OU
Oklahoma 26 at South Carolina 7
SC2025 · Week 8 · Oct 18, 2025 · Williams-Brice Stadium
Speed4x
Win probability · SC
modelSC aheadOU aheadconfidence bandkey play
What moved it - hover a play below
Q4 0:00 · (00:15) Kneel down by Oklahoma at OU19 for loss of 1 yard.
OU has the ball
−37
OU leading by 19
−13
Blowout context favors the offense
−5
Defense has -5 timeouts left
−1
Market gave SC a 37% pregame chance
−1
Ball at own 20
+0
2023+ clock rules
+0
Pregame market line was available
+0
Offense has 1 timeout left
+0
0:00 left in regulation
+0
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
OU · Drive 1TD · 13 plays · 75 yds
Q1 15:00
William Joyce kickoff for 65 yds
0.0
Q1 14:56
John Mateer pass incomplete to Isaiah Sategna III
-3.2
Q1 14:50
(14:41) Shotgun Mateer,John pass complete short right to Burks,Deion caught at OU29, for 4 yards to the OU29 (Cisse,Brandon) PENALTY OU Holding (Fasusi,Michael) 10 yards from OU25 to OU15. NO PLAY.
0.0
Q1 14:18
Tory Blaylock run for 18 yds to the OU 33
-0.6
Q1 13:52
John Mateer pass complete to Deion Burks for 11 yds to the OU 44 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q1 12:54
John Mateer pass complete to JaVonnie Gibson for 5 yds to the OU 49
-2.0
Q1 12:22
John Mateer pass complete to Jaren Kanak for 16 yds to the SC 35 for a 1ST down
-0.3
Q1 11:40
Tory Blaylock run for 3 yds to the SC 32
-0.4
Q1 10:58
John Mateer run for 5 yds to the SC 27
0.0
Q1 10:40
John Mateer pass complete to JaVonnie Gibson for 3 yds to the SC 24 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q1 10:07
Tory Blaylock run for 6 yds to the SC 18
0.0
Q1 9:42
Tory Blaylock run for 18 yds for a TD (Tate Sandell KICK)
-17.6
Q1 9:42
Timeout South Carolina, clock 09:42
+24.9
SC · Drive 2DOWNS · 12 plays · 72 yds
Q1 9:42
Tate Sandell kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
-23.2
Q1 9:18
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Nyck Harbor for 9 yds to the SC 34
+0.7
Q1 8:54
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Nyck Harbor for 12 yds to the SC 46 for a 1ST down
+0.2
Q1 8:32
Rahsul Faison run for 2 yds to the SC 48
+0.6
Q1 7:58
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Jayden Sellers for 5 yds to the OU 47
+1.0
Q1 7:23
Rahsul Faison run for 2 yds to the OU 45
+0.4
Q1 6:43
Rahsul Faison run for 36 yds to the OU 9 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q1 6:43
Timeout South Carolina, clock 06:43
-9.4
Q1 6:17
Rahsul Faison run for 3 yds to the OU 6
+0.2
Q1 5:43
Rahsul Faison run for 3 yds to the OU 3
0.0
Q1 5:01
Rahsul Faison run for a loss of 2 yards to the OU 5
0.0
Q1 4:40
LaNorris Sellers run for 2 yds to the OU 3
-0.3
OU · Drive 3PUNT · 11 plays · 22 yds
Q1 4:40
Timeout South Carolina, clock 04:40
-7.5
Q1 4:19
Tory Blaylock run for 13 yds to the OU 16 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q1 3:34
Tory Blaylock run for 1 yd to the OU 17
0.0
Q1 3:05
Tory Blaylock run for 2 yds to the OU 19
0.0
Q1 2:51
John Mateer pass complete to JaVonnie Gibson for 7 yds to the OU 26 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q1 2:19
Xavier Robinson run for 4 yds to the OU 30
0.0
Q1 1:45
Tory Blaylock run for 1 yd to the OU 31
-0.3
Q1 0:58
John Mateer pass complete to JaVonnie Gibson for 4 yds to the OU 35
0.0
Q1 0:37
PENALTY OU Delay Of Game 5 yards from OU35 to OU30. NO PLAY.
+0.1
Q1 0:37
(00:37) PENALTY OU False Start (Powers III,Reggie) 5 yards from OU30 to OU25. NO PLAY.
0.0
Q1 0:26
Grayson Miller punt for 42 yds , Vicari Swain returns for 19 yds to the OU 48
0.0
SC · Drive 4PUNT · 4 plays · 1 yds
Q1 0:04
LaNorris Sellers run for a loss of 1 yard to the OU 49
-3.4
Q1 0:00
LaNorris Sellers run for 5 yds to the OU 44
0.0
Q2 14:38
Oscar Adaway III run for a loss of 3 yards to the OU 47
-0.1
Q2 14:38
Mason Love punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Sategna III at the OU 8
0.0
OU · Drive 5TD · 15 plays · 92 yds
Q2 14:18
Tory Blaylock run for 5 yds to the OU 13
+5.1
Q2 13:37
John Mateer pass complete to JaVonnie Gibson for 5 yds to the OU 18 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 13:06
Tory Blaylock run for 4 yds to the OU 22
0.0
Q2 12:51
John Mateer pass incomplete to Isaiah Sategna III
0.0
Q2 12:51
Timeout South Carolina, clock 12:51
0.0
Q2 12:28
John Mateer pass complete to Isaiah Sategna III for 10 yds to the OU 32 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 11:58
Tory Blaylock run for 6 yds to the OU 38
0.0
Q2 11:50
John Mateer pass complete to Isaiah Sategna III for 8 yds to the OU 46 for a 1ST down
-0.9
Q2 10:55
Xavier Robinson run for 25 yds to the SC 29 for a 1ST down
+0.5
Q2 10:34
Xavier Robinson run for 5 yds to the SC 24
-0.4
Q2 9:59
John Mateer pass incomplete to JaVonnie Gibson
0.0
Q2 9:50
John Mateer pass complete to Deion Burks for 8 yds to the SC 16 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 9:42
John Mateer pass complete to Isaiah Sategna III for 6 yds to the SC 10
0.0
Q2 9:21
Xavier Robinson run for 10 yds for a TD (Tate Sandell KICK)
-9.8
Q2 9:21
Timeout South Carolina, clock 09:21
+9.0
SC · Drive 6PUNT · 6 plays · -9 yds
Q2 9:21
Tate Sandell kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
-8.0
Q2 8:56
LaNorris Sellers sacked by Damonic Williams for a loss of 4 yards to the SC 21
-3.0
Q2 8:19
LaNorris Sellers sacked by Gracen Halton for a loss of 12 yards to the SC 9
0.0
Q2 7:32
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Rahsul Faison for 7 yds to the SC 16
-0.5
Q2 7:02
Mason Love punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Sategna III at the OU 39
0.0
Q2 7:02
Mason Love punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Sategna III at the OU 24
0.0
OU · Drive 7PUNT · 5 plays · 5 yds
Q2 7:02
Timeout South Carolina, clock 07:02
+4.0
Q2 6:42
Tory Blaylock run for 4 yds to the OU 28
0.0
Q2 6:21
Tory Blaylock run for 1 yd to the OU 29
0.0
Q2 5:56
John Mateer pass incomplete to Isaiah Sategna III
0.0
Q2 5:49
Grayson Miller punt for 18 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OU 47
0.0
SC · Drive 8TD · 16 plays · 47 yds
Q2 5:42
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Jayden Sellers for 7 yds to the OU 40 for a 1ST down Oklahoma Penalty, (15 Yards) to the OU 25 for a 1ST down
-4.2
Q2 5:17
LaNorris Sellers run for 7 yds to the OU 18
+0.3
Q2 5:10
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Vandrevius Jacobs for 2 yds to the OU 16
+0.1
Q2 4:13
Matt Fuller run for a loss of 1 yard to the OU 17
+0.1
Q2 3:25
LaNorris Sellers run for 2 yds to the OU 15 for a 1ST down
+0.2
Q2 3:03
LaNorris Sellers sacked by Kobie McKinzie for a loss of 3 yards to the OU 18
+0.1
Q2 2:25
LaNorris Sellers run for 4 yds to the OU 14
+0.1
Q2 2:09
(01:59) No Huddle-Shotgun Sellers,LaNorris pass incomplete short left to Sellers,Jayden thrown to OU00 PENALTY OU Pass Interference 12 yards from OU14 to OU02, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.
-0.7
Q2 2:05
(01:53) No Huddle-Shotgun Sellers,LaNorris pass incomplete short left to Harbor,Nyck thrown to OU00 PENALTY OU Pass Interference (Bowen,Eli) 1 yard from OU02 to OU01, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.
0.0
Q2 2:00
Matt Fuller run for no gain to the OU 1
0.0
Q2 1:58
Timeout South Carolina, clock 01:58
0.0
Q2 1:52
Timeout Oklahoma, clock 01:52
+0.5
Q2 1:52
Matt Fuller run for no gain to the OU 1
0.0
Q2 1:48
Matt Fuller run for a loss of 1 yard to the OU 2
0.0
Q2 1:47
Timeout Oklahoma, clock 01:47
0.0
Q2 1:43
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Nyck Harbor for 2 yds for a TD (William Joyce KICK)
+12.2
OU · Drive 9PUNT · 9 plays · 9 yds
Q2 1:43
William Joyce kickoff for 56 yds
-1.4
Q2 1:19
Xavier Robinson run for 5 yds to the OU 30
+4.1
Q2 1:00
John Mateer pass complete to Xavier Robinson for 8 yds to the OU 38 for a 1ST down
+0.3
Q2 0:48
(00:55) No Huddle-Shotgun Mateer,John pass incomplete short right to Kanak,Jaren thrown to USC48 PENALTY OU Holding (Fasusi,Michael) 10 yards from OU38 to OU28. NO PLAY.
-1.0
Q2 0:47
Timeout South Carolina, clock 00:47
+1.0
Q2 0:41
Oklahoma Penalty, (Yards) declined
0.0
Q2 0:35
John Mateer pass complete to Isaiah Sategna III for 6 yds to the OU 34
0.0
Q2 0:24
John Mateer pass incomplete to Isaiah Sategna III
-0.1
Q2 0:22
Grayson Miller punt for 50 yds , Vicari Swain returns for 31 yds to the SC 47
0.0
SC · Drive 10END OF HALF · 5 plays · 26 yds
Q2 0:21
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Brady Hunt for 9 yds to the OU 44
-3.4
Q2 0:21
Timeout South Carolina, clock 00:21
+0.6
Q2 0:17
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Brady Hunt for 8 yds to the OU 36 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 0:15
LaNorris Sellers pass incomplete
+0.5
Q2 0:00
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Brady Hunt for 9 yds to the OU 27
-0.2
SC · Drive 11PUNT · 5 plays · 9 yds
Q3 15:00
Tate Sandell kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
+11.5
Q3 14:40
Rahsul Faison run for 2 yds to the SC 27
+4.3
Q3 14:09
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Mazeo Bennett Jr. for 7 yds to the SC 34
0.0
Q3 13:45
Rahsul Faison run for no gain to the SC 34
0.0
Q3 13:23
Mason Love punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Sategna III at the OU 15
0.0
OU · Drive 12PUNT · 9 plays · 42 yds
Q3 13:00
John Mateer run for 2 yds to the OU 17
-4.8
Q3 12:21
John Mateer pass complete to Isaiah Sategna III for 4 yds to the OU 21
0.0
Q3 12:00
John Mateer run for 7 yds to the OU 28 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q3 11:42
Tory Blaylock run for 4 yds to the OU 32
0.0
Q3 11:01
John Mateer pass complete to Isaiah Sategna III for 19 yds to the SC 49 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q3 10:41
John Mateer run for 5 yds to the SC 44
-1.4
Q3 10:23
Tory Blaylock run for 1 yd to the SC 43
0.0
Q3 9:54
John Mateer pass incomplete to Isaiah Sategna III
+3.1
Q3 9:42
Grayson Miller punt for 40 yds
+0.7
SC · Drive 13PUNT · 5 plays · 4 yds
Q3 9:42
Timeout South Carolina, clock 09:42
+11.1
Q3 9:21
Rahsul Faison run for 3 yds to the SC 6
0.0
Q3 8:41
Rahsul Faison run for 1 yd to the SC 7
-0.6
Q3 8:19
LaNorris Sellers pass incomplete to Nyck Harbor
+0.7
Q3 8:07
Mason Love punt for 50 yds , Isaiah Sategna III returns for 4 yds to the OU 47
0.0
OU · Drive 14FG · 8 plays · 16 yds
Q3 8:07
Timeout South Carolina, clock 08:07
-13.7
Q3 7:58
(07:50) Shotgun Mateer,John pass complete short left to Gibson,Javonnie caught at USC43, for 10 yards to the USC43 (Collier,Judge) PENALTY USC Pass Interference (Collier,Judge) 10 yards from OU47 to USC43, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.
+0.4
Q3 7:10
Xavier Robinson run for 1 yd to the SC 42
-0.4
Q3 6:48
Timeout Oklahoma, clock 06:48
0.0
Q3 6:22
John Mateer pass complete to Kaden Helms for 5 yds to the SC 37
0.0
Q3 6:06
John Mateer pass incomplete to Deion Burks
-0.5
Q3 6:01
Tate Sandell 55 yd FG GOOD
-9.3
Q3 6:01
Timeout South Carolina, clock 06:01
-0.3
SC · Drive 15INT · 6 plays · 23 yds
Q3 6:01
Tate Sandell kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
-6.2
Q3 5:52
(05:44) Shotgun Sellers,LaNorris pass incomplete deep middle to Jacobs,Vandrevius thrown to OU23 broken up by Boganowski,Michael PENALTY OU Pass Interference (Boganowski,Michael) 15 yards from USC25 to USC40, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.
-6.6
Q3 5:19
Jayden Sellers run for 5 yds to the SC 45
+0.5
Q3 4:47
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Matt Fuller for 3 yds to the SC 48
+0.1
Q3 4:23
LaNorris Sellers pass incomplete to Donovan Murph
0.0
Q3 4:16
Mason Love pass intercepted Taylor Wein return for 3 yds to the SC 49
0.0
OU · Drive 16TD · 5 plays · 49 yds
Q3 3:53
John Mateer run for no gain to the SC 49
+4.6
Q3 3:20
Tory Blaylock run for 5 yds to the SC 44
0.0
Q3 3:00
John Mateer pass complete to Tory Blaylock for 5 yds to the SC 39 for a 1ST down South Carolina Penalty, Roughing The Passer (Jatius Geer) to the SC 24 for a 1ST down
-0.2
Q3 2:30
Tory Blaylock run for 4 yds to the SC 20
0.0
Q3 2:06
John Mateer pass complete to Isaiah Sategna III for 20 yds for a TD (Tate Sandell KICK)
-6.0
SC · Drive 17PUNT · 7 plays · -1 yds
Q3 2:06
Tate Sandell kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
+0.1
Q3 2:01
LaNorris Sellers pass incomplete to Donovan Murph
-2.7
Q3 1:20
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Mazeo Bennett Jr. for 3 yds to the SC 34
-0.2
Q3 0:56
PENALTY USC Delay Of Game 5 yards from USC34 to USC29. NO PLAY.
0.0
Q3 0:56
PENALTY USC False Start (Kilgore,Gerald) 5 yards from USC29 to USC24. NO PLAY.
0.0
Q3 0:44
Mason Love punt for 44 yds , Isaiah Sategna III returns for 10 yds to the OU 42
-0.6
Q3 0:44
Mason Love punt for 44 yds , Isaiah Sategna III returns for 10 yds to the OU 30
0.0
OU · Drive 18PUNT · 8 plays · 3 yds
Q3 0:00
Tory Blaylock run for 5 yds to the OU 35
+3.4
Q4 14:40
Tory Blaylock run for no gain to the OU 35
-1.3
Q4 14:01
John Mateer run for 5 yds to the OU 40 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 13:13
Xavier Robinson run for 3 yds to the OU 43
-0.1
Q4 12:42
John Mateer run for 1 yd to the OU 44
0.0
Q4 11:59
John Mateer sacked by Bryan Thomas Jr. for a loss of 11 yards to the OU 33
0.0
Q4 11:24
Grayson Miller punt for 49 yds
0.0
Q4 11:24
Grayson Miller punt for 49 yds
0.0
SC · Drive 19DOWNS · 16 plays · 27 yds
Q4 11:24
Timeout South Carolina, clock 11:24
-2.8
Q4 10:59
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Nyck Harbor for a loss of 1 yard to the SC 17
0.0
Q4 10:45
LaNorris Sellers pass incomplete to Donovan Murph
0.0
Q4 10:19
LaNorris Sellers run for 12 yds to the SC 29 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 9:59
LaNorris Sellers sacked by R Mason Thomas for a loss of 8 yards to the SC 21
0.0
Q4 9:20
Oscar Adaway III run for 1 yd to the SC 22
0.0
Q4 8:42
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Oscar Adaway III for 19 yds to the SC 41 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 8:31
LaNorris Sellers pass incomplete to Brady Hunt
0.0
Q4 8:27
LaNorris Sellers pass incomplete to Vandrevius Jacobs
0.0
Q4 8:19
LaNorris Sellers pass incomplete to Vandrevius Jacobs
0.0
Q4 8:08
LaNorris Sellers run for 13 yds to the OU 46 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 7:19
LaNorris Sellers sacked by Kendal Daniels for a loss of 8 yards to the SC 46
0.0
Q4 7:01
LaNorris Sellers pass incomplete to Rahsul Faison
0.0
Q4 7:01
Timeout Oklahoma, clock 07:01
0.0
Q4 6:37
LaNorris Sellers sacked for a loss of 18 yards to the SC 28
0.0
Q4 6:04
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Jayden Sellers for 17 yds to the SC 45
0.0
OU · Drive 20PUNT · 6 plays · 4 yds
Q4 6:04
Timeout South Carolina, clock 06:04
+2.7
Q4 5:42
Xavier Robinson run for 1 yd to the SC 44
+0.9
Q4 5:00
Xavier Robinson run for 2 yds to the SC 42
0.0
Q4 4:34
Timeout South Carolina, clock 04:34
0.0
Q4 4:33
Xavier Robinson run for 1 yd to the SC 41
0.0
Q4 4:27
John Mateer punt for 40 yds
0.0
SC · Drive 21SF · 1 play · -1 yds
Q4 4:22
Matt Fuller run for a loss of 1 yard for a SAFETY
-4.1
OU · Drive 22PUNT · 6 plays · -2 yds
Q4 4:22
Mason Love kickoff for 30 yds
0.0
Q4 3:59
Xavier Robinson run for 1 yd to the SC 49
+2.3
Q4 3:16
Taylor Tatum run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard line
0.0
Q4 2:49
Whitt Newbauer pass complete to Will Huggins for 2 yds to the OU 48
0.0
Q4 2:49
Timeout South Carolina, clock 02:49
-0.2
Q4 2:37
Grayson Miller punt for 37 yds , Vicari Swain returns for 5 yds to the SC 20
0.0
SC · Drive 23INT · 9 plays · 59 yds
Q4 2:14
Cutter Woods pass complete to Donovan Murph for 16 yds to the SC 36 for a 1ST down
-2.2
Q4 2:00
Timeout South Carolina, clock 02:00
0.0
Q4 1:45
Cutter Woods pass complete to Jayden Sellers for 10 yds to the SC 46 for a 1ST down
-0.1
Q4 1:32
Cutter Woods run for 6 yds to the OU 48
+0.5
Q4 1:32
Cutter Woods pass complete to Jayden Sellers for 12 yds to the OU 36 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 1:19
Cutter Woods pass incomplete to Donovan Murph
+0.1
Q4 0:53
Cutter Woods run for 7 yds to the OU 29
0.0
Q4 0:47
Cutter Woods pass complete to Donovan Murph for 8 yds to the OU 21 for a 1ST down
+0.1
Q4 0:36
Cutter Woods pass intercepted, touchback. Jacobe Johnson return for no gain
0.0
OU · Drive 24END OF GAME · 1 play · -1 yds
Q4 0:00
(00:15) Kneel down by Oklahoma at OU19 for loss of 1 yard.
+2.0
Biggest swings
KEY PLAY · Q1 9:42
Timeout South Carolina, clock 09:42
+24.9
KEY PLAY · Q1 9:42
Tate Sandell kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
-23.2
TD · Q1 9:42
Tory Blaylock run for 18 yds for a TD (Tate Sandell KICK)
-17.6