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UGA

Georgia 20 at Auburn 10

AUB
2025 · Week 7 · Oct 11, 2025 · Jordan-Hare Stadium
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Win probability · AUB
modelAUB aheadUGA aheadconfidence bandkey playAUB scoreUGA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 5:43 · Hudson Kaak punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Zachariah Branch at the UGA 40
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+39.5+19.80−19.8−39.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 119Home team on offense+0.3Pregame prior−5.5Score differential−0.9Garbage-time factor−1.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 7:23: Chauncey Bowens run for 2 yds for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK) — UGA win probability +18.1 pts (now 61%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  2. FG · Q3 1:22: Peyton Woodring 53 yd FG GOOD — UGA win probability +2.5 pts (now 60%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q4 6:05: Gunner Stockton pass complete to Zachariah Branch for 10 yds to the AUB 38 — UGA win probability +5.1 pts (now 76%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 4:00: Nate Frazier run for 2 yds to the AUB 30 — UGA win probability +6.6 pts (now 80%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:53: Gunner Stockton run for 10 yds for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK) — UGA win probability +12.4 pts (now 97%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
AUB made the numbers' call on 7 of 8UGA made the numbers' call on 9 of 9
  1. Q1 4:13UGA 4th & 17 at UGA 39, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.8%−0.6
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.3%
    average punt
  2. Q2 13:41AUB 4th & 3 at UGA 7, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 51.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.3%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    50.9%−0.4
    91% to make
    Punt
    47.1%−4.2
    average punt
  3. Q2 12:18UGA 4th & 9 at UGA 26, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.0%−1.0
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.0%
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:24AUB 4th & 6 at AUB 30, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.6%−0.3
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.9%
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:27UGA 4th & 5 at UGA 40, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.9%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:13UGA 4th & 11 at AUB 11, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 36.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.7%−1.9
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    36.6%
    87% to make
    Punt
    30.8%−5.9
    average punt
  7. Q3 11:58UGA 4th & 5 at AUB 46, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 37.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    38.6%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    35.8%−2.8
    23% to make
    Punt
    38.3%−0.3
    average punt
  8. Q3 9:10AUB 4th & 1 at UGA 37, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 68.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    68.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    65.1%−3.4
    40% to make
    Punt
    64.8%−3.6
    average punt
  9. Q3 5:43AUB 4th & 12 at AUB 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.1%−4.3
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.4%
    average punt
  10. Q3 3:10UGA 4th & 1 at AUB 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 53.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    53.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    47.4%−6.0
    40% to make
    Punt
    46.9%−6.5
    average punt
  11. Q3 1:22UGA 4th & 13 at AUB 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 49.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.6%−1.8
    21% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    50.4%
    45% to make
    Punt
    48.5%−1.9
    average punt
  12. Q3 0:04AUB 4th & 4 at AUB 31, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.0%−1.5
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.5%
    average punt
  13. Q4 11:44UGA 4th & 8 at AUB 27, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 62.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.4%−1.5
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    62.8%
    62% to make
    Punt
    50.2%−12.7
    average punt
  14. Q4 10:38AUB 4th & 6 at AUB 31, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.2%−1.8
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.0%
    average punt
  15. Q4 5:00UGA 4th & 3 at AUB 40, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 72.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    72.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    66.8%−6.0
    34% to make
    Punt
    66.9%−5.9
    average punt
  16. Q4 1:20AUB 4th & 2 at AUB 43, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.8%−0.2
    average punt
  17. Q4 0:53AUB 4th & 4 at UGA 49, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.8%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
AUB made the numbers' call on 1 of 1UGA made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 7:39AUB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 7:23UGA Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 1:53UGA Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.8%−0.4
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
AUBDrive 1TD
17 plays · 75 yds · 7:0535% → 41%
Q1 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
34.5%
Eric Singleton Jr. run for 15 yds to the AUB 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
34.7%
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Eric Singleton Jr. for 4 yds to the AUB 44Similar
Q1 13:33
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+4
35.1%
Jeremiah Cobb run for 4 yds to the AUB 48Similar
Q1 13:10
3RD & 2
OWN 48
+7
35.2%
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Brandon Frazier for 7 yds to the UGA 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:28
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
35.7%
Jackson Arnold pass incomplete to Cam ColemanSimilar
Q1 11:55
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+2
36.0%
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Malcolm Simmons for 2 yds to the UGA 43Similar
Q1 11:33
3RD & 8
OPP 43
+11
36.1%
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Perry Thompson for 11 yds to the UGA 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:26
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
36.3%
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Eric Singleton Jr. for 3 yds to the UGA 29Similar
Q1 10:48
2ND & 7
OPP 29
+6
36.7%
Jeremiah Cobb run for 6 yds to the UGA 23Similar
Q1 10:20
3RD & 1
OPP 23
+5
36.8%
Jeremiah Cobb run for 5 yds to the UGA 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:15
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+6
37.5%
Jackson Arnold run for 6 yds to the UGA 12Similar
Q1 9:00
2ND & 4
OPP 12
+3
37.5%
Jackson Arnold run for 3 yds to the UGA 9Similar
Q1 8:18
3RD & 1
OPP 9
+2
37.6%
Jackson Arnold run for 2 yds to the UGA 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:43
1ST & 0
OPP 7
+5
38.4%
Arnold, Jackson pass incomplete to Coleman, Cam, PENALTY UGA pass interference (Everette, Daylen) 5 yards to the UGA2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN AUB.Similar
Q1 7:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
40.6%
Jackson Arnold run for 2 yds for a TD (Alex McPherson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 2PUNT
8 plays · 14 yds · 3:0260% → 57%
Q1 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
40.1%
Nate Frazier run for 3 yds to the UGA 28Similar
Q1 6:50
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+7
40.3%
Gunner Stockton pass complete to Zachariah Branch for 7 yds to the UGA 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:56
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+11
40.8%
Gunner Stockton pass complete to Nate Frazier for 11 yds to the UGA 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-7
40.7%
Gunner Stockton sacked by Robert Woodyard Jr. for a loss of 7 yards to the UGA 39Similar
Q1 5:00
2ND & 17
OWN 39
0
41.8%
Gunner Stockton pass complete to Zachariah Branch for no gain to the UGA 39Similar
Q1 4:25
3RD & 17
OWN 39
0
42.5%
Gunner Stockton pass incomplete to Cash JonesSimilar
Q1 4:13
4TH & 17
OWN 39
+13
43.1%
Brett Thorson punt for 51 yds , Malcolm Simmons returns for 13 yds to the AUB 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 3FG
14 plays · 70 yds · 5:0543% → 47%
Q1 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+9
42.9%
Jeremiah Cobb run for 9 yds to the AUB 32Similar
Q1 3:27
2ND & 1
OWN 32
+15
43.6%
Arnold, Jackson pass incomplete to Singleton Jr., Eric, PENALTY UGA pass interference (Jones, Demello) 15 yards to the AUB47, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN AUB.Similar
Q1 3:22
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
44.3%
Jackson Arnold pass incomplete to Brandon FrazierSimilar
Q1 3:02
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+14
44.4%
Malcolm Simmons run for 14 yds to the UGA 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+8
44.9%
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Cam Coleman for 8 yds to the UGA 31Similar
Q1 2:12
2ND & 2
OPP 31
0
45.2%
Jackson Arnold pass incomplete to Brandon FrazierSimilar
Q1 2:05
3RD & 2
OPP 31
+6
44.9%
Jeremiah Cobb run for 6 yds to the UGA 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:15
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-2
46.1%
Jeremiah Cobb run for 8 yds to the UGA 17 Auburn Penalty, Offensive Holding (Eric Singleton Jr.) to the UGA 27Similar
Q1 1:07
1ST & 12
OPP 27
-5
46.3%
Auburn Penalty, False Start (Xavier Chaplin) to the UGA 32Similar
Q1 0:33
1ST & 17
OPP 32
+18
46.6%
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Preston Howard for 18 yds to the UGA 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:01
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+8
47.2%
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Cam Coleman for 8 yds to the UGA 6Similar
Q2 14:42
2ND & 2
OPP 6
-4
47.4%
Damari Alston run for a loss of 4 yards to the UGA 10Similar
Q2 14:05
3RD & 6
OPP 10
+3
47.4%
Damari Alston run for 3 yds to the UGA 7Similar
Q2 13:41
4TH & 3
OPP 7
+25
47.0%
Alex McPherson 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:0452% → 50%
Q2 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
48.2%
Chauncey Bowens run for 1 yd to the UGA 26Similar
Q2 12:40
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
48.9%
Chauncey Bowens run for no gain to the UGA 26Similar
Q2 12:26
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
49.4%
Gunner Stockton pass incomplete to Dillon BellSimilar
Q2 12:18
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
50.1%
Brett Thorson punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Malcolm Simmons at the AUB 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:4948% → 48%
Q2 12:13
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
48.0%
Jackson Arnold pass incomplete to Cam ColemanSimilar
Q2 11:49
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+4
48.0%
Jeremiah Cobb run for 4 yds to the AUB 30Similar
Q2 11:31
3RD & 6
OWN 30
0
48.7%
Jackson Arnold pass incomplete to Perry ThompsonSimilar
Q2 11:24
4TH & 6
OWN 30
+35
47.9%
Hudson Kaak punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Zachariah Branch at the UGA 30 Auburn Penalty, Illegal Formation (TEAM) to the UGA 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:4250% → 46%
Q2 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
50.3%
Nate Frazier run for 4 yds to the UGA 39Similar
Q2 10:42
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+3
50.8%
Gunner Stockton run for 3 yds to the UGA 42Similar
Q2 9:40
3RD & 3
OWN 42
-2
51.9%
Gunner Stockton sacked by Elijah Melendez for a loss of 2 yards to the UGA 40Similar
Q2 9:27
4TH & 5
OWN 40
0
53.7%
Brett Thorson punt for 60 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 8FUMBLE
19 plays · 79 yds · 7:5551% → 66%
Q2 9:27
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
51.2%
Auburn Penalty, Delay of Game (Jackson Arnold) to the AUB 15Similar
Q2 9:16
1ST & 15
OWN 15
+7
51.2%
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Eric Singleton Jr. for 7 yds to the AUB 22Similar
Q2 8:42
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+2
51.6%
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Preston Howard for 2 yds to the AUB 24Similar
Q2 8:05
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+13
52.1%
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Ryan Ghea for 13 yds to the AUB 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+12
54.3%
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Cam Coleman for 12 yds to the AUB 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:04
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+9
55.7%
Jackson Arnold run for 9 yds to the UGA 42Similar
Q2 6:28
2ND & 1
OPP 42
+5
56.4%
Damari Alston run for 5 yds to the UGA 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:57
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
57.3%
Damari Alston run for 2 yds to the UGA 35Similar
Q2 5:10
2ND & 8
OPP 35
+7
58.1%
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Perry Thompson for 7 yds to the UGA 28Similar
Q2 4:29
3RD & 1
OPP 28
+1
57.9%
Damari Alston run for 1 yd to the UGA 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+1
59.3%
Damari Alston run for 1 yd to the UGA 26Similar
Q2 3:04
2ND & 9
OPP 26
-10
60.9%
Arnold, Jackson rush for 8 yards to the UGA18, PENALTY AUB holding (Miller, Izavion) 10 yards to the UGA36, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:53
2ND & 19
OPP 36
+5
60.5%
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Cam Coleman for 5 yds to the UGA 31Similar
Q2 2:00
3RD & 14
OPP 31
+27
60.5%
Jackson Arnold run for 27 yds to the UGA 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
62.7%
Damari Alston run for 1 yd to the UGA 3Similar
Q2 1:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
64.8%
Jackson Arnold run for 2 yds to the UGA 1Similar
Q2 1:32
3RD & 0
OPP 1
0
65.7%
Jackson Arnold run for no gain to the UGA 1 Jackson Arnold fumbled, forced by Raylen Wilson, recovered by UGA Kyron JonesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 9FG
16 plays · 88 yds · 1:1335% → 40%
Q2 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
65.5%
Gunner Stockton run for no gain to the UGA 1Similar
Q2 1:20
2ND & 10
OWN 1
+17
66.1%
Josh McCray run for 17 yds to the UGA 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+7
64.9%
Gunner Stockton pass complete to Cash Jones for 7 yds to the UGA 25Similar
Q2 1:05
2ND & 3
OWN 25
+7
64.4%
Gunner Stockton pass complete to Lawson Luckie for 7 yds to the UGA 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:03
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+26
64.4%
Gunner Stockton pass complete to Colbie Young for 11 yds to the AUB 43 for a 1ST down Auburn Penalty, Personal Foul (Kayin Lee) to the AUB 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
61.1%
Gunner Stockton pass incomplete to Lawson LuckieSimilar
Q2 0:53
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+15
62.3%
Stockton, Gunner pass incomplete to Branch, Zachariah, PENALTY AUB roughing passer (Williams, Amaris) 15 yards to the AUB27, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN UGA.Similar
Q2 0:49
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
59.5%
Gunner Stockton pass incomplete to Lawson LuckieSimilar
Q2 0:44
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+5
60.1%
Stockton, Gunner pass complete to Branch, Zachariah for 1 yard to the AUB26, PENALTY AUB offside (Atkins, Xavier) 5 yards to the AUB22, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:35
2ND & 5
OPP 22
+16
59.4%
Gunner Stockton pass complete to Colbie Young for 16 yds to the AUB 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
59.0%
Gunner Stockton pass incomplete to Colbie YoungSimilar
Q2 0:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
59.2%
Gunner Stockton pass incomplete to Lawson LuckieSimilar
Q2 0:21
3RD & 0
OPP 6
-5
58.4%
Georgia Penalty, Delay of Game (Gunner Stockton) to the AUB 11Similar
Q2 0:17
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
0
61.0%
Gunner Stockton pass incomplete to Lawson LuckieSimilar
Q2 0:13
4TH & GOAL
OPP 11
+29
60.0%
Peyton Woodring 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 10END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0060% → 60%
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-1
59.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the AUB 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 11DOWNS
10 plays · 29 yds · 2:3242% → 40%
Q3 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
58.5%
Gunner Stockton pass complete to Cash Jones for 7 yds to the UGA 32Similar
Q3 14:19
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+4
56.7%
Nate Frazier run for 4 yds to the UGA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:56
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
57.9%
Gunner Stockton run for 3 yds to the UGA 39Similar
Q3 13:17
2ND & 7
OWN 39
0
57.7%
Gunner Stockton pass incomplete to Dillon BellSimilar
Q3 13:13
3RD & 7
OWN 39
+10
58.7%
Stockton, Gunner pass incomplete to Thomas, Noah, PENALTY AUB pass interference (Pleasant, Rayshawn) 10 yards to the UGA49, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN UGA.Similar
Q3 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-1
56.8%
Gunner Stockton pass complete to Zachariah Branch for a loss of 1 yard to the UGA 48Similar
Q3 12:27
2ND & 11
OWN 48
0
58.4%
Gunner Stockton pass incomplete to Elyiss WilliamsSimilar
Q3 12:08
3RD & 11
OWN 48
+6
59.8%
Gunner Stockton pass complete to Zachariah Branch for 6 yds to the AUB 46Similar
Q3 11:58
4TH & 5
OPP 46
0
59.7%
Gunner Stockton pass incomplete to Colbie YoungSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 12DOWNS
7 plays · 17 yds · 2:3865% → 66%
Q3 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-2
64.5%
Eric Singleton Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the AUB 44Similar
Q3 10:50
2ND & 12
OWN 44
+10
63.8%
Arnold, Jackson rush for 1 yard to the AUB45, PENALTY UGA holding (Everette, Daylen) 10 yards to the UGA46, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN AUB.Similar
Q3 10:41
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
65.9%
Jackson Arnold run for 2 yds to the UGA 44Similar
Q3 10:29
2ND & 8
OPP 44
+7
65.9%
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Preston Howard for 7 yds to the UGA 37Similar
Q3 9:28
3RD & 1
OPP 37
0
66.9%
Jeremiah Cobb run for no gain to the UGA 37Similar
Q3 9:10
4TH & 1
OPP 37
0
65.7%
Jackson Arnold pass incomplete to Preston HowardSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 13TD
6 plays · 63 yds · 1:2039% → 61%
Q3 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+21
60.9%
Gunner Stockton pass complete to Colbie Young for 21 yds to the AUB 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:20
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
58.5%
Nate Frazier run for no gain to the AUB 42Similar
Q3 7:58
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+10
59.1%
Stockton, Gunner pass incomplete to Frazier, Nate, PENALTY AUB holding (Strader, Raion) 10 yards to the AUB32, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN UGA.Similar
Q3 7:52
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
56.9%
Gunner Stockton pass incomplete to Lawson LuckieSimilar
Q3 7:39
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+30
57.2%
Gunner Stockton pass complete to Noah Thomas for 30 yds to the AUB 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
39.2%
Chauncey Bowens run for 2 yds for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 1:2849% → 47%
Q3 7:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
48.8%
Jeremiah Cobb run for 2 yds to the AUB 27Similar
Q3 6:21
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+4
49.2%
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Cam Coleman for 4 yds to the AUB 31Similar
Q3 6:08
3RD & 4
OWN 31
-8
48.9%
Jackson Arnold sacked by CJ Allen for a loss of 8 yards to the AUB 23Similar
Q3 5:43
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
46.9%
Hudson Kaak punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Zachariah Branch at the UGA 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 15FG
9 plays · 25 yds · 3:3857% → 60%
Q3 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+14
43.2%
Gunner Stockton pass complete to Oscar Delp for 14 yds to the AUB 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:46
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+8
41.6%
Gunner Stockton run for 8 yds to the AUB 38Similar
Q3 4:15
2ND & 2
OPP 38
-4
41.2%
Nate Frazier run for a loss of 4 yards to the AUB 42Similar
Q3 4:00
3RD & 6
OPP 42
+5
42.5%
Gunner Stockton pass complete to Cash Jones for 5 yds to the AUB 37Similar
Q3 3:10
4TH & 1
OPP 37
+5
44.6%
Nate Frazier run for 5 yds to the AUB 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:48
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
40.4%
Dillon Bell pass incomplete to Zachariah BranchSimilar
Q3 2:23
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+2
40.6%
Chauncey Bowens run for 2 yds to the AUB 30Similar
Q3 1:49
3RD & 8
OPP 30
-5
42.8%
Gunner Stockton pass complete to Oscar Delp for a loss of 5 yards to the AUB 35Similar
Q3 1:22
4TH & 13
OPP 35
+53
40.3%
Peyton Woodring 53 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:1040% → 39%
Q3 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
40.0%
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Cam Coleman for 5 yds to the AUB 30Similar
Q3 0:15
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+1
40.9%
Jeremiah Cobb run for 1 yd to the AUB 31Similar
Q3 0:10
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
39.6%
Jackson Arnold pass incomplete to Perry ThompsonSimilar
Q3 0:04
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
38.5%
Hudson Kaak punt for 14 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the AUB 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 17MISSED FG
8 plays · 18 yds · 3:1666% → 64%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
34.3%
Nate Frazier run for 3 yds to the AUB 42Similar
Q4 14:52
2ND & 7
OPP 42
0
34.5%
Gunner Stockton run for no gain to the AUB 42Similar
Q4 14:13
3RD & 7
OPP 42
+13
35.1%
Gunner Stockton pass complete to Zachariah Branch for 13 yds to the AUB 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:30
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+1
32.1%
Josh McCray run for 1 yd to the AUB 28Similar
Q4 13:06
2ND & 9
OPP 28
0
32.5%
Gunner Stockton pass incomplete to Noah ThomasSimilar
Q4 12:10
3RD & 9
OPP 28
-10
32.7%
Gunner Stockton pass complete to Colbie Young for 5 yds to the AUB 23 Georgia Penalty, Personal Foul (Cash Jones) to the AUB 38Similar
Q4 12:00
3RD & 19
OPP 38
+11
35.4%
Gunner Stockton run for 11 yds to the AUB 27Similar
Q4 11:44
4TH & 8
OPP 27
+45
35.7%
Peyton Woodring 45 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:4739% → 34%
Q4 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
39.3%
Jeremiah Cobb run for 3 yds to the AUB 30Similar
Q4 11:20
2ND & 7
OWN 30
0
39.6%
Jackson Arnold pass incomplete to Eric Singleton Jr.Similar
Q4 11:05
3RD & 7
OWN 30
+1
36.9%
Jackson Arnold run for 1 yd to the AUB 31Similar
Q4 10:38
4TH & 6
OWN 31
0
34.3%
Hudson Kaak punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Zachariah Branch at the UGA 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 19TD
19 plays · 78 yds · 8:4166% → 97%
Q4 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
33.7%
Gunner Stockton pass incomplete to Oscar DelpSimilar
Q4 10:23
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+2
33.6%
Josh McCray run for 2 yds to the UGA 24Similar
Q4 9:46
3RD & 8
OWN 24
+17
34.4%
Gunner Stockton pass complete to London Humphreys for 17 yds to the UGA 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:07
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
29.4%
Josh McCray run for 4 yds to the UGA 45Similar
Q4 8:41
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+2
29.2%
Josh McCray run for 2 yds to the UGA 47Similar
Q4 7:53
3RD & 4
OWN 47
+6
28.9%
Gunner Stockton pass complete to Zachariah Branch for 6 yds to the AUB 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:10
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-10
26.7%
Frazier, Nate rush for 7 yards to the AUB40, PENALTY UGA holding (Morris, Micah) 10 yards to the UGA43, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 6:25
1ST & 20
OWN 43
+9
28.8%
Gunner Stockton pass complete to Zachariah Branch for 9 yds to the AUB 48Similar
Q4 6:05
2ND & 11
OPP 48
+10
23.8%
Gunner Stockton pass complete to Zachariah Branch for 10 yds to the AUB 38Similar
Q4 5:49
3RD & 1
OPP 38
-2
23.0%
Josh McCray run for a loss of 2 yards to the AUB 40Similar
Q4 5:00
4TH & 3
OPP 40
+8
26.4%
Gunner Stockton pass complete to London Humphreys for 8 yds to the AUB 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
19.7%
Nate Frazier run for 2 yds to the AUB 30Similar
Q4 3:36
2ND & 8
OPP 30
+7
19.2%
Gunner Stockton pass complete to Zachariah Branch for 7 yds to the AUB 23Similar
Q4 2:50
3RD & 1
OPP 23
+6
19.3%
Gunner Stockton pass complete to Nate Frazier for 6 yds to the AUB 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:19
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
16.9%
Nate Frazier run for 2 yds to the AUB 15Similar
Q4 2:10
2ND & 8
OPP 15
+5
15.5%
Nate Frazier run for 5 yds to the AUB 10Similar
Q4 1:53
3RD & 3
OPP 10
+10
3.1%
Gunner Stockton run for 10 yds for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 20DOWNS
10 plays · 25 yds · 0:474% → 4%
Q4 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
4.1%
Jackson Arnold run for 10 yds to the AUB 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
4.4%
Jackson Arnold pass incomplete to Perry ThompsonSimilar
Q4 1:35
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
4.3%
Jackson Arnold pass incomplete to Cam ColemanSimilar
Q4 1:29
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+8
3.6%
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Cam Coleman for 8 yds to the AUB 43Similar
Q4 1:20
4TH & 2
OWN 43
+2
4.0%
Jeremiah Cobb run for 2 yds to the AUB 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
4.2%
Jackson Arnold pass incomplete to Jeremiah CobbSimilar
Q4 1:12
2ND & 10
OWN 45
0
4.1%
Jackson Arnold pass incomplete to Perry ThompsonSimilar
Q4 1:00
3RD & 10
OWN 45
+6
3.9%
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Preston Howard for 6 yds to the UGA 49Similar
Q4 0:53
4TH & 4
OPP 49
-1
4.0%
Jackson Arnold run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 21END OF GAME
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:3797% → 97%
Q4 0:40
1ST & 10
50
0
3.2%
TEAM run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 0:03
2ND & 10
50
0
3.2%
TEAM run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 7:23
Chauncey Bowens run for 2 yds for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK)
-18.1
TD · Q4 1:53
Gunner Stockton run for 10 yds for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK)
-12.4
KEY PLAY · Q4 4:00
Nate Frazier run for 2 yds to the AUB 30
-6.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com