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UGA

Georgia 16 at Georgia Tech 9

GT
2025 · Week 14 · Nov 28, 2025 · Mercedes-Benz Stadium
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Win probability · GT
modelGT aheadUGA aheadconfidence bandkey playGT scoreUGA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDFGFGFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 6:06 · (06:13) #92 B.Thorson punt 45 yards to the GT12 fair catch by #3 E.Rivers at GT12
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+41.5+20.80−20.8−41.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 138Pregame prior−4.2Home team on offense−26.1Garbage-time factor−11.6Score differential−11.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−5.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−4.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 4:35: (04:40) Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass complete short middle to #1 Z.Branch caught at GT04, for 7 yards to the GT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:35, 1ST DOWN #91 P.Woodring kick attempt good (H: #14 G.Stockton, LS: #60 B.Gardner) — UGA win probability +11.6 pts (now 82%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 0:01: (00:03) #91 P.Woodring field goal attempt from 30 yards GOOD (H: #14 G.Stockton, LS: #60 B.Gardner), clock 00:01 — UGA win probability +5.0 pts (now 83%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 4:33: (04:36) #33 A.Birr field goal attempt from 44 yards GOOD (H: #47 M.Nichols, LS: #49 R.Thomas), clock 04:33 — GT win probability +5.6 pts (now 26%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 3:30: (03:29) #33 A.Birr field goal attempt from 41 yards GOOD (H: #47 M.Nichols, LS: #49 R.Thomas), clock 03:30 — GT win probability +8.1 pts (now 21%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 2:27: (02:34) #2 J.McCray rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UGA37 (#2 E.Lightsey), 1ST DOWN — UGA win probability +17.6 pts (now 91%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
GT made the numbers' call on 5 of 7UGA made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 10:17GT 4th & 11 at GT 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.1%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 1:20GT 4th & 7 at UGA 13, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 23.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.4%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    23.5%
    85% to make
    Punt
    22.0%−1.5
    average punt
  3. Q2 9:42UGA 4th & 3 at GT 4, down 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 72.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.1%
    45% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    71.6%−0.6
    93% to make
    Punt
    68.0%−4.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 8:25GT 4th & 2 at GT 33, tied
    Close callPunted · 27.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.1%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 3:15GT 4th & 8 at GT 27, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.9%−0.8
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.7%
    average punt
  6. Q3 13:30UGA 4th & 14 at UGA 21, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.5%−2.3
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.8%
    average punt
  7. Q3 7:35UGA 4th & 20 at UGA 8, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.5%−3.1
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.7%
    average punt
  8. Q3 4:33GT 4th & 3 at UGA 26, down 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 18.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    17.8%−0.7
    64% to make
    Punt
    12.0%−6.5
    average punt
  9. Q3 2:46UGA 4th & 1 at UGA 34, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 78.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    79.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    78.5%−1.3
    average punt
  10. Q4 14:10UGA 4th & 5 at GT 33, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 80.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.8%
    42% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    80.4%−0.5
    49% to make
    Punt
    79.4%−1.4
    average punt
  11. Q4 10:25GT 4th & 17 at UGA 46, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.4%−1.6
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    11.8%−1.2
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    13.0%
    average punt
  12. Q4 6:06UGA 4th & 16 at UGA 43, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.9%−2.8
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.7%
    average punt
  13. Q4 3:30GT 4th & 10 at UGA 24, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 10.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.2%−1.0
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    10.3%
    68% to make
    Punt
    6.3%−4.0
    average punt
  14. Q4 0:14UGA 4th & 8 at UGA 39, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.2%−0.6
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.8%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UGA made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q2 4:35UGA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
GTDrive 1PUNT
9 plays · 40 yds · 4:2916% → 18%
Q1 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 3
-1
15.8%
(14:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Haynes rush left for 1 yard loss to the GT02 (#0 G.Harris Jr.; #4 K.Bolden)Similar
Q1 14:08
2ND & 11
OWN 2
0
16.1%
(14:13) Shotgun #10 H.King pass incomplete short middle to #1 J.Haynes thrown to GT02 QB hurried by #0 G.Harris Jr.Similar
Q1 13:52
3RD & 11
OWN 2
+30
16.2%
(14:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 H.King pass complete deep middle to #80 B.Seither caught at GT28, for 30 yards to the GT32 (#20 J.Thomas), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 13:19
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
16.5%
(13:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Haynes rush left for 5 yards gain to the GT37 (#20 J.Thomas; #4 K.Bolden)Similar
Q1 12:27
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+7
17.0%
(12:46) Shotgun #10 H.King pass complete short left to #8 M.Rutherford caught at GT44, for 7 yards to the GT44 (#6 D.Everette), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-7
17.4%
(11:56) Shotgun #10 H.King sacked for loss of 7 yards to the GT37 (#52 C.Miller)Similar
Q1 11:03
2ND & 17
OWN 37
+6
17.6%
(11:11) Shotgun #10 H.King pass complete short middle to #7 B.Stockton caught at GT33, for 6 yards to the GT43 (#4 K.Bolden)Similar
Q1 10:24
3RD & 11
OWN 43
0
17.9%
(10:28) Shotgun #10 H.King pass incomplete short right to #11 D.Patterson thrown to GT47 QB hurried by #0 G.Harris Jr.Similar
Q1 10:17
4TH & 11
OWN 43
0
17.9%
(10:17) #47 M.Nichols punt 45 yards to the UGA12 fair catch by #1 Z.Branch at UGA12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 2INT
8 plays · 22 yds · 4:2382% → 80%
Q1 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+7
18.0%
(10:16) Shotgun #3 N.Frazier rush right for 7 yards gain to the UGA19 (#1 C.Spaulding; #5 C.Powell-Lee)Similar
Q1 9:38
2ND & 3
OWN 19
+5
18.3%
(09:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 G.Stockton rush left for 5 yards gain to the UGA24 (#1 C.Spaulding), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
18.6%
(09:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass complete short right to #3 N.Frazier caught at UGA23, for 4 yards to the UGA28 (#5 C.Powell-Lee)Similar
Q1 8:29
2ND & 6
OWN 28
+3
18.7%
(08:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 N.Frazier rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UGA31 (#2 E.Lightsey)Similar
Q1 7:48
3RD & 3
OWN 31
+6
19.2%
(07:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 G.Stockton rush right for 6 yards gain to the UGA37 (#5 C.Powell-Lee; #23 Z.Tobe), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 7:09
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-3
19.3%
(07:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 G.Stockton sacked for loss of 3 yards to the UGA34 (#11 B.Manley)Similar
Q1 6:23
2ND & 13
OWN 34
0
19.9%
(06:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 G.Stockton rush left for 0 yards to the UGA34 (#24 R.Triplette; #2 E.Lightsey)Similar
Q1 5:47
3RD & 13
OWN 34
-10
20.4%
(05:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass intercepted by #15 T.Butler at UGA47 #15 T.Butler return 10 yards to the UGA37 (#86 D.Bell)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 3FG
9 plays · 24 yds · 4:1021% → 24%
Q1 5:30
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
21.2%
(05:45) Shotgun #10 H.King pass complete short left to #8 M.Rutherford caught at UGA41, for 4 yards to the UGA33 (#8 J.Aguero)Similar
Q1 5:05
2ND & 6
OPP 33
+5
21.6%
PENALTY GT False Start (#72 M.Carney) 5 yards from UGA33 to UGA38. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 4:40
2ND & 11
OPP 38
+9
21.7%
(04:50) Shotgun #10 H.King pass complete short middle to #85 J.Allen caught at UGA33, for 9 yards to the UGA29 (#8 J.Aguero; #9 C.Cole)Similar
Q1 4:00
3RD & 2
OPP 29
+13
22.0%
(04:04) Shotgun #10 H.King rush right for 13 yards gain to the UGA16 (#5 R.Wilson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 3:20
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
22.8%
(03:25) Shotgun #0 M.Hosley rush left for 0 yards to the UGA16 (#90 E.Griffin)Similar
Q1 2:32
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+3
23.4%
(02:41) Shotgun #0 M.Hosley rush right for 3 yards gain to the UGA13 (#4 K.Bolden; #94 X.McLeod)Similar
Q1 1:45
3RD & 7
OPP 13
0
23.6%
(02:00) Shotgun #10 H.King pass complete short middle to #4 I.Canion caught at UGA15, for 0 yards to the UGA13 (#5 R.Wilson)Similar
Q1 1:20
4TH & 7
OPP 13
+30
23.9%
(01:22) #33 A.Birr field goal attempt from 30 yards GOOD (H: #47 M.Nichols, LS: #49 R.Thomas), clock 01:20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 4FG
15 plays · 71 yds · 6:3576% → 75%
Q1 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
23.8%
(01:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass incomplete short right to #3 N.Frazier thrown to UGA25Similar
Q1 1:08
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+13
24.0%
(01:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 N.Frazier rush middle for 13 yards gain to the UGA38 (#5 C.Powell-Lee; #1 C.Spaulding), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
23.5%
(00:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 N.Frazier rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UGA40 (#33 M.Alexander)Similar
Q1 0:14
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+7
23.7%
(00:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.McCray rush right for 7 yards gain to the UGA47 (#3 A.Harvey)Similar
Q2 14:51
3RD & 1
OWN 47
+8
23.7%
(14:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.McCray rush middle for 8 yards gain to the GT45 (#15 T.Butler; #2 E.Lightsey), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 14:09
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
23.9%
(14:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.McCray rush left for 3 yards gain to the GT42 (#33 M.Alexander; #99 J.van den Berg)Similar
Q2 13:36
2ND & 7
OPP 42
+19
24.3%
(13:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 N.Frazier rush right for 19 yards gain to the GT23 (#31 F.Felton), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 13:02
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+7
23.9%
(13:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 N.Frazier rush left for 7 yards gain to the GT16 (#3 A.Harvey; #44 K.Efford)Similar
Q2 12:17
2ND & 3
OPP 16
+5
24.3%
(12:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.McCray rush middle for 5 yards gain to the GT11 (#24 R.Triplette; #44 K.Efford), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 11:37
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+1
24.7%
(11:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.McCray rush middle for 1 yard gain to the GT10 (#15 T.Butler)Similar
Q2 10:59
2ND & 9
OPP 10
+1
25.1%
(11:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass complete short right to #3 N.Frazier caught at GT13, for 1 yard to the GT09 (#31 F.Felton; #91 A.Fuller)Similar
Q2 10:16
3RD & 8
OPP 9
+5
26.2%
(10:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 G.Stockton rush right for 5 yards gain to the GT04 (#2 E.Lightsey; #6 R.Shelley)Similar
Q2 9:42
4TH & 3
OPP 4
+22
24.7%
(09:43) #91 P.Woodring field goal attempt from 22 yards GOOD (H: #14 G.Stockton, LS: #60 B.Gardner), clock 09:42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:1327% → 27%
Q2 9:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
27.3%
(09:41) Shotgun #1 J.Haynes rush right for 4 yards gain to the GT29 (#2 Z.Branch)Similar
Q2 9:04
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+4
27.8%
(09:13) Shotgun #10 H.King rush left for 4 yards gain to the GT33 (#33 Q.Johnson; #52 C.Miller)Similar
Q2 8:31
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
28.1%
(08:31) Shotgun #10 H.King pass incomplete short right to #1 J.Haynes thrown to GT30 QB hurried by #6 D.EveretteSimilar
Q2 8:25
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
27.3%
(08:29) #47 M.Nichols punt 22 yards to the UGA45, out of bounds at UGA45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 6TD
11 plays · 55 yds · 3:3676% → 82%
Q2 8:11
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-4
24.5%
(08:22) Shotgun #86 D.Bell rush right for 4 yards loss to the UGA41 (#6 R.Shelley)Similar
Q2 7:43
2ND & 14
OWN 41
+10
25.8%
(07:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass incomplete deep middle to #86 D.Bell thrown to GT15 PENALTY GT Holding (#6 R.Shelley) 10 yards from UGA41 to GT49, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 7:24
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
24.3%
(07:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 G.Stockton rush middle for 5 yards gain to the GT44 (#96 S.Jones)Similar
Q2 6:54
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+8
24.3%
(07:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 N.Frazier rush middle for 8 yards gain to the GT36 (#9 O.Daniels), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 6:22
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
24.8%
(06:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass incomplete short right to #1 Z.Branch thrown to GT21Similar
Q2 6:16
2ND & 10
OPP 36
0
24.9%
(06:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass incomplete deep left to #86 D.Bell thrown to GT11 broken up by #3 A.HarveySimilar
Q2 6:05
3RD & 10
OPP 36
+24
25.5%
(06:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass complete short right to #1 Z.Branch caught at GT38, for 24 yards to the GT12 (#6 R.Shelley), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 5:30
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
24.3%
(05:35) #2 J.McCray rush middle for 3 yards gain to the GT09 (#31 F.Felton; #24 R.Triplette)Similar
Q2 5:07
2ND & 7
OPP 9
+2
24.5%
(05:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 G.Stockton rush left for 2 yards gain to the GT07 (#9 O.Daniels)Similar
Q2 4:35
3RD & 5
OPP 7
+7
18.3%
(04:40) Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass complete short middle to #1 Z.Branch caught at GT04, for 7 yards to the GT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:35, 1ST DOWN #91 P.Woodring kick attempt good (H: #14 G.Stockton, LS: #60 B.Gardner)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:1621% → 20%
Q2 4:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
20.8%
(04:33) Shotgun #10 H.King pass incomplete short right to #1 J.Haynes thrown to GT30 QB hurried by #5 R.WilsonSimilar
Q2 4:22
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
20.6%
(04:29) Shotgun #0 M.Hosley rush middle for 3 yards gain to the GT28 (#33 Q.Johnson)Similar
Q2 3:45
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-1
20.4%
(04:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 H.King pass complete short right to #0 M.Hosley caught at GT20, for 1 yard loss to the GT27 (#9 C.Cole; #5 R.Wilson)Similar
Q2 3:15
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+15
20.2%
(03:25) #47 M.Nichols punt 55 yards to the UGA18 #18 S.White-Helton return 15 yards to the UGA33 (#21 D.Gordon)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 8FG
14 plays · 55 yds · 3:0781% → 83%
Q2 3:08
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+9
19.0%
(03:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 N.Frazier rush middle for 9 yards gain to the UGA42 (#9 O.Daniels)Similar
Q2 2:36
2ND & 1
OWN 42
+5
17.9%
(02:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 N.Frazier rush middle for 5 yards gain to the UGA47 (#15 T.Butler), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
18.0%
(02:01) Shotgun #2 J.McCray rush right for 1 yard gain to the UGA48 (#99 J.van den Berg; #11 B.Manley)Similar
Q2 1:52
2ND & 9
OWN 48
+22
18.4%
(01:57) Shotgun #3 N.Frazier rush right for 22 yards gain to the GT30 (#2 E.Lightsey), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:28
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
17.3%
(01:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 N.Frazier rush left for 2 yards gain to the GT28 (#88 A.Hoffler)Similar
Q2 0:48
2ND & 8
OPP 28
+4
17.1%
(00:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.McCray rush right for 4 yards gain to the GT24 (#2 E.Lightsey; #16 K.Hill)Similar
Q2 0:19
3RD & 4
OPP 24
+12
17.4%
(00:19) Shotgun #14 G.Stockton sacked for loss of 4 yards to the GT28 (#98 A.Bradford, #24 R.Triplette) PENALTY GT Personal Foul (#24 R.Triplette) 12 yards from GT24 to GT12, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 0:08
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
17.1%
(00:08) Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass incomplete short right to #86 D.Bell thrown to GT00 broken up by #98 A.BradfordSimilar
Q2 0:04
2ND & 10
OPP 12
0
18.0%
(00:07) Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass incomplete short right to #86 D.Bell thrown to GT01Similar
Q2 0:01
3RD & 10
OPP 12
+30
16.6%
(00:03) #91 P.Woodring field goal attempt from 30 yards GOOD (H: #14 G.Stockton, LS: #60 B.Gardner), clock 00:01Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 9END OF HALF
3 plays · -1 yds · 0:0017% → 17%
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
17.3%
(00:00) Kneel down by #10 H.King at GT24 for loss of 1 yardSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 10PUNT
6 plays · -4 yds · 1:2381% → 80%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
18.8%
(14:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass complete short left to #1 Z.Branch caught at UGA22, for 4 yards loss to the UGA21 (#88 A.Hoffler)Similar
Q3 14:05
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+5
19.3%
(14:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 G.Stockton rush right for 5 yards gain to the UGA26 (#33 M.Alexander; #95 J.Moore)Similar
Q3 13:37
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
19.5%
(13:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass incomplete deep right to #5 N.Thomas thrown to UGA48Similar
Q3 13:37
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+5
20.0%
PENALTY UGA False Start (#4 K.Bolden) 5 yards from UGA26 to UGA21. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 13:30
4TH & 14
OWN 21
0
20.2%
(13:36) #92 B.Thorson punt 54 yards to the GT25 fair catch by #3 E.Rivers at GT25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 11INT
7 plays · 31 yds · 3:0419% → 21%
Q3 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
18.5%
(13:30) Shotgun #10 H.King pass complete short middle to #3 E.Rivers caught at GT34, for 11 yards to the GT36 (#20 J.Thomas), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
18.9%
(13:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 H.King pass complete short left to #8 M.Rutherford caught at GT36, for 7 yards to the GT43 (#33 Q.Johnson)Similar
Q3 12:39
2ND & 3
OWN 43
-1
19.7%
(12:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Haynes rush left for 1 yard loss to the GT42 (#3 C.Allen)Similar
Q3 12:00
3RD & 4
OWN 42
+4
19.0%
(12:00) Shotgun #10 H.King pass complete short middle to #7 B.Stockton caught at GT38, for 4 yards to the GT46 (#4 K.Bolden), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+7
19.7%
(11:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 H.King rush middle for 7 yards gain to the UGA47 (#4 K.Bolden; #33 Q.Johnson)Similar
Q3 10:48
2ND & 3
OPP 47
+3
20.5%
(10:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Haynes rush right for 3 yards gain to the UGA44 (#19 J.Williams; #8 J.Aguero), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 10:16
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
20.6%
(10:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 H.King pass intercepted by #1 E.Robinson IV at UGA04, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 12PUNT
8 plays · 4 yds · 2:3281% → 79%
Q3 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+7
19.3%
(10:13) #2 J.McCray rush middle for 7 yards gain to the UGA11 (#31 F.Felton)Similar
Q3 9:34
2ND & 3
OWN 11
+7
19.2%
(09:39) #14 G.Stockton pass complete short right to #2 J.McCray caught at UGA12, for 7 yards to the UGA18 (#1 C.Spaulding), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+3
19.1%
(09:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass complete short left to #1 Z.Branch caught at UGA14, for 3 yards to the UGA21 (#3 A.Harvey; #9 O.Daniels)Similar
Q3 8:37
2ND & 7
OWN 21
+5
19.3%
PENALTY UGA Illegal Substitution 5 yards from UGA21 to UGA16. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 8:22
2ND & 12
OWN 16
0
19.5%
(08:24) Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass incomplete short middle to #86 D.Bell thrown to UGA20 broken up by #95 J.MooreSimilar
Q3 8:22
3RD & 12
OWN 16
+5
20.1%
(08:21) PENALTY UGA False Start (#56 M.Morris) 5 yards from UGA16 to UGA11. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 8:06
3RD & 17
OWN 11
-3
20.1%
(08:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass complete short left to #86 D.Bell caught at UGA07, for 3 yards loss to the UGA08 (#1 C.Spaulding; #9 O.Daniels)Similar
Q3 7:35
4TH & 20
OWN 8
0
20.9%
(07:40) #92 B.Thorson punt 45 yards to the GT47 fair catch by #3 E.Rivers at GT47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 13FG
6 plays · 27 yds · 2:5120% → 26%
Q3 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+8
20.4%
(07:34) Shotgun #85 J.Allen rush right for 8 yards gain to the UGA45 (#3 C.Allen)Similar
Q3 7:01
2ND & 2
OPP 45
+12
21.0%
(07:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 H.King rush middle for 12 yards gain to the UGA33 (#5 R.Wilson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 6:27
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
21.0%
(06:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 H.King rush middle for 4 yards gain to the UGA29 (#2 Z.Branch)Similar
Q3 5:49
2ND & 6
OPP 29
+4
21.1%
(05:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 H.King rush middle for 4 yards gain to the UGA25 (#9 C.Cole)Similar
Q3 5:10
3RD & 2
OPP 25
-1
20.0%
(05:14) Shotgun #10 H.King rush middle for 1 yard loss to the UGA26 (#33 Q.Johnson)Similar
Q3 4:33
4TH & 3
OPP 26
+44
25.6%
(04:36) #33 A.Birr field goal attempt from 44 yards GOOD (H: #47 M.Nichols, LS: #49 R.Thomas), clock 04:33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 14FG
14 plays · 42 yds · 5:1679% → 82%
Q3 4:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
21.1%
(04:32) Shotgun #3 N.Frazier rush middle for 0 yards to the UGA25 (#9 O.Daniels; #33 M.Alexander)Similar
Q3 3:49
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
21.7%
(03:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 G.Stockton rush left for 5 yards gain to the UGA30 (#88 A.Hoffler)Similar
Q3 3:08
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+4
20.8%
(03:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 G.Stockton rush right for 4 yards gain to the UGA34 (#2 E.Lightsey)Similar
Q3 2:46
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+1
21.2%
(02:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #32 C.Jones rush right for 1 yard gain to the UGA35 (#9 O.Daniels), 1ST DOWN. GT is challenging the ruling on the field - "First down". CALL UPHELDSimilar
Q3 2:18
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
20.3%
(02:25) Shotgun #14 G.Stockton rush right for 1 yard gain to the UGA36 (#2 E.Lightsey; #44 K.Efford)Similar
Q3 1:47
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+11
20.1%
(01:56) Shotgun #3 N.Frazier rush middle for 11 yards gain to the UGA47 (#31 F.Felton), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
19.2%
(01:17) Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass incomplete deep middle to #5 N.Thomas thrown to GT03 broken up by #6 R.ShelleySimilar
Q3 1:09
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+15
19.2%
(01:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 N.Frazier rush middle for 1 yard loss to the UGA46 (#2 E.Lightsey; #24 R.Triplette) PENALTY GT Face Mask 15 yards from UGA47 to GT38, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 0:37
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
18.9%
(00:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass incomplete deep left to #86 D.Bell thrown to GT07Similar
Q3 0:37
2ND & 10
OPP 38
-1
18.9%
(00:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 N.Frazier rush left for 1 yard loss to the GT39 (#8 J.Boyd; #99 J.van den Berg)Similar
Q4 14:51
3RD & 11
OPP 39
+6
18.9%
(15:00) Shotgun #14 G.Stockton rush right for 6 yards gain to the GT33 (#1 C.Spaulding)Similar
Q4 14:10
4TH & 5
OPP 33
+50
18.4%
(14:13) #91 P.Woodring field goal attempt from 50 yards GOOD (H: #14 G.Stockton, LS: #60 B.Gardner), clock 14:10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 15PUNT
11 plays · 29 yds · 3:3817% → 12%
Q4 14:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
16.8%
(14:09) Shotgun #10 H.King pass complete short right to #1 J.Haynes caught at GT19, for 6 yards to the GT31 (#4 K.Bolden)Similar
Q4 13:37
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-1
17.3%
(13:41) Shotgun #10 H.King rush middle for 1 yard loss to the GT30 (#0 G.Harris Jr.)Similar
Q4 12:58
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+9
16.0%
(13:03) Shotgun #10 H.King pass complete short left to #8 M.Rutherford caught at GT37, for 9 yards to the GT39, out of bounds at GT39, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 12:28
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
17.4%
(12:35) Shotgun #10 H.King rush middle for 4 yards gain to the GT43 (#20 J.Thomas)Similar
Q4 12:00
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+18
17.7%
(12:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 H.King pass complete short left to #4 I.Canion caught at GT50, for 18 yards to the UGA39 (#20 J.Thomas; #6 D.Everette), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 11:23
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+8
18.3%
(11:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 H.King pass complete short left to #4 I.Canion caught at UGA40, for 8 yards to the UGA31 (#95 N.Ogboko)Similar
Q4 10:57
2ND & 2
OPP 31
0
20.2%
(11:00) Shotgun #1 J.Haynes rush left for 0 yards to the UGA31 (#33 Q.Johnson)Similar
Q4 10:57
3RD & 2
OPP 31
+15
18.8%
PENALTY GT Personal Foul (#77 K.Rutledge) 15 yards from UGA31 to UGA46. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 10:34
3RD & 17
OPP 46
0
13.7%
(10:36) Shotgun #10 H.King pass incomplete short left to #1 J.Haynes thrown to UGA40Similar
Q4 10:25
4TH & 17
OPP 46
0
12.4%
(10:31) #47 M.Nichols punt 46 yards to the UGA00, TouchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 23 yds · 4:0987% → 89%
Q4 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
12.8%
(10:25) Shotgun #2 J.McCray rush left for 0 yards to the UGA20 (#2 E.Lightsey)Similar
Q4 9:35
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+6
12.9%
(09:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass complete short middle to #86 D.Bell caught at UGA26, for 6 yards to the UGA26 (#9 O.Daniels)Similar
Q4 8:56
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+23
12.9%
(09:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass complete deep middle to #1 Z.Branch caught at UGA49, for 23 yards to the UGA49, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 8:12
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
11.3%
(08:15) #3 N.Frazier rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UGA50 (#2 E.Lightsey; #9 O.Daniels)Similar
Q4 7:30
2ND & 9
50
+2
10.6%
(07:42) #14 G.Stockton pass complete short left to #2 J.McCray caught at GT49, for 2 yards to the GT48 (#2 E.Lightsey)Similar
Q4 6:54
3RD & 7
OPP 48
-9
10.4%
(07:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 G.Stockton sacked for loss of 9 yards to the UGA43 (#8 J.Boyd)Similar
Q4 6:06
4TH & 16
OWN 43
0
11.1%
(06:13) #92 B.Thorson punt 45 yards to the GT12 fair catch by #3 E.Rivers at GT12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 17FG
8 plays · 64 yds · 2:2411% → 21%
Q4 5:54
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+19
10.7%
(06:05) Shotgun #10 H.King pass complete short middle to #80 B.Seither caught at GT18, for 19 yards to the GT31 (#9 C.Cole), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 5:24
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
10.5%
(05:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 M.Rutherford rush left for 6 yards gain to the GT37 (#4 K.Bolden)Similar
Q4 5:05
2ND & 4
OWN 37
+9
11.4%
(05:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 H.King pass complete short left to #3 E.Rivers caught at GT41, for 9 yards to the GT46 (#6 D.Everette), 1ST DOWN, PENALTY UGA Roughing The Passer (#52 C.Miller) 15 yards from GT46 to UGA39, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 4:51
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+15
12.8%
(04:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 H.King pass incomplete deep right to #85 J.Allen thrown to UGA04 PENALTY UGA Pass Interference (#8 J.Aguero) 15 yards from UGA39 to UGA24, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 4:42
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+1
15.2%
(04:48) Shotgun #1 J.Haynes rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UGA23 (#9 C.Cole)Similar
Q4 4:11
2ND & 9
OPP 23
0
14.9%
(04:16) Shotgun #10 H.King pass incomplete deep right to #3 E.Rivers thrown to UGA00Similar
Q4 3:55
3RD & 9
OPP 23
-1
12.6%
(04:10) Shotgun #10 H.King pass complete short left to #27 C.Alexander caught at UGA26, for 1 yard loss to the UGA24 (#2 Z.Branch)Similar
Q4 3:30
4TH & 10
OPP 24
+41
20.7%
(03:29) #33 A.Birr field goal attempt from 41 yards GOOD (H: #47 M.Nichols, LS: #49 R.Thomas), clock 03:30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 18PUNT
13 plays · 14 yds · 3:0189% → 94%
Q4 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
11.4%
(03:30) Shotgun #2 J.McCray rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UGA27 (#44 K.Efford; #88 A.Hoffler)Similar
Q4 2:34
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+7
10.5%
(02:43) Shotgun #14 G.Stockton rush right for 7 yards gain to the UGA34 (#3 A.Harvey)Similar
Q4 2:27
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
9.4%
(02:34) #2 J.McCray rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UGA37 (#2 E.Lightsey), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
5.5%
(01:59) #3 N.Frazier rush middle for 0 yards to the UGA37 (#31 F.Felton)Similar
Q4 1:44
2ND & 10
OWN 37
-1
5.3%
(01:54) #2 J.McCray rush left for 1 yard loss to the UGA36 (#9 O.Daniels)Similar
Q4 0:52
3RD & 11
OWN 36
+3
5.6%
(01:08) Shotgun #14 G.Stockton rush right for 3 yards gain to the UGA39 (#15 T.Butler)Similar
Q4 0:14
4TH & 8
OWN 39
0
5.6%
(00:19) #92 B.Thorson punt 61 yards to the GT00, TouchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 19END OF GAME
5 plays · 36 yds · 0:0611% → 15%
Q4 0:07
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
10.6%
(00:14) Shotgun #10 H.King pass complete short left to #1 J.Haynes caught at GT14, for 8 yards to the GT28, out of bounds at GT28Similar
Q4 0:01
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+28
12.0%
(00:06) Shotgun #10 H.King pass complete deep left to #4 I.Canion caught at UGA45, for 28 yards to the UGA44 (#4 K.Bolden), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 0:01
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
14.9%
(00:00) Shotgun #10 H.King pass incomplete deep middle to #3 E.Rivers thrown to UGA00 broken up by #4 K.BoldenSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
KEY PLAY · Q4 2:27
(02:34) #2 J.McCray rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UGA37 (#2 E.Lightsey), 1ST DOWN
-17.6
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-16.1
TD · Q2 4:35
(04:40) Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass complete short middle to #1 Z.Branch caught at GT04, for 7 yards to the GT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:35, 1ST DOWN #91 P.Woodring kick attempt good (H: #14 G.Stockton, LS: #60 B.Gardner)
-11.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com