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Win probability · AUB
modelAUB aheadALA aheadconfidence bandkey playAUB scoreALA score
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:18 · (00:18) #38 B.Doud punt 35 yards to the AUB40 muffed by #4 M.Simmons at AUB40, out of bounds at AUB31
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
This game in five plays
- TD · Q1 1:14: Isaiah Horton 6 Yd pass from Ty Simpson (Conor Talty Kick) — ALA win probability +4.2 pts (now 72%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
- TD · Q2 11:28: Isaiah Horton 3 Yd pass from Ty Simpson (Conor Talty Kick) — ALA win probability +4.8 pts (now 77%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
- FG · Q2 0:00: Alex McPherson 43 Yd Field Goal — AUB win probability +5.3 pts (now 25%) (top driver: AUB has the ball).
- TD · Q3 14:00: Malcolm Simmons 64 Yd pass from Ashton Daniels (Alex McPherson Kick) — AUB win probability +10.5 pts (now 35%) (top driver: AUB has the ball).
- FG · Q3 7:31: Conor Talty 29 Yd Field Goal — ALA win probability +7.2 pts (now 75%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
Was that the right call?
Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works
Fourth downs
AUB made the numbers' call on 8 of 10ALA made the numbers' call on 8 of 12
- Q1 13:03ALA 4th & 3 at ALA 47, tiedClose callPunted · 65.3% before the snapGo for it65.4%52% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call65.3%−0.1average punt
- Q1 11:48AUB 4th & 11 at AUB 14, tiedAgrees with the numbersPunted · 35.0% before the snapGo for it34.9%−0.125% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call35.1%average punt
- Q1 10:08ALA 4th & 1 at AUB 45, tiedAgrees with the numbersWent for it · 64.3% before the snapGo for itTheir call64.3%70% to convertField goal64.0%−0.425% to makePunt64.1%−0.2average punt
- Q1 7:29ALA 4th & 5 at AUB 27, tiedAgrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 63.5% before the snapGo for it63.4%−<0.141% to convertField goalTheir call63.4%62% to makePunt62.5%−0.9average punt
- Q1 7:07AUB 4th & 10 at AUB 27, down 3Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.7% before the snapGo for it35.6%−0.228% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call35.9%average punt
- Q1 6:04ALA 4th & 9 at ALA 36, up 3Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.9% before the snapGo for it62.8%−0.231% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call63.0%average punt
- Q1 4:56AUB 4th & 8 at AUB 20, down 3Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.9% before the snapGo for it35.7%−0.232% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call35.9%average punt
- Q2 14:31AUB 4th & 4 at ALA 36, down 10Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 32.4% before the snapGo for itTheir call32.5%48% to convertField goal32.0%−0.542% to makePunt31.9%−0.6average punt
- Q2 9:49AUB 4th & 2 at AUB 28, down 17Close callPunted · 23.9% before the snapGo for it24.4%57% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call23.8%−0.6average punt
- Q2 8:25ALA 4th & 16 at ALA 27, up 17Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.5% before the snapGo for it76.4%−2.615% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call79.0%average punt
- Q2 7:03AUB 4th & 4 at ALA 45, down 17Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 24.6% before the snapGo for itTheir call24.9%48% to convertField goal23.6%−1.225% to makePunt24.3%−0.5average punt
- Q2 4:06AUB 4th & 8 at ALA 8, down 17Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 23.0% before the snapGo for it22.2%−0.326% to convertField goalTheir call22.6%90% to makePunt19.3%−3.3average punt
- Q2 2:40ALA 4th & 6 at ALA 29, up 14Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.1% before the snapGo for it75.5%−0.339% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call75.8%average punt
- Q2 0:00AUB 4th & 2 at ALA 25, down 14Close callKicked a field goal · 23.1% before the snapGo for it23.8%57% to convertField goalTheir call23.0%−0.866% to makePunt19.0%−4.8average punt
- Q3 7:31ALA 4th & 4 at AUB 11, up 4Close callKicked a field goal · 62.8% before the snapGo for it62.5%45% to convertField goalTheir call62.0%−0.487% to makePunt51.2%−11.3average punt
- Q3 6:46AUB 4th & 8 at AUB 27, down 7Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.9% before the snapGo for it28.7%−1.833% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call30.5%average punt
- Q3 5:31ALA 4th & 2 at ALA 43, up 7Close callPunted · 72.7% before the snapGo for it73.6%57% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call72.7%−0.9average punt
- Q4 14:14ALA 4th & 5 at AUB 46, up 7Close callPunted · 77.3% before the snapGo for it77.9%41% to convertField goal76.0%−1.923% to makePuntTheir call77.6%−0.3average punt
- Q4 8:38ALA 4th & 1 at midfield, up 7Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 80.9% before the snapGo for itTheir call80.9%70% to convertField goalOut of rangePunt77.3%−3.6average punt
- Q4 3:50ALA 4th & 2 at AUB 6, up 7Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 87.1% before the snapGo for itTheir call86.9%52% to convertField goal85.2%−1.691% to makePunt77.5%−9.4average punt
- Q4 1:27AUB 4th & 2 at ALA 47, down 7Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 18.2% before the snapGo for itTheir call16.1%57% to convertField goalOut of rangePunt10.3%−5.8average punt
- Q4 0:18ALA 4th & 5 at ALA 25, up 7Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.6% before the snapGo for it88.2%−1.240% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call89.4%average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
AUB made the numbers' call on 1 of 1ALA made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
- Q1 1:14ALA Touchdown, up 9 before the tryAgrees with the numbersKicked · madeKickTheir call67.6%97% to makeGo for two67.5%−0.145% to convert
- Q2 11:28ALA Touchdown, up 16 before the tryAgrees with the numbersKicked · madeKickTheir call74.4%97% to makeGo for two74.3%−0.145% to convert
- Q3 14:00AUB Touchdown, down 5 before the tryAgrees with the numbersKicked · madeKickTheir call35.0%97% to makeGo for two34.8%−0.245% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chartALADrive 1PUNT8 plays · 17 yds · 1:4572% → 71%
Q1 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
28.3%
(14:52) Shotgun #15 T.Simpson pass incomplete deep middle to #5 G.Bernard thrown to AUB50Similar
Q1 14:46
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+11
28.3%
(14:46) Shotgun #17 L.Brooks rush left for 8 yards gain (1) to the ALA38 (#4 K.Lee; #23 J.Crawford), out of bounds PENALTY ALA Holding (#5 G.Bernard) 10 yards from ALA31 to ALA21Similar
Q1 14:15
2ND & 19
OWN 21
+4
28.5%
(14:22) Shotgun #15 T.Simpson pass complete short right to #26 J.Miller caught at ALA15, for 4 yards to the ALA25 (#4 K.Lee), out of bounds PENALTY AUB Face Mask (#4 K.Lee) 15 yards from ALA25 to ALA40, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 13:52
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
28.6%
(13:53) Shotgun #15 T.Simpson pass incomplete short left to #5 G.Bernard thrown to AUB44Similar
Q1 13:33
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+7
28.8%
(13:49) Shotgun #15 T.Simpson pass complete short left to #5 G.Bernard caught at ALA45, for 7 yards to the ALA47 (#28 K.Louidor-Faustin; #25 E.Winters)Similar
Q1 13:10
3RD & 3
OWN 47
0
28.9%
(13:13) Shotgun #15 T.Simpson pass incomplete deep middle to #5 G.Bernard thrown to AUB15Similar
Q1 13:03
4TH & 3
OWN 47
0
29.0%
(13:07) #38 B.Doud punt 38 yards to the AUB15 fair catch by #4 M.Simmons at AUB15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 2PUNT4 plays · -1 yds · 1:0929% → 29%
Q1 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+5
29.1%
(13:01) Shotgun #12 A.Daniels rush middle for 5 yards gain to the AUB20 (#3 K.Sabb)Similar
Q1 12:33
2ND & 5
OWN 20
-6
29.3%
(12:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 A.Daniels sacked for loss of 6 yards to the AUB14 (#23 J.Smith)Similar
Q1 11:56
3RD & 11
OWN 14
0
29.5%
(11:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 A.Daniels pass incomplete short right to #1 E.Singleton Jr. thrown to AUB10 broken up by #3 K.SabbSimilar
Q1 11:48
4TH & 11
OWN 14
0
29.4%
(11:54) #14 H.Kaak punt 40 yards to the ALA46 fair catch by #7 C.Adams at ALA46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 3FG13 plays · 27 yds · 4:1971% → 69%
Q1 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
29.4%
PENALTY AUB Offside (#92 J.Hardy) 5 yards from ALA46 to AUB49. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 11:41
1ST & 5
OPP 49
+1
29.4%
(11:46) Shotgun #4 D.Hill rush right for 1 yard gain to the AUB48 (#15 K.Faulk)Similar
Q1 11:06
2ND & 4
OPP 48
0
29.5%
(11:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 T.Simpson pass incomplete short middle to #17 L.Brooks thrown to AUB34Similar
Q1 10:44
3RD & 4
OPP 48
+3
29.8%
(11:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 T.Simpson pass complete short left to #4 D.Hill caught at AUB45, for 3 yards to the AUB45 (#23 J.Crawford)Similar
Q1 10:08
4TH & 1
OPP 45
+2
30.3%
(10:15) #15 T.Simpson rush middle for 2 yards gain to the AUB43 (#47 M.Blocton), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 9:36
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+7
30.3%
(09:43) Shotgun #26 J.Miller rush left for 7 yards gain to the AUB36 (#24 K.Crawford)Similar
Q1 8:55
2ND & 3
OPP 36
+4
30.4%
(08:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 J.Miller rush middle for 4 yards gain to the AUB32 (#91 Z.Walker; #9 E.Melendez), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 8:17
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
30.5%
(08:23) No Huddle #26 J.Miller rush middle for 5 yards gain to the AUB27 (#91 Z.Walker)Similar
Q1 7:40
2ND & 5
OPP 27
0
30.7%
(07:42) Shotgun #15 T.Simpson pass incomplete short right thrown to AUB25 QB hurried by #24 K.CrawfordSimilar
Q1 7:34
3RD & 5
OPP 27
0
31.1%
(07:38) Shotgun #15 T.Simpson pass incomplete short left to #1 I.Horton thrown to AUB10 QB hurried by #24 K.CrawfordSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 4PUNT5 plays · 0 yds · 0:1632% → 32%
Q1 7:23
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
32.1%
(07:24) Shotgun #12 A.Daniels pass incomplete short left to #8 C.Coleman thrown to AUB37Similar
Q1 7:19
2ND & 10
OWN 27
0
32.0%
(07:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 A.Daniels pass incomplete short left to #23 J.Cobb thrown to AUB30Similar
Q1 7:13
3RD & 10
OWN 27
0
31.9%
(07:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 A.Daniels pass incomplete short left to #3 P.Thompson thrown to AUB35Similar
Q1 7:07
4TH & 10
OWN 27
0
31.8%
(07:10) #14 H.Kaak punt 38 yards to the ALA35 fair catch by #7 C.Adams at ALA35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 5PUNT4 plays · 1 yds · 0:5869% → 68%
Q1 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
31.3%
(07:05) Shotgun #15 T.Simpson pass incomplete short right to #88 J.Lindsey thrown to ALA34 broken up by #16 B.DeasSimilar
Q1 6:55
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+1
31.5%
(07:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 J.Miller rush right for 1 yard gain to the ALA36 (#16 B.Deas)Similar
Q1 6:15
3RD & 9
OWN 36
0
31.9%
(06:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 T.Simpson pass incomplete short right to #5 G.Bernard thrown to ALA45 QB hurried by #24 K.CrawfordSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 6PUNT5 plays · 2 yds · 1:0832% → 32%
Q1 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+5
32.2%
PENALTY AUB False Start (#72 I.Miller) 5 yards from AUB18 to AUB13. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 5:59
1ST & 15
OWN 13
+5
32.3%
(06:02) Shotgun #12 A.Daniels rush middle for 5 yards gain to the AUB18 (#23 J.Smith)Similar
Q1 5:27
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+2
32.6%
(05:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 A.Daniels pass complete short right to #6 B.Cain caught at AUB17, for 2 yards to the AUB20 (#3 K.Sabb)Similar
Q1 5:03
3RD & 8
OWN 20
0
32.5%
(05:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 A.Daniels pass incomplete short middle to #87 B.Frazier thrown to AUB30Similar
Q1 4:56
4TH & 8
OWN 20
0
32.4%
(04:58) #14 H.Kaak punt 45 yards to the ALA35, out of bounds at ALA35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 7TD8 plays · 65 yds · 3:4268% → 72%
Q1 4:56
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
32.3%
PENALTY AUB Offside (#17 X.Atkins) 5 yards from ALA35 to ALA40. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 4:54
1ST & 5
OWN 40
+15
31.8%
(04:54) #15 T.Simpson pass complete short left to #17 L.Brooks caught at AUB45, for 15 yards to the AUB45, out of bounds at AUB45, 1ST DOWN. The previous play is under automatic review - "Pass completion". CALL OVERTURNED. (Original Play: (04:54) #15 T.Simpson pass incomplete short left to #17 L.Brooks thrown to AUB44)Similar
Q1 4:27
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
31.6%
(04:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 G.Bernard rush left for 4 yards gain to the AUB41 (#24 K.Crawford), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 3:50
2ND & 6
OPP 41
+3
31.8%
(03:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 D.Hill rush left for 3 yards gain to the AUB38 (#15 K.Faulk)Similar
Q1 3:04
3RD & 3
OPP 38
+26
32.1%
(03:10) Shotgun #15 T.Simpson rush left for 26 yards gain to the AUB12 (#25 E.Winters), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 2:27
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+7
31.6%
(02:34) Shotgun #4 D.Hill rush middle for 7 yards gain to the AUB05 (#8 K.Harris)Similar
Q1 2:00
2ND & 3
OPP 5
-1
31.8%
(02:00) No Huddle #15 T.Simpson sacked for loss of 1 yard to the AUB06 (#8 K.Harris)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 8DOWNS10 plays · 17 yds · 1:3129% → 29%
Q1 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
29.2%
(01:05) Shotgun #23 J.Cobb rush middle for 1 yard gain to the AUB48 (#41 N.Hill-Green)Similar
Q1 0:40
2ND & 9
OWN 48
+6
29.2%
(00:48) Shotgun #12 A.Daniels pass complete short middle to #1 E.Singleton Jr. caught at AUB50, for 6 yards to the ALA46 (#16 R.Morgan)Similar
Q1 0:17
3RD & 3
OPP 46
+4
29.4%
(00:26) Shotgun #12 A.Daniels pass complete short middle to #1 E.Singleton Jr. caught at ALA42, for 4 yards to the ALA42 (#3 K.Sabb), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 0:10
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
29.6%
(00:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 J.Cobb rush middle for 3 yards gain to the ALA39 (#11 J.Renaud)Similar
Q2 14:42
2ND & 7
OPP 39
+3
29.7%
(14:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 A.Daniels rush middle for 3 yards gain to the ALA36 (#3 K.Sabb)Similar
Q2 14:35
3RD & 4
OPP 36
0
29.6%
(14:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 A.Daniels pass incomplete short middle to #1 E.Singleton Jr. thrown to ALA30 broken up by #10 J.JeffersonSimilar
Q2 14:31
4TH & 4
OPP 36
0
29.1%
(14:33) Shotgun #12 A.Daniels pass incomplete short middle to #1 E.Singleton Jr. thrown to ALA30 broken up by #5 D.Lee Jr., TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 9TD7 plays · 64 yds · 2:5672% → 77%
Q2 14:24
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
27.8%
(14:29) #15 T.Simpson pass complete short left to #26 J.Miller caught at ALA33, for 8 yards to the ALA44 (#14 R.Pleasant), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 13:56
2ND & 2
OWN 44
+20
27.5%
(14:00) Shotgun #26 J.Miller rush middle for 20 yards gain to the AUB36 (#5 J.Robinson), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 13:04
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+17
27.1%
(13:11) Shotgun #26 J.Miller rush middle for 17 yards gain to the AUB19 (#8 K.Harris), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 12:31
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+3
26.9%
(12:36) Shotgun #26 J.Miller rush middle for 3 yards gain to the AUB16 (#97 B.Jamison-Travis)Similar
Q2 11:51
2ND & 7
OPP 16
+13
26.8%
(12:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 T.Simpson pass complete short right to #17 L.Brooks caught at AUB12, for 13 yards to the AUB03 (#23 J.Crawford), 1ST DOWNSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 10PUNT5 plays · 8 yds · 1:2523% → 23%
Q2 11:14
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
23.0%
(11:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 A.Daniels pass complete short left to #23 J.Cobb caught at AUB19, for 5 yards to the AUB25 (#4 Q.Russaw), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 10:55
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+4
23.0%
(11:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 J.Cobb rush middle for 4 yards gain to the AUB29 (#22 L.Overton)Similar
Q2 10:24
3RD & 1
OWN 29
-1
23.1%
(10:30) #23 J.Cobb rush middle for 1 yard loss to the AUB28 (#0 D.Lawson)Similar
Q2 9:49
4TH & 2
OWN 28
0
22.5%
(09:52) #14 H.Kaak punt 39 yards to the ALA33 fair catch by #7 C.Adams at ALA33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 11PUNT4 plays · -6 yds · 1:1776% → 75%
Q2 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
24.5%
(09:47) Shotgun #15 T.Simpson pass incomplete deep middle to #11 R.Scott thrown to AUB45 QB hurried by #0 R.Woodyard Jr.Similar
Q2 9:36
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+3
24.5%
(09:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 J.Miller rush middle for 3 yards gain to the ALA36 (#91 Z.Walker)Similar
Q2 8:58
3RD & 7
OWN 36
-5
24.6%
(09:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 T.Simpson sacked for loss of 9 yards to the ALA27 (#17 X.Atkins, #47 M.Blocton)Similar
Q2 8:25
4TH & 16
OWN 27
0
24.9%
(08:25) #38 B.Doud punt 24 yards to the AUB49, out of bounds at AUB49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 12FG11 plays · 43 yds · 4:1223% → 24%
Q2 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
23.4%
(08:23) Shotgun #12 A.Daniels pass incomplete deep left to #8 C.Coleman thrown to ALA07Similar
Q2 8:11
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+2
23.5%
(08:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 J.Cobb rush middle for 2 yards gain to the ALA49 (#2 Z.Brown)Similar
Q2 7:43
3RD & 8
OPP 49
+4
23.2%
(07:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 A.Daniels pass complete short left to #8 C.Coleman caught at ALA45, for 4 yards to the ALA45 (#2 Z.Brown)Similar
Q2 7:03
4TH & 4
OPP 45
+20
23.0%
(07:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 A.Daniels rush right for 20 yards gain to the ALA25 (#23 J.Smith), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 6:40
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+12
23.7%
(06:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 J.Cobb rush left for 12 yards gain to the ALA13 (#2 Z.Brown), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 6:24
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+3
23.7%
(06:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 A.Daniels rush middle for 3 yards gain to the ALA10 (#0 D.Lawson; #9 C.Calhoun) PENALTY ALA Targeting (#9 C.Calhoun) 5 yards from ALA10 to ALA05, 1ST DOWN. The previous play is under automatic review - "Targeting". CALL OVERTURNED. (Original Play: (06:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 A.Daniels rush middle for 4 yards gain to the ALA09 (#0 D.Lawson; #9 C.Calhoun))Similar
Q2 5:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
23.3%
(05:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 A.Daniels pass incomplete short left to #8 C.Coleman thrown to ALA00Similar
Q2 5:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
23.3%
(05:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 A.Daniels rush middle for 1 yard gain to the ALA04 (#16 R.Morgan)Similar
Q2 4:47
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
22.6%
(04:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 A.Daniels rush right for 1 yard gain to the ALA03 (#23 J.Smith), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 4:09
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+5
21.6%
PENALTY AUB Delay Of Game (#14 H.Kaak) 5 yards from ALA03 to ALA08. NO PLAYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 13PUNT5 plays · 4 yds · 1:1679% → 78%
Q2 3:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
21.5%
(04:04) Shotgun #26 J.Miller rush left for 2 yards gain to the ALA27 (#17 X.Atkins)Similar
Q2 3:31
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+2
21.4%
(03:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 J.Miller rush middle for 2 yards gain to the ALA29 (#92 J.Hardy)Similar
Q2 2:51
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
21.3%
(02:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 T.Simpson pass incomplete deep left to #5 G.Bernard thrown to AUB40 QB hurried by #17 X.Atkins and #24 K.CrawfordSimilar
Q2 2:40
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+9
21.8%
(02:49) #38 B.Doud punt 53 yards to the AUB18 #4 M.Simmons return 9 yards to the AUB27 (#13 I.Taylor; #10 J.Jefferson)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 14FG14 plays · 48 yds · 2:3722% → 25%
Q2 2:37
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
22.3%
(02:38) Shotgun #12 A.Daniels pass incomplete short middle to #1 E.Singleton Jr. thrown to AUB28 broken up by #3 K.SabbSimilar
Q2 2:29
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+8
22.0%
(02:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 A.Daniels rush left for 8 yards gain to the AUB35, out of bounds at AUB35Similar
Q2 2:07
3RD & 2
OWN 35
+19
22.2%
(02:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 A.Daniels pass complete short right to #87 B.Frazier caught at AUB35, for 19 yards to the ALA46 (#10 J.Jefferson), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:55
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
18.2%
(01:59) Shotgun #12 A.Daniels pass incomplete deep left to #1 E.Singleton Jr. thrown to ALA23Similar
Q2 1:47
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+7
18.2%
(01:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 A.Daniels rush middle for 7 yards gain to the ALA39 (#18 B.Hubbard)Similar
Q2 1:19
3RD & 3
OPP 39
+6
17.6%
(01:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 A.Daniels rush middle for 6 yards gain to the ALA33 (#16 R.Morgan), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:03
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
18.7%
(01:06) Shotgun #12 A.Daniels pass incomplete short left to #1 E.Singleton Jr. thrown to ALA16Similar
Q2 1:01
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+5
18.7%
(01:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 A.Daniels pass complete short right to #4 M.Simmons caught at ALA16, for 33 yards to the ALA00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 00:54 PENALTY AUB Illegal Formation 5 yards from ALA33 to ALA38. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 0:43
2ND & 15
OPP 38
+5
17.4%
(00:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 A.Daniels rush middle for 5 yards gain to the ALA33 (#94 E.Hill)Similar
Q2 0:21
3RD & 10
OPP 33
+8
20.1%
(00:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 A.Daniels rush left for 8 yards gain to the ALA25 (#0 D.Lawson)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 15TD5 plays · 76 yds · 0:3824% → 35%
Q3 14:38
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+13
23.8%
(14:51) Shotgun #12 A.Daniels pass complete short middle to #4 M.Simmons caught at AUB35, for 13 yards to the AUB37 (#5 D.Lee Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 14:28
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-1
24.4%
(14:31) Shotgun #23 J.Cobb rush middle for 1 yard loss to the AUB36 (#10 J.Jefferson)Similar
Q3 14:12
2ND & 11
OWN 36
0
24.1%
(14:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 A.Daniels pass incomplete deep left to #8 C.Coleman thrown to ALA30Similar
Q3 14:00
3RD & 11
OWN 36
+64
34.6%
Malcolm Simmons 64 Yd pass from Ashton Daniels (Alex McPherson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 16FG15 plays · 64 yds · 6:1766% → 75%
Q3 13:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
34.2%
(13:59) Shotgun #15 T.Simpson pass complete short right to #17 L.Brooks caught at ALA25, for 1 yard to the ALA26 (#25 E.Winters; #0 R.Woodyard Jr.)Similar
Q3 13:20
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+3
34.3%
(13:29) Shotgun #4 D.Hill rush right for 3 yards gain to the ALA29 (#24 K.Crawford)Similar
Q3 11:32
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
32.2%
(11:36) Shotgun #26 J.Miller rush left for 3 yards gain to the AUB37 (#19 S.Smith)Similar
Q3 11:18
2ND & 7
OPP 37
+4
32.1%
(11:22) Shotgun #26 J.Miller rush left for 4 yards gain to the AUB33 (#19 S.Smith)Similar
Q3 10:38
3RD & 3
OPP 33
0
32.3%
(10:41) Shotgun #15 T.Simpson pass incomplete deep middle to #5 G.Bernard thrown to AUB12 broken up by #19 S.SmithSimilar
Q3 10:38
4TH & 3
OPP 33
+5
34.6%
PENALTY AUB Offside (#24 K.Crawford) 5 yards from AUB33 to AUB28, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 10:26
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
31.0%
(10:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 T.Simpson pass incomplete short left to #14 M.Pritchett thrown to AUB23Similar
Q3 10:09
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+3
31.4%
(10:24) Shotgun #15 T.Simpson pass complete short left to #81 K.Edwards caught at AUB28, for 3 yards to the AUB25 (#24 K.Crawford)Similar
Q3 9:30
3RD & 7
OPP 25
+8
32.9%
(09:45) Shotgun #15 T.Simpson rush right for 8 yards gain to the AUB17 (#14 R.Pleasant), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 8:55
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+7
31.2%
(08:59) Shotgun #26 J.Miller rush middle for 7 yards gain to the AUB10 (#0 R.Woodyard Jr.)Similar
Q3 8:05
2ND & 3
OPP 10
-1
31.3%
(08:17) Shotgun #15 T.Simpson pass complete short right to #88 J.Lindsey caught at AUB11, for 1 yard loss to the AUB11, out of bounds at AUB11Similar
Q3 7:35
3RD & 4
OPP 11
0
32.7%
(07:38) Shotgun #15 T.Simpson pass incomplete short left to #5 G.Bernard thrown to AUB00 broken up by #19 S.SmithSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 17PUNT5 plays · 2 yds · 0:3829% → 27%
Q3 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
28.8%
(07:29) Shotgun #12 A.Daniels rush middle for 2 yards gain to the AUB27 (#4 Q.Russaw)Similar
Q3 7:01
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
29.1%
(07:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 A.Daniels pass incomplete deep left to #8 C.Coleman thrown to ALA40Similar
Q3 6:52
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
27.5%
(06:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 A.Daniels pass incomplete short middle to #23 J.Cobb thrown to AUB41Similar
Q3 6:46
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
26.9%
(06:47) #14 H.Kaak punt 38 yards to the ALA35 fair catch by #7 C.Adams at ALA35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 18PUNT4 plays · 8 yds · 1:0175% → 75%
Q3 6:32
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
25.4%
(06:45) Shotgun #15 T.Simpson pass complete short middle to #81 K.Edwards caught at ALA40, for 5 yards to the ALA40 (#4 K.Lee)Similar
Q3 6:05
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+3
24.1%
(06:09) Shotgun #26 J.Miller rush middle for 3 yards gain to the ALA43 (#35 D.Walker)Similar
Q3 5:37
3RD & 2
OWN 43
0
24.4%
(05:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 T.Simpson pass incomplete short left to #26 J.Miller thrown to ALA47Similar
Q3 5:31
4TH & 2
OWN 43
0
25.5%
(05:31) #38 B.Doud punt 36 yards to the AUB21 fair catch by #4 M.Simmons at AUB21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 19INT11 plays · 51 yds · 4:3229% → 35%
Q3 5:23
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
28.8%
(05:28) Shotgun #12 A.Daniels rush middle for 3 yards gain to the AUB24 (#41 N.Hill-Green)Similar
Q3 4:54
2ND & 7
OWN 24
+3
29.0%
(05:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 A.Daniels rush left for 3 yards gain to the AUB27, out of bounds at AUB27Similar
Q3 4:12
3RD & 4
OWN 27
+4
28.0%
(04:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 A.Daniels pass complete short middle to #8 C.Coleman caught at AUB31, for 4 yards to the AUB31, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 3:56
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+7
29.2%
(04:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #35 J.Jones rush middle for 7 yards gain to the AUB38 (#3 K.Sabb)Similar
Q3 3:28
2ND & 3
OWN 38
0
31.8%
(03:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 A.Daniels pass incomplete short middle to #15 P.Howard thrown to AUB42 broken up by #10 J.Jefferson. The previous play is under automatic review - "Incomplete pass". CALL UPHELDSimilar
Q3 3:05
3RD & 3
OWN 38
+3
30.3%
(03:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 A.Daniels pass complete short left to #35 J.Jones caught at AUB34, for 3 yards to the AUB41 (#24 N.Carter), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 2:07
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+16
31.3%
(02:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 A.Daniels pass complete short middle to #1 E.Singleton Jr. caught at ALA50, for 16 yards to the ALA43 fumbled by #1 E.Singleton Jr. at AUB43 forced by #41 N.Hill-Green recovered by AUB #15 P.Howard at ALA43, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 1:54
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
33.2%
(02:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 E.Singleton Jr. rush left for 0 yards to the ALA43 (#0 D.Lawson)Similar
Q3 1:46
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+4
32.6%
(01:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #35 J.Jones rush left for 4 yards gain to the ALA39 fumbled by #35 J.Jones at ALA36 forced by #2 Z.Brown, out of bounds at ALA39Similar
Q3 1:04
3RD & 6
OPP 39
+11
32.7%
(01:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 A.Daniels pass complete short middle to #8 C.Coleman caught at ALA27, for 11 yards to the ALA28, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 0:51
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-34
35.1%
(00:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 A.Daniels pass intercepted by #18 B.Hubbard at ALA15 #18 B.Hubbard return 34 yards to the ALA49 (#52 D.Wade)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 20PUNT5 plays · 5 yds · 1:2978% → 78%
Q3 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-9
22.2%
(00:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 T.Simpson sacked for loss of 9 yards to the ALA40 (#17 X.Atkins)Similar
Q3 0:05
2ND & 19
OWN 40
+8
23.8%
(00:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 T.Simpson pass complete short right to #5 G.Bernard caught at ALA35, for 8 yards to the ALA48 (#0 R.Woodyard Jr.)Similar
Q4 14:43
3RD & 11
OWN 48
+6
22.3%
(14:58) Shotgun #15 T.Simpson pass complete short left to #4 D.Hill caught at ALA47, for 6 yards to the AUB46 (#24 K.Crawford; #16 B.Deas)Similar
Q4 14:14
4TH & 5
OPP 46
0
21.6%
(14:19) #38 B.Doud punt 34 yards to the AUB12 fair catch by #4 M.Simmons at AUB12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 21END OF GAME3 plays · 26 yds · 0:0013% → 15%
Q4 0:08
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+17
12.5%
(00:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 A.Daniels pass complete short left to #8 C.Coleman caught at AUB45, for 17 yards to the AUB48, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 0:08
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+9
15.1%
(00:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 A.Daniels pass complete short right to #6 B.Cain caught at AUB50, for 9 yards to the ALA43 (#42 Y.Pierre)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 22TD7 plays · 88 yds · 2:2427% → 35%
Q4 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+6
26.9%
(14:12) Shotgun #23 J.Cobb rush middle for 6 yards gain to the AUB18 (#10 J.Jefferson)Similar
Q4 13:49
2ND & 4
OWN 18
+11
27.2%
(13:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 A.Daniels pass incomplete short middle to #4 M.Simmons thrown to AUB30, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY ALA Pass Interference (#5 D.Lee Jr.) 11 yard from AUB18 to AUB29, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
27.9%
(13:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 A.Daniels pass incomplete short middle to #4 M.Simmons thrown to AUB45 broken up by #12 Z.MinceySimilar
Q4 13:38
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+1
27.2%
(13:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 A.Daniels rush middle for 1 yard gain to the AUB30 (#42 Y.Pierre)Similar
Q4 12:57
3RD & 9
OWN 30
+66
25.9%
(13:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 A.Daniels pass complete short middle to #4 M.Simmons caught at AUB35, for 66 yards to the ALA04 (#1 D.Jackson), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 12:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
34.5%
(12:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 A.Daniels rush middle for 2 yards gain to the ALA02 (#42 Y.Pierre)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 23TD19 plays · 75 yds · 7:4777% → 86%
Q4 11:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
22.6%
(11:41) Shotgun #26 J.Miller rush middle for 2 yards gain to the ALA27 (#97 B.Jamison-Travis)Similar
Q4 11:06
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+4
22.5%
(11:15) Shotgun #15 T.Simpson pass complete short right to #1 I.Horton caught at ALA30, for 4 yards to the ALA31 (#19 S.Smith)Similar
Q4 10:26
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+10
20.4%
(10:26) Shotgun #15 T.Simpson pass incomplete short middle to #17 L.Brooks thrown to ALA45, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY AUB Pass Interference (#19 S.Smith) 10 yards from ALA31 to ALA41, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
18.6%
(10:24) Shotgun #4 D.Hill rush middle for 3 yards gain to the ALA44 (#97 B.Jamison-Travis)Similar
Q4 9:31
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+6
17.2%
(09:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 T.Simpson pass complete short middle to #0 A.Dear caught at ALA44, for 6 yards to the ALA50 (#97 B.Jamison-Travis)Similar
Q4 8:53
3RD & 1
50
0
16.7%
(08:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 T.Simpson pass incomplete deep left to #14 M.Pritchett thrown to AUB30 QB hurried by #3 C.Murray and #24 K.CrawfordSimilar
Q4 8:38
4TH & 1
50
+2
18.9%
(08:51) #15 T.Simpson rush middle for 2 yards gain to the AUB48, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 8:01
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+9
16.2%
(08:06) Shotgun #4 D.Hill rush middle for 9 yards gain to the AUB39 (#8 K.Harris)Similar
Q4 7:26
2ND & 1
OPP 39
+8
16.1%
(07:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 D.Hill rush middle for 8 yards gain to the AUB31 (#8 K.Harris), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 7:01
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+3
14.8%
(07:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 D.Hill rush middle for 3 yards gain to the AUB28 (#35 D.Walker)Similar
Q4 6:16
2ND & 7
OPP 28
0
13.3%
(06:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 D.Hill rush right for 0 yards to the AUB28 (#3 C.Murray)Similar
Q4 5:42
3RD & 7
OPP 28
+14
13.8%
(05:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 T.Simpson pass incomplete deep left to #1 I.Horton thrown to AUB00 broken up by #23 J.Crawford PENALTY AUB Roughing The Passer (#17 X.Atkins) 14 yards from AUB28 to AUB14, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 5:31
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+10
11.7%
(05:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 T.Simpson rush left for 14 yards gain (10) to the AUB00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 05:31 PENALTY ALA Holding (#1 I.Horton) 10 yards from AUB04 to AUB14Similar
Q4 5:24
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-1
11.7%
(05:27) #4 D.Hill rush left for 1 yard loss to the AUB15 (#92 J.Hardy)Similar
Q4 4:35
2ND & 11
OPP 15
+9
11.3%
(04:44) Shotgun #15 T.Simpson pass complete short right to #5 G.Bernard caught at AUB05, for 9 yards to the AUB06 (#4 K.Lee), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 3:54
3RD & 2
OPP 6
0
12.2%
(03:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 T.Simpson pass incomplete short middle to #14 M.Pritchett thrown to AUB00 broken up by #15 K.FaulkSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 24FUMBLE15 plays · 58 yds · 3:0722% → 23%
Q4 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
21.5%
(03:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 A.Daniels pass complete short right to #23 J.Cobb caught at AUB20, for 4 yards to the AUB26 (#42 Y.Pierre), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 3:22
2ND & 6
OWN 26
+8
22.2%
(03:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 A.Daniels rush middle for 8 yards gain to the AUB34 (#0 D.Lawson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
22.4%
(03:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 A.Daniels rush left for 5 yards gain to the AUB39 (#42 Y.Pierre), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 2:38
2ND & 5
OWN 39
0
22.1%
(02:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 A.Daniels pass incomplete short left to #23 J.Cobb thrown to AUB42 broken up by #2 Z.BrownSimilar
Q4 2:33
3RD & 5
OWN 39
0
20.8%
(02:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 A.Daniels pass incomplete short right to #4 M.Simmons thrown to AUB45Similar
Q4 2:32
4TH & 5
OWN 39
+6
19.0%
(02:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 A.Daniels pass incomplete short right to #1 E.Singleton Jr. thrown to AUB45 broken up by #16 R.Morgan, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY ALA Pass Interference (#16 R.Morgan) 6 yards from AUB39 to AUB45, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
21.8%
(02:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 A.Daniels pass complete short middle to #15 P.Howard caught at AUB50, for 5 yards to the AUB50 (#0 D.Lawson)Similar
Q4 1:50
2ND & 5
50
+3
19.1%
(01:59) Shotgun #12 A.Daniels rush middle for 3 yards gain to the ALA47 (#0 D.Lawson; #10 J.Jefferson)Similar
Q4 1:35
3RD & 2
OPP 47
0
18.8%
(01:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 A.Daniels pass incomplete short middle thrown to AUB50 QB hurried by #16 R.MorganSimilar
Q4 1:27
4TH & 2
OPP 47
+2
16.6%
(01:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 A.Daniels rush middle for 2 yards gain to the ALA45 (#22 L.Overton), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:05
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
18.4%
(01:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 J.Cobb rush middle for 5 yards gain to the ALA40 (#23 J.Smith)Similar
Q4 0:40
2ND & 5
OPP 40
+13
19.3%
(00:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 A.Daniels rush left for 13 yards gain to the ALA27, out of bounds at ALA27, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 0:33
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+7
22.9%
(00:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 A.Daniels pass complete short left to #8 C.Coleman caught at ALA20, for 7 yards to the ALA20 fumbled by #8 C.Coleman at ALA20 forced by #18 B.Hubbard recovered by ALA #0 D.Lawson at ALA20, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 25PUNT7 plays · 5 yds · 0:1094% → 94%
Q4 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
5.6%
(00:29) Shotgun #15 T.Simpson rush right for 1 yard gain to the ALA21, End Of PlaySimilar
Q4 0:24
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+3
5.6%
(00:25) Shotgun #4 D.Hill rush middle for 3 yards gain to the ALA24 (#15 K.Faulk)Similar
Q4 0:20
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+1
5.5%
(00:22) Shotgun #15 T.Simpson rush right for 1 yard gain to the ALA25 (#97 B.Jamison-Travis)Similar
Q4 0:18
4TH & 5
OWN 25
-9
5.6%
(00:18) #38 B.Doud punt 35 yards to the AUB40 muffed by #4 M.Simmons at AUB40, out of bounds at AUB31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 14:00
Malcolm Simmons 64 Yd pass from Ashton Daniels (Alex McPherson Kick)
+10.5
FG · Q3 7:31
Conor Talty 29 Yd Field Goal
-7.2
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-5.6