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2025 · Week 1 · Aug 29, 2025 · Memorial Stadium (Champaign, IL)
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Win probability · ILL
modelILL aheadWIU aheadconfidence bandkey playILL scoreWIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 5:43 · Luke Droegemueller punt for 36 yds , Hank Beatty returns for 11 yds to the ILL 38
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+50.0+25.00−25.0−50.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 65Pregame prior+42.5Home team on offense+16.3Score differential+10.4Blowout margin+0.5Garbage-time factor+3.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 6:43: Luke Altmyer pass complete to Tanner Arkin for 3 yds for a TD (David Olano KICK) — ILL win probability +0.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: ILL has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 3:48: Luke Altmyer pass complete to Justin Bowick for 3 yds for a TD (David Olano KICK) — ILL win probability +0.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: ILL has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 13:20: Aidan Laughery run for 25 yds for a TD (David Olano KICK) — ILL win probability +0.3 pts (now 100%) (top driver: ILL has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 3:09: Luke Altmyer pass complete to Justin Bowick for 13 yds for a TD (David Olano KICK) — ILL win probability +0.3 pts (now 100%) (top driver: ILL has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ILL made the numbers' call on 4 of 5WIU made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 2:03WIU 4th & 17 at WIU 18, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%
    average punt
  2. Q2 14:47ILL 4th & 3 at WIU 33, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.0%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    98.9%−0.1
    49% to make
    Punt
    98.8%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q2 11:19WIU 4th & 5 at ILL 34, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.8%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    0.7%−<0.1
    47% to make
    Punt
    0.7%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 7:54ILL 4th & 9 at WIU 17, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.1%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.2%
    80% to make
    Punt
    98.8%−0.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 5:43WIU 4th & 16 at WIU 37, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−0.2
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:32WIU 4th & 14 at WIU 21, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:44ILL 4th & 22 at ILL 31, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%−0.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  8. Q3 10:13ILL 4th & 5 at WIU 10, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.8%
    88% to make
    Punt
    99.3%−0.5
    average punt
  9. Q3 8:00WIU 4th & 9 at WIU 19, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  10. Q4 14:57WIU 4th & 2 at ILL 2, down 38
    Close callKicked a field goal · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.1%−0.1
    94% to make
    Punt
    -0.4%−0.6
    average punt
  11. Q4 6:22WIU 4th & 16 at WIU 34, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  12. Q4 2:58WIU 4th & 1 at WIU 34, down 49
    Close callPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 1:06ILL 4th & 10 at WIU 34, up 49
    Close callWent for it · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    100.0%
    47% to make
    Punt
    99.9%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ILL made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 6:43ILL Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:48ILL Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 13:20ILL Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 3:09ILL Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 8:27ILL Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 5:27ILL Touchdown, up 48 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WIUDrive 1DOWNS
11 plays · 34 yds · 3:530% → 1%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.7%
Markell Holman run for 5 yds to the WIU 30Similar
Q1 14:17
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+10
99.6%
Chris Irvin pass complete to Aric Johnson for 10 yds to the WIU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:44
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
99.6%
Chris Irvin pass incomplete to Aric JohnsonSimilar
Q1 13:37
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+9
99.6%
Chris Irvin pass complete to Christian Anaya for 9 yds to the WIU 49Similar
Q1 13:00
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+3
99.6%
Markell Holman run for 3 yds to the ILL 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:05
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
99.6%
Chris Irvin pass complete to Demari Davis for 2 yds to the ILL 46Similar
Q1 11:42
2ND & 8
OPP 46
+2
99.6%
Markell Holman run for 2 yds to the ILL 44Similar
Q1 11:03
3RD & 6
OPP 44
0
99.5%
Chris Irvin pass incomplete to Christian PierceSimilar
Q1 10:57
4TH & 6
OPP 44
-3
99.5%
Western Illinois Penalty, (-3 Yards) to the ILL 41Similar
Q1 10:57
4TH & 6
OPP 44
0
99.5%
Western Illinois Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 2TD
9 plays · 59 yds · 4:00100% → 99%
Q1 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
99.5%
Aidan Laughery run for 1 yd to the ILL 42Similar
Q1 10:11
2ND & 9
OWN 42
+5
99.5%
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Aidan Laughery for 5 yds to the ILL 47Similar
Q1 9:39
3RD & 4
OWN 47
+16
99.5%
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Hank Beatty for 16 yds to the WIU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:14
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+8
99.5%
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Hank Beatty for 8 yds to the WIU 29Similar
Q1 8:34
2ND & 2
OPP 29
+15
99.4%
(08:40) Shotgun Altmyer,Luke pass incomplete deep right to Bowick,Justin thrown to WIU00 PENALTY WIU Pass Interference (Guillory,Esteban) 15 yards from WIU29 to WIU14, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:25
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+7
99.4%
Aidan Laughery run for 7 yds to the WIU 7Similar
Q1 7:59
2ND & 3
OPP 7
+2
99.4%
Luke Altmyer run for 2 yds to the WIU 5Similar
Q1 7:19
3RD & 1
OPP 5
+2
99.4%
Kaden Feagin run for 2 yds to the WIU 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.4%
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Tanner Arkin for 3 yds for a TD (David Olano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WIUDrive 3FUMBLE
2 plays · 1 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 6:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
99.4%
Chris Irvin sacked by Gabe Jacas for a loss of 1 yard to the WIU 26 Chris Irvin fumbled, recovered by ILL Kaleb Patterson , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 4TD
6 plays · 26 yds · 2:3899% → 99%
Q1 6:26
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+6
99.4%
Kaden Feagin run for 6 yds to the WIU 20Similar
Q1 5:53
2ND & 4
OPP 20
+12
99.4%
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Alexander Capka-Jones for 12 yds to the WIU 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-5
99.4%
PENALTY ILL False Start (Hansen,Brandon) 5 yards from WIU08 to WIU13. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 13
+8
99.4%
Kaden Feagin run for 8 yds to the WIU 5Similar
Q1 4:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
99.3%
Kaden Feagin run for 2 yds to the WIU 3Similar
Q1 3:48
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.4%
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Justin Bowick for 3 yds for a TD (David Olano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WIUDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · -7 yds · 1:351% → 1%
Q1 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
99.4%
Markell Holman run for a loss of 3 yards to the WIU 22Similar
Q1 2:58
2ND & 13
OWN 22
0
99.3%
Chris Irvin pass incomplete to Markell HolmanSimilar
Q1 2:46
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+1
99.3%
Chris Irvin pass complete to Eric Denham for 1 yd to the WIU 23Similar
Q1 2:10
4TH & 12
OWN 23
-5
99.3%
(02:16) Droegemueller,Luke punt 51 yards to the ILL26 Beatty,Hank return 10 yards to the ILL36 (Guillory,Esteban) PENALTY WIU Illegal Formation 5 yards from WIU23 to WIU18. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:03
4TH & 17
OWN 18
0
99.3%
Luke Droegemueller punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ILL 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 6TD
7 plays · 51 yds · 3:3299% → 100%
Q1 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+11
99.4%
Ca'Lil Valentine run for 11 yds to the WIU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:21
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
99.3%
Luke Altmyer pass incomplete to Justin BowickSimilar
Q1 1:14
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+7
99.3%
Ca'Lil Valentine run for 7 yds to the WIU 33Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 3
OPP 33
0
99.3%
Aidan Laughery run for no gain to the WIU 33Similar
Q2 14:47
4TH & 3
OPP 33
+6
99.2%
Luke Altmyer run for 6 yds to the WIU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:42
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
99.2%
Aidan Laughery run for 2 yds to the WIU 25Similar
Q2 13:20
2ND & 8
OPP 25
+25
99.5%
Aidan Laughery run for 25 yds for a TD (David Olano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WIUDrive 7DOWNS
8 plays · 41 yds · 1:421% → 1%
Q2 13:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+36
99.5%
Chris Irvin pass complete to Demari Davis for 36 yds to the ILL 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:49
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
99.4%
Chris Irvin pass incomplete to Aric JohnsonSimilar
Q2 12:42
2ND & 10
OPP 39
-1
99.5%
Markell Holman run for a loss of 1 yard to the ILL 40Similar
Q2 11:59
3RD & 11
OPP 40
+6
99.5%
Chris Irvin run for 6 yds to the ILL 34Similar
Q2 11:19
4TH & 5
OPP 34
0
99.5%
Chris Irvin pass incomplete to Christian PierceSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 8FG
9 plays · 49 yds · 3:16100% → 100%
Q2 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
99.5%
Luke Altmyer pass incomplete to Davin StoffelSimilar
Q2 10:58
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+17
99.5%
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Hank Beatty for 17 yds to the WIU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:34
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
99.5%
Kaden Feagin run for 6 yds to the WIU 43Similar
Q2 9:36
2ND & 4
OPP 43
+10
99.5%
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Malik Elzy for 10 yds to the WIU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:29
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+15
99.6%
(09:31) Shotgun Altmyer,Luke pass incomplete deep right to Elzy,Malik thrown to WIU03 PENALTY WIU Personal Foul (Guillory,Esteban) 15 yards from WIU33 to WIU18, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:23
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
99.5%
Luke Altmyer pass incomplete to Hudson ClementSimilar
Q2 9:12
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+5
99.5%
Kaden Feagin run for 5 yds to the WIU 13Similar
Q2 8:25
3RD & 5
OPP 13
-4
99.5%
Luke Altmyer sacked for a loss of 4 yards to the WIU 17Similar
Q2 7:54
4TH & 9
OPP 17
+35
99.5%
David Olano 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WIUDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 2:011% → 1%
Q2 7:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.4%
Markell Holman run for no gain to the WIU 25Similar
Q2 7:02
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+18
99.4%
Chris Irvin pass complete to Brandon Lanier for 18 yds to the WIU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:46
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
99.4%
Chris Irvin pass incomplete to Christian AnayaSimilar
Q2 6:38
2ND & 10
OWN 43
-6
99.4%
Chris Irvin sacked by Gabe Jacas for a loss of 6 yards to the WIU 37Similar
Q2 5:55
3RD & 16
OWN 37
0
99.4%
Chris Irvin pass incomplete to Christian AnayaSimilar
Q2 5:43
4TH & 16
OWN 37
+11
99.4%
Luke Droegemueller punt for 36 yds , Hank Beatty returns for 11 yds to the ILL 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 10TD
6 plays · 62 yds · 2:27100% → 100%
Q2 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+9
99.5%
Ca'Lil Valentine run for 9 yds to the ILL 47Similar
Q2 5:01
2ND & 1
OWN 47
-10
99.5%
(05:10) No Huddle-Shotgun Altmyer,Luke pass complete short right to Valentine,Ca'Lil caught at ILL50, for 8 yards to the WIU45 (Richardson,Justin) PENALTY ILL Holding (Kreutz,Josh) 10 yards from ILL47 to ILL37. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:31
2ND & 11
OWN 37
+59
99.5%
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Hank Beatty for 59 yds to the WIU 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-15
99.5%
(04:00) No Huddle-Shotgun Altmyer,Luke pass incomplete short left to Bowick,Justin thrown to WIU00 PENALTY ILL Pass Interference (Bowick,Justin) 15 yards from WIU04 to WIU19. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 19
+6
99.5%
Ca'Lil Valentine run for 6 yds to the WIU 13Similar
Q2 3:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 13
+13
99.8%
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Justin Bowick for 13 yds for a TD (David Olano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WIUDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · -4 yds · 1:230% → 0%
Q2 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
99.9%
Demari Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the WIU 24Similar
Q2 2:17
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+2
99.9%
Chris Irvin run for 2 yds to the WIU 26Similar
Q2 1:55
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
99.9%
Chris Irvin pass incomplete to Demari DavisSimilar
Q2 1:44
4TH & 9
OWN 26
-5
99.9%
(01:52) Droegemueller,Luke punt 44 yards to the ILL30 PENALTY WIU Illegal Formation 5 yards from WIU26 to WIU21. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:32
4TH & 14
OWN 21
+10
99.9%
Luke Droegemueller punt for 46 yds , Hank Beatty returns for 10 yds to the ILL 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · -12 yds · 0:34100% → 100%
Q2 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+8
99.8%
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Hank Beatty for 8 yds to the WIU 49Similar
Q2 0:59
2ND & 2
OPP 49
-10
99.8%
Luke Altmyer sacked by David Dunston for a loss of 10 yards to the ILL 41Similar
Q2 0:44
3RD & 12
OWN 41
-10
99.8%
Luke Altmyer sacked by Jalen Nicolas for a loss of 10 yards to the ILL 31Similar
Q2 0:44
4TH & 22
OWN 31
0
99.8%
Keelan Crimmins punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Christian Anaya at the WIU 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WIUDrive 13END OF HALF
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:290% → 0%
Q2 0:29
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
99.9%
Chris Irvin pass complete to Aric Johnson for 7 yds to the WIU 47Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 3
OWN 47
-7
99.8%
Chris Irvin sacked by Tomiwa Durojaiye for a loss of 7 yards to the WIU 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 14MISSED FG
10 plays · 55 yds · 4:41100% → 100%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
99.8%
Aidan Laughery run for a loss of 1 yard to the ILL 34Similar
Q3 14:16
2ND & 11
OWN 34
+15
99.8%
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Malik Elzy for 15 yds to the ILL 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+8
99.8%
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Collin Dixon for 8 yds to the WIU 43Similar
Q3 12:59
2ND & 2
OPP 43
+11
99.8%
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Tanner Arkin for 11 yds to the WIU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:24
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+17
99.9%
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Aidan Laughery for 17 yds to the WIU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:39
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
99.9%
Aidan Laughery run for no gain to the WIU 15Similar
Q3 10:57
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+5
99.9%
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Hudson Clement for 5 yds to the WIU 10Similar
Q3 10:20
3RD & 5
OPP 10
0
99.9%
Luke Altmyer pass incomplete to Cole RuskSimilar
Q3 10:13
4TH & 5
OPP 10
+28
99.9%
David Olano 28 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by DJ Taylor (10:18) Olano,David field goal attempt from 28 yards NO GOOD blocked by Taylor,DJ (H: Crimmins,Keelan, LS: Mahoney III,Patrick), clock 10:13 recovered by ILL Olano,David at WIU18, End Of Play.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WIUDrive 15PUNT RETURN TD
4 plays · 1 yds · 2:050% → 0%
Q3 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
99.9%
Markell Holman run for no gain to the WIU 18Similar
Q3 9:21
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+2
99.9%
Chris Irvin pass complete to Markell Holman for 2 yds to the WIU 16Similar
Q3 8:40
3RD & 12
OWN 16
+3
99.9%
Markell Holman run for 3 yds to the WIU 19Similar
Q3 8:00
4TH & 9
OWN 19
+69
99.9%
Luke Droegemueller punt for 50 yds , Hank Beatty returns for 69 yds for a TD (David Olano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WIUDrive 16FG
18 plays · 73 yds · 8:000% → 0%
Q3 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Chris Irvin pass incomplete to Alex WilliamsSimilar
Q3 7:50
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.9%
Markell Holman run for 7 yds to the WIU 32Similar
Q3 7:16
3RD & 3
OWN 32
-5
99.9%
PENALTY WIU False Start (Arguelles,Dorian) 5 yards from WIU32 to WIU27. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:54
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+9
99.9%
Chris Irvin pass complete to Alex Williams for 9 yds to the WIU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+15
99.9%
Illinois Penalty, Personal Foul (Malachi Hood) to the ILL 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:50
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
99.9%
Markell Holman run for 2 yds to the ILL 41Similar
Q3 3:02
3RD & 8
OPP 41
+10
99.9%
Chris Irvin pass complete to Brandon Lanier for 10 yds to the ILL 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:02
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
99.9%
Chris Irvin pass incomplete to Brandon LanierSimilar
Q3 3:02
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+10
99.9%
Chris Irvin run for 10 yds to the ILL 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:02
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-5
99.9%
Chris Irvin sacked for a loss of 5 yards to the ILL 26Similar
Q3 3:02
2ND & 15
OPP 26
+4
99.9%
Chris Irvin pass complete to Aric Johnson for 4 yds to the ILL 22Similar
Q3 3:02
2ND & 8
OPP 41
0
99.9%
Chris Irvin pass incomplete to Alex WilliamsSimilar
Q3 2:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-4
99.8%
PENALTY WIU False Start (Banks-Wall,Jeremiah) 4 yards from ILL01 to ILL05. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 1:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
99.9%
Chris Irvin run for 1 yd to the ILL 4Similar
Q3 1:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
99.9%
Markell Holman run for 2 yds to the ILL 2Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
99.9%
Markell Holman run for no gain to the ILL 2Similar
Q4 14:57
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+20
99.9%
Antonio Chadha 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 17TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 6:21100% → 100%
Q4 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.9%
Kaden Feagin run for 6 yds to the ILL 31Similar
Q4 14:11
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+18
99.9%
Kaden Feagin run for 18 yds to the ILL 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+7
99.9%
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Justin Bowick for 7 yds to the WIU 44Similar
Q4 12:43
2ND & 3
OPP 44
+6
99.9%
Kaden Feagin run for 6 yds to the WIU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:12
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+17
99.9%
Ca'Lil Valentine run for 17 yds to the WIU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:25
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+1
99.9%
Ca'Lil Valentine run for 1 yd to the WIU 20Similar
Q4 10:46
2ND & 9
OPP 20
+3
99.9%
Kaden Feagin run for 3 yds to the WIU 17Similar
Q4 10:08
3RD & 6
OPP 17
+5
99.9%
(10:10) Shotgun Altmyer,Luke pass incomplete short right to Rusk,Cole thrown to WIU03 broken up by Aumua-Tuisavura,Buju PENALTY WIU Offside (Kongolo,Elijah) 5 yards from WIU17 to WIU12. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:01
3RD & 1
OPP 12
+3
99.9%
Kaden Feagin run for 3 yds to the WIU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
99.9%
Kaden Feagin run for 2 yds to the WIU 7Similar
Q4 8:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
99.9%
Kaden Feagin run for 7 yds for a TD (David Olano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WIUDrive 18PUNT
10 plays · 9 yds · 2:000% → 0%
Q4 8:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
100.0%
Chris Irvin pass incomplete to Ernest TempleSimilar
Q4 8:17
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
100.0%
Chris Irvin pass incomplete to Aric JohnsonSimilar
Q4 8:12
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+15
100.0%
Chris Irvin pass incomplete to Aric Johnson for a 1ST down Illinois Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Matthew Bailey) to the WIU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-6
100.0%
Chris Irvin run for a loss of 6 yards to the WIU 34Similar
Q4 7:25
2ND & 16
OWN 34
-5
100.0%
PENALTY WIU Delay Of Game (Irvin,Chris) 5 yards from WIU34 to WIU29. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:02
2ND & 21
OWN 29
0
100.0%
Chris Irvin pass incomplete to Demari DavisSimilar
Q4 6:54
3RD & 21
OWN 29
+5
100.0%
Brinston Williams run for 5 yds to the WIU 34Similar
Q4 6:22
4TH & 16
OWN 34
0
100.0%
Luke Droegemueller punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Hank Beatty at the ILL 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 19TD
3 plays · 67 yds · 0:45100% → 100%
Q4 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+10
100.0%
Aidan Laughery run for 10 yds to the ILL 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:27
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+57
100.0%
Aidan Laughery run for 57 yds for a TD (David Olano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WIUDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 2:130% → 0%
Q4 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
100.0%
Tanner Zolnosky run for 4 yds to the WIU 29Similar
Q4 4:40
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+4
100.0%
Brinston Williams run for 4 yds to the WIU 33Similar
Q4 3:53
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+1
100.0%
Tanner Zolnosky run for 1 yd to the WIU 34Similar
Q4 2:58
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+43
100.0%
Luke Droegemueller punt for 43 yds , Hank Beatty returns for 43 yds to the WIU 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 21END OF GAME
6 plays · 13 yds · 2:50100% → 100%
Q4 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
100.0%
Ca'Lil Valentine run for 2 yds to the WIU 32Similar
Q4 2:03
2ND & 8
OPP 32
-2
100.0%
Ca'Lil Valentine run for a loss of 2 yards to the WIU 34Similar
Q4 1:49
3RD & 10
OPP 34
0
100.0%
Ca'Lil Valentine run for no gain to the WIU 34Similar
Q4 1:06
4TH & 10
OPP 34
+14
100.0%
Ethan Hampton pass complete to Mario Sanders II for 14 yds to the WIU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-1
100.0%
E. Hampton takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 13:20
Aidan Laughery run for 25 yds for a TD (David Olano KICK)
+0.3
TD · Q2 3:09
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Justin Bowick for 13 yds for a TD (David Olano KICK)
+0.3
TD · Q1 6:43
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Tanner Arkin for 3 yds for a TD (David Olano KICK)
+0.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com