AUB
Auburn 17 at Oklahoma 24
OU2025 · Week 4 · Sep 20, 2025 · Memorial Stadium (Norman, OK)
Speed4x
Win probability · OU
modelOU aheadAUB aheadconfidence bandkey play
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
AUB · Drive 1PUNT · 5 plays · -8 yds
Q1 15:00
Tate Sandell kickoff for 59 yds , Rayshawn Pleasant return for 18 yds to the AUB 24
70.2%
0.0
Q1 14:40
Jackson Arnold run for 1 yd to the AUB 25
67.9%
-2.3
Q1 14:00
Jeremiah Cobb run for 2 yds to the AUB 27
67.9%
0.0
Q1 13:38
Jackson Arnold sacked by Taylor Wein for a loss of 11 yards to the AUB 16
67.9%
0.0
Q1 13:01
Hudson Kaak punt for 48 yds , Isaiah Sategna III returns for 4 yds to the OU 20 Oklahoma Penalty, Illegal Block (Devon Jordan) to the OU 30
67.9%
0.0
OU · Drive 2FG · 14 plays · 39 yds
Q1 12:51
Tory Blaylock run for 3 yds to the OU 33
70.5%
+2.6
Q1 12:30
John Mateer pass complete to Deion Burks for 10 yds to the OU 43 for a 1ST down
70.5%
0.0
Q1 12:09
Tory Blaylock run for 2 yds to the OU 45
71.4%
+0.9
Q1 11:27
John Mateer run for 6 yds to the AUB 49
71.4%
0.0
Q1 11:11
Tory Blaylock run for 1 yd to the AUB 48
72.0%
+0.6
Q1 10:37
John Mateer run for 8 yds to the AUB 40 for a 1ST down
71.7%
-0.3
Q1 10:18
John Mateer pass incomplete to Deion Burks
72.5%
+0.8
Q1 10:03
John Mateer pass incomplete to Isaiah Sategna III
72.5%
0.0
Q1 9:54
Auburn Penalty, Defensive Holding (Rayshawn Pleasant) to the AUB 30 for a 1ST down
72.3%
-0.2
Q1 9:54
Oklahoma Penalty, False Start (Heath Ozaeta) to the AUB 35
72.5%
+0.2
Q1 9:48
John Mateer run for 1 yd to the AUB 34
72.5%
0.0
Q1 9:20
John Mateer pass incomplete to Isaiah Sategna III
72.6%
+0.1
Q1 9:03
John Mateer pass complete to Ivan Carreon for 3 yds to the AUB 31
72.4%
-0.2
Q1 8:32
Tate Sandell 49 yd FG GOOD
75.8%
+3.4
AUB · Drive 3FG · 12 plays · 87 yds
Q1 8:27
Tate Sandell kickoff for 60 yds , Rayshawn Pleasant return for 9 yds to the AUB 44 Auburn Penalty, Illegal Block (7 Yards) to the AUB 7
74.8%
-1.0
Q1 8:07
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Cam Coleman for 46 yds to the OU 47 for a 1ST down
73.4%
-1.4
Q1 7:47
Jackson Arnold pass incomplete to Eric Singleton Jr.
71.6%
-1.8
Q1 7:43
Jackson Arnold pass incomplete to Eric Singleton Jr.
71.6%
0.0
Q1 7:34
Jackson Arnold run for 11 yds to the OU 36 for a 1ST down
71.6%
0.0
Q1 6:53
Jeremiah Cobb run for no gain to the OU 36
71.1%
-0.5
Q1 6:16
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Malcolm Simmons for 15 yds to the OU 21 for a 1ST down
70.7%
-0.4
Q1 6:10
Oklahoma Penalty, Face Mask (10 yards) (Gentry Williams) to the OU 11 for a 1ST down
70.7%
0.0
Q1 5:50
Jeremiah Cobb run for 7 yds to the OU 4
70.7%
0.0
Q1 5:14
Jackson Arnold run for a loss of 2 yards to the OU 6
70.7%
0.0
Q1 4:29
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Eric Singleton Jr. for no gain to the OU 6
70.7%
0.0
Q1 3:56
Alex McPherson 24 yd FG GOOD
65.5%
-5.2
OU · Drive 4PUNT · 5 plays · 4 yds
Q1 3:56
Connor Gibbs kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
67.2%
+1.7
Q1 3:41
John Mateer pass complete to Jaren Kanak for 8 yds to the OU 33
69.8%
+2.6
Q1 3:13
Isaiah Sategna III run for a loss of 4 yards to the OU 29
69.8%
0.0
Q1 2:39
John Mateer run for no gain to the OU 29
69.8%
0.0
Q1 1:58
Grayson Miller punt for 47 yds , Malcolm Simmons returns for 1 yd to the AUB 25
69.1%
-0.7
AUB · Drive 5PUNT · 4 plays · -1 yds
Q1 1:53
Damari Alston run for 1 yd to the AUB 26
66.4%
-2.7
Q1 1:11
Jackson Arnold sacked by Owen Heinecke for a loss of 2 yards to the AUB 24
66.4%
0.0
Q1 0:40
Jackson Arnold pass incomplete to Cam Coleman
66.2%
-0.2
Q1 0:31
Hudson Kaak punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Sategna III at the OU 27
66.2%
0.0
OU · Drive 6PUNT · 5 plays · 3 yds
Q1 0:25
Tory Blaylock run for 6 yds to the OU 33
69.2%
+3.0
Q1 0:01
John Mateer pass complete to Deion Burks for 2 yds to the OU 35
69.1%
-0.1
Q2 14:56
John Mateer pass incomplete to Carson Kent
69.1%
0.0
Q2 14:56
Oklahoma Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the OU 30
68.8%
-0.3
Q2 14:45
Grayson Miller punt for 66 yds , Malcolm Simmons returns for a loss of 1 yard to the AUB 3
68.8%
0.0
AUB · Drive 7DOWNS · 11 plays · 9 yds
Q2 14:30
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Cam Coleman for 40 yds to the AUB 43 for a 1ST down
66.1%
-2.7
Q2 13:48
Jackson Arnold pass incomplete to Horatio Fields
64.8%
-1.3
Q2 13:48
Auburn Penalty, False Start (Mason Murphy) to the AUB 38
64.8%
0.0
Q2 13:48
Auburn Penalty, False Start (Dillon Wade) to the AUB 33
65.1%
+0.3
Q2 13:40
Jackson Arnold sacked by Marvin Jones Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the AUB 32 for a 1ST down Oklahoma Penalty, Horse Collar Tackle (Marvin Jones Jr.) to the AUB 47 for a 1ST down
66.1%
+1.0
Q2 13:17
Auburn Penalty, Offensive Holding (Connor Lew) to the AUB 37
64.0%
-2.0
Q2 12:49
Jackson Arnold sacked by David Stone for a loss of 8 yards to the AUB 29
65.9%
+1.8
Q2 12:13
Jackson Arnold pass incomplete to Preston Howard
66.1%
+0.2
Q2 12:13
Auburn Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the AUB 24
66.1%
0.0
Q2 12:09
Damari Alston run for no gain to the AUB 24
66.1%
0.0
Q2 11:35
Hudson Kaak run for a loss of 12 yards to the AUB 12
66.0%
-0.1
OU · Drive 8TD · 3 plays · 12 yds
Q2 11:29
Oklahoma Penalty, Offensive Holding (Heath Ozaeta) to the AUB 22
71.1%
+5.1
Q2 11:06
Tory Blaylock run for a loss of 2 yards to the AUB 24
71.1%
0.0
Q2 10:45
John Mateer pass complete to Isaiah Sategna III for 24 yds for a TD (Tate Sandell KICK)
82.5%
+11.4
AUB · Drive 9PUNT · 5 plays · 8 yds
Q2 10:45
Tate Sandell kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
81.7%
-0.7
Q2 10:39
Jackson Arnold sacked by Jayden Jackson for a loss of 2 yards to the AUB 23
78.9%
-2.9
Q2 10:11
Jackson Arnold run for 3 yds to the AUB 26
78.9%
0.0
Q2 9:27
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Eric Singleton Jr. for 7 yds to the AUB 33
78.9%
0.0
Q2 8:53
Hudson Kaak punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Sategna III at the OU 19
78.9%
0.0
OU · Drive 10FUMBLE · 5 plays · 47 yds
Q2 8:48
John Mateer pass incomplete to Deion Burks
81.7%
+2.9
Q2 8:37
Tory Blaylock run for 3 yds to the OU 22
81.7%
0.0
Q2 8:12
John Mateer pass complete to Isaiah Sategna III for 29 yds to the AUB 49 for a 1ST down
82.3%
+0.6
Q2 7:46
John Mateer pass complete to Keontez Lewis for 19 yds to the AUB 30 for a 1ST down
82.9%
+0.6
Q2 7:40
John Mateer run for a loss of 4 yards to the AUB 34 John Mateer fumbled, recovered by AUB Keyron Crawford
83.1%
+0.1
AUB · Drive 11PUNT · 6 plays · 14 yds
Q2 7:35
Jackson Arnold pass incomplete
79.4%
-3.7
Q2 7:25
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Eric Singleton Jr. for 16 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down
79.4%
0.0
Q2 7:06
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Eric Singleton Jr. for 2 yds to the OU 48
78.2%
-1.1
Q2 6:33
Jackson Arnold sacked by Jayden Jackson for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard line
78.2%
0.0
Q2 6:05
Jackson Arnold sacked by Kip Lewis and Jayden Jackson for a loss of 2 yards to the AUB 48
78.2%
0.0
Q2 5:25
Hudson Kaak punt for 38 yds , Isaiah Sategna III returns for no gain to the OU 14
78.7%
+0.4
OU · Drive 12PUNT · 5 plays · 0 yds
Q2 5:20
Jovantae Barnes run for no gain to the OU 14
82.3%
+3.7
Q2 4:41
John Mateer pass incomplete
82.3%
0.0
Q2 4:41
Timeout Oklahoma, clock 04:41
81.8%
-0.5
Q2 4:41
John Mateer pass incomplete to Jaren Kanak
81.8%
0.0
Q2 4:25
Grayson Miller punt for 52 yds , Malcolm Simmons returns for 6 yds to the AUB 40
81.4%
-0.4
AUB · Drive 13TD · 12 plays · 60 yds
Q2 4:19
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Eric Singleton Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the AUB 39
79.6%
-1.8
Q2 3:50
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Eric Singleton Jr. for 18 yds to the OU 43 for a 1ST down
79.6%
0.0
Q2 3:21
Auburn Penalty, False Start (Jeremiah Wright) to the OU 48
78.4%
-1.2
Q2 2:59
Damari Alston run for 15 yds to the OU 33 for a 1ST down
78.9%
+0.5
Q2 2:12
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Damari Alston for 7 yds to the OU 26
78.4%
-0.5
Q2 1:53
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Eric Singleton Jr. for 10 yds to the OU 16 for a 1ST down
78.3%
-0.1
Q2 1:22
Damari Alston run for no gain to the OU 16
78.3%
0.0
Q2 1:22
Timeout Oklahoma, clock 01:22
78.3%
0.0
Q2 1:18
Oklahoma Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Courtland Guillory) to the OU 2 for a 1ST down
78.3%
0.0
Q2 1:11
Damari Alston run for no gain to the OU 2
78.3%
0.0
Q2 1:11
Timeout Oklahoma, clock 01:11
78.3%
0.0
Q2 1:08
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Cam Coleman for 2 yds for a TD (Alex McPherson KICK)
59.6%
-18.7
OU · Drive 14END OF HALF · 6 plays · -7 yds
Q2 1:08
Connor Gibbs kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
62.3%
+2.7
Q2 0:54
John Mateer pass complete to Isaiah Sategna III for 9 yds to the OU 34
68.7%
+6.4
Q2 0:47
John Mateer pass incomplete to Keontez Lewis
68.7%
0.0
Q2 0:42
John Mateer run for 4 yds to the OU 38 for a 1ST down
68.6%
-0.1
Q2 0:30
John Mateer sacked by Keldric Faulk for a loss of 5 yards to the OU 33
69.2%
+0.5
Q2 0:06
Oklahoma Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (Isaiah Sategna III) to the OU 18
67.9%
-1.2
OU · Drive 15PUNT · 5 plays · 0 yds
Q3 15:00
Connor Gibbs kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
62.6%
-5.3
Q3 14:55
Tory Blaylock run for no gain to the OU 25
68.5%
+5.9
Q3 14:36
John Mateer pass incomplete to Jaren Kanak
68.5%
0.0
Q3 14:30
John Mateer pass incomplete to Tory Blaylock
68.5%
0.0
Q3 14:19
Grayson Miller punt for 58 yds , Malcolm Simmons returns for 3 yds to the AUB 20
68.2%
-0.3
AUB · Drive 16PUNT · 4 plays · -3 yds
Q3 14:15
Jackson Arnold pass incomplete
62.6%
-5.6
Q3 14:08
Jackson Arnold sacked by R Mason Thomas for a loss of 8 yards to the AUB 12
62.6%
0.0
Q3 13:30
Jeremiah Cobb run for 5 yds to the AUB 17
62.2%
-0.5
Q3 12:57
Hudson Kaak punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Sategna III at the OU 40
62.0%
-0.1
OU · Drive 17FG · 11 plays · 46 yds
Q3 12:51
John Mateer pass incomplete to Deion Burks
68.8%
+6.7
Q3 12:45
Tory Blaylock run for a loss of 1 yard to the OU 39
68.8%
0.0
Q3 11:58
John Mateer pass complete to Jaren Kanak for 16 yds to the AUB 45 for a 1ST down
68.3%
-0.5
Q3 11:42
John Mateer run for 6 yds to the AUB 39
69.8%
+1.5
Q3 11:06
John Mateer pass complete to Isaiah Sategna III for 5 yds to the AUB 34 for a 1ST down
70.1%
+0.3
Q3 10:47
John Mateer pass complete to Tory Blaylock for 8 yds to the AUB 26
70.1%
0.0
Q3 10:06
John Mateer pass complete to Isaiah Sategna III for 7 yds to the AUB 19 for a 1ST down
70.1%
0.0
Q3 9:50
John Mateer pass complete to Tory Blaylock for 2 yds to the AUB 17
70.1%
0.0
Q3 9:16
John Mateer pass incomplete to Jovantae Barnes
70.1%
0.0
Q3 9:07
John Mateer pass complete to Deion Burks for 3 yds to the AUB 14
69.9%
-0.2
Q3 8:36
Tate Sandell 32 yd FG GOOD
76.7%
+6.8
AUB · Drive 18PUNT · 6 plays · 3 yds
Q3 8:36
Tate Sandell kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
75.7%
-1.0
Q3 8:21
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Eric Singleton Jr. for 5 yds to the AUB 30
70.8%
-4.9
Q3 8:00
Jackson Arnold run for 3 yds to the AUB 33
70.8%
0.0
Q3 7:16
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Malcolm Simmons for no gain to the AUB 33
70.8%
0.0
Q3 6:39
Auburn Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the AUB 28
70.8%
0.0
Q3 6:22
Hudson Kaak punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Sategna III at the OU 24
70.8%
0.0
OU · Drive 19PUNT · 4 plays · 4 yds
Q3 6:15
Tory Blaylock run for 4 yds to the OU 28
76.2%
+5.4
Q3 5:56
Tory Blaylock run for a loss of 4 yards to the OU 24
76.2%
0.0
Q3 5:13
John Mateer pass complete to Deion Burks for 4 yds to the OU 28
75.6%
-0.6
Q3 4:51
Grayson Miller punt for 49 yds, downed at the AUB 23
75.1%
-0.5
AUB · Drive 20MISSED FG · 6 plays · 45 yds
Q3 4:39
Jeremiah Cobb run for 44 yds to the OU 33 for a 1ST down
72.4%
-2.7
Q3 3:53
Jackson Arnold pass incomplete to Cam Coleman
69.8%
-2.6
Q3 3:48
Jackson Arnold pass incomplete to Horatio Fields
69.8%
0.0
Q3 3:48
Auburn Penalty, False Start (Xavier Chaplin) to the OU 38
69.8%
0.0
Q3 3:42
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Malcolm Simmons for 6 yds to the OU 32
69.8%
0.0
Q3 3:05
Connor Gibbs 50 yd FG MISSED
70.4%
+0.7
OU · Drive 21FG · 9 plays · 58 yds
Q3 2:49
John Mateer pass complete to Deion Burks for 12 yds to the OU 44 for a 1ST down
76.0%
+5.5
Q3 2:42
Timeout Auburn, clock 02:42
76.1%
+0.1
Q3 2:26
John Mateer pass complete to Isaiah Sategna III for 5 yds to the OU 49
76.1%
0.0
Q3 2:03
John Mateer pass complete to Isaiah Sategna III for 10 yds to the AUB 41 for a 1ST down
76.4%
+0.3
Q3 1:36
John Mateer pass complete to Jaren Kanak for 23 yds to the AUB 18 for a 1ST down
76.7%
+0.3
Q3 1:15
Deion Burks run for a loss of 3 yards to the AUB 21
76.7%
0.0
Q3 0:34
John Mateer pass complete to Keontez Lewis for 10 yds to the AUB 11
76.7%
0.0
Q3 0:20
Tory Blaylock run for 1 yd to the AUB 10
76.5%
-0.2
Q4 14:56
Tate Sandell 28 yd FG GOOD
83.9%
+7.3
AUB · Drive 22TD · 18 plays · 75 yds
Q4 14:56
Tate Sandell kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
83.1%
-0.8
Q4 14:45
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Damari Alston for 12 yds to the AUB 37 for a 1ST down
76.2%
-6.9
Q4 14:10
Damari Alston run for 4 yds to the AUB 41
76.2%
0.0
Q4 13:32
Jackson Arnold run for 3 yds to the AUB 44
77.8%
+1.6
Q4 12:49
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Damari Alston for 5 yds to the AUB 49 for a 1ST down
77.8%
0.0
Q4 12:02
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Malcolm Simmons for 9 yds to the OU 42
78.5%
+0.7
Q4 11:36
Damari Alston run for 5 yds to the OU 37 for a 1ST down
77.9%
-0.7
Q4 10:51
Jackson Arnold run for a loss of 4 yards to the OU 41
79.3%
+1.4
Q4 10:05
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Eric Singleton Jr. for 3 yds to the OU 38
79.5%
+0.2
Q4 9:24
Eric Singleton Jr. pass incomplete to Cam Coleman
80.8%
+1.3
Q4 9:24
Timeout Auburn, clock 09:24
81.1%
+0.3
Q4 9:16
Jackson Arnold run for 15 yds to the OU 23 for a 1ST down
81.1%
0.0
Q4 8:31
Jackson Arnold pass incomplete
80.7%
-0.4
Q4 8:25
Jackson Arnold pass incomplete to Malcolm Simmons
80.7%
0.0
Q4 8:12
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Horatio Fields for 9 yds to the OU 14
80.7%
0.0
Q4 7:36
Auburn Penalty, False Start (Xavier Chaplin) to the OU 19
81.1%
+0.5
Q4 7:12
Oklahoma Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Courtland Guillory) to the OU 4 for a 1ST down
81.1%
0.0
Q4 7:08
Malcolm Simmons run for 4 yds for a TD (Alex McPherson KICK)
52.3%
-28.8
OU · Drive 23TD · 7 plays · 75 yds
Q4 7:08
Connor Gibbs kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
54.4%
+2.1
Q4 6:58
John Mateer pass complete to Deion Burks for 9 yds to the OU 34
60.2%
+5.8
Q4 6:42
John Mateer run for 4 yds to the OU 38 for a 1ST down
60.2%
0.0
Q4 6:20
John Mateer pass complete to Isaiah Sategna III for 7 yds to the OU 45
60.3%
+0.1
Q4 5:48
John Mateer pass complete to Jaren Kanak for 15 yds to the AUB 40 for a 1ST down
60.6%
+0.3
Q4 5:12
John Mateer pass complete to Isaiah Sategna III for 31 yds to the AUB 9 for a 1ST down
60.2%
-0.4
Q4 4:54
John Mateer run for 9 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)
87.1%
+26.9
AUB · Drive 24SF · 11 plays · -8 yds
Q4 4:54
Tate Sandell kickoff for 65 yds , Rayshawn Pleasant return for 16 yds to the AUB 49 Auburn Penalty, Illegal Block (8 Yards) to the AUB 8
86.5%
-0.6
Q4 4:38
Jeremiah Cobb run for 3 yds to the AUB 11
82.2%
-4.3
Q4 4:03
Jackson Arnold run for 3 yds to the AUB 14
82.2%
0.0
Q4 3:36
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Horatio Fields for 9 yds to the AUB 23 for a 1ST down
82.7%
+0.5
Q4 2:52
Jackson Arnold run for no gain to the AUB 23
82.5%
-0.2
Q4 2:30
Auburn Penalty, Offensive Holding (Connor Lew) to the AUB 13
82.9%
+0.4
Q4 2:17
Auburn Penalty, False Start (Xavier Chaplin) to the AUB 8
83.5%
+0.6
Q4 1:52
Jackson Arnold run for no gain to the AUB 8
85.8%
+2.3
Q4 1:18
Jackson Arnold sacked by Gracen Halton for a loss of 4 yards to the AUB 4
86.2%
+0.4
Q4 1:06
Jackson Arnold sacked by R Mason Thomas for a loss of 4 yards for a SAFETY
89.7%
+3.5
Q4 1:06
Timeout Oklahoma, clock 01:06
86.0%
-3.6
OU · Drive 25END OF GAME · 3 plays · -3 yds
Q4 1:06
Connor Gibbs on-side kick recovered by Oklahoma at the AUB 29
89.3%
+3.3
Q4 1:00
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the AUB 31
92.0%
+2.7
Q4 0:26
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the AUB 32
92.1%
+0.1
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 7:08
Malcolm Simmons run for 4 yds for a TD (Alex McPherson KICK)
-28.8
TD · Q4 4:54
John Mateer run for 9 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)
+26.9
TD · Q2 1:08
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Cam Coleman for 2 yds for a TD (Alex McPherson KICK)
-18.7