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MASS

Massachusetts 6 at Missouri 42

MIZ
2025 · Week 5 · Sep 27, 2025 · Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · MIZ
modelMIZ aheadMASS aheadconfidence bandkey playMIZ scoreMASS score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 7:25 · Keegan Andrews punt for 58 yds , Kevin Coleman Jr. returns for 11 yds to the MIZ 26
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 111Pregame prior+33.4Home team on offense+24.1Score differential+15.0Garbage-time factor+3.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+5.7Blowout margin+0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 4:31: AJ Hairston pass complete to Max Dowling for 2 yds for a TD Missouri Penalty, (Yards) declined (Derek Morris PAT BLOCKED) — MASS win probability +0.2 pts (now 1%) (top driver: MASS has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 4:45: Ahmad Hardy run for 1 yd for a TD (Robert Meyer KICK) — MIZ win probability +0.5 pts (now 99%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q2 1:14: AJ Hairston pass incomplete to Juwaun Price — MASS win probability +0.4 pts (now 2%) (top driver: MASS has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 11:33: Ahmad Hardy run for 16 yds for a TD (Robert Meyer KICK) — MIZ win probability +1.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 0:56: Beau Pribula pass complete to Brett Norfleet for 9 yds for a TD (Robert Meyer KICK) — MIZ win probability +0.5 pts (now 100%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MIZ made the numbers' call on 2 of 4MASS made the numbers' call on 9 of 10
  1. Q1 13:36MASS 4th & 6 at MASS 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:11MASS 4th & 8 at MASS 27, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%
    average punt
  3. Q2 12:16MASS 4th & 7 at MIZ 46, down 8
    Close callPunted · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.1%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    2.0%−0.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    2.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 2:01MASS 4th & 20 at MASS 30, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.0%−0.2
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 1:19MIZ 4th & 6 at MIZ 25, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.7%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:55MASS 4th & 5 at MASS 39, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.3%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.3%
    average punt
  7. Q3 10:41MASS 4th & 10 at MASS 25, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−0.2
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.1%
    average punt
  8. Q3 8:31MIZ 4th & 2 at MIZ 34, up 22
    Close callPunted · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:25MASS 4th & 8 at MASS 27, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%−0.2
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%
    average punt
  10. Q3 2:31MIZ 4th & 14 at MASS 38, up 22
    Close callPunted · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.1%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    99.2%
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 0:20MASS 4th & 15 at MASS 20, down 29
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  12. Q4 10:26MASS 4th & 12 at MASS 46, down 36
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 8:19MIZ 4th & 7 at MIZ 35, up 36
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    100.0%
    average punt
  14. Q4 4:01MASS 4th & 10 at MASS 47, down 36
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MIZ made the numbers' call on 6 of 6MASS made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 10:12MIZ Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:31MASS Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    1.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:35MIZ Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 4:45MIZ Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 11:33MIZ Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 0:56MIZ Touchdown, up 28 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 13:09MIZ Touchdown, up 35 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MASSDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:141% → 1%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.5%
Donnie Gray run for no gain to the MASS 25Similar
Q1 14:20
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.5%
Rocko Griffin run for 4 yds to the MASS 29Similar
Q1 13:42
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
99.5%
AJ Hairston pass incomplete to Jacquon GibsonSimilar
Q1 13:36
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
99.5%
Keegan Andrews punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Kevin Coleman Jr. at the MIZ 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 2TD
7 plays · 68 yds · 3:1399% → 99%
Q1 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+14
99.4%
Ahmad Hardy run for 14 yds to the MIZ 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:54
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+14
99.4%
Beau Pribula pass complete to Kevin Coleman Jr. for 14 yds to the MASS 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:20
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
99.4%
Kevin Coleman Jr. run for 4 yds to the MASS 36Similar
Q1 11:47
2ND & 6
OPP 36
+18
99.4%
Ahmad Hardy run for 18 yds to the MASS 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:10
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+7
99.3%
Ahmad Hardy run for 7 yds to the MASS 11Similar
Q1 10:43
2ND & 3
OPP 11
+2
99.3%
Ahmad Hardy run for 2 yds to the MASS 9Similar
Q1 10:12
3RD & 1
OPP 9
+9
99.3%
Jamal Roberts run for 9 yds for a TD (Robert Meyer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:571% → 1%
Q1 10:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.3%
AJ Hairston pass incomplete to Jake McConnachieSimilar
Q1 10:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.3%
Rocko Griffin run for 2 yds to the MASS 27Similar
Q1 9:19
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
99.3%
AJ Hairston pass incomplete to Jacquon GibsonSimilar
Q1 9:11
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
99.3%
Keegan Andrews punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MIZ 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 4INT
7 plays · 39 yds · 2:3899% → 99%
Q1 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+13
99.3%
Beau Pribula pass complete to Kevin Coleman Jr. for 13 yds to the MASS 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:43
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+8
99.3%
Beau Pribula pass complete to Kevin Coleman Jr. for 8 yds to the MASS 39Similar
Q1 8:09
2ND & 2
OPP 39
+6
99.3%
Jamal Roberts run for 6 yds to the MASS 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:40
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+10
99.2%
Beau Pribula pass complete to Joshua Manning for 10 yds to the MASS 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:05
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+2
99.2%
Jamal Roberts run for 2 yds to the MASS 21Similar
Q1 6:37
2ND & 8
OPP 21
0
99.2%
Beau Pribula pass incomplete to Jamal RobertsSimilar
Q1 6:24
3RD & 8
OPP 21
-63
99.2%
Beau Pribula pass intercepted Timmy Hinspeter return for 63 yds to the MIZ 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 5TD
6 plays · 21 yds · 1:481% → 1%
Q1 6:19
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
99.1%
AJ Hairston pass incomplete to Jacquon GibsonSimilar
Q1 5:48
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+12
99.0%
AJ Hairston pass complete to Max Dowling for 12 yds to the MIZ 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
99.0%
Brandon Hood run for no gain to the MIZ 9Similar
Q1 5:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
99.0%
AJ Hairston pass complete to Jacquon Gibson for 2 yds to the MIZ 7Similar
Q1 4:36
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
99.0%
Missouri Penalty, (5 Yards) to the MIZ 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
98.8%
AJ Hairston pass complete to Max Dowling for 2 yds for a TD Missouri Penalty, (Yards) declined (Derek Morris PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 6TD
9 plays · 56 yds · 3:3999% → 99%
Q1 4:14
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
98.9%
Ahmad Hardy run for 5 yds to the MIZ 49Similar
Q1 3:36
2ND & 5
OWN 49
+6
98.9%
Beau Pribula pass complete to Kevin Coleman Jr. for 6 yds to the MASS 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:13
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
98.8%
Beau Pribula pass complete to Kevin Coleman Jr. for 4 yds to the MASS 41Similar
Q1 2:54
2ND & 6
OPP 41
+5
98.8%
Beau Pribula pass complete to Marquis Johnson for 5 yds to the MASS 36Similar
Q1 2:14
3RD & 1
OPP 36
+1
98.7%
Ahmad Hardy run for 1 yd to the MASS 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:27
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+30
98.7%
Jamal Roberts run for 30 yds to the MASS 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
98.6%
Jamal Roberts run for no gain to the MASS 5Similar
Q1 0:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
98.8%
Ahmad Hardy run for 5 yds for a TD (Robert Meyer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 7PUNT
10 plays · 29 yds · 2:441% → 2%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
98.7%
AJ Hairston pass complete to Reece Adkins for 15 yds to the MASS 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
98.7%
AJ Hairston pass incomplete to Max DowlingSimilar
Q2 14:47
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+4
98.7%
AJ Hairston pass complete to Tyree Kelly for 4 yds to the MASS 44Similar
Q2 14:26
3RD & 6
OWN 44
+7
98.7%
Rocko Griffin run for 7 yds to the MIZ 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:38
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
98.5%
Brandon Hood run for 5 yds to the MIZ 44Similar
Q2 13:07
2ND & 5
OPP 44
0
98.5%
AJ Hairston pass incomplete to Max DowlingSimilar
Q2 13:00
3RD & 5
OPP 44
-2
98.5%
Brandon Hood run for a loss of 2 yards to the MIZ 46Similar
Q2 12:16
4TH & 7
OPP 46
0
98.5%
Keegan Andrews punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Kevin Coleman Jr. at the MIZ 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 8TD
15 plays · 89 yds · 7:2499% → 99%
Q2 12:09
1ST & 10
OWN 11
-1
98.5%
Ahmad Hardy run for a loss of 1 yard to the MIZ 10Similar
Q2 11:32
2ND & 11
OWN 10
+8
98.4%
Beau Pribula pass complete to Kevin Coleman Jr. for 8 yds to the MIZ 18Similar
Q2 11:02
3RD & 3
OWN 18
+8
98.3%
Ahmad Hardy run for 8 yds to the MIZ 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:28
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+16
98.3%
Beau Pribula pass complete to Brett Norfleet for 16 yds to the MIZ 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
98.4%
Ahmad Hardy run for 1 yd to the MIZ 43Similar
Q2 9:02
2ND & 9
OWN 43
-1
98.3%
Beau Pribula sacked by Timmy Hinspeter for a loss of 1 yard to the MIZ 42Similar
Q2 8:35
3RD & 10
OWN 42
+17
98.1%
Beau Pribula pass complete to Marquis Johnson for 17 yds to the MASS 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:11
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
98.3%
Tavorus Jones run for 3 yds to the MASS 38Similar
Q2 7:33
2ND & 7
OPP 38
+4
98.2%
Beau Pribula run for 4 yds to the MASS 34Similar
Q2 6:49
3RD & 3
OPP 34
+15
98.0%
Ahmad Hardy run for 15 yds to the MASS 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:28
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+14
98.0%
Beau Pribula pass complete to Kevin Coleman Jr. for 14 yds to the MASS 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
98.0%
Ahmad Hardy run for 1 yd to the MASS 4Similar
Q2 5:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
97.9%
Ahmad Hardy run for 3 yds to the MASS 1Similar
Q2 4:45
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.5%
Ahmad Hardy run for 1 yd for a TD (Robert Meyer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 9PUNT
9 plays · 5 yds · 2:372% → 2%
Q2 4:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
98.4%
Rocko Griffin run for 6 yds to the MASS 31Similar
Q2 3:54
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-6
98.3%
Massachusetts Penalty, (Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 3:19
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+15
98.4%
AJ Hairston pass complete to Donnie Gray for 15 yds to the MASS 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
98.2%
Rocko Griffin run for 4 yds to the MASS 44Similar
Q2 2:15
2ND & 6
OWN 44
-15
98.1%
Massachusetts Penalty, (Yards) to the MASS 29Similar
Q2 2:07
3RD & 21
OWN 29
+1
98.3%
Brandon Hood run for 1 yd to the MASS 30Similar
Q2 2:01
4TH & 20
OWN 30
0
98.3%
Keegan Andrews punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Kevin Coleman Jr. at the MIZ 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:3698% → 98%
Q2 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
98.4%
Beau Pribula pass complete to Kevin Coleman Jr. for 4 yds to the MIZ 25Similar
Q2 1:49
2ND & 6
OWN 25
-5
98.5%
Missouri Penalty, (Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 1:25
3RD & 11
OWN 20
+5
98.5%
Beau Pribula pass complete to Jamal Roberts for 5 yds to the MIZ 25Similar
Q2 1:19
4TH & 6
OWN 25
0
98.4%
Connor Weselman punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Jacquon Gibson at the MASS 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:192% → 2%
Q2 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
98.0%
AJ Hairston pass incomplete to Juwaun PriceSimilar
Q2 1:08
2ND & 10
OWN 34
0
98.1%
AJ Hairston pass incomplete to Jake McConnachieSimilar
Q2 1:02
3RD & 10
OWN 34
+5
98.2%
AJ Hairston pass complete to Elijah Faulkner for 5 yds to the MASS 39Similar
Q2 0:55
4TH & 5
OWN 39
0
98.1%
Keegan Andrews punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Kevin Coleman Jr. at the MIZ 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 12END OF HALF
7 plays · 32 yds · 0:4199% → 98%
Q2 0:41
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+5
98.5%
Jamal Roberts run for 5 yds to the MIZ 23Similar
Q2 0:20
2ND & 5
OWN 23
+8
98.3%
Beau Pribula pass complete to Brett Norfleet for 8 yds to the MIZ 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+10
98.3%
Beau Pribula pass complete to Jamal Roberts for 10 yds to the MIZ 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
98.4%
Beau Pribula pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:06
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+6
98.3%
Beau Pribula pass complete to Brett Norfleet for 6 yds to the MIZ 47Similar
Q2 0:01
3RD & 4
OWN 47
+13
98.3%
Beau Pribula pass complete to Brett Norfleet for 13 yds to the MASS 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-10
98.4%
Beau Pribula sacked for a loss of 10 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 13TD
8 plays · 63 yds · 3:1998% → 99%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
98.3%
Ahmad Hardy run for 6 yds to the MIZ 43Similar
Q3 14:19
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+2
98.3%
Beau Pribula pass complete to Kevin Coleman Jr. for 2 yds to the MIZ 45Similar
Q3 13:51
3RD & 2
OWN 45
+8
98.1%
Ahmad Hardy run for 8 yds to the MASS 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:13
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+17
98.2%
Beau Pribula pass complete to Kevin Coleman Jr. for 17 yds to the MASS 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:44
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+12
98.2%
Beau Pribula pass complete to Jude James for 12 yds to the MASS 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:15
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+2
98.2%
Ahmad Hardy run for 2 yds to the MASS 16Similar
Q3 11:33
2ND & 8
OPP 16
+16
99.3%
Ahmad Hardy run for 16 yds for a TD (Robert Meyer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:421% → 1%
Q3 11:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.2%
Elijah Faulkner run for no gain to the MASS 25Similar
Q3 10:55
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
99.2%
AJ Hairston pass incomplete to Tyree KellySimilar
Q3 10:49
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
99.2%
Massachusetts Penalty, (Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 10:41
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
99.2%
Keegan Andrews punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Kevin Coleman Jr. at the MIZ 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:5899% → 99%
Q3 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
99.2%
Beau Pribula pass complete to Brett Norfleet for no gain to the MIZ 26Similar
Q3 9:47
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+7
99.2%
Ahmad Hardy run for 7 yds to the MIZ 33Similar
Q3 9:10
3RD & 3
OWN 33
+1
99.3%
Ahmad Hardy run for 1 yd to the MIZ 34Similar
Q3 8:31
4TH & 2
OWN 34
0
99.2%
Connor Weselman punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Jacquon Gibson at the MASS 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:541% → 1%
Q3 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.2%
Elijah Faulkner run for 2 yds to the MASS 27Similar
Q3 7:44
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
99.1%
AJ Hairston pass incomplete to Donnie GraySimilar
Q3 7:38
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
99.2%
AJ Hairston pass incomplete to Jake McConnachieSimilar
Q3 7:25
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+11
99.2%
Keegan Andrews punt for 58 yds , Kevin Coleman Jr. returns for 11 yds to the MIZ 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 17PUNT
11 plays · 36 yds · 4:4399% → 99%
Q3 7:14
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+6
99.2%
Ahmad Hardy run for 6 yds to the MIZ 32Similar
Q3 6:51
2ND & 4
OWN 32
+2
99.2%
Ahmad Hardy run for 2 yds to the MIZ 34Similar
Q3 6:07
3RD & 2
OWN 34
+2
99.2%
Beau Pribula pass complete to Daniel Blood for 2 yds to the MIZ 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:31
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+20
99.2%
Beau Pribula pass complete to Tavorus Jones for 20 yds to the MASS 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:03
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-4
99.2%
Beau Pribula sacked for a loss of 4 yards to the MASS 48Similar
Q3 4:22
2ND & 14
OPP 48
+3
99.3%
Ahmad Hardy run for 3 yds to the MASS 45Similar
Q3 3:39
3RD & 11
OPP 45
+11
99.3%
Beau Pribula pass complete to Kevin Coleman Jr. for 11 yds to the MASS 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:25
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-11
99.3%
Beau Pribula run for a loss of 11 yards to the MASS 45 Beau Pribula fumbled, recovered by MASS Beau PribulaSimilar
Q3 3:11
2ND & 21
OPP 45
+7
99.3%
Beau Pribula pass complete to Kevin Coleman Jr. for 7 yds to the MASS 38Similar
Q3 2:40
3RD & 14
OPP 38
0
99.4%
Beau Pribula pass incomplete to Jamal RobertsSimilar
Q3 2:31
4TH & 14
OPP 38
0
99.3%
Connor Weselman punt for 35 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 18INT
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:511% → 1%
Q3 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 3
0
99.3%
AJ Hairston pass incomplete to Donnie GraySimilar
Q3 2:19
2ND & 10
OWN 3
0
99.3%
Brandon Hood run for no gain to the MASS 3Similar
Q3 1:34
3RD & 10
OWN 3
-7
99.4%
AJ Hairston pass intercepted Santana Banner return for 7 yds to the MASS 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 19TD
2 plays · 8 yds · 0:3199% → 100%
Q3 1:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-1
99.4%
Ahmad Hardy run for a loss of 1 yard to the MASS 9Similar
Q3 0:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
99.9%
Beau Pribula pass complete to Brett Norfleet for 9 yds for a TD (Robert Meyer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · -5 yds · 0:310% → 0%
Q3 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
AJ Hairston pass incomplete to Reece AdkinsSimilar
Q3 0:44
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
AJ Hairston pass incomplete to Juwaun PriceSimilar
Q3 0:44
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-5
99.9%
(00:41) PENALTY UMass False Start 5 yards from UMass25 to UMass20. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:39
3RD & 15
OWN 20
0
99.9%
AJ Hairston pass incomplete to Reece AdkinsSimilar
Q3 0:20
4TH & 15
OWN 20
+34
99.9%
Keegan Andrews punt for 51 yds , DaMarion Fowlkes returns for 34 yds to the MASS 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 21TD
5 plays · 37 yds · 1:51100% → 100%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+1
99.9%
Tavorus Jones run for 1 yd to the MASS 36Similar
Q4 14:48
2ND & 9
OPP 36
+12
99.9%
Matt Zollers pass complete to Donovan Olugbode for 12 yds to the MASS 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:21
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+4
99.9%
Matt Zollers run for 4 yds to the MASS 20Similar
Q4 13:43
2ND & 6
OPP 20
+17
99.9%
Tavorus Jones run for 17 yds to the MASS 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.9%
Tavorus Jones run for 3 yds for a TD (Robert Meyer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 22PUNT
8 plays · 21 yds · 2:330% → 0%
Q4 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
99.9%
AJ Hairston pass complete to Jacquon Gibson for a loss of 1 yard to the MASS 24Similar
Q4 12:23
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+24
99.9%
AJ Hairston pass complete to Jacquon Gibson for 24 yds to the MASS 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
99.9%
AJ Hairston pass complete to Jacquon Gibson for 3 yds to the MIZ 49Similar
Q4 11:12
2ND & 7
OPP 49
-5
99.9%
(11:15) No Huddle-Shotgun Hood,Brandon rush middle for 1 yard gain to the Mizzou48 (DeLoach Jr.,Nicholas; Dowell,Jason) PENALTY UMass Illegal Formation 5 yards from Mizzou49 to UMass46. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:43
2ND & 12
OWN 46
0
99.9%
AJ Hairston pass incomplete to Jake McConnachieSimilar
Q4 10:35
3RD & 12
OWN 46
0
100.0%
AJ Hairston pass incomplete to Kenyon MasseySimilar
Q4 10:26
4TH & 12
OWN 46
0
100.0%
Keegan Andrews punt for 39 yds, fair catch by DaMarion Fowlkes at the MIZ 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 20 yds · 1:57100% → 100%
Q4 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+17
99.9%
Marquise Davis run for 17 yds to the MIZ 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
99.9%
Marquise Davis run for 3 yds to the MIZ 35Similar
Q4 8:59
2ND & 7
OWN 35
0
99.9%
Marquise Davis run for no gain to the MIZ 35Similar
Q4 8:30
3RD & 7
OWN 35
0
99.9%
Tommy Lock pass incomplete to Logan MuckeySimilar
Q4 8:19
4TH & 7
OWN 35
0
99.9%
Connor Weselman punt for 53 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 24PUNT
11 plays · 35 yds · 4:020% → 0%
Q4 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+3
100.0%
Juwaun Price run for 3 yds to the MASS 15Similar
Q4 7:27
2ND & 7
OWN 15
0
100.0%
Grant Jordan pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:07
3RD & 7
OWN 15
+8
100.0%
Grant Jordan pass complete to Jacquon Gibson for 8 yds to the MASS 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:17
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+13
100.0%
Grant Jordan pass complete to Donnie Gray for 13 yds to the MASS 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
100.0%
Grant Jordan pass incomplete to Tyree KellySimilar
Q4 5:36
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+9
100.0%
Grant Jordan pass complete to Owen Anderson for 9 yds to the MASS 45Similar
Q4 5:00
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+2
100.0%
Brandon Hood run for 2 yds to the MASS 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
100.0%
Grant Jordan pass incomplete to Jacquon GibsonSimilar
Q4 4:18
2ND & 10
OWN 47
0
100.0%
Grant Jordan pass incomplete to Jacquon GibsonSimilar
Q4 4:11
3RD & 10
OWN 47
0
100.0%
Grant Jordan pass incomplete to Jacquon GibsonSimilar
Q4 4:01
4TH & 10
OWN 47
0
100.0%
Keegan Andrews punt for 43 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 25END OF GAME
8 plays · 61 yds · 3:51100% → 100%
Q4 3:51
1ST & 10
OWN 6
0
99.9%
Marquise Davis run for no gain to the MIZ 6Similar
Q4 3:15
2ND & 10
OWN 6
+10
99.9%
Marquise Davis run for 10 yds to the MIZ 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+7
100.0%
Marquise Davis run for 7 yds to the MIZ 23Similar
Q4 1:59
2ND & 3
OWN 23
+16
100.0%
Marquise Davis run for 16 yds to the MIZ 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+23
99.9%
Marquise Davis run for 23 yds to the MASS 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:08
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+1
100.0%
Marquise Davis run for 1 yd to the MASS 37Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 9
OPP 37
+4
100.0%
Anthony Favrow run for 4 yds to the MASS 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 11:33
Ahmad Hardy run for 16 yds for a TD (Robert Meyer KICK)
+1.1
TD · Q2 4:45
Ahmad Hardy run for 1 yd for a TD (Robert Meyer KICK)
+0.5
TD · Q3 0:56
Beau Pribula pass complete to Brett Norfleet for 9 yds for a TD (Robert Meyer KICK)
+0.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com