NIU
Northern Illinois 10 at Mississippi State 38
MSST2025 · Week 4 · Sep 20, 2025 · Davis Wade Stadium
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Win probability · MSST
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NIU · Drive 1FG · 12 plays · 63 yds
Q1 15:00
Marlon Hauck kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
93.7%
0.0
Q1 14:54
Chavon Wright run for 3 yds to the NIU 28
92.8%
-1.0
Q1 14:26
PENALTY NIU False Start (Tweedy,Aidan) 5 yards from NIU28 to NIU23. NO PLAY.
92.5%
-0.3
Q1 13:53
Telly Johnson Jr. run for 32 yds to the MSST 45 for a 1ST down
92.5%
0.0
Q1 13:09
Josh Holst pass complete to Jaylen Poe for 8 yds to the MSST 37
91.7%
-0.7
Q1 12:31
Josh Holst pass complete to DeAree Rogers for 13 yds to the MSST 24 for a 1ST down
91.7%
0.0
Q1 11:54
Chavon Wright run for 4 yds to the MSST 20
91.6%
-0.1
Q1 11:13
Josh Holst run for 6 yds to the MSST 14 for a 1ST down
91.5%
-0.1
Q1 10:29
Josh Holst pass incomplete to Jake Appleget
91.5%
0.0
Q1 10:24
Josh Holst pass incomplete to Telly Johnson Jr.
91.5%
0.0
Q1 10:14
Josh Holst pass complete to Chavon Wright for 2 yds to the MSST 12
91.5%
0.0
Q1 9:41
Andrew Glass 30 yd FG GOOD
90.2%
-1.3
MSST · Drive 2TD · 14 plays · 75 yds
Q1 9:41
Andrew Glass kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
90.7%
+0.5
Q1 9:30
Blake Shapen run for 5 yds to the MSST 30
92.8%
+2.1
Q1 9:07
Blake Shapen run for no gain to the MSST 30
92.8%
0.0
Q1 8:37
Blake Shapen pass complete to Davon Booth for 8 yds to the MSST 38 for a 1ST down
92.6%
-0.2
Q1 8:15
Davon Booth run for 2 yds to the MSST 40
92.8%
+0.1
Q1 7:48
Blake Shapen pass complete to Brenen Thompson for 11 yds to the NIU 49 for a 1ST down
92.8%
+0.1
Q1 7:28
Blake Shapen run for 3 yds to the NIU 46
93.3%
+0.4
Q1 6:52
Blake Shapen pass complete to Brenen Thompson for 2 yds to the NIU 44
93.1%
-0.2
Q1 6:24
Blake Shapen run for 4 yds to the NIU 40
91.6%
-1.5
Q1 5:49
Fluff Bothwell run for 1 yd to the NIU 39 for a 1ST down
91.0%
-0.6
Q1 5:22
Fluff Bothwell run for 1 yd to the NIU 38
91.2%
+0.2
Q1 4:50
Blake Shapen run for 24 yds to the NIU 14 for a 1ST down
91.2%
0.0
Q1 4:26
Fluff Bothwell run for 4 yds to the NIU 10
91.1%
-0.1
Q1 3:48
Brenen Thompson run for 10 yds for a TD (Kyle Ferrie KICK)
94.2%
+3.1
NIU · Drive 3PUNT · 8 plays · 22 yds
Q1 3:48
Marlon Hauck kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
93.8%
-0.4
Q1 3:42
Telly Johnson Jr. run for 3 yds to the NIU 28
92.5%
-1.4
Q1 3:02
Josh Holst pass complete to Gary Givens for 19 yds to the NIU 47 for a 1ST down
92.5%
0.0
Q1 2:26
Telly Johnson Jr. run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line
91.8%
-0.7
Q1 1:45
Jaylen Poe run for a loss of 3 yards to the NIU 47
91.4%
-0.4
Q1 1:09
Josh Holst pass incomplete to George Dimopoulos
91.5%
+0.1
Q1 0:57
Danny Vuckovic punt for 47 yds , Anthony Evans III returns for 16 yds to the MSST 22
91.6%
+0.1
Q1 0:57
Danny Vuckovic punt for 47 yds , Anthony Evans III returns for 16 yds to the MSST 4
91.6%
0.0
MSST · Drive 4PUNT · 5 plays · 2 yds
Q1 0:53
Blake Shapen pass incomplete to Brenen Thompson
93.6%
+2.0
Q1 0:46
Fluff Bothwell run for 7 yds to the MSST 11
93.6%
0.0
Q1 0:25
Blake Shapen pass incomplete to Seydou Traore
93.6%
-0.1
Q1 0:25
PENALTY MSU Delay Of Game (Tiyce,Nathan) 5 yards from MSU11 to MSU06. NO PLAY.
93.4%
-0.2
Q1 0:21
Nathan Tiyce punt for 21 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MSST 27
93.3%
-0.1
NIU · Drive 5TD · 2 plays · 27 yds
Q1 0:00
Chavon Wright run for 3 yds to the MSST 24
90.9%
-2.4
Q2 14:53
Josh Holst pass complete to DeAree Rogers for 24 yds for a TD (Andrew Glass KICK)
85.6%
-5.3
MSST · Drive 6TD · 11 plays · 48 yds
Q2 14:51
Andrew Glass kickoff for 13 yds
86.6%
+1.0
Q2 14:45
Davon Booth run for 3 yds to the NIU 45
90.1%
+3.5
Q2 14:23
Davon Booth run for 3 yds to the NIU 42
89.8%
-0.4
Q2 14:01
(14:06) No Huddle-Shotgun Booth,Davon rush middle for 7 yards gain to the NIU35 (Beeler,Jasper; Maciorowski,Filip) PENALTY MSU Illegal Formation 5 yards from NIU42 to NIU47. NO PLAY.
90.0%
+0.3
Q2 13:31
Blake Shapen pass complete to Anthony Evans III for 4 yds to the NIU 43
89.7%
-0.4
Q2 12:59
Blake Shapen pass complete to Anthony Evans III for 9 yds to the NIU 34 for a 1ST down
89.9%
+0.2
Q2 12:38
(12:42) No Huddle-Shotgun Shapen,Blake pass incomplete deep right to Thompson,Brenen thrown to NIU00 PENALTY NIU Pass Interference (Finley,Jacob) 15 yards from NIU34 to NIU19, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.
90.1%
+0.2
Q2 12:31
Xavier Gayten run for 12 yds to the NIU 7 for a 1ST down
90.1%
0.0
Q2 12:01
Blake Shapen pass incomplete to Fluff Bothwell
90.1%
0.0
Q2 11:55
Blake Shapen run for 6 yds to the NIU 1
90.1%
-0.1
Q2 11:31
Blake Shapen pass complete to Seydou Traore for 1 yd for a TD (Kyle Ferrie KICK)
94.1%
+4.0
NIU · Drive 7PUNT · 5 plays · 5 yds
Q2 11:31
Marlon Hauck kickoff for 57 yds
93.8%
-0.3
Q2 11:24
Telly Johnson Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the NIU 34
91.8%
-2.0
Q2 10:50
Josh Holst pass complete to DeAree Rogers for 4 yds to the NIU 38
91.7%
-0.1
Q2 10:34
Chavon Wright run for 2 yds to the NIU 40
91.4%
-0.3
Q2 9:53
Danny Vuckovic punt for 47 yds
91.3%
-0.1
MSST · Drive 8PUNT · 5 plays · 22 yds
Q2 9:46
Anthony Evans III run for 17 yds to the MSST 30 for a 1ST down
93.4%
+2.1
Q2 9:23
Davon Booth run for 5 yds to the MSST 35
93.4%
0.0
Q2 9:07
Blake Shapen pass incomplete to Jordan Mosley
93.4%
0.0
Q2 8:59
Blake Shapen pass incomplete to Sam West
93.4%
0.0
Q2 8:51
Ethan Pulliam punt for 50 yds, fair catch by DeAree Rogers at the NIU 15
93.3%
-0.2
NIU · Drive 9PUNT · 15 plays · 54 yds
Q2 8:44
Josh Holst run for 11 yds to the NIU 26 for a 1ST down
91.5%
-1.8
Q2 8:07
Chavon Wright run for 8 yds to the NIU 34
91.7%
+0.2
Q2 7:32
Telly Johnson Jr. run for 5 yds to the NIU 39 for a 1ST down
91.7%
0.0
Q2 6:51
Chavon Wright run for 1 yd to the NIU 40
91.3%
-0.4
Q2 6:05
Josh Holst run for 2 yds to the NIU 42
91.0%
-0.4
Q2 5:15
Josh Holst pass complete to DeAree Rogers for 15 yds to the MSST 43 for a 1ST down
90.9%
-0.1
Q2 4:44
Timeout Northern Illinois, clock 04:44
91.3%
+0.4
Q2 4:18
Josh Holst pass complete to George Dimopoulos for 4 yds George Dimopoulos fumbled, recovered by NIU George Dimopoulos
91.3%
0.0
Q2 3:55
Timeout Northern Illinois, clock 03:55
91.8%
+0.5
Q2 3:47
(03:53) No Huddle-Shotgun Wright,Chavon rush left for 15 yards gain to the MSU32 (Smith,Jalen) PENALTY NIU Holding (Malcore,Evan) 10 yards from MSU47 to NIU43. NO PLAY.
91.8%
0.0
Q2 3:28
Josh Holst pass complete to Chavon Wright for 5 yds to the NIU 48
92.1%
+0.3
Q2 2:46
Chavon Wright run for 6 yds to the MSST 46
91.3%
-0.8
Q2 2:05
Timeout Northern Illinois, clock 02:05
91.2%
-0.1
Q2 1:58
Danny Vuckovic punt blocked by Nevaeh Sanders blocked by Nevaeh Sanders
91.2%
0.0
Q2 1:58
Danny Vuckovic punt blocked by Nevaeh Sanders blocked by Nevaeh Sanders
91.2%
0.0
MSST · Drive 10PUNT · 5 plays · 6 yds
Q2 1:52
Fluff Bothwell run for 5 yds to the MSST 31
93.0%
+1.7
Q2 1:33
Blake Shapen pass incomplete to Jordan Mosley
93.0%
0.0
Q2 1:23
Blake Shapen run for 1 yd to the MSST 32
93.0%
0.0
Q2 0:43
Timeout Mississippi State, clock 00:43
92.6%
-0.3
Q2 0:35
Ethan Pulliam punt for 51 yds, fair catch by DeAree Rogers at the NIU 17
92.6%
0.0
NIU · Drive 11END OF HALF · 1 play · -1 yds
Q2 0:00
J. Holst takes a knee
91.7%
-0.9
MSST · Drive 12TD · 8 plays · 75 yds
Q3 15:00
Andrew Glass kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
89.5%
-2.1
Q3 14:53
(15:00) No Huddle-Shotgun Bothwell,Fluff rush left for 7 yards gain to the MSU32 (Urwiler,Quinton; Beeler,Jasper) PENALTY MSU Holding (Work,Luke) 10 yards from MSU25 to MSU15. NO PLAY.
91.4%
+1.8
Q3 14:35
Fluff Bothwell run for 22 yds to the MSST 37 for a 1ST down
91.4%
0.0
Q3 14:10
Blake Shapen pass complete to Fluff Bothwell for 5 yds to the MSST 42
91.5%
+0.2
Q3 13:48
Blake Shapen pass complete to Anthony Evans III for 10 yds to the NIU 48 for a 1ST down
91.5%
-0.1
Q3 13:26
Blake Shapen pass complete to Jordan Mosley for 45 yds to the NIU 3 for a 1ST down
91.7%
+0.2
Q3 13:16
Davon Booth run for 2 yds to the NIU 1
91.8%
+0.1
Q3 12:55
Davon Booth run for 1 yd for a TD (Kyle Ferrie KICK)
97.4%
+5.6
NIU · Drive 13INT · 10 plays · 55 yds
Q3 12:55
Marlon Hauck kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
97.3%
-0.1
Q3 12:48
Josh Holst pass complete to DeAree Rogers for 24 yds to the NIU 49 for a 1ST down
96.4%
-0.9
Q3 12:17
Northern Illinois Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the NIU 45
96.4%
-0.1
Q3 11:57
Jaylen Poe run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line
96.4%
+0.1
Q3 11:17
Mississippi State Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the MSST 30 for a 1ST down
95.9%
-0.5
Q3 10:49
Josh Holst pass incomplete to Gary Givens
95.9%
-0.1
Q3 10:44
Chavon Wright run for 11 yds to the MSST 19 for a 1ST down
95.9%
0.0
Q3 10:02
Chavon Wright run for 3 yds to the MSST 16
95.9%
0.0
Q3 9:23
Chavon Wright run for a loss of 4 yards to the MSST 20
95.9%
0.0
Q3 8:41
Josh Holst pass intercepted, touchback. Isaac Smith return for no gain
95.9%
0.0
MSST · Drive 14FG · 17 plays · 50 yds
Q3 8:35
Fluff Bothwell run for 16 yds to the MSST 36 for a 1ST down
97.1%
+1.2
Q3 8:12
Blake Shapen pass incomplete to Brenen Thompson
97.1%
0.0
Q3 8:06
Fluff Bothwell run for 8 yds to the MSST 44
97.1%
0.0
Q3 7:50
Fluff Bothwell run for 1 yd to the MSST 45
97.1%
0.0
Q3 7:01
Kamario Taylor run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down
97.0%
-0.1
Q3 6:24
Anthony Evans III run for 5 yds to the NIU 45
96.9%
-0.1
Q3 5:53
(06:01) Shotgun Booth,Davon rush middle for 15 yards gain to the NIU30 (Finley,Jacob; Beeler,Jasper) PENALTY MSU Holding (West,Sam) 10 yards from NIU45 to MSU45. NO PLAY.
97.0%
+0.1
Q3 5:37
Blake Shapen sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the MSST 39
97.2%
+0.2
Q3 4:53
Blake Shapen run for 22 yds to the NIU 39 for a 1ST down
97.3%
+0.1
Q3 4:18
Blake Shapen pass complete to Ayden Williams for 3 yds to the NIU 36
97.3%
0.0
Q3 3:56
Fluff Bothwell run for 6 yds to the NIU 30
97.3%
0.0
Q3 3:34
Fluff Bothwell run for 14 yds to the NIU 16 for a 1ST down
97.5%
+0.2
Q3 3:01
Anthony Evans III run for a loss of 1 yard to the NIU 17
97.5%
0.0
Q3 2:34
Blake Shapen sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the NIU 25
97.5%
0.0
Q3 1:52
(02:00) No Huddle-Shotgun Booth,Davon rush left for 19 yards gain to the NIU06 (Myles,Ty; Harrison,Donte) PENALTY MSU Holding 10 yards from NIU25 to NIU35. NO PLAY.
97.5%
0.0
Q3 1:34
Fluff Bothwell run for 5 yds to the NIU 30
97.5%
0.0
Q3 0:54
Kyle Ferrie 48 yd FG GOOD
98.9%
+1.4
NIU · Drive 15DOWNS · 7 plays · 39 yds
Q3 0:54
Marlon Hauck kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
98.9%
0.0
Q3 0:48
Telly Johnson Jr. run for 4 yds to the NIU 29
97.0%
-1.8
Q3 0:00
Josh Holst pass complete to George Dimopoulos for 11 yds to the MSST 40 for a 1ST down Mississippi State Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Hunter Washington) to the MSST 45 for a 1ST down
97.6%
+0.6
Q4 14:54
Chavon Wright run for a loss of 1 yard to the MSST 46
97.6%
0.0
Q4 14:18
Josh Holst pass incomplete to La'Don Bryant
97.6%
0.0
Q4 14:10
Chavon Wright run for 6 yds to the MSST 40
97.5%
0.0
Q4 13:28
Josh Holst pass complete to DeAree Rogers for 4 yds to the MSST 36
97.6%
0.0
MSST · Drive 16TD · 5 plays · 64 yds
Q4 13:22
Fluff Bothwell run for 1 yd to the MSST 37
98.8%
+1.3
Q4 12:55
Blake Shapen pass incomplete to Anthony Evans III
98.8%
0.0
Q4 12:42
Blake Shapen pass complete to Anthony Evans III for 57 yds to the NIU 6 for a 1ST down
98.8%
0.0
Q4 11:49
Blake Shapen run for no gain to the NIU 6
98.9%
0.0
Q4 11:18
Davon Booth run for 6 yds for a TD (Kyle Ferrie KICK)
99.8%
+1.0
NIU · Drive 17DOWNS · 7 plays · 18 yds
Q4 11:18
Marlon Hauck kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
99.8%
0.0
Q4 11:10
Jaylen Poe run for 14 yds to the NIU 39 for a 1ST down
99.4%
-0.4
Q4 10:32
Josh Holst pass incomplete to Andrew Bond
99.4%
0.0
Q4 10:23
Josh Holst pass complete to Telly Johnson Jr. for 4 yds to the NIU 43
99.4%
0.0
Q4 9:43
Timeout Northern Illinois, clock 09:43
99.4%
0.0
Q4 9:38
Josh Holst pass incomplete to DeAree Rogers
99.4%
0.0
Q4 9:33
Josh Holst pass incomplete to George Dimopoulos
99.4%
0.0
MSST · Drive 18TD · 10 plays · 43 yds
Q4 9:27
Fluff Bothwell run for 2 yds to the NIU 41
99.9%
+0.4
Q4 8:44
Fluff Bothwell run for 2 yds to the NIU 39
99.9%
0.0
Q4 8:05
Fluff Bothwell run for 3 yds to the NIU 36
99.9%
0.0
Q4 8:05
Timeout Northern Illinois, clock 08:05
99.9%
0.0
Q4 7:57
Blake Shapen pass complete to Fluff Bothwell for 5 yds to the NIU 31 for a 1ST down
99.9%
0.0
Q4 7:13
Fluff Bothwell run for 3 yds to the NIU 28
99.9%
0.0
Q4 6:27
Xavier Gayten run for 10 yds to the NIU 18 for a 1ST down
99.9%
0.0
Q4 5:42
PENALTY MSU False Start 5 yards from NIU18 to NIU23. NO PLAY.
99.9%
0.0
Q4 5:09
Xavier Gayten run for 22 yds to the NIU 1 for a 1ST down
99.9%
0.0
Q4 4:31
Xavier Gayten run for 1 yd for a TD (Kyle Ferrie KICK)
99.9%
+0.1
NIU · Drive 19PUNT · 7 plays · -5 yds
Q4 4:31
Marlon Hauck kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
99.9%
0.0
Q4 4:22
(04:31) No Huddle-Shotgun Davidson,Brady pass complete short middle to Bryant,La'Don caught at NIU29, for 9 yards to the NIU34 (Forrest,Fatt; Chapman,Montrell) PENALTY NIU Holding 10 yards from NIU25 to NIU15. NO PLAY.
99.8%
-0.2
Q4 3:57
Brady Davidson pass incomplete to La'Don Bryant
99.8%
0.0
Q4 3:49
Brady Davidson pass complete to Kenji Lewis for 7 yds to the NIU 22
99.8%
0.0
Q4 3:14
Brady Davidson sacked by Ray Thomas for a loss of 2 yards to the NIU 20
99.8%
0.0
Q4 2:35
Danny Vuckovic punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Anthony Evans III at the MSST 33
99.8%
0.0
Q4 2:35
Danny Vuckovic punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Anthony Evans III at the MSST 23
99.8%
0.0
MSST · Drive 20END OF GAME · 5 plays · 37 yds
Q4 2:25
Kamario Taylor run for 9 yds to the MSST 32
99.9%
+0.2
Q4 1:53
Seth Davis run for 5 yds to the MSST 37 for a 1ST down
99.9%
0.0
Q4 1:08
Kamario Taylor run for 12 yds to the MSST 49 for a 1ST down
99.9%
0.0
Q4 1:02
Seth Davis run for 4 yds to the NIU 47
99.9%
0.0
Q4 0:00
Seth Davis run for 7 yds to the NIU 40 for a 1ST down
99.9%
0.0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 12:55
Davon Booth run for 1 yd for a TD (Kyle Ferrie KICK)
+5.6
TD · Q2 14:53
Josh Holst pass complete to DeAree Rogers for 24 yds for a TD (Andrew Glass KICK)
-5.3
TD · Q2 11:31
Blake Shapen pass complete to Seydou Traore for 1 yd for a TD (Kyle Ferrie KICK)
+4