UGA
Georgia 20 at Auburn 10
AUB2025 · Week 7 · Oct 11, 2025 · Jordan-Hare Stadium
Speed4x
Win probability · AUB
modelAUB aheadUGA aheadconfidence bandkey play
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AUB · Drive 1TD · 17 plays · 75 yds
Q1 15:00
Peyton Woodring kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
51.4%
0.0
Q1 14:44
Eric Singleton Jr. run for 15 yds to the AUB 40 for a 1ST down
54.9%
+3.5
Q1 14:10
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Eric Singleton Jr. for 4 yds to the AUB 44
55.8%
+0.9
Q1 13:33
Jeremiah Cobb run for 4 yds to the AUB 48
56.0%
+0.2
Q1 13:10
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Brandon Frazier for 7 yds to the UGA 45 for a 1ST down
55.8%
-0.2
Q1 12:28
Jackson Arnold pass incomplete to Cam Coleman
57.0%
+1.2
Q1 11:55
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Malcolm Simmons for 2 yds to the UGA 43
57.0%
0.0
Q1 11:33
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Perry Thompson for 11 yds to the UGA 32 for a 1ST down
57.1%
+0.1
Q1 11:26
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Eric Singleton Jr. for 3 yds to the UGA 29
57.4%
+0.2
Q1 10:48
Jeremiah Cobb run for 6 yds to the UGA 23
57.4%
0.0
Q1 10:20
Jeremiah Cobb run for 5 yds to the UGA 18 for a 1ST down
57.1%
-0.2
Q1 9:51
Timeout Auburn, clock 09:51
57.9%
+0.7
Q1 9:15
Jackson Arnold run for 6 yds to the UGA 12
58.1%
+0.3
Q1 9:00
Jackson Arnold run for 3 yds to the UGA 9
58.4%
+0.2
Q1 8:18
Jackson Arnold run for 2 yds to the UGA 7 for a 1ST down
58.6%
+0.2
Q1 7:43
Arnold, Jackson pass incomplete to Coleman, Cam, PENALTY UGA pass interference (Everette, Daylen) 5 yards to the UGA2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN AUB.
58.8%
+0.2
Q1 7:39
Jackson Arnold run for 2 yds for a TD (Alex McPherson KICK)
70.8%
+12.0
UGA · Drive 2PUNT · 8 plays · 14 yds
Q1 7:39
Connor Gibbs kickoff for 64 yds , Zachariah Branch return for 24 yds to the UGA 25
69.8%
-1.0
Q1 7:15
Nate Frazier run for 3 yds to the UGA 28
64.1%
-5.7
Q1 6:50
Gunner Stockton pass complete to Zachariah Branch for 7 yds to the UGA 35 for a 1ST down
64.1%
0.0
Q1 5:56
Gunner Stockton pass complete to Nate Frazier for 11 yds to the UGA 46 for a 1ST down
64.4%
+0.3
Q1 5:20
Gunner Stockton sacked by Robert Woodyard Jr. for a loss of 7 yards to the UGA 39
64.5%
+0.1
Q1 5:00
Gunner Stockton pass complete to Zachariah Branch for no gain to the UGA 39
65.3%
+0.8
Q1 4:25
Gunner Stockton pass incomplete to Cash Jones
65.6%
+0.3
Q1 4:13
Brett Thorson punt for 51 yds , Malcolm Simmons returns for 13 yds to the AUB 23
65.9%
+0.3
AUB · Drive 3FG · 14 plays · 70 yds
Q1 3:46
Jeremiah Cobb run for 9 yds to the AUB 32
70.7%
+4.8
Q1 3:27
Arnold, Jackson pass incomplete to Singleton Jr., Eric, PENALTY UGA pass interference (Jones, Demello) 15 yards to the AUB47, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN AUB.
70.7%
0.0
Q1 3:22
Jackson Arnold pass incomplete to Brandon Frazier
71.6%
+0.9
Q1 3:02
Malcolm Simmons run for 14 yds to the UGA 39 for a 1ST down
71.6%
0.0
Q1 2:50
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Cam Coleman for 8 yds to the UGA 31
71.7%
+0.1
Q1 2:12
Jackson Arnold pass incomplete to Brandon Frazier
71.7%
0.0
Q1 2:05
Jeremiah Cobb run for 6 yds to the UGA 25 for a 1ST down
71.4%
-0.2
Q1 1:15
Jeremiah Cobb run for 8 yds to the UGA 17 Auburn Penalty, Offensive Holding (Eric Singleton Jr.) to the UGA 27
71.7%
+0.2
Q1 1:07
Auburn Penalty, False Start (Xavier Chaplin) to the UGA 32
71.7%
0.0
Q1 0:33
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Preston Howard for 18 yds to the UGA 14 for a 1ST down
71.7%
+0.1
Q1 0:01
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Cam Coleman for 8 yds to the UGA 6
71.7%
0.0
Q2 14:42
Damari Alston run for a loss of 4 yards to the UGA 10
72.5%
+0.7
Q2 14:05
Damari Alston run for 3 yds to the UGA 7
73.2%
+0.7
Q2 13:41
Alex McPherson 25 yd FG GOOD
74.4%
+1.2
UGA · Drive 4MISSED FG · 1 play · 0 yds
Q2 13:41
Connor Gibbs kickoff for 63 yds for a touchback
73.7%
-0.7
UGA · Drive 5PUNT · 4 plays · 1 yds
Q2 13:22
Chauncey Bowens run for 1 yd to the UGA 26
70.0%
-3.7
Q2 12:40
Chauncey Bowens run for no gain to the UGA 26
70.0%
0.0
Q2 12:26
Gunner Stockton pass incomplete to Dillon Bell
70.0%
0.0
Q2 12:18
Brett Thorson punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Malcolm Simmons at the AUB 26
70.0%
0.0
AUB · Drive 6PUNT · 5 plays · 4 yds
Q2 12:13
Jackson Arnold pass incomplete to Cam Coleman
74.2%
+4.2
Q2 11:49
Jeremiah Cobb run for 4 yds to the AUB 30
74.2%
0.0
Q2 11:38
Timeout Georgia, clock 11:38
74.8%
+0.6
Q2 11:31
Jackson Arnold pass incomplete to Perry Thompson
74.8%
0.0
Q2 11:24
Hudson Kaak punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Zachariah Branch at the UGA 30 Auburn Penalty, Illegal Formation (TEAM) to the UGA 35
74.3%
-0.5
UGA · Drive 7PUNT · 4 plays · 5 yds
Q2 11:09
Nate Frazier run for 4 yds to the UGA 39
70.5%
-3.8
Q2 10:42
Gunner Stockton run for 3 yds to the UGA 42
70.7%
+0.2
Q2 9:40
Gunner Stockton sacked by Elijah Melendez for a loss of 2 yards to the UGA 40
70.7%
0.0
Q2 9:27
Brett Thorson punt for 60 yds for a touchback
71.6%
+0.9
AUB · Drive 8FUMBLE · 19 plays · 79 yds
Q2 9:27
Auburn Penalty, Delay of Game (Jackson Arnold) to the AUB 15
75.7%
+4.1
Q2 9:16
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Eric Singleton Jr. for 7 yds to the AUB 22
75.7%
0.0
Q2 8:42
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Preston Howard for 2 yds to the AUB 24
75.7%
0.0
Q2 8:05
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Ryan Ghea for 13 yds to the AUB 37 for a 1ST down
76.5%
+0.8
Q2 7:40
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Cam Coleman for 12 yds to the AUB 49 for a 1ST down
76.7%
+0.2
Q2 7:04
Jackson Arnold run for 9 yds to the UGA 42
76.9%
+0.2
Q2 6:28
Damari Alston run for 5 yds to the UGA 37 for a 1ST down
77.1%
+0.1
Q2 5:57
Damari Alston run for 2 yds to the UGA 35
79.1%
+2.0
Q2 5:10
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Perry Thompson for 7 yds to the UGA 28
79.5%
+0.4
Q2 4:29
Damari Alston run for 1 yd to the UGA 27 for a 1ST down
79.4%
0.0
Q2 4:00
Damari Alston run for 1 yd to the UGA 26
79.6%
+0.2
Q2 3:04
Arnold, Jackson rush for 8 yards to the UGA18, PENALTY AUB holding (Miller, Izavion) 10 yards to the UGA36, NO PLAY.
80.3%
+0.7
Q2 2:53
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Cam Coleman for 5 yds to the UGA 31
80.3%
0.0
Q2 2:00
Jackson Arnold run for 27 yds to the UGA 4 for a 1ST down
80.0%
-0.2
Q2 1:54
Damari Alston run for 1 yd to the UGA 3
80.2%
+0.2
Q2 1:54
Timeout Georgia, clock 01:54
78.8%
-1.4
Q2 1:45
Jackson Arnold run for 2 yds to the UGA 1
78.8%
0.0
Q2 1:39
Timeout Georgia, clock 01:39
70.2%
-8.6
Q2 1:32
Jackson Arnold run for no gain to the UGA 1 Jackson Arnold fumbled, forced by Raylen Wilson, recovered by UGA Kyron Jones
70.2%
0.0
UGA · Drive 9FG · 16 plays · 88 yds
Q2 1:26
Gunner Stockton run for no gain to the UGA 1
59.6%
-10.7
Q2 1:26
Timeout Auburn, clock 01:26
59.0%
-0.5
Q2 1:20
Josh McCray run for 17 yds to the UGA 18 for a 1ST down
59.0%
0.0
Q2 1:14
Gunner Stockton pass complete to Cash Jones for 7 yds to the UGA 25
59.1%
+0.1
Q2 1:05
Gunner Stockton pass complete to Lawson Luckie for 7 yds to the UGA 32 for a 1ST down
59.1%
0.0
Q2 1:03
Gunner Stockton pass complete to Colbie Young for 11 yds to the AUB 43 for a 1ST down Auburn Penalty, Personal Foul (Kayin Lee) to the AUB 42 for a 1ST down
59.1%
0.0
Q2 1:00
Gunner Stockton pass incomplete to Lawson Luckie
57.9%
-1.3
Q2 0:53
Stockton, Gunner pass incomplete to Branch, Zachariah, PENALTY AUB roughing passer (Williams, Amaris) 15 yards to the AUB27, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN UGA.
57.9%
0.0
Q2 0:49
Gunner Stockton pass incomplete to Lawson Luckie
57.2%
-0.7
Q2 0:44
Stockton, Gunner pass complete to Branch, Zachariah for 1 yard to the AUB26, PENALTY AUB offside (Atkins, Xavier) 5 yards to the AUB22, NO PLAY.
57.2%
0.0
Q2 0:35
Gunner Stockton pass complete to Colbie Young for 16 yds to the AUB 6 for a 1ST down
57.2%
0.0
Q2 0:27
Gunner Stockton pass incomplete to Colbie Young
57.0%
-0.1
Q2 0:21
Gunner Stockton pass incomplete to Lawson Luckie
57.0%
0.0
Q2 0:21
Georgia Penalty, Delay of Game (Gunner Stockton) to the AUB 11
57.0%
0.0
Q2 0:17
Gunner Stockton pass incomplete to Lawson Luckie
57.1%
+0.1
Q2 0:13
Peyton Woodring 29 yd FG GOOD
46.9%
-10.2
AUB · Drive 10END OF HALF · 2 plays · -1 yds
Q2 0:13
Peyton Woodring kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback Auburn Penalty, Personal Foul (Eric Winters)
48.5%
+1.6
Q2 0:01
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the AUB 11
60.4%
+11.9
UGA · Drive 11DOWNS · 10 plays · 29 yds
Q3 15:00
Connor Gibbs kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
75.8%
+15.4
Q3 14:30
Gunner Stockton pass complete to Cash Jones for 7 yds to the UGA 32
67.8%
-8.0
Q3 14:19
Nate Frazier run for 4 yds to the UGA 36 for a 1ST down
67.8%
0.0
Q3 13:56
Gunner Stockton run for 3 yds to the UGA 39
67.8%
0.0
Q3 13:17
Gunner Stockton pass incomplete to Dillon Bell
67.3%
-0.5
Q3 13:13
Stockton, Gunner pass incomplete to Thomas, Noah, PENALTY AUB pass interference (Pleasant, Rayshawn) 10 yards to the UGA49, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN UGA.
67.3%
0.0
Q3 12:55
Gunner Stockton pass complete to Zachariah Branch for a loss of 1 yard to the UGA 48
66.6%
-0.8
Q3 12:27
Gunner Stockton pass incomplete to Elyiss Williams
66.6%
0.0
Q3 12:08
Gunner Stockton pass complete to Zachariah Branch for 6 yds to the AUB 46
66.6%
0.0
Q3 11:58
Gunner Stockton pass incomplete to Colbie Young
66.4%
-0.2
AUB · Drive 12DOWNS · 7 plays · 17 yds
Q3 11:48
Eric Singleton Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the AUB 44
77.1%
+10.7
Q3 10:50
Arnold, Jackson rush for 1 yard to the AUB45, PENALTY UGA holding (Everette, Daylen) 10 yards to the UGA46, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN AUB.
77.1%
0.0
Q3 10:41
Jackson Arnold run for 2 yds to the UGA 44
77.4%
+0.3
Q3 10:29
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Preston Howard for 7 yds to the UGA 37
77.4%
0.0
Q3 9:56
Timeout Auburn, clock 09:56
80.6%
+3.2
Q3 9:28
Jeremiah Cobb run for no gain to the UGA 37
80.6%
0.0
Q3 9:10
Jackson Arnold pass incomplete to Preston Howard
80.4%
-0.2
UGA · Drive 13TD · 6 plays · 63 yds
Q3 8:43
Gunner Stockton pass complete to Colbie Young for 21 yds to the AUB 42 for a 1ST down
75.5%
-4.9
Q3 8:20
Nate Frazier run for no gain to the AUB 42
73.7%
-1.8
Q3 7:58
Stockton, Gunner pass incomplete to Frazier, Nate, PENALTY AUB holding (Strader, Raion) 10 yards to the AUB32, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN UGA.
74.3%
+0.5
Q3 7:52
Gunner Stockton pass incomplete to Lawson Luckie
74.3%
0.0
Q3 7:39
Gunner Stockton pass complete to Noah Thomas for 30 yds to the AUB 2 for a 1ST down
74.3%
0.0
Q3 7:23
Chauncey Bowens run for 2 yds for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK)
58.0%
-16.3
AUB · Drive 14PUNT · 6 plays · -2 yds
Q3 7:23
Peyton Woodring kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
60.7%
+2.7
Q3 7:11
Jeremiah Cobb run for 2 yds to the AUB 27
67.5%
+6.8
Q3 6:21
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Cam Coleman for 4 yds to the AUB 31
67.5%
0.0
Q3 6:21
Timeout Georgia, clock 06:21
67.8%
+0.3
Q3 6:08
Jackson Arnold sacked by CJ Allen for a loss of 8 yards to the AUB 23
67.8%
0.0
Q3 5:43
Hudson Kaak punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Zachariah Branch at the UGA 40
67.5%
-0.3
UGA · Drive 15FG · 9 plays · 25 yds
Q3 5:00
Gunner Stockton pass complete to Oscar Delp for 14 yds to the AUB 46 for a 1ST down
59.8%
-7.7
Q3 4:46
Gunner Stockton run for 8 yds to the AUB 38
58.5%
-1.3
Q3 4:15
Nate Frazier run for a loss of 4 yards to the AUB 42
58.0%
-0.5
Q3 4:00
Gunner Stockton pass complete to Cash Jones for 5 yds to the AUB 37
58.5%
+0.6
Q3 3:10
Nate Frazier run for 5 yds to the AUB 32 for a 1ST down
58.9%
+0.4
Q3 2:48
Dillon Bell pass incomplete to Zachariah Branch
58.1%
-0.8
Q3 2:23
Chauncey Bowens run for 2 yds to the AUB 30
58.1%
0.0
Q3 1:49
Gunner Stockton pass complete to Oscar Delp for a loss of 5 yards to the AUB 35
58.1%
0.0
Q3 1:22
Peyton Woodring 53 yd FG GOOD
48.1%
-10.1
AUB · Drive 16PUNT · 5 plays · 6 yds
Q3 1:22
Peyton Woodring kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
49.2%
+1.1
Q3 1:14
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Cam Coleman for 5 yds to the AUB 30
58.6%
+9.5
Q3 0:15
Jeremiah Cobb run for 1 yd to the AUB 31
58.6%
0.0
Q3 0:10
Jackson Arnold pass incomplete to Perry Thompson
58.6%
0.0
Q3 0:04
Hudson Kaak punt for 14 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the AUB 45
58.6%
0.0
UGA · Drive 17MISSED FG · 8 plays · 18 yds
Q3 0:00
Nate Frazier run for 3 yds to the AUB 42
47.4%
-11.2
Q4 14:52
Gunner Stockton run for no gain to the AUB 42
47.3%
-0.1
Q4 14:13
Gunner Stockton pass complete to Zachariah Branch for 13 yds to the AUB 29 for a 1ST down
45.7%
-1.6
Q4 13:30
Josh McCray run for 1 yd to the AUB 28
45.7%
0.0
Q4 13:06
Gunner Stockton pass incomplete to Noah Thomas
45.0%
-0.6
Q4 12:10
Gunner Stockton pass complete to Colbie Young for 5 yds to the AUB 23 Georgia Penalty, Personal Foul (Cash Jones) to the AUB 38
43.4%
-1.6
Q4 12:00
Gunner Stockton run for 11 yds to the AUB 27
43.4%
0.0
Q4 11:44
Peyton Woodring 45 yd FG MISSED
44.2%
+0.8
AUB · Drive 18PUNT · 4 plays · 4 yds
Q4 11:25
Jeremiah Cobb run for 3 yds to the AUB 30
55.8%
+11.6
Q4 11:20
Jackson Arnold pass incomplete to Eric Singleton Jr.
55.8%
0.0
Q4 11:05
Jackson Arnold run for 1 yd to the AUB 31
55.2%
-0.6
Q4 10:38
Hudson Kaak punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Zachariah Branch at the UGA 22
53.9%
-1.3
UGA · Drive 19TD · 19 plays · 78 yds
Q4 10:34
Gunner Stockton pass incomplete to Oscar Delp
45.3%
-8.7
Q4 10:23
Josh McCray run for 2 yds to the UGA 24
44.3%
-1.0
Q4 9:46
Gunner Stockton pass complete to London Humphreys for 17 yds to the UGA 41 for a 1ST down
44.2%
-0.1
Q4 9:07
Josh McCray run for 4 yds to the UGA 45
41.9%
-2.3
Q4 8:41
Josh McCray run for 2 yds to the UGA 47
41.9%
0.0
Q4 7:53
Gunner Stockton pass complete to Zachariah Branch for 6 yds to the AUB 47 for a 1ST down
41.3%
-0.6
Q4 7:10
Frazier, Nate rush for 7 yards to the AUB40, PENALTY UGA holding (Morris, Micah) 10 yards to the UGA43, NO PLAY.
37.9%
-3.5
Q4 6:25
Gunner Stockton pass complete to Zachariah Branch for 9 yds to the AUB 48
38.1%
+0.2
Q4 6:05
Gunner Stockton pass complete to Zachariah Branch for 10 yds to the AUB 38
35.2%
-2.9
Q4 5:49
Josh McCray run for a loss of 2 yards to the AUB 40
34.8%
-0.4
Q4 5:00
Gunner Stockton pass complete to London Humphreys for 8 yds to the AUB 32 for a 1ST down
33.7%
-1.1
Q4 4:00
Nate Frazier run for 2 yds to the AUB 30
32.3%
-1.4
Q4 3:36
Gunner Stockton pass complete to Zachariah Branch for 7 yds to the AUB 23
32.3%
0.0
Q4 3:10
Timeout Georgia, clock 03:10
31.0%
-1.3
Q4 2:50
Gunner Stockton pass complete to Nate Frazier for 6 yds to the AUB 17 for a 1ST down
29.4%
-1.6
Q4 2:19
Nate Frazier run for 2 yds to the AUB 15
28.2%
-1.2
Q4 2:18
Timeout Auburn, clock 02:18
27.0%
-1.2
Q4 2:10
Nate Frazier run for 5 yds to the AUB 10
27.0%
0.0
Q4 1:53
Gunner Stockton run for 10 yds for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK)
13.9%
-13.2
AUB · Drive 20DOWNS · 10 plays · 25 yds
Q4 1:53
Peyton Woodring kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
14.0%
+0.1
Q4 1:40
Jackson Arnold run for 10 yds to the AUB 35 for a 1ST down
9.1%
-4.9
Q4 1:37
Jackson Arnold pass incomplete to Perry Thompson
9.1%
0.0
Q4 1:35
Jackson Arnold pass incomplete to Cam Coleman
9.1%
0.0
Q4 1:29
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Cam Coleman for 8 yds to the AUB 43
9.1%
0.0
Q4 1:20
Jeremiah Cobb run for 2 yds to the AUB 45 for a 1ST down
9.1%
0.0
Q4 1:17
Jackson Arnold pass incomplete to Jeremiah Cobb
9.1%
0.0
Q4 1:12
Jackson Arnold pass incomplete to Perry Thompson
9.1%
0.0
Q4 1:00
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Preston Howard for 6 yds to the UGA 49
9.2%
+0.1
Q4 0:53
Jackson Arnold run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard line
9.2%
0.0
UGA · Drive 21END OF GAME · 2 plays · 0 yds
Q4 0:40
TEAM run for no gain to the 50 yard line
13.9%
+4.7
Q4 0:03
TEAM run for no gain to the 50 yard line
13.9%
0.0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 7:23
Chauncey Bowens run for 2 yds for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK)
-16.3
KEY PLAY · Q3 15:00
Connor Gibbs kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
+15.4
TD · Q4 1:53
Gunner Stockton run for 10 yds for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK)
-13.2