ARDLINETry the model
TENN

Tennessee 41 at Mississippi State 34

MSST
2025 · Week 5 · Sep 27, 2025 · Davis Wade Stadium
Speed4x
Win probability · MSST
modelMSST aheadTENN aheadconfidence bandkey play
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDKEY PLAYTDTDTDTDTDTD
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MSST · Drive 28END OF GAME · 6 plays · 21 yds
Q5 0:00
B.Shapen steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for A.Evans.
27.7%
0.0
Q5 0:00
B.Shapen rushed for 0 yards. Tackled by J.McMurray at TENN 4.
27.7%
0.0
Q5 0:00
F.Bothwell rushed for 0 yards. Tackled by A.Carter, B.Eason at MSST 4.
27.7%
0.0
Q5 0:00
B.Shapen rushed for 1 yards. Tackled by J.Josephs at TENN 4.
27.7%
0.0
Q5 0:00
B.Shapen pass complete. Catch made by A.Evans for 21 yards. Tackled by E.Spillman at TENN 5.
27.7%
0.0
Q5 0:00
F.Bothwell rushed for -1 yards. Tackled by J.Josephs; E.Spillman at TENN 26.
27.7%
0.0
TENN · Drive 27TD · 1 play · 25 yds
Q5 0:00
D.Bishop rushed for 25 yards. TOUCHDOWN.
9.4%
-18.3
MSST · Drive 1PUNT · 5 plays · -6 yds
Q1 15:00
Josh Turbyville kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
27.4%
+17.9
Q1 14:51
Blake Shapen pass complete to Jordan Mosley for 2 yds to the MSST 23
29.8%
+2.4
Q1 14:35
Fluff Bothwell run for 3 yds to the MSST 26
30.0%
+0.2
Q1 14:07
Blake Shapen sacked by Dominic Bailey for a loss of 7 yards to the MSST 19
30.0%
0.0
Q1 13:27
Ethan Pulliam punt for 54 yds
29.7%
-0.3
MSST · Drive 2TD · 5 plays · 20 yds
Q1 13:20
Anthony Evans III run for 2 yds to the TENN 18
32.1%
+2.4
Q1 12:55
Kamario Taylor run for 3 yds to the TENN 15
32.1%
0.0
Q1 12:28
Blake Shapen run for 5 yds to the TENN 10 for a 1ST down
31.9%
-0.2
Q1 12:01
Tennessee Penalty, Personal Foul (Joshua Josephs) to the TENN 5 for a 1ST down
32.1%
+0.2
Q1 11:49
Fluff Bothwell run for 5 yds for a TD (Kyle Ferrie KICK)
45.4%
+13.3
TENN · Drive 3FG · 9 plays · 55 yds
Q1 11:49
Kyle Ferrie kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
44.2%
-1.2
Q1 11:38
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Braylon Staley for 26 yds to the MSST 49 for a 1ST down
39.7%
-4.5
Q1 11:25
DeSean Bishop run for 4 yds to the MSST 45
38.1%
-1.6
Q1 11:07
(11:10) No Huddle-Shotgun Aguilar,Joey pass incomplete short right to Brazzell II,Chris thrown to MSU32, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY MSU Pass Interference (Jones,Kelley) 11 yard from MSU45 to MSU34, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.
37.8%
-0.3
Q1 11:01
DeSean Bishop run for 11 yds to the MSST 23 for a 1ST down
37.2%
-0.6
Q1 10:34
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Miles Kitselman for 3 yds to the MSST 20
37.2%
0.0
Q1 10:04
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Braylon Staley for no gain to the MSST 20
37.2%
0.0
Q1 9:24
Joey Aguilar pass incomplete to Braylon Staley
37.3%
+0.1
Q1 9:19
Max Gilbert 38 yd FG GOOD
30.9%
-6.4
MSST · Drive 4PUNT · 5 plays · 7 yds
Q1 9:19
Josh Turbyville kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
32.8%
+1.9
Q1 9:11
Davon Booth run for a loss of 1 yard to the MSST 24
35.6%
+2.8
Q1 8:46
Blake Shapen run for 2 yds to the MSST 26
35.5%
-0.1
Q1 8:10
Blake Shapen run for 6 yds to the MSST 32
35.9%
+0.4
Q1 7:50
Ethan Pulliam punt for 67 yds
36.4%
+0.5
TENN · Drive 5PUNT · 6 plays · 50 yds
Q1 7:44
Star Thomas run for 3 yds to the TENN 4
33.1%
-3.3
Q1 7:11
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Mike Matthews for 39 yds to the TENN 43 for a 1ST down
33.1%
0.0
Q1 6:06
Star Thomas run for 1 yd to the TENN 44
32.1%
-1.0
Q1 5:43
Joey Aguilar run for 7 yds to the MSST 49
31.7%
-0.4
Q1 5:08
Joey Aguilar pass incomplete to Star Thomas
31.5%
-0.2
Q1 5:00
Jackson Ross punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Anthony Evans III at the MSST 10
31.8%
+0.3
MSST · Drive 6INT TD · 3 plays · 5 yds
Q1 4:52
Blake Shapen pass complete to Jordan Mosley for 5 yds to the MSST 15
37.6%
+5.8
Q1 4:27
Blake Shapen pass incomplete to Anthony Evans III
37.6%
0.0
Q1 4:19
Blake Shapen pass intercepted Colton Hood return for 23 yds for a TD (Max Gilbert KICK)
26.4%
-11.2
MSST · Drive 7TD · 16 plays · 75 yds
Q1 4:19
Josh Turbyville kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
23.7%
-2.7
Q1 4:12
Blake Shapen sacked by Tyre West for a loss of 4 yards to the MSST 21
26.4%
+2.7
Q1 3:41
Blake Shapen pass complete to Brenen Thompson for 6 yds to the MSST 27
26.5%
+0.1
Q1 3:23
Blake Shapen pass complete to Brenen Thompson for 11 yds to the MSST 38 for a 1ST down
26.5%
0.0
Q1 3:02
Blake Shapen pass incomplete to Brenen Thompson
26.8%
+0.3
Q1 2:51
Davon Booth run for 2 yds Mississippi State Penalty, Offensive Holding (Seydou Traore) to the MSST 30
26.8%
0.0
Q1 2:43
Fluff Bothwell run for 15 yds to the MSST 45
26.5%
-0.3
Q1 2:05
Fluff Bothwell run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down
26.8%
+0.3
Q1 1:50
Blake Shapen pass incomplete to Anthony Evans III
27.2%
+0.4
Q1 1:43
Davon Booth run for 4 yds to the TENN 46
27.2%
0.0
Q1 1:10
Blake Shapen pass complete to Brenen Thompson for 16 yds to the TENN 30 for a 1ST down
27.9%
+0.7
Q1 0:53
Davon Booth run for no gain to the TENN 30
28.9%
+1.0
Q1 0:00
Blake Shapen pass complete to Anthony Evans III for 6 yds to the TENN 24
29.6%
+0.7
Q2 14:54
Kamario Taylor run for 5 yds to the TENN 19 for a 1ST down
29.4%
-0.2
Q2 14:16
Davon Booth run for 14 yds to the TENN 5 for a 1ST down
29.7%
+0.3
Q2 13:53
Davon Booth run for 5 yds for a TD (Kyle Ferrie KICK)
42.9%
+13.2
TENN · Drive 8PUNT · 8 plays · 19 yds
Q2 13:53
Kyle Ferrie kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
41.3%
-1.7
Q2 13:47
Peyton Lewis run for 6 yds to the TENN 31
34.6%
-6.7
Q2 13:24
Joey Aguilar pass incomplete to Mike Matthews
34.6%
0.0
Q2 13:16
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Chris Brazzell II for 9 yds to the TENN 40 for a 1ST down
34.6%
0.0
Q2 12:59
Peyton Lewis run for 6 yds to the TENN 46
33.7%
-0.8
Q2 12:41
Peyton Lewis run for a loss of 2 yards to the TENN 44
32.8%
-1.0
Q2 12:00
Joey Aguilar pass incomplete to Mike Matthews
33.0%
+0.2
Q2 11:51
Jackson Ross punt for 43 yds , Anthony Evans III returns for 3 yds to the MSST 16
33.3%
+0.3
MSST · Drive 9FG · 8 plays · 51 yds
Q2 11:43
Fluff Bothwell run for 8 yds to the MSST 24
41.3%
+8.0
Q2 11:25
Fluff Bothwell run for 3 yds to the MSST 27 for a 1ST down
41.3%
0.0
Q2 10:56
Fluff Bothwell run for 20 yds to the MSST 47 for a 1ST down
42.1%
+0.8
Q2 10:12
Blake Shapen pass complete to Jordan Mosley for 17 yds to the TENN 36 for a 1ST down
43.7%
+1.7
Q2 9:53
Blake Shapen pass incomplete to Anthony Evans III
44.1%
+0.4
Q2 9:42
Blake Shapen pass complete to Cameron Ball for 3 yds to the TENN 33
44.1%
0.0
Q2 9:27
Davon Booth run for no gain to the TENN 33
43.9%
-0.2
Q2 8:41
Kyle Ferrie 51 yd FG GOOD
48.9%
+5.0
TENN · Drive 10TD · 4 plays · 75 yds
Q2 8:41
Kyle Ferrie kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
48.2%
-0.7
Q2 8:35
Mississippi State Penalty, UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (15 Yards) to the TENN 43 for a 1ST down
43.4%
-4.8
Q2 8:17
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Chris Brazzell II for 27 yds to the MSST 30 for a 1ST down Mississippi State Penalty, Roughing The Passer (Nic Mitchell) to the MSST 15 for a 1ST down
42.5%
-0.9
Q2 7:25
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Chris Brazzell II for 15 yds for a TD (Max Gilbert KICK)
26.2%
-16.3
MSST · Drive 11PUNT · 9 plays · 27 yds
Q2 7:25
Josh Turbyville kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
28.3%
+2.1
Q2 7:18
Fluff Bothwell run for 9 yds to the MSST 34
33.8%
+5.5
Q2 7:01
Fluff Bothwell run for 3 yds to the MSST 37 for a 1ST down
33.8%
0.0
Q2 6:37
Blake Shapen pass complete to Seydou Traore for 9 yds to the MSST 46
34.1%
+0.2
Q2 6:20
Fluff Bothwell run for 11 yds to the TENN 43 for a 1ST down
34.9%
+0.8
Q2 6:03
Blake Shapen sacked by Caleb Herring for a loss of 7 yards to the 50 yard line
36.1%
+1.2
Q2 5:31
Davon Booth run for 9 yds to the TENN 41
34.9%
-1.1
Q2 5:02
Blake Shapen sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the TENN 48
36.7%
+1.8
Q2 4:18
Ethan Pulliam punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Boo Carter at the TENN 11
36.4%
-0.3
TENN · Drive 12MISSED FG · 14 plays · 61 yds
Q2 4:11
Star Thomas run for 1 yd to the TENN 12
29.5%
-6.9
Q2 3:43
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Chris Brazzell II for 32 yds to the TENN 44 for a 1ST down
29.5%
0.0
Q2 3:27
Joey Aguilar pass incomplete to Braylon Staley
27.9%
-1.6
Q2 3:16
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Miles Kitselman for 9 yds to the MSST 47
27.9%
0.0
Q2 3:06
PENALTY TENN False Start (Perry,Jesse) 5 yards from MSU47 to TENN48. NO PLAY.
27.5%
-0.4
Q2 2:39
Joey Aguilar run for 4 yds to the MSST 48
27.7%
+0.2
Q2 2:01
Timeout Tennessee, clock 02:01
27.9%
+0.2
Q2 1:53
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Star Thomas for 21 yds to the MSST 27 for a 1ST down
27.9%
0.0
Q2 1:45
Joey Aguilar sacked by DJ Reed for a loss of 1 yard to the MSST 28
27.5%
-0.4
Q2 1:24
Timeout Mississippi State, clock 01:24
26.9%
-0.6
Q2 1:20
Joey Aguilar pass incomplete to Miles Kitselman
26.9%
0.0
Q2 1:20
Timeout Tennessee, clock 01:20
26.9%
0.0
Q2 1:16
Joey Aguilar pass incomplete to Braylon Staley
26.9%
0.0
Q2 1:11
Max Gilbert 47 yd FG MISSED
28.1%
+1.1
MSST · Drive 13PUNT · 5 plays · 9 yds
Q2 1:06
Blake Shapen pass incomplete to Fluff Bothwell
36.0%
+7.9
Q2 1:01
Blake Shapen pass incomplete to Ayden Williams
36.0%
0.0
Q2 0:55
Fluff Bothwell run for 9 yds to the MSST 37
36.0%
0.0
Q2 0:14
Timeout Mississippi State, clock 00:14
35.8%
-0.2
Q2 0:05
Ethan Pulliam punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Boo Carter at the TENN 16
35.8%
0.0
TENN · Drive 14END OF HALF · 1 play · -5 yds
Q2 0:00
(00:05) Kneel down by Tennessee at TENN11 for loss of 5 yards.
29.7%
-6.2
TENN · Drive 15FG · 11 plays · 66 yds
Q3 15:00
Kyle Ferrie kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
36.2%
+6.6
Q3 14:57
Joey Aguilar pass incomplete to Braylon Staley
30.5%
-5.7
Q3 14:51
DeSean Bishop run for 4 yds to the TENN 29
31.7%
+1.2
Q3 14:19
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Mike Matthews for 24 yds to the MSST 47 for a 1ST down Mississippi State Penalty, Personal Foul (Deonte Anderson) to the MSST 32 for a 1ST down
31.9%
+0.2
Q3 13:56
DeSean Bishop run for 2 yds to the MSST 30
29.6%
-2.3
Q3 13:29
Joey Aguilar run for 3 yds to the MSST 27
29.6%
0.0
Q3 12:43
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Miles Kitselman for 17 yds to the MSST 10 for a 1ST down
29.6%
0.0
Q3 12:14
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Mike Matthews for 1 yd to the MSST 9
29.6%
0.0
Q3 11:40
Joey Aguilar pass incomplete to Miles Kitselman
30.0%
+0.4
Q3 11:33
Joey Aguilar pass incomplete to Chris Brazzell II
30.0%
0.0
Q3 11:28
Max Gilbert 27 yd FG GOOD
24.6%
-5.4
MSST · Drive 16MISSED FG · 14 plays · 51 yds
Q3 11:28
Josh Turbyville kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
25.6%
+1.0
Q3 11:21
Blake Shapen pass complete to Anthony Evans III for 5 yds to the MSST 30
29.0%
+3.4
Q3 10:53
Blake Shapen run for a loss of 5 yards to the MSST 25
29.0%
0.0
Q3 10:17
Blake Shapen pass complete to Seydou Traore for 16 yds to the MSST 41 for a 1ST down
29.1%
+0.1
Q3 9:56
Fluff Bothwell run for 3 yds to the MSST 44
30.1%
+1.0
Q3 9:36
Fluff Bothwell run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line
30.1%
0.0
Q3 9:15
Fluff Bothwell run for 6 yds to the TENN 44 for a 1ST down
30.2%
0.0
Q3 8:54
Fluff Bothwell run for 5 yds to the TENN 39
31.2%
+1.0
Q3 8:35
(08:41) No Huddle-Shotgun Shapen,Blake pass incomplete deep right to Williams,Ayden thrown to TENN01 PENALTY TENN Pass Interference (Hood,Colton) 15 yards from TENN39 to TENN24, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.
32.1%
+0.9
Q3 8:30
(08:34) No Huddle-Shotgun Booth,Davon rush middle for 1 yard gain to the TENN23 (Carter,Arion; Spillman,Edwin) PENALTY MSU Illegal Shift 5 yards from TENN24 to TENN29. NO PLAY.
32.1%
0.0
Q3 8:11
Blake Shapen pass complete to Anthony Evans III for 5 yds to the TENN 34
32.1%
0.0
Q3 7:32
Davon Booth run for a loss of 3 yards to the TENN 37
32.1%
0.0
Q3 6:45
Blake Shapen pass complete to Seydou Traore for 13 yds to the TENN 24
32.0%
-0.1
Q3 6:03
Kyle Ferrie 42 yd FG MISSED
31.6%
-0.4
TENN · Drive 17INT · 4 plays · 29 yds
Q3 5:53
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Mike Matthews for 36 yds to the MSST 40 for a 1ST down
25.3%
-6.3
Q3 5:31
Joey Aguilar sacked by Zakari Tillman for a loss of 7 yards to the MSST 47
23.8%
-1.6
Q3 4:49
Tennessee Penalty, Personal Foul (Lance Heard) to the TENN 41 for a 1ST down
23.9%
+0.1
Q3 4:49
Tennessee Penalty, Personal Foul (Lance Heard) to the TENN 26 for a 1ST down
23.9%
0.0
MSST · Drive 18TD · 3 plays · 26 yds
Q3 4:40
Fluff Bothwell run for 15 yds to the TENN 11 for a 1ST down
32.6%
+8.8
Q3 4:13
Blake Shapen pass complete to Anthony Evans III for 6 yds to the TENN 5
33.9%
+1.3
Q3 3:48
Fluff Bothwell run for 1 yd for a TD (Kyle Ferrie KICK)
54.6%
+20.7
TENN · Drive 19PUNT · 8 plays · 11 yds
Q3 3:48
Kyle Ferrie kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
52.9%
-1.7
Q3 3:41
Star Thomas run for 5 yds to the TENN 30
47.5%
-5.4
Q3 3:24
Star Thomas run for 11 yds to the TENN 41 for a 1ST down
49.7%
+2.2
Q3 3:01
(03:09) No Huddle-Shotgun Aguilar,Joey pass complete deep right to Brazzell II,Chris caught at MSU15, for 59 yards to the MSU00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 03:01 PENALTY TENN Pass Interference (Brazzell II,Chris) 15 yards from TENN41 to TENN26. NO PLAY.
48.8%
-0.9
Q3 2:55
Star Thomas run for 1 yd to the TENN 27
49.7%
+0.9
Q3 2:14
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Braylon Staley for 7 yds to the TENN 34
49.7%
0.0
Q3 1:43
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Star Thomas for 2 yds to the TENN 36
49.7%
0.0
Q3 1:02
Jackson Ross punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Anthony Evans III at the MSST 17
49.7%
0.0
MSST · Drive 20FUMBLE RETURN TD · 7 plays · 24 yds
Q3 0:54
Davon Booth run for 7 yds to the MSST 24
54.3%
+4.6
Q3 0:32
Davon Booth run for 6 yds to the MSST 30 for a 1ST down
54.3%
0.0
Q3 0:00
Davon Booth run for 3 yds to the MSST 33
54.3%
0.0
Q4 14:55
Davon Booth run for no gain to the MSST 33
54.3%
0.0
Q4 14:21
Blake Shapen pass incomplete to Anthony Evans III
55.4%
+1.1
Q4 14:09
Sam West run for 15 yds to the MSST 48 for a 1ST down
54.7%
-0.7
Q4 13:29
Joshua Josephs 41 Yd Fumble Return (Max Gilbert Kick)
33.2%
-21.5
MSST · Drive 21FG · 7 plays · 54 yds
Q4 13:29
Josh Turbyville kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
25.1%
-8.1
Q4 13:23
Fluff Bothwell run for 1 yd to the MSST 26
32.3%
+7.3
Q4 12:48
Blake Shapen pass complete to Ayden Williams for 49 yds to the TENN 25 for a 1ST down
32.3%
0.0
Q4 12:26
Fluff Bothwell run for no gain to the TENN 25
33.3%
+0.9
Q4 11:51
Kamario Taylor run for 2 yds to the TENN 23
33.3%
0.0
Q4 11:13
Blake Shapen run for 2 yds to the TENN 21
32.5%
-0.8
Q4 10:31
Kyle Ferrie 38 yd FG GOOD
44.4%
+11.9
TENN · Drive 22INT · 4 plays · 6 yds
Q4 10:31
Kyle Ferrie kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
42.6%
-1.8
Q4 10:27
Joey Aguilar pass incomplete to Chris Brazzell II
35.3%
-7.3
Q4 10:21
DeSean Bishop run for 6 yds to the TENN 31
35.3%
0.0
Q4 9:43
Joey Aguilar pass intercepted Zakari Tillman return for 26 yds to the TENN 17
35.7%
+0.4
MSST · Drive 23TD · 5 plays · 17 yds
Q4 9:36
Davon Booth run for 2 yds to the TENN 15
45.9%
+10.2
Q4 9:07
Davon Booth run for 7 yds to the TENN 8
45.9%
0.0
Q4 8:51
Davon Booth run for 3 yds to the TENN 5 for a 1ST down
45.6%
-0.2
Q4 8:15
Fluff Bothwell run for 3 yds to the TENN 2
46.0%
+0.4
Q4 7:59
Blake Shapen pass complete to Seydou Traore for 2 yds for a TD (Kyle Ferrie KICK)
73.9%
+27.9
TENN · Drive 24TD · 15 plays · 75 yds
Q4 7:59
Kyle Ferrie kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
73.2%
-0.7
Q4 7:53
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Chris Brazzell II for 11 yds to the TENN 36 for a 1ST down
67.9%
-5.3
Q4 7:22
Star Thomas run for 8 yds to the TENN 44
69.7%
+1.7
Q4 6:57
Star Thomas run for 3 yds to the TENN 47 for a 1ST down
69.4%
-0.3
Q4 6:35
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Mike Matthews for 1 yd to the TENN 48
69.3%
-0.1
Q4 6:13
Star Thomas run for a loss of 1 yard to the TENN 47
68.9%
-0.4
Q4 5:34
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Star Thomas for 6 yds to the MSST 47
69.3%
+0.4
Q4 4:51
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Chris Brazzell II for 11 yds to the MSST 36 for a 1ST down
68.0%
-1.3
Q4 4:34
Star Thomas run for 1 yd to the MSST 35
68.7%
+0.7
Q4 3:47
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Mike Matthews for 17 yds to the MSST 18 for a 1ST down
73.0%
+4.2
Q4 3:29
DeSean Bishop run for 6 yds to the MSST 12
70.7%
-2.2
Q4 2:52
DeSean Bishop run for 3 yds to the MSST 9
72.2%
+1.5
Q4 2:38
PENALTY TENN False Start (Sanders Jr.,David) 5 yards from MSU09 to MSU14. NO PLAY.
72.2%
0.0
Q4 2:00
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Braylon Staley for 8 yds to the MSST 6 for a 1ST down
72.2%
-0.1
Q4 1:55
Joey Aguilar run for 6 yds for a TD (Max Gilbert KICK)
31.7%
-40.5
MSST · Drive 25PUNT · 5 plays · 2 yds
Q4 1:55
Josh Turbyville kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
34.0%
+2.3
Q4 1:48
Blake Shapen pass complete to Fluff Bothwell for 2 yds to the MSST 27
45.2%
+11.1
Q4 1:44
Blake Shapen pass incomplete to Jordan Mosley
45.2%
0.0
Q4 1:39
Blake Shapen pass incomplete to Fluff Bothwell
45.2%
0.0
Q4 1:23
Ethan Pulliam punt for 48 yds , Boo Carter returns for 1 yd to the TENN 26
44.8%
-0.3
TENN · Drive 26END OF GAME · 9 plays · 30 yds
Q4 1:16
DeSean Bishop run for 3 yds to the TENN 29
34.0%
-10.8
Q4 0:38
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Miles Kitselman for 13 yds to the TENN 42 for a 1ST down
34.0%
0.0
Q4 0:24
Timeout Tennessee, clock 00:24
31.8%
-2.2
Q4 0:24
Joey Aguilar run for 9 yds to the MSST 49
32.7%
+0.9
Q4 0:18
Joey Aguilar pass incomplete to Braylon Staley
31.8%
-0.9
Q4 0:13
DeSean Bishop run for 5 yds to the MSST 44 for a 1ST down
31.8%
0.0
Q4 0:04
Joey Aguilar pass incomplete to DeSean Bishop
31.8%
0.0
Q4 0:04
Timeout Mississippi State, clock 00:04
31.1%
-0.7
Q4 0:00
Tennessee Penalty, Offensive Holding (William Wright) declined
31.0%
-0.1
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 1:55
Joey Aguilar run for 6 yds for a TD (Max Gilbert KICK)
-40.5
TD · Q4 7:59
Blake Shapen pass complete to Seydou Traore for 2 yds for a TD (Kyle Ferrie KICK)
+27.9
TD · Q4 13:29
Joshua Josephs 41 Yd Fumble Return (Max Gilbert Kick)
-21.5
YardLine · model v2Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com