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TEX

Texas 10 at Georgia 35

UGA
2025 · Week 12 · Nov 15, 2025 · Sanford Stadium
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Win probability · UGA
modelUGA aheadTEX aheadconfidence bandkey playUGA scoreTEX score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of GameFG+0.1UGA 60.1%(08:56) #49 M.Shipley field goalattempt from 33 yards GOOD (H: #19J.Bouwmeester, LS: #58 L.St. Louis),clock 08:53AWAY 3 - HOME 0 · Q1 8:53
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 8:53 · (08:56) #49 M.Shipley field goal attempt from 33 yards GOOD (H: #19 J.Bouwmeester, LS: #58 L.St. Louis), clock 08:53
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+35.5+17.80−17.8−35.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 15Home team on offense−0.7Pregame prior+9.7Score differential−0.4Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.2Blowout margin+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 12:49: Noah Thomas 4 Yd pass from Gunner Stockton (Peyton Woodring Kick) — UGA win probability +6.5 pts (now 71%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 5:27: (05:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass complete short middle to #1 R.Wingo caught at UGA00, for 7 yards to the UGA00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:27 #49 M.Shipley kick attempt good (H: #19 J.Bouwmeester, LS: #58 L.St. Louis) — TEX win probability +15.1 pts (now 35%) (top driver: Deficit intensified by the shrinking clock).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q3 5:21: (05:27) #49 M.Shipley kickoff 57 yards to the UGA08 #1 Z.Branch return 19 yards to the UGA27 (#26 T.Smith) — UGA win probability +4.8 pts (now 70%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 14:20: No Huddle-Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass complete deep right to #16 L.Humphreys caught at TEX09, for 30 yards to the TEX00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 14:20, 1ST DOWN #91 P.Woodring kick attempt good (H: #14 G.Stockton, LS: #60 B.Gardner) — UGA win probability +13.3 pts (now 89%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 8:53: (08:58) Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass complete short right to #7 L.Luckie caught at TEX00, for 6 yards to the TEX00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:53 #91 P.Woodring kick attempt good (H: #14 G.Stockton, LS: #60 B.Gardner) — UGA win probability +5.0 pts (now 98%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UGA made the numbers' call on 3 of 6TEX made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 15:00TEX 4th & 2 at UGA 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 38.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    38.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    38.7%−0.1
    54% to make
    Punt
    38.6%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:53TEX 4th & 8 at UGA 16, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 39.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.0%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    39.2%
    81% to make
    Punt
    38.3%−0.9
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:21TEX 4th & 9 at TEX 26, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.6%−0.5
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.1%
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:19TEX 4th & 10 at TEX 44, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.2%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.7%
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:08UGA 4th & 4 at UGA 29, up 11
    Close callPunted · 70.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.0%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.8%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:29UGA 4th & 6 at UGA 20, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.1%−0.3
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:57TEX 4th & 12 at UGA 48, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.7%−0.3
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.0%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:34UGA 4th & 5 at TEX 45, up 11
    Close callPunted · 77.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.4%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    77.2%−0.2
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    77.1%−0.3
    average punt
  9. Q3 13:43UGA 4th & 5 at TEX 48, up 11
    Close callPunted · 77.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.0%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:56TEX 4th & 15 at TEX 44, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.1%−2.0
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.2%
    average punt
  11. Q3 3:49UGA 4th & 1 at UGA 36, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 69.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    70.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    68.2%−2.5
    average punt
  12. Q4 7:49TEX 4th & 14 at TEX 7, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.2%−0.5
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.6%
    average punt
  13. Q4 3:56TEX 4th & 10 at TEX 41, down 25
    Close callWent for it · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.3%
    average punt
  14. Q4 2:26TEX 4th & 6 at UGA 11, down 25
    Close callWent for it · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.3%−0.2
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    0.5%
    87% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−0.4
    average punt
  15. Q4 0:21UGA 4th & 14 at UGA 7, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%−0.3
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UGA made the numbers' call on 4 of 4TEX made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 4:12UGA Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 12:49UGA Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 5:27TEX Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    32.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 8:53UGA Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 4:43UGA Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TEXDrive 1FG
15 plays · 59 yds · 6:0739% → 40%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
60.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass complete short right to #1 R.Wingo caught at TEX21, for 1 yard to the TEX26, End Of PlaySimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+19
60.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass complete short right to #0 D.Moore Jr. caught at TEX31, for 19 yards to the TEX45 (#20 J.Thomas), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+16
60.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #5 Q.Wisner rush middle for 16 yards gain to the UGA39 (#33 Q.Johnson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
60.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass complete short right to #88 J.Endries caught at UGA37, for 4 yards to the UGA35 (#3 C.Allen; #6 D.Everette)Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 35
+3
60.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #5 Q.Wisner rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UGA32 (#20 J.Thomas)Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 32
+1
60.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #5 Q.Wisner rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UGA31 (#3 C.Allen; #52 C.Miller)Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 2
OPP 31
+3
60.8%
#4 C.Baxter rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UGA28 (#8 J.Aguero), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
60.3%
(11:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 Q.Wisner rush middle for 4 yards gain to the UGA24 (#81 J.Horton)Similar
Q1 11:10
2ND & 6
OPP 24
+6
60.2%
(11:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 Q.Wisner rush right for 6 yards gain to the UGA18 (#28 K.Jones; #99 J.Jonah-Ajonye), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 10:36
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+5
60.1%
PENALTY TEX False Start (#54 C.Hutson) 5 yards from UGA18 to UGA23. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 10:10
1ST & 15
OPP 23
+7
60.2%
(10:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass complete short right to #5 Q.Wisner caught at UGA19, for 7 yards to the UGA16 (#5 R.Wilson; #6 D.Everette)Similar
Q1 9:32
2ND & 8
OPP 16
0
60.0%
(09:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning rush middle for 0 yards to the UGA16 (#6 D.Everette)Similar
Q1 8:57
3RD & 8
OPP 16
0
60.0%
(09:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass incomplete short right to #1 R.Wingo thrown to UGA12Similar
Q1 8:53
4TH & 8
OPP 16
+33
60.1%
(08:56) #49 M.Shipley field goal attempt from 33 yards GOOD (H: #19 J.Bouwmeester, LS: #58 L.St. Louis), clock 08:53Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 2TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:2960% → 63%
Q1 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
60.0%
(08:53) Shotgun #14 G.Stockton sacked for loss of 2 yards to the UGA23 (#1 C.Simmons)Similar
Q1 8:04
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+20
59.9%
(08:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 G.Stockton rush left for 20 yards gain to the UGA43 (#5 M.Muhammad), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
60.6%
(07:34) No Huddle #14 G.Stockton pass complete short right to #1 Z.Branch caught at UGA42, for 3 yards to the UGA46 (#3 J.Guilbeau; #16 M.Taaffe)Similar
Q1 6:35
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+25
60.6%
(06:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass complete deep left to #16 L.Humphreys caught at TEX34, for 25 yards to the TEX29 (#5 M.Muhammad), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 6:03
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
60.8%
(06:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass complete short left to #1 Z.Branch caught at TEX31, for 0 yards to the TEX29 (#5 M.Muhammad)Similar
Q1 5:28
2ND & 10
OPP 29
0
60.8%
(05:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass incomplete short left to #33 C.Bowens thrown to TEX10Similar
Q1 5:19
3RD & 10
OPP 29
+11
60.3%
(05:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass complete short right to #86 D.Bell caught at TEX18, for 11 yards to the TEX18, out of bounds at TEX18, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 4:49
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+1
60.8%
(05:00) Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass complete short left to #1 Z.Branch caught at TEX22, for 1 yard to the TEX17 (#16 M.Taaffe)Similar
Q1 4:12
2ND & 9
OPP 17
+17
63.4%
(04:15) #14 G.Stockton pass complete short right to #5 N.Thomas caught at TEX00, for 17 yards to the TEX00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:12, 1ST DOWN #91 P.Woodring kick attempt good (H: #14 G.Stockton, LS: #60 B.Gardner)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 1:4238% → 37%
Q1 4:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
62.3%
(04:12) No Huddle #1 R.Wingo rush right for 2 yards gain to the TEX27 (#15 D.Jones)Similar
Q1 3:41
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+6
62.2%
(03:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass complete short left to #4 C.Baxter caught at TEX23, for 6 yards to the TEX33 (#4 K.Bolden)Similar
Q1 3:09
3RD & 2
OWN 33
-2
62.2%
(03:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass complete short left to #88 J.Endries caught at TEX31, for 2 yards loss to the TEX31 (#3 C.Allen)Similar
Q1 2:36
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+5
62.7%
(02:37) PENALTY TEX False Start (#26 T.Smith) 5 yards from TEX31 to TEX26. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 2:21
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
63.0%
(02:28) #19 J.Bouwmeester punt 40 yards to the UGA34 fair catch by #1 Z.Branch at UGA34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 4TD
10 plays · 66 yds · 4:2662% → 71%
Q1 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+9
62.2%
(02:21) Shotgun #33 C.Bowens rush middle for 9 yards gain to the UGA43 (#4 J.McDonald)Similar
Q1 1:41
2ND & 1
OWN 43
+7
63.2%
(01:48) No Huddle #33 C.Bowens rush middle for 7 yards gain to the UGA50 (#97 A.January; #44 T.Shaw), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 1:00
1ST & 10
50
+6
63.4%
(01:08) No Huddle #14 G.Stockton pass complete short right to #4 O.Delp caught at UGA49, for 6 yards to the TEX44 (#8 T.Moore)Similar
Q1 0:27
2ND & 4
OPP 44
+6
63.6%
(00:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass complete short left to #5 N.Thomas caught at TEX40, for 6 yards to the TEX38 (#4 J.McDonald; #11 K.Phillips), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+30
63.7%
Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass complete short middle to #1 Z.Branch caught at TEX26, for 30 yards to the TEX08 (#11 K.Phillips), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
64.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass incomplete short left to #7 L.Luckie thrown to TEX00 PENALTY TEX Holding (#0 A.Hill Jr.) 4 yards from TEX08 to TEX04, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
64.0%
Shotgun #3 N.Frazier rush right for 1 yard gain to the TEX03 (#0 A.Hill Jr.), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-1
64.0%
Shotgun #33 C.Bowens rush middle for 1 yard loss to the TEX04 (#0 A.Hill Jr.; #93 H.Kanu)Similar
Q2 12:49
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
70.5%
Noah Thomas 4 Yd pass from Gunner Stockton (Peyton Woodring Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 35 yds · 1:2131% → 30%
Q2 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+5
69.0%
(12:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 Q.Wisner rush right for 8 yards gain to the TEX17 (#6 D.Everette; #4 K.Bolden) PENALTY TEX Holding (#54 C.Hutson) 5 yards from TEX09 to TEX04. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 12:07
1ST & 15
OWN 4
+40
69.1%
(12:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass complete short middle to #3 E.Mosley V caught at TEX09, for 40 yards to the TEX44 (#4 K.Bolden), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
68.1%
(11:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass incomplete deep left to #1 R.Wingo thrown to UGA08Similar
Q2 11:29
2ND & 10
OWN 44
0
68.3%
(11:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass incomplete short middle to #84 J.Washington thrown to TEX50Similar
Q2 11:25
3RD & 10
OWN 44
0
68.9%
(11:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass incomplete short right to #0 D.Moore Jr. thrown to UGA47Similar
Q2 11:19
4TH & 10
OWN 44
0
70.2%
(11:24) #19 J.Bouwmeester punt 43 yards to the UGA13 fair catch by #1 Z.Branch at UGA13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 16 yds · 3:0571% → 72%
Q2 11:13
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+8
70.5%
(11:19) #3 N.Frazier rush middle for 8 yards gain to the UGA21 (#0 A.Hill Jr.)Similar
Q2 10:33
2ND & 2
OWN 21
+1
71.4%
(10:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass complete short left to #1 Z.Branch caught at UGA18, for 1 yard to the UGA22 (#3 J.Guilbeau)Similar
Q2 10:12
3RD & 1
OWN 22
+1
70.9%
(10:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 N.Frazier rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UGA23 (#99 C.Brevard), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-1
71.8%
(09:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #33 C.Bowens rush left for 1 yard loss to the UGA22 (#29 G.Littleton)Similar
Q2 8:56
2ND & 11
OWN 22
0
72.0%
(09:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass incomplete deep left to #10 E.Williams thrown to UGA45Similar
Q2 8:42
3RD & 11
OWN 22
+7
71.3%
(08:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass complete short left to #32 C.Jones caught at UGA20, for 7 yards to the UGA29 (#5 M.Muhammad)Similar
Q2 8:08
4TH & 4
OWN 29
0
71.8%
(08:17) #92 B.Thorson punt 41 yards to the TEX30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 7INT
7 plays · 41 yds · 1:5527% → 28%
Q2 7:59
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+15
72.6%
(08:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass complete short middle to #1 R.Wingo caught at TEX30, for 15 yards to the TEX45 (#9 C.Cole), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 7:34
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
71.9%
(07:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass complete short left to #13 P.Livingstone caught at TEX45, for 4 yards to the TEX49 (#5 R.Wilson; #9 C.Cole) PENALTY TEX Holding (#0 D.Moore Jr.) 10 yards from TEX49 to TEX39Similar
Q2 7:17
1ST & 16
OWN 39
+10
72.9%
(07:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass complete short right to #3 E.Mosley V caught at TEX47, for 10 yards to the TEX49 (#8 J.Aguero)Similar
Q2 6:41
2ND & 6
OWN 49
+16
71.8%
(06:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass complete short right to #3 E.Mosley V caught at UGA35, for 16 yards to the UGA35 (#6 D.Everette), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 6:23
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+6
71.0%
(06:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 Q.Wisner rush middle for 6 yards gain to the UGA29 (#95 N.Ogboko; #4 K.Bolden)Similar
Q2 6:09
2ND & 4
OPP 29
0
70.8%
(06:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass incomplete short middle to #13 P.Livingstone thrown to UGA17 broken up by #1 E.Robinson IVSimilar
Q2 6:04
3RD & 4
OPP 29
0
71.7%
(06:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass intercepted by #4 K.Bolden at UGA16, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:3075% → 74%
Q2 5:59
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+2
74.7%
(06:04) #3 N.Frazier rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UGA18 (#26 T.Smith)Similar
Q2 5:20
2ND & 8
OWN 18
+2
74.8%
(05:26) No Huddle #3 N.Frazier rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UGA20 (#8 T.Moore)Similar
Q2 4:37
3RD & 6
OWN 20
0
74.6%
(04:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass incomplete short right thrown to UGA25Similar
Q2 4:29
4TH & 6
OWN 20
0
74.0%
(04:36) #92 B.Thorson punt 26 yards to the UGA46, out of bounds at UGA46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:2026% → 23%
Q2 4:17
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
74.1%
(04:29) No Huddle #16 A.Manning pass complete short right to #4 C.Baxter caught at UGA43, for 5 yards to the UGA41 (#8 J.Aguero)Similar
Q2 3:55
2ND & 5
OPP 41
-2
74.0%
(04:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 R.Wingo rush left for 2 yards loss to the UGA43 (#5 R.Wilson; #15 D.Jones)Similar
Q2 3:17
3RD & 7
OPP 43
0
74.7%
(03:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass incomplete short left to #0 D.Moore Jr. thrown to UGA25Similar
Q2 3:17
4TH & 7
OPP 43
+5
76.1%
(03:17) #19 J.Bouwmeester punt 38 yards to the UGA05 PENALTY TEX Illegal Shift 5 yards from UGA43 to UGA48. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 2:57
4TH & 12
OPP 48
+8
77.0%
(02:16) #19 J.Bouwmeester punt 40 yards to the UGA08 #1 Z.Branch return 8 yards to the UGA16 (#23 J.Johnson-Rubell)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 10PUNT
8 plays · 39 yds · 2:1377% → 77%
Q2 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+23
77.0%
(02:57) Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass complete short middle to #4 O.Delp caught at UGA35, for 23 yards to the UGA39 (#0 A.Hill Jr.; #16 M.Taaffe), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
78.4%
(02:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #33 C.Bowens rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UGA42 (#99 C.Brevard)Similar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
50
+1
78.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 N.Frazier rush middle for 1 yard gain to the TEX49 (#1 C.Simmons)Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 9
OPP 49
+5
78.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass complete short right to #5 N.Thomas caught at TEX44, for 5 yards to the TEX44 (#24 W.Roberson)Similar
Q2 2:00
3RD & 4
OPP 44
-1
77.5%
Shotgun #14 G.Stockton rush middle for 1 yard loss to the TEX45 (#29 G.Littleton)Similar
Q2 1:55
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+8
77.9%
(02:00) #86 D.Bell rush left for 8 yards gain to the UGA50 (#3 J.Guilbeau), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:34
4TH & 5
OPP 45
0
77.4%
(00:43) #92 B.Thorson punt 29 yards to the TEX16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 11END OF HALF
3 plays · -9 yds · 0:0021% → 21%
Q2 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-9
78.8%
(00:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning sacked for loss of 9 yards to the TEX07 (#0 G.Harris Jr.). #52 C.Miller injured on the playSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:0379% → 78%
Q3 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
78.9%
(14:53) Shotgun #33 C.Bowens rush middle for 0 yards to the UGA47 (#18 L.Lefau)Similar
Q3 14:08
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+5
79.0%
(14:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass complete short left to #33 C.Bowens caught at UGA40, for 5 yards to the TEX48 (#26 T.Smith)Similar
Q3 13:49
3RD & 5
OPP 48
0
78.7%
(13:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass incomplete short middle to #1 Z.Branch thrown to TEX40 broken up by #97 A.JanuarySimilar
Q3 13:43
4TH & 5
OPP 48
0
77.7%
(13:47) #92 B.Thorson punt 28 yards to the TEX20 fair catch by #21 R.Niblett at TEX20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 13PUNT
9 plays · 24 yds · 4:4123% → 19%
Q3 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
77.2%
(13:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 Q.Wisner rush middle for 5 yards gain to the TEX25 (#9 C.Cole)Similar
Q3 13:05
2ND & 5
OWN 25
-8
77.0%
(13:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 Q.Wisner rush middle for 8 yards loss to the TEX17 (#0 G.Harris Jr.; #9 C.Cole)Similar
Q3 12:23
3RD & 13
OWN 17
+15
78.9%
(12:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass complete short left to #1 R.Wingo caught at TEX32, for 15 yards to the TEX32, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+17
77.5%
(12:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass complete short right to #0 D.Moore Jr. caught at TEX46, for 17 yards to the TEX49 (#8 J.Aguero), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 11:13
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
76.5%
(11:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass complete short left to #1 R.Wingo caught at UGA48, for 3 yards to the UGA48 (#1 E.Robinson IV)Similar
Q3 10:39
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+10
76.4%
(10:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass complete short left to #21 R.Niblett caught at TEX47, for 2 yards loss to the UGA50 (#9 C.Cole) PENALTY TEX Holding (#62 C.Robertson) 10 yards from UGA48 to TEX42. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 10:08
2ND & 17
OWN 42
+3
78.5%
(10:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass complete short left to #5 Q.Wisner caught at TEX45, for 3 yards to the TEX45 (#9 C.Cole)Similar
Q3 9:34
3RD & 14
OWN 45
-1
79.5%
(09:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning rush middle for 1 yard loss to the TEX44 (#9 C.Cole; #19 J.Williams)Similar
Q3 8:56
4TH & 15
OWN 44
+7
80.7%
(09:06) #19 J.Bouwmeester punt 45 yards to the UGA11 #1 Z.Branch return 7 yards to the UGA18 (#24 W.Roberson)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 14INT
2 plays · 6 yds · 0:3481% → 82%
Q3 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+6
81.2%
(08:55) Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass complete short right to #1 Z.Branch caught at UGA24, for 6 yards to the UGA24, out of bounds at UGA24Similar
Q3 8:11
2ND & 4
OWN 24
0
81.5%
(08:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass intercepted by #0 A.Hill Jr. at UGA36 #0 A.Hill Jr. return 0 yards to the UGA36 (#5 N.Thomas)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 15TD
8 plays · 36 yds · 2:3723% → 35%
Q3 8:04
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
77.4%
(08:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass complete short left to #1 R.Wingo caught at UGA39, for 3 yards to the UGA33 (#15 D.Jones)Similar
Q3 7:41
2ND & 7
OPP 33
+1
76.1%
(07:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass complete short right to #1 R.Wingo caught at UGA36, for 1 yard to the UGA32 (#15 D.Jones)Similar
Q3 6:57
3RD & 6
OPP 32
+13
78.1%
(07:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass complete short left to #1 R.Wingo caught at UGA19, for 13 yards to the UGA19 (#1 E.Robinson IV), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 6:26
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
76.5%
(06:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass incomplete short right to #13 P.Livingstone thrown to UGA15 broken up by #90 E.GriffinSimilar
Q3 6:16
2ND & 10
OPP 19
-3
77.0%
(06:26) Shotgun #16 A.Manning sacked for loss of 3 yards to the UGA22 (#33 Q.Johnson)Similar
Q3 5:38
3RD & 13
OPP 22
+15
79.6%
(05:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass incomplete deep middle to #21 R.Niblett thrown to UGA00, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY UGA Pass Interference (#2 Z.Branch) 15 yards from UGA22 to UGA07, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 5:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
64.9%
(05:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass complete short middle to #1 R.Wingo caught at UGA00, for 7 yards to the UGA00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:27 #49 M.Shipley kick attempt good (H: #19 J.Bouwmeester, LS: #58 L.St. Louis)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 16TD
13 plays · 73 yds · 5:4971% → 89%
Q3 5:09
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+7
70.7%
(04:44) Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass complete short right to #4 O.Delp caught at UGA26, for 7 yards to the UGA34 (#4 J.McDonald)Similar
Q3 4:29
2ND & 3
OWN 34
0
72.6%
(04:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 N.Frazier rush middle for 0 yards to the UGA34 (#97 A.January)Similar
Q3 3:49
3RD & 3
OWN 34
+2
71.4%
(04:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass complete short right to #32 C.Jones caught at UGA29, for 2 yards to the UGA36 (#26 T.Smith), out of bounds. The previous play is under automatic review - "Short of the line to gain". CALL UPHELDSimilar
Q3 3:49
4TH & 1
OWN 36
+10
70.6%
#14 G.Stockton pass complete short right to #33 C.Bowens caught at UGA36, for 10 yards to the UGA46 (#18 L.Lefau), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 3:49
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-1
73.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun #33 C.Bowens rush middle for 1 yard loss to the UGA45 (#26 T.Smith; #1 C.Simmons)Similar
Q3 3:49
2ND & 11
OWN 45
-2
72.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun #14 G.Stockton sacked for loss of 2 yards to the UGA43 (#26 T.Smith)Similar
Q3 3:49
3RD & 13
OWN 43
+8
70.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass complete short right to #32 C.Jones caught at UGA37, for 8 yards to the TEX49 (#9 J.Williams)Similar
Q3 0:55
4TH & 5
OPP 49
+5
72.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass incomplete deep right to #5 N.Thomas thrown to TEX20 PENALTY TEX Offside (#1 C.Simmons) 5 yards from TEX49 to TEX44, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 0:55
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+7
75.2%
#3 N.Frazier rush middle for 7 yards gain to the TEX37 (#15 J.Terry)Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 37
+7
76.0%
#14 G.Stockton pass complete short right to #33 C.Bowens caught at TEX37, for 7 yards to the TEX30 (#18 L.Lefau; #16 M.Taaffe), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 14:20
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+30
89.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass complete deep right to #16 L.Humphreys caught at TEX09, for 30 yards to the TEX00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 14:20, 1ST DOWN #91 P.Woodring kick attempt good (H: #14 G.Stockton, LS: #60 B.Gardner)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 17TD
10 plays · 53 yds · 5:1589% → 98%
Q4 14:08
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+10
89.4%
(14:18) #3 N.Frazier rush middle for 10 yards gain to the TEX43 (#4 J.McDonald), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 13:38
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
89.7%
(13:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 N.Frazier rush right for 5 yards gain to the TEX38 (#14 B.Spence)Similar
Q4 12:53
2ND & 5
OPP 38
+9
90.1%
(13:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass complete short left to #86 D.Bell caught at TEX42, for 9 yards to the TEX29 (#16 M.Taaffe; #44 T.Shaw), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 12:16
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+8
90.4%
(12:24) #3 N.Frazier rush middle for 8 yards gain to the TEX21 (#16 M.Taaffe)Similar
Q4 11:39
2ND & 2
OPP 21
+3
90.4%
(11:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #33 C.Bowens rush middle for 3 yards gain to the TEX18 (#44 T.Shaw), 1ST DOWN. #33 C.Bowens injured on the playSimilar
Q4 11:10
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+1
90.9%
(11:17) #3 N.Frazier rush middle for 1 yard gain to the TEX17 (#0 A.Hill Jr.). #0 G.Harris Jr. injured on the playSimilar
Q4 10:18
2ND & 9
OPP 17
+10
92.2%
(10:27) Shotgun #14 G.Stockton rush right for 10 yards gain to the TEX07 (#5 M.Muhammad), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 9:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
92.9%
(09:43) Shotgun #3 N.Frazier rush middle for 1 yard gain to the TEX06 (#0 A.Hill Jr.; #93 H.Kanu)Similar
Q4 8:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
97.9%
(08:58) Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass complete short right to #7 L.Luckie caught at TEX00, for 6 yards to the TEX00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:53 #91 P.Woodring kick attempt good (H: #14 G.Stockton, LS: #60 B.Gardner)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:333% → 3%
Q4 8:22
1ST & 10
OWN 11
-4
96.8%
(08:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning sacked for loss of 4 yards to the TEX07 (#10 Z.Walker), fumble by #16 A.Manning recovered by TEX #5 Q.Wisner at TEX07, End Of PlaySimilar
Q4 8:06
2ND & 14
OWN 7
0
97.0%
(08:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass incomplete short left to #1 R.Wingo thrown to TEX17 broken up by #15 D.JonesSimilar
Q4 8:00
3RD & 14
OWN 7
0
97.1%
(08:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass incomplete deep right to #3 E.Mosley V thrown to TEX48Similar
Q4 7:49
4TH & 14
OWN 7
+15
97.1%
(08:00) #19 J.Bouwmeester punt 41 yards to the TEX48 #1 Z.Branch return 15 yards to the TEX33 (#3 J.Guilbeau)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 19TD
6 plays · 33 yds · 3:0198% → 100%
Q4 7:44
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
98.1%
(07:49) #3 N.Frazier rush middle for 2 yards gain to the TEX31 (#15 J.Terry)Similar
Q4 6:56
2ND & 8
OPP 31
+21
98.2%
(07:06) #3 N.Frazier rush middle for 21 yards gain to the TEX10 (#2 D.Williams Jr.; #26 T.Smith), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 6:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
98.5%
(06:18) #3 N.Frazier rush middle for 2 yards gain to the TEX08 (#99 C.Brevard)Similar
Q4 5:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
98.6%
(05:36) #86 D.Bell rush right for 4 yards gain to the TEX04 (#16 M.Taaffe)Similar
Q4 4:43
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.8%
(04:49) #14 G.Stockton rush left for 4 yards gain to the TEX00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:43, 1ST DOWN #91 P.Woodring kick attempt good (H: #14 G.Stockton, LS: #60 B.Gardner)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 20DOWNS
14 plays · 64 yds · 2:110% → 0%
Q4 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
99.7%
(04:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass complete short left to #0 D.Moore Jr. caught at TEX22, for 9 yards to the TEX34 (#19 J.Williams), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 4:19
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+7
99.7%
(04:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass complete short right to #88 J.Endries caught at TEX40, for 7 yards to the TEX41 (#9 C.Cole), 1ST DOWN, PENALTY UGA Pass Interference declinedSimilar
Q4 4:14
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
99.7%
(04:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass incomplete deep left to #3 E.Mosley V thrown to UGA16Similar
Q4 4:08
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
99.7%
(04:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass incomplete short left to #84 J.Washington thrown to TEX50Similar
Q4 4:03
3RD & 10
OWN 41
0
99.7%
(04:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass incomplete short right to #4 C.Baxter thrown to TEX40Similar
Q4 3:56
4TH & 10
OWN 41
+12
99.7%
(04:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass complete short right to #0 D.Moore Jr. caught at UGA49, for 12 yards to the UGA47 (#1 E.Robinson IV), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 3:46
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+13
99.7%
(03:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass complete short middle to #13 P.Livingstone caught at UGA35, for 13 yards to the UGA34 (#6 D.Everette), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 3:09
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
99.7%
(03:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass complete short right to #4 C.Baxter caught at UGA33, for 1 yard to the UGA33 (#9 C.Cole; #19 J.Williams)Similar
Q4 3:02
2ND & 9
OPP 33
+18
99.7%
(03:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass complete short middle to #0 D.Moore Jr. caught at UGA18, for 18 yards to the UGA15 (#2 Z.Branch), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 2:57
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
99.7%
(03:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass incomplete short left to #4 C.Baxter thrown to UGA07Similar
Q4 2:46
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+4
99.7%
(02:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass complete short middle to #1 R.Wingo caught at UGA11, for 4 yards to the UGA11 (#27 R.Dinkins)Similar
Q4 2:31
3RD & 6
OPP 11
0
99.7%
(02:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass incomplete short left to #1 R.Wingo thrown to UGA00 broken up by #2 Z.BranchSimilar
Q4 2:26
4TH & 6
OPP 11
0
99.7%
(02:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass incomplete short right to #3 E.Mosley V thrown to UGA00, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 21PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 1:57100% → 100%
Q4 2:18
1ST & 10
OWN 11
-1
99.9%
(02:24) #20 D.Phillips Jr. rush middle for 1 yard loss to the UGA10 (#15 J.Terry)Similar
Q4 1:50
2ND & 11
OWN 10
+2
99.9%
(02:00) #0 R.Robinson II rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UGA12 (#26 T.Smith)Similar
Q4 1:05
3RD & 9
OWN 12
-5
99.9%
(01:14) Shotgun #0 R.Robinson II rush middle for 5 yards loss to the UGA07 (#15 J.Terry; #26 T.Smith)Similar
Q4 0:21
4TH & 14
OWN 7
0
99.9%
(00:29) #92 B.Thorson punt 49 yards to the TEX44, out of bounds at TEX44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 22END OF GAME
2 plays · 4 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 0:21
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
99.6%
(00:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 Q.Wisner rush middle for 4 yards gain to the TEX48 (#19 J.Williams)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 5:27
(05:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass complete short middle to #1 R.Wingo caught at UGA00, for 7 yards to the UGA00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:27 #49 M.Shipley kick attempt good (H: #19 J.Bouwmeester, LS: #58 L.St. Louis)
-15.1
TD · Q4 14:20
No Huddle-Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass complete deep right to #16 L.Humphreys caught at TEX09, for 30 yards to the TEX00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 14:20, 1ST DOWN #91 P.Woodring kick attempt good (H: #14 G.Stockton, LS: #60 B.Gardner)
+13.3
TD · Q2 12:49
Noah Thomas 4 Yd pass from Gunner Stockton (Peyton Woodring Kick)
+6.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com