OU
Oklahoma 42 at Temple 3
TEM2025 · Week 3 · Sep 13, 2025 · Lincoln Financial Field
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Win probability · TEM
modelTEM aheadOU aheadconfidence bandkey play
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TEM · Drive 1PUNT · 5 plays · 1 yds
Q1 15:00
Tate Sandell kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
9.4%
0.0
Q1 14:50
Jay Ducker run for a loss of 1 yard to the TEM 24
11.0%
+1.7
Q1 14:28
Evan Simon pass incomplete to Ryder Kusch
11.0%
0.0
Q1 14:03
Evan Simon pass complete to Jay Ducker for 2 yds to the TEM 26
11.0%
0.0
Q1 13:36
Dante Atton punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Sategna III at the OU 33
11.0%
0.0
OU · Drive 2TD · 10 plays · 67 yds
Q1 13:20
John Mateer pass complete to Deion Burks for 8 yds to the OU 41
9.3%
-1.7
Q1 12:51
John Mateer pass complete to Keontez Lewis for 6 yds to the OU 47 for a 1ST down
9.0%
-0.3
Q1 12:24
John Mateer pass complete to Jaren Kanak for 20 yds to the TEM 33 for a 1ST down
8.8%
-0.2
Q1 9:36
John Mateer pass complete to Keontez Lewis for 7 yds Keontez Lewis fumbled, recovered by OU
8.7%
-0.1
Q1 9:36
Jovantae Barnes run for 3 yds to the TEM 23 for a 1ST down
8.7%
0.0
Q1 9:36
Deion Burks run for a loss of 9 yards to the TEM 32
8.7%
0.0
Q1 9:36
John Mateer pass incomplete to Isaiah Sategna III
8.7%
0.0
Q1 9:36
John Mateer pass complete to Jaren Kanak for 23 yds to the TEM 9 for a 1ST down
8.7%
0.0
Q1 9:36
Jovantae Barnes run for 6 yds to the TEM 3
8.7%
0.0
Q1 9:36
Jovantae Barnes 3 Yd Run (Jaren Kanak Pass to Jacob Ulrich for Two-Point Conversion)
5.0%
-3.7
TEM · Drive 3PUNT · 5 plays · 6 yds
Q1 9:36
Tate Sandell kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
5.2%
+0.1
Q1 9:21
Colin Chase run for 4 yds to the TEM 29
4.8%
-0.3
Q1 9:00
Jay Ducker run for 5 yds to the TEM 34
4.8%
0.0
Q1 8:26
Jay Ducker run for a loss of 3 yards to the TEM 31
4.8%
0.0
Q1 7:43
Dante Atton punt for 33 yds , Isaiah Sategna III returns for 10 yds to the OU 46
4.8%
0.0
OU · Drive 4FG · 10 plays · 20 yds
Q1 7:34
John Mateer pass complete to Zion Kearney for 15 yds to the TEM 39 for a 1ST down
4.9%
+0.1
Q1 7:09
Jovantae Barnes run for 2 yds to the TEM 37
4.9%
0.0
Q1 6:47
John Mateer pass incomplete to Deion Burks
4.8%
-0.1
Q1 6:31
John Mateer pass complete to Jaren Kanak for 12 yds to the TEM 25 for a 1ST down
4.8%
0.0
Q1 6:02
John Mateer pass complete to Deion Burks for 8 yds to the TEM 17
4.8%
0.0
Q1 5:42
PENALTY OKL False Start (Kearney,Zion) 5 yards from TEM17 to TEM22. NO PLAY.
4.8%
0.0
Q1 5:18
John Mateer sacked by Charles Calhoun for a loss of 10 yards to the TEM 32
4.9%
+0.1
Q1 4:38
Jovantae Barnes run for a loss of 2 yards to the TEM 34
4.9%
0.0
Q1 4:10
Timeout Temple, clock 04:10
4.8%
-0.2
Q1 4:05
Tate Sandell 52 yd FG GOOD
4.4%
-0.4
TEM · Drive 5PUNT · 8 plays · 17 yds
Q1 4:05
Tate Sandell kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
4.4%
+0.1
Q1 4:01
Evan Simon pass incomplete to Ryder Kusch
4.3%
-0.2
Q1 3:48
Evan Simon pass complete to Colin Chase for 6 yds to the TEM 31
4.3%
0.0
Q1 3:17
Evan Simon pass complete to Kajiya Hollawayne for 12 yds to the TEM 43 for a 1ST down
4.3%
0.0
Q1 2:54
Evan Simon pass complete to Kajiya Hollawayne for 9 yds to the OU 48
4.3%
0.0
Q1 2:34
Evan Simon pass incomplete to Kajiya Hollawayne
4.4%
+0.2
Q1 2:27
Evan Simon sacked by Reggie Powers III for a loss of 10 yards to the TEM 42
4.4%
0.0
Q1 1:45
Dante Atton punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Sategna III at the OU 11
4.3%
-0.2
OU · Drive 6TD · 11 plays · 89 yds
Q1 1:34
Tory Blaylock run for 3 yds to the OU 14
4.4%
+0.1
Q1 0:02
John Mateer run for 1 yd to the OU 21 for a 1ST down
4.7%
+0.3
Q1 0:00
John Mateer pass complete to Keontez Lewis for 13 yds to the OU 34 for a 1ST down
4.9%
+0.1
Q2 14:48
John Mateer pass complete to Isaiah Sategna III for 5 yds to the OU 39
4.9%
0.0
Q2 14:28
Tory Blaylock run for 4 yds to the OU 43
4.8%
-0.1
Q2 14:11
Tory Blaylock run for 10 yds to the TEM 47 for a 1ST down
4.8%
0.0
Q2 13:29
John Mateer pass complete to Isaiah Sategna III for 20 yds to the TEM 27 for a 1ST down
4.8%
0.0
Q2 13:18
John Mateer pass incomplete to Keontez Lewis
4.8%
0.0
Q2 12:59
John Mateer pass complete to Zion Kearney for 16 yds to the TEM 11 for a 1ST down
4.8%
0.0
Q2 12:32
Tory Blaylock run for 5 yds to the TEM 6
4.8%
0.0
Q2 12:11
Tory Blaylock run for 6 yds for a TD (Tate Sandell KICK)
1.2%
-3.6
TEM · Drive 7PUNT · 6 plays · 6 yds
Q2 12:09
Tate Sandell kickoff for 65 yds , Tyler Stewart return for 1 yd to the TEM 1
1.2%
0.0
Q2 11:56
Jay Ducker run for no gain to the TEM 1
1.9%
+0.7
Q2 11:20
Evan Simon run for 1 yd to the TEM 2
1.9%
0.0
Q2 10:54
Evan Simon pass incomplete to Colin Chase
2.0%
+0.1
Q2 10:54
PENALTY OKL Offside (Boganowski,Michael) 5 yards from TEM02 to TEM07. NO PLAY.
2.0%
0.0
Q2 10:48
Dante Atton punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Sategna III at the TEM 45
2.0%
0.0
OU · Drive 8TD · 5 plays · 45 yds
Q2 10:43
John Mateer pass incomplete to Keontez Lewis
1.2%
-0.8
Q2 10:39
John Mateer pass incomplete to Tory Blaylock
1.2%
0.0
Q2 10:31
(10:39) No Huddle-Shotgun Mateer,John pass incomplete short right to Robinson,Xavier thrown to TEM40 PENALTY TEM Holding (Osueke,Ben) 10 yards from TEM45 to TEM35, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.
1.2%
0.0
Q2 10:14
John Mateer pass complete to Isaiah Sategna III for 17 yds to the TEM 18 for a 1ST down
1.2%
0.0
Q2 10:05
Tory Blaylock run for 18 yds for a TD (Tate Sandell KICK)
0.6%
-0.6
TEM · Drive 9PUNT · 5 plays · 7 yds
Q2 10:05
Tate Sandell kickoff for 62 yds
0.6%
0.0
Q2 9:55
Evan Simon run for 7 yds to the TEM 32
1.0%
+0.3
Q2 9:21
Evan Simon pass complete to Ryder Kusch for no gain to the TEM 32
1.0%
0.0
Q2 8:58
Evan Simon pass incomplete to Colin Chase
1.0%
0.0
Q2 8:52
Dante Atton punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Sategna III at the OU 25
1.0%
0.0
OU · Drive 10PUNT · 5 plays · 21 yds
Q2 8:31
John Mateer pass complete to Deion Burks for 20 yds to the OU 45 for a 1ST down
0.6%
-0.4
Q2 8:01
Tory Blaylock run for 1 yd to the OU 46
0.6%
0.0
Q2 7:28
John Mateer pass incomplete to Zion Kearney
0.6%
0.0
Q2 7:24
John Mateer pass incomplete to Keontez Lewis
0.6%
0.0
Q2 7:16
Grayson Miller punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TEM 16
0.6%
0.0
TEM · Drive 11PUNT · 6 plays · 35 yds
Q2 7:04
Evan Simon pass complete to Jay Ducker for 5 yds to the TEM 21
1.0%
+0.4
Q2 6:20
Jay Ducker run for 20 yds to the TEM 41 for a 1ST down
1.2%
+0.2
Q2 5:48
Evan Simon pass complete to Ryder Kusch for 19 yds to the OU 40 for a 1ST down
1.2%
0.0
Q2 5:14
Evan Simon pass complete to Jay Ducker for 2 yds to the OU 42
1.3%
+0.1
Q2 4:30
Evan Simon sacked by Michael Boganowski for a loss of 7 yards to the OU 49
1.3%
0.0
Q2 3:42
Dante Atton punt for 40 yds
1.0%
-0.3
OU · Drive 12INT · 1 play · 0 yds
Q2 3:36
John Mateer pass intercepted Ty Davis return for no gain to the OU 13
0.5%
-0.5
TEM · Drive 13FG · 4 plays · -3 yds
Q2 3:30
Evan Simon pass incomplete to Peter Clarke
1.1%
+0.6
Q2 3:22
Gevani McCoy pass incomplete to Kajiya Hollawayne
1.1%
0.0
Q2 3:05
Evan Simon run for a loss of 3 yards to the OU 16
1.1%
0.0
Q2 2:33
Carl Hardin 34 yd FG GOOD
1.7%
+0.6
OU · Drive 14FG · 12 plays · 54 yds
Q2 2:33
Carl Hardin kickoff for 62 yds
1.6%
-0.1
Q2 2:27
Tory Blaylock run for no gain to the OU 35
0.7%
-0.9
Q2 2:05
John Mateer run for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down
0.6%
-0.1
Q2 1:51
Tory Blaylock run for 11 yds to the TEM 39 for a 1ST down
0.6%
0.0
Q2 1:37
Tory Blaylock run for 9 yds to the TEM 30
0.6%
0.0
Q2 1:32
Tory Blaylock run for 3 yds to the TEM 27 for a 1ST down
0.6%
0.0
Q2 1:01
John Mateer pass complete to Isaiah Sategna III for 13 yds to the TEM 14 for a 1ST down
0.6%
0.0
Q2 0:43
Tory Blaylock run for 4 yds to the TEM 10
0.6%
0.0
Q2 0:43
Timeout Oklahoma, clock 00:43
0.5%
0.0
Q2 0:38
John Mateer pass incomplete to Carson Kent
0.5%
0.0
Q2 0:30
John Mateer run for no gain to the TEM 11
0.5%
0.0
Q2 0:27
Tate Sandell 29 yd FG GOOD
0.3%
-0.2
TEM · Drive 15END OF HALF · 2 plays · -1 yds
Q2 0:21
Tate Sandell kickoff for 62 yds , Tyler Stewart return for 10 yds to the TEM 13
0.3%
0.0
Q2 0:00
(00:20) Kneel down by Temple at TEM12 for loss of 1 yard.
0.9%
+0.5
OU · Drive 16PUNT · 5 plays · 8 yds
Q3 15:00
Carl Hardin kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
0.9%
0.0
Q3 14:46
John Mateer pass complete to Isaiah Sategna III for 8 yds to the OU 33
0.4%
-0.4
Q3 14:24
Tory Blaylock run for 1 yd to the OU 34
0.4%
0.0
Q3 13:55
John Mateer run for a loss of 1 yard to the OU 33
0.4%
0.0
Q3 13:16
Grayson Miller punt for 52 yds, fair catch by JoJo Bermudez at the TEM 15
0.4%
0.0
TEM · Drive 17PUNT · 4 plays · -1 yds
Q3 13:08
Jay Ducker run for a loss of 1 yard to the TEM 14
0.9%
+0.5
Q3 12:37
Evan Simon pass incomplete to Jay Ducker
0.9%
0.0
Q3 12:31
Evan Simon pass incomplete to Colin Chase
0.9%
0.0
Q3 12:22
Dante Atton punt for 46 yds , Isaiah Sategna III returns for no gain to the OU 40
0.9%
0.0
OU · Drive 18PUNT · 4 plays · 8 yds
Q3 12:18
John Mateer pass incomplete to Isaiah Sategna III
0.4%
-0.5
Q3 12:13
John Mateer pass incomplete to Carson Kent
0.4%
0.0
Q3 11:56
John Mateer run for 8 yds to the OU 48
0.4%
0.0
Q3 11:24
Grayson Miller punt for 52 yds for a touchback
0.4%
0.0
TEM · Drive 19PUNT · 5 plays · 10 yds
Q3 11:07
Terrez Worthy run for 1 yd to the TEM 36
0.9%
+0.5
Q3 10:36
Terrez Worthy run for a loss of 2 yards to the TEM 34
0.9%
0.0
Q3 10:03
(10:03) No Huddle-Shotgun Simon,Evan pass complete short middle to Worthy,Terrez caught at TEM40, for 9 yards to the TEM43 (Boganowski,Michael) PENALTY TEM Holding (Hills,Giakoby) 10 yards from TEM34 to TEM24. NO PLAY.
0.9%
0.0
Q3 9:33
Evan Simon pass complete to JoJo Bermudez for 6 yds to the TEM 30
0.9%
0.0
Q3 9:17
Dante Atton punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Sategna III at the OU 35
0.9%
0.0
OU · Drive 20TD · 6 plays · 65 yds
Q3 8:51
John Mateer pass complete to Isaiah Sategna III for 28 yds to the TEM 37 for a 1ST down
0.3%
-0.5
Q3 8:49
John Mateer pass incomplete to Xavier Robinson
0.3%
0.0
Q3 8:43
John Mateer pass incomplete to Ivan Carreon
0.3%
0.0
Q3 8:25
John Mateer pass complete to Jaren Kanak for 31 yds to the TEM 6 for a 1ST down
0.3%
0.0
Q3 8:03
John Mateer pass incomplete to Ivan Carreon
0.3%
0.0
Q3 7:57
John Mateer pass complete to Xavier Robinson for 6 yds for a TD (Tate Sandell KICK)
0.3%
0.0
TEM · Drive 21PUNT · 5 plays · 4 yds
Q3 7:57
Tate Sandell kickoff for 58 yds
0.3%
0.0
Q3 7:42
Jay Ducker run for 4 yds to the TEM 29
0.7%
+0.4
Q3 7:11
Evan Simon run for no gain to the TEM 29
0.7%
0.0
Q3 6:30
Evan Simon pass complete to JoJo Bermudez for no gain to the TEM 29
0.6%
0.0
Q3 5:47
Dante Atton punt for 47 yds
0.6%
0.0
OU · Drive 22TD · 2 plays · 76 yds
Q3 5:37
Tory Blaylock run for 25 yds to the OU 49 for a 1ST down
0.3%
-0.4
Q3 5:04
John Mateer run for 51 yds for a TD (Tate Sandell KICK)
0.2%
-0.1
TEM · Drive 23PUNT · 5 plays · 4 yds
Q3 5:04
Austin Welch kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
0.2%
0.0
Q3 4:52
Terrez Worthy run for 4 yds to the TEM 29
0.6%
+0.4
Q3 4:21
Evan Simon pass incomplete to Peter Clarke
0.6%
0.0
Q3 4:18
Evan Simon pass incomplete to JoJo Bermudez
0.6%
0.0
Q3 4:13
Dante Atton punt for 19 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TEM 48
0.5%
-0.1
OU · Drive 24MISSED FG · 6 plays · 14 yds
Q3 4:01
Michael Hawkins Jr. run for 5 yds to the TEM 43
0.2%
-0.3
Q3 3:27
Michael Hawkins Jr. run for 15 yds to the TEM 28 for a 1ST down
0.2%
0.0
Q3 2:56
Xavier Robinson run for 1 yd to the TEM 27
0.2%
0.0
Q3 2:27
Michael Hawkins Jr. pass incomplete to Zion Kearney
0.2%
0.0
Q3 2:19
Michael Hawkins Jr. sacked by Sekou Kromah for a loss of 7 yards to the TEM 34
0.2%
0.0
Q3 1:36
Austin Welch 52 yd FG MISSED
0.2%
0.0
TEM · Drive 25PUNT · 13 plays · 27 yds
Q3 1:28
Terrez Worthy run for 3 yds to the TEM 37
0.5%
+0.3
Q3 0:54
Terrez Worthy run for 3 yds to the TEM 40
0.5%
0.0
Q3 0:00
Evan Simon pass complete to Colin Chase for 5 yds to the TEM 45 for a 1ST down
0.5%
0.0
Q4 14:46
Terrez Worthy run for 3 yds to the TEM 48
0.5%
0.0
Q4 14:07
Evan Simon run for 8 yds to the OU 44 for a 1ST down
0.5%
0.0
Q4 13:35
Terrez Worthy run for a loss of 2 yards to the OU 46
0.5%
0.0
Q4 12:45
Evan Simon pass complete to Colin Chase for 4 yds to the OU 42
0.5%
0.0
Q4 12:12
Evan Simon pass complete to JoJo Bermudez for 9 yds to the OU 33 for a 1ST down
0.4%
-0.1
Q4 11:33
Evan Simon run for 1 yd to the OU 32
0.4%
0.0
Q4 11:04
Evan Simon pass incomplete to JoJo Bermudez
0.4%
0.0
Q4 10:53
Evan Simon sacked by Wyatt Gilmore for a loss of 7 yards to the OU 39 Evan Simon fumbled, recovered by TEM Jackson Pruitt , return for 0 yards
0.4%
0.0
Q4 10:15
Timeout Temple, clock 10:15
0.3%
-0.1
Q4 10:08
Dante Atton punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Sategna III at the OU 8
0.3%
0.0
OU · Drive 26PUNT · 4 plays · 1 yds
Q4 10:03
Michael Hawkins Jr. pass incomplete to Jer'Michael Carter
0.2%
-0.1
Q4 9:57
Oklahoma Penalty, Offensive Holding (Yards) declined
0.2%
0.0
Q4 9:23
Michael Hawkins Jr. run for 1 yd to the OU 9
0.2%
0.0
Q4 8:37
Grayson Miller punt for 58 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TEM 43 , JoJo Bermudez returns for 10 yds to the TEM 43
0.2%
0.0
TEM · Drive 27PUNT · 4 plays · 2 yds
Q4 7:37
Hunter Smith run for 2 yds to the TEM 45
0.3%
+0.1
Q4 7:28
Gevani McCoy sacked for a loss of 3 yards to the TEM 42
0.3%
0.0
Q4 7:03
Gevani McCoy pass complete to Xavier Irvin for 3 yds to the TEM 45
0.3%
0.0
Q4 6:40
Dante Atton punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Sategna III at the OU 16
0.3%
0.0
OU · Drive 28END OF GAME · 11 plays · 67 yds
Q4 6:29
Jaydn Ott run for 5 yds to the OU 21
0.2%
-0.1
Q4 5:50
Michael Hawkins Jr. pass complete to Elijah Thomas for 5 yds to the OU 26 for a 1ST down
0.2%
0.0
Q4 5:16
Jaydn Ott run for 2 yds to the OU 28
0.2%
0.0
Q4 4:34
Jaydn Ott run for 1 yd to the OU 29
0.2%
0.0
Q4 3:51
(03:51) No Huddle-Shotgun Hawkins Jr.,Michael pass incomplete deep left to Thomas,Elijah thrown to TEM20 PENALTY TEM Pass Interference (Kulp,Earl) 15 yards from OKL29 to OKL44, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.
0.2%
0.0
Q4 3:42
Jaydn Ott run for 3 yds to the OU 47
0.2%
0.0
Q4 3:04
Xavier Robinson run for 15 yds to the TEM 38 for a 1ST down
0.2%
0.0
Q4 2:26
Xavier Robinson run for 1 yd to the TEM 37
0.2%
0.0
Q4 1:24
Michael Hawkins Jr. run for a loss of 4 yards to the TEM 41 Michael Hawkins Jr. fumbled, recovered by OU Michael Hawkins Jr.
0.2%
0.0
Q4 1:01
Michael Hawkins Jr. run for 15 yds to the TEM 26 for a 1ST down
0.2%
0.0
Q4 0:00
Xavier Robinson run for 9 yds to the TEM 17
0.2%
0.0
Biggest swings
TD · Q1 9:36
Jovantae Barnes 3 Yd Run (Jaren Kanak Pass to Jacob Ulrich for Two-Point Conversion)
-3.7
TD · Q2 12:11
Tory Blaylock run for 6 yds for a TD (Tate Sandell KICK)
-3.6
KEY PLAY · Q1 14:50
Jay Ducker run for a loss of 1 yard to the TEM 24
+1.7