Try the model
TULN

Tulane 10 at Ole Miss 45

MISS
2025 · Week 4 · Sep 20, 2025 · Vaught-Hemingway Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · MISS
modelMISS aheadTULN aheadconfidence bandkey playMISS scoreTULN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGFGTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 5:26 · Oscar Bird punt for 54 yds , Omari Hayes returns for 12 yds to the TULN 38
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 111Home team on offense+25.1Pregame prior+12.2Score differential+18.8Garbage-time factor+9.4Blowout margin−0.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.3
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 12:48: Lucas Carneiro 54 yd FG GOOD — MISS win probability +3.7 pts (now 86%) (top driver: MISS has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 6:40: Patrick Durkin 34 yd FG GOOD — TULN win probability +3.1 pts (now 18%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 4:09: Kewan Lacy run for 1 yd for a TD (Lucas Carneiro KICK) — MISS win probability +6.9 pts (now 91%) (top driver: MISS has the ball).
  4. FG · Q2 0:24: Lucas Carneiro 33 yd FG GOOD — MISS win probability +5.0 pts (now 95%) (top driver: MISS has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 14:55: Kewan Lacy run for 1 yd for a TD (Trinidad Chambliss pass to Harrison Wallace III for Two-Point Conversion) — MISS win probability +1.4 pts (now 100%) (top driver: MISS has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MISS made the numbers' call on 3 of 4TULN made the numbers' call on 5 of 8
  1. Q1 9:53TULN 4th & 11 at TULN 32, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.2%−0.2
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:13MISS 4th & 5 at TULN 5, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 79.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.6%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    79.6%
    92% to make
    Punt
    77.7%−1.9
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:12TULN 4th & 4 at TULN 43, down 10
    Close callPunted · 20.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.1%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:48MISS 4th & 8 at TULN 37, up 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 79.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.0%
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    79.8%−0.2
    40% to make
    Punt
    79.6%−0.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:40TULN 4th & 9 at MISS 16, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 16.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.1%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    15.5%
    81% to make
    Punt
    12.4%−3.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:50TULN 4th & 9 at TULN 36, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.3%−0.5
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.9%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:24MISS 4th & 5 at TULN 15, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 89.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.3%−1.0
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    89.3%
    83% to make
    Punt
    85.0%−4.3
    average punt
  8. Q3 7:54TULN 4th & 5 at MISS 5, down 20
    Close callWent for it · 4.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.7%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    3.8%
    92% to make
    Punt
    -0.6%−4.4
    average punt
  9. Q3 5:26MISS 4th & 6 at MISS 20, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.6%−0.2
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.8%
    average punt
  10. Q3 2:39TULN 4th & 1 at MISS 39, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    1.4%−1.3
    36% to make
    Punt
    1.4%−1.3
    average punt
  11. Q4 12:21TULN 4th & 2 at MISS 45, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−0.1
    25% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 10:48TULN 4th & 2 at TULN 33, down 35
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MISS made the numbers' call on 4 of 5TULN made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 12:23MISS Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 4:09MISS Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 14:55MISS Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 11:45MISS Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 8:17MISS Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 3:42TULN Touchdown, down 36 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MISSDrive 1TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:0783% → 83%
Q1 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
82.5%
Kewan Lacy run for 8 yds to the MISS 33Similar
Q1 14:03
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+13
82.4%
Trinidad Chambliss pass complete to Cayden Lee for 13 yds to the MISS 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:32
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
82.3%
Trinidad Chambliss pass complete to Harrison Wallace III for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 13:13
2ND & 6
50
+4
82.3%
Trinidad Chambliss pass complete to Kewan Lacy for 4 yds to the TULN 46Similar
Q1 12:54
3RD & 2
OPP 46
+41
82.2%
Trinidad Chambliss run for 41 yds to the TULN 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
82.2%
Kewan Lacy run for no gain to the TULN 5Similar
Q1 12:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
82.2%
Trinidad Chambliss pass incomplete to Dae'Quan WrightSimilar
Q1 12:23
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
82.6%
Trinidad Chambliss pass complete to Dae'Quan Wright for 5 yds for a TD (Lucas Carneiro KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 2PUNT
9 plays · 12 yds · 2:1818% → 18%
Q1 12:11
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
82.4%
Zuberi Mobley run for 5 yds to the TULN 25Similar
Q1 11:30
2ND & 5
OWN 25
0
82.3%
Jake Retzlaff pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:21
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+8
82.4%
Jake Retzlaff run for 8 yds to the TULN 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
82.2%
Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Shazz Preston for 4 yds to the TULN 37Similar
Q1 10:07
2ND & 6
OWN 37
0
82.1%
Jake Retzlaff pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:00
3RD & 6
OWN 37
0
82.2%
Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to Omari HayesSimilar
Q1 9:58
4TH & 6
OWN 37
-5
82.4%
Tulane Penalty, False Start (Armani Cargo) to the TULN 32Similar
Q1 9:53
4TH & 11
OWN 32
+3
82.4%
Alec Clark punt for 46 yds , Harrison Wallace III returns for 3 yds to the MISS 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 3FG
17 plays · 70 yds · 6:2982% → 83%
Q1 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
82.4%
Trinidad Chambliss run for 2 yds to the MISS 27Similar
Q1 9:18
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+10
82.4%
Trinidad Chambliss run for 10 yds to the MISS 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:29
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
82.4%
Trinidad Chambliss pass complete to De'Zhaun Stribling for 5 yds to the MISS 42Similar
Q1 7:58
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+13
82.6%
Trinidad Chambliss pass complete to Winston Watkins for 13 yds to the TULN 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:36
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
82.7%
Kewan Lacy run for 3 yds to the TULN 42Similar
Q1 6:48
2ND & 7
OPP 42
+10
82.7%
Kewan Lacy run for 10 yds to the TULN 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:24
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+6
82.7%
Kewan Lacy run for 6 yds to the TULN 26Similar
Q1 6:13
2ND & 4
OPP 26
-2
82.7%
Trinidad Chambliss pass complete to Kewan Lacy for a loss of 2 yards to the TULN 28Similar
Q1 5:29
3RD & 6
OPP 28
+7
82.5%
Trinidad Chambliss run for 7 yds to the TULN 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:13
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-5
82.7%
Ole Miss Penalty, False Start (Logan Diggs) to the TULN 26Similar
Q1 4:43
1ST & 15
OPP 26
+13
82.7%
Trinidad Chambliss pass complete to Dae'Quan Wright for 13 yds to the TULN 13Similar
Q1 4:40
2ND & 2
OPP 13
+3
82.7%
Kewan Lacy run for 3 yds to the TULN 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:30
1ST & 0
OPP 10
+5
83.0%
Tulane Penalty, Substitution Infraction (5 Yards) to the TULN 5Similar
Q1 4:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
82.7%
Trinidad Chambliss run for 1 yd to the TULN 4Similar
Q1 3:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-1
82.7%
Trinidad Chambliss sacked by Sam Howard for a loss of 1 yard to the TULN 5Similar
Q1 3:16
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
82.5%
Trinidad Chambliss pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:13
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
82.5%
Lucas Carneiro 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 4PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 2:4118% → 18%
Q1 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
82.0%
Arnold Barnes III run for 3 yds to the TULN 28Similar
Q1 2:18
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+6
82.1%
Arnold Barnes III run for 6 yds to the TULN 34Similar
Q1 2:11
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
82.0%
Jake Retzlaff run for 3 yds to the TULN 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
81.9%
Zuberi Mobley run for 6 yds to the TULN 43Similar
Q1 0:33
2ND & 4
OWN 43
0
81.5%
Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to Javin GordonSimilar
Q1 0:22
3RD & 4
OWN 43
0
81.7%
Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to Zycarl Lewis Jr.Similar
Q1 0:12
4TH & 4
OWN 43
+20
82.2%
Alec Clark punt for 48 yds , Harrison Wallace III returns for 20 yds to the MISS 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 5FG
7 plays · 34 yds · 2:1382% → 86%
Q1 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+20
82.3%
Trinidad Chambliss pass complete to Deuce Alexander for 20 yds to the MISS 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+7
82.9%
Trinidad Chambliss run for 7 yds to the TULN 44Similar
Q2 14:33
2ND & 3
OPP 44
+5
82.9%
Deuce Alexander run for 5 yds to the TULN 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:50
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+1
83.0%
Trinidad Chambliss pass complete to Kewan Lacy for 1 yd to the TULN 38Similar
Q2 13:24
2ND & 9
OPP 38
+1
82.9%
Kewan Lacy run for 1 yd to the TULN 37Similar
Q2 12:54
3RD & 8
OPP 37
0
82.6%
Trinidad Chambliss pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:48
4TH & 8
OPP 37
+54
86.3%
Lucas Carneiro 54 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 6FG
13 plays · 59 yds · 5:5015% → 18%
Q2 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
84.9%
Javin Gordon run for 11 yds to the TULN 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
84.7%
Jake Retzlaff run for 2 yds to the TULN 38Similar
Q2 11:28
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+3
84.7%
Javin Gordon run for 3 yds to the TULN 41Similar
Q2 10:41
3RD & 5
OWN 41
+30
84.8%
Jake Retzlaff run for 30 yds to the MISS 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:58
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+4
84.0%
Arnold Barnes III run for 4 yds to the MISS 25Similar
Q2 9:20
2ND & 6
OPP 25
+5
84.0%
Arnold Barnes III run for 5 yds to the MISS 20Similar
Q2 8:34
3RD & 1
OPP 20
+3
84.6%
Javin Gordon run for 3 yds to the MISS 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:02
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
84.2%
Javin Gordon run for 3 yds to the MISS 14Similar
Q2 7:30
2ND & 7
OPP 14
0
84.3%
Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to Omari HayesSimilar
Q2 7:30
3RD & 7
OPP 14
-5
84.9%
Tulane Penalty, False Start (Derrick Graham) to the MISS 19Similar
Q2 6:51
3RD & 12
OPP 19
+3
85.5%
Jake Retzlaff run for 3 yds to the MISS 16Similar
Q2 6:40
4TH & 9
OPP 16
+34
82.4%
Patrick Durkin 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 7TD
7 plays · 72 yds · 2:1183% → 91%
Q2 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+53
82.8%
Trinidad Chambliss pass complete to De'Zhaun Stribling for 53 yds to the TULN 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+3
84.0%
Trinidad Chambliss run for 3 yds to the TULN 16Similar
Q2 5:35
2ND & 7
OPP 16
+6
84.0%
Deuce Alexander run for 6 yds to the TULN 10Similar
Q2 4:30
3RD & 1
OPP 10
+4
83.5%
Kewan Lacy run for 4 yds to the TULN 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
84.1%
Trinidad Chambliss run for 5 yds to the TULN 1Similar
Q2 4:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
91.0%
Kewan Lacy run for 1 yd for a TD (Lucas Carneiro KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 2:0211% → 10%
Q2 3:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
89.2%
Arnold Barnes III run for 3 yds to the TULN 28Similar
Q2 3:32
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+7
89.0%
Arnold Barnes III run for 7 yds to the TULN 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
89.2%
Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to Jimmy CallowaySimilar
Q2 2:37
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+1
89.5%
Jake Retzlaff run for 1 yd to the TULN 36Similar
Q2 2:00
3RD & 9
OWN 36
0
89.7%
Jake Retzlaff pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:50
4TH & 9
OWN 36
+6
90.0%
Alec Clark punt for 47 yds , Harrison Wallace III returns for 6 yds to the MISS 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 9FG
10 plays · 62 yds · 1:2091% → 95%
Q2 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
91.4%
Trinidad Chambliss pass incomplete to Harrison Wallace IIISimilar
Q2 1:29
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+10
91.4%
Trinidad Chambliss run for 10 yds to the MISS 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
91.5%
Trinidad Chambliss pass incomplete to Kewan LacySimilar
Q2 1:11
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+47
91.4%
Trinidad Chambliss pass complete to Cayden Lee for 47 yds to the TULN 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:39
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-1
92.1%
Trinidad Chambliss run for a loss of 1 yard to the TULN 21Similar
Q2 0:34
2ND & 11
OPP 21
+6
92.0%
Trinidad Chambliss pass complete to Deuce Alexander for 6 yds to the TULN 15Similar
Q2 0:28
3RD & 5
OPP 15
0
89.7%
Trinidad Chambliss pass incomplete to Harrison Wallace IIISimilar
Q2 0:24
4TH & 5
OPP 15
+33
95.3%
Lucas Carneiro 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 10END OF HALF
3 plays · 7 yds · 0:155% → 5%
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
94.6%
Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to Javin GordonSimilar
Q2 0:05
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
94.7%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Justyn Reid for 7 yds to the TULN 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 11DOWNS
15 plays · 70 yds · 6:425% → 4%
Q3 14:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
95.1%
Arnold Barnes III run for 6 yds to the TULN 31Similar
Q3 14:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+1
95.2%
Arnold Barnes III run for 1 yd to the TULN 32Similar
Q3 13:32
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+4
95.4%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Bryce Bohanon for 4 yds to the TULN 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+17
95.3%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Shazz Preston for 17 yds to the MISS 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:16
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+7
94.7%
Javin Gordon run for 7 yds to the MISS 40Similar
Q3 11:31
2ND & 3
OPP 40
+3
94.3%
Javin Gordon run for 3 yds to the MISS 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:57
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
94.7%
Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to Anthony Brown-StephensSimilar
Q3 10:43
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+12
95.0%
Arnold Barnes III run for 12 yds to the MISS 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:10
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
95.0%
Arnold Barnes III run for 1 yd to the MISS 24Similar
Q3 9:31
2ND & 9
OPP 24
+14
95.3%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Bryce Bohanon for 14 yds to the MISS 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+6
95.3%
Javin Gordon run for 6 yds to the MISS 4Similar
Q3 8:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-1
95.7%
Javin Gordon run for a loss of 1 yard to the MISS 5Similar
Q3 7:58
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
96.1%
Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to Justyn ReidSimilar
Q3 7:54
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
0
96.1%
Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to Anthony Brown-StephensSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 2:0497% → 97%
Q3 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+7
96.9%
Kewan Lacy run for 7 yds to the MISS 12Similar
Q3 7:01
2ND & 3
OWN 12
+4
97.1%
Trinidad Chambliss pass complete to De'Zhaun Stribling for 4 yds to the MISS 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:31
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
97.2%
Kewan Lacy run for no gain to the MISS 16Similar
Q3 5:47
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+4
97.1%
Trinidad Chambliss run for 4 yds to the MISS 20Similar
Q3 5:41
3RD & 6
OWN 20
0
97.1%
Trinidad Chambliss pass incomplete to Cayden LeeSimilar
Q3 5:26
4TH & 6
OWN 20
+12
97.0%
Oscar Bird punt for 54 yds , Omari Hayes returns for 12 yds to the TULN 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 13DOWNS
5 plays · 22 yds · 2:203% → 3%
Q3 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+14
96.8%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Shazz Preston for 14 yds to the MISS 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:55
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
96.8%
Jake Retzlaff run for 3 yds to the MISS 45Similar
Q3 3:52
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+5
96.9%
Zuberi Mobley run for 5 yds to the MISS 40Similar
Q3 3:10
3RD & 2
OPP 40
+1
97.2%
Jake Retzlaff run for 1 yd to the MISS 39Similar
Q3 2:39
4TH & 1
OPP 39
-1
97.4%
Arnold Barnes III run for a loss of 1 yard to the MISS 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 14TD
6 plays · 60 yds · 2:1998% → 100%
Q3 2:14
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+35
97.6%
Trinidad Chambliss pass complete to Deuce Alexander for 35 yds to the TULN 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+8
97.2%
Trinidad Chambliss run for 8 yds to the TULN 17Similar
Q3 1:24
2ND & 2
OPP 17
+16
97.8%
Trinidad Chambliss run for 16 yds to the TULN 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
98.2%
Kewan Lacy run for a loss of 1 yard to the TULN 2Similar
Q3 0:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
98.3%
Kewan Lacy run for 1 yd to the TULN 1Similar
Q4 14:55
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.7%
Kewan Lacy run for 1 yd for a TD (Trinidad Chambliss pass to Harrison Wallace III for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 15DOWNS
7 plays · 30 yds · 2:040% → 0%
Q4 14:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+22
99.8%
Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Omari Hayes for 22 yds to the TULN 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:13
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
99.8%
Brendan Sullivan run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 13:18
2ND & 7
50
+6
99.8%
Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Javin Gordon for 6 yds to the MISS 44Similar
Q4 12:57
3RD & 1
OPP 44
-1
99.8%
Brendan Sullivan run for a loss of 1 yard to the MISS 45Similar
Q4 12:21
4TH & 2
OPP 45
0
99.8%
Brendan Sullivan run for no gain to the MISS 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 16TD
2 plays · 55 yds · 0:17100% → 100%
Q4 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+53
99.9%
Trinidad Chambliss pass complete to Dae'Quan Wright for 53 yds to the TULN 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.9%
Logan Diggs run for 2 yds for a TD (Lucas Carneiro KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:540% → 0%
Q4 11:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Brendan Sullivan pass incomplete to Anthony Brown-StephensSimilar
Q4 11:33
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Brendan Sullivan pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:21
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+8
99.9%
Brendan Sullivan run for 8 yds to the TULN 33Similar
Q4 10:48
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
99.9%
Alec Clark punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Izaiah Hartrup at the MISS 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 18TD
10 plays · 72 yds · 2:26100% → 100%
Q4 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
99.9%
Trinidad Chambliss pass incomplete to De'Zhaun StriblingSimilar
Q4 10:35
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+15
99.9%
Tulane Penalty, Roughing Passer (15 Yards) to the MISS 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
99.9%
Kewan Lacy run for 4 yds to the MISS 47Similar
Q4 10:02
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+4
99.9%
Kewan Lacy run for 4 yds to the TULN 49Similar
Q4 9:25
3RD & 2
OPP 49
+4
99.9%
Kewan Lacy run for 4 yds to the TULN 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:03
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
99.9%
Trinidad Chambliss pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:38
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+12
99.9%
Kewan Lacy run for 12 yds to the TULN 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:26
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
99.9%
Trinidad Chambliss pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:17
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+33
99.9%
Trinidad Chambliss pass complete to Deuce Alexander for 33 yds for a TD (Lucas Carneiro KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 19TD
15 plays · 65 yds · 4:290% → 0%
Q4 8:11
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+11
99.9%
Jamauri McClure run for 11 yds to the TULN 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:39
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+10
99.9%
Jamauri McClure run for 10 yds to the MISS 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:56
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
100.0%
Brendan Sullivan pass incomplete to Jimmy CallowaySimilar
Q4 6:15
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+1
100.0%
Brendan Sullivan run for 1 yd to the MISS 43 Brendan Sullivan fumbled, recovered by TULN Jamauri McClureSimilar
Q4 6:03
3RD & 9
OPP 43
+15
100.0%
Ole Miss Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the MISS 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:56
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
99.9%
Brendan Sullivan pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:45
2ND & 10
OPP 28
-2
100.0%
Jamauri McClure run for a loss of 2 yards to the MISS 30Similar
Q4 5:13
3RD & 12
OPP 30
0
100.0%
Brendan Sullivan pass incomplete to Bryce BohanonSimilar
Q4 5:05
4TH & 12
OPP 30
+15
99.9%
Ole Miss Penalty, Roughing Passer (15 Yards) to the MISS 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:42
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+10
99.9%
Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Bryce Bohanon for 10 yds to the MISS 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
99.9%
Brendan Sullivan pass incomplete to Justyn ReidSimilar
Q4 4:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-1
100.0%
Brendan Sullivan run for a loss of 1 yard to the MISS 6Similar
Q4 3:42
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
99.9%
Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Anthony Brown-Stephens for 6 yds for a TD (Patrick Durkin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 20FUMBLE
6 plays · 42 yds · 2:21100% → 100%
Q4 3:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
99.9%
Logan Diggs run for 10 yds to the MISS 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
99.9%
Logan Diggs run for 6 yds to the MISS 41Similar
Q4 2:07
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+2
100.0%
Logan Diggs run for 2 yds to the MISS 43Similar
Q4 1:52
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+20
99.9%
Damien Taylor run for 20 yds to the TULN 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:15
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
100.0%
Damien Taylor run for 4 yds to the TULN 33 Damien Taylor fumbled, recovered by TULN Jah'rie GarnerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 21INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
100.0%
Brendan Sullivan pass intercepted Cedrick Beavers return for no gain to the MISS 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 22END OF GAME
2 plays · 6 yds · 0:35100% → 100%
Q4 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
100.0%
Shekai Mills-Knight run for 2 yds to the MISS 35Similar
Q4 0:24
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+4
100.0%
Shekai Mills-Knight run for 4 yds to the MISS 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 4:09
Kewan Lacy run for 1 yd for a TD (Lucas Carneiro KICK)
+6.9
FG · Q2 0:24
Lucas Carneiro 33 yd FG GOOD
+5
FG · Q2 12:48
Lucas Carneiro 54 yd FG GOOD
+3.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com