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TA&M

Texas A&M 49 at LSU 25

LSU
2025 · Week 9 · Oct 25, 2025 · Tiger Stadium (LA)
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Win probability · LSU
modelLSU aheadTA&M aheadconfidence bandkey playLSU scoreTA&M score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDSAFETYTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the TA&M 22
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remainingPregame prior
+56.5+28.30−28.3−56.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 0:40: Marcel Reed pass complete to KC Concepcion for 15 yds for a TD (Randy Bond KICK) — TA&M win probability +5.1 pts (now 59%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 3:09: Harlem Berry run for 7 yds for a TD (Damian Ramos PAT MISSED) — LSU win probability +12.4 pts (now 59%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 10:41: Marcel Reed run for 5 yds for a TD (Randy Bond KICK) — TA&M win probability +13.5 pts (now 58%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 4:02: Marcel Reed pass complete to Jamarion Morrow for 24 yds for a TD (Randy Bond KICK) — TA&M win probability +11.8 pts (now 88%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 14:15: Nate Boerkircher run for 1 yd for a TD (Randy Bond KICK) — TA&M win probability +5.3 pts (now 97%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
LSU made the numbers' call on 9 of 10TA&M made the numbers' call on 0 of 1
  1. Q1 12:47LSU 4th & 19 at LSU 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.8%−0.2
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.0%
    average punt
  2. Q2 13:38LSU 4th & 12 at LSU 39, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.5%−1.2
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.7%
    average punt
  3. Q2 10:34LSU 4th & 4 at LSU 37, down 5
    Close callPunted · 46.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.8%−0.4
    average punt
  4. Q2 0:20LSU 4th & 7 at TA&M 13, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 57.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.2%−1.5
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    57.7%
    85% to make
    Punt
    52.6%−5.1
    average punt
  5. Q3 8:47LSU 4th & 14 at LSU 19, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.3%−3.4
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.7%
    average punt
  6. Q3 5:42LSU 4th & 7 at LSU 21, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.6%−1.7
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.3%
    average punt
  7. Q3 2:37LSU 4th & 10 at LSU 25, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.8%−2.0
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.8%
    average punt
  8. Q4 12:53LSU 4th & 26 at LSU 31, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.3%−0.8
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.1%
    average punt
  9. Q4 10:29TA&M 4th & 2 at TA&M 28, up 24
    Close callPunted · 97.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.8%−0.2
    average punt
  10. Q4 8:47LSU 4th & 4 at LSU 26, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.0%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 3:09LSU 4th & 3 at TA&M 43, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%−<0.1
    28% to make
    Punt
    0.2%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
LSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3TA&M made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 10:10TA&M Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:38LSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:40TA&M Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 3:09LSU Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    56.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 10:41TA&M Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 4:02TA&M Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 14:15TA&M Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.2%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.2%
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 6:12TA&M Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 0:59LSU Touchdown, down 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
LSUDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 9 yds · 2:0846% → 47%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
46.3%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Bauer Sharp for 2 yds to the LSU 27Similar
Q1 14:17
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+16
46.5%
Harlem Berry run for 16 yds to the LSU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:43
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
46.8%
Garrett Nussmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:31
2ND & 10
OWN 43
-9
46.8%
Garrett Nussmeier sacked by Cashius Howell for a loss of 9 yards to the LSU 34Similar
Q1 13:00
3RD & 19
OWN 34
0
46.7%
Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete to Barion BrownSimilar
Q1 12:47
4TH & 19
OWN 34
+14
46.7%
Grant Chadwick punt for 48 yds , KC Concepcion returns for 14 yds to the TA&M 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 2TD
6 plays · 68 yds · 2:0753% → 55%
Q1 12:17
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
46.8%
Rueben Owens II run for 2 yds to the TA&M 34Similar
Q1 12:07
2ND & 8
OWN 34
+13
46.9%
Marcel Reed pass complete to KC Concepcion for 13 yds to the TA&M 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:34
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
46.7%
Rueben Owens II run for 1 yd to the TA&M 48Similar
Q1 10:54
2ND & 9
OWN 48
+11
46.8%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Theo Melin hrstrm for 11 yds to the LSU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:23
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
46.7%
Marcel Reed pass incomplete to Nate BoerkircherSimilar
Q1 10:10
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+41
45.0%
Marcel Reed run for 41 yds for a TD (Randy Bond KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 3TD
10 plays · 74 yds · 4:1746% → 50%
Q1 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
45.6%
Harlem Berry run for 5 yds to the LSU 31Similar
Q1 9:16
2ND & 5
OWN 31
+6
45.5%
Harlem Berry run for 6 yds to the LSU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+11
45.2%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Barion Brown for 11 yds to the LSU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:04
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
45.6%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Ju'Juan Johnson for 3 yds to the TA&M 49Similar
Q1 7:34
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+7
45.7%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Trey'Dez Green for 7 yds to the TA&M 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:25
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+8
45.8%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Aaron Anderson for 8 yds to the TA&M 34Similar
Q1 6:26
2ND & 2
OPP 34
+15
45.9%
Nussmeier, Garrett pass incomplete to Brown, Barion, PENALTY TA&M pass interference (Ricks, Dezz) 15 yards to the TA&M19, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN LSU.Similar
Q1 6:12
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+14
45.9%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Trey'Dez Green for 14 yds to the TA&M 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
49.6%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Trey'Dez Green for 5 yds for a TD (Damian Ramos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 4TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:4452% → 59%
Q1 5:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
48.1%
Jamarion Morrow run for 12 yds to the TA&M 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:49
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
47.8%
Marcel Reed pass incomplete to Jamarion MorrowSimilar
Q1 4:38
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+2
48.0%
Marcel Reed run for 2 yds to the TA&M 39Similar
Q1 3:51
3RD & 8
OWN 39
+17
48.0%
Marcel Reed pass complete to KC Concepcion for 17 yds to the LSU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:08
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+14
47.2%
Marcel Reed run for 14 yds to the LSU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:26
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
46.3%
Amari Daniels run for no gain to the LSU 30Similar
Q1 1:59
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+12
46.4%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Terry Bussey for 12 yds to the LSU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:28
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
46.1%
Marcel Reed pass incomplete to Mario CraverSimilar
Q1 1:14
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+3
46.3%
Marcel Reed run for 3 yds to the LSU 15Similar
Q1 0:40
3RD & 7
OPP 15
+15
41.2%
Marcel Reed pass complete to KC Concepcion for 15 yds for a TD (Randy Bond KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 1:5743% → 42%
Q1 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
42.8%
Harlem Berry run for 2 yds to the LSU 27Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+14
42.8%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Aaron Anderson for 14 yds to the LSU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
43.9%
Harlem Berry run for 4 yds to the LSU 45Similar
Q2 14:22
2ND & 6
OWN 45
-6
44.0%
Garrett Nussmeier sacked by Cashius Howell for a loss of 6 yards to the LSU 39Similar
Q2 13:44
3RD & 12
OWN 39
0
42.1%
Garrett Nussmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:38
4TH & 12
OWN 39
0
41.6%
Grant Chadwick punt for 45 yds, fair catch by KC Concepcion at the TA&M 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 6SF
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:1358% → 53%
Q2 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+11
42.2%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Mario Craver for 11 yds to the TA&M 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-11
41.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 11 yards to the TA&M 16 TEAM fumbled, recovered by TA&M Rueben Owens IISimilar
Q2 12:23
2ND & 21
OWN 16
0
42.2%
Marcel Reed pass incomplete to Mario CraverSimilar
Q2 12:18
3RD & 21
OWN 16
0
42.6%
Marcel Reed pass incomplete to Nate BoerkircherSimilar
Q2 12:13
4TH & 21
OWN 16
0
47.0%
Team SafetySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:2645% → 44%
Q2 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
45.1%
Harlem Berry run for 3 yds to the LSU 34Similar
Q2 11:45
2ND & 7
OWN 34
0
45.1%
Garrett Nussmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:13
3RD & 7
OWN 34
+3
44.4%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Kyle Parker for 3 yds to the LSU 37Similar
Q2 10:34
4TH & 4
OWN 37
0
44.2%
Grant Chadwick punt for 38 yds, downed at the TA&M 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 8INT
8 plays · 72 yds · 3:0456% → 60%
Q2 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+21
44.5%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Theo Melin hrstrm for 21 yds to the TA&M 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
42.6%
Jamarion Morrow run for 3 yds to the TA&M 49Similar
Q2 9:18
2ND & 7
OWN 49
-5
42.4%
Texas A&M Penalty, False Start (Chase Bisontis) to the TA&M 44Similar
Q2 8:58
2ND & 12
OWN 44
+5
43.2%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Mario Craver for 5 yds to the TA&M 49Similar
Q2 8:14
3RD & 7
OWN 49
+47
41.7%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Ashton Bethel-Roman for 47 yds to the LSU 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
39.7%
Marcel Reed pass incomplete to KC ConcepcionSimilar
Q2 7:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
39.7%
Jamarion Morrow run for 1 yd to the LSU 3Similar
Q2 6:56
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
-25
40.4%
Marcel Reed pass intercepted A.J. Haulcy return for 25 yds to the LSU 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 9TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:4143% → 59%
Q2 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
42.9%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Bauer Sharp for a loss of 2 yards to the LSU 23Similar
Q2 6:08
2ND & 12
OWN 23
-1
42.5%
Caden Durham run for a loss of 1 yard to the LSU 22Similar
Q2 5:30
3RD & 13
OWN 22
-5
40.6%
LSU Penalty, False Start (Zavion Thomas) to the LSU 17Similar
Q2 5:05
3RD & 18
OWN 17
+25
40.5%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Aaron Anderson for 10 yds to the LSU 27 for a 1ST down Texas A&M Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Solomon Williams) to the LSU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:28
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+41
43.8%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Barion Brown for 41 yds to the TA&M 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:21
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
46.6%
Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete to Nic AndersonSimilar
Q2 4:08
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+13
46.6%
Harlem Berry run for 13 yds to the TA&M 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-3
46.6%
Garrett Nussmeier run for a loss of 3 yards to the TA&M 7Similar
Q2 3:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
59.0%
Harlem Berry run for 7 yds for a TD (Damian Ramos PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 10INT
5 plays · 23 yds · 1:4246% → 47%
Q2 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
54.2%
Rueben Owens II run for 5 yds to the TA&M 30Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+20
53.5%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Mario Craver for 20 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:47
1ST & 10
50
-2
51.0%
Marcel Reed run for a loss of 2 yards to the TA&M 48Similar
Q2 1:14
2ND & 12
OWN 48
-3
52.6%
Marcel Reed pass intercepted Harold Perkins Jr. return for 3 yds to the TA&M 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 11FG
8 plays · 36 yds · 0:4659% → 60%
Q2 1:06
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
58.8%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Kyle Parker for 5 yds to the TA&M 44Similar
Q2 0:46
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+28
59.1%
Caden Durham run for 28 yds to the TA&M 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:31
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
59.9%
Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete to Aaron AndersonSimilar
Q2 0:26
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+3
59.9%
Caden Durham run for 3 yds to the TA&M 13Similar
Q2 0:23
3RD & 7
OPP 13
0
58.4%
Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete to Aaron AndersonSimilar
Q2 0:20
4TH & 7
OPP 13
+30
59.7%
Damian Ramos 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 12END OF HALF
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:1541% → 41%
Q2 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
58.7%
Rueben Owens II run for 15 yds to the TA&M 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-10
59.4%
Reed, Marcel pass complete to Owens II, Rueben for 10 yards to the 50 yardline, PENALTY TA&M holding (Reed-Adams, Ar'maj) 10 yards to the TA&M30, NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 13TD
11 plays · 56 yds · 4:1445% → 58%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+14
55.1%
Marcel Reed run for 14 yds to the LSU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:09
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
54.2%
Marcel Reed pass incomplete to Jamarion MorrowSimilar
Q3 13:57
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+9
54.5%
Marcel Reed run for 9 yds to the LSU 33Similar
Q3 13:22
3RD & 1
OPP 33
+3
54.0%
Rueben Owens II run for 3 yds to the LSU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:45
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+9
53.4%
Rueben Owens II run for 9 yds to the LSU 21Similar
Q3 12:09
2ND & 1
OPP 21
+10
53.1%
Mario Craver run for 10 yds to the LSU 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:46
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+9
53.2%
Mario Craver run for 9 yds to the LSU 2Similar
Q3 11:19
2ND & 1
OPP 2
-5
53.3%
Texas A&M Penalty, False Start (Dametrious Crownover) to the LSU 7Similar
Q3 10:53
2ND & 6
OPP 7
+2
55.2%
Marcel Reed run for 2 yds to the LSU 5Similar
Q3 10:41
3RD & 4
OPP 5
+5
41.8%
Marcel Reed run for 5 yds for a TD (Randy Bond KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 14PUNT RETURN TD
5 plays · -4 yds · 1:3545% → 27%
Q3 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
45.4%
Harlem Berry run for 3 yds to the LSU 26Similar
Q3 9:48
2ND & 7
OWN 26
0
45.8%
Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete to Barion BrownSimilar
Q3 9:33
3RD & 7
OWN 26
-7
44.0%
Garrett Nussmeier sacked by DJ Hicks for a loss of 7 yards to the LSU 19Similar
Q3 8:47
4TH & 14
OWN 19
+79
27.4%
Grant Chadwick punt for 60 yds , KC Concepcion returns for 79 yds for a TD (Randy Bond KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 15PUNT
9 plays · 13 yds · 2:3329% → 25%
Q3 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+5
28.7%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Barion Brown for 5 yds to the LSU 13Similar
Q3 8:02
2ND & 5
OWN 13
0
29.0%
Garrett Nussmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:55
3RD & 5
OWN 13
+5
27.6%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Aaron Anderson for 5 yds to the LSU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:21
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
28.8%
Zavion Thomas run for no gain to the LSU 18Similar
Q3 6:45
2ND & 10
OWN 18
0
28.5%
Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete to Aaron AndersonSimilar
Q3 6:37
3RD & 10
OWN 18
+8
27.0%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Zavion Thomas for 8 yds to the LSU 26Similar
Q3 5:54
4TH & 2
OWN 26
-5
25.4%
LSU Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the LSU 21Similar
Q3 5:42
4TH & 7
OWN 21
+5
24.8%
Grant Chadwick punt for 34 yds , Terry Bussey returns for 5 yds to the 50 yard line Terry Bussey fumbled, recovered by TA&M Bravion Rogers , return to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 16TD
4 plays · 50 yds · 1:3275% → 88%
Q3 5:34
1ST & 10
50
+7
25.3%
Marcel Reed run for 7 yds to the LSU 43Similar
Q3 5:15
2ND & 3
OPP 43
+1
23.7%
Rueben Owens II run for 1 yd to the LSU 42Similar
Q3 4:07
3RD & 2
OPP 42
+18
23.4%
Rueben Owens II run for 8 yds to the LSU 34 for a 1ST down LSU Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the LSU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:02
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+24
11.6%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Jamarion Morrow for 24 yds for a TD (Randy Bond KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:2115% → 14%
Q3 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
15.3%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Barion Brown for 3 yds to the LSU 28Similar
Q3 3:33
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
15.2%
Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete to Barion BrownSimilar
Q3 3:20
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-3
14.8%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Trey'Dez Green for a loss of 3 yards to the LSU 25Similar
Q3 2:37
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+39
14.2%
Grant Chadwick punt for 47 yds , KC Concepcion returns for 39 yds to the LSU 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 18TD
6 plays · 33 yds · 3:1291% → 97%
Q3 2:27
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+7
9.5%
Marcel Reed run for 7 yds to the LSU 26Similar
Q3 1:45
2ND & 3
OPP 26
+6
9.0%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Mario Craver for 6 yds to the LSU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:06
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+5
8.7%
Amari Daniels run for 5 yds to the LSU 15Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 5
OPP 15
+13
8.1%
Amari Daniels run for 13 yds to the LSU 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
8.0%
EJ Smith run for 1 yd to the LSU 1Similar
Q4 14:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
2.7%
Nate Boerkircher run for 1 yd for a TD (Randy Bond KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 1:153% → 3%
Q4 14:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+22
3.2%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Aaron Anderson for 22 yds to the LSU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
3.4%
Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete to Aaron AndersonSimilar
Q4 13:33
2ND & 10
OWN 47
-16
3.3%
Garrett Nussmeier sacked by Rylan Kennedy for a loss of 16 yards to the LSU 31Similar
Q4 12:59
3RD & 26
OWN 31
0
2.8%
Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete to Chris Hilton Jr.Similar
Q4 12:53
4TH & 26
OWN 31
0
2.8%
Grant Chadwick punt for 49 yds, fair catch by KC Concepcion at the TA&M 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 2:2197% → 98%
Q4 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
2.6%
EJ Smith run for 1 yd to the TA&M 21Similar
Q4 11:59
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+5
2.5%
EJ Smith run for 5 yds to the TA&M 26Similar
Q4 11:14
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+2
2.3%
Marcel Reed run for 2 yds to the TA&M 28Similar
Q4 10:29
4TH & 2
OWN 28
0
2.0%
Tyler White punt for 52 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LSU 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 21DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:082% → 2%
Q4 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
2.2%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Ju'Juan Johnson for 1 yd to the LSU 21Similar
Q4 9:40
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+2
2.0%
Ju'Juan Johnson run for 2 yds to the LSU 23Similar
Q4 9:07
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+3
1.9%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Ju'Juan Johnson for 3 yds to the LSU 26Similar
Q4 8:47
4TH & 4
OWN 26
+3
1.9%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Trey'Dez Green for 3 yds to the LSU 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 22TD
5 plays · 29 yds · 2:2699% → 100%
Q4 8:38
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+4
1.4%
Marcel Reed run for 4 yds to the LSU 25Similar
Q4 7:56
2ND & 6
OPP 25
-3
1.2%
EJ Smith run for a loss of 3 yards to the LSU 28Similar
Q4 7:11
3RD & 9
OPP 28
+12
1.3%
TK Norman run for 12 yds to the LSU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:33
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+5
1.0%
Amari Daniels run for 5 yds to the LSU 11Similar
Q4 6:12
2ND & 5
OPP 11
+11
0.2%
Jamarion Morrow 11 Yd Run (Randy Bond Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 23TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 4:580% → 1%
Q4 5:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
0.2%
Garrett Nussmeier sacked by T.J. Searcy for a loss of 3 yards to the LSU 22Similar
Q4 5:14
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+28
0.1%
Michael Van Buren Jr. pass complete to Trey'Dez Green for 28 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:00
1ST & 10
50
-7
0.2%
Michael Van Buren Jr. sacked by Marco Jones and T.J. Searcy for a loss of 7 yards to the LSU 43Similar
Q4 4:09
2ND & 17
OWN 43
+10
0.1%
Michael Van Buren Jr. pass complete to Chris Hilton Jr. for 10 yds to the TA&M 47Similar
Q4 3:23
3RD & 7
OPP 47
+4
0.1%
Caden Durham run for 4 yds to the TA&M 43Similar
Q4 3:09
4TH & 3
OPP 43
+6
0.1%
Michael Van Buren Jr. run for 6 yds to the TA&M 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:41
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
0.1%
Michael Van Buren Jr. pass incomplete to Barion BrownSimilar
Q4 2:30
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+14
0.1%
Michael Van Buren Jr. sacked by Jordan Lockhart for a loss of 1 yard to the TA&M 38 for a 1ST down Texas A&M Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Jordan Lockhart) to the TA&M 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+6
0.1%
Michael Van Buren Jr. run for 6 yds to the TA&M 17Similar
Q4 1:50
2ND & 4
OPP 17
+3
0.1%
Michael Van Buren Jr. run for 3 yds to the TA&M 14Similar
Q4 1:20
3RD & 1
OPP 14
+2
0.1%
Caden Durham run for 2 yds to the TA&M 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:59
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
0.9%
Michael Van Buren Jr. pass complete to Kyle Parker for 12 yds for a TD (Damian Ramos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 24END OF GAME
3 plays · -3 yds · 0:51100% → 100%
Q4 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
0.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the TA&M 23Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 12
OWN 23
-1
0.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the TA&M 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 10:41
Marcel Reed run for 5 yds for a TD (Randy Bond KICK)
-13.5
TD · Q2 3:09
Harlem Berry run for 7 yds for a TD (Damian Ramos PAT MISSED)
+12.4
TD · Q3 4:02
Marcel Reed pass complete to Jamarion Morrow for 24 yds for a TD (Randy Bond KICK)
-11.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com