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South Carolina 10 at LSU 20

LSU
2025 · Week 7 · Oct 11, 2025 · Tiger Stadium (LA)
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Win probability · LSU
modelLSU aheadSC aheadconfidence bandkey playLSU scoreSC score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 4:54 · Mason Love punt for 57 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LSU 8
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialBlowout margin
+30.0+15.00−15.0−30.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 128Pregame prior+8.2Home team on offense+7.3Garbage-time factor−0.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.9Score differential+1.9Blowout margin+0.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:01: Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Trey'Dez Green for 6 yds for a TD LSU Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Bauer Sharp) to the SC 0 (Damian Ramos KICK) — LSU win probability +3.3 pts (now 73%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q3 8:39: William Joyce 47 yd FG GOOD — SC win probability +6.3 pts (now 38%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 6:38: Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Kyle Parker for 43 yds for a TD (Damian Ramos KICK) — LSU win probability +12.5 pts (now 82%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 7:11: LaNorris Sellers pass incomplete to Vandrevius Jacobs — SC win probability +5.9 pts (now 20%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 5:38: Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Trey'Dez Green for 18 yds to the LSU 49 for a 1ST down — LSU win probability +6.9 pts (now 90%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
LSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6SC made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 13:21LSU 4th & 5 at LSU 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.8%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:53LSU 4th & 3 at SC 10, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 71.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.9%
    49% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    71.8%−<0.1
    88% to make
    Punt
    71.4%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:04SC 4th & 6 at LSU 29, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 28.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.4%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    28.4%
    58% to make
    Punt
    27.5%−0.9
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:31SC 4th & 16 at LSU 47, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.0%−1.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.1%
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:40LSU 4th & 7 at LSU 29, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.6%−0.5
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:59SC 4th & 30 at SC 39, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.9%−2.3
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.2%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:35LSU 4th & 3 at LSU 9, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.6%−1.5
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.0%
    average punt
  8. Q3 8:39SC 4th & 10 at LSU 29, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 31.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.4%−1.1
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    31.5%
    58% to make
    Punt
    24.8%−6.7
    average punt
  9. Q3 4:54SC 4th & 10 at SC 35, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.9%−1.9
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.8%
    average punt
  10. Q4 8:46SC 4th & 20 at LSU 37, down 7
    Numbers favored field goal by 2.0 ptsPunted · 16.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.8%−3.6
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    17.4%
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    15.4%−2.0
    average punt
  11. Q4 7:17LSU 4th & 8 at LSU 12, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.5%−2.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.7%
    average punt
  12. Q4 5:43SC 4th & 4 at LSU 31, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 15.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    15.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    14.5%−0.7
    54% to make
    Punt
    10.1%−5.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 1:47LSU 4th & 5 at SC 5, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 94.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.7%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    93.8%
    92% to make
    Punt
    90.5%−3.3
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:08SC 4th & 15 at SC 15, down 10
    Close callWent for it · 4.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.2%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.4%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
LSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2SC made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 0:25SC Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    33.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    33.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:01LSU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 6:38LSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
LSUDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 1:3374% → 74%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
74.0%
Caden Durham run for a loss of 3 yards to the LSU 22Similar
Q1 14:21
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+5
73.9%
(14:29) No Huddle-Shotgun Nussmeier,Garrett pass complete short right to Johnson,Ju'Juan caught at LSU20, for 5 yards to the LSU27 (Smith,DQ; Okoronkwo,Justin) PENALTY USC Offside 5 yards from LSU22 to LSU27. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 14:08
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+3
73.9%
Harlem Berry run for 3 yds to the LSU 30Similar
Q1 13:31
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
73.7%
Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete to Zavion ThomasSimilar
Q1 13:21
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
73.6%
Grant Chadwick punt for 53 yds , Vicari Swain returns for no gain to the SC 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 2FUMBLE
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0026% → 26%
Q1 13:16
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
73.7%
LaNorris Sellers run for no gain to the SC 17 LaNorris Sellers fumbled, recovered by LSU Patrick PaytonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 3FG
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:1274% → 74%
Q1 13:05
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+7
73.9%
Ju'Juan Johnson run for 7 yds to the SC 10Similar
Q1 12:38
2ND & 3
OPP 10
0
73.9%
Ju'Juan Johnson run for no gain to the SC 10Similar
Q1 11:58
3RD & 3
OPP 10
0
73.7%
Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete to Trey'Dez GreenSimilar
Q1 11:53
4TH & 3
OPP 10
+28
73.8%
Damian Ramos 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 4MISSED FG
10 plays · 46 yds · 3:4326% → 27%
Q1 11:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
73.7%
Rahsul Faison run for a loss of 4 yards to the SC 21Similar
Q1 11:31
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+6
73.7%
LaNorris Sellers run for 6 yds to the SC 27Similar
Q1 10:57
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+13
73.7%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Rahsul Faison for 13 yds to the SC 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+11
73.2%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Brady Hunt for 11 yds to the LSU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:54
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+16
73.0%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Vandrevius Jacobs for 16 yds to the LSU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:26
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
72.9%
LaNorris Sellers run for 2 yds to the LSU 31Similar
Q1 8:49
2ND & 8
OPP 31
0
72.7%
LaNorris Sellers pass incomplete to Jordan DingleSimilar
Q1 8:44
3RD & 8
OPP 31
+2
72.9%
LaNorris Sellers run for 2 yds to the LSU 29Similar
Q1 8:04
4TH & 6
OPP 29
+47
73.1%
William Joyce 47 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 5FUMBLE
13 plays · 71 yds · 6:0673% → 73%
Q1 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+11
73.1%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Bauer Sharp for 11 yds to the LSU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
73.4%
Caden Durham run for 2 yds to the LSU 42Similar
Q1 6:53
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+8
73.4%
Garrett Nussmeier run for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:10
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+1
73.3%
Caden Durham run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:37
1ST & 10
50
+9
73.5%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Kyle Parker for 9 yds to the SC 41Similar
Q1 5:22
2ND & 1
OPP 41
+1
73.6%
Harlem Berry run for 1 yd to the SC 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:43
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
73.6%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Harlem Berry for 2 yds to the SC 38Similar
Q1 4:10
2ND & 8
OPP 38
+10
73.5%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Kyle Parker for 10 yds to the SC 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:35
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
73.7%
Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete to Nic AndersonSimilar
Q1 3:19
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+2
73.7%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Nic Anderson for 2 yds to the SC 26Similar
Q1 2:51
3RD & 8
OPP 26
+19
73.2%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Trey'Dez Green for 19 yds to the SC 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
73.4%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Zavion Thomas for 6 yds to the SC 1Similar
Q1 1:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
73.3%
Ju'Juan Johnson run for 1 yd Ju'Juan Johnson fumbled, recovered by SC Bryan Thomas Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 6TD
3 plays · 80 yds · 1:1628% → 32%
Q1 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
72.2%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Brian Rowe Jr. for 7 yds to the SC 27Similar
Q1 0:59
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+1
71.7%
Matt Fuller run for 1 yd to the SC 28Similar
Q1 0:25
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+72
68.5%
Matt Fuller run for 72 yds for a TD (William Joyce KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 7TD
8 plays · 72 yds · 1:5968% → 73%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
68.3%
Harlem Berry run for no gain to the LSU 28Similar
Q2 14:47
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+9
68.1%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Kyle Parker for 9 yds to the LSU 37Similar
Q2 14:31
3RD & 1
OWN 37
+5
68.8%
Caden Durham run for 5 yds to the LSU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:09
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+23
69.1%
Caden Durham run for 23 yds to the SC 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:38
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+15
69.9%
(13:43) No Huddle-Shotgun Nussmeier,Garrett pass incomplete deep right to Hilton Jr.,Chris thrown to USC00 PENALTY USC Pass Interference (Cisse,Brandon) 15 yards from USC35 to USC20, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:28
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+14
69.9%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Trey'Dez Green for 14 yds to the SC 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
73.1%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Trey'Dez Green for 6 yds for a TD LSU Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Bauer Sharp) to the SC 0 (Damian Ramos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 8PUNT
11 plays · 22 yds · 3:1929% → 29%
Q2 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
71.4%
Rahsul Faison run for 2 yds to the SC 33Similar
Q2 12:17
2ND & 8
OWN 33
+14
71.3%
(12:25) No Huddle-Shotgun Sellers,LaNorris pass incomplete short right to Rowe Jr.,Brian thrown to USC45 QB hurried by Butler,Jimari, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY LSU Pass Interference (Cooley,Tamarcus) 14 yards from USC33 to USC47, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+9
70.2%
Brian Rowe Jr. run for 9 yds to the LSU 44Similar
Q2 11:49
2ND & 1
OPP 44
+3
69.7%
Rahsul Faison run for 3 yds to the LSU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:17
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
69.8%
LaNorris Sellers run for 2 yds to the LSU 39Similar
Q2 10:48
2ND & 8
OPP 39
-5
69.7%
PENALTY USC Illegal Snap (Stanley,Boaz) 5 yards from LSU39 to LSU44. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:32
2ND & 13
OPP 44
-5
70.2%
(10:34) PENALTY USC False Start (Dingle,Jordan) 5 yards from LSU44 to LSU49. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:13
2ND & 18
OPP 49
0
70.5%
LaNorris Sellers pass incomplete to Nyck HarborSimilar
Q2 9:54
3RD & 18
OPP 49
+2
70.8%
LaNorris Sellers run for 2 yds to the LSU 47Similar
Q2 9:31
4TH & 16
OPP 47
0
71.5%
Mason Love punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Zavion Thomas at the LSU 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 14 yds · 1:4071% → 70%
Q2 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+11
70.8%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Barion Brown for 11 yds to the LSU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
70.9%
Caden Durham run for 2 yds to the LSU 28Similar
Q2 8:25
2ND & 8
OWN 28
+1
70.8%
Caden Durham run for 1 yd to the LSU 29Similar
Q2 7:47
3RD & 7
OWN 29
0
70.7%
Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete to Zavion ThomasSimilar
Q2 7:40
4TH & 7
OWN 29
0
69.9%
Grant Chadwick punt for 71 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 10INT
8 plays · 20 yds · 2:5729% → 29%
Q2 7:34
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
70.9%
LaNorris Sellers run for no gain to the SC 20Similar
Q2 6:48
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+9
71.0%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Brian Rowe Jr. for 9 yds to the SC 29Similar
Q2 6:21
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+4
70.7%
Rahsul Faison run for 4 yds to the SC 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+12
70.1%
Jared Brown run for 12 yds to the SC 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-5
69.1%
(05:11) PENALTY USC False Start (Thompson,Josiah) 5 yards from USC45 to USC40. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:48
1ST & 15
OWN 40
0
70.3%
LaNorris Sellers pass incomplete to Brady HuntSimilar
Q2 4:43
2ND & 15
OWN 40
0
70.4%
LaNorris Sellers pass incomplete to Jared BrownSimilar
Q2 4:37
3RD & 15
OWN 40
0
70.9%
LaNorris Sellers pass intercepted Tamarcus Cooley return for no gain to the LSU 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 11INT
8 plays · 32 yds · 2:1471% → 71%
Q2 4:28
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
70.9%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Trey'Dez Green for 8 yds to the LSU 28Similar
Q2 3:59
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+9
71.8%
Caden Durham run for 9 yds to the LSU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
71.5%
Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete to Chris Hilton Jr.Similar
Q2 3:08
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+17
71.2%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Caden Durham for 17 yds to the SC 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:54
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
72.9%
Caden Durham run for 3 yds to the SC 43Similar
Q2 2:21
2ND & 7
OPP 43
0
72.8%
Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete to Zavion ThomasSimilar
Q2 2:21
3RD & 7
OPP 43
-5
72.2%
PENALTY LSU False Start (Green,Trey'Dez) 5 yards from USC43 to USC48. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:14
3RD & 12
OPP 48
0
70.7%
Garrett Nussmeier pass intercepted DQ Smith return for no gain to the SC 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 12PUNT
11 plays · 13 yds · 1:1230% → 29%
Q2 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+9
70.1%
LaNorris Sellers run for 9 yds to the SC 35Similar
Q2 1:56
2ND & 1
OWN 35
+2
68.0%
Oscar Adaway III run for 2 yds to the SC 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
68.7%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Brady Hunt for 5 yds to the SC 42Similar
Q2 1:48
2ND & 5
OWN 42
-5
67.0%
PENALTY USC False Start (Thompson,Josiah) 5 yards from USC42 to USC37. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:44
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+10
69.1%
(01:48) Shotgun Sellers,LaNorris pass incomplete short middle to Rowe Jr.,Brian thrown to USC45 PENALTY LSU Holding (Cooley,Tamarcus) 10 yards from USC37 to USC47, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+12
66.9%
LaNorris Sellers run for 12 yds to the LSU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:24
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
66.2%
LaNorris Sellers pass incomplete to Mazeo Bennett Jr.Similar
Q2 1:19
2ND & 10
OPP 41
0
66.5%
LaNorris Sellers pass incomplete to Mazeo Bennett Jr.Similar
Q2 1:13
3RD & 10
OPP 41
-20
67.3%
South Carolina Penalty, Intentional Grounding (-20 Yards) to the SC 39Similar
Q2 0:59
4TH & 30
OWN 39
0
71.0%
Mason Love punt for 51 yds , Zavion Thomas returns for no gain to the LSU 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 0:1869% → 69%
Q2 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+3
69.0%
Caden Durham run for 3 yds to the LSU 5Similar
Q2 0:48
2ND & 7
OWN 5
+4
69.5%
Caden Durham run for 4 yds to the LSU 9Similar
Q2 0:43
3RD & 3
OWN 9
0
69.7%
Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete to Trey'Dez GreenSimilar
Q2 0:35
4TH & 3
OWN 9
0
69.0%
Grant Chadwick punt for 51 yds , Vicari Swain returns for no gain to the SC 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 14END OF HALF
7 plays · 5 yds · 0:3130% → 26%
Q2 0:31
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
70.4%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Rahsul Faison for 1 yd to the SC 41Similar
Q2 0:26
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+4
70.8%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Brady Hunt for 4 yds to the SC 45Similar
Q2 0:18
3RD & 5
OWN 45
+8
70.1%
LaNorris Sellers run for 8 yds to the LSU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:10
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-8
68.6%
LaNorris Sellers sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the SC 45Similar
Q2 0:03
2ND & 18
OWN 45
0
73.8%
LaNorris Sellers pass incomplete to Rahsul FaisonSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 18
OWN 45
0
74.2%
LaNorris Sellers pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 15FG
13 plays · 46 yds · 6:1830% → 38%
Q3 14:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
70.1%
Rahsul Faison run for 10 yds to the SC 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:14
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
69.4%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Matt Fuller for 5 yds to the SC 40Similar
Q3 13:42
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+6
67.8%
LaNorris Sellers run for 6 yds to the SC 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:09
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
67.2%
LaNorris Sellers run for 1 yd to the SC 47Similar
Q3 12:36
2ND & 9
OWN 47
+12
67.3%
Rahsul Faison run for 12 yds to the LSU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:01
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+9
66.5%
Rahsul Faison run for 9 yds to the LSU 32Similar
Q3 11:23
2ND & 1
OPP 32
+3
65.0%
Matt Fuller run for 3 yds to the LSU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:46
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-10
64.8%
(10:52) No Huddle-Shotgun Sellers,LaNorris rush left for 0 yards to the LSU29 (Delane,Mansoor), out of bounds PENALTY USC Holding (Hunt,Brady) 10 yards from LSU29 to LSU39. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:25
1ST & 20
OPP 39
+4
67.1%
Matt Fuller run for 4 yds to the LSU 35Similar
Q3 9:40
2ND & 16
OPP 35
+2
66.4%
Matt Fuller run for 2 yds to the LSU 33Similar
Q3 9:01
3RD & 14
OPP 33
+4
68.2%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Jordan Dingle for 4 yds to the LSU 29Similar
Q3 8:39
4TH & 10
OPP 29
+47
61.9%
William Joyce 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 16TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 1:5265% → 82%
Q3 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
65.0%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Trey'Dez Green for 11 yds to the LSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
66.0%
Caden Durham run for 7 yds to the LSU 43Similar
Q3 7:39
2ND & 3
OWN 43
+5
67.9%
(07:39) PENALTY USC Offside (Thomas Jr.,Bryan) 5 yards from LSU43 to LSU48, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:23
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+19
67.9%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Trey'Dez Green for 19 yds to the SC 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:47
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-10
69.1%
(06:55) Shotgun Nussmeier,Garrett pass incomplete deep right to Brown,Barion thrown to USC09 PENALTY LSU Holding (Davis,Weston) 10 yards from USC33 to USC43. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:38
1ST & 20
OPP 43
+43
81.6%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Kyle Parker for 43 yds for a TD (Damian Ramos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 1:3725% → 21%
Q3 6:31
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
75.5%
LaNorris Sellers pass incomplete to Vandrevius JacobsSimilar
Q3 6:25
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
76.0%
Matt Fuller run for no gain to the SC 35Similar
Q3 5:35
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+5
77.6%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Brady Hunt for 5 yds to the SC 40Similar
Q3 5:02
4TH & 5
OWN 40
-5
76.8%
(05:07) PENALTY USC Illegal Snap (Love,Mason) 5 yards from USC40 to USC35. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:54
4TH & 10
OWN 35
0
78.7%
Mason Love punt for 57 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LSU 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 18INT
6 plays · 83 yds · 3:1979% → 84%
Q3 4:49
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
79.0%
Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete to Ju'Juan JohnsonSimilar
Q3 4:41
2ND & 10
OWN 8
+4
78.8%
Garrett Nussmeier run for 4 yds to the LSU 12Similar
Q3 4:00
3RD & 6
OWN 12
+21
78.5%
Garrett Nussmeier run for 21 yds to the LSU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+56
80.4%
Ju'Juan Johnson run for 56 yds to the SC 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:07
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
84.2%
Ju'Juan Johnson run for 2 yds to the SC 9Similar
Q3 1:30
2ND & 8
OPP 9
0
84.3%
Garrett Nussmeier pass intercepted Peyton Williams return for no gain to the SC 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 19PUNT
16 plays · 62 yds · 7:4421% → 17%
Q3 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
79.2%
PENALTY USC False Start (Sharpe,Nick). NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+1
79.2%
LaNorris Sellers run for 1 yd to the SC 2Similar
Q3 0:50
2ND & 9
OWN 2
+2
79.9%
Rahsul Faison run for 2 yds to the SC 4Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 7
OWN 4
+16
81.0%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Nyck Harbor for 16 yds to the SC 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
79.2%
Rahsul Faison run for 7 yds to the SC 27Similar
Q4 14:22
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+14
77.9%
Rahsul Faison run for 14 yds to the SC 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:54
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
79.5%
LaNorris Sellers run for 2 yds to the SC 43Similar
Q4 13:18
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+20
79.7%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Nyck Harbor for 20 yds to the LSU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:47
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
77.7%
Rahsul Faison run for 3 yds to the LSU 34Similar
Q4 12:07
2ND & 7
OPP 34
+6
75.8%
LaNorris Sellers run for 6 yds to the LSU 28Similar
Q4 11:18
3RD & 1
OPP 28
+1
77.7%
Matt Fuller run for 1 yd to the LSU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:43
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-5
75.8%
PENALTY USC False Start (Stanley,Boaz) 5 yards from LSU27 to LSU32. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:21
1ST & 15
OPP 32
-13
77.8%
South Carolina Penalty, Intentional Grounding (-13 Yards) to the LSU 45Similar
Q4 10:14
2ND & 28
OPP 45
+10
80.2%
LaNorris Sellers run for 10 yds to the LSU 35Similar
Q4 9:29
3RD & 18
OPP 35
-2
80.8%
LaNorris Sellers sacked by Whit Weeks for a loss of 2 yards to the LSU 37Similar
Q4 8:46
4TH & 20
OPP 37
0
83.3%
Mason Love punt for 27 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LSU 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:1586% → 86%
Q4 8:32
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-2
86.0%
Harlem Berry run for a loss of 2 yards to the LSU 8Similar
Q4 7:59
2ND & 12
OWN 8
+4
85.8%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Kyle Parker for 4 yds to the LSU 12Similar
Q4 7:27
3RD & 8
OWN 12
0
86.5%
Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete to Caden DurhamSimilar
Q4 7:17
4TH & 8
OWN 12
+20
86.3%
Grant Chadwick punt for 45 yds , Vicari Swain returns for 20 yds to the LSU 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 21DOWNS
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:2820% → 17%
Q4 7:11
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
80.5%
LaNorris Sellers pass incomplete to Vandrevius JacobsSimilar
Q4 6:59
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+1
80.9%
Rahsul Faison run for 1 yd to the LSU 36Similar
Q4 6:25
3RD & 9
OPP 36
+5
81.8%
Rahsul Faison run for 5 yds to the LSU 31Similar
Q4 5:43
4TH & 4
OPP 31
0
83.2%
LaNorris Sellers pass incomplete to Vandrevius JacobsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 22FG
14 plays · 64 yds · 3:5190% → 98%
Q4 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+18
90.1%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Trey'Dez Green for 18 yds to the LSU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
91.5%
Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete to Bauer SharpSimilar
Q4 4:50
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+15
91.2%
Caden Durham run for 15 yds to the SC 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:12
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
93.2%
Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete to Bauer SharpSimilar
Q4 3:55
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+11
93.1%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Barion Brown for 11 yds to the SC 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:13
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+24
94.3%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Trey'Dez Green for 24 yds to the SC 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
94.4%
Caden Durham run for no gain to the SC 1Similar
Q4 1:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-2
97.1%
Garrett Nussmeier run for a loss of 2 yards to the SC 3 Garrett Nussmeier fumbled, recovered by LSU Garrett NussmeierSimilar
Q4 1:50
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
-2
97.4%
Caden Durham run for a loss of 2 yards to the SC 5Similar
Q4 1:47
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
97.9%
Damian Ramos 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 23DOWNS
6 plays · 1 yds · 0:274% → 3%
Q4 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
96.5%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Vandrevius Jacobs for 2 yds to the SC 22Similar
Q4 1:25
2ND & 8
OWN 22
-12
96.6%
LaNorris Sellers sacked by DJ Pickett for a loss of 12 yards to the SC 10Similar
Q4 1:15
3RD & 20
OWN 10
+5
97.2%
LaNorris Sellers run for 5 yds to the SC 15Similar
Q4 1:08
4TH & 15
OWN 15
+6
97.3%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Rahsul Faison for 6 yds to the SC 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 24END OF GAME
2 plays · -2 yds · 1:0499% → 99%
Q4 1:04
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-1
98.5%
(01:08) Kneel down by LSU at USC22 for loss of 1 yard.Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 11
OPP 22
-1
98.7%
(00:31) Kneel down by LSU at USC23 for loss of 1 yard.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 6:38
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Kyle Parker for 43 yds for a TD (Damian Ramos KICK)
+12.5
KEY PLAY · Q4 5:38
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Trey'Dez Green for 18 yds to the LSU 49 for a 1ST down
+6.9
FG · Q3 8:39
William Joyce 47 yd FG GOOD
-6.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com