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CIT

The Citadel 0 at Ole Miss 49

MISS
2025 · Week 11 · Nov 8, 2025 · Vaught-Hemingway Stadium
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Win probability · MISS
modelMISS aheadCIT aheadconfidence bandkey playMISS scoreCIT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 7:00 · (07:08) #90 J.Platte punt 43 yards to the OM14 fair catch by #15 I.Hartrup at OM14
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+50.0+25.00−25.0−50.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 104Pregame prior+33.9Home team on offense+32.3Score differential+25.9Blowout margin+14.5Garbage-time factor+6.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+5.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 6:34: (06:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 K.Lacy rush middle for 15 yards gain to the CIT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 06:34, 1ST DOWN #17 L.Carneiro kick attempt good (H: #33 O.Bird, LS: #93 C.Short) — MISS win probability +0.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: MISS has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 0:23: (00:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Chambliss pass complete short left to #17 W.Watkins caught at CIT00, for 11 yards to the CIT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:23, 1ST DOWN #17 L.Carneiro kick attempt good (H: #33 O.Bird, LS: #93 C.Short) — MISS win probability +0.2 pts (now 100%) (top driver: MISS has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 10:48: (10:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Chambliss pass complete deep middle to #19 C.Lee caught at CIT01, for 22 yards to the CIT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:48, 1ST DOWN #17 L.Carneiro kick attempt good (H: #33 O.Bird, LS: #93 C.Short) — MISS win probability +0.2 pts (now 100%) (top driver: MISS has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MISS made the numbers' call on 3 of 5CIT made the numbers' call on 10 of 11
  1. Q1 9:20CIT 4th & 9 at CIT 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:14CIT 4th & 4 at CIT 31, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:42MISS 4th & 1 at MISS 32, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    99.3%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:07CIT 4th & 8 at MISS 28, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.8%
    60% to make
    Punt
    0.5%−0.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:26CIT 4th & 10 at CIT 25, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:06CIT 4th & 15 at MISS 45, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%−0.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:54MISS 4th & 2 at CIT 47, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    99.7%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 13:16CIT 4th & 20 at CIT 15, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.2
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:00CIT 4th & 3 at CIT 43, down 42
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 5:39MISS 4th & 4 at MISS 20, up 42
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 0:50CIT 4th & 1 at MISS 11, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    -0.1%−0.2
    87% to make
    Punt
    -0.5%−0.6
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:08CIT 4th & 7 at MISS 14, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.0%
    84% to make
    Punt
    -0.3%−0.4
    average punt
  13. Q4 10:37MISS 4th & 10 at MISS 20, up 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  14. Q4 9:34CIT 4th & 11 at CIT 20, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
  15. Q4 4:39CIT 4th & 21 at CIT 24, down 49
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:13MISS 4th & 4 at CIT 8, up 49
    Close callWent for it · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%−0.1
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    100.0%
    90% to make
    Punt
    99.6%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MISS made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 11:43MISS Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:34MISS Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:23MISS Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 10:48MISS Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:45MISS Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 11:31MISS Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 6:24MISS Touchdown, up 48 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MISSDrive 1TD
11 plays · 87 yds · 2:57100% → 100%
Q1 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+5
99.6%
(14:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Chambliss pass complete short left to #1 D.Stribling caught at OM18, for 5 yards to the OM18 (#37 S.Smothers)Similar
Q1 14:23
2ND & 5
OWN 18
+9
99.6%
(14:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Chambliss pass complete short right to #2 H.Wallace III caught at OM22, for 9 yards to the OM27 (#7 B.Jones; #8 T.McDaniel), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+9
99.6%
(14:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Chambliss pass complete short right to #2 H.Wallace III caught at OM35, for 9 yards to the OM36 (#7 B.Jones), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 13:43
2ND & 1
OWN 36
0
99.6%
(13:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 K.Lacy rush middle for 0 yards to the OM36 (#8 T.McDaniel; #26 N.Jones)Similar
Q1 13:23
3RD & 1
OWN 36
+9
99.6%
(13:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 K.Lacy rush middle for 9 yards gain to the OM45 (#8 T.McDaniel), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 13:01
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+7
99.6%
(13:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Chambliss pass complete short middle to #1 D.Stribling caught at OM45, for 7 yards to the CIT48 (#45 M.Rosa; #91 C.Benton)Similar
Q1 12:37
2ND & 3
OPP 48
+13
99.6%
(12:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Chambliss pass complete short right to #8 D.Wright caught at CIT45, for 13 yards to the CIT35 (#13 C.Williams), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN. #8 D.Wright injured on the playSimilar
Q1 12:18
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+25
99.5%
(12:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Chambliss pass complete short right to #2 H.Wallace III caught at CIT30, for 25 yards to the CIT10 (#26 N.Jones), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 11:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+8
99.5%
(12:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 K.Lacy rush left for 8 yards gain to the CIT02 (#5 J.Roberts; #8 T.McDaniel)Similar
Q1 11:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.5%
(11:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 K.Lacy rush middle for 2 yards gain to the CIT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:43, 1ST DOWN #17 L.Carneiro kick attempt good (H: #33 O.Bird, LS: #93 C.Short)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CITDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 2:151% → 1%
Q1 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.5%
(11:43) Shotgun #22 G.Johnson Sr. rush middle for 0 yards to the CIT25 (#44 A.Jones)Similar
Q1 10:54
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.5%
(10:58) Shotgun #22 G.Johnson Sr. rush middle for 2 yards gain to the CIT27 (#6 T.Dottery)Similar
Q1 10:07
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-1
99.5%
(10:15) Shotgun #20 C.Ibrahim rush middle for 1 yard loss to the CIT26 (#1 P.Umanmielen; #44 A.Jones)Similar
Q1 9:20
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+4
99.5%
(09:30) #90 J.Platte punt 55 yards to the OM19 #2 H.Wallace III return 4 yards to the OM23 (#33 J.Haltiwanger)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 3TD
10 plays · 77 yds · 2:40100% → 100%
Q1 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+10
99.5%
(09:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Chambliss pass complete short right to #2 H.Wallace III caught at OM27, for 10 yards to the OM33 (#3 M.Ravenel), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+16
99.4%
(09:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Chambliss pass complete short middle to #17 W.Watkins caught at OM45, for 16 yards to the OM49 (#13 C.Williams), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 8:31
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+11
99.4%
(08:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Chambliss pass complete short left to #11 D.Alexander caught at CIT40, for 11 yards to the CIT40, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 8:12
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
99.4%
(08:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Chambliss pass incomplete short left to #11 D.Alexander thrown to CIT35 broken up by #7 B.JonesSimilar
Q1 7:56
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+3
99.4%
(08:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Chambliss pass complete short right to #2 H.Wallace III caught at CIT37, for 3 yards to the CIT37 (#26 N.Jones; #3 M.Ravenel)Similar
Q1 7:40
3RD & 7
OPP 37
+13
99.4%
(07:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Chambliss pass complete short left to #5 K.Lacy caught at CIT39, for 13 yards to the CIT24 (#10 D.Nyangweso; #13 C.Williams), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 7:19
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
99.4%
(07:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Chambliss rush middle for 0 yards to the CIT24 (#40 C.Gray)Similar
Q1 6:57
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+9
99.4%
(07:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 K.Lacy rush middle for 9 yards gain to the CIT15 (#96 P.Collins)Similar
Q1 6:34
3RD & 1
OPP 15
+15
99.5%
(06:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 K.Lacy rush middle for 15 yards gain to the CIT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 06:34, 1ST DOWN #17 L.Carneiro kick attempt good (H: #33 O.Bird, LS: #93 C.Short)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CITDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 2:121% → 1%
Q1 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.4%
(06:33) Shotgun #9 C.Thompkins rush middle for 1 yard gain to the CIT26 (#5 K.Franklin; #30 J.Yates)Similar
Q1 5:43
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+5
99.4%
(05:50) #33 R.Poppell rush middle for 5 yards gain to the CIT31 (#14 K.Gushiken)Similar
Q1 5:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
99.3%
(05:07) #2 J.Graves-Billips rush right for 0 yards to the CIT31 (#6 T.Dottery)Similar
Q1 4:14
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
99.3%
(04:23) #90 J.Platte punt 46 yards to the OM23, out of bounds at OM23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 5DOWNS
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:2399% → 99%
Q1 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
99.3%
(04:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Chambliss pass complete short left to #4 C.Odom caught at OM21, for 0 yards to the OM23 (#19 J.Holmes)Similar
Q1 3:42
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+5
99.3%
(03:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Chambliss pass complete short right to #11 D.Alexander caught at OM27, for 5 yards to the OM28 (#7 B.Jones)Similar
Q1 3:17
3RD & 5
OWN 28
+4
99.3%
(03:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Chambliss pass complete short left to #4 C.Odom caught at OM32, for 4 yards to the OM32 (#50 L.Alexander Jr.; #45 M.Rosa)Similar
Q1 2:42
4TH & 1
OWN 32
-2
99.3%
(02:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 K.Lacy rush left for 2 yards loss to the OM30 (#5 J.Roberts; #45 M.Rosa), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CITDrive 6MISSED FG
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:261% → 1%
Q1 2:33
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
99.2%
(02:40) #33 R.Poppell rush middle for 3 yards gain to the OM27 (#5 K.Franklin)Similar
Q1 1:50
2ND & 7
OPP 27
-1
99.1%
(01:57) #17 Q.Hayes rush right for 1 yard loss to the OM28 (#6 T.Dottery), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 1:12
3RD & 8
OPP 28
0
99.1%
(01:17) #2 J.Graves-Billips pass incomplete short right to #80 S.Diaz thrown to OM11 broken up by #16 W.Williams Jr.Similar
Q1 1:07
4TH & 8
OPP 28
+46
99.1%
(01:10) #46 J.Weil field goal attempt from 46 yards NO GOOD (H: #0 J.McCall, LS: #61 T.DiLiegro), clock 01:07Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 7TD
3 plays · 72 yds · 0:3199% → 100%
Q1 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+17
99.2%
(01:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Chambliss pass complete short left to #85 T.Bruckler caught at OM39, for 17 yards to the OM45 (#13 C.Williams), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+32
99.2%
(00:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Chambliss pass complete deep right to #17 W.Watkins caught at CIT32, for 32 yards to the CIT23 (#31 J.Mosley), 1ST DOWN, PENALTY CIT Face Mask (#3 M.Ravenel) 12 yards from CIT23 to CIT11, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 0:23
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
99.5%
(00:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Chambliss pass complete short left to #17 W.Watkins caught at CIT00, for 11 yards to the CIT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:23, 1ST DOWN #17 L.Carneiro kick attempt good (H: #33 O.Bird, LS: #93 C.Short)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CITDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 1:561% → 1%
Q1 0:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.4%
(00:22) Shotgun #17 Q.Hayes rush middle for 4 yards gain to the CIT29 (#95 A.Maddox)Similar
Q2 14:50
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-2
99.4%
(14:59) Shotgun #17 Q.Hayes rush left for 2 yards loss to the CIT27 (#1 P.Umanmielen; #6 T.Dottery)Similar
Q2 14:09
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-2
99.4%
(14:16) Shotgun #17 Q.Hayes rush middle for 2 yards loss to the CIT25 (#4 S.Perkins)Similar
Q2 13:26
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
99.4%
(13:33) #90 J.Platte punt 43 yards to the OM32 fair catch by #15 I.Hartrup at OM32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 9TD
9 plays · 68 yds · 2:24100% → 100%
Q2 13:12
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
99.5%
(13:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Chambliss pass complete short left to #11 D.Alexander caught at OM37, for 5 yards to the OM37 (#7 B.Jones)Similar
Q2 12:55
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+3
99.5%
(12:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 K.Lacy rush middle for 3 yards gain to the OM40 (#45 M.Rosa)Similar
Q2 12:30
3RD & 2
OWN 40
+2
99.5%
(12:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 K.Lacy rush middle for 2 yards gain to the OM42 (#26 N.Jones), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+15
99.5%
(12:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Chambliss pass incomplete deep left to #11 D.Alexander thrown to CIT30 PENALTY CIT Pass Interference (#7 B.Jones) 15 yards from OM42 to CIT43, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
99.5%
(12:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Chambliss pass incomplete short middle to #19 C.Lee thrown to CIT31 broken up by #45 M.RosaSimilar
Q2 11:56
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+10
99.5%
(11:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 K.Lacy rush right for 4 yards gain to the CIT39 (#5 J.Roberts; #96 P.Collins) PENALTY OM Holding (#51 D.Townsend) 10 yards from CIT43 to OM47. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 11:35
2ND & 20
OWN 47
+19
99.5%
(11:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Chambliss pass complete short right to #2 H.Wallace III caught at CIT37, for 19 yards to the CIT34 (#32 T.Elam; #37 S.Smothers)Similar
Q2 11:14
3RD & 1
OPP 34
+12
99.4%
(11:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 L.Diggs rush middle for 12 yards gain to the CIT22 (#32 T.Elam), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 10:48
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
99.7%
(10:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Chambliss pass complete deep middle to #19 C.Lee caught at CIT01, for 22 yards to the CIT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:48, 1ST DOWN #17 L.Carneiro kick attempt good (H: #33 O.Bird, LS: #93 C.Short)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CITDrive 10PUNT
12 plays · 30 yds · 6:350% → 0%
Q2 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.7%
(10:48) #33 R.Poppell rush middle for 1 yard gain to the CIT26 (#15 D.Womack; #95 A.Maddox)Similar
Q2 9:58
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+2
99.7%
(10:03) Shotgun #22 G.Johnson Sr. rush left for 2 yards gain to the CIT28 (#1 P.Umanmielen)Similar
Q2 9:14
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+12
99.7%
(09:17) Shotgun #11 B.Herrington rush middle for 12 yards gain to the CIT40 (#16 W.Williams Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
99.6%
(08:28) Shotgun #11 B.Herrington rush middle for 4 yards gain to the CIT44 (#16 W.Williams Jr.; #4 S.Perkins)Similar
Q2 7:47
2ND & 6
OWN 44
0
99.7%
(07:52) Shotgun #9 C.Thompkins rush middle for 0 yards to the CIT44 (#51 Z.Harris)Similar
Q2 7:04
3RD & 6
OWN 44
+16
99.7%
(07:09) Shotgun #9 C.Thompkins pass complete short right to #84 J.Marks caught at OM41, for 16 yards to the OM40, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 6:39
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-4
99.7%
(06:47) Shotgun #20 C.Ibrahim rush middle for 4 yards loss to the OM44 (#1 P.Umanmielen; #51 Z.Harris)Similar
Q2 5:56
2ND & 14
OPP 44
0
99.7%
(06:02) Shotgun #9 C.Thompkins rush middle for 0 yards to the OM44 (#96 J.Brown)Similar
Q2 5:13
3RD & 14
OPP 44
+4
99.7%
(05:20) Shotgun #9 C.Thompkins rush right for 4 yards gain to the OM40 (#5 K.Franklin; #6 T.Dottery)Similar
Q2 4:32
4TH & 10
OPP 40
+5
99.7%
PENALTY CIT Delay Of Game 5 yards from OM40 to OM45. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 4:06
4TH & 15
OPP 45
0
99.7%
(04:12) #46 J.Weil punt 45 yards to the OM00, TouchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 11TD
13 plays · 80 yds · 3:07100% → 100%
Q2 3:52
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
99.7%
(04:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Chambliss sacked for loss of 1 yard to the OM19 (#91 C.Benton, #19 J.Holmes)Similar
Q2 3:26
2ND & 11
OWN 19
+16
99.7%
(03:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Chambliss pass complete short middle to #17 W.Watkins caught at OM33, for 16 yards to the OM35 (#42 D.Ware; #31 J.Mosley), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 3:09
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+10
99.7%
(03:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 L.Diggs rush left for 10 yards gain to the OM45 (#3 M.Ravenel; #32 T.Elam), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 2:31
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
99.7%
(02:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Chambliss pass complete short right to #17 W.Watkins caught at CIT50, for 5 yards to the OM50 (#31 J.Mosley)Similar
Q2 2:19
2ND & 5
50
0
99.7%
(02:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Chambliss pass incomplete short left to #11 D.Alexander thrown to CIT48Similar
Q2 2:05
3RD & 5
50
+3
99.7%
(02:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Chambliss pass complete short right to #1 D.Stribling caught at CIT47, for 3 yards to the CIT47 (#10 D.Nyangweso)Similar
Q2 1:54
4TH & 2
OPP 47
+9
99.7%
(01:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Simmons pass complete short left to #9 L.Hasz caught at CIT44, for 9 yards to the CIT38 (#8 T.McDaniel), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:36
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+16
99.8%
(01:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Chambliss pass complete short left to #9 L.Hasz caught at CIT33, for 16 yards to the CIT22 (#3 M.Ravenel; #26 N.Jones), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
99.8%
(01:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 K.Lacy rush middle for 0 yards to the CIT22 (#42 D.Ware)Similar
Q2 1:01
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+15
99.8%
(01:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Chambliss pass incomplete deep right to #11 D.Alexander thrown to CIT00 PENALTY CIT Pass Interference (#7 B.Jones) 15 yards from CIT22 to CIT07, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 0:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
99.8%
(00:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Chambliss pass complete short left to #1 D.Stribling caught at CIT08, for 4 yards to the CIT03 (#3 M.Ravenel), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 0:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.8%
(00:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 K.Lacy rush middle for 3 yards gain to the CIT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:45 #17 L.Carneiro kick attempt good (H: #33 O.Bird, LS: #93 C.Short)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CITDrive 12END OF HALF
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:320% → 0%
Q2 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.8%
(00:44) Shotgun #44 S.Boyle rush middle for 0 yards to the CIT25 (#44 A.Jones; #52 W.Echoles)Similar
Q2 0:04
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.8%
(00:04) Shotgun #44 S.Boyle rush middle for 4 yards gain to the CIT29 (#52 W.Echoles; #6 T.Dottery)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CITDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · -10 yds · 1:330% → 0%
Q3 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.8%
(14:59) Shotgun #9 C.Thompkins pass complete short left to #22 G.Johnson Sr. caught at CIT21, for 0 yards to the CIT25 (#44 A.Jones)Similar
Q3 14:09
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
(14:17) Shotgun #9 C.Thompkins pass incomplete deep left to #82 H.Monroe thrown to OM38 broken up by #14 K.Gushiken QB hurried by #4 S.PerkinsSimilar
Q3 14:02
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-5
99.9%
(14:08) Shotgun #9 C.Thompkins sacked for loss of 10 yards to the CIT15 (#4 S.Perkins, #3 S.Ryan)Similar
Q3 13:16
4TH & 20
OWN 15
0
99.9%
(13:23) #90 J.Platte punt 38 yards to the OM47, out of bounds at OM47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 14TD
5 plays · 53 yds · 1:35100% → 100%
Q3 13:06
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+40
99.9%
(13:16) Shotgun #6 T.Chambliss pass complete short middle to #4 C.Odom caught at CIT48, for 40 yards to the CIT13 (#13 C.Williams), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 12:15
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+6
99.9%
(12:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Chambliss pass complete short right to #2 H.Wallace III caught at CIT07, for 6 yards to the CIT07, End Of Play. The previous play is under automatic review - "Pass completion". CALL UPHELDSimilar
Q3 11:49
2ND & 4
OPP 7
+6
99.9%
(11:55) Shotgun #6 T.Chambliss pass complete short right to #2 H.Wallace III caught at CIT01, for 6 yards to the CIT01, out of bounds at CIT01, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 11:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.9%
(11:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Chambliss pass incomplete short right to #4 C.Odom thrown to CIT01Similar
Q3 11:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
(11:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Chambliss pass complete short right to #4 C.Odom caught at CIT01, for 1 yard to the CIT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:31 #17 L.Carneiro kick attempt good (H: #33 O.Bird, LS: #93 C.Short)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CITDrive 15PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 4:230% → 0%
Q3 11:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.9%
(11:31) Shotgun #17 Q.Hayes rush right for 6 yards gain to the CIT31 (#7 T.Banks; #31 L.Clardy)Similar
Q3 10:42
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
99.9%
(10:47) Shotgun #17 Q.Hayes rush middle for 3 yards gain to the CIT34 (#38 T.Banks; #95 A.Maddox)Similar
Q3 9:58
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
99.9%
(10:03) Shotgun #17 Q.Hayes rush middle for 2 yards gain to the CIT36 (#7 T.Banks; #31 L.Clardy), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 9:07
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
99.9%
(09:20) Shotgun #17 Q.Hayes rush middle for 0 yards to the CIT36 (#38 T.Banks)Similar
Q3 8:29
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
99.9%
(08:34) Shotgun #11 B.Herrington rush middle for 0 yards to the CIT36 (#15 D.Womack; #38 T.Banks)Similar
Q3 7:35
3RD & 10
OWN 36
+7
99.9%
(07:51) Shotgun #9 C.Thompkins pass complete short left to #88 K.Brown caught at CIT42, for 7 yards to the CIT43, out of bounds at CIT43Similar
Q3 7:00
4TH & 3
OWN 43
0
99.9%
(07:08) #90 J.Platte punt 43 yards to the OM14 fair catch by #15 I.Hartrup at OM14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:08100% → 100%
Q3 6:47
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+5
99.9%
(06:58) Shotgun #13 A.Simmons pass complete short middle to #1 D.Stribling caught at OM11, for 5 yards to the OM19 (#31 J.Mosley; #42 D.Ware)Similar
Q3 6:35
2ND & 5
OWN 19
+9
99.9%
(06:35) Shotgun #22 L.Diggs rush middle for 13 yards gain to the OM32 (#11 P.Betts; #32 T.Elam) PENALTY OM Holding (#69 J.Koury) 9 yards from OM19 to OM10. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 6:05
2ND & 14
OWN 10
+10
99.9%
(06:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Simmons pass complete short left to #85 T.Bruckler caught at OM14, for 10 yards to the OM20 (#42 D.Ware; #40 C.Gray)Similar
Q3 5:48
3RD & 4
OWN 20
0
99.9%
(05:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Simmons pass incomplete short right to #85 T.Bruckler thrown to OM24Similar
Q3 5:39
4TH & 4
OWN 20
+1
99.9%
(05:48) #33 O.Bird punt 56 yards to the CIT24 #83 B.Knauth return 1 yard to the CIT25 (#14 K.Gushiken), out of boundsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CITDrive 17DOWNS
9 plays · 60 yds · 4:390% → 0%
Q3 5:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+41
99.9%
(05:35) #11 B.Herrington rush middle for 41 yards gain to the OM34 (#29 N.Cull), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 4:49
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
99.9%
(04:54) Shotgun #22 G.Johnson Sr. rush middle for 5 yards gain to the OM29 (#34 R.Collins)Similar
Q3 4:08
2ND & 5
OPP 29
0
99.9%
(04:13) Shotgun #20 C.Ibrahim rush middle for 0 yards to the OM29 (#38 T.Banks; #15 D.Womack)Similar
Q3 3:24
3RD & 5
OPP 29
+9
99.9%
(03:30) Shotgun #17 Q.Hayes rush middle for 9 yards gain to the OM20 (#7 T.Banks), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 2:37
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+7
99.9%
(02:49) Shotgun #17 Q.Hayes rush left for 7 yards gain to the OM13 (#34 R.Collins). #34 R.Collins injured on the playSimilar
Q3 2:01
2ND & 3
OPP 13
-2
99.9%
(02:05) Shotgun #11 B.Herrington rush middle for 2 yards loss to the OM15 (#38 T.Banks; #95 A.Maddox)Similar
Q3 1:16
3RD & 5
OPP 15
+4
99.9%
(01:22) #17 Q.Hayes rush left for 4 yards gain to the OM11 (#96 J.Brown; #95 A.Maddox)Similar
Q3 0:50
4TH & 1
OPP 11
-4
99.9%
(00:54) #2 J.Graves-Billips rush left for 4 yards loss to the OM15 (#4 S.Perkins; #6 T.Dottery), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 18INT
7 plays · 40 yds · 1:17100% → 100%
Q3 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
99.9%
(00:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Simmons pass incomplete deep middle to #19 C.Lee thrown to CIT41Similar
Q3 0:28
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+14
99.9%
(00:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Simmons pass complete short right to #4 C.Odom caught at OM21, for 14 yards to the OM29 (#32 T.Elam), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 0:19
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
99.9%
PENALTY OM False Start (#3 C.Cunningham) 5 yards from OM29 to OM24. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 14:53
1ST & 15
OWN 24
+31
99.9%
(15:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Simmons pass complete short right to #19 C.Lee caught at OM39, for 31 yards to the CIT45 (#32 T.Elam), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 14:33
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
99.9%
(14:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Simmons pass incomplete deep left to #11 D.Alexander thrown to CIT08Similar
Q4 14:25
2ND & 10
OPP 45
-32
99.9%
(14:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Simmons pass intercepted by #45 M.Rosa at OM49 broken up by #19 J.Holmes #45 M.Rosa return 32 yards to the OM17 (#13 A.Simmons)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CITDrive 19MISSED FG
4 plays · 3 yds · 2:060% → 0%
Q4 14:14
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-1
99.9%
(14:16) Shotgun #11 B.Herrington rush middle for 1 yard loss to the OM18 (#38 T.Banks)Similar
Q4 13:39
2ND & 11
OPP 18
-1
99.9%
(13:44) Shotgun #11 B.Herrington rush middle for 1 yard loss to the OM19 (#95 A.Maddox)Similar
Q4 12:53
3RD & 12
OPP 19
+5
99.9%
(12:59) Shotgun #17 Q.Hayes rush right for 5 yards gain to the OM14 (#24 A.Jaffe; #95 A.Maddox)Similar
Q4 12:08
4TH & 7
OPP 14
+32
99.9%
(12:11) #46 J.Weil field goal attempt from 32 yards NO GOOD (H: #0 J.McCall, LS: #61 T.DiLiegro), clock 12:08Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:18100% → 100%
Q4 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
99.9%
(12:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Simmons pass complete short middle to #4 C.Odom caught at OM25, for 5 yards to the OM25 (#11 P.Betts)Similar
Q4 11:43
2ND & 5
OWN 25
-2
99.9%
(11:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Simmons sacked for loss of 4 yards to the OM21 (#42 D.Ware, #56 J.Cole)Similar
Q4 11:19
3RD & 9
OWN 21
-1
99.9%
(11:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Simmons sacked for loss of 1 yard to the OM20 (#50 L.Alexander Jr.)Similar
Q4 10:37
4TH & 10
OWN 20
-2
99.9%
(10:45) #33 O.Bird punt 57 yards to the CIT23 #83 B.Knauth return for loss of 2 yards to the CIT21 (#13 C.Beavers)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CITDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · -6 yds · 0:570% → 0%
Q4 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-1
99.9%
(10:36) Shotgun #20 C.Ibrahim rush middle for 1 yard loss to the CIT20 (#45 T.Graham)Similar
Q4 9:51
2ND & 11
OWN 20
0
99.9%
(09:56) Shotgun #9 C.Thompkins pass incomplete deep left to #83 B.Knauth thrown to CIT44Similar
Q4 9:45
3RD & 11
OWN 20
0
100.0%
(09:47) Shotgun #9 C.Thompkins pass incomplete short left to #83 B.Knauth thrown to CIT26 broken up by #26 T.Chambers QB hurried by #90 J.RushSimilar
Q4 9:34
4TH & 11
OWN 20
0
100.0%
(09:44) #90 J.Platte punt 46 yards to the OM34 PENALTY CIT Illegal Formation 5 yards from OM34 to OM39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 22TD
9 plays · 61 yds · 2:58100% → 100%
Q4 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+7
99.9%
(09:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 W.Watkins rush right for 7 yards gain to the OM46 fumbled by #17 W.Watkins at OM46 forced by #45 M.Rosa, out of bounds at OM46Similar
Q4 9:07
2ND & 3
OWN 46
+5
99.9%
(09:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.Taylor rush right for 5 yards gain to the CIT49 (#32 T.Elam), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 8:42
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
99.9%
(08:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Simmons rush right for 6 yards gain to the CIT43 (#19 J.Holmes)Similar
Q4 8:14
2ND & 4
OPP 43
+26
99.9%
(08:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Simmons pass complete short left to #84 D.Alfred caught at CIT30, for 26 yards to the CIT17 (#10 D.Nyangweso), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 7:55
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+7
99.9%
(07:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Simmons rush left for 7 yards gain to the CIT10 (#45 M.Rosa), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 7:29
2ND & 3
OPP 10
+6
99.9%
(07:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.Taylor rush middle for 6 yards gain to the CIT04 (#93 C.Iverson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 6:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
99.9%
(07:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Simmons pass incomplete short left to #19 C.Lee thrown to CIT00Similar
Q4 6:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
99.9%
(06:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.Taylor rush middle for 3 yards gain to the CIT01 (#5 J.Roberts)Similar
Q4 6:24
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
100.0%
(06:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.Taylor rush middle for 1 yard gain to the CIT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 06:24 #17 L.Carneiro kick attempt good (H: #33 O.Bird, LS: #94 C.Blankenship)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CITDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · -11 yds · 1:350% → 0%
Q4 6:14
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-4
100.0%
(06:21) Shotgun #9 C.Thompkins rush left for 4 yards loss to the CIT31 (#47 D.Holmes Jr.)Similar
Q4 5:37
2ND & 14
OWN 31
0
100.0%
(05:43) Shotgun #89 W.Hobgood pass incomplete deep right to #88 K.Brown thrown to OM48Similar
Q4 5:31
3RD & 14
OWN 31
-7
100.0%
(05:36) Shotgun #9 C.Thompkins sacked for loss of 7 yards to the CIT24 (#45 T.Graham)Similar
Q4 4:39
4TH & 21
OWN 24
-11
100.0%
(04:52) #90 J.Platte punt 43 yards to the OM33 #15 I.Hartrup return for loss of 11 yards to the OM22 (#7 B.Jones)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 24DOWNS
14 plays · 70 yds · 4:18100% → 100%
Q4 4:31
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+11
100.0%
(04:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.Taylor rush middle for 11 yards gain to the OM33 (#42 D.Ware; #76 J.Marks), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
100.0%
(04:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.Taylor rush middle for 5 yards gain to the OM38 (#31 J.Mosley)Similar
Q4 3:36
2ND & 5
OWN 38
+5
100.0%
(03:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.Taylor rush right for 5 yards gain to the OM43 (#32 T.Elam), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
100.0%
(03:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.Taylor rush middle for 3 yards gain to the OM46 (#56 J.Cole; #11 P.Betts)Similar
Q4 2:32
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+6
100.0%
(02:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #33 S.Mills-Knight rush middle for 6 yards gain to the CIT48 (#31 J.Mosley)Similar
Q4 2:03
3RD & 1
OPP 48
+2
100.0%
(02:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #33 S.Mills-Knight rush middle for 2 yards gain to the CIT46 (#32 T.Elam), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:53
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+13
100.0%
(01:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #33 S.Mills-Knight rush right for 13 yards gain to the CIT33 (#32 T.Elam), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:46
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+19
100.0%
(01:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Maddox pass complete short left to #3 C.Cunningham caught at CIT30, for 19 yards to the CIT14 (#11 P.Betts), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:40
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
100.0%
(01:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #33 S.Mills-Knight rush middle for 0 yards to the CIT14 (#52 C.Smith)Similar
Q4 1:14
2ND & 10
OPP 14
-2
100.0%
(01:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #33 S.Mills-Knight rush left for 2 yards loss to the CIT16 (#32 T.Elam)Similar
Q4 0:37
3RD & 12
OPP 16
+8
100.0%
(00:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Maddox rush middle for 8 yards gain to the CIT08 (#42 D.Ware)Similar
Q4 0:13
4TH & 4
OPP 8
0
100.0%
(00:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #33 S.Mills-Knight rush middle for 0 yards to the CIT08, End Of Play, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CITDrive 25END OF GAME
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 8
-1
100.0%
(00:05) Kneel down by #17 Q.Hayes at CIT07 for loss of 1 yardSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q1 0:23
(00:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Chambliss pass complete short left to #17 W.Watkins caught at CIT00, for 11 yards to the CIT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:23, 1ST DOWN #17 L.Carneiro kick attempt good (H: #33 O.Bird, LS: #93 C.Short)
+0.2
TD · Q2 10:48
(10:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Chambliss pass complete deep middle to #19 C.Lee caught at CIT01, for 22 yards to the CIT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:48, 1ST DOWN #17 L.Carneiro kick attempt good (H: #33 O.Bird, LS: #93 C.Short)
+0.2
TD · Q1 6:34
(06:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 K.Lacy rush middle for 15 yards gain to the CIT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 06:34, 1ST DOWN #17 L.Carneiro kick attempt good (H: #33 O.Bird, LS: #93 C.Short)
+0.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com