Try the model
SELA

SE Louisiana 10 at LSU 56

LSU
2025 · Week 4 · Sep 20, 2025 · Tiger Stadium (LA)
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · LSU
modelLSU aheadSELA aheadconfidence bandkey playLSU scoreSELA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 5:56 · Alec Mahler punt for 50 yds , Zavion Thomas returns for 11 yds to the LSU 43
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 57Pregame prior+42.0Home team on offense+15.2Score differential+9.8Blowout margin+0.5Garbage-time factor+2.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 5:08: Garrett Nussmeier run for 1 yd for a TD (Damian Ramos KICK) — LSU win probability +0.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 13:12: Ju'Juan Johnson run for 2 yds for a TD (Damian Ramos KICK) — LSU win probability +0.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 8:19: Ju'Juan Johnson run for 10 yds for a TD (Damian Ramos KICK) — LSU win probability +0.6 pts (now 99%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 2:06: Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Barion Brown for 17 yds for a TD (Damian Ramos KICK) — LSU win probability +0.4 pts (now 100%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
LSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5SELA made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 12:57LSU 4th & 5 at LSU 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.4%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:26SELA 4th & 2 at SELA 27, tied
    Close callPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:10SELA 4th & 1 at SELA 44, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.2%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:59LSU 4th & 11 at SELA 35, up 7
    Close callWent for it · 98.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.5%−<0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    98.5%
    45% to make
    Punt
    98.5%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:33SELA 4th & 5 at SELA 45, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.3%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:56SELA 4th & 17 at SELA 18, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:29LSU 4th & 2 at SELA 14, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.2%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    99.1%−0.1
    84% to make
    Punt
    98.7%−0.5
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:40SELA 4th & 4 at SELA 31, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:45SELA 4th & 3 at SELA 46, down 35
    Close callPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 0:15LSU 4th & 9 at SELA 42, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%−0.1
    30% to make
    Punt
    99.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 11:41SELA 4th & 12 at SELA 23, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  12. Q4 11:41SELA 4th & 12 at SELA 23, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 2:16SELA 4th & 20 at LSU 20, down 49
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    9% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.0%
    75% to make
    Punt
    -0.0%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 0:20LSU 4th & 2 at LSU 30, up 46
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
LSU made the numbers' call on 8 of 8SELA made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 5:08LSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:12LSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 8:19LSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 2:06LSU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:15LSU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 9:28LSU Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 6:07SELA Touchdown, down 36 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 13:54LSU Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 8:11LSU Touchdown, up 48 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
LSUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:40100% → 99%
Q1 14:37
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+7
99.5%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Caden Durham for 7 yds to the LSU 16Similar
Q1 14:09
2ND & 17
OWN 16
+1
99.5%
Caden Durham run for 1 yd to the LSU 17Similar
Q1 13:31
3RD & 16
OWN 17
+11
99.5%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Bauer Sharp for 11 yds to the LSU 28Similar
Q1 12:57
4TH & 5
OWN 28
0
99.4%
Grant Chadwick punt for 53 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SELADrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 2:211% → 1%
Q1 12:47
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+9
99.4%
Carson Camp pass complete to Jaylon Domingeaux for 9 yds to the SELA 28Similar
Q1 12:12
2ND & 1
OWN 28
-5
99.4%
(12:13) PENALTY SLU Encroachment (Hugley,Da'shun) 5 yards from SLU28 to SLU23. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:38
2ND & 6
OWN 23
+4
99.4%
Deantre Jackson run for 4 yds to the SELA 27Similar
Q1 11:03
3RD & 2
OWN 27
0
99.4%
Carson Camp run for no gain to the SELA 27Similar
Q1 10:26
4TH & 2
OWN 27
0
99.3%
Alec Mahler punt for 18 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SELA 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 3TD
13 plays · 45 yds · 5:1499% → 99%
Q1 10:22
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
99.3%
Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete to Barion BrownSimilar
Q1 10:13
2ND & 10
OPP 45
0
99.3%
Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete to Aaron AndersonSimilar
Q1 10:03
3RD & 10
OPP 45
+11
99.3%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Aaron Anderson for 11 yds to the SELA 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:47
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
99.3%
Caden Durham run for 2 yds to the SELA 32Similar
Q1 9:17
2ND & 8
OPP 32
+6
99.3%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Caden Durham for 6 yds to the SELA 26Similar
Q1 8:39
3RD & 2
OPP 26
+3
99.2%
Caden Durham run for 3 yds to the SELA 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:55
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+2
99.2%
Ju'Juan Johnson run for 2 yds to the SELA 21Similar
Q1 7:27
2ND & 8
OPP 21
+6
99.2%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Barion Brown for 6 yds to the SELA 15Similar
Q1 7:09
3RD & 2
OPP 15
+3
99.1%
Garrett Nussmeier run for 3 yds to the SELA 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:35
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+4
99.1%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Barion Brown for 4 yds to the SELA 8Similar
Q1 6:11
2ND & 6
OPP 8
+2
99.1%
Ju'Juan Johnson run for 2 yds to the SELA 6Similar
Q1 5:25
3RD & 4
OPP 6
+5
99.0%
Caden Durham run for 5 yds to the SELA 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.1%
Garrett Nussmeier run for 1 yd for a TD (Damian Ramos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SELADrive 4DOWNS
9 plays · 19 yds · 3:461% → 1%
Q1 4:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.1%
Carson Camp pass complete to Brandon Hayes for 5 yds to the SELA 30Similar
Q1 4:24
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
99.0%
Jaedon Henry run for 2 yds to the SELA 32Similar
Q1 3:41
3RD & 3
OWN 32
-2
99.0%
Deantre Jackson run for a loss of 2 yards to the SELA 30Similar
Q1 2:57
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+5
99.0%
(03:07) Mahler,Alec punt 47 yards to the LSU23 Thomas,Zavion return 4 yards to the LSU27 (Collier,Cade), out of bounds PENALTY LSU Running Into The Kicker (Spears,Dashawn) 5 yards from SLU30 to SLU35, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:43
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
98.9%
Carson Camp run for 8 yds to the SELA 43Similar
Q1 2:03
2ND & 2
OWN 43
0
98.8%
Carson Camp pass incomplete to Luke BeshSimilar
Q1 1:58
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+1
98.8%
Deantre Jackson run for 1 yd to the SELA 44Similar
Q1 1:10
4TH & 1
OWN 44
0
98.8%
Carson Camp run for no gain to the SELA 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 5TD
7 plays · 44 yds · 2:3699% → 99%
Q1 0:48
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+10
98.8%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Nic Anderson for 10 yds to the SELA 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-9
98.8%
Garrett Nussmeier sacked by Kaleb Proctor for a loss of 9 yards to the SELA 43Similar
Q2 14:54
2ND & 19
OPP 43
0
98.7%
Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete to Nic AndersonSimilar
Q2 14:40
3RD & 19
OPP 43
+8
98.7%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Caden Durham for 8 yds to the SELA 35Similar
Q2 13:59
4TH & 11
OPP 35
+17
98.6%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Zavion Thomas for 17 yds to the SELA 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:37
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+16
98.7%
Ju'Juan Johnson run for 16 yds to the SELA 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.0%
Ju'Juan Johnson run for 2 yds for a TD (Damian Ramos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SELADrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 1:351% → 1%
Q2 13:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
98.9%
LSU Penalty, UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (Dominick McKinley) to the SELA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-2
98.8%
Kyle Lowe run for a loss of 2 yards to the SELA 38Similar
Q2 12:21
2ND & 12
OWN 38
+7
98.8%
Kyle Lowe pass complete to Jaylon Domingeaux for 7 yds to the SELA 45Similar
Q2 11:45
3RD & 5
OWN 45
0
98.7%
Kyle Lowe pass incomplete to Jaylon DomingeauxSimilar
Q2 11:33
4TH & 5
OWN 45
+18
98.8%
Alec Mahler punt for 47 yds , Zavion Thomas returns for 18 yds to the LSU 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 7TD
7 plays · 74 yds · 2:5999% → 99%
Q2 11:18
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+25
98.9%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Aaron Anderson for 25 yds to the SELA 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:47
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
98.9%
Zavion Thomas run for 6 yds to the SELA 43Similar
Q2 10:16
2ND & 4
OPP 43
+8
98.9%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Kaleb Jackson for 8 yds to the SELA 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:37
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
98.8%
Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete to Nic AndersonSimilar
Q2 9:30
2ND & 10
OPP 35
-1
98.8%
Caden Durham run for a loss of 1 yard to the SELA 36Similar
Q2 8:46
3RD & 11
OPP 36
+26
98.7%
Garrett Nussmeier run for 26 yds to the SELA 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
99.4%
Ju'Juan Johnson run for 10 yds for a TD (Damian Ramos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SELADrive 8PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 2:171% → 1%
Q2 8:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.2%
Jaedon Henry run for no gain to the SELA 25Similar
Q2 7:04
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.2%
Jaedon Henry run for 6 yds to the SELA 19 Jaedon Henry fumbled, recovered by SELA Riley WhittenSimilar
Q2 6:37
3RD & 16
OWN 19
-1
99.2%
Kyle Lowe sacked for a loss of 1 yard to the SELA 18Similar
Q2 5:56
4TH & 17
OWN 18
+11
99.2%
Alec Mahler punt for 50 yds , Zavion Thomas returns for 11 yds to the LSU 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 9TD
9 plays · 57 yds · 3:4099% → 100%
Q2 5:46
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+15
99.3%
(05:55) Shotgun Nussmeier,Garrett pass incomplete deep left to Hilton Jr.,Chris thrown to SLU20 PENALTY SLU Pass Interference (Norwood,Kamron) 15 yards from LSU43 to SLU42, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:37
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
99.3%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Bauer Sharp for 5 yds to the SELA 37Similar
Q2 5:12
2ND & 5
OPP 37
+15
99.3%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Barion Brown for 15 yds to the SELA 22 for a 1ST down SE Louisiana Penalty, Illegal Substitution (Jaylon Domingeaux) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:54
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+9
99.3%
Barion Brown run for 9 yds to the SELA 13Similar
Q2 4:14
2ND & 1
OPP 13
0
99.3%
Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete to Zavion ThomasSimilar
Q2 4:06
3RD & 1
OPP 13
-1
99.3%
Ju'Juan Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the SELA 14Similar
Q2 3:29
4TH & 2
OPP 14
+8
99.3%
Ju'Juan Johnson run for 8 yds to the SELA 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-11
99.3%
Garrett Nussmeier sacked by Kaleb Proctor for a loss of 11 yards to the SELA 17Similar
Q2 2:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 17
+17
99.7%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Barion Brown for 17 yds for a TD (Damian Ramos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SELADrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 0:180% → 0%
Q2 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.7%
Kyle Lowe pass complete to Deantre Jackson for 6 yds to the SELA 31Similar
Q2 1:54
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
99.7%
Kyle Lowe pass incomplete to Tristan GoodlySimilar
Q2 1:51
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
99.7%
Kyle Lowe pass incomplete to Deantre JacksonSimilar
Q2 1:40
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+20
99.7%
Alec Mahler punt for 45 yds , Zavion Thomas returns for 20 yds to the LSU 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 11TD
12 plays · 56 yds · 1:19100% → 100%
Q2 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
99.8%
Caden Durham run for 1 yd to the LSU 45Similar
Q2 1:11
2ND & 9
OWN 45
+11
99.8%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Chris Hilton Jr. for 11 yds to the SELA 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+16
99.8%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Bauer Sharp for 16 yds to the SELA 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:42
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+8
99.8%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Chris Hilton Jr. for 8 yds to the SELA 20Similar
Q2 0:36
2ND & 2
OPP 20
+10
99.8%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Aaron Anderson for 10 yds to the SELA 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+6
99.8%
Caden Durham run for 6 yds to the SELA 4Similar
Q2 0:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
99.8%
Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete to Nic AndersonSimilar
Q2 0:24
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
-5
99.8%
(00:23) PENALTY LSU False Start (Davis,Weston) 5 yards from SLU04 to SLU09. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:15
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
99.8%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Zavion Thomas for 9 yds for a TD (Damian Ramos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SELADrive 12END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-1
99.8%
(00:06) Kneel down by Southeastern La. at SLU20 for loss of 1 yard.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SELADrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 21 yds · 2:040% → 0%
Q3 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
99.8%
Carson Camp pass complete to Luke Besh for 14 yds to the SELA 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:12
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
99.8%
Carson Camp pass complete to Tristan Goodly for 5 yds to the SELA 44Similar
Q3 13:34
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+2
99.8%
Jaedon Henry run for 2 yds to the SELA 46Similar
Q3 12:51
3RD & 3
OWN 46
0
99.8%
Carson Camp pass incomplete to Jaylon DomingeauxSimilar
Q3 12:45
4TH & 3
OWN 46
0
99.8%
Alec Mahler punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Zavion Thomas at the LSU 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 14TD
7 plays · 87 yds · 3:04100% → 100%
Q3 12:32
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+14
99.8%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Ju'Juan Johnson for 14 yds to the LSU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+7
99.9%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Kyle Parker for 7 yds to the LSU 34Similar
Q3 11:24
2ND & 3
OWN 34
+9
99.9%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Kyle Parker for 9 yds to the LSU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:01
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+18
99.9%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Bauer Sharp for 18 yds to the SELA 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:42
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+12
99.9%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Barion Brown for 12 yds to the SELA 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:12
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+4
99.9%
Ju'Juan Johnson run for 4 yds to the SELA 23Similar
Q3 9:28
2ND & 6
OPP 23
+23
99.9%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Bauer Sharp for 23 yds for a TD (Damian Ramos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SELADrive 15TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:060% → 0%
Q3 9:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
99.9%
Brandon Hayes run for 11 yds to the SELA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:42
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
99.9%
Carson Camp pass incomplete to Jaylon DomingeauxSimilar
Q3 8:28
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+30
99.9%
Carson Camp pass complete to Jordyn Williams for 30 yds to the LSU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:47
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
99.9%
Carson Camp pass incomplete to Jordyn WilliamsSimilar
Q3 7:40
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+14
99.9%
Jaedon Henry run for 14 yds to the LSU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:01
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
99.9%
Carson Camp pass incomplete to Luke BeshSimilar
Q3 6:54
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+6
99.9%
Kyle Lowe run for 6 yds to the LSU 14Similar
Q3 6:07
3RD & 4
OPP 14
+14
99.9%
Carson Camp pass complete to Deantre Jackson for 14 yds for a TD (Guillermo Garcia Rodriguez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 16TD
20 plays · 81 yds · 6:55100% → 100%
Q3 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+9
99.9%
Michael Van Buren Jr. pass complete to Kyle Parker for 9 yds to the LSU 28Similar
Q3 5:19
2ND & 1
OWN 28
+5
99.9%
Harlem Berry run for 5 yds to the LSU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+6
99.9%
Harlem Berry run for 6 yds to the LSU 39Similar
Q3 4:38
2ND & 4
OWN 39
-10
99.9%
(04:47) No Huddle-Shotgun Van Buren Jr.,Michael rush left for 2 yards gain to the LSU41 (Randall,Joshua) PENALTY LSU Holding (Williams,Ory) 10 yards from LSU39 to LSU29. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:21
2ND & 14
OWN 29
+2
99.9%
Michael Van Buren Jr. run for 2 yds to the LSU 31Similar
Q3 3:32
3RD & 12
OWN 31
+15
99.9%
Michael Van Buren Jr. pass complete to Donovan Green for 15 yds to the LSU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:14
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
99.9%
Harlem Berry run for 3 yds to the LSU 49Similar
Q3 2:43
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+8
99.9%
Michael Van Buren Jr. pass complete to Nic Anderson for 8 yds to the SELA 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:06
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
99.9%
Michael Van Buren Jr. pass incomplete to Jelani WatkinsSimilar
Q3 1:58
2ND & 10
OPP 43
0
99.9%
Kaleb Jackson run for no gain to the SELA 43Similar
Q3 1:20
3RD & 10
OPP 43
+1
99.9%
Michael Van Buren Jr. run for 1 yd to the SELA 42Similar
Q3 0:28
4TH & 9
OPP 42
-47
99.9%
(00:45) Ramos,Damian field goal attempt from 59 yards NO GOOD (H: Chadwick,Grant, LS: Hall,Silas), clock 00:28 Hugley,Da'shun return 47 yards to the SLU47 (Peterson,GiVanni) PENALTY SLU Illegal Formation offsetting LSU Targeting offsetting. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:15
4TH & 9
OPP 42
+12
99.9%
Michael Van Buren Jr. run for 12 yds to the SELA 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+6
99.9%
Kaleb Jackson run for 6 yds to the SELA 24Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 24
-5
99.9%
(14:59) PENALTY LSU False Start (Berry,Harlem) 5 yards from SLU24 to SLU29. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:48
2ND & 9
OPP 29
+25
99.9%
Michael Van Buren Jr. pass complete to Donovan Green for 25 yds to the SELA 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
99.9%
Michael Van Buren Jr. pass incomplete to Nic AndersonSimilar
Q4 14:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
99.9%
Harlem Berry run for 3 yds to the SELA 1Similar
Q4 13:54
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
Michael Van Buren Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD (Damian Ramos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SELADrive 17PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 2:010% → 0%
Q4 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-7
99.9%
Carson Camp sacked by Dylan Carpenter for a loss of 7 yards to the SELA 18Similar
Q4 13:02
2ND & 17
OWN 18
+4
99.9%
Carson Camp pass complete to Jordyn Williams for 4 yds to the SELA 22Similar
Q4 12:17
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+1
99.9%
Rodeo Graham Jr. run for 1 yd to the SELA 23Similar
Q4 11:41
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
100.0%
Alec Mahler punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Barion Brown at the LSU 27Similar
Q4 11:41
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
100.0%
Alec Mahler punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Barion Brown at the LSU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 18TD
8 plays · 58 yds · 3:14100% → 100%
Q4 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+6
99.9%
Michael Van Buren Jr. pass complete to Jelani Watkins for 6 yds to the LSU 48Similar
Q4 10:53
2ND & 4
OWN 48
+2
99.9%
Michael Van Buren Jr. pass complete to Kaleb Jackson for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 10:33
3RD & 2
50
-5
99.9%
PENALTY LSU False Start (Williams,Ory) 5 yards from LSU50 to LSU45. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:13
3RD & 7
OWN 45
-5
99.9%
PENALTY LSU False Start (Jackson,Kaleb) 5 yards from LSU45 to LSU40. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:47
3RD & 12
OWN 40
+13
99.9%
Michael Van Buren Jr. pass complete to Kaleb Jackson for 13 yds to the SELA 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:12
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
99.9%
Harlem Berry run for 5 yds to the SELA 42Similar
Q4 8:49
2ND & 5
OPP 42
+15
99.9%
Michael Van Buren Jr. pass complete to Jelani Watkins for 15 yds to the SELA 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:11
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+27
100.0%
Michael Van Buren Jr. pass complete to Kyle Parker for 27 yds for a TD (Damian Ramos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SELADrive 19FG
12 plays · 55 yds · 5:470% → 0%
Q4 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
100.0%
Brandon Hayes run for 4 yds to the SELA 29Similar
Q4 7:27
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+16
100.0%
Kyle Lowe run for 16 yds to the SELA 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
100.0%
Kyle Lowe pass incomplete to Jett BookerSimilar
Q4 6:41
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+25
100.0%
Calvin Smith Jr. run for 25 yds to the LSU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:08
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
100.0%
Kyle Lowe run for 4 yds to the LSU 26Similar
Q4 5:21
2ND & 6
OPP 26
+16
100.0%
Kyle Lowe pass complete to Deantre Jackson for 16 yds to the LSU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-4
100.0%
Carson Camp sacked by Damien Shanklin for a loss of 4 yards to the LSU 14Similar
Q4 3:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 14
+6
100.0%
Carson Camp pass complete to Kentrell Prejean for 6 yds to the LSU 8Similar
Q4 3:12
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
-10
100.0%
SE Louisiana Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the LSU 17Similar
Q4 2:54
3RD & GOAL
OPP 17
-3
100.0%
Kyle Lowe sacked by Damien Shanklin for a loss of 3 yards to the LSU 20Similar
Q4 2:16
4TH & GOAL
OPP 20
+37
100.0%
Guillermo Garcia Rodriguez 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 1:42100% → 100%
Q4 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
100.0%
Harlem Berry run for 4 yds to the LSU 26Similar
Q4 1:54
2ND & 6
OWN 26
+2
100.0%
Harlem Berry run for 2 yds to the LSU 28Similar
Q4 1:06
3RD & 4
OWN 28
+2
100.0%
Michael Van Buren Jr. pass complete to Phillip Wright III for 2 yds to the LSU 30Similar
Q4 0:20
4TH & 2
OWN 30
0
100.0%
Grant Chadwick punt for 46 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SELADrive 21END OF GAME
1 play · 5 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-10
100.0%
SE Louisiana Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the SELA 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 8:19
Ju'Juan Johnson run for 10 yds for a TD (Damian Ramos KICK)
+0.6
TD · Q2 2:06
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Barion Brown for 17 yds for a TD (Damian Ramos KICK)
+0.4
TD · Q2 13:12
Ju'Juan Johnson run for 2 yds for a TD (Damian Ramos KICK)
+0.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com