ARDLINETry the model
TEX

Texas 45 at Mississippi State 38

MSST
2025 · Week 9 · Oct 25, 2025 · Davis Wade Stadium
Win probability · MSST
modelMSST aheadTEX aheadconfidence bandkey play
Q1Q2Q3Q4KEY PLAYKEY PLAYTDTDTDKEY PLAYTDKEY PLAY
What moved it - hover a play below
Q5 0:00 · End of OT.
01
Market gave MSST a 27% pregame chance
−19
02
TEX has the ball
+13
03
Blowout context favors the defense
+9
04
0:00 left in regulation
+7
Play by play - hover to pin the curve
Q1 15:00
(15:00) #49 M.Shipley kickoff 59 yards to the MSU06 fair catch by #6 D.Booth at MSU06
0.0
Q1 14:54
(15:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 D.Booth rush middle for 1 yard loss to the MSU24 (#0 A.Hill Jr.)
+2.6
Q1 14:25
(14:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 D.Booth rush left for 8 yards gain to the MSU32 (#18 L.Lefau; #91 E.Burke)
+0.2
Q1 14:11
(14:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Shapen pass incomplete short middle to #6 D.Booth thrown to MSU33 broken up by #18 L.Lefau
0.0
Q1 13:59
(14:08) #88 E.Pulliam punt 47 yards to the TEX21 #21 R.Niblett return 16 yards to the TEX37 (#19 C.Reyes)
-0.3
Q1 13:46
(13:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass complete short right to #1 R.Wingo caught at TEX34, for 60 yards to the MSU03 (#16 D.Gullette), 1ST DOWN
-3.3
Q1 13:01
(13:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning rush left for 3 yards gain to the MSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 13:01 #49 M.Shipley kick attempt good (H: #19 J.Bouwmeester, LS: #58 L.St. Louis)
-17.0
Q1 13:01
(13:01) #49 M.Shipley kickoff 62 yards to the MSU03 fair catch by #6 D.Booth at MSU03
+0.9
Q1 12:52
(13:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 D.Booth rush right for 5 yards gain to the MSU30 (#0 A.Hill Jr.; #2 D.Williams Jr.)
+3.4
Q1 12:31
(12:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 D.Booth rush middle for 2 yards gain to the MSU32 (#1 C.Simmons; #98 M.Watson)
0.0
Q1 12:10
(12:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Shapen pass incomplete short left to #8 S.Traore thrown to MSU29
0.0
Q1 11:59
(12:07) #88 E.Pulliam punt 58 yards to the TEX10 PENALTY TEX Illegal Block in Back (#4 J.McDonald) 5 yards from TEX10 to TEX05
0.0
Q1 11:52
(11:59) No Huddle #5 Q.Wisner rush middle for 4 yards gain to the TEX09 (#13 J.Manning)
-3.9
Q1 11:21
(11:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 Q.Wisner rush middle for 4 yards gain to the TEX13 (#13 J.Manning; #8 M.Sylla)
0.0
Q1 10:44
(10:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass incomplete short left to #0 D.Moore Jr. thrown to TEX22 broken up by #22 K.Bingley-Jones
0.0
Q1 10:36
(10:41) #19 J.Bouwmeester punt 47 yards to the MSU40 fair catch by #3 A.Evans III at MSU40
0.0
Q1 10:29
(10:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Shapen pass incomplete short right to #87 S.West thrown to TEX44 QB hurried by #0 A.Hill Jr.
+4.3
Q1 10:26
(10:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Shapen pass incomplete deep right to #3 A.Evans III thrown to TEX24 PENALTY TEX Pass Interference (#29 G.Littleton) 15 yards from MSU40 to TEX45, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY
0.0
Q1 10:15
(10:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 X.Gayten rush left for 1 yard gain to the TEX44 (#1 C.Simmons; #18 L.Lefau)
+0.8
Q1 9:43
(09:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Shapen pass complete short right to #8 S.Traore caught at TEX35, for 15 yards to the TEX29 (#29 G.Littleton; #3 J.Guilbeau), 1ST DOWN
0.0
Q1 9:23
(09:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 X.Gayten rush middle for 0 yards to the TEX29 (#18 L.Lefau; #98 M.Watson)
+0.8
Q1 8:56
(08:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Shapen pass incomplete short left to #3 A.Evans III thrown to TEX25
-0.3
Q1 8:52
(08:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Shapen pass incomplete short right to #0 B.Thompson thrown to TEX22 broken up by #8 T.Moore
-0.2
Q1 8:47
(08:49) #80 K.Ferrie field goal attempt from 47 yards NO GOOD blocked by #91 E.Burke (H: #49 M.Hauck, LS: #45 E.Myers), clock 08:47 recovered by TEX Texas at TEX29, End Of Play
-0.3
Q1 8:40
(08:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Baxter rush middle for 1 yard gain to the TEX30 (#42 D.Reed; #10 J.Smith)
-5.4
Q1 8:19
(08:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass incomplete short left to #1 R.Wingo thrown to TEX25
+0.2
Q1 8:11
(08:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning sacked for loss of 10 yards to the TEX20 (#16 D.Gullette)
0.0
Q1 7:36
(07:41) #19 J.Bouwmeester punt 33 yards to the MSU47, out of bounds at MSU47
0.0
Q1 7:27
(07:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Shapen pass complete short left to #8 S.Traore caught at MSU47, for 10 yards to the TEX43 (#5 M.Muhammad; #17 X.Filsaime), 1ST DOWN
+4.6
Q1 7:10
(07:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 D.Booth rush right for 10 yards gain to the TEX33 (#29 G.Littleton; #4 J.McDonald), 1ST DOWN
+1.1
Q1 6:48
(06:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Shapen pass complete short right to #3 A.Evans III caught at TEX14, for 20 yards to the TEX13 (#17 X.Filsaime), 1ST DOWN
+0.2
Q1 6:28
(06:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 D.Booth rush middle for 0 yards to the TEX13 (#14 B.Spence; #15 J.Terry)
0.0
Q1 5:57
(06:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 D.Booth rush middle for 0 yards to the TEX13 (#8 T.Moore; #93 H.Kanu)
0.0
Q1 5:14
(05:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Shapen pass complete short middle to #87 S.West caught at TEX09, for 13 yards to the TEX00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:14, 1ST DOWN #80 K.Ferrie kick attempt good (H: #49 M.Hauck, LS: #45 E.Myers)
+16.8
Q1 5:14
(05:14) #80 K.Ferrie kickoff 65 yards to the TEX00, Touchback
-2.1
Q1 5:08
(05:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass complete short middle to #0 D.Moore Jr. caught at TEX21, for 12 yards to the TEX37 (#9 T.Mitchell; #10 J.Smith), 1ST DOWN
-3.4
Q1 4:42
(04:42) PENALTY TEX False Start (#0 D.Moore Jr.) 5 yards from TEX37 to TEX32. NO PLAY
-0.2
Q1 4:05
(04:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass complete short right to #5 Q.Wisner caught at TEX27, for 3 yards loss to the TEX29 (#13 J.Manning)
+0.2
Q1 3:37
(03:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass complete short right to #88 J.Endries caught at TEX28, for 1 yard loss to the TEX28 (#8 M.Sylla)
+0.1
Q1 3:07
(03:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass incomplete short middle to #1 R.Wingo thrown to TEX47
0.0
Q1 2:59
(03:05) #19 J.Bouwmeester punt 44 yards to the MSU28
0.0
Q1 2:50
(02:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Shapen rush middle for 3 yards gain to the MSU31 (#93 H.Kanu; #18 L.Lefau)
+3.4
Q1 2:31
(02:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 D.Booth rush middle for 6 yards gain to the MSU37 (#4 J.McDonald)
0.0
Q1 2:09
(02:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 D.Booth rush middle for 0 yards to the MSU37 (#4 J.McDonald)
+0.2
Q1 1:55
(01:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 D.Booth rush middle for 0 yards to the MSU37 (#4 J.McDonald; #18 L.Lefau), TURNOVER ON DOWNS
-0.3
Q1 1:48
(01:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Baxter rush middle for 10 yards gain to the MSU27 (#13 J.Manning; #4 D.Brumfield), 1ST DOWN
-5.6
Q1 1:31
(01:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Baxter rush middle for 5 yards gain to the MSU22 (#1 K.Jones; #16 D.Gullette)
0.0
Q1 0:56
(01:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 Q.Wisner rush right for 2 yards gain to the MSU20 (#27 R.Hibbler)
+0.1
Q1 0:22
PENALTY TEX False Start (#83 S.Shannon) 5 yards from MSU20 to MSU25. NO PLAY
0.0
Q1 0:05
(00:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass complete short left to #0 D.Moore Jr. caught at MSU11, for 14 yards to the MSU11 (#3 B.Lanier), 1ST DOWN
+16.1
Q1 0:00
End of 1st quarter.
+2.8
Q2 14:54
(15:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Baxter rush middle for 0 yards to the MSU11 (#16 D.Gullette)
-2.3
Q2 14:22
(14:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning rush left for 4 yards gain to the MSU07 (#13 J.Manning)
+0.1
Q2 13:45
(13:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass incomplete short left to #1 R.Wingo thrown to MSU00
0.0
Q2 13:21
(13:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Baxter rush middle for 2 yards gain to the MSU01 (#16 D.Gullette; #27 R.Hibbler). The previous play is under automatic review - "Runner was down by contact". CALL UPHELD
0.0
Q2 13:02
(13:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Baxter rush middle for 0 yards to the MSU01 (#13 J.Manning)
0.0
Q2 12:41
Parker Livingstone 1 Yd pass from Arch Manning (Mason Shipley Kick)
-32.3
Q2 12:37
(12:41) #49 M.Shipley kickoff 64 yards to the MSU01 #6 D.Booth return 16 yards to the MSU17 (#18 L.Lefau)
+0.9
Q2 12:30
(12:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 X.Gayten rush right for 2 yards gain to the MSU19 (#44 T.Shaw; #97 A.January)
+4.3
Q2 12:06
(12:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Shapen pass complete short middle to #3 A.Evans III caught at MSU35, for 26 yards to the MSU45 (#24 W.Roberson), 1ST DOWN
0.0
Q2 11:47
(11:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Shapen rush left for 12 yards gain to the TEX43 (#29 G.Littleton), 1ST DOWN
+0.4
Q2 11:17
(11:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 D.Booth rush middle for 2 yards gain to the TEX41 (#1 C.Simmons; #91 E.Burke)
+1.3
Q2 10:54
(10:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Shapen pass complete short right to #3 A.Evans III caught at TEX45, for 5 yards to the TEX36 (#0 A.Hill Jr.)
+0.6
Q2 10:32
(10:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 D.Booth rush middle for 5 yards gain to the TEX31 (#4 J.McDonald; #3 J.Guilbeau), 1ST DOWN
+0.9
Q2 10:05
(10:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Shapen pass complete short middle to #0 B.Thompson caught at TEX14, for 24 yards to the TEX07 (#3 J.Guilbeau; #17 X.Filsaime), 1ST DOWN
+0.3
Q2 9:48
(09:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Shapen pass incomplete short middle to #0 B.Thompson thrown to TEX00 QB hurried by #0 A.Hill Jr.
0.0
Q2 9:40
(09:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 D.Booth rush middle for 6 yards gain to the TEX01 (#17 X.Filsaime; #4 J.McDonald)
0.0
Q2 9:26
(09:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Shapen pass incomplete short right to #3 A.Evans III thrown to TEX01 QB hurried by #4 J.McDonald
-0.2
Q2 9:21
Seydou Traore 1 Yd pass from Kamario Taylor (Kyle Ferrie Kick)
+16.3
Q2 9:21
(09:21) #80 K.Ferrie kickoff 65 yards to the TEX00, Touchback
-1.7
Q2 9:10
(09:21) No Huddle #16 A.Manning pass complete short right to #21 R.Niblett caught at TEX20, for 2 yards to the TEX27 (#10 J.Smith; #6 D.Anderson)
-3.1
Q2 8:45
(08:51) No Huddle #21 R.Niblett rush middle for 2 yards loss to the TEX25 (#8 M.Sylla)
0.0
Q2 8:07
(08:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning rush middle for 15 yards gain to the TEX40 (#3 B.Lanier), 1ST DOWN
-1.8
Q2 7:40
(07:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 Q.Wisner rush middle for 6 yards gain to the TEX46 (#2 I.Smith)
-1.0
Q2 7:16
(07:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass complete short left to #0 D.Moore Jr. caught at TEX45, for 1 yard loss to the TEX45 (#13 J.Manning)
-1.0
Q2 6:54
(06:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass incomplete short right to #3 E.Mosley V thrown to MSU45 QB hurried by #10 J.Smith
+0.2
Q2 6:48
(06:52) #19 J.Bouwmeester punt 47 yards to the MSU08 fair catch by #3 A.Evans III at MSU08
+0.3
Q2 6:39
(06:48) Shotgun #2 B.Shapen pass complete short right to #0 B.Thompson caught at MSU14, for 12 yards to the MSU20 (#5 M.Muhammad), 1ST DOWN
+7.3
Q2 6:22
(06:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Shapen pass incomplete short right to #6 D.Booth thrown to MSU24
0.0
Q2 6:17
(06:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Shapen pass incomplete short right to #0 B.Thompson thrown to MSU23 QB hurried by #0 A.Hill Jr.
0.0
Q2 6:12
(06:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Shapen pass incomplete short middle to #6 D.Booth thrown to MSU25
0.0
Q2 6:01
(06:09) #88 E.Pulliam punt 38 yards to the TEX42
-0.3
Q2 5:47
(06:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass intercepted by #1 K.Jones at MSU35 #1 K.Jones return 25 yards to the TEX40 (#5 Q.Wisner)
-6.8
Q2 5:40
(05:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 D.Booth rush middle for 8 yards gain to the TEX32 (#18 L.Lefau; #3 J.Guilbeau)
+9.6
Q2 5:20
(05:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 D.Booth rush middle for 1 yard gain to the TEX31 (#91 E.Burke; #8 T.Moore)
0.0
Q2 4:44
(04:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 D.Booth rush middle for 22 yards gain to the TEX09 (#4 J.McDonald), 1ST DOWN
+0.9
Q2 4:23
(04:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 D.Booth rush middle for 4 yards gain to the TEX05 (#18 L.Lefau; #2 D.Williams Jr.)
+0.2
Q2 3:52
(03:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Shapen sacked for loss of 6 yards to the TEX11 (#93 H.Kanu)
0.0
Q2 3:03
(03:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Shapen pass complete short middle to #22 X.Gayten caught at TEX06, for 5 yards to the TEX06 (#8 T.Moore)
-0.2
Q2 2:30
Kyle Ferrie 24 Yd Field Goal
+4.8
Q2 2:30
(02:30) #80 K.Ferrie kickoff 65 yards to the TEX00, Touchback
-0.8
Q2 2:08
(02:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 Q.Wisner rush middle for 6 yards loss to the TEX19 fumbled by #5 Q.Wisner at TEX20 recovered by TEX #5 Q.Wisner at TEX19 (#88 J.Burroughs)
-1.7
Q2 1:55
(01:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass complete short middle to #0 D.Moore Jr. caught at TEX26, for 7 yards to the TEX26 (#40 N.Mitchell)
0.0
Q2 1:50
(01:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning sacked for loss of 7 yards to the TEX19 (#40 N.Mitchell, #92 J.Bledsoe)
+1.8
Q2 1:54
Timeout Mississippi State, clock 01:54
+3.0
Q2 1:49
Timeout Mississippi State, clock 01:49
+1.8
Q2 1:43
(01:43) #19 J.Bouwmeester punt 41 yards to the MSU40 fair catch by #3 A.Evans III at MSU40
-4.8
Q2 1:36
(01:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Shapen rush middle for 3 yards gain to the MSU43 (#40 L.Jackson; #0 A.Hill Jr.)
+3.9
Q2 1:21
(01:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Shapen pass complete short left to #11 A.Williams caught at TEX49, for 11 yards to the TEX46 (#3 J.Guilbeau), 1ST DOWN
-1.5
Q2 1:02
(01:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Shapen pass complete short left to #11 A.Williams caught at TEX39, for 7 yards to the TEX39 (#3 J.Guilbeau)
+1.3
Q2 0:55
(00:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Shapen pass complete short right to #8 S.Traore caught at TEX30, for 15 yards to the TEX24 (#4 J.McDonald; #18 L.Lefau), 1ST DOWN
+0.4
Q2 0:43
(00:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Shapen rush right for 1 yard gain to the TEX23 (#0 A.Hill Jr.)
0.0
Q2 0:38
Brenen Thompson 23 Yd pass from Blake Shapen (Kyle Ferrie Kick)
+15.6
Q2 0:38
(00:38) #80 K.Ferrie kickoff 65 yards to the TEX00, Touchback
-0.3
Q2 0:31
(00:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass complete short left to #88 J.Endries caught at TEX30, for 12 yards to the TEX37 (#40 N.Mitchell; #13 J.Manning), 1ST DOWN
-3.5
Q2 0:23
(00:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass complete short left to #5 Q.Wisner caught at TEX40, for 5 yards to the TEX42 (#13 J.Manning)
-0.1
Q2 0:15
(00:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass complete short right to #5 Q.Wisner caught at TEX33, for 9 yards loss to the TEX33 (#40 N.Mitchell)
+0.7
Q2 0:23
Timeout Texas, clock 00:23
-0.5
Q2 0:08
(00:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass incomplete deep left to #1 R.Wingo thrown to MSU19 broken up by #1 K.Jones
+3.1
Q2 0:15
Timeout Texas, clock 00:15
0.0
Q2 0:05
(00:05) #19 J.Bouwmeester punt 55 yards to the MSU12
0.0
Q2 0:00
End of 2nd quarter.
-1.0
Q3 15:00
(15:00) #80 K.Ferrie kickoff 65 yards to the TEX00, Touchback
+1.4
Q3 14:54
(15:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 Q.Wisner rush middle for 4 yards gain to the TEX29 (#22 K.Bingley-Jones; #7 Z.Tillman)
-2.4
Q3 14:24
(14:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass complete short right to #1 R.Wingo caught at TEX28, for 0 yards to the TEX29 (#4 D.Brumfield)
+0.2
Q3 13:44
(13:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass complete short left to #0 D.Moore Jr. caught at TEX36, for 9 yards to the TEX38 (#40 N.Mitchell), 1ST DOWN
0.0
Q3 13:16
(13:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 Q.Wisner rush middle for 1 yard gain to the TEX39 (#7 Z.Tillman; #35 K.Dinkins)
0.0
Q3 12:40
(12:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass complete short left to #1 R.Wingo caught at TEX36, for 47 yards to the MSU14 (#1 K.Jones), 1ST DOWN
0.0
Q3 12:05
(12:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 Q.Wisner rush right for 4 yards gain to the MSU10 (#2 I.Smith; #3 B.Lanier)
+1.1
Q3 11:34
(11:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning sacked for loss of 1 yard to the MSU11 (#23 T.Williams)
0.0
Q3 10:45
(10:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass incomplete short right to #3 E.Mosley V thrown to MSU06 QB hurried by #8 M.Sylla
+0.9
Q3 10:41
(10:42) #49 M.Shipley field goal attempt from 29 yards NO GOOD (H: #19 J.Bouwmeester, LS: #58 L.St. Louis), clock 10:41
+0.9
Q3 10:33
(10:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 D.Booth rush left for 11 yards gain to the MSU31 (#4 J.McDonald), 1ST DOWN
+3.5
Q3 10:16
(10:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Shapen pass incomplete short left to #11 A.Williams thrown to MSU31
+0.1
Q3 10:16
(10:16) PENALTY TEX Offside (#1 C.Simmons) 5 yards from MSU31 to MSU36. NO PLAY
0.0
Q3 10:10
(10:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 D.Booth rush middle for 0 yards to the MSU36 (#0 A.Hill Jr.)
0.0
Q3 9:30
(09:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Shapen rush middle for 4 yards gain to the MSU40 (#93 H.Kanu)
+0.2
Q3 8:46
(08:54) #88 E.Pulliam punt 48 yards to the TEX12 #21 R.Niblett return 0 yards to the TEX12 (#26 D.Lewis III)
-0.7
Q3 8:39
(08:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Baxter rush middle for 3 yards gain to the TEX15 (#13 J.Manning; #88 J.Burroughs)
-1.7
Q3 8:15
(08:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Baxter rush middle for 5 yards gain to the TEX20 (#13 J.Manning; #8 M.Sylla)
0.0
Q3 7:38
(07:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass incomplete short right to #3 E.Mosley V thrown to TEX24 broken up by #6 D.Anderson
0.0
Q3 7:28
(07:35) #19 J.Bouwmeester punt 48 yards to the MSU32 fair catch by #3 A.Evans III at MSU32
0.0
Q3 7:28
(07:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Shapen pass incomplete short middle to #3 A.Evans III thrown to MSU48 QB hurried by #91 E.Burke PENALTY MSU Ineligible Downfield on Pass (#72 C.Boone) 5 yards from MSU32 to MSU27. NO PLAY
+2.6
Q3 7:20
(07:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Shapen pass complete short left to #11 A.Williams caught at MSU33, for 18 yards to the MSU45 (#29 G.Littleton), 1ST DOWN
0.0
Q3 7:02
(07:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Shapen pass incomplete short middle to #3 A.Evans III thrown to TEX40
+0.2
Q3 6:49
(06:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Shapen pass complete short right to #9 R.Johnson caught at MSU45, for 3 yards to the MSU48 (#29 G.Littleton)
0.0
Q3 6:20
(06:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Shapen rush middle for 5 yards gain to the TEX47 (#40 L.Jackson)
-0.2
Q3 5:32
(05:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Shapen sacked for loss of 10 yards to the MSU43 (#40 L.Jackson, #97 A.January), TURNOVER ON DOWNS
+0.3
Q3 5:28
(05:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass complete short right to #3 E.Mosley V caught at MSU36, for 7 yards to the MSU36, End Of Play
-3.8
Q3 5:11
(05:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 Q.Wisner rush right for 1 yard gain to the MSU35 (#44 B.Jennings)
-0.5
Q3 4:48
(04:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning sacked for loss of 8 yards to the MSU43 (#27 R.Hibbler, #16 D.Gullette)
-0.3
Q3 4:09
(04:14) #19 J.Bouwmeester punt 43 yards to the MSU00, Touchback
+2.2
Q3 4:00
(04:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 D.Booth rush right for 3 yards gain to the MSU23 (#1 C.Simmons; #0 A.Hill Jr.)
+4.1
Q3 3:28
(03:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Shapen sacked for loss of 6 yards to the MSU17 (#97 A.January)
0.0
Q3 2:47
(02:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Shapen pass complete short left to #6 D.Booth caught at MSU11, for 21 yards to the MSU38 (#4 J.McDonald; #17 X.Filsaime), 1ST DOWN
+0.5
Q3 2:26
(02:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Shapen pass complete short left to #11 A.Williams caught at MSU46, for 33 yards to the TEX29 (#4 J.McDonald), 1ST DOWN, PENALTY TEX Personal Foul (#4 J.McDonald) 14 yards from TEX29 to TEX15, 1ST DOWN
+0.1
Q3 2:03
(02:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Shapen pass complete short left to #8 S.Traore caught at TEX10, for 11 yards to the TEX04 (#29 G.Littleton; #17 X.Filsaime), 1ST DOWN
+1.3
Q3 1:45
(01:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Shapen rush right for 0 yards to the TEX04 (#17 X.Filsaime; #4 J.McDonald)
0.0
Q3 1:19
PENALTY TEX Offside (#98 M.Watson) 2 yards from TEX04 to TEX02. NO PLAY
0.0
Q3 0:59
(01:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 D.Booth rush middle for 2 yards loss to the TEX04 (#91 E.Burke)
0.0
Q3 0:26
Brenen Thompson 4 Yd pass from Blake Shapen (Kyle Ferrie Kick)
+14.5
Q3 0:20
(00:26) #80 K.Ferrie kickoff 60 yards to the TEX05 #21 R.Niblett return 15 yards to the TEX20 (#46 J.Head Jr.)
-0.3
Q3 0:11
(00:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass complete short right to #3 E.Mosley V caught at TEX33, for 15 yards to the TEX35 (#4 D.Brumfield), 1ST DOWN
-5.0
Q3 0:11
(00:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Baxter rush right for 1 yard gain to the TEX36 (#35 K.Dinkins)
0.0
Q3 0:00
End of 3rd quarter.
-0.3
Q4 14:47
(14:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass complete short left to #5 Q.Wisner caught at TEX33, for 1 yard loss to the TEX35 (#8 M.Sylla)
+2.4
Q4 13:59
(14:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass complete deep left to #1 R.Wingo caught at MSU17, for 62 yards to the MSU03 (#13 J.Manning), 1ST DOWN
0.0
Q4 13:28
(13:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass incomplete short left to #3 E.Mosley V thrown to MSU00 PENALTY MSU Pass Interference (#13 J.Manning) 1 yard from MSU03 to MSU02, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY
-0.3
Q4 13:23
(13:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass incomplete short right to #3 E.Mosley V thrown to MSU00 PENALTY MSU Pass Interference (#1 K.Jones) 1 yard from MSU02 to MSU01, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY
0.0
Q4 13:21
PENALTY TEX False Start (#81 N.Townsend) 5 yards from MSU01 to MSU06. NO PLAY
0.0
Q4 13:15
Parker Livingstone 6 Yd pass from Arch Manning (Mason Shipley Kick)
-12.5
Q4 13:15
(13:15) #49 M.Shipley kickoff 65 yards to the MSU00 fair catch by #6 D.Booth at MSU00
+12.8
Q4 13:10
(13:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Shapen pass complete short left to #8 S.Traore caught at MSU24, for 8 yards to the MSU33 (#24 W.Roberson)
+5.0
Q4 12:47
(12:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Shapen pass complete short right to #3 A.Evans III caught at MSU38, for 5 yards to the MSU38 (#27 W.Mack), 1ST DOWN
0.0
Q4 12:29
Davon Booth 62 Yd pass from Blake Shapen (Kyle Ferrie Kick)
+1.2
Q4 12:29
(12:29) #80 K.Ferrie kickoff 65 yards to the TEX00, Touchback
0.0
Q4 12:17
(12:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass complete short right to #88 J.Endries caught at TEX28, for 8 yards to the TEX33 (#7 Z.Tillman; #40 N.Mitchell)
-3.9
Q4 11:55
(11:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass incomplete short middle to #5 Q.Wisner thrown to TEX36
0.0
Q4 11:40
(11:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass complete short middle to #13 P.Livingstone caught at TEX34, for 1 yard to the TEX34 (#2 I.Smith; #13 J.Manning)
0.0
Q4 11:17
(11:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass incomplete short right to #13 P.Livingstone thrown to TEX41 PENALTY MSU Roughing The Passer (#6 D.Anderson) 15 yards from TEX34 to TEX49, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY
0.0
Q4 11:05
(11:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 Q.Wisner rush left for 5 yards gain to the MSU46 (#88 J.Burroughs)
0.0
Q4 10:46
(10:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass incomplete short left to #5 Q.Wisner thrown to MSU39
0.0
Q4 10:35
(10:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass complete short right to #5 Q.Wisner caught at MSU46, for 10 yards to the MSU36 (#1 K.Jones), 1ST DOWN
0.0
Q4 10:10
(10:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass complete short right to #1 R.Wingo caught at MSU22, for 15 yards to the MSU21, End Of Play, 1ST DOWN
-0.4
Q4 9:39
(09:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass incomplete short left to #1 R.Wingo thrown to MSU13
+0.1
Q4 9:34
Emmett Mosley V 21 Yd pass from Arch Manning (Mason Shipley Kick)
-12.8
Q4 9:34
(09:34) #49 M.Shipley kickoff 62 yards to the MSU03 fair catch by #6 D.Booth at MSU03
+1.3
Q4 9:27
(09:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 D.Booth rush left for 1 yard gain to the MSU26 (#1 C.Simmons; #98 M.Watson)
+3.6
Q4 9:00
(09:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Shapen sacked for loss of 3 yards to the MSU23 (#0 A.Hill Jr., #98 M.Watson) PENALTY MSU Holding declined
+1.8
Q4 8:32
(08:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Shapen sacked for loss of 7 yards to the MSU16 (#0 A.Hill Jr.)
+0.1
Q4 7:53
(08:02) #88 E.Pulliam punt 54 yards to the TEX30 #21 R.Niblett return 9 yards to the TEX39 (#26 D.Lewis III)
+0.5
Q4 7:44
(07:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass incomplete deep left to #1 R.Wingo thrown to MSU20 broken up by #1 K.Jones
-1.6
Q4 7:37
(07:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass complete short middle to #88 J.Endries caught at TEX45, for 6 yards to the TEX45 (#44 B.Jennings)
0.0
Q4 7:08
(07:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass complete short right to #0 D.Moore Jr. caught at MSU44, for 12 yards to the MSU43 (#13 J.Manning), 1ST DOWN
-0.3
Q4 6:46
(06:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 Q.Wisner rush right for 9 yards gain to the MSU34 (#10 J.Smith)
+0.5
Q4 6:17
(06:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass incomplete deep right to #13 P.Livingstone thrown to MSU10 QB hurried by #44 B.Jennings PENALTY TEX Holding offsetting MSU Pass Interference offsetting. NO PLAY
-0.2
Q4 6:12
(06:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass incomplete short middle to #88 J.Endries thrown to MSU32 broken up by #16 D.Gullette
0.0
Q4 6:01
(06:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass complete short right to #5 Q.Wisner caught at MSU34, for 15 yards to the MSU19 (#15 J.Williams), 1ST DOWN
+0.6
Q4 5:26
(05:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass incomplete short right to #5 Q.Wisner thrown to MSU03
0.0
Q4 5:17
(05:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass complete short left to #13 P.Livingstone caught at MSU06, for 14 yards to the MSU05 (#21 H.Washington), 1ST DOWN
0.0
Q4 4:59
(05:02) No Huddle #16 A.Manning pass incomplete short middle to #88 J.Endries thrown to MSU00 broken up by #2 I.Smith
0.0
Q4 4:51
(04:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning sacked for loss of 3 yards to the MSU08 (#92 J.Bledsoe)
0.0
Q4 4:18
(04:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass incomplete short right to #1 R.Wingo thrown to MSU05
+1.3
Q4 4:14
Mason Shipley 26 Yd Field Goal
-9.6
Q4 4:08
(04:14) #49 M.Shipley kickoff 65 yards to the MSU00 #6 D.Booth return 13 yards to the MSU13 (#23 J.Johnson-Rubell)
+1.2
Q4 4:01
(04:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 D.Booth rush middle for 4 yards gain to the MSU17 (#97 A.January; #4 J.McDonald)
+9.9
Q4 3:32
(03:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Shapen pass complete short right to #0 B.Thompson caught at MSU20, for 5 yards to the MSU22 (#4 J.McDonald; #3 J.Guilbeau)
+1.5
Q4 2:44
(02:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Taylor rush left for 0 yards to the MSU22 (#91 E.Burke; #97 A.January)
+0.1
Q4 2:52
Timeout Mississippi State, clock 02:52
-0.1
Q4 1:47
Ryan Niblett 79 Yd Punt Return (Mason Shipley Kick)
-34.7
Q4 1:47
(01:47) #49 M.Shipley kickoff 55 yards to the MSU10 fair catch by #6 D.Booth at MSU10
-12.3
Q4 1:40
(01:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 D.Booth rush middle for 4 yards gain to the MSU29 (#91 E.Burke)
+12.7
Q4 1:20
(01:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Shapen pass complete short left to #6 D.Booth caught at MSU23, for 2 yards to the MSU31 (#29 G.Littleton)
0.0
Q4 1:16
(01:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Shapen pass complete short right to #0 B.Thompson caught at MSU39, for 8 yards to the MSU39, End Of Play, 1ST DOWN
0.0
Q4 1:06
(01:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Shapen pass complete short right to #3 A.Evans III caught at MSU46, for 15 yards to the TEX46 (#3 J.Guilbeau; #17 X.Filsaime), 1ST DOWN
+0.6
Q4 0:57
(00:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Shapen pass incomplete short right to #3 A.Evans III thrown to TEX44 QB hurried by #0 A.Hill Jr.
+1.5
Q4 0:50
(00:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Shapen rush middle for 4 yards gain to the TEX42 (#1 C.Simmons; #3 J.Guilbeau)
0.0
Q4 0:13
(00:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Shapen sacked for loss of 8 yards to the TEX50 (#0 A.Hill Jr.), fumble by #2 B.Shapen recovered by MSU #2 B.Shapen at MSU50, End Of Play
+0.1
Q4 0:13
PENALTY MSU Delay Of Game (#2 B.Shapen) 5 yards from MSU50 to MSU45. NO PLAY
-1.7
Q4 0:13
Timeout Mississippi State, clock 00:13
+3.7
Q4 0:03
(00:10) #38 N.Tiyce punt 54 yards to the TEX01
-1.0
Q4 0:13
Timeout Texas, clock 00:13
-16.6
Q4 0:03
(00:03) No Huddle #16 A.Manning rush middle for 0 yards to the TEX01 (#40 N.Mitchell; #27 R.Hibbler)
+1.9
Q4 0:00
End of 4th quarter.
-2.8
Q5 0:00
(00:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning rush right for 13 yards gain to the MSU12 (#2 I.Smith; #22 K.Bingley-Jones), 1ST DOWN
+4.4
Q5 15:00
Timeout Texas, clock 15:00
0.0
Q5 0:00
(00:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 Q.Wisner rush middle for 7 yards gain to the MSU05 (#3 B.Lanier)
0.0
Q5 0:00
(00:00) PENALTY TEX Illegal Snap (#62 C.Robertson) 5 yards from MSU05 to MSU10. NO PLAY
0.0
Q5 0:00
Emmett Mosley V 10 Yd pass from Matthew Caldwell (Mason Shipley Kick)
-28.7
Q5 0:00
(00:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Shapen pass incomplete short right to #0 B.Thompson thrown to TEX10
+8.5
Q5 0:00
(00:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Shapen pass incomplete deep right to #0 B.Thompson thrown to TEX00
0.0
Q5 0:00
(00:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Shapen pass incomplete short right to #8 S.Traore thrown to TEX25 QB hurried by #1 C.Simmons
0.0
Q5 0:00
(00:00) PENALTY MSU False Start (#77 J.James) 5 yards from TEX25 to TEX30. NO PLAY
0.0
Q5 0:00
PENALTY MSU False Start (#72 C.Boone) 5 yards from TEX30 to TEX35. NO PLAY
+0.2
Q5 0:00
(00:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Shapen sacked for loss of 31 yards to the MSU34 (#91 E.Burke), fumble by #2 B.Shapen recovered by TEX #97 A.January at MSU34, End Of Play
-0.6
Q5 15:00
Timeout Mississippi State, clock 15:00
-2.9
Q5 0:00
End of OT.
+52.3
Biggest swings
KEY PLAY · Q5 0:00
End of OT.
+52.3
TD · Q4 1:47
Ryan Niblett 79 Yd Punt Return (Mason Shipley Kick)
-34.7
TD · Q2 12:41
Parker Livingstone 1 Yd pass from Arch Manning (Mason Shipley Kick)
-32.3
YardLine · model v2Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com