AUB
Auburn 10 at Texas A&M 16
TA&M2025 · Week 5 · Sep 27, 2025 · Kyle Field
Speed4x
Win probability · TA&M
modelTA&M aheadAUB aheadconfidence bandkey play
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AUB · Drive 1PUNT · 5 plays · -6 yds
Q1 15:00
Randy Bond kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
51.4%
0.0
Q1 15:00
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Eric Singleton Jr. for 3 yds to the AUB 28
48.6%
-2.9
Q1 14:36
Jackson Arnold pass incomplete to Eric Singleton Jr.
48.0%
-0.6
Q1 14:32
Jackson Arnold sacked by Daymion Sanford for a loss of 9 yards to the AUB 19
48.0%
0.0
Q1 14:03
Hudson Kaak punt for 48 yds , KC Concepcion returns for 1 yd to the TA&M 34
48.0%
0.0
TA&M · Drive 2TD · 4 plays · 66 yds
Q1 13:55
Le'Veon Moss run for 3 yds to the TA&M 37
51.7%
+3.7
Q1 13:30
Marcel Reed pass complete to KC Concepcion for 24 yds to the AUB 39 for a 1ST down
52.0%
+0.3
Q1 12:52
Le'Veon Moss run for 38 yds to the AUB 1 for a 1ST down
54.0%
+2.0
Q1 12:14
Le'Veon Moss 1 Yd Run (Randy Bond Kick)
66.1%
+12.2
AUB · Drive 3PUNT · 6 plays · 8 yds
Q1 12:14
Randy Bond kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
65.4%
-0.7
Q1 12:13
Jackson Arnold run for 1 yd to the AUB 26
62.6%
-2.8
Q1 11:40
Auburn Penalty, false start (Eric Singleton Jr.) to the AUB 21
64.6%
+2.0
Q1 11:18
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Cam Coleman for 5 yds to the AUB 26
64.6%
0.0
Q1 10:37
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Brandon Frazier for 7 yds to the AUB 33
64.6%
0.0
Q1 10:05
Hudson Kaak punt for 46 yds
64.6%
0.0
TA&M · Drive 4PUNT · 5 plays · 11 yds
Q1 9:58
Marcel Reed pass complete to KC Concepcion for 19 yds to the TA&M 40 for a 1ST down
65.9%
+1.3
Q1 9:16
Amari Daniels run for 1 yd to the TA&M 41
66.7%
+0.8
Q1 8:42
Marcel Reed run for 3 yds to the TA&M 44
66.3%
-0.4
Q1 8:03
Marcel Reed sacked by Eric Winters for a loss of 12 yards to the TA&M 32
66.2%
-0.1
Q1 7:27
Tyler White punt for 46 yds , Malcolm Simmons returns for 6 yds to the AUB 28
65.2%
-0.9
AUB · Drive 5PUNT · 7 plays · 16 yds
Q1 7:19
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Cam Coleman for 5 yds to the AUB 33
64.5%
-0.7
Q1 6:55
Jackson Arnold run for 7 yds to the AUB 40 for a 1ST down
64.5%
0.0
Q1 6:27
Auburn Penalty, false start (Xavier Chaplin) to the AUB 35
63.5%
-1.1
Q1 6:00
Jackson Arnold run for 1 yd to the AUB 36
64.0%
+0.5
Q1 5:37
Jackson Arnold run for 5 yds to the AUB 41
64.0%
0.0
Q1 4:56
Eric Singleton Jr. run for 3 yds to the AUB 44
63.1%
-1.0
Q1 4:22
Hudson Kaak punt for 42 yds
62.9%
-0.2
TA&M · Drive 6DOWNS · 6 plays · -7 yds
Q1 4:17
Amari Daniels run for 7 yds to the TA&M 21
65.3%
+2.4
Q1 3:54
Amari Daniels run for 3 yds to the TA&M 24 Texas A&M Penalty, Offensive holding (Mark Nabou Jr.) to the TA&M 14
65.2%
-0.1
Q1 3:23
Jamarion Morrow run for 1 yd to the TA&M 15
65.2%
0.0
Q1 2:42
Marcel Reed sacked by Keyron Crawford for a loss of 3 yards to the TA&M 12
65.2%
0.0
Q1 2:42
Texas A&M Penalty, false start (Jarred Kerr) to the TA&M 7
64.6%
-0.6
Q1 1:53
Tyler White punt for 36 yds
64.3%
-0.4
AUB · Drive 7PUNT · 4 plays · -1 yds
Q1 1:48
Jackson Arnold sacked by DJ Hicks for a loss of 7 yards to the 50 yard line
61.8%
-2.5
Q1 1:06
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Malcolm Simmons for 6 yds to the TA&M 44
62.4%
+0.6
Q1 0:34
Jackson Arnold pass incomplete to Malcolm Simmons, broken up by Taurean York
61.9%
-0.5
Q1 0:29
Hudson Kaak punt for 40 yds
62.3%
+0.3
TA&M · Drive 8PUNT · 7 plays · 24 yds
Q1 0:19
Le'Veon Moss run for 11 yds to the TA&M 15 for a 1ST down
64.7%
+2.4
Q2 15:00
Le'Veon Moss run for 6 yds to the TA&M 21
64.6%
-0.1
Q2 14:40
Marcel Reed pass incomplete to KC Concepcion for a 1ST down Auburn Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Jay Crawford) to the TA&M 23 for a 1ST down
66.5%
+1.9
Q2 14:25
Le'Veon Moss run for 5 yds to the TA&M 28
66.5%
0.0
Q2 14:10
Marcel Reed pass incomplete to Ashton Bethel-Roman
66.5%
0.0
Q2 13:50
Marcel Reed pass incomplete to Mario Craver
66.5%
0.0
Q2 13:33
Tyler White punt for 43 yds
65.9%
-0.6
AUB · Drive 9FG · 10 plays · 57 yds
Q2 13:28
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Eric Singleton Jr. for 11 yds to the AUB 40 for a 1ST down
65.7%
-0.2
Q2 12:52
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Eric Singleton Jr. for 37 yds to the TA&M 23 for a 1ST down
65.1%
-0.5
Q2 12:35
Damari Alston run for no gain to the TA&M 23 Auburn Penalty, Offensive holding (Izavion Miller) to the TA&M 33
63.5%
-1.7
Q2 12:20
Jackson Arnold pass incomplete to Malcolm Simmons
63.5%
0.0
Q2 12:00
Damari Alston run for 5 yds to the TA&M 28 for a 1ST down Texas A&M Penalty, personal foul (Albert Regis) to the TA&M 14 for a 1ST down
63.5%
0.0
Q2 11:52
Jackson Arnold pass incomplete to Malcolm Simmons
63.4%
-0.1
Q2 11:45
Jackson Arnold pass incomplete to Cam Coleman
63.4%
0.0
Q2 11:30
Auburn Penalty, false start (Robert Woodyard Jr.) to the TA&M 19
63.4%
0.0
Q2 11:30
Damari Alston run for 5 yds to the TA&M 14
63.4%
0.0
Q2 10:50
Alex McPherson 32 Yd Field Goal
53.9%
-9.6
TA&M · Drive 10FG · 12 plays · 60 yds
Q2 10:50
Connor Gibbs kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
56.1%
+2.3
Q2 10:50
Amari Daniels run for 3 yds to the TA&M 28
61.7%
+5.5
Q2 10:15
Marcel Reed pass incomplete to Mario Craver for a 1ST down Auburn Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Kensley Louidor-Faustin) to the TA&M 40 for a 1ST down
61.7%
0.0
Q2 10:07
Marcel Reed pass incomplete to KC Concepcion
62.3%
+0.6
Q2 10:02
Marcel Reed pass incomplete to Terry Bussey
62.3%
0.0
Q2 9:58
Marcel Reed pass complete to Mario Craver for 17 yds to the AUB 43 for a 1ST down
62.0%
-0.2
Q2 9:23
Rueben Owens II run for 33 yds to the AUB 10 for a 1ST down
63.0%
+1.0
Q2 9:04
Rueben Owens II run for 4 yds to the AUB 6
63.0%
0.0
Q2 8:31
Marcel Reed run for no gain to the AUB 6 Texas A&M Penalty, Offensive holding (Dametrious Crownover) to the AUB 16
63.0%
0.0
Q2 8:11
Marcel Reed pass complete to Mario Craver for a loss of 2 yards to the AUB 18
64.0%
+0.9
Q2 7:31
Amari Daniels run for 3 yds to the AUB 15
63.7%
-0.2
Q2 6:49
Randy Bond 33 Yd Field Goal
69.8%
+6.1
AUB · Drive 11PUNT · 6 plays · -6 yds
Q2 6:49
Randy Bond kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
69.3%
-0.6
Q2 6:49
Jeremiah Cobb run for 1 yd to the AUB 26
66.4%
-2.8
Q2 6:22
Jackson Arnold run for no gain to the AUB 26 Auburn Penalty, Offensive holding (Preston Howard) to the AUB 16
66.4%
0.0
Q2 5:56
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Brandon Frazier for a loss of 4 yards to the AUB 12
66.4%
0.0
Q2 5:22
Jeremiah Cobb run for 7 yds to the AUB 19
66.4%
0.0
Q2 4:50
Hudson Kaak punt for 47 yds , KC Concepcion returns for 10 yds to the TA&M 44
66.4%
0.0
TA&M · Drive 12FG · 8 plays · 25 yds
Q2 4:38
Le'Veon Moss run for 2 yds to the TA&M 46
69.8%
+3.4
Q2 4:04
Le'Veon Moss run for 1 yd to the TA&M 47 Texas A&M Penalty, Offensive holding (Ar'maj Reed-Adams) to the TA&M 37
69.8%
0.0
Q2 3:48
Amari Daniels run for 5 yds to the TA&M 42
69.7%
-0.1
Q2 3:10
Marcel Reed pass complete to Amari Niblack for 23 yds to the AUB 35 for a 1ST down
69.6%
-0.1
Q2 2:35
Amari Daniels run for 2 yds to the AUB 33
70.2%
+0.6
Q2 2:00
Marcel Reed pass incomplete to Ashton Bethel-Roman
70.1%
-0.1
Q2 1:55
Amari Daniels run for 2 yds to the AUB 31
69.8%
-0.2
Q2 1:45
Randy Bond 49 Yd Field Goal
78.6%
+8.7
AUB · Drive 13PUNT · 8 plays · 7 yds
Q2 1:45
Randy Bond kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
85.2%
+6.6
Q2 1:44
Jackson Arnold pass incomplete to Perry Thompson, broken up by Dezz Ricks
74.4%
-10.8
Q2 1:38
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Cam Coleman for 4 yds to the AUB 29
74.5%
+0.1
Q2 1:33
Jackson Arnold run for 3 yds to the AUB 32
74.5%
0.0
Q2 1:28
Hudson Kaak punt
74.5%
0.0
Q2 0:59
Auburn Penalty, false start (Xavier Chaplin) to the AUB 33
74.5%
0.0
Q2 0:58
Jackson Arnold run for 8 yds to the AUB 41
74.5%
0.0
Q2 0:49
Hudson Kaak punt for 47 yds , KC Concepcion returns for 19 yds to the TA&M 40 Texas A&M Penalty, Offensive holding (Bravion Rogers) to the TA&M 21
74.5%
0.0
TA&M · Drive 14MISSED FG · 5 plays · 46 yds
Q2 0:37
Rueben Owens II run for 15 yds to the TA&M 36 for a 1ST down
80.0%
+5.5
Q2 0:26
Marcel Reed pass complete to Terry Bussey for 10 yds to the TA&M 46 for a 1ST down
79.4%
-0.5
Q2 0:12
Marcel Reed run for 12 yds to the AUB 42 for a 1ST down
79.5%
+0.1
Q2 0:08
Marcel Reed pass complete to Nate Boerkircher for 9 yds to the AUB 33
79.7%
+0.1
Q2 0:04
Randy Bond 50 yd FG MISSED
79.7%
0.0
TA&M · Drive 15MISSED FG · 11 plays · 42 yds
Q3 14:55
Connor Gibbs kickoff for 57 yds , Terry Bussey return for 18 yds to the TA&M 26
74.0%
-5.7
Q3 14:54
Amari Daniels run for 5 yds to the TA&M 31
80.0%
+6.0
Q3 14:29
Marcel Reed pass complete to KC Concepcion for 8 yds to the TA&M 39 for a 1ST down
80.0%
0.0
Q3 13:58
Marcel Reed pass complete to Ashton Bethel-Roman for 18 yds to the AUB 43 for a 1ST down
80.0%
+0.1
Q3 13:18
Marcel Reed pass complete to KC Concepcion for 19 yds to the AUB 24 for a 1ST down
81.9%
+1.8
Q3 12:36
Le'Veon Moss run for no gain to the AUB 24 Texas A&M Penalty, Offensive holding (Chase Bisontis) to the AUB 34
82.1%
+0.2
Q3 12:14
Marcel Reed sacked by Chris Murray for a loss of 15 yards to the AUB 49 Texas A&M Penalty, intentional grounding (Marcel Reed) to the AUB 49
82.1%
0.0
Q3 12:09
Marcel Reed pass complete to KC Concepcion for 20 yds to the AUB 29
81.8%
-0.3
Q3 11:49
Texas A&M Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Chase Bisontis) to the AUB 44
81.9%
+0.2
Q3 11:38
Marcel Reed pass complete to Mario Craver for 12 yds to the AUB 32
81.6%
-0.3
Q3 10:53
Randy Bond 49 yd FG MISSED
81.7%
+0.1
AUB · Drive 16DOWNS · 8 plays · 33 yds
Q3 10:40
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Eric Singleton Jr. for 4 yds to the AUB 36
75.9%
-5.9
Q3 10:08
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Jeremiah Cobb for 11 yds to the AUB 47 for a 1ST down
75.9%
0.0
Q3 9:36
Jeremiah Cobb run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line
75.7%
-0.1
Q3 8:54
Jackson Arnold run for 9 yds to the TA&M 41 for a 1ST down
75.5%
-0.3
Q3 8:11
Jackson Arnold pass incomplete to Cam Coleman
75.3%
-0.2
Q3 8:07
Jackson Arnold pass incomplete to Malcolm Simmons
75.3%
0.0
Q3 8:02
Jackson Arnold pass incomplete to Brandon Frazier
75.3%
0.0
Q3 7:58
Jackson Arnold run for 6 yds to the TA&M 35
75.6%
+0.3
TA&M · Drive 17PUNT · 4 plays · 2 yds
Q3 7:48
Le'Veon Moss run for no gain to the TA&M 35
80.5%
+4.9
Q3 7:05
Le'Veon Moss run for 8 yds to the TA&M 43
80.6%
+0.1
Q3 6:33
Marcel Reed sacked by Xavier Atkins for a loss of 6 yards to the TA&M 37 Marcel Reed fumbled, recovered by TA&M Trey Zuhn III , return for 0 yards
79.3%
-1.3
Q3 5:49
Tyler White punt for 63 yds
79.0%
-0.4
AUB · Drive 18PUNT · 12 plays · 33 yds
Q3 5:46
Jeremiah Cobb run for 5 yds to the AUB 25
74.8%
-4.2
Q3 5:09
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Brandon Frazier for 14 yds to the AUB 39 for a 1ST down
75.5%
+0.8
Q3 4:30
Jeremiah Cobb run for 6 yds to the AUB 45
75.5%
0.0
Q3 3:59
Jackson Arnold pass incomplete to Perry Thompson
75.4%
-0.1
Q3 3:54
Jackson Arnold pass incomplete to Eric Singleton Jr., broken up by Albert Regis for a 1ST down Texas A&M Penalty, Defensive holding (Tyreek Chappell) to the TA&M 45 for a 1ST down
75.4%
0.0
Q3 3:49
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Brandon Frazier for 10 yds to the TA&M 35 for a 1ST down
74.7%
-0.6
Q3 3:07
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Eric Singleton Jr. for 1 yd to the TA&M 34
73.9%
-0.8
Q3 2:33
Jackson Arnold run for 1 yd to the TA&M 33
73.9%
0.0
Q3 1:49
Jackson Arnold run for no gain to the TA&M 33 Auburn Penalty, illegal shift (Robert Woodyard Jr.) to the TA&M 38
73.9%
0.0
Q3 1:20
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Malcolm Simmons for 1 yd to the TA&M 37
76.6%
+2.6
Q3 0:33
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Brandon Frazier for no gain to the TA&M 37 Auburn Penalty, Offensive holding (Xavier Chaplin) to the TA&M 47
79.1%
+2.5
Q3 0:13
Hudson Kaak punt for 47 yds
79.0%
-0.1
TA&M · Drive 19INT · 9 plays · 59 yds
Q3 0:03
Marcel Reed run for a loss of 2 yards to the TA&M 25 Marcel Reed fumbled, recovered by TA&M Le'Veon Moss Le'Veon Moss run for 7 yds to the TA&M 25
83.6%
+4.6
Q4 15:00
Marcel Reed pass complete to KC Concepcion for 4 yds to the TA&M 29
83.6%
0.0
Q4 14:16
Nate Boerkircher run for 1 yd to the TA&M 30 for a 1ST down
83.6%
0.0
Q4 13:25
Le'Veon Moss run for 11 yds to the TA&M 41 for a 1ST down
83.6%
0.0
Q4 13:09
Marcel Reed pass complete to KC Concepcion for 19 yds to the AUB 40 for a 1ST down
83.8%
+0.2
Q4 12:32
Le'Veon Moss run for 10 yds to the AUB 30 for a 1ST down
84.0%
+0.3
Q4 12:00
Amari Daniels run for 6 yds to the AUB 24
84.3%
+0.3
Q4 11:21
Amari Daniels run for 3 yds to the AUB 21
84.3%
-0.1
Q4 10:41
Xavier Atkins return for no gain to the TA&M 2
84.3%
0.0
AUB · Drive 20TD · 1 play · 2 yds
Q4 10:20
Jackson Arnold 2 Yd Run (Alex McPherson Kick)
53.9%
-30.3
TA&M · Drive 21PUNT · 7 plays · 20 yds
Q4 10:20
Connor Gibbs kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
57.0%
+3.0
Q4 10:20
Le'Veon Moss run for 4 yds to the TA&M 29
58.9%
+1.9
Q4 9:50
Marcel Reed pass complete to Mario Craver for 7 yds to the TA&M 36 for a 1ST down
58.4%
-0.5
Q4 9:08
Le'Veon Moss run for 4 yds to the TA&M 40
63.4%
+5.0
Q4 8:32
Le'Veon Moss run for 3 yds to the TA&M 43
63.5%
+0.1
Q4 7:53
Amari Daniels run for 2 yds to the TA&M 45
63.2%
-0.4
Q4 7:12
Tyler White punt for 42 yds
64.4%
+1.3
AUB · Drive 22PUNT · 4 plays · -4 yds
Q4 7:00
Jackson Arnold sacked by Taurean York for a loss of 7 yards to the AUB 6
61.5%
-3.0
Q4 6:25
Jeremiah Cobb run for 6 yds to the AUB 12
64.0%
+2.5
Q4 5:49
Jackson Arnold sacked by Cashius Howell for a loss of 3 yards to the AUB 9
64.0%
0.0
Q4 5:15
Hudson Kaak punt for 39 yds
64.0%
0.0
TA&M · Drive 23TD · 6 plays · 48 yds
Q4 5:08
Le'Veon Moss run for 20 yds to the AUB 28 for a 1ST down
70.2%
+6.2
Q4 4:22
Le'Veon Moss run for 6 yds to the AUB 22
71.7%
+1.5
Q4 3:38
Le'Veon Moss run for no gain to the AUB 22
72.5%
+0.8
Q4 2:56
Marcel Reed pass complete to Mario Craver for no gain Texas A&M Penalty, inelgible downfield on pass (-5 Yards) to the AUB 27
75.4%
+2.9
Q4 2:50
Marcel Reed pass incomplete to KC Concepcion
75.4%
0.0
Q4 2:42
Randy Bond 44 Yd Field Goal
87.0%
+11.6
AUB · Drive 24PUNT · 5 plays · 0 yds
Q4 2:41
Randy Bond kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
87.8%
+0.8
Q4 2:41
Jackson Arnold pass incomplete to Eric Singleton Jr.
83.8%
-4.0
Q4 2:30
Jackson Arnold pass incomplete to Cam Coleman, broken up by Albert Regis
83.8%
0.0
Q4 2:28
Jackson Arnold pass incomplete to Malcolm Simmons
74.4%
-9.5
Q4 2:25
Hudson Kaak punt for 47 yds
74.4%
0.0
TA&M · Drive 25PUNT · 4 plays · -1 yds
Q4 2:14
Le'Veon Moss run for a loss of 1 yard to the TA&M 27
86.5%
+12.2
Q4 2:09
Le'Veon Moss run for no gain to the TA&M 27
86.5%
0.0
Q4 2:07
Le'Veon Moss run for no gain to the TA&M 27
86.5%
0.0
Q4 1:59
Tyler White punt for 51 yds
86.6%
+0.1
AUB · Drive 26DOWNS · 4 plays · 3 yds
Q4 1:47
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Damari Alston for 5 yds to the AUB 27
73.4%
-13.2
Q4 1:24
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Cam Coleman for 4 yds to the AUB 31
70.6%
-2.8
Q4 1:06
Jackson Arnold pass incomplete to Malcolm Simmons
71.7%
+1.1
Q4 1:02
Jackson Arnold sacked by Dayon Hayes for a loss of 6 yards to the AUB 25
71.7%
0.0
TA&M · Drive 27Uncategorized · 3 plays · -18 yds
Q4 0:59
Texas A&M Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Cashius Howell) to the AUB 40
87.3%
+15.6
Q4 0:57
Marcel Reed run for a loss of 3 yards to the AUB 43
87.3%
0.0
Q4 0:24
Marcel Reed run for a loss of 2 yards to the AUB 43
87.4%
+0.1
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 10:20
Jackson Arnold 2 Yd Run (Alex McPherson Kick)
-30.3
KEY PLAY · Q4 0:59
Texas A&M Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Cashius Howell) to the AUB 40
+15.6
KEY PLAY · Q4 1:47
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Damari Alston for 5 yds to the AUB 27
-13.2