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TA&M

Texas A&M 38 at Missouri 17

MIZ
2025 · Week 11 · Nov 8, 2025 · Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · MIZ
modelMIZ aheadTA&M aheadconfidence bandkey playMIZ scoreTA&M score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 8:44 · (08:44) #45 C.Weselman punt 37 yards to the TAMU10 fair catch by #7 K.Concepcion at TAMU10
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+54.5+27.30−27.3−54.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 16Home team on offense+0.3Pregame prior−20.9Score differential−0.1Garbage-time factor−0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 1:16: (01:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 M.Reed pass complete short left to #3 A.Bethel-Roman caught at Mizzou00, for 4 yards to the Mizzou00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:16 #47 R.Bond kick attempt good (H: #37 T.White, LS: #48 J.Graham) — TA&M win probability +6.3 pts (now 73%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:20: (00:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 E.Smith rush middle for 1 yard gain to the Mizzou00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:20 #47 R.Bond kick attempt good (H: #37 T.White, LS: #48 J.Graham) — TA&M win probability +6.9 pts (now 84%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 11:21: (11:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 M.Reed pass complete short right to #7 K.Concepcion caught at Mizzou50, for 48 yards to the Mizzou00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:21, 1ST DOWN #47 R.Bond kick attempt good (H: #37 T.White, LS: #48 J.Graham) — TA&M win probability +9.5 pts (now 93%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 6:50: (06:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Roberts rush middle for 4 yards gain to the TAMU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 06:50, 1ST DOWN. The previous play is under automatic review - "Runner broke the plane". CALL UPHELD #88 R.Meyer kick attempt good (H: #45 C.Weselman, LS: #51 B.Le Blanc) — MIZ win probability +8.8 pts (now 19%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 6:45: (06:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #29 A.Hardy rush middle for 45 yards gain to the TAMU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 06:45, 1ST DOWN #88 R.Meyer kick attempt good (H: #45 C.Weselman, LS: #51 B.Le Blanc) — MIZ win probability +5.1 pts (now 7%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MIZ made the numbers' call on 6 of 7TA&M made the numbers' call on 3 of 7
  1. Q1 10:57TA&M 4th & 4 at MIZ 44, tied
    Close callPunted · 64.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    64.5%−0.2
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    64.6%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:44MIZ 4th & 6 at TA&M 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.5%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:50TA&M 4th & 6 at TA&M 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.9%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.0%
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:53MIZ 4th & 9 at MIZ 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.7%−0.4
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.0%
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:59MIZ 4th & 19 at TA&M 48, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.8%−1.5
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:38TA&M 4th & 16 at TA&M 41, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.5%−1.9
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:09MIZ 4th & 5 at TA&M 27, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 33.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    33.1%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    33.0%−<0.1
    62% to make
    Punt
    28.2%−4.9
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:57TA&M 4th & 6 at TA&M 44, up 7
    Close callPunted · 70.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.4%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:57MIZ 4th & 1 at MIZ 16, down 14
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.4 ptsPunted · 20.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.0%−1.4
    average punt
  10. Q3 4:52TA&M 4th & 3 at TA&M 34, up 14
    Close callWent for it · 85.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    86.3%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    86.3%
    average punt
  11. Q3 3:10TA&M 4th & 6 at MIZ 14, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 86.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.4%−0.6
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    86.0%
    84% to make
    Punt
    78.3%−7.7
    average punt
  12. Q3 1:44MIZ 4th & 7 at MIZ 28, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.3%−1.0
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.3%
    average punt
  13. Q4 11:17MIZ 4th & 12 at TA&M 31, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 3.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.4%−0.8
    23% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    3.2%
    54% to make
    Punt
    2.4%−0.9
    average punt
  14. Q4 0:29TA&M 4th & 7 at MIZ 12, up 21
    Close callWent for it · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.3%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    99.4%
    86% to make
    Punt
    99.0%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MIZ made the numbers' call on 2 of 2TA&M made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 1:16TA&M Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:20TA&M Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 11:21TA&M Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 6:50MIZ Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    15.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    15.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 6:45MIZ Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 2:36TA&M Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TA&MDrive 1PUNT
11 plays · 31 yds · 3:5173% → 71%
Q1 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
27.4%
(14:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 M.Reed pass complete short right to #7 K.Concepcion caught at TAMU22, for 8 yards to the TAMU33 (#12 D.Norwood), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 14:29
2ND & 2
OWN 33
0
27.5%
(14:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 M.Reed pass incomplete short right to #1 M.Craver thrown to TAMU33Similar
Q1 14:22
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+2
27.6%
(14:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 E.Smith rush middle for 2 yards gain to the TAMU35 (#7 C.McClellan; #14 T.Newson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 13:36
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
27.9%
(13:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 M.Reed pass complete short right to #84 A.Niblack caught at TAMU38, for 4 yards to the TAMU39 (#12 D.Norwood; #14 T.Newson)Similar
Q1 13:09
2ND & 6
OWN 39
0
28.0%
(13:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 M.Reed pass incomplete short left to #23 J.Morrow thrown to TAMU45 QB hurried by #8 D.Wilson IISimilar
Q1 13:03
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+11
28.1%
(13:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 M.Reed pass incomplete short middle to #7 K.Concepcion thrown to Mizzou45 QB hurried by #9 Z.Young, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY Mizzou Pass Interference (#0 S.Hall) 11 yard from TAMU39 to TAMU50, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 12:53
1ST & 10
50
0
28.1%
(12:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 J.Morrow rush middle for 0 yards to the TAMU50 (#11 L.Kitchen)Similar
Q1 12:19
2ND & 10
50
+6
28.3%
(12:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 M.Reed pass complete short left to #1 M.Craver caught at TAMU50, for 6 yards to the Mizzou44 (#6 J.Catalon), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 11:37
3RD & 4
OPP 44
0
28.6%
(11:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 J.Morrow rush middle for 0 yards to the Mizzou44 (#10 S.Webb; #14 T.Newson)Similar
Q1 10:57
4TH & 4
OPP 44
0
29.0%
(10:56) #37 T.White punt 35 yards to the Mizzou09 fair catch by #3 K.Coleman Jr. at Mizzou09Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 44 yds · 2:0029% → 30%
Q1 10:44
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+40
29.3%
(10:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #29 A.Hardy rush middle for 40 yards gain to the Mizzou49 (#25 D.Brooks), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 10:11
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
30.0%
(10:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #29 A.Hardy rush middle for 3 yards gain to the TAMU48 (#18 T.Searcy; #11 T.Onyedim)Similar
Q1 9:24
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+1
30.6%
(09:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 M.Zollers pass complete short middle to #3 K.Coleman Jr. caught at Mizzou49, for 1 yard to the TAMU47 (#18 T.Searcy; #21 T.York)Similar
Q1 8:51
3RD & 6
OPP 47
0
30.7%
(08:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 M.Zollers pass incomplete short middle to #1 D.Olugbode thrown to TAMU30Similar
Q1 8:44
4TH & 6
OPP 47
0
30.2%
(08:44) #45 C.Weselman punt 37 yards to the TAMU10 fair catch by #7 K.Concepcion at TAMU10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 31 yds · 1:4070% → 69%
Q1 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+12
30.3%
(08:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 M.Reed pass complete short middle to #17 T.Melin Öhrström caught at TAMU16, for 12 yards to the TAMU22 (#14 T.Newson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
30.4%
(08:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 J.Morrow rush right for 0 yards to the TAMU22 (#14 T.Newson) PENALTY Mizzou UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (#9 Z.Young) 15 yards from TAMU22 to TAMU37, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
30.3%
(07:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 M.Reed pass incomplete short right to #23 J.Morrow thrown to TAMU36Similar
Q1 7:40
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+4
30.4%
(07:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 R.Owens II rush right for 4 yards gain to the TAMU41 (#2 T.Pride Jr.; #6 J.Catalon)Similar
Q1 6:56
3RD & 6
OWN 41
0
30.5%
(06:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 M.Reed pass incomplete short left to #7 K.Concepcion thrown to TAMU45 broken up by #40 J.TrotterSimilar
Q1 6:50
4TH & 6
OWN 41
0
31.1%
(06:52) #37 T.White punt 36 yards to the Mizzou23 fair catch by #3 K.Coleman Jr. at Mizzou23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:5031% → 31%
Q1 6:43
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+1
31.1%
(06:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #29 A.Hardy rush middle for 1 yard gain to the Mizzou24 (#9 C.Howell; #3 M.Ratcliffe)Similar
Q1 6:07
2ND & 9
OWN 24
0
31.3%
(06:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 M.Zollers pass incomplete short left to #89 J.James thrown to Mizzou28Similar
Q1 6:01
3RD & 9
OWN 24
0
31.0%
(06:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 M.Zollers pass incomplete deep right to #0 J.Manning thrown to TAMU47Similar
Q1 5:53
4TH & 9
OWN 24
0
30.9%
(05:53) #45 C.Weselman punt 35 yards to the TAMU41 fair catch by #7 K.Concepcion at TAMU41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 5TD
10 plays · 59 yds · 4:2669% → 73%
Q1 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
30.9%
(05:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Concepcion rush left for 4 yards gain to the TAMU45 (#20 N.Rodriguez; #13 D.Carnell)Similar
Q1 5:07
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+8
31.0%
(05:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 M.Reed pass complete short left to #7 K.Concepcion caught at TAMU50, for 8 yards to the Mizzou47 (#0 S.Hall), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 4:39
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+23
31.1%
(04:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 M.Reed pass complete short right to #1 M.Craver caught at Mizzou48, for 23 yards to the Mizzou24 (#15 S.Banner), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 4:01
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+11
30.9%
(04:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 M.Reed pass complete short middle to #87 N.Boerkircher caught at Mizzou20, for 11 yards to the Mizzou13 (#40 J.Trotter; #15 S.Banner), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 3:21
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+9
31.1%
(03:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 M.Reed pass complete short middle to #4 R.Owens II caught at Mizzou09, for 9 yards to the Mizzou04 (#40 J.Trotter)Similar
Q1 2:53
2ND & 1
OPP 4
+2
31.3%
(02:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 R.Owens II rush middle for 2 yards gain to the Mizzou02 (#20 N.Rodriguez; #7 C.McClellan), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 2:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
31.1%
(02:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 M.Reed pass complete short middle to #4 R.Owens II caught at Mizzou04, for 1 yard to the Mizzou01 (#40 J.Trotter)Similar
Q1 1:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-3
31.3%
(01:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 R.Owens II rush left for 3 yards loss to the Mizzou04 (#20 N.Rodriguez; #40 J.Trotter)Similar
Q1 1:16
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
27.1%
(01:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 M.Reed pass complete short left to #3 A.Bethel-Roman caught at Mizzou00, for 4 yards to the Mizzou00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:16 #47 R.Bond kick attempt good (H: #37 T.White, LS: #48 J.Graham)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 6PUNT
9 plays · 27 yds · 3:0328% → 28%
Q1 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
28.4%
(01:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 K.Coleman Jr. rush left for 2 yards gain to the Mizzou27 (#17 A.Regis; #16 N.Mikhail)Similar
Q1 0:04
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+34
28.6%
(00:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 M.Zollers pass complete deep right to #1 D.Olugbode caught at TAMU44, for 34 yards to the TAMU39 (#2 D.Ricks), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 0:04
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
30.1%
PENALTY Mizzou False Start (#29 A.Hardy) 5 yards from TAMU39 to TAMU44. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 14:50
1ST & 15
OPP 44
-4
29.4%
(14:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 M.Zollers pass complete short left to #0 J.Manning caught at TAMU48, for 4 yards loss to the TAMU48 (#7 T.Chappell)Similar
Q2 13:48
2ND & 19
OPP 48
-5
29.4%
(14:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 M.Zollers sacked for loss of 5 yards to the Mizzou47 (#9 C.Howell), fumble by #5 M.Zollers recovered by Mizzou #70 C.Green at Mizzou46, #70 C.Green for 1 yard to the Mizzou47, End Of PlaySimilar
Q2 13:27
3RD & 24
OWN 47
+5
28.5%
(13:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 M.Zollers rush middle for 5 yards gain to the TAMU48, End Of PlaySimilar
Q2 12:59
4TH & 19
OPP 48
0
28.1%
(13:05) #45 C.Weselman punt 31 yards to the TAMU17 fair catch by #7 K.Concepcion at TAMU17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 7PUNT
9 plays · 24 yds · 4:1471% → 71%
Q2 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+2
28.6%
(12:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 M.Craver rush right for 2 yards gain to the TAMU19 (#2 T.Pride Jr.)Similar
Q2 12:00
2ND & 8
OWN 19
+7
28.8%
(12:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 M.Reed pass complete short right to #17 T.Melin Öhrström caught at TAMU26, for 7 yards to the TAMU26 (#15 S.Banner)Similar
Q2 11:28
3RD & 1
OWN 26
+1
28.2%
(11:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 E.Smith rush middle for 1 yard gain to the TAMU27 (#14 T.Newson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 10:54
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+20
28.2%
(10:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 M.Reed pass complete short middle to #7 K.Concepcion caught at TAMU36, for 20 yards to the TAMU47 (#1 M.Burks), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
27.2%
(10:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 R.Owens II rush middle for 1 yard gain to the TAMU48 (#7 C.McClellan; #14 T.Newson)Similar
Q2 9:45
2ND & 9
OWN 48
+10
27.0%
(09:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 M.Reed pass incomplete short middle thrown to TAMU48 broken up by #14 T.Newson PENALTY TAMU Holding (#54 M.Nabou Jr.) 10 yards from TAMU48 to TAMU38. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 9:30
2ND & 19
OWN 38
+3
28.3%
(09:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 M.Reed pass complete short middle to #1 M.Craver caught at TAMU36, for 3 yards to the TAMU41 (#7 C.McClellan)Similar
Q2 8:50
3RD & 16
OWN 41
0
28.6%
(08:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 M.Reed pass incomplete deep middle to #7 K.Concepcion thrown to Mizzou39Similar
Q2 8:38
4TH & 16
OWN 41
+7
29.3%
(08:41) #37 T.White punt 47 yards to the Mizzou12 #3 K.Coleman Jr. return 7 yards to the Mizzou19 (#3 A.Bethel-Roman; #27 D.Sanford)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 8DOWNS
9 plays · 54 yds · 3:2029% → 29%
Q2 8:29
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+6
28.6%
(08:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Roberts rush middle for 6 yards gain to the Mizzou25 (#27 D.Sanford; #17 A.Regis)Similar
Q2 7:53
2ND & 4
OWN 25
+5
28.2%
(07:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Roberts rush left for 5 yards gain to the Mizzou30 (#17 A.Regis), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+18
28.2%
(07:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Roberts rush left for 18 yards gain to the Mizzou48 (#4 W.Lee III), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 6:53
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+10
30.0%
(06:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 M.Zollers pass incomplete short left to #86 J.Harris thrown to Mizzou48 PENALTY TAMU Holding (#9 C.Howell) 10 yards from Mizzou48 to TAMU42, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 6:47
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+10
30.5%
(06:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 M.Zollers pass incomplete deep left to #3 K.Coleman Jr. thrown to TAMU10 PENALTY TAMU Holding (#7 T.Chappell) 10 yards from TAMU42 to TAMU32, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 6:14
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-3
31.5%
(06:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Roberts rush right for 3 yards loss to the TAMU35 (#27 D.Sanford)Similar
Q2 6:04
2ND & 13
OPP 35
0
30.3%
(06:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 M.Zollers pass incomplete short right to #89 J.James thrown to TAMU36 broken up by #21 T.YorkSimilar
Q2 5:54
3RD & 13
OPP 35
+3
29.1%
(05:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Roberts rush middle for 3 yards gain to the TAMU32 (#50 D.Hayes)Similar
Q2 5:09
4TH & 5
OPP 27
0
29.2%
(05:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 M.Zollers pass incomplete short left to #1 D.Olugbode thrown to TAMU25, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 2:5773% → 74%
Q2 4:54
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+8
27.0%
(05:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 J.Morrow rush middle for 8 yards gain to the TAMU35 (#6 J.Catalon)Similar
Q2 4:24
2ND & 2
OWN 35
+5
26.3%
(04:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 M.Reed pass complete short left to #1 M.Craver caught at TAMU33, for 5 yards to the TAMU40 (#14 T.Newson), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 3:48
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
25.7%
(03:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 M.Reed pass complete short left to #87 N.Boerkircher caught at TAMU43, for 4 yards to the TAMU44 (#2 T.Pride Jr.), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 3:15
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+4
24.9%
(03:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 M.Reed rush middle for 4 yards gain to the TAMU48, out of bounds at TAMU48Similar
Q2 2:41
3RD & 2
OWN 48
-4
24.7%
(02:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 M.Reed sacked for loss of 4 yards to the TAMU44 (#19 D.Smith)Similar
Q2 1:57
4TH & 6
OWN 44
0
25.6%
(01:56) #37 T.White punt 39 yards to the Mizzou17 fair catch by #3 K.Coleman Jr. at Mizzou17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 10FUMBLE
9 plays · 11 yds · 0:5328% → 28%
Q2 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+5
27.7%
(01:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Roberts rush middle for 5 yards gain to the Mizzou22 (#3 M.Ratcliffe)Similar
Q2 1:27
2ND & 5
OWN 22
-1
28.0%
(01:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Roberts rush left for 1 yard loss to the Mizzou21 (#11 T.Onyedim)Similar
Q2 1:23
3RD & 6
OWN 21
+5
27.2%
(01:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 M.Zollers pass incomplete short left to #1 D.Olugbode thrown to Mizzou35 PENALTY TAMU Offside (#18 T.Searcy) 5 yards from Mizzou21 to Mizzou26. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 1:17
3RD & 1
OWN 26
+16
27.9%
(01:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Roberts rush middle for 16 yards gain to the Mizzou42 (#4 W.Lee III), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
29.9%
(01:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 M.Zollers pass incomplete short right to #1 D.Olugbode thrown to TAMU49 QB hurried by #9 C.HowellSimilar
Q2 1:06
2ND & 10
OWN 42
0
29.1%
(01:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 M.Zollers pass incomplete short left to #6 X.Loyd thrown to Mizzou47Similar
Q2 0:57
3RD & 10
OWN 42
+26
28.3%
(01:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 M.Zollers sacked for loss of 14 yards to the Mizzou28 (#27 D.Sanford), fumble by #5 M.Zollers recovered by TAMU #25 D.Brooks at Mizzou28 #25 D.Brooks return 26 yards to the Mizzou02 (#89 J.James)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 11TD
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:3077% → 84%
Q2 0:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
22.7%
(00:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 E.Smith rush middle for 1 yard gain to the Mizzou01 (#1 M.Burks; #20 N.Rodriguez)Similar
Q2 0:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
15.7%
(00:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 E.Smith rush middle for 1 yard gain to the Mizzou00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:20 #47 R.Bond kick attempt good (H: #37 T.White, LS: #48 J.Graham)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 12END OF HALF
5 plays · 10 yds · 0:0819% → 20%
Q2 0:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
19.4%
(00:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Roberts rush right for 8 yards gain to the Mizzou33, out of bounds at Mizzou33Similar
Q2 0:09
2ND & 2
OWN 33
0
20.1%
(00:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 M.Zollers pass incomplete short right to #0 J.Manning thrown to Mizzou48Similar
Q2 0:06
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+2
19.9%
(00:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Roberts rush middle for 2 yards gain to the Mizzou35 (#5 D.Hicks), 1ST DOWNSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:2119% → 18%
Q3 14:18
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+2
18.8%
(14:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #29 A.Hardy rush right for 2 yards gain to the Mizzou09 (#9 C.Howell; #11 T.Onyedim)Similar
Q3 14:02
2ND & 8
OWN 9
-3
18.8%
(14:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #29 A.Hardy rush left for 3 yards loss to the Mizzou06 (#18 T.Searcy; #5 D.Hicks)Similar
Q3 13:35
3RD & 11
OWN 6
+10
18.4%
(13:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Roberts rush middle for 10 yards gain to the Mizzou16 (#25 D.Brooks)Similar
Q3 12:57
4TH & 1
OWN 16
0
18.1%
(13:04) #45 C.Weselman punt 52 yards to the TAMU32, out of bounds at TAMU32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 14TD
4 plays · 68 yds · 1:2783% → 93%
Q3 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+16
17.5%
(12:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 R.Owens II rush middle for 16 yards gain to the TAMU48 (#1 M.Burks), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 12:13
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
16.3%
(12:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 M.Reed pass incomplete short middle to #87 N.Boerkircher thrown to Mizzou48 broken up by #7 C.McClellanSimilar
Q3 12:07
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+4
16.3%
(12:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 R.Owens II rush middle for 4 yards gain to the Mizzou48 (#5 K.Jacobs; #13 D.Carnell)Similar
Q3 11:21
3RD & 6
OPP 48
+48
6.8%
(11:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 M.Reed pass complete short right to #7 K.Concepcion caught at Mizzou50, for 48 yards to the Mizzou00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:21, 1ST DOWN #47 R.Bond kick attempt good (H: #37 T.White, LS: #48 J.Graham)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 15TD
10 plays · 40 yds · 4:0112% → 19%
Q3 10:51
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
12.2%
(11:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 M.Zollers pass complete short right to #29 A.Hardy caught at TAMU39, for 5 yards to the TAMU35 (#5 D.Hicks)Similar
Q3 10:25
2ND & 5
OPP 35
+4
12.3%
(10:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #29 A.Hardy rush middle for 4 yards gain to the TAMU31 (#3 M.Ratcliffe)Similar
Q3 9:51
3RD & 1
OPP 31
+2
11.3%
(09:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #29 A.Hardy rush middle for 2 yards gain to the TAMU29 (#25 D.Brooks; #11 T.Onyedim), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 9:16
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
11.4%
(09:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 M.Zollers pass incomplete short middle to #0 J.Manning thrown to TAMU15 broken up by #4 W.Lee IIISimilar
Q3 9:07
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+3
11.1%
(09:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #29 A.Hardy rush right for 3 yards gain to the TAMU26 (#21 T.York; #17 A.Regis)Similar
Q3 8:32
3RD & 7
OPP 26
+5
9.7%
PENALTY TAMU Offside (#9 C.Howell) 5 yards from TAMU26 to TAMU21. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 8:11
3RD & 2
OPP 21
+8
9.7%
(08:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Roberts rush middle for 8 yards gain to the TAMU13 (#25 D.Brooks; #7 T.Chappell), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 7:27
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+9
9.9%
(07:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Roberts rush middle for 9 yards gain to the TAMU04 (#2 D.Ricks)Similar
Q3 6:50
2ND & 1
OPP 4
+4
18.6%
(06:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Roberts rush middle for 4 yards gain to the TAMU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 06:50, 1ST DOWN. The previous play is under automatic review - "Runner broke the plane". CALL UPHELD #88 R.Meyer kick attempt good (H: #45 C.Weselman, LS: #51 B.Le Blanc)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 16FG
10 plays · 59 yds · 3:2687% → 90%
Q3 6:36
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
13.3%
(06:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 R.Owens II rush middle for 3 yards gain to the TAMU30 (#9 Z.Young; #6 J.Catalon)Similar
Q3 5:53
2ND & 7
OWN 30
+4
13.1%
(06:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 M.Reed pass complete short right to #2 T.Bussey caught at TAMU33, for 4 yards to the TAMU34 (#2 T.Pride Jr.)Similar
Q3 5:16
3RD & 3
OWN 34
0
13.2%
(05:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 M.Reed pass incomplete short left to #3 A.Bethel-Roman thrown to TAMU34 broken up by #19 D.Smith QB hurried by #19 D.Smith and #40 J.TrotterSimilar
Q3 4:52
4TH & 3
OWN 34
+48
13.3%
(05:04) No Huddle #25 D.Brooks rush right for 48 yards gain to the Mizzou18 (#3 K.Coleman Jr.; #29 C.Keys), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 4:22
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+5
11.1%
PENALTY TAMU Delay Of Game 5 yards from Mizzou18 to Mizzou23. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 4:01
1ST & 15
OPP 23
0
11.3%
(04:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 M.Reed pass incomplete short right to #3 A.Bethel-Roman thrown to Mizzou25 broken up by #13 D.Carnell QB hurried by #10 S.WebbSimilar
Q3 3:51
2ND & 15
OPP 23
+9
11.3%
(03:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 M.Craver rush right for 9 yards gain to the Mizzou14 (#1 M.Burks; #40 J.Trotter)Similar
Q3 3:15
3RD & 6
OPP 14
0
10.9%
(03:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 M.Reed pass incomplete short left to #7 K.Concepcion thrown to Mizzou15Similar
Q3 3:10
4TH & 6
OPP 14
+32
10.3%
(03:10) #47 R.Bond field goal attempt from 32 yards GOOD (H: #37 T.White, LS: #48 J.Graham), clock 03:10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:1712% → 11%
Q3 3:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
11.9%
(03:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #29 A.Hardy rush right for 3 yards gain to the Mizzou28 (#8 J.Shaw)Similar
Q3 2:28
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
11.8%
(02:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #29 A.Hardy rush left for 0 yards to the Mizzou28 (#27 D.Sanford; #9 C.Howell)Similar
Q3 1:54
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
11.5%
(01:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 M.Zollers pass incomplete deep left to #1 D.Olugbode thrown to TAMU30 QB hurried by #27 D.SanfordSimilar
Q3 1:44
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+5
11.3%
(01:44) #45 C.Weselman punt 33 yards to the TAMU39 #7 K.Concepcion return 5 yards to the TAMU44 (#24 N.DeLoach Jr.)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 18FUMBLE
5 plays · 39 yds · 1:4592% → 93%
Q3 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
7.6%
(01:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 M.Craver rush right for 6 yards gain to the TAMU50 (#3 M.Phillips III)Similar
Q3 1:00
2ND & 4
50
-5
7.3%
(01:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 R.Owens II rush right for 5 yards loss to the TAMU45 (#9 Z.Young)Similar
Q3 0:13
3RD & 9
OWN 45
+16
7.4%
(00:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 M.Reed pass complete short left to #1 M.Craver caught at Mizzou41, for 16 yards to the Mizzou39 (#2 T.Pride Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 14:51
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+22
7.0%
(14:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 M.Reed pass complete short right to #3 A.Bethel-Roman caught at Mizzou28, for 22 yards to the Mizzou17 fumbled by #3 A.Bethel-Roman at Mizzou27 forced by #3 M.Phillips III recovered by Mizzou #1 M.Burks at Mizzou17, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 19FG
10 plays · 52 yds · 3:2810% → 3%
Q4 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
9.6%
(14:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 M.Zollers pass incomplete deep left to #3 K.Coleman Jr. thrown to TAMU50Similar
Q4 14:26
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+1
9.3%
(14:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 M.Zollers pass complete short right to #20 J.Roberts caught at Mizzou18, for 1 yard to the Mizzou18 (#2 D.Ricks; #25 D.Brooks)Similar
Q4 13:57
3RD & 9
OWN 18
+28
3.2%
(13:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 M.Zollers pass complete deep right to #1 D.Olugbode caught at Mizzou46, for 28 yards to the Mizzou46 (#4 W.Lee III), 1ST DOWN, PENALTY TAMU Pass Interference declinedSimilar
Q4 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+12
3.1%
(13:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Roberts rush middle for 12 yards gain to the TAMU42 (#3 M.Ratcliffe), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 12:18
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
3.2%
(12:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Roberts rush right for 1 yard gain to the TAMU41 (#50 D.Hayes)Similar
Q4 11:28
2ND & 9
OPP 41
+12
3.1%
(11:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 M.Zollers pass complete short middle to #1 D.Olugbode caught at TAMU34, for 12 yards to the TAMU29 (#2 D.Ricks), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 11:28
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-2
3.4%
(11:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #29 A.Hardy rush middle for 2 yards loss to the TAMU31 (#11 T.Onyedim)Similar
Q4 11:22
2ND & 12
OPP 31
0
3.2%
(11:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 M.Zollers pass incomplete short middle to #0 J.Manning thrown to TAMU26Similar
Q4 11:22
3RD & 12
OPP 31
0
3.0%
(11:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 M.Zollers pass incomplete deep middle to #3 K.Coleman Jr. thrown to TAMU05Similar
Q4 11:17
4TH & 12
OPP 31
+49
2.8%
(11:17) #48 O.Robbins field goal attempt from 49 yards GOOD (H: #45 C.Weselman, LS: #51 B.Le Blanc), clock 11:17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 20TD
7 plays · 76 yds · 3:2097% → 99%
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
2.7%
(11:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 J.Morrow rush middle for 3 yards gain to the TAMU27 (#8 D.Wilson II; #7 C.McClellan)Similar
Q4 10:13
2ND & 7
OWN 27
+4
2.3%
(10:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Concepcion rush right for 4 yards gain to the TAMU31, out of bounds at TAMU31Similar
Q4 9:31
3RD & 3
OWN 31
+4
2.3%
(09:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 M.Reed rush middle for 4 yards gain to the TAMU35 (#40 J.Trotter), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
2.1%
(09:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 J.Morrow rush middle for 2 yards gain to the TAMU37 (#33 M.Gracial; #20 N.Rodriguez)Similar
Q4 8:17
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+6
2.0%
(08:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 M.Reed pass complete short right to #1 M.Craver caught at TAMU38, for 6 yards to the TAMU43 (#20 N.Rodriguez), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 7:40
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+57
1.5%
(07:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 R.Owens II rush middle for 57 yards gain to the Mizzou00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:40, 1ST DOWN #47 R.Bond kick attempt good (H: #37 T.White, LS: #48 J.Graham)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 21TD
6 plays · 71 yds · 0:452% → 7%
Q4 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+15
2.0%
(07:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 M.Zollers pass incomplete deep left to #2 M.Johnson thrown to TAMU35 PENALTY TAMU Pass Interference (#2 D.Ricks) 15 yards from Mizzou29 to Mizzou44, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 7:21
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
2.1%
(07:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 M.Zollers pass incomplete deep left to #1 D.Olugbode thrown to TAMU22 broken up by #2 D.RicksSimilar
Q4 7:12
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+11
1.9%
(07:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #29 A.Hardy rush middle for 11 yards gain to the TAMU45 (#25 D.Brooks; #9 C.Howell), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 6:54
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
2.0%
(06:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 M.Zollers pass incomplete short right to #0 J.Manning thrown to TAMU35Similar
Q4 6:45
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+45
7.1%
(06:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #29 A.Hardy rush middle for 45 yards gain to the TAMU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 06:45, 1ST DOWN #88 R.Meyer kick attempt good (H: #45 C.Weselman, LS: #51 B.Le Blanc)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 22TD
10 plays · 65 yds · 4:0195% → 100%
Q4 6:37
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+10
5.5%
(06:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 R.Owens II rush middle for 10 yards gain to the TAMU45 (#15 S.Banner), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 5:52
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+17
4.6%
(05:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 E.Smith rush left for 17 yards gain to the Mizzou38 (#14 T.Newson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 5:04
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-3
3.3%
(05:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 M.Reed rush left for 3 yards loss to the Mizzou41 (#14 T.Newson)Similar
Q4 4:40
2ND & 13
OPP 41
+28
3.0%
(04:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 M.Reed rush middle for 28 yards gain to the Mizzou13 (#15 S.Banner), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+3
2.8%
(04:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 R.Owens II rush right for 3 yards gain to the Mizzou10 (#19 D.Smith)Similar
Q4 3:16
2ND & 7
OPP 10
+9
2.1%
(03:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 R.Owens II rush middle for 9 yards gain to the Mizzou01 (#1 M.Burks), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 2:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
0.5%
(02:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 R.Owens II rush left for 1 yard gain to the Mizzou00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:36 #47 R.Bond kick attempt good (H: #37 T.White, LS: #48 J.Graham)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 23DOWNS
6 plays · 4 yds · 1:54100% → 100%
Q4 2:23
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
0.5%
(02:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 E.Smith rush right for 2 yards gain to the Mizzou13 (#95 J.Marshall; #14 T.Newson)Similar
Q4 1:46
2ND & 8
OPP 13
-1
0.3%
(01:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 J.Morrow rush middle for 1 yard loss to the Mizzou14 (#33 M.Gracial; #9 Z.Young)Similar
Q4 1:08
3RD & 9
OPP 14
+2
0.3%
(01:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 J.Morrow rush middle for 2 yards gain to the Mizzou12 (#1 M.Burks; #7 C.McClellan)Similar
Q4 0:29
4TH & 7
OPP 12
+1
0.4%
(00:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 J.Morrow rush middle for 1 yard gain to the Mizzou11 (#7 C.McClellan), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 24END OF GAME
2 plays · 7 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 0:23
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+7
0.7%
(00:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Roberts rush right for 7 yards gain to the Mizzou18 (#3 M.Ratcliffe; #16 N.Mikhail)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 11:21
(11:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 M.Reed pass complete short right to #7 K.Concepcion caught at Mizzou50, for 48 yards to the Mizzou00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:21, 1ST DOWN #47 R.Bond kick attempt good (H: #37 T.White, LS: #48 J.Graham)
-9.5
TD · Q3 6:50
(06:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Roberts rush middle for 4 yards gain to the TAMU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 06:50, 1ST DOWN. The previous play is under automatic review - "Runner broke the plane". CALL UPHELD #88 R.Meyer kick attempt good (H: #45 C.Weselman, LS: #51 B.Le Blanc)
+8.8
TD · Q2 0:20
(00:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 E.Smith rush middle for 1 yard gain to the Mizzou00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:20 #47 R.Bond kick attempt good (H: #37 T.White, LS: #48 J.Graham)
-6.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com