ND
Notre Dame 56 at Arkansas 13
ARK2025 · Week 5 · Sep 27, 2025 · Razorback Stadium
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Win probability · ARK
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ARK · Drive 1FG · 8 plays · 54 yds
Q1 15:00
Erik Schmidt kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
38.7%
0.0
Q1 14:56
Taylen Green pass incomplete to O'Mega Blake
41.5%
+2.8
Q1 14:48
Taylen Green run for 14 yds to the ARK 39 for a 1ST down
41.5%
0.0
Q1 14:25
Taylen Green pass complete to O'Mega Blake for 33 yds to the ND 28 for a 1ST down
42.4%
+0.9
Q1 13:54
Braylen Russell run for 7 yds to the ND 21
44.2%
+1.8
Q1 13:22
Taylen Green pass incomplete to O'Mega Blake
44.2%
0.0
Q1 13:16
Taylen Green pass incomplete to Raylen Sharpe
44.0%
-0.2
Q1 12:55
Scott Starzyk 39 yd FG GOOD
48.9%
+4.9
ND · Drive 2TD · 12 plays · 75 yds
Q1 12:55
Devin Bale kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
47.4%
-1.4
Q1 12:48
Carr, CJ pass complete to Fields, Malachi for 22 yards to the NOTREDAME47, PENALTY NOTREDAME pass interference (Faison, Jordan) 12 yards to the NOTREDAME13, NO PLAY.
44.9%
-2.6
Q1 12:34
Jeremiyah Love run for 4 yds to the ND 17
44.9%
0.0
Q1 11:55
CJ Carr pass complete to Malachi Fields for 21 yds to the ND 38 for a 1ST down
44.9%
0.0
Q1 11:26
Jeremiyah Love run for 3 yds to the ND 41
44.0%
-0.9
Q1 10:56
CJ Carr pass complete to Jeremiyah Love for 25 yds to the ARK 34 for a 1ST down
43.7%
-0.3
Q1 10:40
CJ Carr pass incomplete to Jaden Greathouse, broken up by Jordan Young
42.0%
-1.7
Q1 10:33
Jeremiyah Love run for 3 yds to the ARK 31
42.0%
0.0
Q1 9:49
Jeremiyah Love run for 15 yds to the ARK 16 for a 1ST down
42.0%
0.0
Q1 9:05
Jadarian Price run for 1 yd to the ARK 15
42.1%
+0.1
Q1 8:29
Jadarian Price run for 14 yds to the ARK 1 for a 1ST down
42.1%
0.0
Q1 8:16
Jeremiyah Love run for 1 yd for a TD (Noah Burnette KICK)
29.0%
-13.1
ARK · Drive 3PUNT · 5 plays · 5 yds
Q1 8:16
Erik Schmidt kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
30.8%
+1.8
Q1 8:11
Mike Washington Jr. run for 5 yds to the ARK 30
34.9%
+4.1
Q1 7:40
Taylen Green pass incomplete to Jaden Platt, broken up by Adon Shuler
34.9%
0.0
Q1 7:35
Taylen Green pass incomplete to Braylen Russell
34.9%
0.0
Q1 7:28
Devin Bale punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Jordan Faison at the ND 27
34.9%
0.0
ND · Drive 4TD · 6 plays · 73 yds
Q1 7:21
CJ Carr pass complete to Eli Raridon for 18 yds to the ND 45 for a 1ST down
30.8%
-4.1
Q1 6:51
Jadarian Price run for 3 yds to the ND 48
29.4%
-1.4
Q1 6:15
CJ Carr pass complete to Will Pauling for 22 yds to the ARK 30 for a 1ST down
29.3%
-0.1
Q1 5:33
Jadarian Price run for 20 yds to the ARK 10 for a 1ST down
29.2%
-0.1
Q1 4:53
Jeremiyah Love run for 3 yds to the ARK 7
29.4%
+0.3
Q1 4:14
CJ Carr pass complete to Jeremiyah Love for 7 yds for a TD (Noah Burnette KICK)
17.6%
-11.8
ARK · Drive 5TD · 16 plays · 75 yds
Q1 4:14
Erik Schmidt kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
18.9%
+1.3
Q1 4:05
Taylen Green pass complete to O'Mega Blake for 8 yds to the ARK 33
23.7%
+4.9
Q1 3:40
Mike Washington Jr. run for no gain to the ARK 33
23.8%
+0.1
Q1 3:00
Mike Washington Jr. run for 21 yds to the ND 46 for a 1ST down
23.8%
0.0
Q1 2:24
Taylen Green pass complete to Andreas Paaske for 8 yds to the ND 38
25.0%
+1.2
Q1 1:48
Washington Jr., Mike rush for 14 yards to the NOTREDAME24, PENALTY ARK holding (Robinson II, Corey) 10 yards to the NOTREDAME48, NO PLAY.
25.8%
+0.8
Q1 1:38
Taylen Green pass complete to Jalen Brown for 11 yds to the ND 37
22.6%
-3.2
Q1 0:47
Braylen Russell run for 3 yds to the ND 34 for a 1ST down
23.7%
+1.1
Q1 0:11
Mike Washington Jr. run for 9 yds to the ND 25
23.8%
+0.1
Q2 14:54
Taylen Green run for no gain to the ND 25
23.8%
0.0
Q2 14:16
Mike Washington Jr. run for 3 yds to the ND 22 for a 1ST down
23.9%
+0.1
Q2 13:36
Taylen Green pass complete to O'Mega Blake for 5 yds to the ND 17
23.9%
0.0
Q2 13:04
Mike Washington Jr. run for 15 yds to the ND 2 for a 1ST down
23.9%
0.0
Q2 12:26
Mike Washington Jr. run for 1 yd to the ND 1
23.9%
0.0
Q2 11:56
Mike Washington Jr. run for no gain to the ND 1
23.9%
0.0
Q2 11:19
JacQawn McRoy run for 1 yd for a TD (Scott Starzyk KICK)
38.0%
+14.2
ND · Drive 6TD · 8 plays · 75 yds
Q2 11:19
Devin Bale kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
35.6%
-2.5
Q2 11:12
CJ Carr pass complete to Jeremiyah Love for 5 yds to the ND 30
31.9%
-3.7
Q2 10:37
Jeremiyah Love run for 6 yds to the ND 36 for a 1ST down
31.8%
-0.1
Q2 10:09
CJ Carr pass complete to Eli Raridon for 25 yds to the ARK 39 for a 1ST down
31.3%
-0.5
Q2 9:41
Carr, CJ pass incomplete to Gilbert, Micah, PENALTY ARK offside (Rhodes Jr., Quincy) 5 yards to the ARK34, NO PLAY.
30.1%
-1.2
Q2 9:35
Jadarian Price run for 4 yds to the ARK 30
30.1%
0.0
Q2 9:01
Jadarian Price run for 7 yds to the ARK 23 for a 1ST down
30.1%
0.0
Q2 8:26
CJ Carr pass complete to Will Pauling for 23 yds for a TD (Noah Burnette KICK)
17.1%
-13.0
ARK · Drive 7PUNT · 5 plays · 1 yds
Q2 8:26
Erik Schmidt kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
18.3%
+1.2
Q2 8:20
Mike Washington Jr. run for 1 yd to the ARK 26
20.7%
+2.3
Q2 7:47
Taylen Green pass incomplete to O'Mega Blake
19.5%
-1.2
Q2 7:40
Taylen Green pass incomplete
19.5%
0.0
Q2 7:29
Devin Bale punt for 47 yds , Jordan Faison returns for 3 yds to the ND 30
19.5%
0.0
ND · Drive 8TD · 5 plays · 70 yds
Q2 7:22
Jeremiyah Love run for 12 yds to the ND 42 for a 1ST down
17.9%
-1.6
Q2 6:44
CJ Carr pass incomplete to Ty Washington
16.9%
-1.0
Q2 6:37
CJ Carr pass complete to Jaden Greathouse for 24 yds to the ARK 34 for a 1ST down
16.9%
0.0
Q2 6:16
CJ Carr pass incomplete to Malachi Fields
16.9%
0.0
Q2 6:04
CJ Carr pass complete to Jeremiyah Love for 34 yds for a TD (Noah Burnette KICK)
7.1%
-9.8
ARK · Drive 9FG · 7 plays · 44 yds
Q2 6:04
Erik Schmidt kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
7.5%
+0.3
Q2 5:58
Taylen Green pass incomplete to Jalen Brown, broken up by Christian Gray
9.9%
+2.4
Q2 5:47
Taylen Green run for 54 yds to the ND 21 for a 1ST down
9.9%
0.0
Q2 5:11
Taylen Green sacked by Boubacar Traore for a loss of 10 yards to the ND 31
11.1%
+1.2
Q2 4:34
Taylen Green pass incomplete to Jalen Brown
11.0%
-0.1
Q2 4:29
Taylen Green run for no gain to the ND 31
11.0%
0.0
Q2 3:48
Scott Starzyk 49 yd FG GOOD
13.2%
+2.2
ND · Drive 10TD · 15 plays · 75 yds
Q2 3:48
Devin Bale kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
12.0%
-1.1
Q2 3:43
CJ Carr pass complete to Jordan Faison for 5 yds to the ND 30
11.9%
-0.2
Q2 3:10
CJ Carr pass incomplete to Malachi Fields
11.9%
0.0
Q2 3:03
CJ Carr run for 14 yds to the ND 44 for a 1ST down
11.9%
0.0
Q2 2:33
CJ Carr pass complete to Jordan Faison for 24 yds to the ARK 32 for a 1ST down
11.5%
-0.4
Q2 1:54
Jadarian Price run for 8 yds to the ARK 24
11.6%
+0.2
Q2 1:24
CJ Carr pass incomplete to Jordan Faison
11.6%
0.0
Q2 1:19
Jadarian Price run for no gain to the ARK 24
11.6%
0.0
Q2 1:18
Timeout Arkansas, clock 01:18
11.5%
-0.1
Q2 1:12
CJ Carr pass complete to Will Pauling for 8 yds to the ARK 16 for a 1ST down
11.7%
+0.1
Q2 1:07
CJ Carr pass incomplete to Will Pauling
11.3%
-0.3
Q2 0:59
Jeremiyah Love run for 5 yds to the ARK 11
11.3%
0.0
Q2 0:45
Timeout Notre Dame, clock 00:45
10.8%
-0.6
Q2 0:40
CJ Carr pass complete to Jaden Greathouse for 8 yds to the ARK 3 for a 1ST down
10.8%
0.0
Q2 0:35
Jeremiyah Love run for 3 yds for a TD (Noah Burnette KICK)
3.4%
-7.4
ARK · Drive 11FUMBLE · 2 plays · 20 yds
Q2 0:35
Erik Schmidt kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
3.4%
+0.1
Q2 0:24
Taylen Green pass complete to Raylen Sharpe for 20 yds Raylen Sharpe fumbled, forced by Adon Shuler, recovered by ND DeVonta Smith
7.8%
+4.4
ND · Drive 12TD · 2 plays · 45 yds
Q2 0:19
CJ Carr pass complete to Jordan Faison for 10 yds to the ARK 35 for a 1ST down
3.2%
-4.6
Q2 0:09
CJ Carr pass complete to Jadarian Price for 35 yds for a TD (Noah Burnette KICK)
2.4%
-0.8
ARK · Drive 13END OF HALF · 2 plays · -2 yds
Q2 0:09
Erik Schmidt kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
2.4%
0.0
Q2 0:06
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the ARK 23
4.5%
+2.1
ND · Drive 14DOWNS · 9 plays · 35 yds
Q3 15:00
Devin Bale kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
4.4%
-0.2
Q3 14:54
Jeremiyah Love run for 1 yd to the ND 26
2.7%
-1.6
Q3 14:17
CJ Carr pass incomplete to Eli Raridon, broken up by Xavian Sorey Jr.
2.7%
0.0
Q3 14:09
CJ Carr pass complete to Jeremiyah Love for a loss of 1 yard to the ND 25
2.7%
0.0
Q3 13:30
Jordan Faison pass complete to Malachi Fields for 40 yds to the ARK 35 for a 1ST down
2.6%
-0.1
Q3 12:56
Jeremiyah Love run for a loss of 1 yard to the ARK 36
2.7%
0.0
Q3 12:15
Jeremiyah Love run for no gain to the ARK 36
2.6%
0.0
Q3 11:35
CJ Carr pass complete to Jordan Faison for 10 yds to the ARK 26
2.5%
-0.1
Q3 10:55
CJ Carr sacked by Phillip Lee for a loss of 14 yards to the ARK 40 Notre Dame Penalty, Intentional Grounding (CJ Carr) to the ARK 40
2.5%
0.0
ARK · Drive 15DOWNS · 10 plays · 47 yds
Q3 10:50
Mike Washington Jr. run for 3 yds to the ARK 43
4.3%
+1.8
Q3 10:18
Taylen Green pass complete to Mike Washington Jr. for 6 yds to the ARK 49
4.4%
+0.1
Q3 9:42
Taylen Green pass complete to Jaden Platt for 23 yds to the ND 28 for a 1ST down
4.4%
0.0
Q3 9:10
Taylen Green pass complete to Raylen Sharpe for 9 yds to the ND 19
4.6%
+0.2
Q3 8:38
Mike Washington Jr. run for no gain to the ND 19
4.6%
0.0
Q3 7:59
Braylen Russell run for 5 yds to the ND 14 for a 1ST down
4.6%
0.0
Q3 7:23
Taylen Green pass incomplete to Jaden Platt, broken up by Tae Johnson
4.5%
-0.1
Q3 7:18
Mike Washington Jr. run for 1 yd to the ND 13
4.5%
0.0
Q3 6:42
Taylen Green pass incomplete to Jalen Brown, broken up by Mark Zackery IV
4.5%
0.0
Q3 6:38
Taylen Green pass incomplete to CJ Brown
4.5%
0.0
ND · Drive 16TD · 12 plays · 87 yds
Q3 6:31
CJ Carr pass complete to Jordan Faison for 11 yds to the ND 24 for a 1ST down
2.4%
-2.0
Q3 5:54
Jadarian Price run for 1 yd to the ND 25
2.4%
-0.1
Q3 5:23
Jadarian Price run for 1 yd to the ND 26
2.4%
0.0
Q3 4:46
Carr, CJ pass incomplete to Pauling, Will, PENALTY ARK pass interference (Young, Jordan) 15 yards to the NOTREDAME41, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NOTREDAME.
2.4%
+0.1
Q3 4:38
CJ Carr pass complete to Jordan Faison for 15 yds to the ARK 44 for a 1ST down
2.4%
0.0
Q3 4:04
Jadarian Price run for 5 yds to the ARK 39
2.3%
-0.1
Q3 3:21
Jadarian Price run for 6 yds to the ARK 33 Notre Dame Penalty, Illegal Block (Will Pauling) to the ARK 43
2.2%
-0.1
Q3 2:59
CJ Carr pass incomplete to Malachi Fields, broken up by Kani Walker
2.2%
0.0
Q3 2:52
CJ Carr pass complete to Malachi Fields for 11 yds to the ARK 32 for a 1ST down
2.2%
0.0
Q3 2:13
Jeremiyah Love run for 2 yds to the ARK 30
2.2%
0.0
Q3 1:39
CJ Carr pass complete to Jordan Faison for 14 yds to the ARK 16 for a 1ST down
2.2%
0.0
Q3 1:01
Jadarian Price run for 16 yds for a TD (Noah Burnette KICK)
1.9%
-0.3
ARK · Drive 17DOWNS · 15 plays · 32 yds
Q3 1:01
Erik Schmidt kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
1.9%
0.0
Q3 0:55
Taylen Green pass complete to Raylen Sharpe for 2 yds to the ARK 27
2.4%
+0.6
Q3 0:26
Green, Taylen pass complete to Russell, Braylen for 3 yards to the ARK30, PENALTY ARK holding (Kitler, Caden) 10 yards to the ARK17, NO PLAY.
2.4%
0.0
Q3 0:16
Taylen Green pass incomplete to O'Mega Blake
2.4%
0.0
Q3 0:05
Taylen Green run for 16 yds to the ARK 33
2.4%
0.0
Q4 14:55
Taylen Green pass complete to Raylen Sharpe for 5 yds to the ARK 38 for a 1ST down
2.4%
0.0
Q4 14:27
Taylen Green run for 13 yds to the ND 49 for a 1ST down
2.0%
-0.5
Q4 14:01
Taylen Green pass complete to O'Mega Blake for 5 yds to the ND 44
2.0%
0.0
Q4 13:40
Taylen Green pass complete to Raylen Sharpe for 6 yds to the ND 38 for a 1ST down
2.0%
0.0
Q4 13:06
Green, Taylen rush for 12 yards to the NOTREDAME26, PENALTY ARK holding (Robinson II, Corey) 10 yards to the NOTREDAME48, NO PLAY.
2.0%
+0.1
Q4 12:52
Taylen Green run for 5 yds to the ND 43
2.0%
-0.1
Q4 12:22
Green, Taylen pass complete to Sharpe, Raylen for 4 yards to the NOTREDAME39, PENALTY ARK holding (Carmona, Fernando) 10 yards to the ARK47, NO PLAY.
1.9%
-0.1
Q4 12:13
Taylen Green sacked by Jordan Botelho for a loss of 4 yards to the ARK 43
1.8%
-0.1
Q4 11:30
Taylen Green pass complete to Andy Jean for 21 yds to the ND 36
1.8%
0.0
Q4 11:01
Taylen Green sacked by Jaylen Sneed for a loss of 7 yards to the ND 43
1.9%
+0.1
ND · Drive 18TD · 4 plays · 57 yds
Q4 10:56
Aneyas Williams run for 3 yds to the ND 46
1.6%
-0.3
Q4 10:17
Kenny Minchey run for no gain to the ND 46
1.5%
0.0
Q4 9:29
Kenny Minchey pass complete to Matt Jeffery for 37 yds to the ARK 17 for a 1ST down
1.5%
0.0
Q4 8:54
A. Williams run for 17 yds for a TD (Erik Schmidt KICK)
1.5%
0.0
ARK · Drive 19INT · 9 plays · 49 yds
Q4 8:54
Erik Schmidt kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
1.5%
0.0
Q4 8:44
Taylen Green pass complete to Rohan Jones for 23 yds to the ARK 48 for a 1ST down
1.8%
+0.3
Q4 8:13
Taylen Green pass complete to O'Mega Blake for 9 yds to the ND 43
1.9%
0.0
Q4 7:43
Mike Washington Jr. run for no gain to the ND 43
1.9%
+0.1
Q4 7:03
Mike Washington Jr. run for 3 yds to the ND 40 for a 1ST down
1.9%
0.0
Q4 6:32
Taylen Green pass complete to O'Mega Blake for 13 yds to the ND 27 for a 1ST down
1.9%
0.0
Q4 5:59
Mike Washington Jr. run for 1 yd to the ND 26
2.0%
+0.1
Q4 5:25
Taylen Green pass incomplete to Raylen Sharpe, broken up by Cole Mullins
2.0%
0.0
Q4 5:19
Taylen Green pass intercepted, touchback. Luke Talich return for no gain
2.0%
0.0
ND · Drive 20END OF GAME · 11 plays · 27 yds
Q4 5:15
Nolan James Jr. run for 1 yd to the ND 21
1.5%
-0.5
Q4 4:29
Gi'Bran Payne run for 24 yds to the ND 45 for a 1ST down
1.5%
0.0
Q4 4:29
Notre Dame Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (James Flanigan) to the ND 30
1.5%
0.0
Q4 4:00
Nolan James Jr. run for 4 yds to the ND 34
1.5%
0.0
Q4 3:14
Gi'Bran Payne run for 5 yds to the ND 39
1.5%
0.0
Q4 2:35
Timeout Notre Dame, clock 02:35
1.4%
0.0
Q4 2:29
Nolan James Jr. run for 2 yds to the ND 41 for a 1ST down
1.4%
0.0
Q4 1:55
Gi'Bran Payne run for a loss of 2 yards to the ND 39
1.4%
-0.1
Q4 1:10
Notre Dame Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the ND 34
1.4%
0.0
Q4 0:44
Nolan James Jr. run for 15 yds to the ND 49
1.4%
0.0
Q4 0:18
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the ND 47
1.4%
0.0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 11:19
JacQawn McRoy run for 1 yd for a TD (Scott Starzyk KICK)
+14.2
TD · Q1 8:16
Jeremiyah Love run for 1 yd for a TD (Noah Burnette KICK)
-13.1
TD · Q2 8:26
CJ Carr pass complete to Will Pauling for 23 yds for a TD (Noah Burnette KICK)
-13