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SC

South Carolina 20 at Missouri 29

MIZ
2025 · Week 4 · Sep 20, 2025 · Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · MIZ
modelMIZ aheadSC aheadconfidence bandkey playMIZ scoreSC score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDFGFGFGTDFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:46 · LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Nyck Harbor for 3 yds to the SC 45
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+26.5+13.30−13.3−26.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 169Pregame prior+0.3Home team on offense+22.2Garbage-time factor+6.3Score differential+7.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+1.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 2:31: LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Brian Rowe Jr. for 24 yds for a TD (William Joyce KICK) — SC win probability +12.2 pts (now 45%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  2. FG · Q3 8:27: William Joyce 32 yd FG GOOD — SC win probability +6.5 pts (now 50%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 5:34: Ahmad Hardy run for 5 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed) — MIZ win probability +17.2 pts (now 73%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 0:18: William Joyce 36 yd FG GOOD — SC win probability +16.1 pts (now 53%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 9:32: Jamal Roberts run for 16 yds for a TD (B. Pribula Run For Two-point Conversion) — MIZ win probability +27.3 pts (now 88%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MIZ made the numbers' call on 5 of 6SC made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 12:49SC 4th & 11 at SC 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.4%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:19MIZ 4th & 7 at MIZ 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.0%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:02SC 4th & 12 at MIZ 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.5%−0.2
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    26.5%−0.2
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    26.7%
    average punt
  4. Q2 5:54MIZ 4th & 5 at SC 5, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 68.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.0%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    68.0%
    92% to make
    Punt
    62.7%−5.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 3:53SC 4th & 29 at SC 6, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.5%−3.4
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:17MIZ 4th & 4 at SC 4, down 5
    Close callKicked a field goal · 59.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    59.2%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    51.4%−7.9
    average punt
  7. Q3 12:50MIZ 4th & 15 at MIZ 20, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.0%−3.9
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.8%
    average punt
  8. Q3 8:27SC 4th & 14 at MIZ 14, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 39.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.6%−4.3
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    38.8%
    84% to make
    Punt
    25.2%−13.6
    average punt
  9. Q3 0:18SC 4th & 4 at MIZ 18, down 1
    Close callKicked a field goal · 35.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.2%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    34.6%−0.6
    79% to make
    Punt
    20.7%−14.5
    average punt
  10. Q4 8:15SC 4th & 7 at SC 33, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.8%−0.3
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.1%
    average punt
  11. Q4 6:03MIZ 4th & 7 at MIZ 32, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.2%−2.8
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.9%
    average punt
  12. Q4 5:03SC 4th & 9 at SC 32, down 6
    Close callPunted · 17.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.4%
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.8%−0.7
    average punt
  13. Q4 1:34MIZ 4th & 14 at SC 22, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 92.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.4%−1.7
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    93.1%
    72% to make
    Punt
    88.4%−4.7
    average punt
  14. Q4 0:46SC 4th & 8 at SC 42, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.1%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.0%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MIZ made the numbers' call on 2 of 3SC made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 14:24MIZ Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    75.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 11:26SC Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    29.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 2:31SC Touchdown, up 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 5:34MIZ Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    71.1%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    70.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 9:32MIZ Touchdown, up 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · converted
    Kick
    73.2%−0.7
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    73.9%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SCDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 1:5126% → 26%
Q1 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+10
73.8%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Rahsul Faison for 10 yds to the SC 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:04
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
73.7%
Brian Rowe Jr. run for no gain to the SC 36Similar
Q1 13:23
2ND & 10
OWN 36
-1
73.5%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Vandrevius Jacobs for a loss of 1 yard to the SC 35Similar
Q1 13:01
3RD & 11
OWN 35
0
73.5%
LaNorris Sellers pass incomplete to Brian Rowe Jr.Similar
Q1 12:49
4TH & 11
OWN 35
0
73.6%
Mason Love punt for 56 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 2PUNT
12 plays · 39 yds · 5:2373% → 72%
Q1 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+4
73.4%
Ahmad Hardy run for 4 yds to the MIZ 13Similar
Q1 12:04
2ND & 6
OWN 13
+4
73.3%
Ahmad Hardy run for 4 yds to the MIZ 17Similar
Q1 11:29
3RD & 2
OWN 17
+6
73.1%
Jamal Roberts run for 6 yds to the MIZ 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:46
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
73.1%
Beau Pribula run for 5 yds to the MIZ 28Similar
Q1 10:09
2ND & 5
OWN 28
+2
73.0%
Ahmad Hardy run for 2 yds to the MIZ 30Similar
Q1 9:23
3RD & 3
OWN 30
+5
72.7%
Beau Pribula pass complete to Marquis Johnson for 5 yds to the MIZ 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:03
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
72.8%
Beau Pribula pass complete to Marquis Johnson for 7 yds to the MIZ 42Similar
Q1 8:46
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+3
73.0%
Jamal Roberts run for 3 yds to the MIZ 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
72.9%
Ahmad Hardy run for 3 yds to the MIZ 48Similar
Q1 7:34
2ND & 7
OWN 48
0
72.8%
Beau Pribula pass incomplete to Donovan OlugbodeSimilar
Q1 7:29
3RD & 7
OWN 48
0
72.5%
Beau Pribula pass incomplete to Xavier LoydSimilar
Q1 7:19
4TH & 7
OWN 48
0
72.1%
Connor Weselman punt for 52 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 3PUNT
11 plays · 37 yds · 3:1728% → 28%
Q1 7:19
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
72.1%
PENALTY USC False Start (Stanley,Boaz) 5 yards from USC20 to USC15. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:13
1ST & 15
OWN 15
-1
72.1%
Rahsul Faison run for a loss of 1 yard to the SC 14Similar
Q1 6:46
2ND & 16
OWN 14
+10
72.1%
(06:47) No Huddle-Shotgun Sellers,LaNorris pass incomplete short left to Harbor,Nyck thrown to USC28 broken up by Norwood,Dreyden PENALTY Mizzou Holding (Norwood,Dreyden) 10 yards from USC14 to USC24, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+20
72.0%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Jordan Dingle for 20 yds to the SC 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
71.2%
Matt Fuller run for 1 yd to the SC 45Similar
Q1 5:32
2ND & 9
OWN 45
0
71.1%
LaNorris Sellers pass incomplete to Vandrevius JacobsSimilar
Q1 5:27
3RD & 9
OWN 45
+14
71.4%
(05:27) No Huddle-Shotgun Sellers,LaNorris pass incomplete short middle to Rowe Jr.,Brian thrown to Mizzou40, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY Mizzou Pass Interference (Hall,Stephen) 14 yards from USC45 to Mizzou41, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:18
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-3
70.8%
LaNorris Sellers sacked by Nicholas Rodriguez for a loss of 3 yards to the MIZ 44Similar
Q1 4:54
2ND & 13
OPP 44
+1
71.0%
Rahsul Faison run for 1 yd to the MIZ 43Similar
Q1 4:11
3RD & 12
OPP 43
0
70.9%
LaNorris Sellers pass incomplete to Mazeo Bennett Jr.Similar
Q1 4:02
4TH & 12
OPP 43
0
71.6%
Mason Love punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 4TD
9 plays · 99 yds · 4:3171% → 75%
Q1 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
71.3%
Jamal Roberts run for no gain to the MIZ 1Similar
Q1 3:06
2ND & 10
OWN 1
+8
71.0%
Beau Pribula pass complete to Marquis Johnson for 8 yds to the MIZ 9Similar
Q1 2:28
3RD & 2
OWN 9
+24
70.6%
Beau Pribula run for 14 yds to the MIZ 23 for a 1ST down South Carolina Penalty, Defensive Holding (Brandon Cisse) to the MIZ 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
71.3%
Kevin Coleman Jr. run for 3 yds to the MIZ 36Similar
Q1 1:33
2ND & 7
OWN 36
+27
71.6%
Ahmad Hardy run for 27 yds to the SC 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:53
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+25
72.2%
Beau Pribula pass complete to Brett Norfleet for 25 yds to the SC 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
72.4%
Ahmad Hardy run for no gain to the SC 12Similar
Q2 14:50
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+4
72.4%
Beau Pribula pass complete to Kevin Coleman Jr. for 4 yds to the SC 8Similar
Q2 14:24
3RD & 6
OPP 8
+8
75.1%
Joshua Manning 8 Yd pass from Beau Pribula (Robert Meyer PAT failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 5TD
11 plays · 67 yds · 2:5829% → 32%
Q2 14:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
71.4%
Missouri Penalty, (Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 14:12
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+11
73.2%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Brian Rowe Jr. for 11 yds to the SC 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:48
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
72.5%
Matt Fuller run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 13:19
2ND & 4
50
+5
73.4%
Oscar Adaway III run for 5 yds to the MIZ 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:53
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-5
73.4%
PENALTY USC False Start 5 yards from Mizzou45 to Mizzou50. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:29
1ST & 15
50
-1
74.2%
Oscar Adaway III run for a loss of 1 yard to the SC 49Similar
Q2 11:55
2ND & 16
OWN 49
+2
74.5%
LaNorris Sellers run for 2 yds to the MIZ 49Similar
Q2 11:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
72.6%
Missouri Penalty, (Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 11:26
3RD & 14
OPP 49
+49
67.7%
Vandrevius Jacobs 49 Yd pass from LaNorris Sellers (William Joyce Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 6FG
13 plays · 60 yds · 5:2069% → 73%
Q2 11:14
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
69.1%
Beau Pribula run for 4 yds to the MIZ 39Similar
Q2 10:40
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+14
70.3%
Ahmad Hardy run for 14 yds to the SC 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:06
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
70.6%
(10:07) No Huddle-Shotgun Pribula,Beau pass complete short right to Johnson,Marquis caught at USC42, for 5 yards to the USC42, End Of Play PENALTY USC Offside (Kilgore,Jalon) 5 yards from USC47 to USC42. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:35
1ST & 5
OPP 42
0
70.7%
Beau Pribula pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:26
2ND & 5
OPP 42
+2
70.7%
Ahmad Hardy run for 2 yds to the SC 40Similar
Q2 8:41
3RD & 3
OPP 40
+18
70.3%
Beau Pribula pass complete to Marquis Johnson for 18 yds to the SC 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:56
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+7
70.5%
Beau Pribula pass complete to Brett Norfleet for 7 yds to the SC 15Similar
Q2 7:19
2ND & 3
OPP 15
+8
70.4%
South Carolina Penalty, Face Mask (8 yards) (Shawn Murphy) to the SC 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
70.3%
Ahmad Hardy run for 2 yds to the SC 5Similar
Q2 6:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
70.2%
Beau Pribula pass incomplete to Marquis JohnsonSimilar
Q2 5:58
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
69.1%
Beau Pribula pass incomplete to Kevin Coleman Jr.Similar
Q2 5:54
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+23
72.7%
Robert Meyer 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · -19 yds · 1:5530% → 28%
Q2 5:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
70.3%
LaNorris Sellers pass incomplete to Jordan DingleSimilar
Q2 5:42
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
70.4%
Rahsul Faison run for 2 yds to the SC 27Similar
Q2 5:07
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-5
70.9%
PENALTY USC False Start (Hay,Nolan) 5 yards from USC27 to USC22. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:36
3RD & 13
OWN 22
-11
71.2%
LaNorris Sellers sacked for a loss of 11 yards to the SC 11Similar
Q2 4:06
4TH & 24
OWN 11
-5
71.8%
PENALTY USC False Start (Hunt,Brady) 5 yards from USC11 to USC06. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:53
4TH & 29
OWN 6
0
72.4%
Mason Love punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Kevin Coleman Jr. at the SC 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 8INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0074% → 74%
Q2 3:46
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
73.8%
Beau Pribula pass intercepted Gerald Kilgore return for no gain to the SC 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 9TD
4 plays · 70 yds · 1:0730% → 45%
Q2 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+15
69.8%
Missouri Penalty, (15 Yards) to the SC 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:08
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+15
67.8%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Vandrevius Jacobs for 15 yds to the MIZ 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:43
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+15
67.1%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Brian Rowe Jr. for 15 yds to the MIZ 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:31
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+24
54.9%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Brian Rowe Jr. for 24 yds for a TD (William Joyce KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 10FG
14 plays · 71 yds · 2:2660% → 65%
Q2 2:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
59.5%
Beau Pribula pass incomplete to Joshua ManningSimilar
Q2 2:17
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
59.2%
Ahmad Hardy run for 3 yds to the MIZ 28Similar
Q2 1:52
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+12
55.8%
Beau Pribula pass complete to Kevin Coleman Jr. for 12 yds to the MIZ 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+17
58.6%
Beau Pribula pass complete to Marquis Johnson for 17 yds to the SC 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:13
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
59.5%
Beau Pribula pass incomplete to Joshua ManningSimilar
Q2 1:07
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+18
59.1%
Jamal Roberts run for 18 yds to the SC 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:17
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+16
60.7%
Beau Pribula pass complete to Joshua Manning for 16 yds to the SC 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:17
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
57.7%
Beau Pribula pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:17
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+22
61.4%
Robert Meyer 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
64.6%
Ahmad Hardy run for 1 yd to the SC 8Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
64.6%
Beau Pribula pass complete to Kevin Coleman Jr. for 4 yds to the SC 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 11END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0041% → 41%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
59.1%
LaNorris Sellers sacked by Khalil Jacobs for a loss of 1 yard to the SC 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 0:2862% → 59%
Q3 13:18
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+12
61.7%
Beau Pribula pass complete to Marquis Johnson for 12 yds to the MIZ 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
61.9%
Ahmad Hardy run for no gain to the MIZ 25Similar
Q3 13:02
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-5
61.6%
Beau Pribula sacked by Fred Johnson for a loss of 5 yards to the MIZ 20Similar
Q3 13:01
3RD & 15
OWN 20
0
60.1%
Beau Pribula pass incomplete to Donovan OlugbodeSimilar
Q3 12:50
4TH & 15
OWN 20
+13
59.2%
Connor Weselman punt for 56 yds , Vicari Swain returns for 13 yds to the SC 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 13FG
9 plays · 49 yds · 3:4341% → 50%
Q3 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+10
58.7%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Vandrevius Jacobs for 10 yds to the SC 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
56.9%
Rahsul Faison run for 1 yd to the SC 48Similar
Q3 11:20
2ND & 9
OWN 48
+7
57.0%
LaNorris Sellers run for 7 yds to the MIZ 45Similar
Q3 10:55
3RD & 2
OPP 45
+43
56.4%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Vandrevius Jacobs for 43 yds to the MIZ 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-13
54.1%
LaNorris Sellers sacked by Zion Young for a loss of 13 yards to the MIZ 15Similar
Q3 10:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 15
-10
54.9%
(10:00) No Huddle-Shotgun Sellers,LaNorris pass incomplete short left to Dingle,Jordan thrown to Mizzou00 PENALTY USC Holding (Sarratt Jr.,Shedrick) 10 yards from Mizzou15 to Mizzou25. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 25
+2
55.5%
LaNorris Sellers run for 2 yds to the MIZ 23Similar
Q3 9:05
3RD & GOAL
OPP 23
+9
56.8%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Nyck Harbor for 9 yds to the MIZ 14Similar
Q3 8:27
4TH & GOAL
OPP 14
+32
50.3%
William Joyce 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 14TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:4351% → 73%
Q3 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+38
51.0%
Ahmad Hardy run for 38 yds to the SC 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:49
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
54.9%
Ahmad Hardy run for 4 yds to the SC 33Similar
Q3 7:20
2ND & 6
OPP 33
+4
56.3%
Ahmad Hardy run for 4 yds to the SC 29Similar
Q3 6:36
3RD & 2
OPP 29
+2
53.9%
Jamal Roberts run for 2 yds to the SC 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:56
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+17
55.6%
Beau Pribula run for 17 yds to the SC 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
72.8%
Ahmad Hardy run for 5 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 15FG
13 plays · 56 yds · 5:0433% → 53%
Q3 5:22
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
67.5%
Oscar Adaway III run for 3 yds to the SC 29Similar
Q3 5:03
2ND & 7
OWN 29
0
66.7%
LaNorris Sellers pass incomplete to Brady HuntSimilar
Q3 4:43
3RD & 7
OWN 29
+32
68.1%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Jared Brown for 32 yds to the MIZ 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-5
63.0%
PENALTY USC False Start 5 yards from Mizzou39 to Mizzou44. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:04
1ST & 15
OPP 44
+6
64.3%
LaNorris Sellers run for 6 yds to the MIZ 38Similar
Q3 3:22
2ND & 9
OPP 38
+14
62.8%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Oscar Adaway III for 14 yds to the MIZ 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:59
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+1
60.8%
Rahsul Faison run for 1 yd to the MIZ 23Similar
Q3 2:18
2ND & 9
OPP 23
-18
60.5%
LaNorris Sellers sacked by Sterling Webb for a loss of 18 yards to the MIZ 41Similar
Q3 1:27
3RD & 27
OPP 41
-10
65.6%
(01:27) No Huddle-Shotgun Sellers,LaNorris pass complete short middle to Dingle,Jordan caught at Mizzou35, for 12 yards to the Mizzou29 (Trotter,Josiah) PENALTY USC Holding (Thompson,Josiah) 10 yards from Mizzou41 to USC49. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:50
3RD & 37
OWN 49
+33
65.6%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Nyck Harbor for 33 yds to the MIZ 18Similar
Q3 0:18
4TH & 4
OPP 18
+36
46.7%
William Joyce 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 16TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 5:2855% → 88%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
54.8%
Ahmad Hardy run for 6 yds to the MIZ 31Similar
Q4 14:52
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+13
57.3%
Beau Pribula pass complete to Marquis Johnson for 13 yds to the MIZ 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:25
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
59.0%
Ahmad Hardy run for 4 yds to the MIZ 48Similar
Q4 13:55
2ND & 6
OWN 48
-5
59.3%
PENALTY Mizzou False Start (Manning,Joshua) 5 yards from Mizzou48 to Mizzou43. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:17
2ND & 11
OWN 43
+12
55.9%
Beau Pribula pass complete to Joshua Manning for 12 yds to the SC 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:40
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
59.0%
Ahmad Hardy run for 6 yds to the SC 39Similar
Q4 12:02
2ND & 4
OPP 39
+4
58.8%
Ahmad Hardy run for 4 yds to the SC 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:23
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
60.3%
Beau Pribula pass complete to Brett Norfleet for 3 yds to the SC 32Similar
Q4 10:42
2ND & 7
OPP 32
+11
60.1%
Beau Pribula run for 11 yds to the SC 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:05
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+5
60.5%
Ahmad Hardy run for 5 yds to the SC 16Similar
Q4 9:32
2ND & 5
OPP 16
+16
87.8%
Jamal Roberts run for 16 yds for a TD (B. Pribula Run For Two-point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:0425% → 21%
Q4 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
75.3%
LaNorris Sellers pass incomplete to Brady HuntSimilar
Q4 9:03
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+3
76.6%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Rahsul Faison for 3 yds to the SC 33Similar
Q4 8:22
3RD & 7
OWN 33
0
76.9%
LaNorris Sellers pass incomplete to Nyck HarborSimilar
Q4 8:15
4TH & 7
OWN 33
0
78.9%
Mason Love punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Kevin Coleman Jr. at the MIZ 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 2:0485% → 86%
Q4 8:07
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-10
85.3%
(08:09) No Huddle-Shotgun Hardy,Ahmad rush right for 0 yards to the Mizzou29 (Okoronkwo,Justin) PENALTY Mizzou Holding (Harris,Jordon) 10 yards from Mizzou29 to Mizzou19. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:35
1ST & 20
OWN 19
+13
85.4%
Beau Pribula run for 13 yds to the MIZ 32Similar
Q4 6:55
2ND & 7
OWN 32
0
86.5%
Jamal Roberts run for no gain to the MIZ 32Similar
Q4 6:16
3RD & 7
OWN 32
0
86.2%
Beau Pribula pass incomplete to Marquis JohnsonSimilar
Q4 6:03
4TH & 7
OWN 32
0
85.9%
Connor Weselman punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:5224% → 19%
Q4 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
76.5%
LaNorris Sellers run for 1 yd to the SC 32Similar
Q4 5:17
2ND & 9
OWN 32
0
78.0%
LaNorris Sellers pass incomplete to Nyck HarborSimilar
Q4 5:11
3RD & 9
OWN 32
0
80.6%
LaNorris Sellers pass incomplete to Brian Rowe Jr.Similar
Q4 5:03
4TH & 9
OWN 32
0
81.4%
Mason Love punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Kevin Coleman Jr. at the MIZ 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 20FG
11 plays · 57 yds · 3:2288% → 95%
Q4 4:56
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
88.2%
Jamal Roberts run for 5 yds to the MIZ 26Similar
Q4 4:14
2ND & 5
OWN 26
+15
89.4%
South Carolina Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (David Bucey) to the MIZ 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:39
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+15
90.8%
Beau Pribula run for 15 yds to the SC 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:59
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+6
93.3%
Jamal Roberts run for 6 yds to the SC 37Similar
Q4 2:12
2ND & 4
OPP 37
+4
93.9%
Jamal Roberts run for 4 yds to the SC 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:54
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+15
95.2%
Jamal Roberts run for 15 yds to the SC 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:50
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
95.2%
Jamal Roberts run for no gain to the SC 18Similar
Q4 1:45
2ND & 10
OPP 18
-2
95.3%
Beau Pribula run for a loss of 2 yards to the SC 20Similar
Q4 1:39
3RD & 12
OPP 20
-2
94.5%
Kevin Coleman Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the SC 22Similar
Q4 1:34
4TH & 14
OPP 22
+40
95.1%
Robert Meyer 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 21DOWNS
7 plays · 5 yds · 0:357% → 6%
Q4 1:21
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
92.6%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Vandrevius Jacobs for 7 yds to the SC 47Similar
Q4 1:17
2ND & 3
OWN 47
-5
92.1%
(01:17) Shotgun Sellers,LaNorris pass incomplete short left to Harbor,Nyck thrown to Mizzou48 PENALTY USC Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Hunt,Brady) 5 yards from USC47 to USC42. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:02
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+5
92.5%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Vandrevius Jacobs for 5 yds to the SC 47Similar
Q4 0:52
3RD & 3
OWN 47
0
92.4%
LaNorris Sellers pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:52
4TH & 3
OWN 47
-5
93.1%
PENALTY USC False Start (Thompson,Josiah) 5 yards from USC47 to USC42. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 0:46
4TH & 8
OWN 42
+3
94.0%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Nyck Harbor for 3 yds to the SC 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 22END OF GAME
3 plays · -2 yds · 0:3997% → 97%
Q4 0:39
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-1
96.8%
J. Roberts takes a kneeSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 11
OPP 46
-1
96.6%
J. Roberts takes a kneeSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 11
OPP 46
-1
96.6%
J. Roberts takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 9:32
Jamal Roberts run for 16 yds for a TD (B. Pribula Run For Two-point Conversion)
+27.3
TD · Q3 5:34
Ahmad Hardy run for 5 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)
+17.2
FG · Q3 0:18
William Joyce 36 yd FG GOOD
-16.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com