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TA&M

Texas A&M 45 at Arkansas 42

ARK
2025 · Week 8 · Oct 18, 2025 · Razorback Stadium
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Win probability · ARK
modelARK aheadTA&M aheadconfidence bandkey playARK scoreTA&M score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · (00:07) Kneel down by Texas A&M at ARK41 for loss of 2 yards.
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+34.5+17.30−17.3−34.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 13:34: Marcel Reed pass complete to KC Concepcion for 17 yds for a TD (Randy Bond KICK) — TA&M win probability +13.7 pts (now 78%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 4:28: Taylen Green run for 1 yd for a TD (Scott Starzyk KICK) — ARK win probability +17.5 pts (now 39%) (top driver: ARK has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 11:30: Jaden Platt 4 Yd pass from Taylen Green (Taylen Green Pass to Rohan Jones for Two-Point Conversion) — ARK win probability +24.8 pts (now 41%) (top driver: ARK has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 6:52: Rueben Owens II run for 12 yds for a TD (Randy Bond KICK) — TA&M win probability +15.7 pts (now 92%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:10: Taylen Green pass complete to CJ Brown for 4 yds for a TD (Scott Starzyk KICK) — ARK win probability +18.0 pts (now 21%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ARK made the numbers' call on 3 of 6TA&M made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 11:21ARK 4th & 4 at TA&M 4, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 33.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    33.7%−<0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    33.2%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:29TA&M 4th & 1 at TA&M 34, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 64.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    65.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    64.8%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:54ARK 4th & 1 at ARK 49, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 35.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    35.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    35.0%−0.8
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:17ARK 4th & 4 at TA&M 4, down 11
    Close callKicked a field goal · 29.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    29.5%−0.3
    93% to make
    Punt
    25.6%−4.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:15TA&M 4th & 1 at ARK 48, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 69.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    69.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    68.4%−1.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:43TA&M 4th & 6 at TA&M 29, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.3%−1.5
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.7%
    average punt
  7. Q3 12:02ARK 4th & 6 at ARK 29, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.2%−0.6
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.8%
    average punt
  8. Q3 7:45TA&M 4th & 4 at ARK 11, up 8
    Close callKicked a field goal · 75.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.1%
    45% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    74.9%−0.3
    87% to make
    Punt
    67.9%−7.2
    average punt
  9. Q4 9:50TA&M 4th & 1 at TA&M 34, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 66.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    68.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    64.9%−3.7
    average punt
  10. Q4 5:50ARK 4th & 30 at ARK 5, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.9%−2.1
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.0%
    average punt
  11. Q4 3:51TA&M 4th & 18 at TA&M 35, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.1%−2.8
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.9%
    average punt
  12. Q4 3:51TA&M 4th & 18 at TA&M 35, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.1%−2.8
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.9%
    average punt
  13. Q4 2:27ARK 4th & 5 at ARK 12, down 10
    Close callWent for it · 6.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.4%−0.4
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    6.7%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ARK made the numbers' call on 4 of 5TA&M made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 6:06TA&M Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:49TA&M Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 3:32TA&M Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:51ARK Touchdown, down 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    29.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:02ARK Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 13:34TA&M Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 4:28ARK Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    33.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    33.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 0:25TA&M Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 11:30ARK Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    30.8%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    30.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 6:52TA&M Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.6%−0.7
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 0:10ARK Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    13.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    8.0%−5.8
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ARKDrive 1FG
11 plays · 71 yds · 3:3226% → 28%
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
25.9%
Mike Washington Jr. run for 14 yds to the ARK 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:22
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-15
26.2%
(14:31) No Huddle-Shotgun Green,Taylen pass complete short right to Jones,Rohan caught at ARK41, for 17 yards to the TAMU44 (Sanford,Daymion; Brooks,Dalton) PENALTY ARK Pass Interference (Platt,Jaden) 15 yards from ARK39 to ARK24. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 13:58
1ST & 25
OWN 24
+3
26.4%
Mike Washington Jr. run for 3 yds to the ARK 27Similar
Q1 13:21
2ND & 22
OWN 27
+15
26.7%
(13:21) No Huddle-Shotgun Green,Taylen pass incomplete deep left to Blake,O'Mega thrown to TAMU40 PENALTY TAMU Pass Interference (Lee III,Will) 15 yards from ARK27 to ARK42, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+48
26.9%
Mike Washington Jr. run for 48 yds to the TA&M 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+6
27.3%
Mike Washington Jr. run for 6 yds to the TA&M 4Similar
Q1 12:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
27.7%
Mike Washington Jr. run for no gain to the TA&M 4Similar
Q1 11:23
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
28.0%
Taylen Green pass incomplete to O'Mega BlakeSimilar
Q1 11:21
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+22
28.1%
Scott Starzyk 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 2TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 5:0472% → 72%
Q1 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
28.0%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Ashton Bethel-Roman for 4 yds to the TA&M 29Similar
Q1 10:40
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+1
28.2%
Rueben Owens II run for 1 yd to the TA&M 30Similar
Q1 9:59
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+5
28.7%
Marcel Reed run for 5 yds to the TA&M 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:29
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+2
29.2%
Rueben Owens II run for 2 yds to the TA&M 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+14
29.3%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Amari Daniels for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:07
1ST & 10
50
+4
29.2%
Amari Daniels run for 4 yds to the ARK 46Similar
Q1 7:37
2ND & 6
OPP 46
-5
29.5%
PENALTY TAMU False Start (Owens II,Rueben) 5 yards from ARK46 to TAMU49. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:20
2ND & 11
OWN 49
+12
29.9%
Rueben Owens II run for 12 yds to the ARK 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:46
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+15
29.9%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Mario Craver for 15 yds to the ARK 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:12
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
29.8%
Marcel Reed pass incomplete to Rueben Owens IISimilar
Q1 6:06
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+24
27.8%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Ashton Bethel-Roman for 24 yds for a TD (Randy Bond KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 3DOWNS
9 plays · 24 yds · 3:0727% → 29%
Q1 6:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
27.3%
Mike Washington Jr. run for 2 yds to the ARK 27Similar
Q1 5:22
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+13
27.4%
Taylen Green run for 13 yds to the ARK 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:48
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-10
28.2%
(04:56) No Huddle-Shotgun Green,Taylen rush right for 10 yards gain to the ARK50, out of bounds at ARK50 PENALTY ARK Holding (Harris,E'Marion) 10 yards from ARK40 to ARK30. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:31
1ST & 20
OWN 30
-4
27.5%
Mike Washington Jr. run for a loss of 4 yards to the ARK 26Similar
Q1 4:03
2ND & 24
OWN 26
+5
27.4%
Taylen Green pass complete to CJ Brown for 5 yds to the ARK 31Similar
Q1 3:27
3RD & 19
OWN 31
+18
27.3%
Taylen Green pass complete to Raylen Sharpe for 18 yds to the ARK 49Similar
Q1 2:54
4TH & 1
OWN 49
0
28.5%
Taylen Green pass incomplete to Jaden PlattSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 4TD
9 plays · 49 yds · 2:5872% → 76%
Q1 2:47
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+10
28.5%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Nate Boerkircher for 10 yds to the ARK 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:25
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
28.5%
Rueben Owens II run for 2 yds to the ARK 37Similar
Q1 1:47
2ND & 8
OPP 37
+6
28.7%
Rueben Owens II run for 6 yds to the ARK 31Similar
Q1 1:16
3RD & 2
OPP 31
+5
28.7%
PENALTY ARK Offside (Geffrard,Ian) 5 yards from ARK31 to ARK26, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 0:53
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+16
28.3%
KC Concepcion run for 16 yds to the ARK 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
28.4%
Rueben Owens II run for 3 yds to the ARK 7Similar
Q2 14:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
28.4%
(14:59) No Huddle-Shotgun Reed,Marcel pass incomplete short left to Melin hrstrm,Theo thrown to ARK00 PENALTY ARK Holding (Walker,Kani) 4 yards from ARK07 to ARK03, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
24.5%
Marcel Reed run for 3 yds for a TD (Randy Bond KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 5FG
12 plays · 71 yds · 3:2225% → 26%
Q2 14:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+33
25.1%
Taylen Green run for 33 yds to the TA&M 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:03
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+21
26.2%
Braylen Russell run for 21 yds to the TA&M 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:45
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
26.4%
Taylen Green pass incomplete to CJ BrownSimilar
Q2 13:39
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+1
26.4%
Braylen Russell run for 1 yd to the TA&M 20Similar
Q2 12:58
3RD & 9
OPP 20
+15
25.8%
Taylen Green pass complete to O'Mega Blake for 15 yds to the TA&M 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
26.3%
Taylen Green pass incomplete to Mike Washington Jr.Similar
Q2 12:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-2
26.3%
Taylen Green run for a loss of 2 yards to the TA&M 7Similar
Q2 11:55
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
25.6%
KJ Jackson pass complete to CJ Brown for 3 yds to the TA&M 4Similar
Q2 11:17
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+22
26.0%
Scott Starzyk 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 6TD
19 plays · 75 yds · 7:3477% → 86%
Q2 11:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
23.0%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Ashton Bethel-Roman for 18 yds to the TA&M 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:38
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
24.5%
Rueben Owens II run for 2 yds to the TA&M 45Similar
Q2 9:57
2ND & 8
OWN 45
0
26.1%
Marcel Reed pass incomplete to KC ConcepcionSimilar
Q2 9:50
3RD & 8
OWN 45
+7
26.5%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Amari Daniels for 7 yds to the ARK 48Similar
Q2 9:15
4TH & 1
OPP 48
+5
27.6%
Rueben Owens II run for 5 yds to the ARK 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:36
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-10
27.8%
(08:46) No Huddle-Shotgun Reed,Marcel rush right for 1 yard gain to the ARK42 (Sorey,Xavian) PENALTY TAMU Holding (Fatheree II,Reuben) 10 yards from ARK43 to TAMU47. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:16
1ST & 20
OWN 47
+11
28.8%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Mario Craver for 11 yds to the ARK 42Similar
Q2 7:40
2ND & 9
OPP 42
+8
26.9%
Marcel Reed run for 8 yds to the ARK 34Similar
Q2 7:03
3RD & 1
OPP 34
+3
27.3%
Jamarion Morrow run for 3 yds to the ARK 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:24
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
26.7%
Marcel Reed pass incomplete to Terry BusseySimilar
Q2 6:18
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+3
26.7%
Jamarion Morrow run for 3 yds to the ARK 28Similar
Q2 5:49
3RD & 7
OPP 28
+5
27.7%
PENALTY ARK Delay Of Game (Shaw,Bradley) 5 yards from ARK28 to ARK23. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:20
3RD & 2
OPP 23
+3
27.6%
Marcel Reed pass complete to KC Concepcion for 3 yds to the ARK 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:43
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+19
26.8%
Marcel Reed pass complete to KC Concepcion for 19 yds to the ARK 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
26.7%
Rueben Owens II run for no gain to the ARK 1Similar
Q2 3:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
14.1%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Nate Boerkircher for 1 yd for a TD (Randy Bond KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 7TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:3415% → 30%
Q2 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
15.1%
Taylen Green pass complete to O'Mega Blake for 15 yds to the ARK 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
15.4%
Mike Washington Jr. run for no gain to the ARK 40Similar
Q2 2:25
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+34
14.9%
Taylen Green pass complete to Rohan Jones for 34 yds to the TA&M 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-1
17.7%
Taylen Green sacked by DJ Hicks for a loss of 1 yard to the TA&M 27Similar
Q2 1:51
2ND & 11
OPP 27
+27
30.0%
Taylen Green run for 27 yds for a TD (Scott Starzyk KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:0169% → 67%
Q2 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
30.9%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Theo Melin Öhrström for 1 yd to the TA&M 26Similar
Q2 1:27
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-5
31.1%
Marcel Reed run for a loss of 5 yards to the TA&M 21Similar
Q2 0:51
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+8
32.5%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Mario Craver for 8 yds to the TA&M 29Similar
Q2 0:43
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
32.8%
Tyler White punt for 42 yds , Kam Shanks returns for no gain to the ARK 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 9TD
6 plays · 71 yds · 0:3327% → 41%
Q2 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+7
26.7%
Taylen Green pass complete to Mike Washington Jr. for 7 yds to the ARK 36Similar
Q2 0:31
2ND & 3
OWN 36
0
28.1%
Taylen Green pass incomplete to Raylen SharpeSimilar
Q2 0:19
3RD & 3
OWN 36
+57
27.0%
Mike Washington Jr. run for 57 yds to the TA&M 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
31.2%
Taylen Green pass incomplete to CJ BrownSimilar
Q2 0:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
41.1%
Taylen Green pass complete to O'Mega Blake for 7 yds for a TD (Scott Starzyk KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 10TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:1564% → 78%
Q3 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
36.1%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Nate Boerkircher for 12 yds to the TA&M 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:12
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+46
35.3%
Marcel Reed run for 46 yds to the ARK 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:34
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
21.7%
Marcel Reed pass complete to KC Concepcion for 17 yds for a TD (Randy Bond KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:2025% → 24%
Q3 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
25.3%
Mike Washington Jr. run for 1 yd to the ARK 26Similar
Q3 12:54
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
25.1%
Taylen Green pass incomplete to Mike Washington Jr.Similar
Q3 12:42
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+3
24.1%
Taylen Green pass complete to Mike Washington Jr. for 3 yds to the ARK 29Similar
Q3 12:02
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
23.6%
Devin Bale punt for 55 yds, fair catch by KC Concepcion at the TA&M 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 12FG
12 plays · 73 yds · 4:0777% → 81%
Q3 11:52
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+25
23.5%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Terry Bussey for 25 yds to the TA&M 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:23
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
21.4%
Jamarion Morrow run for 6 yds to the TA&M 47Similar
Q3 10:42
2ND & 4
OWN 47
+15
21.4%
(10:49) No Huddle-Shotgun Reed,Marcel pass incomplete deep left to Concepcion,KC thrown to ARK22 PENALTY ARK Roughing The Passer (Sorey,Xavian) 15 yards from TAMU47 to ARK38, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:36
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
21.0%
Marcel Reed pass incomplete to KC ConcepcionSimilar
Q3 10:26
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+8
21.1%
EJ Smith run for 8 yds to the ARK 30Similar
Q3 9:46
3RD & 2
OPP 30
+13
21.1%
EJ Smith run for 13 yds to the ARK 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:09
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
19.7%
EJ Smith run for 3 yds to the ARK 14Similar
Q3 8:31
2ND & 7
OPP 14
0
19.6%
Marcel Reed pass incomplete to KC ConcepcionSimilar
Q3 8:18
3RD & 7
OPP 14
+3
20.1%
Marcel Reed pass complete to KC Concepcion for 3 yds to the ARK 11Similar
Q3 7:45
4TH & 4
OPP 11
+29
19.3%
Randy Bond 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 13TD
9 plays · 65 yds · 3:1020% → 39%
Q3 7:38
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
19.5%
Taylen Green run for 2 yds to the ARK 37Similar
Q3 6:57
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+8
19.8%
Mike Washington Jr. run for 8 yds to the ARK 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:17
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+15
20.4%
Taylen Green pass complete to CJ Brown for 15 yds to the TA&M 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:52
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+8
21.1%
Taylen Green run for 8 yds to the TA&M 32Similar
Q3 5:21
2ND & 2
OPP 32
+20
22.2%
Taylen Green pass complete to O'Mega Blake for 7 yds to the TA&M 25 for a 1ST down Texas A&M Penalty, (13 Yards) to the TA&M 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:01
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+11
21.8%
Braylen Russell run for 11 yds to the TA&M 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
39.3%
Taylen Green run for 1 yd for a TD (Scott Starzyk KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 14TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:5670% → 86%
Q3 4:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
29.7%
Rueben Owens II run for 7 yds to the TA&M 32Similar
Q3 3:41
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+20
28.2%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Rueben Owens II for 20 yds to the ARK 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:03
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
26.2%
EJ Smith run for 3 yds to the ARK 45Similar
Q3 2:26
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+7
25.7%
Marcel Reed pass complete to EJ Smith for 7 yds to the ARK 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:55
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
25.5%
Marcel Reed pass incomplete to Theo Melin ÖhrströmSimilar
Q3 1:47
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+8
25.7%
EJ Smith run for 8 yds to the ARK 30Similar
Q3 1:05
3RD & 2
OPP 30
+11
25.2%
Marcel Reed pass complete to KC Concepcion for 11 yds to the ARK 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:30
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
23.7%
EJ Smith run for 15 yds Texas A&M Penalty, (-10 Yards) to the ARK 14Similar
Q3 0:25
1ST & 5
OPP 14
+14
13.8%
Rueben Owens II run for 14 yds for a TD (Randy Bond KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 15TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 3:4915% → 41%
Q3 0:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
14.5%
Mike Washington Jr. run for 4 yds to the ARK 29Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
14.6%
Taylen Green pass incomplete to CJ BrownSimilar
Q4 14:43
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+16
14.2%
Taylen Green pass complete to O'Mega Blake for 16 yds to the ARK 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:17
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+11
15.1%
Mike Washington Jr. run for 11 yds to the TA&M 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:49
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+22
16.2%
Taylen Green pass complete to O'Mega Blake for 22 yds to the TA&M 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:21
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-2
17.4%
Mike Washington Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the TA&M 24Similar
Q4 12:43
2ND & 12
OPP 24
+13
16.4%
Taylen Green pass complete to Raylen Sharpe for 13 yds to the TA&M 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:32
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+4
17.3%
Texas A&M Penalty, (4 Yards) to the TA&M 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
16.2%
Mike Washington Jr. run for no gain to the TA&M 4Similar
Q4 11:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
40.9%
Jaden Platt 4 Yd pass from Taylen Green (Taylen Green Pass to Rohan Jones for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 16TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:3366% → 92%
Q4 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
33.6%
Marcel Reed pass incomplete to KC ConcepcionSimilar
Q4 11:17
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
34.3%
Rueben Owens II run for 3 yds to the TA&M 28Similar
Q4 10:27
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+6
32.2%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Nate Boerkircher for 6 yds to the TA&M 34Similar
Q4 9:50
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+2
32.1%
EJ Smith run for 2 yds to the TA&M 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:16
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
27.9%
Marcel Reed pass incomplete to Mario CraverSimilar
Q4 9:09
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+37
28.7%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Ashton Bethel-Roman for 37 yds to the ARK 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:37
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+9
23.1%
Mario Craver run for 9 yds to the ARK 18Similar
Q4 8:00
2ND & 1
OPP 18
-1
22.6%
Marcel Reed run for a loss of 1 yard to the ARK 19Similar
Q4 7:22
3RD & 2
OPP 19
+7
24.0%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Rueben Owens II for 7 yds to the ARK 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:52
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
8.3%
Rueben Owens II run for 12 yds for a TD (Randy Bond KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · -20 yds · 0:539% → 7%
Q4 6:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-20
8.9%
Taylen Green sacked for a loss of 20 yards to the ARK 5Similar
Q4 6:02
2ND & 30
OWN 5
0
7.7%
Taylen Green pass incomplete to Mike Washington Jr.Similar
Q4 5:57
3RD & 30
OWN 5
0
7.5%
Taylen Green pass incomplete to Mike Washington Jr.Similar
Q4 5:50
4TH & 30
OWN 5
0
7.2%
Devin Bale punt for 52 yds, fair catch by KC Concepcion at the TA&M 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 18PUNT
8 plays · -8 yds · 1:4793% → 94%
Q4 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-10
7.4%
(05:49) No Huddle-Shotgun Reed,Marcel rush left for 57 yards gain to the ARK00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 05:38 PENALTY TAMU Holding (Bisontis,Chase) 10 yards from TAMU43 to TAMU33. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:31
1ST & 20
OWN 33
0
8.3%
Rueben Owens II run for no gain to the TA&M 33Similar
Q4 4:45
2ND & 20
OWN 33
+2
7.4%
Mario Craver run for 2 yds to the TA&M 35Similar
Q4 4:02
3RD & 18
OWN 35
0
6.6%
Marcel Reed pass incomplete to Mario CraverSimilar
Q4 3:51
4TH & 18
OWN 35
+13
6.3%
Tyler White punt for 50 yds , Kam Shanks returns for 13 yds to the ARK 28Similar
Q4 3:51
4TH & 18
OWN 35
+14
6.3%
Tyler White punt for 51 yds , Kam Shanks returns for 14 yds to the ARK 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 19TD
16 plays · 93 yds · 3:347% → 21%
Q4 3:44
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+6
6.5%
Taylen Green pass complete to Mike Washington Jr. for 6 yds to the ARK 13Similar
Q4 3:25
2ND & 4
OWN 13
0
4.9%
Taylen Green pass incomplete to Raylen SharpeSimilar
Q4 3:16
3RD & 4
OWN 13
-1
4.5%
Mike Washington Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the ARK 12Similar
Q4 2:27
4TH & 5
OWN 12
+49
3.3%
Taylen Green run for 49 yds to the TA&M 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:55
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-7
3.4%
Taylen Green sacked by Marco Jones for a loss of 7 yards to the TA&M 46Similar
Q4 1:47
2ND & 17
OPP 46
+18
2.5%
Taylen Green pass complete to Rohan Jones for 18 yds to the TA&M 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:41
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-18
3.5%
Taylen Green sacked by Dalton Brooks for a loss of 18 yards to the TA&M 46Similar
Q4 1:10
2ND & 28
OPP 46
-5
2.2%
(01:12) PENALTY ARK False Start (Robinson II,Corey) 5 yards from TAMU46 to ARK49. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 0:38
2ND & 33
OWN 49
+36
2.0%
Taylen Green pass complete to O'Mega Blake for 36 yds to the TA&M 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:26
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
3.1%
Taylen Green pass incomplete to Kam ShanksSimilar
Q4 0:18
2ND & 10
OPP 15
0
3.1%
Taylen Green pass incomplete to CJ BrownSimilar
Q4 0:13
3RD & 10
OPP 15
+11
2.5%
Taylen Green pass complete to CJ Brown for 11 yds to the TA&M 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
20.6%
Taylen Green pass complete to CJ Brown for 4 yds for a TD (Scott Starzyk KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 20END OF GAME
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-2
3.5%
(00:07) Kneel down by Texas A&M at ARK41 for loss of 2 yards.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 11:30
Jaden Platt 4 Yd pass from Taylen Green (Taylen Green Pass to Rohan Jones for Two-Point Conversion)
+24.8
TD · Q4 0:10
Taylen Green pass complete to CJ Brown for 4 yds for a TD (Scott Starzyk KICK)
+18
TD · Q3 4:28
Taylen Green run for 1 yd for a TD (Scott Starzyk KICK)
+17.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com