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TA&M

Texas A&M 41 at Notre Dame 40

ND
2025 · Week 3 · Sep 13, 2025 · Notre Dame Stadium
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Win probability · ND
modelND aheadTA&M aheadconfidence bandkey playND scoreTA&M score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDFGFGFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · CJ Carr pass complete to Jaden Greathouse for 7 yds to the ND 40 lat. to Jordan Faison for a loss of 1 yard to the ND 40 lat. to Jeremiyah Love for 3 yds to the ND 40
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+24.5+12.30−12.3−24.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 1:11: Le'Veon Moss run for 1 yd for a TD (Randy Bond KICK) — TA&M win probability +12.0 pts (now 52%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 8:17: Jadarian Price run for 17 yds for a TD (Noah Burnette KICK) — ND win probability +13.3 pts (now 71%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
  3. FG · Q4 9:06: Randy Bond 45 yd FG GOOD — TA&M win probability +9.4 pts (now 45%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 2:53: Jeremiyah Love run for 12 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed) — ND win probability +32.3 pts (now 93%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:13: Marcel Reed pass complete to Nate Boerkircher for 11 yds for a TD (Randy Bond KICK) — TA&M win probability +69.9 pts (now 86%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ND made the numbers' call on 6 of 8TA&M made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 13:06TA&M 4th & 8 at TA&M 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.2%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:13TA&M 4th & 10 at TA&M 35, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.5%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:20ND 4th & 6 at ND 45, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.7%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.8%
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:25ND 4th & 1 at TA&M 8, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 71.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    71.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    70.5%−1.0
    90% to make
    Punt
    67.9%−3.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:54ND 4th & 4 at TA&M 4, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 71.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    71.4%−0.2
    93% to make
    Punt
    68.5%−3.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:05ND 4th & 13 at TA&M 43, down 4
    Numbers favored punt by 1.6 ptsWent for it · 55.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    53.2%−1.6
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    53.3%−1.6
    28% to make
    Punt
    54.9%
    average punt
  7. Q3 11:30ND 4th & 7 at TA&M 48, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.7%−0.4
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.2%
    average punt
  8. Q3 10:32TA&M 4th & 8 at TA&M 3, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.7%−3.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.0%
    average punt
  9. Q3 6:11TA&M 4th & 11 at TA&M 37, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.1%−2.0
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.2%
    average punt
  10. Q3 3:34ND 4th & 1 at TA&M 48, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 69.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    69.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    66.4%−3.0
    average punt
  11. Q3 0:44TA&M 4th & 6 at ND 26, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 33.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.1%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    33.4%
    64% to make
    Punt
    24.2%−9.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:01ND 4th & 11 at TA&M 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 60.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.0%−3.6
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    59.6%
    74% to make
    Punt
    45.1%−14.6
    average punt
  13. Q4 9:06TA&M 4th & 11 at ND 28, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 30.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.8%−3.3
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    32.1%
    60% to make
    Punt
    21.0%−11.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 3:35ND 4th & 1 at TA&M 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 61.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    62.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    53.9%−8.4
    79% to make
    Punt
    29.1%−33.2
    average punt
  15. Q4 0:13TA&M 4th & 11 at ND 11, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 20.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    21.7%
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    9.3%−12.5
    87% to make
    Punt
    6.7%−15.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ND made the numbers' call on 3 of 4TA&M made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 9:33TA&M Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:30ND Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:23TA&M Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    32.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 9:43ND Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 5:32TA&M Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    32.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 1:11TA&M Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 8:17ND Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 2:53ND Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Numbers favored kick by 1.9 ptsWent for two · failed
    Kick
    87.2%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    85.2%−1.9
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 0:13TA&M Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.2%−16.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TA&MDrive 1PUNT TD
7 plays · 12 yds · 1:4736% → 36%
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
63.9%
Le'Veon Moss run for 10 yds to the TA&M 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:25
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-10
63.8%
Texas A&M Penalty, Offensive Holding (Dametrious Crownover) to the TA&M 25Similar
Q1 14:08
1ST & 20
OWN 25
0
63.8%
Marcel Reed pass incomplete to KC ConcepcionSimilar
Q1 14:02
2ND & 20
OWN 25
0
63.8%
Marcel Reed pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:51
3RD & 20
OWN 25
+12
63.8%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Mario Craver for 12 yds to the TA&M 37Similar
Q1 13:06
4TH & 8
OWN 37
+20
64.5%
Tyler White punt blocked by Loghan Thomas blocked by Loghan Thomas White, Tyler punt 0 yards to the TA&M37, recovered by NOTREDAME Johnson, Tae at TA&M20, Johnson, Tae for 20 yards to the TA&M0, TOUCHDOWN, clock 13:06 (blocked by Thomas, Loghan). Tae Johnson return for 20 yds for a TD (Noah Burnette KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 0:5336% → 35%
Q1 13:06
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-5
64.3%
Texas A&M Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TA&M 30Similar
Q1 13:02
1ST & 15
OWN 30
0
64.4%
Marcel Reed pass incomplete to Ashton Bethel-RomanSimilar
Q1 12:58
2ND & 15
OWN 30
0
64.4%
Marcel Reed pass incomplete to Le'Veon MossSimilar
Q1 12:49
3RD & 15
OWN 30
+5
64.6%
Marcel Reed run for 5 yds to the TA&M 35Similar
Q1 12:13
4TH & 10
OWN 35
0
64.7%
Tyler White punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Jordan Faison at the ND 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 1:4365% → 65%
Q1 12:03
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+13
64.8%
Jeremiyah Love run for 13 yds to the ND 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
65.1%
CJ Carr pass incomplete to Jordan FaisonSimilar
Q1 11:27
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+9
65.1%
Jeremiyah Love run for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 10:56
3RD & 1
50
-5
65.5%
Jeremiyah Love run for a loss of 5 yards to the ND 45Similar
Q1 10:20
4TH & 6
OWN 45
0
65.4%
James Rendell punt for 45 yds, fair catch by KC Concepcion at the TA&M 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 4TD
2 plays · 90 yds · 0:4135% → 36%
Q1 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+4
65.2%
Le'Veon Moss run for 4 yds to the TA&M 14Similar
Q1 9:33
2ND & 6
OWN 14
+86
63.6%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Mario Craver for 86 yds for a TD (Randy Bond KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 5TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:5764% → 68%
Q1 9:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
63.7%
Jeremiyah Love run for 6 yds to the ND 31Similar
Q1 8:50
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+6
64.0%
CJ Carr pass complete to Jordan Faison for 6 yds to the ND 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:16
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
63.8%
CJ Carr pass incomplete to Jordan FaisonSimilar
Q1 8:12
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
63.8%
CJ Carr pass complete to Jeremiyah Love for no gain to the ND 37Similar
Q1 8:12
3RD & 10
OWN 37
+15
63.4%
Texas A&M Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (15 Yards) to the TA&M 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:47
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+43
64.3%
CJ Carr pass complete to Eli Raridon for 43 yds to the TA&M 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-2
64.6%
Jeremiyah Love run for a loss of 2 yards to the TA&M 7Similar
Q1 6:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
67.5%
Jadarian Price run for 7 yds for a TD (Noah Burnette KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 6INT
3 plays · -1 yds · 0:2934% → 34%
Q1 6:18
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
66.3%
Rueben Owens II run for a loss of 1 yard to the TA&M 19Similar
Q1 5:49
2ND & 11
OWN 19
0
66.5%
Marcel Reed pass intercepted Leonard Moore return for no gain to the TA&M 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 7FG
12 plays · 38 yds · 5:4968% → 68%
Q1 5:43
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
67.7%
Jadarian Price run for no gain to the TA&M 42Similar
Q1 5:12
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+1
67.9%
Jadarian Price run for 1 yd to the TA&M 41Similar
Q1 4:25
3RD & 9
OPP 41
+24
67.9%
Jadarian Price run for 24 yds to the TA&M 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:54
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
68.6%
CJ Carr run for no gain to the TA&M 17Similar
Q1 3:07
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+3
68.9%
Jadarian Price run for 3 yds to the TA&M 14Similar
Q1 2:03
3RD & 7
OPP 14
+6
68.2%
CJ Carr pass complete to Malachi Fields for 6 yds to the TA&M 8Similar
Q1 1:25
4TH & 1
OPP 8
+4
67.8%
Jeremiyah Love run for 4 yds to the TA&M 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
68.9%
Jeremiyah Love run for 2 yds to the TA&M 2Similar
Q1 0:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-2
69.1%
Jeremiyah Love run for a loss of 2 yards to the TA&M 4Similar
Q2 14:54
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
68.8%
CJ Carr pass incomplete to Malachi FieldsSimilar
Q2 14:54
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+22
68.4%
Noah Burnette 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 8TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:2531% → 38%
Q2 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
69.4%
Le'Veon Moss run for 1 yd to the TA&M 26Similar
Q2 14:09
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+12
69.6%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Mario Craver for 12 yds to the TA&M 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:43
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+16
69.4%
Marcel Reed pass complete to KC Concepcion for 16 yds to the ND 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:59
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+45
68.9%
Marcel Reed pass complete to KC Concepcion for 45 yds to the ND 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
61.7%
Le'Veon Moss run for 1 yd for a TD (Randy Bond KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 9TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:3664% → 71%
Q2 12:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
63.8%
CJ Carr pass incomplete to Malachi FieldsSimilar
Q2 12:09
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
63.7%
CJ Carr pass complete to Jeremiyah Love for 9 yds to the ND 34Similar
Q2 11:24
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+16
64.1%
Jeremiyah Love run for 16 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:56
1ST & 10
50
+2
65.6%
Jeremiyah Love run for 2 yds to the TA&M 48Similar
Q2 10:22
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+12
65.7%
CJ Carr pass complete to Jordan Faison for 12 yds to the TA&M 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:43
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+36
71.3%
CJ Carr pass complete to Jeremiyah Love for 36 yds for a TD (Noah Burnette KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 10TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:0528% → 39%
Q2 9:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
71.9%
Le'Veon Moss run for 1 yd to the TA&M 26Similar
Q2 8:58
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+11
72.2%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Mario Craver for 11 yds to the TA&M 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-5
71.7%
Texas A&M Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TA&M 32Similar
Q2 7:59
1ST & 15
OWN 32
+7
72.7%
Marcel Reed run for 7 yds to the TA&M 39Similar
Q2 7:25
2ND & 8
OWN 39
0
72.0%
Marcel Reed pass incomplete to KC ConcepcionSimilar
Q2 7:12
3RD & 8
OWN 39
+21
72.6%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Mario Craver for 21 yds to the ND 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:54
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+14
71.3%
Marcel Reed run for 14 yds to the ND 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:08
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+24
70.3%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Rueben Owens II for 24 yds to the ND 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
70.4%
Marcel Reed pass incomplete to KC ConcepcionSimilar
Q2 5:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
61.1%
Le'Veon Moss run for 2 yds for a TD (Randy Bond KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 11INT
5 plays · 17 yds · 1:5665% → 67%
Q2 5:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
64.9%
Jadarian Price run for no gain to the ND 25Similar
Q2 4:48
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
64.6%
CJ Carr pass complete to KK Smith for 7 yds to the ND 32Similar
Q2 4:08
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+10
64.5%
CJ Carr pass complete to Malachi Fields for 10 yds to the ND 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-3
66.7%
CJ Carr pass intercepted Scooby Williams return for 3 yds to the ND 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 12TD
9 plays · 47 yds · 2:1238% → 52%
Q2 3:23
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+31
62.2%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Mario Craver for 31 yds to the ND 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:53
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+7
60.6%
Le'Veon Moss run for 7 yds to the ND 9Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 3
OPP 9
+5
59.7%
Le'Veon Moss run for 5 yds to the ND 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
59.7%
Rueben Owens II run for 2 yds to the ND 2 for a 1ST down Notre Dame Penalty, Face Mask (1 yards) (1 Yards) to the ND 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
59.9%
Le'Veon Moss run for no gain to the ND 1Similar
Q2 1:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
59.6%
Marcel Reed run for no gain to the ND 1Similar
Q2 1:11
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
48.0%
Le'Veon Moss run for 1 yd for a TD (Randy Bond KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 13FUMBLE
7 plays · 21 yds · 0:5950% → 49%
Q2 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
50.3%
Texas A&M Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the ND 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+25
50.8%
CJ Carr pass complete to Eli Raridon for 25 yds to the TA&M 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:53
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
54.2%
CJ Carr pass incomplete to Jeremiyah LoveSimilar
Q2 0:43
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+5
53.9%
CJ Carr pass complete to Jeremiyah Love for 5 yds to the TA&M 35Similar
Q2 0:24
3RD & 5
OPP 35
-8
54.0%
CJ Carr sacked by Daymion Sanford for a loss of 8 yards to the TA&M 43Similar
Q2 0:05
4TH & 13
OPP 43
-11
49.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 11 yards to the ND 46 TEAM fumbled, recovered by TA&MSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 14DOWNS
3 plays · 11 yds · 0:0153% → 54%
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+11
47.2%
Le'Veon Moss run for 11 yds to the ND 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+52
46.2%
Randy Bond 52 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 15PUNT
9 plays · 27 yds · 3:2554% → 52%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
53.7%
Jeremiyah Love run for 1 yd to the ND 26Similar
Q3 14:25
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-5
53.4%
Notre Dame Penalty, False Start (Jaden Greathouse) to the ND 21Similar
Q3 14:05
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+1
53.0%
Jeremiyah Love run for 1 yd to the ND 22Similar
Q3 13:22
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+27
51.4%
CJ Carr pass complete to Malachi Fields for 27 yds to the ND 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-3
55.9%
Jeremiyah Love run for a loss of 3 yards to the ND 46Similar
Q3 12:16
2ND & 13
OWN 46
-7
53.2%
CJ Carr sacked by Albert Regis for a loss of 7 yards to the ND 39 Notre Dame Penalty, Intentional Grounding (CJ Carr) to the ND 39Similar
Q3 12:08
3RD & 20
OWN 39
+13
51.5%
Jeremiyah Love run for 13 yds to the TA&M 48Similar
Q3 11:30
4TH & 7
OPP 48
0
51.8%
James Rendell punt for 47 yds, downed at the TA&M 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:5849% → 46%
Q3 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 1
-1
51.5%
Texas A&M Penalty, False Start (Ar'maj Reed-Adams) to the TA&M 1Similar
Q3 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+2
51.5%
Le'Veon Moss run for 2 yds to the TA&M 3Similar
Q3 10:49
2ND & 8
OWN 3
0
51.6%
Marcel Reed pass incomplete to KC ConcepcionSimilar
Q3 10:40
3RD & 8
OWN 3
0
52.7%
Marcel Reed pass incomplete to Mario CraverSimilar
Q3 10:32
4TH & 8
OWN 3
+19
53.8%
Tyler White punt for 45 yds , Jordan Faison returns for 19 yds to the TA&M 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 17TD
5 plays · 29 yds · 2:0958% → 71%
Q3 10:26
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
57.7%
CJ Carr pass incomplete to Jordan FaisonSimilar
Q3 10:20
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+3
57.5%
Jadarian Price run for 3 yds to the TA&M 26Similar
Q3 9:43
3RD & 7
OPP 26
+8
55.5%
CJ Carr pass complete to Will Pauling for 8 yds to the TA&M 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:07
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+1
57.4%
Jadarian Price run for 1 yd to the TA&M 17Similar
Q3 8:17
2ND & 9
OPP 17
+17
70.8%
Jadarian Price run for 17 yds for a TD (Noah Burnette KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 18PUNT
8 plays · 12 yds · 2:0035% → 33%
Q3 8:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
65.1%
Le'Veon Moss run for 4 yds to the TA&M 29Similar
Q3 7:35
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+9
64.3%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Terry Bussey for 9 yds to the TA&M 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
63.3%
Marcel Reed pass incomplete to Amari NiblackSimilar
Q3 6:55
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+4
63.5%
Rueben Owens II run for 4 yds to the TA&M 42Similar
Q3 6:20
3RD & 6
OWN 42
0
63.1%
Marcel Reed pass incomplete to Mario CraverSimilar
Q3 6:20
4TH & 6
OWN 42
-5
65.4%
Texas A&M Penalty, False Start (Dalton Brooks) to the TA&M 37Similar
Q3 6:11
4TH & 11
OWN 37
+34
67.2%
Tyler White punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ND 24 Texas A&M Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the ND 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 19DOWNS
5 plays · 22 yds · 2:3167% → 68%
Q3 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+14
67.0%
CJ Carr pass complete to Malachi Fields for 14 yds to the ND 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
69.2%
Jeremiyah Love run for 3 yds to the ND 46Similar
Q3 4:52
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+4
69.3%
CJ Carr pass complete to Eli Raridon for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 4:15
3RD & 3
50
+2
69.0%
Jeremiyah Love run for 2 yds to the TA&M 48Similar
Q3 3:34
4TH & 1
OPP 48
-1
67.5%
Jeremiyah Love run for a loss of 1 yard to the TA&M 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 20FG
6 plays · 25 yds · 2:4138% → 46%
Q3 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+11
62.1%
Marcel Reed pass complete to KC Concepcion for 11 yds to the ND 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:48
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+10
62.4%
Marcel Reed pass complete to KC Concepcion for 10 yds to the ND 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:07
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
60.9%
Terry Bussey run for 1 yd to the ND 29Similar
Q3 1:31
2ND & 9
OPP 29
+3
60.7%
Le'Veon Moss run for 3 yds to the ND 26Similar
Q3 0:49
3RD & 6
OPP 26
0
61.9%
Marcel Reed pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:44
4TH & 6
OPP 26
+43
54.2%
Randy Bond 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 21FG
7 plays · 44 yds · 1:3060% → 70%
Q3 0:31
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+34
60.0%
CJ Carr pass complete to Jaden Greathouse for 34 yds to the TA&M 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:04
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+11
65.5%
Jadarian Price run for 11 yds to the TA&M 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
65.7%
CJ Carr pass incomplete to Jeremiyah LoveSimilar
Q4 14:48
2ND & 10
OPP 20
-1
65.7%
Jadarian Price run for a loss of 1 yard to the TA&M 21Similar
Q4 14:06
3RD & 11
OPP 21
0
63.4%
CJ Carr pass incomplete to Malachi FieldsSimilar
Q4 14:01
4TH & 11
OPP 21
+39
69.8%
Noah Burnette 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 22FG
15 plays · 47 yds · 4:5232% → 45%
Q4 13:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
68.3%
Marcel Reed pass incomplete to Mario CraverSimilar
Q4 13:51
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
68.5%
Marcel Reed run for 3 yds to the TA&M 28Similar
Q4 13:51
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+15
69.5%
Notre Dame Penalty, Personal Foul (Adon Shuler) to the TA&M 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
65.2%
Le'Veon Moss run for 2 yds to the TA&M 45Similar
Q4 12:52
2ND & 8
OWN 45
+18
64.3%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Terry Bussey for 18 yds to the ND 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:15
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
63.2%
Le'Veon Moss run for 3 yds to the ND 34Similar
Q4 11:41
2ND & 7
OPP 34
-5
61.2%
Texas A&M Penalty, False Start (Amari Niblack) to the ND 39Similar
Q4 11:17
2ND & 12
OPP 39
0
64.8%
Marcel Reed pass incomplete to Amari NiblackSimilar
Q4 11:10
3RD & 12
OPP 39
+12
66.5%
Le'Veon Moss run for 12 yds to the ND 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:19
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-5
61.0%
Texas A&M Penalty, False Start (Dametrious Crownover) to the ND 32Similar
Q4 9:51
1ST & 15
OPP 32
+4
62.8%
Le'Veon Moss run for 4 yds to the ND 28Similar
Q4 9:17
2ND & 11
OPP 28
0
61.0%
Marcel Reed pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:11
3RD & 11
OPP 28
0
64.4%
Marcel Reed pass incomplete to Theo Melin hrstrmSimilar
Q4 9:06
4TH & 11
OPP 28
+45
55.0%
Randy Bond 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 23TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 6:0359% → 93%
Q4 8:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
59.0%
CJ Carr pass complete to Eli Raridon for 13 yds to the ND 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
61.2%
Jeremiyah Love run for 3 yds to the ND 41Similar
Q4 7:55
2ND & 7
OWN 41
0
62.7%
CJ Carr pass incomplete to Malachi FieldsSimilar
Q4 7:48
3RD & 7
OWN 41
+20
59.6%
CJ Carr pass complete to Malachi Fields for 20 yds to the TA&M 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:15
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+6
64.3%
Jeremiyah Love run for 6 yds to the TA&M 33Similar
Q4 6:33
2ND & 4
OPP 33
0
65.7%
CJ Carr pass incomplete to Malachi FieldsSimilar
Q4 6:27
3RD & 4
OPP 33
+6
63.9%
Jeremiyah Love run for 6 yds to the TA&M 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
65.9%
Jeremiyah Love run for 2 yds to the TA&M 25Similar
Q4 5:05
2ND & 8
OPP 25
+5
65.9%
CJ Carr pass complete to Will Pauling for 5 yds to the TA&M 20Similar
Q4 4:26
3RD & 3
OPP 20
+2
63.7%
Jadarian Price run for 2 yds to the TA&M 18Similar
Q4 3:35
4TH & 1
OPP 18
+6
61.1%
Jeremiyah Love run for 6 yds to the TA&M 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:53
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
93.4%
Jeremiyah Love run for 12 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 24TD
20 plays · 74 yds · 2:2219% → 86%
Q4 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
80.9%
Le'Veon Moss run for 3 yds to the TA&M 29Similar
Q4 2:07
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+34
79.3%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Mario Craver for 34 yds to the ND 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:54
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
75.8%
Le'Veon Moss run for 5 yds to the ND 32Similar
Q4 1:20
2ND & 5
OPP 32
+7
71.9%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Theo Melin hrstrm for 7 yds to the ND 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:11
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
70.8%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Theo Melin hrstrm for 2 yds to the ND 23Similar
Q4 1:07
2ND & 8
OPP 23
0
70.8%
Marcel Reed pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:00
3RD & 8
OPP 23
+9
75.9%
Marcel Reed run for 9 yds to the ND 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:54
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+4
70.9%
Amari Daniels run for 4 yds to the ND 10Similar
Q4 0:54
2ND & 6
OPP 10
-5
77.6%
Texas A&M Penalty, False Start (Koli Faaiu) to the ND 15Similar
Q4 0:54
2ND & 11
OPP 15
-5
78.5%
Texas A&M Penalty, False Start (Chase Bisontis) to the ND 20Similar
Q4 0:46
2ND & 16
OPP 20
0
79.9%
Marcel Reed pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:39
3RD & 16
OPP 20
+10
83.9%
Notre Dame Penalty, Defensive Holding (Christian Gray) to the ND 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-1
77.6%
Marcel Reed run for a loss of 1 yard to the ND 11Similar
Q4 0:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
0
80.8%
Marcel Reed pass incomplete to KC ConcepcionSimilar
Q4 0:19
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
0
83.9%
Marcel Reed pass incomplete to Theo Melin hrstrmSimilar
Q4 0:13
4TH & GOAL
OPP 11
+11
13.6%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Nate Boerkircher for 11 yds for a TD (Randy Bond KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 25Uncategorized
3 plays · 9 yds · 0:0429% → 26%
Q4 0:04
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
28.6%
CJ Carr pass incomplete to Malachi FieldsSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+7
26.0%
CJ Carr pass complete to Jaden Greathouse for 7 yds to the ND 40 lat. to Jordan Faison for a loss of 1 yard to the ND 40 lat. to Jeremiyah Love for 3 yds to the ND 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:13
Marcel Reed pass complete to Nate Boerkircher for 11 yds for a TD (Randy Bond KICK)
-69.9
TD · Q4 2:53
Jeremiyah Love run for 12 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)
+32.3
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-26
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com