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TNTC

Tennessee Tech 10 at Kentucky 42

UK
2025 · Week 12 · Nov 15, 2025 · Kroger Field
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Win probability · UK
modelUK aheadTNTC aheadconfidence bandkey playUK scoreTNTC score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 13:07 · (13:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 K.Visperas pass incomplete short left to #14 M.Sullivan thrown to UK20 QB hurried by #22 G.Godfrey, TURNOVER ON DOWNS
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+43.0+21.50−21.5−43.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 123Pregame prior+12.4Home team on offense+30.4Score differential+13.0Garbage-time factor+9.5Blowout margin+12.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+4.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 3:46: (03:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 S.McGowan rush middle for 4 yards gain to the TT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:46, 1ST DOWN #91 J.Kauwe kick attempt good (H: #93 W.Berry, LS: #42 A.McLaughlin) — UK win probability +4.0 pts (now 97%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:18: (01:22) Shotgun #0 K.Visperas pass complete short right to #83 B.Courtney caught at UK01, for 8 yards to the UK00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:18, 1ST DOWN #31 D.LeBlanc kick attempt good (H: #38 C.Thompson, LS: #50 H.Rigsby) — TNTC win probability +4.2 pts (now 8%) (top driver: TNTC has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:19: (00:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 S.McGowan rush left for 1 yard gain to the TT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:19 #91 J.Kauwe kick attempt good (H: #93 W.Berry, LS: #42 A.McLaughlin) — UK win probability +3.2 pts (now 97%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 9:15: (09:19) #31 D.LeBlanc field goal attempt from 38 yards GOOD (H: #38 C.Thompson, LS: #50 H.Rigsby), clock 09:15 — TNTC win probability +2.1 pts (now 5%) (top driver: TNTC has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 2:24: (02:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Boley pass complete short middle to #17 H.Gilmore IV caught at TT30, for 45 yards to the TT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:24, 1ST DOWN. #9 T.Gaines injured on the play #91 J.Kauwe kick attempt good (H: #93 W.Berry, LS: #42 A.McLaughlin) — UK win probability +2.4 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UK made the numbers' call on 6 of 6TNTC made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 13:32TNTC 4th & 5 at TNTC 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.9%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:33TNTC 4th & 6 at TNTC 29, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.9%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.0%
    average punt
  3. Q2 12:10TNTC 4th & 9 at UK 14, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 8.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.0%−0.3
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    8.3%
    84% to make
    Punt
    6.3%−2.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:36UK 4th & 8 at UK 33, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.6%−0.5
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 1:18TNTC 4th & 3 at UK 8, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.2%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    4.0%−0.2
    90% to make
    Punt
    2.1%−2.0
    average punt
  6. Q3 13:16UK 4th & 5 at UK 30, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.9%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.0%
    average punt
  7. Q3 9:15TNTC 4th & 9 at UK 21, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 2.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.4%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    2.7%
    74% to make
    Punt
    1.0%−1.8
    average punt
  8. Q3 6:01UK 4th & 1 at UK 48, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    95.5%−0.9
    average punt
  9. Q3 3:50UK 4th & 1 at TNTC 40, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    95.8%−0.7
    34% to make
    Punt
    95.9%−0.6
    average punt
  10. Q4 13:07TNTC 4th & 6 at UK 26, down 25
    Close callWent for it · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.6%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    0.7%
    64% to make
    Punt
    0.2%−0.5
    average punt
  11. Q4 9:03TNTC 4th & 7 at TNTC 28, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  12. Q4 6:21UK 4th & 6 at TNTC 44, up 32
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.1
    27% to make
    Punt
    99.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 4:17UK 4th & 2 at TNTC 3, up 32
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    49% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UK made the numbers' call on 6 of 6TNTC made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 6:55UK Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:23UK Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 3:46UK Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:18TNTC Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    6.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    6.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:19UK Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 2:24UK Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 10:37UK Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TNTCDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:227% → 8%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
92.7%
(14:58) #35 A.Littles rush right for 2 yards gain to the TT27 (#7 D.Rayner; #15 C.Works)Similar
Q1 14:08
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+3
92.5%
(14:21) Shotgun #28 Q.Quinn rush left for 3 yards gain to the TT30 (#7 D.Rayner)Similar
Q1 13:35
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
92.3%
(13:37) Shotgun #0 K.Visperas pass incomplete short left to #2 T.Jones thrown to TT35Similar
Q1 13:32
4TH & 5
OWN 30
-3
92.3%
(13:35) #30 S.Ashby punt 55 yards to the UK15 #1 K.Law return for loss of 3 yards to the UK12 (#25 T.Baker)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 2TD
12 plays · 88 yds · 6:2992% → 92%
Q1 13:24
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+4
92.3%
(13:31) Shotgun #3 S.McGowan rush right for 4 yards gain to the UK16 (#9 T.Gaines)Similar
Q1 12:51
2ND & 6
OWN 16
+5
92.2%
(12:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 S.McGowan rush middle for 5 yards gain to the UK21 (#7 L.Thomas)Similar
Q1 12:18
3RD & 1
OWN 21
+9
92.0%
(12:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 S.McGowan rush middle for 9 yards gain to the UK30 (#91 C.Iwuagwu), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
91.9%
(11:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 S.McGowan rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UK33 (#29 K.Purdy)Similar
Q1 11:01
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+6
91.7%
(11:14) Shotgun #8 C.Boley pass complete short left to #3 S.McGowan caught at UK27, for 6 yards to the UK39 (#6 J.Shephard)Similar
Q1 10:28
3RD & 1
OWN 39
+2
91.6%
(10:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 S.McGowan rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UK41 (#9 T.Gaines), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
91.5%
PENALTY UK False Start (#1 K.Law) 5 yards from UK41 to UK36. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 9:36
1ST & 15
OWN 36
+8
91.3%
(09:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Boley pass complete short left to #1 K.Law caught at UK35, for 8 yards to the UK44 (#33 K.Brown)Similar
Q1 8:44
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+10
91.2%
(09:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Boley pass complete short right to #87 H.Boyer caught at TT46, for 10 yards to the TT46 (#6 J.Shephard), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 8:10
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+43
91.1%
(08:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Boley pass complete deep right to #1 K.Law caught at TT06, for 43 yards to the TT03 (#6 J.Shephard), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 7:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
91.0%
(07:40) Shotgun #3 S.McGowan rush middle for 2 yards gain to the TT01 (#9 T.Gaines)Similar
Q1 6:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
91.8%
(06:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 S.McGowan rush middle for 1 yard gain to the TT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 06:55 #91 J.Kauwe kick attempt good (H: #93 W.Berry, LS: #42 A.McLaughlin)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TNTCDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 2:149% → 9%
Q1 6:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
91.5%
(06:54) Shotgun #28 Q.Quinn rush middle for 1 yard loss to the TT24 (#90 M.Humphrey-Grace)Similar
Q1 6:07
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+6
91.4%
(06:13) Shotgun #0 K.Visperas pass complete short left to #14 M.Sullivan caught at TT30, for 6 yards to the TT30, End Of PlaySimilar
Q1 5:15
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-1
91.2%
(05:31) Shotgun #0 K.Visperas sacked for loss of 1 yard to the TT29 (#6 J.Hardaway)Similar
Q1 4:33
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
91.3%
(04:42) #30 S.Ashby punt 30 yards to the UK41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 4TD
6 plays · 59 yds · 2:0391% → 93%
Q1 4:26
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
91.4%
(04:32) Shotgun #2 D.Dowdell rush middle for 4 yards gain to the UK45 (#19 A.Swafford)Similar
Q1 3:54
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+13
91.3%
(04:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Boley pass complete short left to #1 K.Law caught at UK50, for 13 yards to the TT42 (#12 E.Taylor), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 3:31
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+7
91.3%
(03:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Dowdell rush middle for 7 yards gain to the TT35 (#4 O.Philyaw; #9 T.Gaines)Similar
Q1 3:11
2ND & 3
OPP 35
+2
91.3%
(03:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Boley pass complete short right to #1 K.Law caught at TT35, for 2 yards to the TT33 (#9 T.Gaines)Similar
Q1 2:52
3RD & 1
OPP 33
+3
91.1%
(02:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Dowdell rush middle for 3 yards gain to the TT30 (#36 A.Smith), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 2:23
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+30
92.8%
(02:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Boley rush left for 30 yards gain to the TT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:23, 1ST DOWN #91 J.Kauwe kick attempt good (H: #93 W.Berry, LS: #42 A.McLaughlin)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TNTCDrive 5MISSED FG
12 plays · 61 yds · 5:068% → 8%
Q1 2:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
92.1%
(02:22) Shotgun #1 T.Holloway rush right for 6 yards gain to the TT31 (#10 J.Dunn)Similar
Q1 1:38
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
92.0%
(01:44) Shotgun #27 Q.Jennings rush middle for 3 yards gain to the TT34 (#44 A.Smith; #76 A.Ramsey)Similar
Q1 0:58
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+5
92.0%
(01:04) Shotgun #27 Q.Jennings rush middle for 5 yards gain to the TT39 (#76 A.Ramsey), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 0:08
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+29
91.9%
(00:19) Shotgun #0 K.Visperas pass complete short middle to #14 M.Sullivan caught at UK46, for 29 yards to the UK32 (#6 J.Hardaway), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 14:47
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+7
91.4%
(15:00) Shotgun #0 K.Visperas rush middle for 7 yards gain to the UK25, End Of PlaySimilar
Q2 14:09
2ND & 3
OPP 25
+10
91.2%
(14:18) #1 T.Holloway rush right for 10 yards gain to the UK15, out of bounds at UK15, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 13:33
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
91.3%
(13:40) Shotgun #35 A.Littles rush left for 0 yards to the UK15 (#90 M.Humphrey-Grace; #22 G.Godfrey)Similar
Q2 12:53
2ND & 10
OPP 15
0
91.2%
(12:57) Shotgun #0 K.Visperas pass incomplete short middle to #14 M.Sullivan thrown to UK03Similar
Q2 12:44
3RD & 10
OPP 15
+1
91.6%
(12:52) Shotgun #35 A.Littles rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UK14 (#35 S.Soles Jr.)Similar
Q2 12:10
4TH & 9
OPP 14
+32
91.7%
(12:12) #31 D.LeBlanc field goal attempt from 32 yards NO GOOD (H: #38 C.Thompson, LS: #50 H.Rigsby), clock 12:10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 2:2493% → 92%
Q2 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
92.5%
(12:09) Shotgun #8 C.Boley pass complete short middle to #1 K.Law caught at UK17, for 5 yards to the UK25 (#1 T.Moss)Similar
Q2 11:22
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+6
92.5%
(11:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Boley pass complete short right to #1 K.Law caught at UK24, for 6 yards to the UK31 (#1 T.Moss), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+10
92.6%
(10:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 S.McGowan rush left for 8 yards gain to the UK39 (#16 M.LaPierre) PENALTY UK Holding (#84 J.Kattus) 10 yards from UK31 to UK21. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 10:20
1ST & 20
OWN 21
0
92.5%
(10:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Boley pass incomplete short left to #13 F.Farrier II thrown to UK30Similar
Q2 10:15
2ND & 20
OWN 21
+12
92.5%
(10:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 S.McGowan rush middle for 12 yards gain to the UK33 (#1 T.Moss) PENALTY TT Offside declinedSimilar
Q2 9:46
3RD & 8
OWN 33
0
92.3%
(09:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Boley pass incomplete short left to #4 J.Hester thrown to UK42 PENALTY UK Holding declinedSimilar
Q2 9:36
4TH & 8
OWN 33
+3
92.1%
(09:44) #48 A.Laros punt 50 yards to the TT17 #1 T.Holloway return 3 yards to the TT20 (#10 J.Dunn)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TNTCDrive 7INT
3 plays · 11 yds · 1:258% → 8%
Q2 9:26
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
91.8%
(09:35) Shotgun #0 K.Visperas rush left for 6 yards gain to the TT26 (#91 J.Williams), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 8:40
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+5
91.7%
(08:52) Shotgun #0 K.Visperas pass complete short left to #14 M.Sullivan caught at TT31, for 5 yards to the TT31 (#22 G.Godfrey; #91 J.Williams), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
91.7%
(08:08) Shotgun #0 K.Visperas pass intercepted by #18 C.Dooley at UK49, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 8TD
11 plays · 51 yds · 4:0993% → 97%
Q2 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
92.5%
(08:00) Shotgun #8 C.Boley pass incomplete short left to #22 C.Miller thrown to TT33Similar
Q2 7:47
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+11
92.5%
(07:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Dowdell rush right for 11 yards gain to the TT40 (#33 K.Brown), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 7:26
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
92.6%
(07:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Dowdell rush middle for 1 yard gain to the TT39 (#13 I.King)Similar
Q2 6:58
2ND & 9
OPP 39
+16
92.5%
(07:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Boley pass complete short right to #17 H.Gilmore IV caught at TT34, for 16 yards to the TT23 (#29 K.Purdy), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 6:30
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+2
93.1%
(06:37) Shotgun #2 D.Dowdell rush middle for 2 yards gain to the TT21 (#19 A.Swafford)Similar
Q2 5:48
2ND & 8
OPP 21
+6
93.0%
(06:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Boley pass complete short left to #1 K.Law caught at TT21, for 6 yards to the TT15 (#36 A.Smith)Similar
Q2 5:18
3RD & 2
OPP 15
+3
92.9%
(05:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 S.McGowan rush middle for 3 yards gain to the TT12 (#33 K.Brown; #15 J.Sandiford), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 4:39
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+4
93.0%
(04:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 S.McGowan rush left for 4 yards gain to the TT08 (#9 T.Gaines; #19 A.Swafford)Similar
Q2 4:12
2ND & 6
OPP 8
+4
93.0%
(04:12) Shotgun #8 C.Boley pass complete short left to #1 K.Law caught at TT05, for 3 yards to the TT05 (#9 T.Gaines) PENALTY TT Illegal Substitution 4 yards from TT08 to TT04. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 3:46
2ND & 2
OPP 4
+4
97.1%
(03:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 S.McGowan rush middle for 4 yards gain to the TT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:46, 1ST DOWN #91 J.Kauwe kick attempt good (H: #93 W.Berry, LS: #42 A.McLaughlin)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TNTCDrive 9TD
14 plays · 65 yds · 2:194% → 8%
Q2 3:37
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
96.2%
(03:44) #24 K.Fauntleroy rush middle for 6 yards gain to the TT41 (#44 A.Smith)Similar
Q2 2:56
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+21
96.1%
(03:04) Shotgun #0 K.Visperas rush left for 21 yards gain to the UK38 (#14 T.Bryant), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 2:20
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+12
96.2%
(02:26) Shotgun #0 K.Visperas pass complete short middle to #83 B.Courtney caught at UK38, for 12 yards to the UK26 (#1 K.Olds; #4 M.Carter, Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:44
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+6
95.8%
(01:59) Shotgun #0 K.Visperas rush left for 6 yards gain to the UK20 (#6 J.Hardaway), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 1:37
2ND & 4
OPP 20
+5
95.9%
(01:42) Shotgun #0 K.Visperas rush left for 5 yards gain to the UK15 (#6 J.Hardaway), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:29
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+3
96.7%
(01:35) Shotgun #35 A.Littles rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UK12 (#95 J.Smith II)Similar
Q2 1:27
2ND & 7
OPP 12
+3
96.5%
(01:30) Shotgun #0 K.Visperas pass complete short right to #2 T.Jones caught at UK10, for 3 yards to the UK09, out of bounds at UK09Similar
Q2 1:20
3RD & 4
OPP 9
+1
96.1%
(01:26) Shotgun #24 K.Fauntleroy rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UK08 (#7 D.Rayner; #93 K.Edwards)Similar
Q2 1:18
4TH & 3
OPP 8
+8
91.9%
(01:22) Shotgun #0 K.Visperas pass complete short right to #83 B.Courtney caught at UK01, for 8 yards to the UK00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:18, 1ST DOWN #31 D.LeBlanc kick attempt good (H: #38 C.Thompson, LS: #50 H.Rigsby)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 10TD
5 plays · 45 yds · 0:4394% → 97%
Q2 1:02
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+19
94.4%
(01:09) Shotgun #8 C.Boley pass complete short left to #1 K.Law caught at TT40, for 19 yards to the TT26 (#42 K.Crummie), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:53
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+20
94.6%
(00:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Boley pass complete short left to #9 J.Maclin caught at TT07, for 20 yards to the TT06 (#7 L.Thomas), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
94.2%
(00:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 S.McGowan rush middle for 5 yards gain to the TT01 (#21 G.Turner III; #4 O.Philyaw)Similar
Q2 0:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
97.4%
(00:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 S.McGowan rush left for 1 yard gain to the TT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:19 #91 J.Kauwe kick attempt good (H: #93 W.Berry, LS: #42 A.McLaughlin)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TNTCDrive 11END OF HALF
3 plays · -1 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q2 0:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
97.8%
(00:18) Kneel down by #0 K.Visperas at TT24 for loss of 1 yardSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:3497% → 97%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
97.0%
(14:59) Shotgun #8 C.Boley pass complete short left to #1 K.Law caught at UK23, for 3 yards to the UK28 (#7 L.Thomas; #29 K.Purdy)Similar
Q3 14:22
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+5
97.1%
(14:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Dowdell rush middle for 5 yards gain to the UK33 (#13 I.King; #40 X.Randolph)Similar
Q3 13:46
3RD & 2
OWN 33
-3
97.1%
(13:54) No Huddle #1 K.Law rush right for 3 yards loss to the UK30 (#40 X.Randolph; #33 K.Brown)Similar
Q3 13:16
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
96.9%
(13:23) #48 A.Laros punt 31 yards to the TT39 fair catch by #1 T.Holloway at TT39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TNTCDrive 13FG
9 plays · 40 yds · 3:453% → 5%
Q3 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+8
96.6%
(13:15) Shotgun #0 K.Visperas pass complete short right to #14 M.Sullivan caught at TT47, for 8 yards to the TT47 (#30 G.Grayton)Similar
Q3 12:35
2ND & 2
OWN 47
+14
96.4%
(12:42) #28 Q.Quinn rush right for 14 yards gain to the UK39 (#22 G.Godfrey), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 12:01
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+9
96.7%
(12:09) #28 Q.Quinn rush middle for 9 yards gain to the UK30 (#14 T.Bryant)Similar
Q3 11:30
2ND & 1
OPP 30
+8
96.5%
(11:39) #28 Q.Quinn rush left for 8 yards gain to the UK22 (#12 Q.Scott; #14 T.Bryant), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 10:53
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+5
96.6%
(11:00) Shotgun #27 Q.Jennings rush left for 5 yards gain to the UK17 (#7 D.Rayner; #93 K.Edwards)Similar
Q3 10:17
2ND & 5
OPP 17
0
96.7%
(10:21) Shotgun #0 K.Visperas pass incomplete short left to #83 B.Courtney thrown to UK17 QB hurried by #91 J.WilliamsSimilar
Q3 10:11
3RD & 5
OPP 17
+1
96.9%
(10:17) #27 Q.Jennings rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UK16 (#7 D.Rayner; #15 C.Works)Similar
Q3 9:30
4TH & 4
OPP 16
+5
97.1%
(09:31) PENALTY TT Delay Of Game 5 yards from UK16 to UK21. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 9:15
4TH & 9
OPP 21
+38
95.0%
(09:19) #31 D.LeBlanc field goal attempt from 38 yards GOOD (H: #38 C.Thompson, LS: #50 H.Rigsby), clock 09:15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 14TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 6:4496% → 99%
Q3 9:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
96.3%
(09:15) Shotgun #3 S.McGowan rush middle for 8 yards gain to the UK33 (#19 A.Swafford)Similar
Q3 8:28
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+6
96.5%
(08:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Boley rush left for 6 yards gain to the UK39 (#3 J.Wharton), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
96.6%
(08:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 S.McGowan rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UK41 (#19 A.Swafford)Similar
Q3 7:12
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+4
96.6%
(07:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Boley pass complete short left to #3 S.McGowan caught at UK41, for 4 yards to the UK45 (#3 J.Wharton), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 6:31
3RD & 4
OWN 45
+3
96.6%
(06:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Boley pass complete short left to #1 K.Law caught at UK49, for 3 yards to the UK48 (#40 X.Randolph; #29 K.Purdy)Similar
Q3 6:01
4TH & 1
OWN 48
+3
96.3%
(06:07) #2 D.Dowdell rush middle for 3 yards gain to the TT49 (#19 A.Swafford; #40 X.Randolph), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 5:31
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
96.8%
(05:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Dowdell rush left for 2 yards gain to the TT47 (#29 K.Purdy)Similar
Q3 5:00
2ND & 8
OPP 47
+6
96.9%
(05:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 S.McGowan rush middle for 6 yards gain to the TT41 (#6 J.Shephard; #19 A.Swafford)Similar
Q3 4:26
3RD & 2
OPP 41
+1
96.8%
(04:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 S.McGowan rush middle for 1 yard gain to the TT40 (#44 M.Cooney; #91 C.Iwuagwu)Similar
Q3 3:50
4TH & 1
OPP 40
+7
96.5%
(03:55) #2 D.Dowdell rush middle for 7 yards gain to the TT33 (#33 K.Brown; #9 T.Gaines), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 3:08
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-6
97.0%
(03:18) Shotgun #8 C.Boley sacked for loss of 12 yards to the TT45 (#89 T.Swann, #23 S.Young-Rolle)Similar
Q3 2:24
2ND & 22
OPP 45
+45
99.4%
(02:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Boley pass complete short middle to #17 H.Gilmore IV caught at TT30, for 45 yards to the TT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:24, 1ST DOWN. #9 T.Gaines injured on the play #91 J.Kauwe kick attempt good (H: #93 W.Berry, LS: #42 A.McLaughlin)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TNTCDrive 15DOWNS
13 plays · 49 yds · 4:121% → 1%
Q3 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
99.2%
(02:23) Shotgun #27 Q.Jennings rush left for 8 yards gain to the TT33 (#14 T.Bryant; #22 G.Godfrey)Similar
Q3 1:41
2ND & 2
OWN 33
0
99.2%
(01:45) Shotgun #0 K.Visperas pass incomplete deep right to #35 A.Littles thrown to UK40Similar
Q3 1:30
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+11
99.2%
(01:41) Shotgun #0 K.Visperas pass complete short right to #14 M.Sullivan caught at TT38, for 11 yards to the TT44 (#14 T.Bryant), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-1
99.2%
(01:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 K.Visperas pass complete short right to #25 T.Baker caught at TT41, for 1 yard loss to the TT43 (#10 J.Dunn; #9 L.Watson)Similar
Q3 0:25
2ND & 11
OWN 43
+3
99.2%
(00:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 K.Visperas pass complete short right to #81 T.Nix caught at TT46, for 3 yards to the TT46 (#9 L.Watson)Similar
Q4 14:50
3RD & 8
OWN 46
+13
99.3%
(15:00) Shotgun #0 K.Visperas pass complete short left to #1 T.Holloway caught at UK46, for 13 yards to the UK41 (#18 C.Dooley; #10 J.Dunn), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 14:15
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+11
99.3%
(14:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 K.Visperas pass complete short right to #2 T.Jones caught at UK45, for 11 yards to the UK30 (#12 Q.Scott), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 13:47
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
99.2%
(13:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 K.Visperas pass incomplete short left to #1 T.Holloway thrown to UK12 QB hurried by #35 S.Soles Jr.Similar
Q4 13:38
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+4
99.2%
(13:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 K.Visperas pass complete short middle to #14 M.Sullivan caught at UK27, for 4 yards to the UK26 (#22 G.Godfrey)Similar
Q4 13:14
3RD & 6
OPP 26
0
99.3%
(13:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 K.Visperas pass incomplete short right to #24 K.Fauntleroy thrown to UK28 broken up by #35 S.Soles Jr.Similar
Q4 13:07
4TH & 6
OPP 26
0
99.3%
(13:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 K.Visperas pass incomplete short left to #14 M.Sullivan thrown to UK20 QB hurried by #22 G.Godfrey, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 16TD
6 plays · 74 yds · 2:23100% → 100%
Q4 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+16
99.5%
(13:06) Shotgun #8 C.Boley pass complete short left to #1 K.Law caught at UK25, for 16 yards to the UK42 (#21 G.Turner III), 1ST DOWN. #1 T.Moss injured on the playSimilar
Q4 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
99.6%
(12:52) Shotgun #2 D.Dowdell rush right for 1 yard loss to the UK41 (#21 G.Turner III) PENALTY TT Offside (#21 G.Turner III) 5 yards from UK42 to UK47. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 12:24
1ST & 5
OWN 47
+4
99.6%
(12:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Dowdell rush middle for 4 yards gain to the TT49 (#21 G.Turner III)Similar
Q4 11:49
2ND & 1
OPP 49
+19
99.6%
(11:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Dowdell rush middle for 19 yards gain to the TT30 (#21 G.Turner III), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 11:08
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+11
99.6%
(11:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Boley pass complete short right to #22 C.Miller caught at TT25, for 11 yards to the TT19 (#6 J.Shephard), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 10:37
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
99.9%
(10:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Dowdell rush right for 19 yards gain to the TT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:37, 1ST DOWN #97 Z.Schreiner kick attempt good (H: #93 W.Berry, LS: #42 A.McLaughlin)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TNTCDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 1:270% → 0%
Q4 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.9%
(10:37) Shotgun #4 O.Sanni rush middle for 1 yard gain to the TT26 (#31 Q.Norman)Similar
Q4 9:34
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+2
99.9%
(10:04) Shotgun #16 J.Wilson rush left for 2 yards gain to the TT28 fumbled by #16 J.Wilson at TT27 forced by #18 C.Dooley recovered by TT #81 T.Nix at TT28, End Of PlaySimilar
Q4 9:12
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
99.9%
(09:16) Shotgun #16 J.Wilson pass incomplete short left to #22 D.Reed thrown to TT43Similar
Q4 9:03
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+5
99.9%
(09:11) #30 S.Ashby punt 41 yards to the UK31 #9 J.Maclin return 5 yards to the UK36 (#35 A.Littles)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 18DOWNS
14 plays · 61 yds · 4:38100% → 100%
Q4 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
99.9%
(09:02) Shotgun #26 J.Patterson rush middle for 9 yards gain to the UK45 (#21 G.Turner III)Similar
Q4 8:26
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+7
99.9%
(08:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 J.Patterson rush middle for 7 yards gain to the TT48 (#4 O.Philyaw; #93 C.Harris), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 7:36
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+8
99.9%
(07:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 B.Ward pass complete short right to #7 D.Miller caught at TT44, for 8 yards to the TT40 (#17 M.Taylor)Similar
Q4 7:23
2ND & 2
OPP 40
+5
99.9%
PENALTY UK False Start (#69 D.Strey) 5 yards from TT40 to TT45. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 7:06
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+1
99.9%
(07:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 J.Patterson rush middle for 1 yard gain to the TT44 (#3 J.Wharton; #42 K.Crummie)Similar
Q4 6:32
3RD & 6
OPP 44
0
99.9%
(06:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 B.Ward pass incomplete short right to #26 J.Patterson thrown to TT45 broken up by #89 T.SwannSimilar
Q4 6:21
4TH & 6
OPP 44
+13
99.9%
(06:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 B.Ward pass complete short left to #7 D.Miller caught at TT32, for 13 yards to the TT31 (#0 T.Bolton), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+6
99.9%
(06:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 J.Patterson rush middle for 6 yards gain to the TT25 (#44 M.Cooney; #42 K.Crummie)Similar
Q4 5:37
2ND & 4
OPP 25
+14
99.9%
(05:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 B.Ward pass incomplete deep left to #17 H.Gilmore IV thrown to TT02 PENALTY TT Pass Interference (#3 J.Wharton) 14 yards from TT25 to TT11, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 5:21
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+4
99.9%
(05:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 T.Mizell rush middle for 4 yards gain to the TT07 (#21 G.Turner III)Similar
Q4 4:56
2ND & 6
OPP 7
0
99.9%
(05:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 B.Ward pass incomplete short middle to #7 D.Miller thrown to TT00 broken up by #22 J.EdwardsSimilar
Q4 4:36
3RD & 6
OPP 7
+4
99.9%
(04:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 B.Ward pass complete short right to #19 M.Quisenberry caught at TT06, for 4 yards to the TT03 (#17 M.Taylor; #0 T.Bolton)Similar
Q4 4:17
4TH & 2
OPP 3
0
99.9%
(04:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 B.Ward pass incomplete short left to #17 H.Gilmore IV thrown to TT00 broken up by #14 T.Jones, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TNTCDrive 19END OF GAME
10 plays · 17 yds · 3:380% → 0%
Q4 4:07
1ST & 10
OWN 3
0
100.0%
(04:16) Shotgun #20 M.Sims rush middle for 0 yards to the TT03 (#53 H.Dawahare; #19 K.Thomas)Similar
Q4 3:32
2ND & 10
OWN 3
+13
100.0%
(03:38) Shotgun #20 M.Sims rush right for 13 yards gain to the TT16 (#29 J.Schulz), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
100.0%
(02:58) Shotgun #16 J.Wilson rush middle for 0 yards to the TT16 (#56 J.Campbell)Similar
Q4 2:03
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+9
100.0%
(02:14) Shotgun #16 J.Wilson pass complete short left to #22 D.Reed caught at TT21, for 9 yards to the TT25 (#28 D.Gardner)Similar
Q4 1:51
3RD & 1
OWN 25
+2
100.0%
(01:59) Shotgun #20 M.Sims rush middle for 2 yards gain to the TT27 (#46 R.Vilane), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
100.0%
PENALTY TT Illegal Substitution 5 yards from TT27 to TT22. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 1:05
1ST & 15
OWN 22
-1
100.0%
(01:10) Kneel down by #16 J.Wilson at TT21 for loss of 1 yardSimilar
Q4 0:29
2ND & 16
OWN 21
-1
100.0%
(00:29) Kneel down by #16 J.Wilson at TT20 for loss of 1 yardSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 1:18
(01:22) Shotgun #0 K.Visperas pass complete short right to #83 B.Courtney caught at UK01, for 8 yards to the UK00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:18, 1ST DOWN #31 D.LeBlanc kick attempt good (H: #38 C.Thompson, LS: #50 H.Rigsby)
-4.2
TD · Q2 3:46
(03:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 S.McGowan rush middle for 4 yards gain to the TT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:46, 1ST DOWN #91 J.Kauwe kick attempt good (H: #93 W.Berry, LS: #42 A.McLaughlin)
+4
TD · Q2 0:19
(00:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 S.McGowan rush left for 1 yard gain to the TT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:19 #91 J.Kauwe kick attempt good (H: #93 W.Berry, LS: #42 A.McLaughlin)
+3.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com