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2025 · Week 5 · Sep 27, 2025 · Williams-Brice Stadium
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Win probability · SC
modelSC aheadUK aheadconfidence bandkey playSC scoreUK score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 4:04 · Mason Love pass complete to Maurice Brown II for 10 yds to the SC 39
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+34.0+17.00−17.0−34.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 121Home team on offense+21.6Pregame prior+6.3Score differential+10.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.4Garbage-time factor+10.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+1.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 5:48: Rahsul Faison run for 12 yds for a TD (William Joyce KICK) — SC win probability +3.4 pts (now 69%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 11:28: Jatius Geer 41 Yd Fumble Return (William Joyce Kick) — SC win probability +5.1 pts (now 67%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 10:43: Cutter Boley pass intercepted Gerald Kilgore return for 45 yds for a TD (William Joyce KICK) — SC win probability +5.7 pts (now 75%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 0:34: Jacob Kauwe 42 yd FG GOOD — UK win probability +2.2 pts (now 10%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
  5. FG · Q3 0:34: Timeout South Carolina, clock 00:34 — SC win probability +4.9 pts (now 95%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SC made the numbers' call on 4 of 7UK made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 7:43SC 4th & 3 at UK 43, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 63.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    63.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    62.8%−0.5
    28% to make
    Punt
    63.0%−0.3
    average punt
  2. Q1 0:58UK 4th & 8 at SC 8, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 36.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.1%−0.2
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    36.3%
    90% to make
    Punt
    34.1%−2.2
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:05SC 4th & 2 at SC 46, down 3
    Close callPunted · 62.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.4%−0.4
    average punt
  4. Q2 8:44UK 4th & 3 at SC 47, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 26.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    27.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    26.6%−0.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:44UK 4th & 3 at SC 47, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 26.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    27.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    26.6%−0.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:55SC 4th & 18 at UK 44, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.4%−0.9
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    74.8%−0.5
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    75.3%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:00UK 4th & 18 at UK 43, down 18
    Numbers favored punt by 2.7 ptsWent for it · 13.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.3%−2.7
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    13.0%
    average punt
  8. Q3 13:12SC 4th & 7 at SC 43, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.3%−0.8
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.1%
    average punt
  9. Q3 8:12UK 4th & 22 at UK 44, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.0%−2.9
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.9%
    average punt
  10. Q3 4:04SC 4th & 12 at SC 29, up 18
    Close callWent for it · 93.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    93.1%−0.7
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    93.8%
    average punt
  11. Q3 0:34UK 4th & 6 at SC 24, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 5.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.5%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    5.6%
    68% to make
    Punt
    1.4%−4.2
    average punt
  12. Q4 9:51UK 4th & 6 at UK 24, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%−0.2
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%
    average punt
  13. Q4 9:51UK 4th & 6 at UK 24, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%−0.2
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%
    average punt
  14. Q4 2:48SC 4th & 1 at UK 31, up 22
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    99.2%−0.2
    54% to make
    Punt
    99.1%−0.3
    average punt
  15. Q4 0:23SC 4th & 2 at UK 18, up 22
    Close callWent for it · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.5%−<0.1
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    99.6%
    79% to make
    Punt
    99.2%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SC made the numbers' call on 5 of 5UK made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 11:27UK Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    35.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    35.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:48SC Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 11:28SC Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 10:43SC Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 1:07SC Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 12:14SC Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UKDrive 1TD
11 plays · 65 yds · 3:1730% → 32%
Q1 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
69.6%
Seth McGowan run for 4 yds to the UK 39Similar
Q1 14:08
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+11
69.4%
Cutter Boley pass complete to Kendrick Law for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:46
1ST & 10
50
0
69.3%
Cutter Boley pass incomplete to Fred Farrier IISimilar
Q1 13:28
2ND & 10
50
+18
69.3%
Seth McGowan run for 18 yds to the SC 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:54
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
69.1%
Cutter Boley pass incomplete to Kendrick LawSimilar
Q1 12:38
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+9
69.0%
Dante Dowdell run for 9 yds to the SC 23Similar
Q1 12:00
3RD & 1
OPP 23
+3
68.9%
Dante Dowdell run for 3 yds to the SC 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:27
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
67.6%
Seth McGowan run for 20 yds for a TDSimilar
Q1 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
67.8%
PENALTY USC Personal Foul (Umeozulu,Desmond) 15 yards from UKY35 to UKY50. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 2TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 5:2468% → 69%
Q1 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
67.7%
Rahsul Faison run for 1 yd to the SC 26Similar
Q1 10:39
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+2
67.4%
Rahsul Faison run for 2 yds to the SC 28Similar
Q1 10:06
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+8
67.0%
LaNorris Sellers run for 8 yds to the SC 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:24
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+14
67.0%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Vandrevius Jacobs for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:56
1ST & 10
50
+1
67.0%
Rahsul Faison run for 1 yd to the UK 49Similar
Q1 8:40
2ND & 9
OPP 49
0
66.8%
LaNorris Sellers pass incomplete to Donovan MurphSimilar
Q1 8:33
3RD & 9
OPP 49
+6
66.4%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Brian Rowe Jr. for 6 yds to the UK 43Similar
Q1 7:43
4TH & 3
OPP 43
+10
66.1%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Nyck Harbor for 10 yds to the UK 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:13
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
66.7%
Oscar Adaway III run for 2 yds to the UK 31Similar
Q1 6:39
2ND & 8
OPP 31
+7
66.3%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Oscar Adaway III for 7 yds to the UK 24Similar
Q1 6:16
3RD & 1
OPP 24
+12
65.8%
LaNorris Sellers run for 12 yds to the UK 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:48
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
69.2%
Rahsul Faison run for 12 yds for a TD (William Joyce KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 3FG
11 plays · 76 yds · 4:4332% → 35%
Q1 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+6
67.6%
Seth McGowan run for 6 yds to the UK 22Similar
Q1 4:46
2ND & 4
OWN 22
+2
67.3%
Seth McGowan run for 2 yds to the UK 24Similar
Q1 4:01
3RD & 2
OWN 24
+53
67.4%
Cutter Boley pass complete to Willie Rodriguez for 53 yds to the SC 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:26
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+9
65.5%
Cutter Boley pass complete to Kendrick Law for 9 yds to the SC 14Similar
Q1 2:44
2ND & 1
OPP 14
+4
65.2%
Dante Dowdell run for 4 yds to the SC 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
64.7%
Dante Dowdell run for no gain to the SC 10Similar
Q1 1:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
0
64.5%
Cutter Boley pass incomplete to Henry BoyerSimilar
Q1 1:14
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
65.1%
Cutter Boley run for 2 yds to the SC 8Similar
Q1 0:58
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+27
64.9%
Jacob Kauwe 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 21 yds · 1:3063% → 63%
Q1 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
63.2%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Vandrevius Jacobs for 13 yds to the SC 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
63.7%
Matt Fuller run for 1 yd to the SC 39Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 9
OWN 39
0
63.6%
LaNorris Sellers pass incomplete to Brian Rowe Jr.Similar
Q2 14:35
3RD & 9
OWN 39
+7
62.7%
LaNorris Sellers run for 7 yds to the SC 46Similar
Q2 14:05
4TH & 2
OWN 46
0
62.9%
Mason Love punt for 16 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UK 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 5FUMBLE RETURN TD
6 plays · 3 yds · 2:2237% → 33%
Q2 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
63.1%
Seth McGowan run for 4 yds to the UK 42Similar
Q2 13:14
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+9
62.6%
Seth McGowan run for 9 yds to the SC 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:49
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
62.1%
Seth McGowan run for no gain to the SC 49Similar
Q2 12:07
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+3
61.9%
Dante Dowdell run for 3 yds to the SC 46Similar
Q2 11:28
3RD & 7
OPP 46
+41
66.9%
Jatius Geer 41 Yd Fumble Return (William Joyce Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 6INT TD
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:2931% → 25%
Q2 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
69.3%
Dante Dowdell run for 1 yd to the UK 26Similar
Q2 10:43
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-45
75.0%
Cutter Boley pass intercepted Gerald Kilgore return for 45 yds for a TD (William Joyce KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 7DOWNS
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:3626% → 25%
Q2 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
73.9%
Seth McGowan run for 1 yd to the UK 47Similar
Q2 9:44
2ND & 9
OWN 47
+6
74.5%
Seth McGowan run for 6 yds to the SC 47Similar
Q2 8:56
3RD & 3
OPP 47
0
74.6%
Cutter Boley run for no gain to the SC 47Similar
Q2 8:44
4TH & 3
OPP 47
0
75.3%
Cutter Boley pass incomplete to Fred Farrier IISimilar
Q2 8:44
4TH & 3
OPP 47
0
75.3%
Cutter Boley pass incomplete to Fred Farrier IISimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 9 yds · 3:3283% → 82%
Q2 8:27
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
82.6%
Oscar Adaway III run for 2 yds to the SC 49Similar
Q2 7:50
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+5
82.3%
LaNorris Sellers run for 5 yds to the UK 46Similar
Q2 7:02
3RD & 3
OPP 46
+10
82.2%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Vandrevius Jacobs for 10 yds to the UK 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:35
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+5
83.3%
Oscar Adaway III run for 5 yds to the UK 31Similar
Q2 6:02
2ND & 5
OPP 31
0
82.8%
Oscar Adaway III run for no gain to the UK 31Similar
Q2 5:18
3RD & 5
OPP 31
-13
82.7%
LaNorris Sellers sacked by Mi'Quise Humphrey-Grace for a loss of 13 yards to the UK 44Similar
Q2 4:55
4TH & 18
OPP 44
0
81.5%
Mason Love punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UK 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 9INT
7 plays · 8 yds · 2:2921% → 18%
Q2 4:34
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+2
79.1%
Dante Dowdell run for 2 yds to the UK 7Similar
Q2 4:00
2ND & 8
OWN 7
+7
79.5%
Cutter Boley pass complete to Kendrick Law for 7 yds to the UK 14Similar
Q2 3:24
3RD & 1
OWN 14
+2
81.3%
Dante Dowdell run for 2 yds to the UK 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-3
80.8%
Dante Dowdell run for a loss of 3 yards to the UK 13Similar
Q2 2:13
2ND & 13
OWN 13
0
81.3%
Cutter Boley pass incomplete to Henry BoyerSimilar
Q2 2:05
3RD & 13
OWN 13
0
81.9%
Cutter Boley pass intercepted Brandon Cisse return for no gain to the UK 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 10TD
7 plays · 43 yds · 0:5084% → 86%
Q2 1:57
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
84.1%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Rahsul Faison for no gain to the UK 43Similar
Q2 1:51
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+5
85.8%
(01:46) Shotgun Sellers,LaNorris pass incomplete deep right to Harbor,Nyck thrown to UKY02 PENALTY UKY Offside (Gusta,David) 5 yards from UKY43 to UKY38. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:44
2ND & 5
OPP 38
+6
85.5%
LaNorris Sellers run for 6 yds to the UK 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:28
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
85.9%
Rahsul Faison run for 2 yds to the UK 30Similar
Q2 1:11
2ND & 8
OPP 30
+24
84.6%
LaNorris Sellers run for 17 yds to the UK 13 for a 1ST down Kentucky Penalty, Defensive Holding (JQ Hardaway) to the UK 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
86.2%
Rahsul Faison run for 6 yds for a TD Kentucky Penalty, UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (Kahlil Saunders) to the UK 0 (William Joyce KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 11FUMBLE
15 plays · 36 yds · 0:4314% → 11%
Q2 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
86.5%
Seth McGowan run for 7 yds to the UK 27Similar
Q2 0:40
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+13
87.6%
Seth McGowan run for 13 yds to the UK 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:29
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-3
87.4%
Cutter Boley sacked by Bryan Thomas Jr. for a loss of 3 yards to the UK 37Similar
Q2 0:24
2ND & 13
OWN 37
+10
88.2%
Cutter Boley pass complete to Ja'Mori Maclin for 10 yds to the UK 47Similar
Q2 0:20
3RD & 3
OWN 47
+4
86.8%
Cutter Boley pass complete to Ja'Mori Maclin for 4 yds to the SC 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:13
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-3
86.4%
Cutter Boley sacked by Nick Barrett for a loss of 3 yards to the UK 48Similar
Q2 0:10
2ND & 13
OWN 48
+3
88.3%
Cutter Boley pass complete to Jason Patterson for 3 yds to the SC 49Similar
Q2 0:01
3RD & 10
OPP 49
-8
87.9%
Kentucky Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Cutter Boley) to the UK 43Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 18
OWN 43
+13
88.8%
Cutter Boley pass complete to Willie Rodriguez for 13 yds Fred Farrier II fumbled, recovered by SC Jalon KilgoreSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 1:4287% → 90%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
87.1%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Brady Hunt for 15 yds to the SC 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:17
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-1
89.7%
Rahsul Faison run for a loss of 1 yard to the SC 39Similar
Q3 13:45
2ND & 11
OWN 39
0
90.5%
Rahsul Faison run for no gain to the SC 39Similar
Q3 13:36
3RD & 11
OWN 39
+4
90.1%
Kentucky Penalty, Defensive Offside (Kendrick Law) to the SC 43Similar
Q3 13:19
3RD & 7
OWN 43
0
90.4%
LaNorris Sellers pass incomplete to Brian Rowe Jr.Similar
Q3 13:12
4TH & 7
OWN 43
0
90.1%
Mason Love punt for 57 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 13PUNT
11 plays · 24 yds · 4:4112% → 8%
Q3 12:53
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
88.1%
Dante Dowdell run for 3 yds to the UK 23Similar
Q3 12:21
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+7
88.5%
Cutter Boley pass complete to Kendrick Law for 7 yds to the UK 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
88.2%
Seth McGowan run for 4 yds to the UK 34Similar
Q3 11:05
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+6
88.3%
Cutter Boley run for 6 yds to the UK 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
88.4%
Dante Dowdell run for 1 yd to the UK 41Similar
Q3 9:53
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+15
90.3%
(09:59) No Huddle-Shotgun Boley,Cutter pass incomplete short right to Farrier II,Fred thrown to USC40 PENALTY USC Pass Interference (Williams,Peyton) 15 yards from UKY41 to USC44, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:50
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
89.9%
Cutter Boley pass incomplete to Willie RodriguezSimilar
Q3 9:41
2ND & 10
OPP 44
-2
90.2%
Seth McGowan run for a loss of 2 yards to the SC 46Similar
Q3 8:58
3RD & 12
OPP 46
-5
90.8%
Cutter Boley sacked by Bryan Thomas Jr. for a loss of 5 yards to the UK 49Similar
Q3 8:32
4TH & 17
OWN 49
-5
91.5%
PENALTY UKY False Start (McGowan,Seth) 5 yards from UKY49 to UKY44. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:12
4TH & 22
OWN 44
0
91.8%
Aidan Laros punt for 56 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 14DOWNS
10 plays · 19 yds · 4:0892% → 93%
Q3 8:12
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
92.1%
(08:01) PENALTY USC False Start (Babalade,Tree) 5 yards from USC20 to USC15. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:46
1ST & 15
OWN 15
+12
91.1%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Vandrevius Jacobs for 12 yds to the SC 27Similar
Q3 7:28
2ND & 3
OWN 27
0
92.4%
Matt Fuller run for no gain to the SC 27Similar
Q3 6:44
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+4
92.5%
LaNorris Sellers run for 4 yds to the SC 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:06
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
92.9%
Oscar Adaway III run for 2 yds to the SC 33Similar
Q3 5:35
2ND & 8
OWN 33
-15
93.0%
South Carolina Penalty, UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (-15 Yards) to the SC 21Similar
Q3 4:16
2ND & 20
OWN 21
-4
93.1%
LaNorris Sellers sacked by Tavion Gadson for a loss of 4 yards to the SC 17Similar
Q3 4:08
3RD & 24
OWN 17
+12
92.0%
Oscar Adaway III run for 12 yds to the SC 29Similar
Q3 4:04
4TH & 12
OWN 29
+10
92.5%
Mason Love pass complete to Maurice Brown II for 10 yds to the SC 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 15FG
8 plays · 15 yds · 3:098% → 10%
Q3 3:43
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+7
91.7%
Cutter Boley pass complete to Kendrick Law for 7 yds to the SC 32Similar
Q3 3:07
2ND & 3
OPP 32
0
90.8%
Cutter Boley pass incomplete to Ja'Mori MaclinSimilar
Q3 3:01
3RD & 3
OPP 32
+4
91.4%
Dante Dowdell run for 4 yds to the SC 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:25
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+7
91.0%
Seth McGowan run for 7 yds to the SC 21Similar
Q3 1:46
2ND & 3
OPP 21
-3
91.3%
Seth McGowan run for a loss of 3 yards to the SC 24Similar
Q3 1:01
3RD & 6
OPP 24
0
92.6%
Hardley Gilmore IV run for no gain to the SC 24Similar
Q3 0:34
4TH & 6
OPP 24
+42
90.4%
Jacob Kauwe 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 16TD
10 plays · 84 yds · 2:4695% → 100%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+59
95.4%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Vandrevius Jacobs for 59 yds to the UK 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:43
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
95.7%
Matt Fuller run for 3 yds to the UK 22Similar
Q4 14:19
2ND & 7
OPP 22
+5
95.7%
Matt Fuller run for 5 yds to the UK 17Similar
Q4 13:55
3RD & 2
OPP 17
+3
95.8%
LaNorris Sellers run for 3 yds to the UK 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:18
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+2
96.4%
Matt Fuller run for 2 yds to the UK 12Similar
Q4 13:04
2ND & 8
OPP 12
+7
96.4%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Mazeo Bennett Jr. for 7 yds to the UK 5Similar
Q4 12:26
3RD & 1
OPP 5
+4
97.3%
LaNorris Sellers run for 4 yds to the UK 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.5%
Matt Fuller run for 1 yd for a TD (William Joyce KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 2:021% → 1%
Q4 11:53
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
98.6%
Dante Dowdell run for a loss of 5 yards to the UK 15Similar
Q4 11:18
2ND & 15
OWN 15
-7
98.7%
Cutter Boley sacked by Jatius Geer for a loss of 7 yards to the UK 8 Cutter Boley fumbled, recovered by UK Alex Wollschlaeger , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 10:43
3RD & 22
OWN 8
+16
98.8%
Seth McGowan run for 16 yds to the UK 24Similar
Q4 9:51
4TH & 6
OWN 24
0
98.8%
Aidan Laros punt for 56 yds , Vicari Swain returns for no gain to the SC 15 Vicari Swain fumbled, recovered by SC Vicari SwainSimilar
Q4 9:51
4TH & 6
OWN 24
0
98.8%
Aidan Laros punt for 56 yds , Vicari Swain returns for no gain to the SC 15 Vicari Swain fumbled, recovered by SC Vicari SwainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 18DOWNS
20 plays · 68 yds · 9:12100% → 100%
Q4 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
99.6%
Matt Fuller run for 3 yds to the SC 18Similar
Q4 9:04
2ND & 7
OWN 18
+20
99.6%
LaNorris Sellers run for 20 yds to the SC 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:32
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
99.6%
Matt Fuller run for 2 yds to the SC 40Similar
Q4 7:52
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+2
99.7%
Matt Fuller run for 2 yds to the SC 42Similar
Q4 7:05
3RD & 6
OWN 42
+7
99.7%
LaNorris Sellers run for 7 yds to the SC 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
99.7%
Matt Fuller run for 4 yds to the UK 47Similar
Q4 5:28
2ND & 6
OPP 47
+2
99.7%
Matt Fuller run for 2 yds to the UK 45Similar
Q4 5:00
3RD & 4
OPP 45
+5
99.7%
LaNorris Sellers run for 5 yds to the UK 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:16
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
99.8%
Matt Fuller run for 2 yds to the UK 38Similar
Q4 3:43
2ND & 8
OPP 38
+4
99.8%
Matt Fuller run for 4 yds to the UK 34Similar
Q4 3:23
3RD & 4
OPP 34
+3
99.9%
Matt Fuller run for 3 yds to the UK 31Similar
Q4 2:48
4TH & 1
OPP 31
+5
99.9%
Matt Fuller run for 5 yds to the UK 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:10
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+2
99.9%
Matt Fuller run for 2 yds to the UK 24Similar
Q4 1:41
2ND & 8
OPP 24
+5
99.9%
Matt Fuller run for 5 yds to the UK 19Similar
Q4 0:57
3RD & 3
OPP 19
+1
99.9%
Matt Fuller run for 1 yd to the UK 18Similar
Q4 0:23
4TH & 2
OPP 18
+1
99.9%
Matt Fuller run for 1 yd to the UK 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 19END OF GAME
1 play · 3 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+3
99.7%
Jason Patterson run for 3 yds to the UK 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 10:43
Cutter Boley pass intercepted Gerald Kilgore return for 45 yds for a TD (William Joyce KICK)
+5.7
TD · Q2 11:28
Jatius Geer 41 Yd Fumble Return (William Joyce Kick)
+5.1
FG · Q3 0:34
Timeout South Carolina, clock 00:34
+4.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com