.7%
Dylan Raiola pass incomplete to Nyziah HunterSimilar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 9
OPP 33
0
39.4%
Dylan Raiola pass incomplete to Nyziah HunterSimilar
Q2 14:56
4TH & 9
OPP 33
+52
38.1%
Kyle Cunanan 52 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:1740% → 40%
Q2 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
40.0%
Evan Pryor run for 1 yd to the CIN 36Similar
Q2 14:14
2ND & 9
OWN 36
0
40.4%
Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete to Jeff CaldwellSimilar
Q2 13:54
3RD & 9
OWN 36
+5
40.0%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Evan Pryor for 5 yds to the CIN 41Similar
Q2 13:27
4TH & 4
OWN 41
0
40.3%
Max Fletcher punt for 43 yds , Jacory Barney Jr. returns for no gain to the NEB 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 6FG
17 plays · 80 yds · 7:3361% → 63%
Q2 13:09
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+5
39.2%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Luke Lindenmeyer for 5 yds to the NEB 21Similar
Q2 12:49
2ND & 5
OWN 21
+4
39.3%
Emmett Johnson run for 4 yds to the NEB 25Similar
Q2 12:06
3RD & 1
OWN 25
+2
39.5%
Heinrich Haarberg run for 2 yds to the NEB 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
39.7%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Isaiah Mozee for 2 yds to the NEB 29Similar
Q2 10:48
2ND & 8
OWN 29
+13
40.0%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Cortez Mills Jr. for 13 yds to the NEB 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:27
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+24
38.8%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Nyziah Hunter for 24 yds to the CIN 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:56
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+6
37.5%
Emmett Johnson run for 6 yds to the CIN 28Similar
Q2 9:21
2ND & 4
OPP 28
+3
37.6%
Emmett Johnson run for 3 yds to the CIN 25Similar
Q2 8:42
3RD & 1
OPP 25
+12
38.5%
Emmett Johnson run for 12 yds to the CIN 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:18
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+1
37.9%
Emmett Johnson run for 1 yd to the CIN 12Similar
Q2 7:40
2ND & 9
OPP 12
+3
37.0%
Janiran Bonner run for 3 yds to the CIN 9Similar
Q2 7:05
3RD & 6
OPP 9
+8
37.9%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Luke Lindenmeyer for 8 yds to the CIN 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-4
37.2%
(06:39) PENALTY NEB False Start (Pritchett,Elijah) 4 yards from CIN01 to CIN05. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
37.3%
Emmett Johnson run for 1 yd to the CIN 4Similar
Q2 5:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
37.4%
Dylan Raiola pass incomplete to Nyziah HunterSimilar
Q2 5:39
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
38.3%
Dylan Raiola pass incomplete to Heinrich HaarbergSimilar
Q2 5:36
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+22
37.2%
Kyle Cunanan 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · -4 yds · 0:3439% → 37%
Q2 5:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
38.9%
Manny Covey run for 1 yd to the CIN 26Similar
Q2 5:05
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
38.9%
Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete to Manny CoveySimilar
Q2 5:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
-5
37.9%
(05:03) PENALTY CIN False Start (Gerhardt,Gavin) 5 yards from CIN26 to CIN21. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:59
3RD & 14
OWN 21
0
37.8%
Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete to Jeff CaldwellSimilar
Q2 4:53
4TH & 14
OWN 21
0
37.4%
Max Fletcher punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Jacory Barney Jr. at the NEB 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 8PUNT
8 plays · 22 yds · 2:4664% → 62%
Q2 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+11
36.4%
Emmett Johnson run for 11 yds to the CIN 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:14
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+9
36.0%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Emmett Johnson for 9 yds to the CIN 39Similar
Q2 3:35
2ND & 1
OPP 39
+4
36.0%
Emmett Johnson run for 4 yds to the CIN 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:48
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
35.3%
Mekhi Nelson run for no gain to the CIN 35Similar
Q2 2:08
2ND & 10
OPP 35
0
34.8%
Dylan Raiola pass incomplete to Jacory Barney Jr.Similar
Q2 2:00
3RD & 10
OPP 35
-2
35.5%
Dylan Raiola sacked by Jonathan Thompson for a loss of 2 yards to the CIN 37 Dylan Raiola fumbled, recovered by NEB Dylan Raiola , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 2:00
4TH & 12
OPP 37
0
38.1%
Nebraska Penalty, Delay Of Game (Javin Wright) declinedSimilar
Q2 1:54
4TH & 12
OPP 37
0
38.1%
Archie Wilson punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the CIN 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 9FUMBLE
5 plays · 15 yds · 0:3639% → 40%
Q2 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+9
39.0%
Brendan Sorsby run for 9 yds to the CIN 18Similar
Q2 1:17
3RD & 5
OWN 14
+5
38.5%
Brendan Sorsby run for 5 yds to the CIN 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:14
2ND & 1
OWN 18
+4
40.2%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Tawee Walker for 4 yds to the CIN 14Similar
Q2 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+5
39.8%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Caleb Goodie for 5 yds to the CIN 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 10TD
3 plays · 24 yds · 0:4466% → 76%
Q2 0:55
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+15
34.1%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Nyziah Hunter for 15 yds to the CIN 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
34.1%
Emmett Johnson run for 4 yds to the CIN 5Similar
Q2 0:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
24.2%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Nyziah Hunter for 5 yds for a TD (Kyle Cunanan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 11END OF HALF
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0027% → 27%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
27.4%
B. Sorsby takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 12DOWNS
10 plays · 32 yds · 4:1873% → 74%
Q3 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
27.1%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Dane Key for 4 yds to the NEB 29Similar
Q3 14:17
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
26.7%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Jacory Barney Jr. for 5 yds to the NEB 34Similar
Q3 13:44
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
26.8%
Heinrich Haarberg run for 2 yds to the NEB 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:19
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-2
26.0%
Emmett Johnson run for a loss of 2 yards to the NEB 34Similar
Q3 12:46
2ND & 12
OWN 34
+15
26.3%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Dane Key for 15 yds to the NEB 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:11
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
24.7%
Emmett Johnson run for no gain to the NEB 49Similar
Q3 11:31
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+7
24.5%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Quinn Clark for 7 yds to the CIN 44Similar
Q3 11:04
3RD & 3
OPP 44
+1
24.9%
Emmett Johnson run for 1 yd to the CIN 43Similar
Q3 10:25
4TH & 2
OPP 43
0
25.7%
Dylan Raiola pass incomplete to Emmett JohnsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 13TD
10 plays · 57 yds · 3:1827% → 46%
Q3 10:11
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
26.7%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Joe Royer for 4 yds to the CIN 47Similar
Q3 9:35
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+8
27.2%
Brendan Sorsby run for 8 yds to the NEB 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:10
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+8
27.6%
Evan Pryor run for 8 yds to the NEB 37Similar
Q3 8:50
2ND & 2
OPP 37
0
27.6%
Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete to Jeff CaldwellSimilar
Q3 8:46
3RD & 2
OPP 37
0
27.3%
Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete to Evan PryorSimilar
Q3 8:37
4TH & 2
OPP 37
+4
25.8%
Brendan Sorsby run for 4 yds to the NEB 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:15
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
28.8%
Evan Pryor run for 4 yds to the NEB 29Similar
Q3 7:59
2ND & 6
OPP 29
+7
28.8%
Tawee Walker run for 7 yds to the NEB 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:27
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+15
28.7%
Cyrus Allen run for 15 yds to the NEB 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
46.3%
Brendan Sorsby run for 7 yds for a TD (Stephen Rusnak KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 24 yds · 2:3362% → 63%
Q3 6:44
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
38.0%
Dylan Raiola pass incomplete to Emmett JohnsonSimilar
Q3 6:37
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+16
38.4%
Emmett Johnson run for 16 yds to the NEB 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:52
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
36.9%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Emmett Johnson for 4 yds to the NEB 41Similar
Q3 5:29
2ND & 6
OWN 41
0
35.7%
Emmett Johnson run for no gain to the NEB 41Similar
Q3 4:44
3RD & 6
OWN 41
+4
35.5%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Janiran Bonner for 4 yds to the NEB 45Similar
Q3 4:11
4TH & 2
OWN 45
0
37.4%
Archie Wilson punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Manny Covey at the CIN 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:2140% → 38%
Q3 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+5
40.3%
Chance Williams run for 5 yds to the CIN 19Similar
Q3 3:32
2ND & 5
OWN 19
0
40.6%
Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete to Joe RoyerSimilar
Q3 3:17
3RD & 5
OWN 19
0
38.9%
Brendan Sorsby run for no gain to the CIN 19Similar
Q3 2:38
4TH & 5
OWN 19
0
38.1%
Max Fletcher punt for 48 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 16TD
14 plays · 67 yds · 6:4363% → 84%
Q3 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+13
36.8%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Jacory Barney Jr. for 13 yds to the NEB 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
35.0%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Emmett Johnson for 2 yds to the NEB 48Similar
Q3 1:08
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+2
34.9%
Emmett Johnson run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 6
50
+9
35.0%
Dylan Raiola run for 9 yds to the CIN 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+6
34.4%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Nyziah Hunter for 6 yds to the CIN 35Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 35
0
32.7%
Dylan Raiola pass incomplete to Nyziah HunterSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 35
+5
34.3%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Jacory Barney Jr. for 5 yds to the CIN 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
33.1%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Emmett Johnson for no gain to the CIN 30Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+19
33.2%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Luke Lindenmeyer for 19 yds to the CIN 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+5
32.6%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Emmett Johnson for 5 yds to the CIN 6Similar
Q4 11:41
2ND & 5
OPP 6
+1
30.3%
Janiran Bonner run for 1 yd to the CIN 5 Janiran Bonner fumbled, recovered by NEBSimilar
Q4 11:10
3RD & 4
OPP 5
+2
32.8%
Emmett Johnson run for 2 yds to the CIN 3Similar
Q4 10:36
4TH & 2
OPP 3
+3
15.7%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Dane Key for 3 yds for a TD (Kyle Cunanan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 17TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:1015% → 49%
Q4 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
15.4%
Tawee Walker run for 6 yds to the CIN 31Similar
Q4 10:08
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+10
15.5%
Tawee Walker run for 10 yds to the CIN 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:32
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+29
16.4%
Brendan Sorsby run for 29 yds to the NEB 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:13
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+11
19.7%
Tawee Walker run for 11 yds to the NEB 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:54
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
19.9%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Jeff Caldwell for 5 yds to the NEB 14Similar
Q4 8:28
2ND & 5
OPP 14
0
19.1%
Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete to Cyrus AllenSimilar
Q4 8:13
3RD & 5
OPP 14
+7
17.6%
Brendan Sorsby run for 7 yds to the NEB 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
19.0%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Joe Royer for 6 yds to the NEB 1Similar
Q4 7:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
48.9%
Brendan Sorsby run for 1 yd for a TD (Stephen Rusnak KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 18PUNT
15 plays · 36 yds · 4:4669% → 79%
Q4 6:56
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+8
31.2%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Luke Lindenmeyer for 8 yds to the NEB 26Similar
Q4 6:16
2ND & 2
OWN 26
+9
28.4%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Dane Key for 9 yds to the NEB 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:33
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
27.5%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Nyziah Hunter for 8 yds to the NEB 43Similar
Q4 5:12
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+4
25.0%
Emmett Johnson run for 4 yds to the NEB 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
24.0%
Emmett Johnson run for 6 yds to the CIN 47Similar
Q4 3:46
2ND & 4
OPP 47
+2
21.9%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Emmett Johnson for 2 yds to the CIN 45Similar
Q4 3:09
3RD & 2
OPP 45
+3
21.0%
Emmett Johnson run for 3 yds to the CIN 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
18.4%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Jacory Barney Jr. for 2 yds to the CIN 44Similar
Q4 2:25
2ND & 12
OPP 44
-7
17.6%
Dylan Raiola sacked by Jake Golday for a loss of 7 yards to the NEB 49Similar
Q4 2:16
3RD & 19
OWN 49
+5
19.1%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Emmett Johnson for 5 yds to the CIN 46Similar
Q4 2:10
4TH & 14
OPP 46
0
20.7%
Archie Wilson punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the CIN 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 19INT
13 plays · 58 yds · 1:2527% → 32%
Q4 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+8
26.9%
Brendan Sorsby run for 8 yds to the CIN 17Similar
Q4 1:52
2ND & 2
OWN 17
+14
26.7%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Cyrus Allen for 14 yds to the CIN 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
27.2%
Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete to Joe RoyerSimilar
Q4 1:31
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+8
26.7%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Cyrus Allen for 8 yds to the CIN 39Similar
Q4 1:26
3RD & 2
OWN 39
-5
26.6%
(01:25) PENALTY CIN False Start (Tengesdahl,Evan) 5 yards from CIN39 to CIN34. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:09
3RD & 7
OWN 34
0
22.4%
Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete to Cyrus AllenSimilar
Q4 1:04
4TH & 7
OWN 34
+12
20.9%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Cyrus Allen for 12 yds to the CIN 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+8
26.0%
Brendan Sorsby run for 8 yds to the NEB 46Similar
Q4 0:54
2ND & 2
OPP 46
0
31.0%
Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete to Caleb GoodieSimilar
Q4 0:50
3RD & 2
OPP 46
+3
24.9%
Brendan Sorsby run for 3 yds to the NEB 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:41
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+10
26.5%
(00:41) No Huddle-Shotgun Sorsby,Brendan pass incomplete short left to Allen,Cyrus thrown to NEB30 PENALTY NEB Holding (Hartzog Jr.,Malcolm) 10 yards from NEB43 to NEB33, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 0:34
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
31.6%
Brendan Sorsby pass intercepted, touchback.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 20END OF GAME
2 plays · -3 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-3
6.6%
D. Raiola takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 7:15
Brendan Sorsby run for 1 yd for a TD (Stephen Rusnak KICK)
+29.9
KEY PLAY · Q4 0:34
Timeout Nebraska, clock 00:34
-24
TD · Q3 6:53
Brendan Sorsby run for 7 yds for a TD (Stephen Rusnak KICK)
+17.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com