ALA
Alabama 24 at Georgia 21
UGA2025 · Week 5 · Sep 27, 2025 · Sanford Stadium
Speed4x
Win probability · UGA
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UGA · Drive 1PUNT · 5 plays · 2 yds
Q1 15:00
Conor Talty kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
51.1%
0.0
Q1 14:42
Nate Frazier run for 2 yds to the UGA 27
54.3%
+3.1
Q1 14:24
Gunner Stockton pass incomplete to Colbie Young
54.3%
0.0
Q1 14:19
Gunner Stockton pass incomplete to Zachariah Branch
54.3%
0.0
Q1 14:11
Brett Thorson punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Cole Adams at the ALA 26
53.9%
-0.3
ALA · Drive 2TD · 17 plays · 74 yds
Q1 13:48
Jam Miller run for 2 yds to the ALA 28
50.5%
-3.4
Q1 13:25
Ty Simpson pass incomplete to Isaiah Horton
50.5%
0.0
Q1 13:15
Ty Simpson run for 10 yds to the ALA 38 for a 1ST down
50.5%
0.0
Q1 12:20
Jam Miller run for no gain to the ALA 38
49.4%
-1.1
Q1 11:53
Ty Simpson pass incomplete to Ryan Williams
49.4%
0.0
Q1 11:48
Ty Simpson pass complete to Isaiah Horton for 10 yds to the ALA 48 for a 1ST down
49.4%
0.0
Q1 11:17
Ty Simpson pass incomplete to Isaiah Horton
48.3%
-1.1
Q1 10:53
Kevin Riley run for 5 yds to the UGA 47
48.3%
0.0
Q1 10:00
Ty Simpson pass complete to Isaiah Horton for 24 yds to the UGA 23 for a 1ST down
48.0%
-0.3
Q1 9:53
Timeout Alabama, clock 09:53
46.3%
-1.7
Q1 9:53
Alabama Penalty, False Start (Jam Miller) to the UGA 28
46.3%
0.0
Q1 9:45
Jam Miller run for 2 yds to the UGA 26
46.3%
0.0
Q1 8:51
Ty Simpson pass complete to Germie Bernard for 18 yds to the UGA 8 for a 1ST down
46.5%
+0.1
Q1 8:30
Jam Miller run for 2 yds to the UGA 6
46.5%
0.0
Q1 7:49
Timeout Alabama, clock 07:49
48.6%
+2.1
Q1 7:45
Ty Simpson pass incomplete to Isaiah Horton
48.6%
0.0
Q1 7:41
Ty Simpson pass complete to Germie Bernard for 6 yds for a TD (Conor Talty KICK)
33.6%
-15.0
UGA · Drive 3PUNT · 7 plays · 24 yds
Q1 7:41
Conor Talty kickoff for 60 yds , Zachariah Branch return for 10 yds to the UGA 15
35.3%
+1.6
Q1 7:00
Stockton, Gunner pass complete to Young, Colbie for 8 yards to the UGA23, PENALTY UGA ineligible downfield on pass (Hughley, Bo) 5 yards to the UGA10, NO PLAY.
36.7%
+1.4
Q1 6:49
Nate Frazier run for 24 yds to the UGA 34 for a 1ST down
36.7%
0.0
Q1 6:45
Gunner Stockton pass incomplete to Henry Delp
36.7%
0.0
Q1 6:10
Chauncey Bowens run for 5 yds to the UGA 39
36.5%
-0.1
Q1 6:05
Gunner Stockton pass incomplete to Zachariah Branch
36.7%
+0.1
Q1 5:58
Brett Thorson punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Cole Adams at the ALA 17
36.7%
0.0
ALA · Drive 4TD · 15 plays · 83 yds
Q1 5:34
Jam Miller run for 3 yds to the ALA 20
33.0%
-3.6
Q1 5:23
Ty Simpson pass incomplete to Germie Bernard
33.0%
0.0
Q1 4:55
Ty Simpson pass complete to Josh Cuevas for 12 yds to the ALA 32 for a 1ST down
33.0%
0.0
Q1 4:00
Germie Bernard sacked by Chris Cole for a loss of 6 yards to the ALA 26
33.0%
0.0
Q1 3:15
Ty Simpson pass complete to Kevin Riley for 10 yds to the ALA 36
33.0%
0.0
Q1 3:06
Timeout Alabama, clock 03:06
32.5%
-0.5
Q1 2:40
Ty Simpson pass complete to Ryan Williams for 7 yds to the ALA 43 for a 1ST down
32.5%
0.0
Q1 2:04
Ty Simpson pass complete to Germie Bernard for 5 yds to the ALA 48
31.7%
-0.8
Q1 1:35
Jam Miller run for 3 yds to the UGA 49
31.5%
-0.2
Q1 1:12
Germie Bernard run for 11 yds to the UGA 38 for a 1ST down
31.5%
0.0
Q1 0:50
Ty Simpson pass complete to Lotzeir Brooks for 19 yds to the UGA 19 for a 1ST down
31.4%
-0.1
Q1 0:01
Kevin Riley run for 4 yds to the UGA 15
31.3%
-0.1
Q2 14:34
Jam Miller run for 2 yds to the UGA 13
31.3%
0.0
Q2 14:11
Jam Miller run for 7 yds to the UGA 6 for a 1ST down
31.3%
0.0
Q2 14:01
Ty Simpson pass complete to Isaiah Horton for 6 yds for a TD (Conor Talty KICK)
22.1%
-9.2
UGA · Drive 5TD · 4 plays · 75 yds
Q2 14:01
Conor Talty kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
23.2%
+1.1
Q2 13:35
Gunner Stockton pass complete to Zachariah Branch for 8 yds to the UGA 33
26.0%
+2.8
Q2 13:14
Chauncey Bowens run for 29 yds to the ALA 38 for a 1ST down
26.0%
0.0
Q2 12:48
Gunner Stockton pass complete to Colbie Young for 38 yds for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK)
39.4%
+13.4
ALA · Drive 6PUNT · 6 plays · 30 yds
Q2 12:48
Peyton Woodring kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
36.5%
-2.9
Q2 12:20
Ty Simpson pass complete to Kevin Riley for 27 yds to the UGA 48 for a 1ST down
32.9%
-3.7
Q2 11:44
Ty Simpson pass complete to Germie Bernard for 2 yds to the UGA 46
34.0%
+1.1
Q2 11:00
Kevin Riley run for 1 yd to the UGA 45
34.2%
+0.2
Q2 10:50
Ty Simpson pass incomplete to Rico Scott
34.5%
+0.4
Q2 10:42
Blake Doud punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Zachariah Branch at the UGA 7
34.9%
+0.3
UGA · Drive 7FUMBLE · 2 plays · 4 yds
Q2 10:22
Nate Frazier run for 2 yds to the UGA 9
39.0%
+4.1
Q2 9:58
Nate Frazier run for 2 yds to the UGA 11 Nate Frazier fumbled, forced by Bray Hubbard, recovered by ALA Deontae Lawson
39.0%
0.0
ALA · Drive 8FG · 4 plays · 5 yds
Q2 9:25
Jam Miller run for 3 yds to the UGA 8
33.1%
-5.9
Q2 8:52
Jam Miller run for 2 yds to the UGA 6
33.1%
0.0
Q2 8:33
Ty Simpson pass incomplete to Germie Bernard
33.1%
0.0
Q2 8:30
Conor Talty 24 yd FG GOOD
31.1%
-2.0
UGA · Drive 9TD · 13 plays · 75 yds
Q2 8:30
Conor Talty kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
32.2%
+1.1
Q2 7:45
Zachariah Branch run for a loss of 6 yards to the UGA 19
29.4%
-2.9
Q2 7:00
Gunner Stockton pass complete to Colbie Young for 17 yds to the UGA 36 for a 1ST down
29.4%
0.0
Q2 6:39
Chauncey Bowens run for 4 yds to the UGA 40
29.4%
0.0
Q2 6:08
Gunner Stockton pass complete to London Humphreys for 9 yds to the UGA 49 for a 1ST down
29.5%
+0.1
Q2 5:18
Gunner Stockton sacked by Edric Hill and LT Overton for a loss of 2 yards to the UGA 47
30.4%
+0.9
Q2 4:52
Chauncey Bowens run for 43 yds to the ALA 10 for a 1ST down
30.3%
-0.1
Q2 4:10
Gunner Stockton pass complete to Zachariah Branch for 5 yds to the ALA 5
32.2%
+1.9
Q2 3:40
Josh McCray run for 3 yds to the ALA 2
32.2%
0.0
Q2 3:14
Josh McCray run for no gain to the ALA 2
32.2%
0.0
Q2 2:45
Stockton, Gunner pass complete to Bowens, Chauncey for 1 yard to the ALA1, PENALTY ALA holding 1 yards to the ALA1, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN UGA.
31.8%
-0.4
Q2 2:33
Chauncey Bowens run for a loss of 1 yard to the ALA 2
32.2%
+0.4
Q2 2:08
Chauncey Bowens run for 2 yds for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK)
50.1%
+17.9
ALA · Drive 10TD · 13 plays · 75 yds
Q2 2:08
Peyton Woodring kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
47.5%
-2.6
Q2 2:00
Kevin Riley run for 2 yds to the ALA 27
44.4%
-3.2
Q2 1:54
Ty Simpson pass complete to Ryan Williams for 7 yds to the ALA 34
44.4%
0.0
Q2 1:28
Germie Bernard pass complete to Isaiah Horton for 4 yds to the ALA 38 for a 1ST down
43.1%
-1.2
Q2 1:10
Ty Simpson pass complete to Ryan Williams for 18 yds to the UGA 44 for a 1ST down
42.0%
-1.1
Q2 1:03
Ty Simpson pass incomplete to Ryan Williams
41.2%
-0.8
Q2 0:53
Ty Simpson pass complete to Lotzeir Brooks for 21 yds to the UGA 23 for a 1ST down
41.2%
0.0
Q2 0:53
Timeout Georgia, clock 00:53
39.3%
-1.9
Q2 0:46
Simpson, Ty pass complete to Bernard, Germie for 4 yards to the UGA19, PENALTY UGA holding (Everette, Daylen) 10 yards to the UGA13, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN ALA.
39.3%
0.0
Q2 0:46
Timeout Georgia, clock 00:46
39.3%
0.0
Q2 0:39
Kadyn Proctor run for 11 yds to the UGA 2 for a 1ST down
39.3%
0.0
Q2 0:34
Ty Simpson run for 2 yds for a TD (Conor Talty KICK)
25.9%
-13.4
Q2 0:34
Georgia Penalty, Personal Foul (Xzavier McLeod) to the 50 yard line
41.2%
+15.2
UGA · Drive 11END OF HALF · 3 plays · 12 yds
Q2 0:34
Conor Talty kickoff for 46 yds , Zachariah Branch return for 9 yds to the UGA 13
26.3%
-14.9
Q2 0:22
Chauncey Bowens run for 10 yds to the UGA 23 for a 1ST down
27.3%
+1.1
Q2 0:00
Gunner Stockton pass complete to Chauncey Bowens for 2 yds to the UGA 25
27.3%
0.0
ALA · Drive 12MISSED FG · 11 plays · 49 yds
Q3 15:00
Peyton Woodring kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
26.6%
-0.7
Q3 14:19
Ty Simpson pass complete to Jam Miller for 14 yds to the ALA 39 for a 1ST down
28.2%
+1.6
Q3 14:15
Jam Miller run for 4 yds to the ALA 43
26.9%
-1.3
Q3 13:19
Germie Bernard run for 8 yds to the UGA 49 for a 1ST down
26.9%
0.0
Q3 12:45
Kevin Riley run for 4 yds to the UGA 45
26.8%
0.0
Q3 12:09
Kevin Riley run for 3 yds to the UGA 42
26.8%
0.0
Q3 11:15
Ty Simpson pass complete to Kaleb Edwards for 17 yds to the UGA 25 for a 1ST down
25.8%
-1.1
Q3 10:44
Ty Simpson pass complete to Jam Miller for a loss of 2 yards to the UGA 27
25.8%
0.0
Q3 9:53
Germie Bernard run for 1 yd to the UGA 26
25.8%
0.0
Q3 9:42
Ty Simpson pass incomplete to Josh Cuevas
25.8%
0.0
Q3 9:37
Conor Talty 43 yd FG MISSED
26.4%
+0.6
UGA · Drive 13TD · 6 plays · 74 yds
Q3 9:05
Gunner Stockton pass complete to Chauncey Bowens for 6 yds to the UGA 32
24.7%
-1.7
Q3 8:48
Dillon Bell run for 43 yds to the ALA 25 for a 1ST down
24.7%
0.0
Q3 7:40
Chauncey Bowens run for 14 yds to the ALA 11 for a 1ST down
26.8%
+2.1
Q3 7:30
Chauncey Bowens run for 1 yd to the ALA 10 for a 1ST down Alabama Penalty, Personal Foul (LT Overton) to the ALA 5 for a 1ST down
26.4%
-0.4
Q3 7:00
Josh McCray run for 4 yds to the ALA 1
26.4%
0.0
Q3 6:30
Josh McCray run for 1 yd for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK)
50.8%
+24.5
ALA · Drive 14DOWNS · 7 plays · 26 yds
Q3 6:30
Peyton Woodring kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
47.9%
-2.9
Q3 6:07
Ty Simpson pass complete to Germie Bernard for 4 yds to the ALA 29
42.0%
-5.9
Q3 5:30
Riley, Kevin rush for 1 yard to the ALA30, PENALTY UGA personal foul (Johnson, Quintavius) 15 yards to the ALA44, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN ALA.
42.0%
0.0
Q3 5:10
Kevin Riley run for 5 yds to the ALA 49
40.3%
-1.7
Q3 4:40
Kevin Riley run for 4 yds to the UGA 47
40.0%
-0.3
Q3 4:27
Kevin Riley run for no gain to the UGA 47
39.9%
-0.1
Q3 3:43
Ty Simpson run for a loss of 2 yards to the UGA 49
40.2%
+0.3
UGA · Drive 15PUNT · 4 plays · 1 yds
Q3 3:10
Dwight Phillips Jr. run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line
48.8%
+8.6
Q3 3:03
Gunner Stockton pass incomplete to Talyn Taylor
48.8%
0.0
Q3 2:59
Gunner Stockton pass incomplete to Zachariah Branch
48.6%
-0.3
Q3 2:52
Brett Thorson punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Cole Adams at the ALA 8
48.6%
0.0
ALA · Drive 16PUNT · 4 plays · 0 yds
Q3 2:46
Ty Simpson pass incomplete to Germie Bernard
41.8%
-6.8
Q3 2:42
Ty Simpson pass incomplete to Rico Scott
41.8%
0.0
Q3 2:37
Ty Simpson pass incomplete to Ryan Williams
41.8%
0.0
Q3 2:30
Blake Doud punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Zachariah Branch at the UGA 46
41.8%
0.0
UGA · Drive 17DOWNS · 9 plays · 43 yds
Q3 2:06
Gunner Stockton pass complete to Colbie Young for 3 yds to the UGA 49
48.5%
+6.7
Q3 1:47
Gunner Stockton run for 3 yds to the ALA 48
48.8%
+0.3
Q3 1:16
Gunner Stockton run for 21 yds to the ALA 27 for a 1ST down
49.5%
+0.7
Q3 1:00
Chauncey Bowens run for 4 yds to the ALA 23
50.7%
+1.2
Q3 0:01
Chauncey Bowens run for 6 yds to the ALA 17 for a 1ST down
50.7%
0.0
Q4 14:20
Josh McCray run for 7 yds to the ALA 10
50.7%
0.0
Q4 13:56
Josh McCray run for no gain to the ALA 10
50.7%
0.0
Q4 13:45
Gunner Stockton run for 2 yds to the ALA 8
50.5%
-0.3
Q4 13:20
Cash Jones run for a loss of 3 yards to the ALA 11
50.1%
-0.4
ALA · Drive 18PUNT · 11 plays · 49 yds
Q4 13:00
Kevin Riley run for 2 yds to the ALA 13
39.9%
-10.2
Q4 12:46
Ty Simpson pass incomplete to Germie Bernard
39.9%
0.0
Q4 12:12
Ty Simpson pass complete to Ryan Williams for 9 yds to the ALA 22 for a 1ST down
36.7%
-3.2
Q4 11:40
Jam Miller run for 2 yds to the ALA 24
36.7%
0.0
Q4 11:10
Ty Simpson pass complete to Isaiah Horton for 21 yds to the ALA 45 for a 1ST down
36.7%
0.0
Q4 10:15
Ty Simpson pass complete to Josh Cuevas for 12 yds to the UGA 43 for a 1ST down
34.2%
-2.5
Q4 9:31
Alabama Penalty, False Start (Geno VanDeMark) to the UGA 48
31.0%
-3.1
Q4 9:14
Ty Simpson pass complete to Ryan Williams for 2 yds to the UGA 46
30.6%
-0.5
Q4 8:29
Germie Bernard run for 6 yds to the UGA 40
30.2%
-0.4
Q4 8:19
Ty Simpson pass incomplete to Isaiah Horton
30.1%
-0.1
Q4 8:10
Blake Doud punt for 35 yds, downed at the UGA 5
30.7%
+0.7
UGA · Drive 19PUNT · 11 plays · 40 yds
Q4 7:51
Zachariah Branch run for 10 yds to the UGA 15 for a 1ST down
39.9%
+9.2
Q4 7:35
Chauncey Bowens run for 2 yds to the UGA 17 Georgia Penalty, Offensive Holding (Bo Hughley) to the UGA 9
39.9%
0.0
Q4 7:00
Gunner Stockton pass complete to Chauncey Bowens for 7 yds to the UGA 16
39.9%
0.0
Q4 6:15
Gunner Stockton run for a loss of 2 yards to the UGA 14
39.0%
-0.9
Q4 5:40
Gunner Stockton pass complete to Zachariah Branch for 22 yds to the UGA 36 for a 1ST down
39.0%
0.0
Q4 5:00
Gunner Stockton pass complete to Sacovie White-Helton for 5 yds to the UGA 41
38.9%
-0.1
Q4 4:15
Gunner Stockton pass complete to Chauncey Bowens for 7 yds to the UGA 48 for a 1ST down
39.5%
+0.6
Q4 4:00
Gunner Stockton pass complete to Colbie Young for 1 yd to the UGA 49
40.2%
+0.6
Q4 3:38
Gunner Stockton pass incomplete to Zachariah Branch
40.2%
0.0
Q4 3:20
Cash Jones run for a loss of 4 yards to the UGA 45
37.2%
-2.9
Q4 3:19
Brett Thorson punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Cole Adams at the ALA 12
36.6%
-0.6
ALA · Drive 20END OF GAME · 12 plays · 36 yds
Q4 2:52
Jam Miller run for 7 yds to the ALA 19
27.3%
-9.4
Q4 2:32
Timeout Alabama, clock 02:32
27.0%
-0.3
Q4 2:23
Jam Miller run for 2 yds to the ALA 21
26.3%
-0.7
Q4 2:23
Timeout Georgia, clock 02:23
24.1%
-2.2
Q4 2:16
Ty Simpson run for 2 yds to the ALA 23 for a 1ST down Georgia Penalty, Personal Foul (Ellis Robinson IV) to the ALA 38 for a 1ST down
24.1%
0.0
Q4 1:55
Jam Miller run for 6 yds to the ALA 44
20.7%
-3.4
Q4 1:55
Timeout Georgia, clock 01:55
20.5%
-0.2
Q4 1:51
Jam Miller run for a loss of 1 yard to the ALA 43
20.1%
-0.5
Q4 1:51
Timeout Georgia, clock 01:51
20.1%
0.0
Q4 1:29
Ty Simpson pass complete to Jam Miller for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down
18.0%
-2.1
Q4 0:45
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the ALA 49
16.1%
-1.8
Q4 0:01
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the ALA 48
14.6%
-1.5
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 6:30
Josh McCray run for 1 yd for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK)
+24.5
TD · Q2 2:08
Chauncey Bowens run for 2 yds for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK)
+17.9
KEY PLAY · Q2 0:34
Georgia Penalty, Personal Foul (Xzavier McLeod) to the 50 yard line
+15.2