UK
Kentucky 13 at South Carolina 35
SC2025 · Week 5 · Sep 27, 2025 · Williams-Brice Stadium
Speed4x
Win probability · SC
modelSC aheadUK aheadconfidence bandkey play
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UK · Drive 1TD · 11 plays · 65 yds
Q1 15:00
Max Kelley kickoff for 30 yds
63.3%
0.0
Q1 14:44
Seth McGowan run for 4 yds to the UK 39
60.7%
-2.6
Q1 14:08
Cutter Boley pass complete to Kendrick Law for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down
59.6%
-1.1
Q1 13:46
Cutter Boley pass incomplete to Fred Farrier II
58.3%
-1.4
Q1 13:28
Seth McGowan run for 18 yds to the SC 32 for a 1ST down
58.3%
0.0
Q1 12:54
Cutter Boley pass incomplete to Kendrick Law
58.1%
-0.1
Q1 12:38
Dante Dowdell run for 9 yds to the SC 23
58.1%
0.0
Q1 12:00
Dante Dowdell run for 3 yds to the SC 20 for a 1ST down
58.1%
0.0
Q1 11:27
Seth McGowan run for 20 yds for a TD
41.9%
-16.3
Q1 11:27
PENALTY USC Personal Foul (Umeozulu,Desmond) 15 yards from UKY35 to UKY50. NO PLAY.
60.7%
+18.8
Q1 11:27
Timeout South Carolina, clock 11:27
56.5%
-4.3
SC · Drive 2TD · 14 plays · 75 yds
Q1 11:27
Aidan Laros kickoff for 50 yds for a touchback
41.0%
-15.5
Q1 11:12
Rahsul Faison run for 1 yd to the SC 26
45.7%
+4.7
Q1 10:39
Rahsul Faison run for 2 yds to the SC 28
45.7%
0.0
Q1 10:06
LaNorris Sellers run for 8 yds to the SC 36 for a 1ST down
45.7%
0.0
Q1 9:24
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Vandrevius Jacobs for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down
46.0%
+0.3
Q1 8:56
Rahsul Faison run for 1 yd to the UK 49
46.9%
+0.9
Q1 8:40
LaNorris Sellers pass incomplete to Donovan Murph
47.5%
+0.6
Q1 8:33
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Brian Rowe Jr. for 6 yds to the UK 43
47.2%
-0.3
Q1 7:43
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Nyck Harbor for 10 yds to the UK 33 for a 1ST down
47.6%
+0.4
Q1 7:13
Oscar Adaway III run for 2 yds to the UK 31
48.6%
+1.0
Q1 6:39
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Oscar Adaway III for 7 yds to the UK 24
48.6%
0.0
Q1 6:16
LaNorris Sellers run for 12 yds to the UK 12 for a 1ST down
48.2%
-0.4
Q1 5:48
Rahsul Faison run for 12 yds for a TD (William Joyce KICK)
64.4%
+16.2
Q1 5:48
Timeout South Carolina, clock 05:48
42.2%
-22.2
UK · Drive 3FG · 11 plays · 76 yds
Q1 5:46
Max Kelley kickoff for 51 yds , Jason Patterson return for 2 yds to the UK 16
63.4%
+21.3
Q1 5:41
Seth McGowan run for 6 yds to the UK 22
58.5%
-4.9
Q1 4:46
Seth McGowan run for 2 yds to the UK 24
58.5%
0.0
Q1 4:01
Cutter Boley pass complete to Willie Rodriguez for 53 yds to the SC 23 for a 1ST down
58.5%
0.0
Q1 3:26
Cutter Boley pass complete to Kendrick Law for 9 yds to the SC 14
55.6%
-2.9
Q1 2:44
Dante Dowdell run for 4 yds to the SC 10 for a 1ST down
55.6%
0.0
Q1 2:06
Dante Dowdell run for no gain to the SC 10
55.4%
-0.2
Q1 1:42
Cutter Boley pass incomplete to Henry Boyer
54.3%
-1.1
Q1 1:14
Cutter Boley run for 2 yds to the SC 8
54.3%
0.0
Q1 0:58
Jacob Kauwe 27 yd FG GOOD
49.9%
-4.4
Q1 0:58
Timeout South Carolina, clock 00:58
61.2%
+11.3
SC · Drive 4PUNT · 6 plays · 21 yds
Q1 0:58
Aidan Laros kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
51.0%
-10.2
Q1 0:35
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Vandrevius Jacobs for 13 yds to the SC 38 for a 1ST down
56.0%
+5.0
Q1 0:00
Matt Fuller run for 1 yd to the SC 39
56.3%
+0.3
Q2 14:55
LaNorris Sellers pass incomplete to Brian Rowe Jr.
56.3%
0.0
Q2 14:35
LaNorris Sellers run for 7 yds to the SC 46
56.1%
-0.2
Q2 14:05
Mason Love punt for 16 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UK 38
56.4%
+0.3
UK · Drive 5FUMBLE RETURN TD · 6 plays · 3 yds
Q2 13:50
Seth McGowan run for 4 yds to the UK 42
48.7%
-7.7
Q2 13:14
Seth McGowan run for 9 yds to the SC 49 for a 1ST down
48.4%
-0.3
Q2 12:49
Seth McGowan run for no gain to the SC 49
47.6%
-0.8
Q2 12:07
Dante Dowdell run for 3 yds to the SC 46
47.6%
0.0
Q2 11:28
Jatius Geer 41 Yd Fumble Return (William Joyce Kick)
63.3%
+15.8
Q2 11:28
Timeout South Carolina, clock 11:28
49.5%
-13.9
UK · Drive 6INT TD · 4 plays · 1 yds
Q2 11:28
William Joyce kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
67.7%
+18.3
Q2 11:12
Dante Dowdell run for 1 yd to the UK 26
65.5%
-2.3
Q2 10:43
Cutter Boley pass intercepted Gerald Kilgore return for 45 yds for a TD (William Joyce KICK)
81.5%
+16.0
Q2 10:35
William Joyce kickoff for 56 yds , Jason Patterson return for 22 yds to the UK 43 South Carolina Penalty, Personal Foul (David Bucey) to the UK 46
67.9%
-13.6
UK · Drive 7DOWNS · 5 plays · 7 yds
Q2 10:20
Seth McGowan run for 1 yd to the UK 47
81.5%
+13.6
Q2 9:44
Seth McGowan run for 6 yds to the SC 47
81.5%
0.0
Q2 8:56
Cutter Boley run for no gain to the SC 47
81.1%
-0.4
Q2 8:44
Cutter Boley pass incomplete to Fred Farrier II
81.1%
0.0
Q2 8:44
Cutter Boley pass incomplete to Fred Farrier II
81.1%
0.0
SC · Drive 8PUNT · 7 plays · 9 yds
Q2 8:27
Oscar Adaway III run for 2 yds to the SC 49
83.0%
+1.9
Q2 7:50
LaNorris Sellers run for 5 yds to the UK 46
83.5%
+0.5
Q2 7:02
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Vandrevius Jacobs for 10 yds to the UK 36 for a 1ST down
83.4%
-0.1
Q2 6:35
Oscar Adaway III run for 5 yds to the UK 31
83.6%
+0.2
Q2 6:02
Oscar Adaway III run for no gain to the UK 31
83.8%
+0.2
Q2 5:18
LaNorris Sellers sacked by Mi'Quise Humphrey-Grace for a loss of 13 yards to the UK 44
83.7%
-0.1
Q2 4:55
Mason Love punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UK 5
83.3%
-0.5
UK · Drive 9INT · 7 plays · 8 yds
Q2 4:55
Timeout South Carolina, clock 04:55
82.4%
-0.9
Q2 4:34
Dante Dowdell run for 2 yds to the UK 7
82.4%
0.0
Q2 4:00
Cutter Boley pass complete to Kendrick Law for 7 yds to the UK 14
82.4%
0.0
Q2 3:24
Dante Dowdell run for 2 yds to the UK 16 for a 1ST down
82.4%
0.0
Q2 2:48
Dante Dowdell run for a loss of 3 yards to the UK 13
83.7%
+1.4
Q2 2:13
Cutter Boley pass incomplete to Henry Boyer
83.7%
0.0
Q2 2:05
Cutter Boley pass intercepted Brandon Cisse return for no gain to the UK 43
83.7%
-0.1
SC · Drive 10TD · 7 plays · 43 yds
Q2 1:57
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Rahsul Faison for no gain to the UK 43
84.1%
+0.4
Q2 1:57
Timeout South Carolina, clock 01:57
84.6%
+0.5
Q2 1:51
(01:46) Shotgun Sellers,LaNorris pass incomplete deep right to Harbor,Nyck thrown to UKY02 PENALTY UKY Offside (Gusta,David) 5 yards from UKY43 to UKY38. NO PLAY.
84.6%
0.0
Q2 1:44
LaNorris Sellers run for 6 yds to the UK 32 for a 1ST down
84.6%
0.0
Q2 1:28
Rahsul Faison run for 2 yds to the UK 30
84.6%
0.0
Q2 1:11
LaNorris Sellers run for 17 yds to the UK 13 for a 1ST down Kentucky Penalty, Defensive Holding (JQ Hardaway) to the UK 6 for a 1ST down
84.6%
0.0
Q2 1:07
Rahsul Faison run for 6 yds for a TD Kentucky Penalty, UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (Kahlil Saunders) to the UK 0 (William Joyce KICK)
90.8%
+6.2
UK · Drive 11FUMBLE · 15 plays · 36 yds
Q2 1:01
Mason Love kickoff for 50 yds , Ty Bryant return for 20 yds to the UK 20
91.7%
+0.9
Q2 0:43
Seth McGowan run for 7 yds to the UK 27
91.0%
-0.6
Q2 0:43
Timeout South Carolina, clock 00:43
91.3%
+0.3
Q2 0:40
Seth McGowan run for 13 yds to the UK 40 for a 1ST down
91.2%
-0.1
Q2 0:29
Cutter Boley sacked by Bryan Thomas Jr. for a loss of 3 yards to the UK 37
91.2%
0.0
Q2 0:29
Timeout South Carolina, clock 00:29
91.3%
+0.1
Q2 0:24
Cutter Boley pass complete to Ja'Mori Maclin for 10 yds to the UK 47
91.1%
-0.2
Q2 0:20
Cutter Boley pass complete to Ja'Mori Maclin for 4 yds to the SC 49 for a 1ST down
90.8%
-0.3
Q2 0:13
Cutter Boley sacked by Nick Barrett for a loss of 3 yards to the UK 48
90.7%
-0.1
Q2 0:13
Timeout Kentucky, clock 00:13
90.8%
+0.2
Q2 0:10
Cutter Boley pass complete to Jason Patterson for 3 yds to the SC 49
90.8%
0.0
Q2 0:10
Timeout Kentucky, clock 00:10
90.7%
-0.1
Q2 0:01
Kentucky Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Cutter Boley) to the UK 43
90.7%
0.0
Q2 0:01
Timeout South Carolina, clock 00:01
91.1%
+0.4
Q2 0:00
Cutter Boley pass complete to Willie Rodriguez for 13 yds Fred Farrier II fumbled, recovered by SC Jalon Kilgore
91.1%
0.0
SC · Drive 12PUNT · 7 plays · 18 yds
Q3 14:54
Aidan Laros kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
91.0%
-0.1
Q3 14:54
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Brady Hunt for 15 yds to the SC 40 for a 1ST down
92.3%
+1.3
Q3 14:17
Rahsul Faison run for a loss of 1 yard to the SC 39
93.6%
+1.3
Q3 13:45
Rahsul Faison run for no gain to the SC 39
93.6%
0.0
Q3 13:36
Kentucky Penalty, Defensive Offside (Kendrick Law) to the SC 43
93.6%
0.0
Q3 13:19
LaNorris Sellers pass incomplete to Brian Rowe Jr.
93.9%
+0.3
Q3 13:12
Mason Love punt for 57 yds for a touchback
94.2%
+0.3
UK · Drive 13PUNT · 11 plays · 24 yds
Q3 12:53
Dante Dowdell run for 3 yds to the UK 23
90.8%
-3.4
Q3 12:21
Cutter Boley pass complete to Kendrick Law for 7 yds to the UK 30 for a 1ST down
90.8%
0.0
Q3 11:51
Seth McGowan run for 4 yds to the UK 34
90.8%
0.0
Q3 11:05
Cutter Boley run for 6 yds to the UK 40 for a 1ST down
91.2%
+0.4
Q3 10:31
Dante Dowdell run for 1 yd to the UK 41
91.4%
+0.2
Q3 9:53
(09:59) No Huddle-Shotgun Boley,Cutter pass incomplete short right to Farrier II,Fred thrown to USC40 PENALTY USC Pass Interference (Williams,Peyton) 15 yards from UKY41 to USC44, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.
92.9%
+1.5
Q3 9:50
Cutter Boley pass incomplete to Willie Rodriguez
92.9%
0.0
Q3 9:41
Seth McGowan run for a loss of 2 yards to the SC 46
92.9%
0.0
Q3 8:58
Cutter Boley sacked by Bryan Thomas Jr. for a loss of 5 yards to the UK 49
92.9%
0.0
Q3 8:32
PENALTY UKY False Start (McGowan,Seth) 5 yards from UKY49 to UKY44. NO PLAY.
93.0%
+0.1
Q3 8:12
Aidan Laros punt for 56 yds for a touchback
93.0%
0.0
SC · Drive 14DOWNS · 10 plays · 19 yds
Q3 8:12
Timeout South Carolina, clock 08:12
94.3%
+1.3
Q3 8:12
(08:01) PENALTY USC False Start (Babalade,Tree) 5 yards from USC20 to USC15. NO PLAY.
94.3%
0.0
Q3 7:46
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Vandrevius Jacobs for 12 yds to the SC 27
94.3%
0.0
Q3 7:28
Matt Fuller run for no gain to the SC 27
94.3%
0.0
Q3 6:44
LaNorris Sellers run for 4 yds to the SC 31 for a 1ST down
94.3%
0.0
Q3 6:06
Oscar Adaway III run for 2 yds to the SC 33
94.3%
0.0
Q3 5:35
South Carolina Penalty, UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (-15 Yards) to the SC 21
94.4%
+0.1
Q3 4:16
LaNorris Sellers sacked by Tavion Gadson for a loss of 4 yards to the SC 17
94.9%
+0.5
Q3 4:08
Oscar Adaway III run for 12 yds to the SC 29
94.9%
0.0
Q3 4:04
Mason Love pass complete to Maurice Brown II for 10 yds to the SC 39
94.9%
0.0
UK · Drive 15FG · 8 plays · 15 yds
Q3 3:43
Cutter Boley pass complete to Kendrick Law for 7 yds to the SC 32
92.9%
-2.0
Q3 3:07
Cutter Boley pass incomplete to Ja'Mori Maclin
92.8%
-0.1
Q3 3:01
Dante Dowdell run for 4 yds to the SC 28 for a 1ST down
92.8%
0.0
Q3 2:25
Seth McGowan run for 7 yds to the SC 21
93.0%
+0.2
Q3 1:46
Seth McGowan run for a loss of 3 yards to the SC 24
93.0%
+0.1
Q3 1:01
Hardley Gilmore IV run for no gain to the SC 24
93.0%
0.0
Q3 0:34
Jacob Kauwe 42 yd FG GOOD
91.8%
-1.2
Q3 0:34
Timeout South Carolina, clock 00:34
95.5%
+3.7
SC · Drive 16TD · 10 plays · 84 yds
Q3 0:28
Aidan Laros kickoff for 63 yds , Nyck Harbor return for 14 yds to the SC 16
91.9%
-3.6
Q3 0:00
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Vandrevius Jacobs for 59 yds to the UK 25 for a 1ST down
93.6%
+1.8
Q4 14:43
Matt Fuller run for 3 yds to the UK 22
93.8%
+0.2
Q4 14:19
Matt Fuller run for 5 yds to the UK 17
93.8%
0.0
Q4 13:55
LaNorris Sellers run for 3 yds to the UK 14 for a 1ST down
93.8%
0.0
Q4 13:18
Matt Fuller run for 2 yds to the UK 12
93.8%
0.0
Q4 13:04
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Mazeo Bennett Jr. for 7 yds to the UK 5
93.8%
0.0
Q4 12:33
Timeout South Carolina, clock 12:33
93.9%
+0.1
Q4 12:26
LaNorris Sellers run for 4 yds to the UK 1 for a 1ST down
93.9%
0.0
Q4 12:14
Matt Fuller run for 1 yd for a TD (William Joyce KICK)
96.6%
+2.7
UK · Drive 17PUNT · 6 plays · 4 yds
Q4 12:10
William Joyce kickoff for 63 yds , Jason Patterson return for 18 yds to the UK 20
96.6%
0.0
Q4 11:53
Dante Dowdell run for a loss of 5 yards to the UK 15
95.1%
-1.4
Q4 11:18
Cutter Boley sacked by Jatius Geer for a loss of 7 yards to the UK 8 Cutter Boley fumbled, recovered by UK Alex Wollschlaeger , return for 0 yards
95.1%
0.0
Q4 10:43
Seth McGowan run for 16 yds to the UK 24
95.1%
0.0
Q4 9:51
Aidan Laros punt for 56 yds , Vicari Swain returns for no gain to the SC 15 Vicari Swain fumbled, recovered by SC Vicari Swain
95.0%
-0.1
Q4 9:51
Aidan Laros punt for 56 yds , Vicari Swain returns for no gain to the SC 15 Vicari Swain fumbled, recovered by SC Vicari Swain
95.0%
0.0
SC · Drive 18DOWNS · 20 plays · 68 yds
Q4 9:51
Timeout South Carolina, clock 09:51
96.7%
+1.7
Q4 9:35
Matt Fuller run for 3 yds to the SC 18
96.7%
0.0
Q4 9:04
LaNorris Sellers run for 20 yds to the SC 38 for a 1ST down
96.7%
0.0
Q4 8:32
Matt Fuller run for 2 yds to the SC 40
96.7%
0.0
Q4 7:52
Matt Fuller run for 2 yds to the SC 42
96.6%
0.0
Q4 7:05
LaNorris Sellers run for 7 yds to the SC 49 for a 1ST down
96.6%
0.0
Q4 6:27
Matt Fuller run for 4 yds to the UK 47
96.6%
0.0
Q4 6:23
Timeout South Carolina, clock 06:23
96.6%
0.0
Q4 5:28
Matt Fuller run for 2 yds to the UK 45
96.7%
+0.1
Q4 5:00
LaNorris Sellers run for 5 yds to the UK 40 for a 1ST down
96.7%
0.0
Q4 4:16
Matt Fuller run for 2 yds to the UK 38
96.7%
0.0
Q4 3:43
Matt Fuller run for 4 yds to the UK 34
96.7%
0.0
Q4 3:43
Timeout Kentucky, clock 03:43
97.0%
+0.3
Q4 3:23
Matt Fuller run for 3 yds to the UK 31
97.0%
0.0
Q4 2:48
Matt Fuller run for 5 yds to the UK 26 for a 1ST down
97.0%
0.0
Q4 2:10
Matt Fuller run for 2 yds to the UK 24
97.0%
0.0
Q4 2:00
Timeout South Carolina, clock 02:00
97.0%
0.0
Q4 1:41
Matt Fuller run for 5 yds to the UK 19
97.1%
+0.1
Q4 0:57
Matt Fuller run for 1 yd to the UK 18
96.9%
-0.3
Q4 0:23
Matt Fuller run for 1 yd to the UK 17
96.9%
0.0
UK · Drive 19END OF GAME · 1 play · 3 yds
Q4 0:00
Jason Patterson run for 3 yds to the UK 20
95.1%
-1.7
Biggest swings
KEY PLAY · Q1 5:48
Timeout South Carolina, clock 05:48
-22.2
KEY PLAY · Q1 5:46
Max Kelley kickoff for 51 yds , Jason Patterson return for 2 yds to the UK 16
+21.3
KEY PLAY · Q1 11:27
PENALTY USC Personal Foul (Umeozulu,Desmond) 15 yards from UKY35 to UKY50. NO PLAY.
+18.8