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VAN

Vanderbilt 31 at South Carolina 7

SC
2025 · Week 3 · Sep 13, 2025 · Williams-Brice Stadium
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Win probability · SC
modelSC aheadVAN aheadconfidence bandkey playSC scoreVAN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 3:49 · Nick Haberer punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Vicari Swain at the SC 26
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remainingPregame prior
+53.5+26.80−26.8−53.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 154Home team on offense−50.4Score differential−31.5Garbage-time factor−12.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−10.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−11.6Pregame prior+0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 5:58: Rahsul Faison run for 7 yds for a TD (William Joyce KICK) — SC win probability +3.5 pts (now 57%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:56: Diego Pavia pass complete to Junior Sherrill for 5 yds for a TD (Brock Taylor KICK) — VAN win probability +6.7 pts (now 58%) (top driver: VAN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 1:56: Timeout South Carolina, clock 01:56 — SC win probability +6.0 pts (now 48%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 10:48: Jamezell Lassiter run for 44 yds for a TD (Brock Taylor KICK) — VAN win probability +12.4 pts (now 77%) (top driver: VAN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 10:48: Timeout South Carolina, clock 10:48 — SC win probability +2.8 pts (now 26%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SC made the numbers' call on 5 of 6VAN made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 4:06VAN 4th & 9 at VAN 15, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.9%−0.5
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.4%
    average punt
  2. Q2 11:37VAN 4th & 13 at VAN 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.6%−0.9
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.5%
    average punt
  3. Q2 7:55SC 4th & 17 at SC 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.8%−2.1
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.0%
    average punt
  4. Q2 0:20SC 4th & 12 at VAN 35, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 43.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.6%−1.7
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    45.3%
    45% to make
    Punt
    42.9%−2.4
    average punt
  5. Q3 13:08SC 4th & 1 at SC 34, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.8 ptsPunted · 42.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.8%−1.8
    average punt
  6. Q3 8:03SC 4th & 1 at VAN 41, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 26.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    26.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    23.2%−3.5
    32% to make
    Punt
    23.7%−2.9
    average punt
  7. Q3 6:22VAN 4th & 2 at SC 48, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 79.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    80.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    79.1%−1.5
    average punt
  8. Q4 13:19SC 4th & 3 at VAN 49, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 17.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    17.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    16.5%−1.1
    average punt
  9. Q4 9:31VAN 4th & 3 at SC 33, up 14
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsKicked a field goal · 91.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.8%
    53% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    90.5%−1.3
    49% to make
    Punt
    89.7%−2.1
    average punt
  10. Q4 3:49VAN 4th & 12 at VAN 22, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.8%−0.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.0%
    average punt
  11. Q4 1:48SC 4th & 1 at VAN 19, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    0.6%−0.3
    77% to make
    Punt
    0.5%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SC made the numbers' call on 1 of 1VAN made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 9:33VAN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:58SC Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:56VAN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 10:48VAN Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 5:29VAN Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.9%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
VANDrive 1TD
11 plays · 73 yds · 5:0845% → 47%
Q1 14:41
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-3
55.1%
Sedrick Alexander run for a loss of 3 yards to the VAN 24Similar
Q1 13:57
2ND & 13
OWN 24
+17
55.1%
Diego Pavia pass complete to Eli Stowers for 17 yds to the VAN 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
55.1%
Diego Pavia pass incomplete to Tre RichardsonSimilar
Q1 13:08
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+4
55.1%
Diego Pavia pass complete to Eli Stowers for 4 yds to the VAN 45Similar
Q1 12:21
3RD & 6
OWN 45
+8
55.1%
Sedrick Alexander run for 8 yds to the SC 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:41
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
55.0%
Sedrick Alexander run for 4 yds to the SC 43Similar
Q1 10:56
2ND & 6
OPP 43
+7
54.9%
Diego Pavia pass complete to Tre Richardson for 7 yds to the SC 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:01
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+18
54.9%
Diego Pavia pass complete to Martel Hight for 18 yds to the SC 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:33
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
52.8%
Diego Pavia pass complete to Sedrick Alexander for 18 yds for a TD (Brock Taylor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 2TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:1553% → 57%
Q1 9:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+33
53.2%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Jordan Dingle for 33 yds to the VAN 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:42
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+11
53.6%
Rahsul Faison run for 11 yds to the VAN 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:11
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+8
53.8%
LaNorris Sellers run for 8 yds to the VAN 23Similar
Q1 7:37
2ND & 2
OPP 23
+1
53.7%
LaNorris Sellers run for 1 yd to the VAN 22Similar
Q1 7:01
3RD & 1
OPP 22
+2
53.2%
Rahsul Faison run for 2 yds to the VAN 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:23
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+13
53.4%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Nyck Harbor for 13 yds to the VAN 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
56.8%
Rahsul Faison run for 7 yds for a TD (William Joyce KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:3445% → 44%
Q1 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+1
55.2%
Makhilyn Young run for 1 yd to the VAN 15Similar
Q1 4:56
2ND & 9
OWN 15
0
55.3%
Sedrick Alexander run for no gain to the VAN 15Similar
Q1 4:19
3RD & 9
OWN 15
0
55.8%
Diego Pavia pass incomplete to Tre RichardsonSimilar
Q1 4:06
4TH & 9
OWN 15
+11
56.2%
Nick Haberer punt for 53 yds , Vicari Swain returns for 11 yds to the SC 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 4INT
6 plays · 43 yds · 2:2357% → 58%
Q1 3:47
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+26
57.0%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Nyck Harbor for 26 yds to the VAN 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:19
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+6
57.6%
Rahsul Faison run for 6 yds to the VAN 25Similar
Q1 2:41
2ND & 4
OPP 25
+10
57.8%
Rahsul Faison run for 10 yds to the VAN 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:59
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
58.1%
Rahsul Faison run for 2 yds to the VAN 13Similar
Q1 1:24
2ND & 8
OPP 13
-1
58.2%
Rahsul Faison run for a loss of 1 yard to the VAN 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 5PUNT
9 plays · 23 yds · 4:0645% → 44%
Q1 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+15
54.9%
(00:41) Shotgun Pavia,Diego pass incomplete deep left to Sherrill,Junior thrown to USC48 PENALTY USC Pass Interference (Kilgore,Jalon) 15 yards from VAN23 to VAN38, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
54.1%
Diego Pavia pass complete to Martel Hight for 5 yds to the VAN 43Similar
Q2 14:44
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+2
53.6%
Martel Hight run for 2 yds to the VAN 45Similar
Q2 14:04
3RD & 3
OWN 45
+4
53.6%
Diego Pavia run for 4 yds to the VAN 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:19
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
53.2%
Makhilyn Young run for 2 yds to the SC 49Similar
Q2 12:28
2ND & 8
OPP 49
-5
53.1%
Diego Pavia sacked by Nick Barrett for a loss of 5 yards to the VAN 46Similar
Q2 11:49
3RD & 13
OWN 46
0
54.9%
Diego Pavia pass incomplete to Junior SherrillSimilar
Q2 11:37
4TH & 13
OWN 46
0
55.7%
Nick Haberer punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 6PUNT
9 plays · 11 yds · 3:2856% → 56%
Q2 11:23
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+4
56.1%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Brady Hunt for 4 yds to the SC 20Similar
Q2 11:12
2ND & 6
OWN 20
-5
55.9%
PENALTY USC Illegal Substitution 5 yards from USC20 to USC15. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:51
2ND & 11
OWN 15
+2
55.9%
Rahsul Faison run for 2 yds to the SC 17Similar
Q2 10:07
3RD & 9
OWN 17
+17
55.1%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Nyck Harbor for 17 yds to the SC 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-8
56.6%
LaNorris Sellers sacked by Nick Rinaldi for a loss of 8 yards to the SC 26Similar
Q2 8:40
2ND & 18
OWN 26
+11
56.1%
run for 11 yds to the SC 11 fumbled, recovered by SC LaNorris SellersSimilar
Q2 8:22
3RD & 33
OWN 11
+16
56.9%
Rahsul Faison run for 16 yds to the SC 27Similar
Q2 7:55
4TH & 17
OWN 27
0
56.0%
Mason Love punt for 49 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the VAN 24 , Martel Hight returns for no gain to the VAN 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 7TD
15 plays · 76 yds · 5:4047% → 58%
Q2 7:36
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+8
53.4%
Diego Pavia pass complete to Tre Richardson for 8 yds to the VAN 32Similar
Q2 7:20
2ND & 2
OWN 32
+3
52.0%
Diego Pavia run for 3 yds to the VAN 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:06
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
52.6%
Diego Pavia pass incomplete to Eli StowersSimilar
Q2 6:52
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+4
53.0%
Diego Pavia run for 4 yds to the VAN 39Similar
Q2 6:06
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+11
52.5%
Diego Pavia pass complete to Jamezell Lassiter for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:14
1ST & 10
50
+1
50.4%
Diego Pavia run for 1 yd to the SC 49 Diego Pavia fumbled, recovered by VANSimilar
Q2 4:58
2ND & 9
OPP 49
-5
50.5%
PENALTY VAN False Start (Glass,Isaia) 5 yards from USC49 to VAN46. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:43
2ND & 14
OWN 46
+5
52.7%
Diego Pavia pass complete to Junior Sherrill for 5 yds to the SC 49Similar
Q2 4:08
3RD & 9
OPP 49
+26
51.4%
Diego Pavia pass complete to Tre Richardson for 11 yds to the SC 38 for a 1ST down South Carolina Penalty, Roughing The Passer (Bryan Thomas Jr.) to the SC 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:44
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+15
48.7%
Richie Hoskins run for 15 yds to the SC 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
48.3%
Tre Richardson run for 4 yds to the SC 4Similar
Q2 2:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-1
48.1%
Sedrick Alexander run for a loss of 1 yard to the SC 5Similar
Q2 1:56
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
42.4%
Diego Pavia pass complete to Junior Sherrill for 5 yds for a TD (Brock Taylor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 8MISSED FG
16 plays · 40 yds · 1:3248% → 47%
Q2 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
48.4%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Rahsul Faison for 1 yd to the SC 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
50.1%
Luke Doty pass complete to Rahsul Faison for 3 yds to the SC 44Similar
Q2 1:35
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+6
50.3%
Rahsul Faison run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 1:30
3RD & 1
50
-5
50.9%
(01:18) PENALTY USC False Start (Dingle,Jordan) 5 yards from USC50 to USC45. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:22
3RD & 6
OWN 45
+10
50.1%
Luke Doty run for 10 yds to the VAN 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:03
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
52.4%
Luke Doty pass complete to Rahsul Faison for 2 yds to the VAN 43Similar
Q2 0:56
2ND & 8
OPP 43
+10
52.2%
Luke Doty pass complete to Nyck Harbor for 10 yds to the VAN 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:34
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
54.1%
Luke Doty run for 3 yds to the VAN 30Similar
Q2 0:34
2ND & 7
OPP 30
-5
51.9%
PENALTY USC False Start (Stanley,Boaz) 5 yards from VAN30 to VAN35. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:31
2ND & 12
OPP 35
0
51.8%
Luke Doty pass incomplete to Brian Rowe Jr.Similar
Q2 0:26
3RD & 12
OPP 35
0
48.9%
Luke Doty pass incomplete to Brian Rowe Jr.Similar
Q2 0:20
4TH & 12
OPP 35
+53
47.3%
Mason Love 53 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 9END OF HALF
5 plays · 14 yds · 0:1353% → 55%
Q2 0:13
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
46.8%
Diego Pavia pass complete to Tre Richardson for 8 yds to the VAN 43Similar
Q2 0:07
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+6
47.0%
Diego Pavia run for 6 yds to the VAN 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:03
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
45.3%
Diego Pavia pass incomplete to Eli StowersSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 49
0
45.0%
Blaze Berlowitz pass incomplete to Junior SherrillSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:3942% → 40%
Q3 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
41.8%
Rahsul Faison run for 1 yd to the SC 26Similar
Q3 14:09
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+1
41.5%
Luke Doty pass complete to Jordan Dingle for 1 yd to the SC 27Similar
Q3 13:34
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+7
40.0%
Luke Doty pass complete to Brian Rowe Jr. for 7 yds to the SC 34Similar
Q3 13:08
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
40.4%
Mason Love punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Martel Hight at the VAN 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 11TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 2:0561% → 77%
Q3 12:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
38.9%
Sedrick Alexander run for 15 yds to the VAN 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+11
36.3%
Kayleb Barnett run for 11 yds to the SC 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:21
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
35.3%
Diego Pavia pass complete to Martel Hight for 5 yds to the SC 44Similar
Q3 10:48
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+44
22.9%
Jamezell Lassiter run for 44 yds for a TD (Brock Taylor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 12DOWNS
9 plays · 31 yds · 2:2726% → 24%
Q3 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
25.5%
Luke Doty pass complete to Rahsul Faison for 5 yds to the SC 20Similar
Q3 9:57
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+6
24.1%
Oscar Adaway III run for 6 yds to the SC 26Similar
Q3 9:36
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+24
23.3%
Luke Doty pass complete to Donovan Murph for 24 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:04
1ST & 10
50
-2
25.7%
Luke Doty run for a loss of 2 yards to the SC 48Similar
Q3 8:28
2ND & 12
OWN 48
+7
23.7%
Luke Doty pass complete to Brian Rowe Jr. for 7 yds to the VAN 45Similar
Q3 8:05
3RD & 5
OPP 45
+4
24.5%
Luke Doty run for 4 yds to the VAN 41Similar
Q3 8:03
4TH & 1
OPP 41
-3
24.3%
Rahsul Faison run for a loss of 3 yards to the VAN 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 13INT
13 plays · 45 yds · 6:3881% → 88%
Q3 7:49
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
18.8%
Sedrick Alexander run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 7:06
2ND & 4
50
+2
17.4%
Sedrick Alexander run for 2 yds to the SC 48Similar
Q3 6:28
3RD & 2
OPP 48
0
17.4%
Diego Pavia pass incomplete to Tre RichardsonSimilar
Q3 6:22
4TH & 2
OPP 48
+8
18.5%
Diego Pavia pass complete to Sedrick Alexander for 8 yds to the SC 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:32
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
16.2%
Diego Pavia pass complete to Martel Hight for 5 yds to the SC 35Similar
Q3 4:50
2ND & 5
OPP 35
+4
15.0%
Diego Pavia run for 4 yds to the SC 31Similar
Q3 4:07
3RD & 1
OPP 31
-15
14.8%
(04:11) Shotgun Pavia,Diego rush middle for 5 yards gain to the USC26 (Okoronkwo,Justin) PENALTY VAN Personal Foul (Hight,Martel) 15 yards from USC31 to USC46. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:52
3RD & 16
OPP 46
-5
15.5%
PENALTY VAN False Start (Sherrill,Junior) 5 yards from USC46 to VAN49. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:16
3RD & 21
OWN 49
+38
15.4%
Diego Pavia pass complete to Eli Stowers for 24 yds to the SC 27 for a 1ST down South Carolina Penalty, Roughing The Passer (Dylan Stewart) to the SC 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:40
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+3
13.0%
Sedrick Alexander run for 3 yds to the SC 10Similar
Q3 1:57
2ND & 7
OPP 10
-1
12.6%
Diego Pavia run for a loss of 1 yard to the SC 11Similar
Q3 1:11
3RD & 8
OPP 11
-21
12.3%
Diego Pavia pass intercepted Justin Okoronkwo return for 21 yds to the SC 21Similar
Q3 1:11
3RD & 8
OPP 11
0
12.3%
Vanderbilt Penalty, Defensive Holding (Brycen Coleman) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 14DOWNS
9 plays · 30 yds · 2:369% → 8%
Q3 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
8.6%
Luke Doty run for 2 yds to the SC 23Similar
Q3 0:16
2ND & 8
OWN 23
+9
8.2%
Luke Doty pass complete to Jordan Dingle for 9 yds to the SC 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
8.3%
Rahsul Faison run for 3 yds to the SC 35Similar
Q4 14:45
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+9
8.6%
Rahsul Faison run for 9 yds to the SC 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:08
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
8.9%
Rahsul Faison run for 3 yds to the SC 47Similar
Q4 13:49
2ND & 7
OWN 47
0
8.7%
Luke Doty pass incomplete to Jordan DingleSimilar
Q4 13:34
3RD & 7
OWN 47
+4
8.4%
Luke Doty run for 4 yds to the VAN 49Similar
Q4 13:19
4TH & 3
OPP 49
0
7.8%
Luke Doty pass incomplete to Jordan DingleSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 15FG
7 plays · 18 yds · 3:3591% → 94%
Q4 13:06
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
9.4%
Diego Pavia run for 5 yds to the SC 46Similar
Q4 12:22
2ND & 5
OPP 46
+6
8.3%
Makhilyn Young run for 6 yds to the SC 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:36
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
7.7%
Diego Pavia pass complete to Junior Sherrill for 4 yds to the SC 36Similar
Q4 10:49
2ND & 6
OPP 36
+1
6.9%
Diego Pavia run for 1 yd to the SC 35Similar
Q4 10:03
3RD & 5
OPP 35
+2
6.7%
Diego Pavia run for 2 yds to the SC 33Similar
Q4 9:31
4TH & 3
OPP 33
+51
5.8%
Brock Taylor 51 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 16FUMBLE
6 plays · 1 yds · 1:173% → 3%
Q4 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+10
3.0%
Luke Doty pass complete to Donovan Murph for 10 yds to the VAN 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:05
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+10
3.1%
Luke Doty run for 10 yds to the VAN 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
3.2%
Luke Doty pass incomplete to Brian Rowe Jr.Similar
Q4 8:27
2ND & 10
OPP 37
-1
3.0%
Luke Doty pass complete to Brian Rowe Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the VAN 38Similar
Q4 7:58
3RD & 11
OPP 38
-18
2.9%
Luke Doty sacked by Bryce Cowan for a loss of 18 yards to the SC 37 Luke Doty fumbled, recovered by VAN Miles Capers , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 17TD
6 plays · 37 yds · 2:2196% → 99%
Q4 7:50
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+16
3.8%
South Carolina Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Nick Barrett) to the SC 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:14
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+2
3.4%
Sedrick Alexander run for 2 yds to the SC 18Similar
Q4 6:43
2ND & 8
OPP 18
+14
3.3%
Diego Pavia pass complete to Richie Hoskins for 14 yds to the SC 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
2.9%
Sedrick Alexander run for 2 yds to the SC 2Similar
Q4 5:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
0.7%
Sedrick Alexander run for 2 yds for a TD Vanderbilt Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Gabe Fisher) to the SC 0 (Brock Taylor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 18FUMBLE
3 plays · 26 yds · 0:190% → 1%
Q4 5:09
1ST & 10
50
+10
0.4%
Luke Doty pass complete to Vandrevius Jacobs for 10 yds to the VAN 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:50
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+16
0.5%
Luke Doty pass complete to Isaiah Augustave for 16 yds Isaiah Augustave fumbled, recovered by VAN Jordan MatthewsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 0:4699% → 99%
Q4 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-3
0.7%
AJ Newberry run for a loss of 3 yards to the VAN 21Similar
Q4 3:55
2ND & 13
OWN 21
+1
0.7%
AJ Newberry run for 1 yd to the VAN 22Similar
Q4 3:55
3RD & 12
OWN 22
0
0.7%
Blaze Berlowitz run for no gain to the VAN 22Similar
Q4 3:49
4TH & 12
OWN 22
0
0.7%
Nick Haberer punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Vicari Swain at the SC 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 20INT
10 plays · 62 yds · 2:020% → 0%
Q4 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+20
0.3%
Luke Doty pass complete to Vandrevius Jacobs for 20 yds to the SC 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+11
0.3%
Luke Doty pass complete to Mazeo Bennett Jr. for 11 yds to the VAN 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:45
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+7
0.3%
Luke Doty run for 7 yds to the VAN 36Similar
Q4 2:14
2ND & 3
OPP 36
+8
0.3%
Luke Doty pass complete to Jared Brown for 8 yds to the VAN 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:01
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+9
0.3%
Luke Doty pass complete to Mazeo Bennett Jr. for 9 yds to the VAN 19Similar
Q4 1:57
2ND & 1
OPP 19
0
0.3%
Luke Doty pass incomplete to Mazeo Bennett Jr.Similar
Q4 1:52
3RD & 1
OPP 19
0
0.3%
Luke Doty pass incomplete to Mazeo Bennett Jr.Similar
Q4 1:48
4TH & 1
OPP 19
+7
0.3%
Luke Doty pass complete to Jared Brown for 7 yds to the VAN 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:29
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
0.3%
Luke Doty pass incomplete to Maurice Brown IISimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 21END OF GAME
2 plays · -2 yds · 1:01100% → 100%
Q4 1:01
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-1
0.3%
(01:08) Kneel down by Vanderbilt at VAN14 for loss of 1 yard.Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 11
OWN 14
-1
0.3%
(00:27) Kneel down by Vanderbilt at VAN13 for loss of 1 yard.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 10:48
Jamezell Lassiter run for 44 yds for a TD (Brock Taylor KICK)
-12.4
TD · Q2 1:56
Diego Pavia pass complete to Junior Sherrill for 5 yds for a TD (Brock Taylor KICK)
-6.7
TD · Q2 1:56
Timeout South Carolina, clock 01:56
+6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com