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MSST

Mississippi State 9 at Texas A&M 31

TA&M
2025 · Week 6 · Oct 4, 2025 · Kyle Field
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Win probability · TA&M
modelTA&M aheadMSST aheadconfidence bandkey playTA&M scoreMSST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 6:41 · Ethan Pulliam punt for 53 yds , KC Concepcion returns for 18 yds to the MSST 23 Texas A&M Penalty, Offensive holding (Jordan Shaw) to the 50 yard line
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorOffense timeoutsDefense timeoutsHome team on offenseScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differential
+39.0+19.50−19.5−39.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 62Pregame prior+26.5Offense timeouts−10.1Defense timeouts−10.8Home team on offense−2.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.8Score differential−1.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 1:51: KC Concepcion 34 Yd pass from Marcel Reed (Randy Bond Kick) — TA&M win probability +1.8 pts (now 53%) (top driver: defense timeouts not recorded for this play).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q3 15:00: Kyle Ferrie kickoff for 65 yds , Terry Bussey return for 13 yds to the TA&M 13 — TA&M win probability +15.5 pts (now 63%) (top driver: defense timeouts not recorded for this play).
  3. TD · Q3 3:30: KC Concepcion 2 Yd pass from Marcel Reed (Randy Bond Kick) — TA&M win probability +7.2 pts (now 66%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 11:38: Marcel Reed 7 Yd Run (Randy Bond Kick) — TA&M win probability +11.0 pts (now 99%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 7:53: Brenen Thompson 44 Yd pass from Blake Shapen (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed) — MSST win probability +3.2 pts (now 4%) (top driver: MSST has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TA&M made the numbers' call on 6 of 6MSST made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 13:16MSST 4th & 20 at MSST 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.9%−0.2
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:13TA&M 4th & 10 at TA&M 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.9%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:21MSST 4th & 6 at TA&M 6, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 16.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.6%−<0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    16.7%
    91% to make
    Punt
    15.4%−1.3
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:28TA&M 4th & 9 at TA&M 26, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.3%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.5%
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:46MSST 4th & 11 at MSST 23, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.2%−0.5
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:13TA&M 4th & 1 at MSST 1, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 77.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    77.0%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    75.2%−1.8
    94% to make
    Punt
    70.8%−6.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:41MSST 4th & 7 at MSST 5, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.0%−1.0
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.9%
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:32MSST 4th & 10 at MSST 25, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.2%−0.9
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.0%
    average punt
  9. Q3 13:38TA&M 4th & 12 at TA&M 11, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.7%−1.6
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.3%
    average punt
  10. Q3 11:13MSST 4th & 9 at MSST 48, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.3%−0.5
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.8%
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:35TA&M 4th & 9 at MSST 43, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.2%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    78.4%−1.0
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    79.4%
    average punt
  12. Q3 5:49MSST 4th & 1 at MSST 17, down 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.4 ptsPunted · 20.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.0%−1.4
    average punt
  13. Q3 2:12MSST 4th & 5 at MSST 30, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.9%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 4:41TA&M 4th & 5 at MSST 9, up 19
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.7%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.7%
    89% to make
    Punt
    97.3%−1.4
    average punt
  15. Q4 3:11MSST 4th & 23 at MSST 24, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TA&M made the numbers' call on 4 of 4MSST made the numbers' call on 0 of 1
  1. Q2 1:51TA&M Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 3:30TA&M Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 11:38TA&M Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 9:13TA&M Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 7:53MSST Touchdown, down 19 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    2.0%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    2.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MSSTDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 1:4411% → 13%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
88.9%
Fluff Bothwell run for 13 yds to the MSST 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:41
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-6
88.7%
Blake Shapen sacked by Daymion Sanford for a loss of 6 yards to the MSST 32Similar
Q1 14:15
2ND & 16
OWN 32
+3
88.3%
Fluff Bothwell run for 3 yds to the MSST 35Similar
Q1 13:49
3RD & 13
OWN 35
-7
87.9%
Blake Shapen sacked by Cashius Howell for a loss of 7 yards to the MSST 28Similar
Q1 13:16
4TH & 20
OWN 28
0
87.5%
Ethan Pulliam punt for no gain , KC Concepcion returns for no gain to the TA&M 28 Texas A&M Penalty, Offensive holding (Jayvon Thomas) to the TA&M 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 2PUNT
10 plays · 31 yds · 2:5587% → 84%
Q1 13:08
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-7
87.3%
Le'Veon Moss run for no gain to the TA&M 15 Texas A&M Penalty, Offensive holding (Ar'maj Reed-Adams) to the TA&M 8Similar
Q1 12:50
1ST & 17
OWN 8
+12
87.0%
Marcel Reed pass complete to KC Concepcion for 12 yds to the TA&M 20Similar
Q1 12:13
2ND & 5
OWN 20
-5
86.4%
Texas A&M Penalty, substitution infraction (-5 Yards) to the TA&M 15Similar
Q1 12:08
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+9
86.4%
Marcel Reed run for 9 yds to the TA&M 24Similar
Q1 11:23
3RD & 1
OWN 24
+6
85.6%
Le'Veon Moss run for 6 yds to the TA&M 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+16
85.1%
KC Concepcion run for 16 yds to the TA&M 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
84.9%
Marcel Reed pass incomplete to Le'Veon MossSimilar
Q1 10:26
2ND & 10
OWN 46
0
84.8%
Marcel Reed pass incomplete to Theo Melin ÖhrströmSimilar
Q1 10:21
3RD & 10
OWN 46
0
84.6%
Marcel Reed pass incomplete to Ashton Bethel-RomanSimilar
Q1 10:13
4TH & 10
OWN 46
0
84.3%
Tyler White punt for 43 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSSTDrive 3FG
16 plays · 22 yds · 5:4416% → 23%
Q1 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+3
84.2%
Blake Shapen pass complete to Ayden Williams for 3 yds to the MSST 14Similar
Q1 9:44
2ND & 7
OWN 14
+10
83.9%
Blake Shapen pass complete to Brenen Thompson for 10 yds to the MSST 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:24
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
83.5%
Davon Booth run for 2 yds to the MSST 26Similar
Q1 9:03
2ND & 8
OWN 26
+7
82.8%
Blake Shapen pass complete to Anthony Evans III for 7 yds to the MSST 33Similar
Q1 8:41
3RD & 1
OWN 33
+22
82.8%
Davon Booth run for 22 yds to the TA&M 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:24
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+7
82.1%
Blake Shapen pass complete to Anthony Evans III for 7 yds to the TA&M 38Similar
Q1 7:50
2ND & 3
OPP 38
+8
81.4%
Fluff Bothwell run for 8 yds to the TA&M 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:34
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+6
81.2%
Fluff Bothwell run for 6 yds to the TA&M 24Similar
Q1 7:13
2ND & 4
OPP 24
+7
80.7%
Fluff Bothwell run for 7 yds to the TA&M 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:35
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+9
79.9%
Blake Shapen pass complete to Davon Booth for 9 yds to the TA&M 8Similar
Q1 6:12
2ND & 1
OPP 8
+2
79.4%
Davon Booth run for 2 yds to the TA&M 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
78.7%
Davon Booth run for 4 yds to the TA&M 2Similar
Q1 5:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
78.0%
Fluff Bothwell run for 1 yd to the TA&M 1Similar
Q1 4:36
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
77.3%
Mississippi State Penalty, false start (Luke Work) to the TA&M 6Similar
Q1 4:31
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
77.2%
Blake Shapen pass incomplete to Ayden WilliamsSimilar
Q1 4:21
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+24
77.4%
Kyle Ferrie 24 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:5377% → 75%
Q1 4:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
76.5%
Marcel Reed pass incomplete to Mario CraverSimilar
Q1 4:15
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
76.2%
Rueben Owens II run for 1 yd to the TA&M 26Similar
Q1 3:35
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
74.9%
Marcel Reed pass incomplete to Mario CraverSimilar
Q1 3:28
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
74.6%
Tyler White punt for 50 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSSTDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:3525% → 26%
Q1 3:21
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
75.4%
Blake Shapen run for 1 yd to the MSST 25Similar
Q1 3:04
2ND & 9
OWN 25
-7
75.1%
Ricky Johnson run for a loss of 7 yards to the MSST 18Similar
Q1 2:18
3RD & 16
OWN 18
+5
74.2%
Fluff Bothwell run for 5 yds to the MSST 23Similar
Q1 1:46
4TH & 11
OWN 23
0
73.6%
Ethan Pulliam punt for 61 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 6DOWNS
17 plays · 82 yds · 8:2072% → 61%
Q1 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+8
71.8%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Mario Craver for 8 yds to the TA&M 24Similar
Q1 1:06
2ND & 2
OWN 24
+5
71.3%
Le'Veon Moss run for 5 yds to the TA&M 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
70.3%
Marcel Reed pass incomplete to KC ConcepcionSimilar
Q1 0:30
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+4
69.9%
Rueben Owens II run for 4 yds to the TA&M 33Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 33
+18
68.9%
Marcel Reed run for 3 yds to the MSST 36 for a 1ST down Mississippi State Penalty, personal foul (Tyler Lockhart) to the MSST 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:44
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
70.8%
Rueben Owens II run for 6 yds to the MSST 43Similar
Q2 14:12
2ND & 4
OPP 43
+5
70.0%
Rueben Owens II run for 5 yds to the MSST 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:35
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+13
68.9%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Terry Bussey for 13 yds to the MSST 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:49
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+8
68.9%
Rueben Owens II run for 8 yds to the MSST 17Similar
Q2 12:11
2ND & 2
OPP 17
+4
67.8%
Le'Veon Moss run for 4 yds to the MSST 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:39
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+6
67.0%
KC Concepcion run for 6 yds to the MSST 7Similar
Q2 11:11
2ND & 4
OPP 7
+2
66.2%
Le'Veon Moss run for 2 yds to the MSST 5Similar
Q2 10:30
3RD & 2
OPP 5
+3
64.1%
Nate Boerkircher run for 3 yds to the MSST 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
64.1%
Le'Veon Moss run for 1 yd to the MSST 1Similar
Q2 9:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
63.1%
Le'Veon Moss run for no gain to the MSST 1Similar
Q2 8:26
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
60.6%
Rueben Owens II run for no gain to the MSST 1Similar
Q2 8:13
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
60.8%
Rueben Owens II run for a loss of 1 yard to the MSST 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSSTDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:2641% → 42%
Q2 8:07
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+1
59.0%
Fluff Bothwell run for 1 yd to the MSST 3Similar
Q2 7:28
2ND & 9
OWN 3
+2
57.9%
Fluff Bothwell run for 2 yds to the MSST 5Similar
Q2 6:48
3RD & 7
OWN 5
0
57.3%
Blake Shapen pass incomplete to Anthony Evans IIISimilar
Q2 6:41
4TH & 7
OWN 5
+18
57.7%
Ethan Pulliam punt for 53 yds , KC Concepcion returns for 18 yds to the MSST 23 Texas A&M Penalty, Offensive holding (Jordan Shaw) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 8INT
2 plays · 4 yds · 0:0057% → 57%
Q2 6:26
1ST & 10
50
+4
56.8%
Rueben Owens II run for 4 yds to the MSST 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSSTDrive 9INT
5 plays · 29 yds · 1:1547% → 51%
Q2 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
53.1%
Davon Booth run for 3 yds to the MSST 30Similar
Q2 5:21
2ND & 7
OWN 30
+1
52.3%
Davon Booth run for 1 yd to the MSST 31Similar
Q2 4:49
3RD & 6
OWN 31
+15
51.9%
Blake Shapen pass incomplete to Brenen Thompson, broken up by Cashius Howell for a 1ST down Texas A&M Penalty, roughing passer (DJ Hicks) to the MSST 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+10
49.7%
Davon Booth run for 10 yds to the TA&M 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:23
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
48.6%
Blake Shapen pass incomplete to Seydou Traore, broken up by Cashius HowellSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 10TD
7 plays · 64 yds · 2:2351% → 53%
Q2 4:14
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-5
50.8%
Texas A&M Penalty, false start (Lamont Rogers) to the TA&M 31Similar
Q2 4:13
1ST & 15
OWN 31
+7
49.8%
Rueben Owens II run for 7 yds to the TA&M 38Similar
Q2 3:49
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+6
50.3%
Rueben Owens II run for 6 yds to the TA&M 44Similar
Q2 3:06
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+3
49.8%
Rueben Owens II run for 3 yds to the TA&M 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:23
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+15
50.8%
Marcel Reed pass incomplete to Ashton Bethel-Roman for a 1ST down Mississippi State Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Kelley Jones) to the MSST 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:15
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
51.3%
Rueben Owens II run for 4 yds to the MSST 34Similar
Q2 1:51
2ND & 6
OPP 34
+34
53.2%
KC Concepcion 34 Yd pass from Marcel Reed (Randy Bond Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSSTDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:1848% → 47%
Q2 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-12
51.9%
Blake Shapen sacked by Cashius Howell for a loss of 12 yards to the MSST 13Similar
Q2 1:41
2ND & 22
OWN 13
+3
52.2%
Blake Shapen run for 3 yds to the MSST 16Similar
Q2 1:38
3RD & 19
OWN 16
+9
53.0%
Blake Shapen pass complete to Seydou Traore for 9 yds to the MSST 25Similar
Q2 1:32
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+4
53.3%
Ethan Pulliam punt for 57 yds , KC Concepcion returns for 4 yds to the TA&M 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 12END OF HALF
3 plays · -1 yds · 0:4849% → 48%
Q2 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
48.6%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Mario Craver for 4 yds to the TA&M 26Similar
Q2 0:51
2ND & 6
OWN 26
-5
48.3%
Texas A&M Penalty, false start (Ar'maj Reed-Adams) to the TA&M 21Similar
Q2 0:35
2ND & 11
OWN 21
+6
47.6%
Marcel Reed run for 6 yds to the MSST 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:1561% → 57%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+2
61.1%
Rueben Owens II run for 2 yds to the TA&M 15Similar
Q3 14:22
2ND & 8
OWN 15
0
60.4%
Marcel Reed pass incomplete to KC ConcepcionSimilar
Q3 14:18
3RD & 8
OWN 15
-4
59.1%
Marcel Reed sacked by Kalvin Dinkins for a loss of 4 yards to the TA&M 11Similar
Q3 13:38
4TH & 12
OWN 11
0
57.1%
Tyler White punt for 54 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSSTDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 2:1239% → 36%
Q3 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
61.0%
Fluff Bothwell run for 8 yds to the MSST 43Similar
Q3 13:03
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+4
61.3%
Fluff Bothwell run for 4 yds to the MSST 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-1
62.4%
Fluff Bothwell run for a loss of 1 yard to the MSST 46Similar
Q3 12:15
2ND & 11
OWN 46
+4
63.5%
Fluff Bothwell run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 11:48
3RD & 7
50
-2
61.8%
Blake Shapen pass complete to Davon Booth for a loss of 2 yards to the MSST 48Similar
Q3 11:13
4TH & 9
OWN 48
0
64.2%
Nathan Tiyce punt for 35 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 15PUNT
9 plays · 40 yds · 3:3161% → 53%
Q3 11:06
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+6
60.8%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Mario Craver for 6 yds to the TA&M 23Similar
Q3 10:47
2ND & 4
OWN 23
+7
60.6%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Nate Boerkircher for 7 yds to the TA&M 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
60.0%
Rueben Owens II run for 7 yds to the TA&M 37Similar
Q3 9:38
2ND & 3
OWN 37
+19
62.7%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Rueben Owens II for 19 yds to the MSST 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:12
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-5
63.4%
Texas A&M Penalty, false start (Dametrious Crownover) to the MSST 49Similar
Q3 9:01
1ST & 15
OPP 49
+5
61.5%
Le'Veon Moss run for 5 yds to the MSST 44Similar
Q3 8:20
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+1
58.3%
Le'Veon Moss run for 1 yd to the MSST 43Similar
Q3 7:41
3RD & 9
OPP 43
0
55.9%
Marcel Reed pass incomplete to Mario CraverSimilar
Q3 7:35
4TH & 9
OPP 43
0
53.0%
Tyler White punt for 35 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSSTDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:4037% → 38%
Q3 7:29
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+7
63.5%
Blake Shapen pass complete to Ayden Williams for 7 yds to the MSST 15Similar
Q3 7:06
2ND & 3
OWN 15
-8
62.0%
Blake Shapen run for a loss of 8 yards to the MSST 7 Blake Shapen fumbled, recovered by MSST Davon BoothSimilar
Q3 6:30
3RD & 11
OWN 7
+10
63.7%
Blake Shapen pass complete to Anthony Evans III for 10 yds to the MSST 17Similar
Q3 5:49
4TH & 1
OWN 17
+13
62.1%
Ethan Pulliam punt for 58 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TA&M 38 , KC Concepcion returns for 13 yds to the TA&M 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 17TD
5 plays · 62 yds · 2:0852% → 66%
Q3 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+17
52.3%
Rueben Owens II run for 17 yds to the MSST 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:04
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+42
53.4%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Mario Craver for 42 yds to the MSST 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
59.7%
Rueben Owens II run for 1 yd to the MSST 2Similar
Q3 3:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
59.1%
Marcel Reed pass incomplete to KC Concepcion, broken up by Kelley JonesSimilar
Q3 3:30
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
66.3%
KC Concepcion 2 Yd pass from Marcel Reed (Randy Bond Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSSTDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:1827% → 26%
Q3 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
73.2%
Fluff Bothwell run for a loss of 1 yard to the MSST 24Similar
Q3 3:03
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
73.4%
Blake Shapen pass incomplete to Brenen ThompsonSimilar
Q3 2:58
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+6
74.3%
Blake Shapen pass complete to Anthony Evans III for 6 yds to the MSST 30Similar
Q3 2:12
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
74.2%
Ethan Pulliam punt for 49 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 19TD
10 plays · 79 yds · 5:2868% → 99%
Q3 2:06
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
68.3%
Jamarion Morrow run for 3 yds to the TA&M 24Similar
Q3 1:32
2ND & 7
OWN 24
+23
69.1%
Jamarion Morrow run for 23 yds to the TA&M 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
70.7%
Jamarion Morrow run for 1 yd to the TA&M 48Similar
Q3 0:28
2ND & 9
OWN 48
+13
74.3%
Marcel Reed pass complete to KC Concepcion for 13 yds to the MSST 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
75.6%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Mario Craver for 3 yds to the MSST 36Similar
Q4 14:20
2ND & 7
OPP 36
+17
74.2%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Mario Craver for 17 yds to the MSST 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:46
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+3
78.6%
Le'Veon Moss run for 3 yds to the MSST 16Similar
Q4 13:08
2ND & 7
OPP 16
+6
81.5%
Le'Veon Moss run for 6 yds to the MSST 10Similar
Q4 12:22
3RD & 1
OPP 10
+3
88.0%
Le'Veon Moss run for 3 yds to the MSST 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
99.0%
Marcel Reed 7 Yd Run (Randy Bond Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSSTDrive 20FUMBLE
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q4 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
95.9%
Blake Shapen pass complete to Anthony Evans III for 11 yds Blake Shapen fumbled, recovered by TA&M Dalton BrooksSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 21TD
4 plays · 24 yds · 2:1299% → 100%
Q4 11:25
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+4
99.1%
Rueben Owens II run for 4 yds to the MSST 20Similar
Q4 10:43
2ND & 6
OPP 20
+4
99.1%
Rueben Owens II run for 4 yds to the MSST 16Similar
Q4 9:56
3RD & 2
OPP 16
+9
99.2%
Marcel Reed run for 9 yds to the MSST 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
99.9%
Mario Craver 7 Yd Run (Randy Bond Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSSTDrive 22TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:200% → 4%
Q4 9:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.7%
Brenen Thompson run for 1 yd to the MSST 26Similar
Q4 8:45
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+15
99.7%
Davon Booth run for 15 yds to the MSST 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+15
99.7%
Blake Shapen pass complete to Ayden Williams for 15 yds to the TA&M 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:53
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+44
96.5%
Brenen Thompson 44 Yd pass from Blake Shapen (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 23FG
8 plays · 65 yds · 3:1099% → 100%
Q4 7:51
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+17
99.3%
Rueben Owens II run for 17 yds to the TA&M 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:08
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
99.5%
Rueben Owens II run for 6 yds to the TA&M 49Similar
Q4 6:25
2ND & 4
OWN 49
+37
99.6%
Rueben Owens II run for 37 yds to the MSST 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:40
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
99.6%
Amari Daniels run for 1 yd to the MSST 13Similar
Q4 4:56
2ND & 9
OPP 13
+3
99.6%
Amari Daniels run for 3 yds to the MSST 10Similar
Q4 4:51
3RD & 6
OPP 10
+1
99.6%
Amari Daniels run for 1 yd to the MSST 9Similar
Q4 4:41
4TH & 5
OPP 9
+27
99.7%
Randy Bond 27 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSSTDrive 24PUNT
7 plays · 3 yds · 1:260% → 0%
Q4 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
99.8%
Blake Shapen pass incomplete to Sam West for a 1ST down Texas A&M Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Daymion Sanford) to the MSST 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
99.8%
Blake Shapen pass complete to Fluff Bothwell for 12 yds to the MSST 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-6
99.8%
Blake Shapen pass complete to Fluff Bothwell for a loss of 6 yards to the MSST 31Similar
Q4 3:54
2ND & 16
OWN 31
-7
99.8%
Blake Shapen sacked by Cashius Howell for a loss of 7 yards to the MSST 24Similar
Q4 3:17
3RD & 23
OWN 24
0
99.7%
Blake Shapen pass incomplete to Ricky Johnson, broken up by Jordan ShawSimilar
Q4 3:11
4TH & 23
OWN 24
0
99.7%
Ethan Pulliam punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 25Uncategorized
6 plays · 28 yds · 2:46100% → 100%
Q4 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
99.9%
Jamarion Morrow run for 2 yds to the TA&M 37Similar
Q4 2:22
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+1
99.9%
Jamarion Morrow run for 1 yd to the TA&M 38Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 7
OWN 38
+28
99.8%
Mario Craver run for 28 yds to the MSST 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:28
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-1
99.8%
Marcel Reed run for a loss of 1 yard to the MSST 35Similar
Q4 0:48
2ND & 11
OPP 35
-2
99.8%
Marcel Reed run for a loss of 2 yards to the MSST 37Similar
Q4 0:16
3RD & 13
OPP 37
-1
99.8%
Marcel Reed run for a loss of 1 yard to the MSST 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
KEY PLAY · Q3 15:00
Kyle Ferrie kickoff for 65 yds , Terry Bussey return for 13 yds to the TA&M 13
+15.5
TD · Q4 11:38
Marcel Reed 7 Yd Run (Randy Bond Kick)
+11
TD · Q3 3:30
KC Concepcion 2 Yd pass from Marcel Reed (Randy Bond Kick)
+7.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com