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EIU

Eastern Illinois 0 at Alabama 56

ALA
2025 · Week 13 · Nov 22, 2025 · Bryant-Denny Stadium
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Win probability · ALA
modelALA aheadEIU aheadconfidence bandkey playALA scoreEIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 3:54 · (03:57) Shotgun #12 K.Russell pass incomplete short left to #7 C.Adams thrown to EIU00 broken up by #8 T.Fridge, TURNOVER ON DOWNS
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout marginGarbage-time factor
+50.0+25.00−25.0−50.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 114Pregame prior+32.7Home team on offense+33.5Score differential+22.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+12.8Blowout margin+9.8Garbage-time factor+11.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 4:49: (04:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 D.Hill rush middle for 7 yards gain to the EIU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:49 #31 C.Talty kick attempt good (H: #38 B.Doud, LS: #52 A.Rozier) — ALA win probability +0.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 10:04: (10:07) Shotgun #28 K.Riley rush middle for 1 yard gain to the EIU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:04 #31 C.Talty kick attempt good (H: #38 B.Doud, LS: #52 A.Rozier) — ALA win probability +0.2 pts (now 100%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 1:05: (01:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 K.Riley rush middle for 2 yards gain to the EIU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:05 #37 P.Notaro kick attempt good (H: #38 B.Doud, LS: #52 A.Rozier) — ALA win probability +0.2 pts (now 100%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ALA made the numbers' call on 3 of 3EIU made the numbers' call on 7 of 10
  1. Q1 11:09ALA 4th & 1 at EIU 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    99.3%−0.2
    40% to make
    Punt
    99.3%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:32EIU 4th & 21 at EIU 2, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−0.3
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:18EIU 4th & 10 at EIU 25, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:36ALA 4th & 7 at EIU 10, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.2%−<0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.2%
    88% to make
    Punt
    98.7%−0.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:52EIU 4th & 1 at EIU 29, down 14
    Close callPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:17EIU 4th & 8 at EIU 42, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:21EIU 4th & 25 at ALA 31, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.5%−0.1
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    0.7%
    54% to make
    Punt
    0.6%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:45EIU 4th & 10 at EIU 25, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.2
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:20EIU 4th & 12 at EIU 23, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  10. Q3 3:54ALA 4th & 4 at EIU 4, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%−<0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.5
    average punt
  11. Q3 1:52EIU 4th & 5 at EIU 9, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:19EIU 4th & 2 at EIU 20, down 42
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 4:56EIU 4th & 6 at EIU 29, down 49
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ALA made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 9:45ALA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:49ALA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 10:04ALA Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:05ALA Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 11:03ALA Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 1:05ALA Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 7:34ALA Touchdown, up 48 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 1:15ALA Touchdown, up 55 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
EIUDrive 1INT
5 plays · 12 yds · 1:560% → 0%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
99.8%
(15:00) Shotgun #22 C.Kellom rush middle for 1 yard loss to the EIU24 (#2 Z.Brown; #18 B.Hubbard)Similar
Q1 14:08
2ND & 11
OWN 24
-4
99.8%
(14:24) Shotgun #3 C.LaCrue sacked for loss of 4 yards to the EIU20 (#96 T.Keenan III)Similar
Q1 13:32
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+17
99.8%
(13:43) Shotgun #22 C.Kellom rush left for 17 yards gain to the EIU37 (#5 D.Lee Jr.; #0 D.Lawson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 12:54
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-1
99.8%
(13:01) Shotgun #3 C.LaCrue pass intercepted by #5 D.Lee Jr. at EIU47 #5 D.Lee Jr. return 1 yard to the EIU46 (#6 D.Smith)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 2TD
8 plays · 46 yds · 3:02100% → 100%
Q1 12:47
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+1
99.8%
(12:53) #26 J.Miller rush middle for 1 yard gain to the EIU45 (#1 T.Foster; #44 S.Robles)Similar
Q1 12:22
2ND & 9
OPP 45
+7
99.7%
(12:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 J.Miller rush right for 7 yards gain to the EIU38 (#7 J.McCall)Similar
Q1 11:40
3RD & 2
OPP 38
+1
99.7%
(11:47) Shotgun #26 J.Miller rush middle for 1 yard gain to the EIU37 (#5 J.Nickson)Similar
Q1 11:09
4TH & 1
OPP 37
+12
99.7%
(11:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 T.Simpson pass complete short left to #1 I.Horton caught at EIU24, for 12 yards to the EIU25 (#23 I.Houi), 1ST DOWN, PENALTY EIU Offside declinedSimilar
Q1 10:10
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+17
99.7%
(10:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 T.Simpson pass complete short middle to #1 I.Horton caught at EIU08, for 17 yards to the EIU08 (#20 S.Maiava Jr), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 10:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+7
99.7%
(10:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 D.Hill rush middle for 7 yards gain to the EIU01 (#20 S.Maiava Jr; #1 T.Foster)Similar
Q1 9:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.7%
(09:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 T.Simpson pass incomplete short right to #2 R.Williams thrown to EIU00Similar
Q1 9:45
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.7%
(09:47) #26 J.Miller rush middle for 1 yard gain to the EIU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 09:45 #31 C.Talty kick attempt good (H: #38 B.Doud, LS: #52 A.Rozier)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · -11 yds · 2:000% → 0%
Q1 9:32
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+2
99.7%
(09:38) Shotgun #3 C.LaCrue rush right for 2 yards gain to the EIU15 (#18 B.Hubbard)Similar
Q1 8:33
2ND & 8
OWN 15
-14
99.7%
(08:59) Shotgun #3 C.LaCrue sacked for loss of 14 yards to the EIU01 (#96 T.Keenan III), fumble by #3 C.LaCrue recovered by EIU #67 D.Guzina at EIU01, End Of PlaySimilar
Q1 8:03
3RD & 22
OWN 1
+1
99.7%
(08:08) #22 C.Kellom rush middle for 1 yard gain to the EIU02 (#4 Q.Russaw)Similar
Q1 7:32
4TH & 21
OWN 2
+19
99.6%
(07:41) #13 M.Miller punt 55 yards to the ALA43 #7 C.Adams return 19 yards to the EIU38 (#36 D.Conway)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 4TD
5 plays · 38 yds · 2:32100% → 100%
Q1 7:21
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+9
99.6%
(07:32) Shotgun #28 K.Riley rush right for 9 yards gain to the EIU29 (#23 I.Houi)Similar
Q1 6:47
2ND & 1
OPP 29
+5
99.6%
(06:54) Shotgun #28 K.Riley rush middle for 5 yards gain to the EIU24 (#1 T.Foster), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 6:06
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+6
99.6%
(06:13) Shotgun #28 K.Riley rush middle for 6 yards gain to the EIU18 (#5 J.Nickson; #7 J.McCall)Similar
Q1 5:17
2ND & 4
OPP 18
+11
99.6%
(05:30) Shotgun #15 T.Simpson pass complete short right to #11 R.Scott caught at EIU19, for 11 yards to the EIU07 (#4 M.Alexander), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 4:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
99.6%
(04:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 D.Hill rush middle for 7 yards gain to the EIU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:49 #31 C.Talty kick attempt good (H: #38 B.Doud, LS: #52 A.Rozier)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:190% → 0%
Q1 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.6%
(04:48) Shotgun #28 J.Fleming rush left for 0 yards to the EIU25 (#5 D.Lee Jr.)Similar
Q1 4:02
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
99.6%
(04:09) Shotgun #28 J.Fleming rush middle for 0 yards to the EIU25 (#36 Q.Reese; #11 J.Renaud)Similar
Q1 3:25
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
99.6%
(03:27) Shotgun #15 C.Wolf pass incomplete short middle to #19 A.Herrera thrown to EIU25 broken up by #22 L.OvertonSimilar
Q1 3:18
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
99.6%
(03:24) #13 M.Miller punt 0 yards to the EIU25 blocked by #31 K.KeeleySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 6MISSED FG
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:37100% → 100%
Q1 3:13
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
99.7%
(03:17) Shotgun #15 T.Simpson pass incomplete short left to #26 J.Miller thrown to EIU10Similar
Q1 3:12
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+9
99.7%
(03:12) Shotgun #15 T.Simpson pass complete short left to #17 L.Brooks caught at EIU16, for 2 yards to the EIU11 (#1 T.Foster; #7 J.McCall) PENALTY ALA Holding (#30 D.Meadows) 9 yards from EIU13 to EIU22. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 2:29
2ND & 19
OPP 22
+2
99.6%
(02:40) Shotgun #15 T.Simpson pass complete short right to #0 A.Dear caught at EIU28, for 2 yards to the EIU20 (#23 I.Houi)Similar
Q1 2:09
3RD & 17
OPP 20
+10
99.6%
(02:20) Shotgun #15 T.Simpson pass complete short middle to #0 A.Dear caught at EIU14, for 10 yards to the EIU10 (#5 J.Nickson)Similar
Q1 1:36
4TH & 7
OPP 10
+28
99.6%
(01:38) #31 C.Talty field goal attempt from 28 yards NO GOOD (H: #38 B.Doud, LS: #52 A.Rozier), clock 01:36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:371% → 1%
Q1 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
99.5%
(01:35) Shotgun #22 C.Kellom rush middle for 1 yard gain to the EIU21 (#94 E.Hill; #18 B.Hubbard)Similar
Q1 0:43
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+6
99.5%
(00:49) Shotgun #22 C.Kellom rush middle for 6 yards gain to the EIU27 (#30 C.Jones)Similar
Q1 0:07
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+2
99.4%
(00:07) Shotgun #22 C.Kellom rush middle for 2 yards gain to the EIU29 (#16 R.Morgan)Similar
Q2 14:52
4TH & 1
OWN 29
+11
99.4%
(14:56) #13 M.Miller punt 46 yards to the ALA25 #7 C.Adams return 11 yards to the ALA36 (#36 D.Conway), out of boundsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 8TD
9 plays · 64 yds · 4:39100% → 100%
Q2 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
99.5%
(14:52) Shotgun #26 J.Miller rush middle for 7 yards gain to the ALA43 (#5 J.Nickson)Similar
Q2 14:02
2ND & 3
OWN 43
+12
99.5%
(14:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 J.Miller rush left for 12 yards gain to the EIU45 (#20 S.Maiava Jr), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 13:27
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
99.5%
(13:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 J.Miller rush right for 2 yards gain to the EIU43 (#1 T.Foster)Similar
Q2 12:37
2ND & 8
OPP 43
+8
99.5%
(12:50) Shotgun #15 T.Simpson pass complete short right to #28 K.Riley caught at EIU42, for 8 yards to the EIU35 (#4 M.Alexander), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 12:05
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
99.5%
(12:14) Shotgun #0 A.Dear rush right for 4 yards gain to the EIU31 (#4 M.Alexander), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 11:20
2ND & 6
OPP 31
+7
99.5%
(11:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 T.Simpson pass complete short right to #89 B.Dalton caught at EIU33, for 7 yards to the EIU24 (#4 M.Alexander; #24 N.Vecchiarelli), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 10:35
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+23
99.5%
(10:49) Shotgun #15 T.Simpson pass complete short left to #28 K.Riley caught at EIU15, for 23 yards to the EIU01 (#23 I.Houi), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 10:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.7%
(10:07) Shotgun #28 K.Riley rush middle for 1 yard gain to the EIU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:04 #31 C.Talty kick attempt good (H: #38 B.Doud, LS: #52 A.Rozier)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 2:410% → 0%
Q2 9:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.6%
(10:04) Shotgun #22 C.Kellom rush middle for 0 yards to the EIU25 (#4 Q.Russaw; #30 C.Jones)Similar
Q2 9:17
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+15
99.6%
(09:30) Shotgun #15 C.Wolf pass complete short middle to #8 L.Green caught at EIU35, for 15 yards to the EIU40 (#12 Z.Mincey; #13 I.Taylor), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
99.6%
(08:49) Shotgun #22 C.Kellom rush left for 2 yards gain to the EIU42 (#13 I.Taylor; #22 L.Overton)Similar
Q2 8:04
2ND & 8
OWN 42
0
99.5%
(08:08) Shotgun #15 C.Wolf pass incomplete short left to #82 J.McNab thrown to EIU45 broken up by #13 I.TaylorSimilar
Q2 7:57
3RD & 8
OWN 42
0
99.5%
(08:04) Shotgun #22 C.Kellom rush left for 0 yards to the EIU42 (#26 L.Metz; #30 C.Jones)Similar
Q2 7:17
4TH & 8
OWN 42
+7
99.6%
(07:29) #13 M.Miller punt 44 yards to the ALA14 #7 C.Adams return 7 yards to the ALA21 (#36 D.Conway)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 10INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q2 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-19
99.7%
(07:17) Shotgun #15 T.Simpson pass intercepted by #21 K.Lyons at ALA35 #21 K.Lyons return 19 yards to the ALA16 (#4 D.Hill)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 11DOWNS
5 plays · -15 yds · 1:391% → 1%
Q2 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-4
99.5%
(07:06) Shotgun #22 C.Kellom rush middle for 4 yards loss to the ALA20 (#94 E.Hill)Similar
Q2 6:45
2ND & 14
OPP 20
-9
99.5%
(06:50) Shotgun #15 C.Wolf sacked for loss of 9 yards to the ALA29 (#18 B.Hubbard)Similar
Q2 5:50
3RD & 23
OPP 29
-2
99.5%
(06:10) Shotgun #15 C.Wolf pass complete short left to #22 C.Kellom caught at ALA33, for 2 yards loss to the ALA31 (#2 Z.Brown)Similar
Q2 5:21
4TH & 25
OPP 31
0
99.5%
(05:24) Shotgun #15 C.Wolf pass incomplete short left to #2 C.Nelson thrown to ALA16 broken up by #18 B.Hubbard, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 12TD
12 plays · 69 yds · 4:04100% → 100%
Q2 5:09
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+24
99.7%
(05:21) Shotgun #26 J.Miller rush left for 24 yards gain to the EIU45 (#5 J.Nickson), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 4:23
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
99.7%
(04:30) Shotgun #26 J.Miller rush middle for 2 yards gain to the EIU43 (#34 J.Stewart; #20 S.Maiava Jr)Similar
Q2 3:39
2ND & 8
OPP 43
+13
99.7%
(03:51) Shotgun #15 T.Simpson rush right for 13 yards gain to the EIU30 (#1 T.Foster; #20 S.Maiava Jr), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 2:51
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+6
99.7%
(03:05) Shotgun #15 T.Simpson pass complete short right to #14 M.Pritchett caught at EIU26, for 6 yards to the EIU24 (#4 M.Alexander)Similar
Q2 2:10
2ND & 4
OPP 24
+2
99.7%
(02:18) #26 J.Miller rush left for 2 yards gain to the EIU22 (#8 T.Fridge)Similar
Q2 1:54
3RD & 2
OPP 22
+3
99.7%
(02:00) Shotgun #26 J.Miller rush middle for 3 yards gain to the EIU19 (#36 D.Conway), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:24
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+1
99.7%
(01:29) #74 K.Proctor rush left for 1 yard gain to the EIU18 (#36 D.Conway; #4 M.Alexander)Similar
Q2 1:23
2ND & 9
OPP 18
+10
99.7%
(01:23) Shotgun #28 K.Riley rush left for 15 yards gain to the EIU03 (#21 K.Lyons) PENALTY ALA Holding (#11 R.Scott) 10 yards from EIU18 to EIU28. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 1:10
2ND & 19
OPP 28
+26
99.7%
(01:16) Shotgun #15 T.Simpson pass complete deep left to #3 J.Mbakwe caught at EIU03, for 26 yards to the EIU02 (#7 J.McCall), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.9%
(01:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 K.Riley rush middle for 2 yards gain to the EIU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:05 #37 P.Notaro kick attempt good (H: #38 B.Doud, LS: #52 A.Rozier)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 13PUNT
8 plays · 0 yds · 0:140% → 0%
Q2 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.9%
(01:05) Shotgun #28 J.Fleming rush middle for 3 yards gain to the EIU28 (#13 I.Taylor; #9 C.Calhoun)Similar
Q2 0:54
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-3
99.9%
(00:59) Shotgun #28 J.Fleming rush middle for 3 yards loss to the EIU25 (#8 J.Hill)Similar
Q2 0:52
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
(00:56) Shotgun #28 J.Fleming rush middle for 0 yards to the EIU25 (#17 K.Collins; #30 C.Jones)Similar
Q2 0:45
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+12
99.9%
(00:53) #13 M.Miller punt 54 yards to the ALA21 #7 C.Adams return 12 yards to the ALA33 (#36 D.Conway)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 14INT
6 plays · 29 yds · 0:29100% → 100%
Q2 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
99.9%
(00:45) Shotgun #15 T.Simpson pass incomplete deep middle to #17 L.Brooks thrown to EIU46 broken up by #5 J.NicksonSimilar
Q2 0:28
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+4
99.9%
(00:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 T.Simpson rush left for 4 yards gain to the ALA37 (#23 I.Houi)Similar
Q2 0:12
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
99.9%
(00:00) Shotgun #15 T.Simpson pass intercepted by #36 D.Conway at EIU00, End Of PlaySimilar
Q2 0:11
3RD & 6
OWN 37
+25
99.9%
(00:11) Shotgun #15 T.Simpson pass complete short left to #2 R.Williams caught at EIU45, for 25 yards to the EIU38 (#34 J.Stewart), 1ST DOWN. #99 K.Pereira injured on the playSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 15TD
10 plays · 59 yds · 3:40100% → 100%
Q3 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
99.9%
(14:56) Shotgun #10 A.Mack rush left for 6 yards gain to the ALA47 (#20 S.Maiava Jr)Similar
Q3 14:17
2ND & 4
OWN 47
+6
99.9%
(14:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 A.Mack pass complete short left to #28 K.Riley caught at ALA46, for 6 yards to the EIU47 (#4 M.Alexander), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 13:50
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+7
99.9%
(13:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 K.Riley rush right for 7 yards gain to the EIU40 (#0 A.Jefferson)Similar
Q3 13:11
2ND & 3
OPP 40
+10
99.9%
(13:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 A.Mack pass complete short right to #89 B.Dalton caught at EIU35, for 10 yards to the EIU30 (#4 M.Alexander), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 12:40
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+13
99.9%
(12:48) Shotgun #0 A.Dear rush right for 13 yards gain to the EIU17 (#4 M.Alexander), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+13
99.9%
(12:12) Shotgun #10 A.Mack pass complete short left to #7 C.Adams caught at EIU20, for 13 yards to the EIU04 (#8 T.Fridge), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 11:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
99.9%
(11:30) Shotgun #0 A.Dear rush middle for 3 yards gain to the EIU01 (#20 S.Maiava Jr; #1 T.Foster). #96 C.Silzer injured on the playSimilar
Q3 11:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
(11:07) Shotgun #0 A.Dear rush middle for 1 yard gain to the EIU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:03 #31 C.Talty kick attempt good (H: #38 B.Doud, LS: #52 A.Rozier)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:340% → 0%
Q3 10:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
99.9%
(11:02) Shotgun #22 C.Kellom rush middle for 4 yards loss to the EIU21 (#24 N.Carter; #17 K.Collins)Similar
Q3 10:12
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+2
99.9%
(10:22) Shotgun #15 C.Wolf pass complete short right to #22 C.Kellom caught at EIU21, for 2 yards to the EIU23 (#26 L.Metz)Similar
Q3 9:33
3RD & 12
OWN 23
0
99.9%
(09:35) Shotgun #15 C.Wolf pass incomplete short right to #6 D.Smith thrown to EIU31Similar
Q3 9:20
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
99.9%
(09:29) #13 M.Miller punt 55 yards to the ALA22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 17DOWNS
13 plays · 74 yds · 5:13100% → 100%
Q3 9:07
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
99.9%
(09:17) Shotgun #17 L.Brooks rush left for 2 yards gain to the ALA24 (#1 T.Foster), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 8:35
2ND & 8
OWN 24
-2
99.9%
(08:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 K.Russell pass complete short right to #17 L.Brooks caught at ALA21, for 2 yards loss to the ALA22 (#23 I.Houi)Similar
Q3 7:52
3RD & 10
OWN 22
+13
99.9%
(08:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 K.Russell pass complete short right to #3 J.Mbakwe caught at ALA34, for 13 yards to the ALA35 (#4 M.Alexander), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
99.9%
(07:30) Shotgun #20 D.Washington rush middle for 4 yards gain to the ALA39 (#44 S.Robles)Similar
Q3 7:03
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+8
99.9%
(07:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 K.Russell pass complete short right to #14 M.Pritchett caught at ALA42, for 8 yards to the ALA47 (#4 M.Alexander), 1ST DOWN. #1 T.Foster injured on the playSimilar
Q3 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+30
99.9%
(06:40) Shotgun #12 K.Russell pass complete deep right to #81 K.Edwards caught at EIU33, for 30 yards to the EIU23 (#24 N.Vecchiarelli), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 5:56
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+14
99.9%
(06:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 D.Washington rush right for 14 yards gain to the EIU09 (#34 J.Stewart), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 5:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
99.9%
(05:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 D.Washington rush right for 1 yard gain to the EIU08 (#34 J.Stewart; #95 D.Van Hyfte)Similar
Q3 4:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
99.9%
(04:49) Shotgun #20 D.Washington rush middle for 5 yards gain to the EIU03 (#8 T.Fridge; #24 N.Vecchiarelli)Similar
Q3 4:10
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
-1
99.9%
(04:17) Shotgun #20 D.Washington rush middle for 1 yard loss to the EIU04 (#24 N.Vecchiarelli) PENALTY ALA Holding declinedSimilar
Q3 3:54
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
0
99.9%
(03:57) Shotgun #12 K.Russell pass incomplete short left to #7 C.Adams thrown to EIU00 broken up by #8 T.Fridge, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:540% → 0%
Q3 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+5
99.9%
(03:54) Shotgun #22 C.Kellom rush middle for 5 yards gain to the EIU09 (#26 L.Metz)Similar
Q3 3:08
2ND & 5
OWN 9
+2
99.9%
(03:15) Shotgun #22 C.Kellom rush right for 2 yards gain to the EIU11 (#19 C.McDonald III; #24 N.Carter)Similar
Q3 2:25
3RD & 3
OWN 11
-2
99.9%
(02:32) Shotgun #22 C.Kellom rush middle for 2 yards loss to the EIU09 (#29 K.Peavy; #14 F.Henry)Similar
Q3 1:52
4TH & 5
OWN 9
+7
100.0%
(02:00) #13 M.Miller punt 38 yards to the EIU47 #7 C.Adams return 7 yards to the EIU40 (#24 N.Vecchiarelli)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 19TD
3 plays · 40 yds · 0:35100% → 100%
Q3 1:40
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
99.9%
(01:52) Shotgun #10 A.Mack pass complete short left to #89 B.Dalton caught at EIU36, for 5 yards to the EIU35 (#34 J.Stewart; #4 M.Alexander)Similar
Q3 1:22
2ND & 5
OPP 35
+15
99.9%
(01:22) Shotgun #10 A.Mack pass incomplete deep right to #30 D.Meadows thrown to EIU00 PENALTY EIU Offside declined EIU Pass Interference (#23 I.Houi) 15 yards from EIU35 to EIU20, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 1:05
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
99.9%
(01:14) Shotgun #10 A.Mack rush middle for 20 yards gain to the EIU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:05, 1ST DOWN #31 C.Talty kick attempt good (H: #38 B.Doud, LS: #52 A.Rozier)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 1:320% → 0%
Q3 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+3
100.0%
(01:00) Shotgun #28 J.Fleming rush left for 3 yards gain to the EIU15 (#13 I.Taylor)Similar
Q3 0:05
2ND & 7
OWN 15
+5
100.0%
(00:12) Shotgun #15 C.Wolf pass complete short right to #87 A.Ginnever caught at EIU20, for 5 yards to the EIU20 (#29 K.Peavy)Similar
Q4 14:52
3RD & 2
OWN 20
0
100.0%
(14:59) Shotgun #28 J.Fleming rush right for 0 yards to the EIU20 (#26 L.Metz; #15 D.Johnson II)Similar
Q4 14:19
4TH & 2
OWN 20
0
100.0%
(14:25) #42 A.Rice punt 45 yards to the ALA35 fair catch by #7 C.Adams at ALA35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 21TD
15 plays · 65 yds · 6:35100% → 100%
Q4 14:09
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
100.0%
(14:18) Shotgun #12 K.Russell rush right for 7 yards gain to the ALA42 (#1 T.Foster), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 13:43
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+2
100.0%
(13:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 K.Riley rush right for 2 yards gain to the ALA44 (#93 I.Hare; #95 D.Van Hyfte)Similar
Q4 13:03
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+4
100.0%
(13:10) Shotgun #28 K.Riley rush middle for 4 yards gain to the ALA48 (#1 T.Foster; #24 N.Vecchiarelli), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+10
100.0%
(12:32) Shotgun #12 K.Russell pass complete short left to #7 C.Adams caught at EIU46, for 10 yards to the EIU42 (#23 I.Houi), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 11:43
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
100.0%
(11:51) Shotgun #0 A.Dear rush middle for 3 yards gain to the EIU39 (#94 T.Fortis)Similar
Q4 11:06
2ND & 7
OPP 39
+9
100.0%
(11:22) Shotgun #12 K.Russell rush right for 9 yards gain to the EIU30 (#23 I.Houi), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 10:42
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+9
100.0%
(10:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 R.Young rush right for 9 yards gain to the EIU21 (#1 T.Foster; #4 M.Alexander)Similar
Q4 10:21
2ND & 1
OPP 21
+5
100.0%
PENALTY ALA False Start (#8 J.Hale) 5 yards from EIU21 to EIU26. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 10:02
2ND & 6
OPP 26
0
100.0%
(10:05) Shotgun #12 K.Russell pass incomplete short right to #23 M.Chirgwin thrown to EIU13Similar
Q4 9:48
3RD & 6
OPP 26
+11
100.0%
(10:01) Shotgun #12 K.Russell pass complete short left to #14 M.Pritchett caught at EIU20, for 11 yards to the EIU15 (#21 K.Lyons), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 9:01
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+8
100.0%
(09:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 K.Russell pass complete short right to #14 M.Pritchett caught at EIU18, for 8 yards to the EIU07 (#8 T.Fridge)Similar
Q4 8:23
2ND & 2
OPP 7
+1
100.0%
(08:32) Shotgun #9 R.Young rush middle for 1 yard gain to the EIU06 (#1 T.Foster). #69 J.Ionata injured on the playSimilar
Q4 7:56
3RD & 1
OPP 6
+4
100.0%
(08:02) Shotgun #9 R.Young rush left for 4 yards gain to the EIU02 (#5 J.Nickson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 7:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
100.0%
(07:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 R.Young rush middle for 2 yards gain to the EIU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:34 #97 R.Schuback kick attempt good (H: #95 A.Green, LS: #46 J.Williams)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 22PUNT
7 plays · 4 yds · 2:300% → 0%
Q4 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
100.0%
(07:33) Shotgun #1 J.Pearson rush middle for 4 yards gain to the EIU29 (#82 L.Whisenhunt; #12 Z.Mincey)Similar
Q4 6:55
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
100.0%
(06:55) Shotgun #1 J.Pearson rush right for 3 yards gain to the EIU32 (#28 P.Yates) PENALTY EIU Illegal Formation 5 yards from EIU29 to EIU24. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 6:20
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+4
100.0%
(06:27) Shotgun #1 J.Pearson rush middle for 4 yards gain to the EIU28 (#14 F.Henry; #15 D.Johnson II)Similar
Q4 5:32
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+1
100.0%
(05:43) Shotgun #20 C.Caldwell rush right for 1 yard gain to the EIU29 (#14 F.Henry; #28 P.Yates)Similar
Q4 4:56
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+27
100.0%
(05:07) #42 A.Rice punt 51 yards to the ALA20 #5 D.Lee Jr. return 27 yards to the ALA47 (#38 M.Loveall)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 23TD
10 plays · 53 yds · 3:41100% → 100%
Q4 4:56
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
100.0%
PENALTY ALA Delay Of Game 5 yards from ALA47 to ALA42. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 4:42
1ST & 15
OWN 42
+11
100.0%
(04:56) Shotgun #10 A.Mack pass complete short right to #23 M.Chirgwin caught at ALA45, for 11 yards to the EIU47 (#8 T.Fridge), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 4:18
2ND & 4
OPP 47
+15
100.0%
(04:18) Shotgun #20 D.Washington rush right for 3 yards loss to the EIU50 (#51 S.Arteaga; #48 M.Vaughn) PENALTY EIU Face Mask (#48 M.Vaughn) 15 yards from EIU47 to EIU32, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 3:53
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+10
100.0%
(04:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 C.Carruth rush middle for 10 yards gain to the EIU22 (#94 T.Fortis; #7 J.McCall), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 3:20
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+8
100.0%
(03:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 A.Dear rush left for 8 yards gain to the EIU14 (#49 J.Garza; #24 N.Vecchiarelli)Similar
Q4 2:41
2ND & 2
OPP 14
+2
100.0%
(02:48) Shotgun #0 A.Dear rush left for 2 yards gain to the EIU12 (#91 K.Davis), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 2:11
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+6
100.0%
(02:18) Shotgun #0 A.Dear rush middle for 6 yards gain to the EIU06 (#24 N.Vecchiarelli)Similar
Q4 1:48
2ND & 4
OPP 6
+1
100.0%
(01:59) Shotgun #13 J.Gazzaniga rush right for 1 yard gain to the EIU05 (#7 J.McCall; #49 J.Garza)Similar
Q4 1:15
3RD & 3
OPP 5
+5
100.0%
(01:18) Shotgun #0 A.Dear rush middle for 5 yards gain to the EIU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:15, 1ST DOWN #98 T.Cornelius kick attempt good (H: #95 A.Green, LS: #46 J.Williams)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 24END OF GAME
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:350% → 0%
Q4 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
100.0%
(01:15) Shotgun #1 J.Pearson rush middle for 2 yards gain to the EIU27 (#82 L.Whisenhunt)Similar
Q4 0:32
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
100.0%
(00:32) Shotgun #20 C.Caldwell rush right for 0 yards to the EIU27 (#25 S.Bolo Mboumoua; #31 K.Keeley)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 10:04
(10:07) Shotgun #28 K.Riley rush middle for 1 yard gain to the EIU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:04 #31 C.Talty kick attempt good (H: #38 B.Doud, LS: #52 A.Rozier)
+0.2
TD · Q2 1:05
(01:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 K.Riley rush middle for 2 yards gain to the EIU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:05 #37 P.Notaro kick attempt good (H: #38 B.Doud, LS: #52 A.Rozier)
+0.2
TD · Q1 4:49
(04:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 D.Hill rush middle for 7 yards gain to the EIU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:49 #31 C.Talty kick attempt good (H: #38 B.Doud, LS: #52 A.Rozier)
+0.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com