SC
South Carolina 10 at LSU 20
LSU2025 · Week 7 · Oct 11, 2025 · Tiger Stadium (LA)
Speed4x
Win probability · LSU
modelLSU aheadSC aheadconfidence bandkey play
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
LSU · Drive 1PUNT · 6 plays · 5 yds
Q1 15:00
Max Kelley kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
69.3%
0.0
Q1 14:54
Caden Durham run for a loss of 3 yards to the LSU 22
71.1%
+1.8
Q1 14:21
(14:29) No Huddle-Shotgun Nussmeier,Garrett pass complete short right to Johnson,Ju'Juan caught at LSU20, for 5 yards to the LSU27 (Smith,DQ; Okoronkwo,Justin) PENALTY USC Offside 5 yards from LSU22 to LSU27. NO PLAY.
70.8%
-0.3
Q1 14:08
Harlem Berry run for 3 yds to the LSU 30
70.8%
0.0
Q1 13:31
Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete to Zavion Thomas
70.8%
0.0
Q1 13:21
Grant Chadwick punt for 53 yds , Vicari Swain returns for no gain to the SC 17
70.6%
-0.3
SC · Drive 2FUMBLE · 1 play · 0 yds
Q1 13:16
LaNorris Sellers run for no gain to the SC 17 LaNorris Sellers fumbled, recovered by LSU Patrick Payton
68.3%
-2.3
LSU · Drive 3FG · 4 plays · 7 yds
Q1 13:05
Ju'Juan Johnson run for 7 yds to the SC 10
72.8%
+4.6
Q1 12:38
Ju'Juan Johnson run for no gain to the SC 10
72.8%
0.0
Q1 11:58
Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete to Trey'Dez Green
72.6%
-0.2
Q1 11:53
Damian Ramos 28 yd FG GOOD
76.4%
+0.6
SC · Drive 4MISSED FG · 10 plays · 46 yds
Q1 11:53
Aeron Burrell kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
75.8%
+3.2
Q1 11:47
Rahsul Faison run for a loss of 4 yards to the SC 21
74.0%
-2.4
Q1 11:31
LaNorris Sellers run for 6 yds to the SC 27
74.0%
0.0
Q1 10:57
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Rahsul Faison for 13 yds to the SC 40 for a 1ST down
74.0%
0.0
Q1 10:16
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Brady Hunt for 11 yds to the LSU 49 for a 1ST down
73.3%
-0.7
Q1 9:54
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Vandrevius Jacobs for 16 yds to the LSU 33 for a 1ST down
72.1%
-1.1
Q1 9:26
LaNorris Sellers run for 2 yds to the LSU 31
71.7%
-0.4
Q1 8:49
LaNorris Sellers pass incomplete to Jordan Dingle
71.4%
-0.3
Q1 8:44
LaNorris Sellers run for 2 yds to the LSU 29
71.4%
0.0
Q1 8:04
William Joyce 47 yd FG MISSED
72.1%
+0.7
LSU · Drive 5FUMBLE · 13 plays · 71 yds
Q1 7:57
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Bauer Sharp for 11 yds to the LSU 40 for a 1ST down
75.6%
+3.5
Q1 7:30
Caden Durham run for 2 yds to the LSU 42
76.1%
+0.5
Q1 6:53
Garrett Nussmeier run for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down
76.1%
0.0
Q1 6:10
Caden Durham run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down
75.7%
-0.4
Q1 5:37
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Kyle Parker for 9 yds to the SC 41
75.9%
+0.2
Q1 5:22
Harlem Berry run for 1 yd to the SC 40 for a 1ST down
76.4%
+0.5
Q1 4:43
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Harlem Berry for 2 yds to the SC 38
76.4%
0.0
Q1 4:10
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Kyle Parker for 10 yds to the SC 28 for a 1ST down
76.4%
0.0
Q1 3:35
Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete to Nic Anderson
76.3%
-0.1
Q1 3:19
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Nic Anderson for 2 yds to the SC 26
76.3%
0.0
Q1 2:51
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Trey'Dez Green for 19 yds to the SC 7 for a 1ST down
76.1%
-0.2
Q1 2:26
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Zavion Thomas for 6 yds to the SC 1
76.3%
+0.1
Q1 1:51
Ju'Juan Johnson run for 1 yd Ju'Juan Johnson fumbled, recovered by SC Bryan Thomas Jr.
75.3%
-1.0
SC · Drive 6TD · 3 plays · 80 yds
Q1 1:41
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Brian Rowe Jr. for 7 yds to the SC 27
71.7%
-3.6
Q1 0:59
Matt Fuller run for 1 yd to the SC 28
71.7%
0.0
Q1 0:25
Matt Fuller run for 72 yds for a TD (William Joyce KICK)
57.8%
-13.8
LSU · Drive 7TD · 8 plays · 72 yds
Q1 0:20
Max Kelley kickoff for 59 yds , Zavion Thomas return for 22 yds to the LSU 28
57.8%
0.0
Q1 0:00
Harlem Berry run for no gain to the LSU 28
61.7%
+3.9
Q2 14:47
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Kyle Parker for 9 yds to the LSU 37
61.7%
0.0
Q2 14:31
Caden Durham run for 5 yds to the LSU 42 for a 1ST down
61.7%
0.0
Q2 14:09
Caden Durham run for 23 yds to the SC 35 for a 1ST down
62.4%
+0.6
Q2 13:38
(13:43) No Huddle-Shotgun Nussmeier,Garrett pass incomplete deep right to Hilton Jr.,Chris thrown to USC00 PENALTY USC Pass Interference (Cisse,Brandon) 15 yards from USC35 to USC20, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.
64.4%
+2.1
Q2 13:28
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Trey'Dez Green for 14 yds to the SC 6 for a 1ST down
64.4%
0.0
Q2 13:01
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Trey'Dez Green for 6 yds for a TD LSU Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Bauer Sharp) to the SC 0 (Damian Ramos KICK)
75.1%
+10.6
SC · Drive 8PUNT · 11 plays · 22 yds
Q2 12:56
Aeron Burrell kickoff for 72 yds , Nyck Harbor return for 23 yds to the SC 31
73.7%
-1.4
Q2 12:50
Rahsul Faison run for 2 yds to the SC 33
71.4%
-2.3
Q2 12:17
(12:25) No Huddle-Shotgun Sellers,LaNorris pass incomplete short right to Rowe Jr.,Brian thrown to USC45 QB hurried by Butler,Jimari, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY LSU Pass Interference (Cooley,Tamarcus) 14 yards from USC33 to USC47, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.
71.4%
0.0
Q2 12:10
Brian Rowe Jr. run for 9 yds to the LSU 44
69.7%
-1.7
Q2 11:49
Rahsul Faison run for 3 yds to the LSU 41 for a 1ST down
69.1%
-0.6
Q2 11:17
LaNorris Sellers run for 2 yds to the LSU 39
68.8%
-0.3
Q2 10:48
PENALTY USC Illegal Snap (Stanley,Boaz) 5 yards from LSU39 to LSU44. NO PLAY.
68.2%
-0.6
Q2 10:32
(10:34) PENALTY USC False Start (Dingle,Jordan) 5 yards from LSU44 to LSU49. NO PLAY.
68.8%
+0.5
Q2 10:13
LaNorris Sellers pass incomplete to Nyck Harbor
68.8%
0.0
Q2 9:54
LaNorris Sellers run for 2 yds to the LSU 47
68.8%
0.0
Q2 9:31
Mason Love punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Zavion Thomas at the LSU 15
69.1%
+0.3
LSU · Drive 9PUNT · 5 plays · 14 yds
Q2 9:20
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Barion Brown for 11 yds to the LSU 26 for a 1ST down
73.0%
+4.0
Q2 8:57
Caden Durham run for 2 yds to the LSU 28
73.0%
0.0
Q2 8:25
Caden Durham run for 1 yd to the LSU 29
73.0%
0.0
Q2 7:47
Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete to Zavion Thomas
73.8%
+0.8
Q2 7:40
Grant Chadwick punt for 71 yds for a touchback
73.3%
-0.5
SC · Drive 10INT · 8 plays · 20 yds
Q2 7:34
LaNorris Sellers run for no gain to the SC 20
71.3%
-1.9
Q2 6:48
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Brian Rowe Jr. for 9 yds to the SC 29
71.3%
0.0
Q2 6:21
Rahsul Faison run for 4 yds to the SC 33 for a 1ST down
71.3%
0.0
Q2 5:35
Jared Brown run for 12 yds to the SC 45 for a 1ST down
71.3%
0.0
Q2 5:10
(05:11) PENALTY USC False Start (Thompson,Josiah) 5 yards from USC45 to USC40. NO PLAY.
69.9%
-1.5
Q2 4:48
LaNorris Sellers pass incomplete to Brady Hunt
70.6%
+0.7
Q2 4:43
LaNorris Sellers pass incomplete to Jared Brown
70.6%
0.0
Q2 4:37
LaNorris Sellers pass intercepted Tamarcus Cooley return for no gain to the LSU 20
70.6%
0.0
LSU · Drive 11INT · 8 plays · 32 yds
Q2 4:28
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Trey'Dez Green for 8 yds to the LSU 28
73.8%
+3.2
Q2 3:59
Caden Durham run for 9 yds to the LSU 37 for a 1ST down
73.8%
0.0
Q2 3:23
Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete to Chris Hilton Jr.
74.2%
+0.4
Q2 3:08
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Caden Durham for 17 yds to the SC 46 for a 1ST down
74.2%
0.0
Q2 2:54
Caden Durham run for 3 yds to the SC 43
74.9%
+0.7
Q2 2:21
Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete to Zavion Thomas
74.8%
0.0
Q2 2:21
PENALTY LSU False Start (Green,Trey'Dez) 5 yards from USC43 to USC48. NO PLAY.
74.7%
-0.2
Q2 2:14
Garrett Nussmeier pass intercepted DQ Smith return for no gain to the SC 26
74.4%
-0.3
SC · Drive 12PUNT · 11 plays · 13 yds
Q2 2:11
LaNorris Sellers run for 9 yds to the SC 35
71.0%
-3.4
Q2 2:00
Timeout LSU, clock 02:00
71.1%
+0.1
Q2 1:56
Oscar Adaway III run for 2 yds to the SC 37 for a 1ST down
71.1%
0.0
Q2 1:48
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Brady Hunt for 5 yds to the SC 42
71.1%
0.0
Q2 1:48
PENALTY USC False Start (Thompson,Josiah) 5 yards from USC42 to USC37. NO PLAY.
70.0%
-1.0
Q2 1:44
(01:48) Shotgun Sellers,LaNorris pass incomplete short middle to Rowe Jr.,Brian thrown to USC45 PENALTY LSU Holding (Cooley,Tamarcus) 10 yards from USC37 to USC47, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.
71.1%
+1.0
Q2 1:39
LaNorris Sellers run for 12 yds to the LSU 41 for a 1ST down
69.4%
-1.7
Q2 1:24
LaNorris Sellers pass incomplete to Mazeo Bennett Jr.
68.8%
-0.6
Q2 1:19
LaNorris Sellers pass incomplete to Mazeo Bennett Jr.
68.8%
0.0
Q2 1:13
South Carolina Penalty, Intentional Grounding (-20 Yards) to the SC 39
68.8%
0.0
Q2 0:59
Mason Love punt for 51 yds , Zavion Thomas returns for no gain to the LSU 2
70.6%
+1.8
LSU · Drive 13PUNT · 6 plays · 7 yds
Q2 0:53
Caden Durham run for 3 yds to the LSU 5
72.7%
+2.1
Q2 0:53
Timeout South Carolina, clock 00:53
72.1%
-0.6
Q2 0:48
Caden Durham run for 4 yds to the LSU 9
72.1%
0.0
Q2 0:48
Timeout South Carolina, clock 00:48
72.1%
0.0
Q2 0:43
Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete to Trey'Dez Green
72.1%
0.0
Q2 0:35
Grant Chadwick punt for 51 yds , Vicari Swain returns for no gain to the SC 40
71.5%
-0.6
SC · Drive 14END OF HALF · 7 plays · 5 yds
Q2 0:31
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Rahsul Faison for 1 yd to the SC 41
69.6%
-1.9
Q2 0:26
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Brady Hunt for 4 yds to the SC 45
68.2%
-1.4
Q2 0:18
LaNorris Sellers run for 8 yds to the LSU 47 for a 1ST down
67.7%
-0.5
Q2 0:10
LaNorris Sellers sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the SC 45
67.3%
-0.5
Q2 0:10
Timeout South Carolina, clock 00:10
67.6%
+0.3
Q2 0:03
LaNorris Sellers pass incomplete to Rahsul Faison
67.6%
0.0
Q2 0:00
LaNorris Sellers pass incomplete
67.6%
0.0
SC · Drive 15FG · 13 plays · 46 yds
Q3 15:00
Aeron Burrell kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
72.0%
+4.4
Q3 14:57
Rahsul Faison run for 10 yds to the SC 35 for a 1ST down
69.4%
-2.6
Q3 14:14
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Matt Fuller for 5 yds to the SC 40
69.4%
0.0
Q3 13:42
LaNorris Sellers run for 6 yds to the SC 46 for a 1ST down
68.2%
-1.2
Q3 13:09
LaNorris Sellers run for 1 yd to the SC 47
67.1%
-1.1
Q3 12:36
Rahsul Faison run for 12 yds to the LSU 41 for a 1ST down
67.1%
0.0
Q3 12:01
Rahsul Faison run for 9 yds to the LSU 32
66.5%
-0.6
Q3 11:23
Matt Fuller run for 3 yds to the LSU 29 for a 1ST down
66.3%
-0.2
Q3 10:46
(10:52) No Huddle-Shotgun Sellers,LaNorris rush left for 0 yards to the LSU29 (Delane,Mansoor), out of bounds PENALTY USC Holding (Hunt,Brady) 10 yards from LSU29 to LSU39. NO PLAY.
66.3%
0.0
Q3 10:25
Matt Fuller run for 4 yds to the LSU 35
66.3%
0.0
Q3 9:40
Matt Fuller run for 2 yds to the LSU 33
66.1%
-0.2
Q3 9:01
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Jordan Dingle for 4 yds to the LSU 29
66.1%
0.0
Q3 8:39
William Joyce 47 yd FG GOOD
57.9%
-8.2
LSU · Drive 16TD · 8 plays · 75 yds
Q3 8:39
Max Kelley kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
59.7%
+1.8
Q3 8:30
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Trey'Dez Green for 11 yds to the LSU 36 for a 1ST down
65.8%
+6.1
Q3 8:06
Caden Durham run for 7 yds to the LSU 43
66.0%
+0.2
Q3 7:39
(07:39) PENALTY USC Offside (Thomas Jr.,Bryan) 5 yards from LSU43 to LSU48, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.
66.8%
+0.8
Q3 7:23
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Trey'Dez Green for 19 yds to the SC 33 for a 1ST down
66.8%
0.0
Q3 6:55
Timeout LSU, clock 06:55
67.7%
+0.9
Q3 6:47
(06:55) Shotgun Nussmeier,Garrett pass incomplete deep right to Brown,Barion thrown to USC09 PENALTY LSU Holding (Davis,Weston) 10 yards from USC33 to USC43. NO PLAY.
67.7%
0.0
Q3 6:38
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Kyle Parker for 43 yds for a TD (Damian Ramos KICK)
82.5%
+14.8
SC · Drive 17PUNT · 6 plays · 0 yds
Q3 6:38
Aeron Burrell kickoff for 63 yds
81.7%
-0.8
Q3 6:31
LaNorris Sellers pass incomplete to Vandrevius Jacobs
77.1%
-4.6
Q3 6:25
Matt Fuller run for no gain to the SC 35
77.1%
0.0
Q3 5:35
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Brady Hunt for 5 yds to the SC 40
77.1%
0.0
Q3 5:02
(05:07) PENALTY USC Illegal Snap (Love,Mason) 5 yards from USC40 to USC35. NO PLAY.
77.1%
0.0
Q3 4:54
Mason Love punt for 57 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LSU 8
76.9%
-0.1
LSU · Drive 18INT · 6 plays · 83 yds
Q3 4:49
Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete to Ju'Juan Johnson
81.6%
+4.7
Q3 4:41
Garrett Nussmeier run for 4 yds to the LSU 12
81.6%
0.0
Q3 4:00
Garrett Nussmeier run for 21 yds to the LSU 33 for a 1ST down
81.4%
-0.2
Q3 2:51
Ju'Juan Johnson run for 56 yds to the SC 11 for a 1ST down
81.4%
0.0
Q3 2:07
Ju'Juan Johnson run for 2 yds to the SC 9
83.8%
+2.4
Q3 1:30
Garrett Nussmeier pass intercepted Peyton Williams return for no gain to the SC 1
83.8%
0.0
SC · Drive 19PUNT · 16 plays · 62 yds
Q3 1:30
PENALTY USC False Start (Sharpe,Nick). NO PLAY.
80.1%
-3.7
Q3 1:26
LaNorris Sellers run for 1 yd to the SC 2
80.1%
0.0
Q3 0:50
Rahsul Faison run for 2 yds to the SC 4
80.1%
0.0
Q3 0:00
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Nyck Harbor for 16 yds to the SC 20 for a 1ST down
80.1%
0.0
Q4 14:49
Rahsul Faison run for 7 yds to the SC 27
80.5%
+0.3
Q4 14:22
Rahsul Faison run for 14 yds to the SC 41 for a 1ST down
80.5%
0.0
Q4 13:54
LaNorris Sellers run for 2 yds to the SC 43
80.3%
-0.2
Q4 13:18
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Nyck Harbor for 20 yds to the LSU 37 for a 1ST down
81.9%
+1.6
Q4 12:47
Rahsul Faison run for 3 yds to the LSU 34
81.3%
-0.5
Q4 12:07
LaNorris Sellers run for 6 yds to the LSU 28
81.2%
-0.1
Q4 11:18
Matt Fuller run for 1 yd to the LSU 27 for a 1ST down
81.1%
-0.1
Q4 10:43
PENALTY USC False Start (Stanley,Boaz) 5 yards from LSU27 to LSU32. NO PLAY.
81.1%
0.0
Q4 10:21
South Carolina Penalty, Intentional Grounding (-13 Yards) to the LSU 45
81.1%
0.0
Q4 10:14
LaNorris Sellers run for 10 yds to the LSU 35
81.8%
+0.7
Q4 9:29
LaNorris Sellers sacked by Whit Weeks for a loss of 2 yards to the LSU 37
80.7%
-1.1
Q4 8:46
Mason Love punt for 27 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LSU 10
81.6%
+1.0
LSU · Drive 20PUNT · 4 plays · 2 yds
Q4 8:32
Harlem Berry run for a loss of 2 yards to the LSU 8
85.6%
+4.0
Q4 7:59
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Kyle Parker for 4 yds to the LSU 12
86.1%
+0.5
Q4 7:27
Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete to Caden Durham
87.1%
+1.0
Q4 7:17
Grant Chadwick punt for 45 yds , Vicari Swain returns for 20 yds to the LSU 37
87.0%
-0.1
SC · Drive 21DOWNS · 4 plays · 6 yds
Q4 7:11
LaNorris Sellers pass incomplete to Vandrevius Jacobs
85.3%
-1.7
Q4 6:59
Rahsul Faison run for 1 yd to the LSU 36
85.3%
0.0
Q4 6:25
Rahsul Faison run for 5 yds to the LSU 31
85.0%
-0.3
Q4 5:43
LaNorris Sellers pass incomplete to Vandrevius Jacobs
85.4%
+0.5
LSU · Drive 22FG · 14 plays · 64 yds
Q4 5:38
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Trey'Dez Green for 18 yds to the LSU 49 for a 1ST down
87.5%
+2.1
Q4 4:59
Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete to Bauer Sharp
88.0%
+0.5
Q4 4:50
Caden Durham run for 15 yds to the SC 36 for a 1ST down
88.3%
+0.3
Q4 4:12
Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete to Bauer Sharp
89.4%
+1.1
Q4 4:12
Timeout LSU, clock 04:12
89.4%
0.0
Q4 3:55
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Barion Brown for 11 yds to the SC 25 for a 1ST down
89.9%
+0.5
Q4 3:13
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Trey'Dez Green for 24 yds to the SC 1 for a 1ST down
89.9%
0.0
Q4 2:33
Caden Durham run for no gain to the SC 1
90.0%
0.0
Q4 2:00
Timeout LSU, clock 02:00
90.2%
+0.2
Q4 1:54
Garrett Nussmeier run for a loss of 2 yards to the SC 3 Garrett Nussmeier fumbled, recovered by LSU Garrett Nussmeier
90.5%
+0.4
Q4 1:54
Timeout South Carolina, clock 01:54
91.4%
+0.9
Q4 1:50
Timeout South Carolina, clock 01:50
91.4%
0.0
Q4 1:50
Caden Durham run for a loss of 2 yards to the SC 5
91.4%
0.0
Q4 1:47
Damian Ramos 22 yd FG GOOD
93.9%
+2.5
SC · Drive 23DOWNS · 6 plays · 1 yds
Q4 1:42
Aeron Burrell kickoff for 65 yds , Nyck Harbor return for 20 yds to the SC 20
94.0%
0.0
Q4 1:35
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Vandrevius Jacobs for 2 yds to the SC 22
91.6%
-2.4
Q4 1:25
LaNorris Sellers sacked by DJ Pickett for a loss of 12 yards to the SC 10
91.6%
0.0
Q4 1:24
Timeout South Carolina, clock 01:24
91.5%
-0.1
Q4 1:15
LaNorris Sellers run for 5 yds to the SC 15
91.5%
0.0
Q4 1:08
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Rahsul Faison for 6 yds to the SC 21
91.5%
0.0
LSU · Drive 24END OF GAME · 2 plays · -2 yds
Q4 1:04
(01:08) Kneel down by LSU at USC22 for loss of 1 yard.
94.0%
+2.5
Q4 0:00
(00:31) Kneel down by LSU at USC23 for loss of 1 yard.
94.0%
0.0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 6:38
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Kyle Parker for 43 yds for a TD (Damian Ramos KICK)
+14.8
TD · Q1 0:25
Matt Fuller run for 72 yds for a TD (William Joyce KICK)
-13.8
TD · Q2 13:01
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Trey'Dez Green for 6 yds for a TD LSU Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Bauer Sharp) to the SC 0 (Damian Ramos KICK)
+10.6