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Louisiana 10 at Missouri 52

MIZ
2025 · Week 3 · Sep 13, 2025 · Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · MIZ
modelMIZ aheadUL aheadconfidence bandkey playMIZ scoreUL score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 0:39 · Nathan Torney punt for 36 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+46.0+23.00−23.0−46.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 34Pregame prior+39.8Home team on offense+4.8Score differential+1.4Blowout margin+0.4Garbage-time factor+0.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:18: Beau Pribula run for 14 yds for a TD (Robert Meyer KICK) — MIZ win probability +1.8 pts (now 97%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 10:31: Beau Pribula pass complete to Jamal Roberts for 39 yds for a TD (Robert Meyer KICK) — MIZ win probability +1.1 pts (now 98%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 6:22: Tony Sterner 34 yd FG GOOD — UL win probability +2.8 pts (now 4%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 5:41: Ahmad Hardy run for 71 yds for a TD (Robert Meyer KICK) — MIZ win probability +1.4 pts (now 99%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 3:27: Zylan Perry run for 84 yds for a TD (Tony Sterner KICK) — UL win probability +2.8 pts (now 4%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MIZ made the numbers' call on 3 of 3UL made the numbers' call on 10 of 11
  1. Q1 13:43UL 4th & 5 at UL 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.0%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:08UL 4th & 12 at UL 22, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.6%−0.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:39UL 4th & 1 at UL 23, down 14
    Close callPunted · 5.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.6%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:35UL 4th & 17 at UL 32, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.1%−0.5
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.6%
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:51UL 4th & 10 at UL 41, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.4%−0.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:22UL 4th & 5 at MIZ 17, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    1.1%
    80% to make
    Punt
    -0.7%−1.8
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:43UL 4th & 14 at UL 2, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−0.3
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:43UL 4th & 14 at UL 2, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−0.3
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:41MIZ 4th & 16 at MIZ 39, up 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.8%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.9%
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:01UL 4th & 17 at UL 14, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  11. Q3 3:15MIZ 4th & 12 at UL 23, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.8%
    70% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.4
    average punt
  12. Q3 2:45UL 4th & 10 at UL 23, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  13. Q4 11:02MIZ 4th & 1 at UL 27, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%−0.2
    62% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.5
    average punt
  14. Q4 2:32UL 4th & 17 at UL 30, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MIZ made the numbers' call on 7 of 7UL made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 8:26MIZ Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:38MIZ Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:18MIZ Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 10:31MIZ Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 5:41MIZ Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 3:27UL Touchdown, down 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 10:02MIZ Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 7:02MIZ Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ULDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:064% → 4%
Q1 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
96.0%
Daniel Beale pass complete to Caden Jensen for 5 yds to the UL 30Similar
Q1 14:28
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
95.9%
Zylan Perry run for no gain to the UL 30Similar
Q1 13:51
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
95.8%
Daniel Beale pass incomplete to Shelton Sampson Jr.Similar
Q1 13:43
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
95.8%
Nathan Torney punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Kevin Coleman Jr. at the MIZ 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 2TD
11 plays · 73 yds · 5:0596% → 95%
Q1 13:31
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
95.8%
Beau Pribula pass complete to Kevin Coleman Jr. for 4 yds to the MIZ 31Similar
Q1 13:12
2ND & 6
OWN 31
+10
95.7%
Ahmad Hardy run for 10 yds to the MIZ 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+8
95.6%
Ahmad Hardy run for 8 yds to the MIZ 49Similar
Q1 12:01
2ND & 2
OWN 49
+14
95.5%
Ahmad Hardy run for 14 yds to the UL 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:14
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
95.4%
Beau Pribula run for 4 yds to the UL 33Similar
Q1 10:35
2ND & 6
OPP 33
+12
95.3%
Beau Pribula pass complete to Kevin Coleman Jr. for 12 yds to the UL 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:57
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+7
95.2%
Jamal Roberts run for 7 yds to the UL 14Similar
Q1 9:29
2ND & 3
OPP 14
+7
95.1%
Jamal Roberts run for 7 yds to the UL 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
95.0%
Ahmad Hardy run for no gain to the UL 7Similar
Q1 8:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
95.3%
Ahmad Hardy run for 7 yds for a TD (Robert Meyer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:065% → 5%
Q1 8:14
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-1
95.1%
Bill Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the UL 23Similar
Q1 7:39
2ND & 11
OWN 23
-1
95.1%
Louisiana Penalty, (Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 7:18
3RD & 12
OWN 22
0
95.1%
Daniel Beale pass incomplete to Shelton Sampson Jr.Similar
Q1 7:08
4TH & 12
OWN 22
+2
95.1%
Nathan Torney punt for 40 yds , Kevin Coleman Jr. returns for 2 yds to the MIZ 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 4TD
8 plays · 60 yds · 4:2495% → 95%
Q1 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+11
95.1%
Ahmad Hardy run for 11 yds to the UL 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:17
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
95.0%
Ahmad Hardy run for 6 yds to the UL 43Similar
Q1 5:55
2ND & 4
OPP 43
+3
95.0%
Ahmad Hardy run for 3 yds to the UL 40Similar
Q1 5:36
3RD & 1
OPP 40
+3
94.9%
Ahmad Hardy run for 3 yds to the UL 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:55
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+20
94.8%
Beau Pribula pass complete to Jordon Harris for 20 yds to the UL 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:09
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+5
94.8%
Beau Pribula run for 5 yds to the UL 12Similar
Q1 3:36
2ND & 5
OPP 12
+1
94.7%
Jamal Roberts run for 1 yd to the UL 11Similar
Q1 2:38
3RD & 4
OPP 11
+11
95.4%
Beau Pribula pass complete to Marquis Johnson for 11 yds for a TD (Robert Meyer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:415% → 5%
Q1 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+9
95.0%
Lunch Winfield run for 9 yds to the UL 23Similar
Q1 1:44
2ND & 1
OWN 23
-1
94.9%
Lunch Winfield pass complete to Rahji Dennis for a loss of 1 yard to the UL 22Similar
Q1 1:26
3RD & 2
OWN 22
+1
94.9%
Zylan Perry run for 1 yd to the UL 23Similar
Q1 0:39
4TH & 1
OWN 23
0
94.9%
Nathan Torney punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 6TD
4 plays · 59 yds · 1:1295% → 97%
Q1 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+20
95.3%
Beau Pribula pass complete to Kevin Coleman Jr. for 20 yds to the UL 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+8
95.3%
Beau Pribula pass complete to Kevin Coleman Jr. for 8 yds to the UL 31Similar
Q2 14:53
2ND & 2
OPP 31
+17
95.3%
Jamal Roberts run for 17 yds to the UL 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:18
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
97.0%
Beau Pribula run for 14 yds for a TD (Robert Meyer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 7 yds · 1:353% → 3%
Q2 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
96.7%
Bill Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the UL 24Similar
Q2 13:37
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+15
96.7%
(13:37) No Huddle-Shotgun Beale,Daniel pass incomplete deep right to Wade,KeDarius thrown to Mizzou45 broken up by Hall,Stephen PENALTY Mizzou Pass Interference (Hall,Stephen) 15 yards from Louis.24 to Louis.39, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
96.6%
Daniel Beale pass incomplete to KeDarius WadeSimilar
Q2 13:26
2ND & 10
OWN 39
0
96.6%
Daniel Beale pass incomplete to Bill DavisSimilar
Q2 13:18
3RD & 10
OWN 39
-7
96.7%
Daniel Beale sacked by Khalil Jacobs for a loss of 7 yards to the UL 32Similar
Q2 12:35
4TH & 17
OWN 32
0
96.9%
Nathan Torney punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MIZ 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 8TD
5 plays · 74 yds · 1:5197% → 98%
Q2 12:22
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+7
97.0%
Beau Pribula pass complete to Marquis Johnson for 7 yds to the MIZ 33Similar
Q2 12:03
2ND & 3
OWN 33
+14
97.1%
Ahmad Hardy run for 14 yds to the MIZ 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
97.2%
Beau Pribula pass complete to Kevin Coleman Jr. for 1 yd to the MIZ 48Similar
Q2 10:53
2ND & 9
OWN 48
+13
97.2%
Ahmad Hardy run for 13 yds to the UL 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:31
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+39
98.3%
Beau Pribula pass complete to Jamal Roberts for 39 yds for a TD (Robert Meyer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 0:272% → 2%
Q2 10:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
98.3%
Steven Blanco run for 16 yds to the UL 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
98.2%
Daniel Beale pass incomplete to Shelton Sampson Jr.Similar
Q2 10:02
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
98.2%
Daniel Beale pass incomplete to Caden JensenSimilar
Q2 9:58
3RD & 10
OWN 41
0
98.3%
Daniel Beale pass incomplete to KeDarius WadeSimilar
Q2 9:51
4TH & 10
OWN 41
0
98.3%
Nathan Torney punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Kevin Coleman Jr. at the MIZ 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 10INT
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:2398% → 98%
Q2 9:44
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
98.2%
Ahmad Hardy run for no gain to the MIZ 17Similar
Q2 8:59
2ND & 10
OWN 17
-7
98.3%
Beau Pribula sacked by Jaden Dugger for a loss of 7 yards to the MIZ 10Similar
Q2 8:29
3RD & 17
OWN 10
+5
97.7%
(08:28) No Huddle-Shotgun Pribula,Beau pass incomplete short middle to Blood,Daniel thrown to Mizzou17 broken up by Lawson,Jordan PENALTY Louis. Offside (Lawson,Jordan) 5 yards from Mizzou10 to Mizzou15. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:21
3RD & 12
OWN 15
-1
97.7%
Beau Pribula pass intercepted Cameron Whitfield return for 1 yd to the MIZ 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 11FG
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:532% → 4%
Q2 8:15
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+3
98.1%
Zylan Perry run for 3 yds to the MIZ 19Similar
Q2 7:39
2ND & 7
OPP 19
+4
98.5%
Lunch Winfield run for 4 yds to the MIZ 15Similar
Q2 6:58
3RD & 3
OPP 15
-2
98.6%
Zylan Perry run for a loss of 2 yards to the MIZ 17Similar
Q2 6:22
4TH & 5
OPP 17
+34
95.7%
Tony Sterner 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 12TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:2697% → 99%
Q2 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
97.3%
Ahmad Hardy run for 4 yds to the MIZ 29Similar
Q2 5:41
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+71
98.8%
Ahmad Hardy run for 71 yds for a TD (Robert Meyer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · -4 yds · 0:171% → 1%
Q2 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 6
-3
98.9%
PENALTY Louis. False Start (Gooch,J'Marion) 3 yards from Louis.06 to Louis.03. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:00
1ST & 13
OWN 3
-1
98.9%
Bill Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the UL 2Similar
Q2 5:00
2ND & 14
OWN 2
0
98.9%
Louisiana Penalty, (Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 4:56
3RD & 14
OWN 2
0
98.9%
Lunch Winfield pass incomplete to Landon StrotherSimilar
Q2 4:43
4TH & 14
OWN 2
+7
98.9%
Nathan Torney punt for 50 yds , Kevin Coleman Jr. returns for 7 yds to the UL 45Similar
Q2 4:43
4TH & 14
OWN 2
+7
98.9%
Nathan Torney punt for 50 yds , Kevin Coleman Jr. returns for 7 yds to the MIZ 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 0:5899% → 99%
Q2 4:39
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
98.9%
Beau Pribula pass incomplete to Donovan OlugbodeSimilar
Q2 4:39
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+5
98.9%
PENALTY Louis. Offside (Baudoin IV,Maxie) 5 yards from Mizzou45 to Mizzou50. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:30
2ND & 5
50
-11
98.9%
Beau Pribula sacked by Trae Tomlinson for a loss of 11 yards to the MIZ 39Similar
Q2 3:54
3RD & 16
OWN 39
0
99.1%
Beau Pribula pass incomplete to Marquis JohnsonSimilar
Q2 3:41
4TH & 16
OWN 39
0
99.0%
Connor Weselman punt for 45 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 15TD
1 play · 84 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q2 3:27
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+84
96.2%
Zylan Perry run for 84 yds for a TD (Tony Sterner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 16FG
18 plays · 71 yds · 3:1398% → 99%
Q2 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
97.6%
Beau Pribula pass complete to Brett Norfleet for 2 yds to the MIZ 27Similar
Q2 2:43
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+18
97.6%
Ahmad Hardy run for 18 yds to the MIZ 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
98.2%
Ahmad Hardy run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 1:51
2ND & 5
50
0
98.2%
Jamal Roberts run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 1:18
3RD & 5
50
+6
98.2%
Beau Pribula pass complete to Joshua Manning for 6 yds to the UL 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:04
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+15
98.3%
Beau Pribula pass complete to Kevin Coleman Jr. for 15 yds to the UL 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:37
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+5
98.4%
Beau Pribula pass complete to Joshua Manning for 5 yds to the UL 24Similar
Q2 0:37
2ND & 5
OPP 24
0
98.4%
Beau Pribula pass incomplete to Brett NorfleetSimilar
Q2 0:31
3RD & 5
OPP 24
+10
98.4%
Beau Pribula pass complete to Kevin Coleman Jr. for 10 yds to the UL 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:23
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+6
98.7%
Jamal Roberts run for 6 yds to the UL 8Similar
Q2 0:18
2ND & 4
OPP 8
0
98.4%
Beau Pribula pass incomplete to Joshua ManningSimilar
Q2 0:13
3RD & 4
OPP 8
+4
98.4%
(00:13) No Huddle-Shotgun Pribula,Beau pass incomplete short left to Johnson,Marquis thrown to Louis.00 PENALTY Louis. Offside (Dugger,Jaden) 4 yards from Louis.08 to Louis.04, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
98.3%
Beau Pribula pass incomplete to Joshua ManningSimilar
Q2 0:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
98.3%
Beau Pribula pass incomplete to Brett NorfleetSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+22
99.3%
Robert Meyer 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 17TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:5099% → 100%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+20
99.4%
Ahmad Hardy run for 20 yds to the MIZ 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:21
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-10
99.4%
Missouri Penalty, (-10 Yards) to the MIZ 36Similar
Q3 13:49
1ST & 19
OWN 36
+14
99.4%
Beau Pribula pass complete to Kevin Coleman Jr. for 14 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 13:38
2ND & 5
50
+7
99.4%
Ahmad Hardy run for 7 yds to the UL 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:09
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
99.5%
Jamal Roberts run for 3 yds to the UL 40Similar
Q3 12:42
2ND & 7
OPP 40
+5
99.5%
Jamal Roberts run for 5 yds to the UL 35Similar
Q3 12:02
3RD & 2
OPP 35
+3
99.5%
Ahmad Hardy run for 3 yds to the UL 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:20
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
99.6%
Beau Pribula run for no gain to the UL 32Similar
Q3 10:41
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+25
99.6%
Ahmad Hardy run for 25 yds to the UL 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
99.7%
Ahmad Hardy run for 7 yds for a TD (Robert Meyer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · -7 yds · 1:550% → 0%
Q3 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-5
99.7%
PENALTY Louis. False Start (Broussard,Matthew) 5 yards from Louis.21 to Louis.16. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:47
1ST & 15
OWN 16
+5
99.7%
Bill Davis run for 5 yds to the UL 21Similar
Q3 9:18
2ND & 10
OWN 21
-7
99.7%
Daniel Beale sacked by Damon Wilson II for a loss of 7 yards to the UL 14Similar
Q3 8:38
3RD & 17
OWN 14
0
99.7%
Bill Davis run for no gain to the UL 14Similar
Q3 8:01
4TH & 17
OWN 14
0
99.8%
Nathan Torney punt for 45 yds , DaMarion Fowlkes returns for no gain to the MIZ 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 19MISSED FG
8 plays · 37 yds · 4:35100% → 100%
Q3 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
99.7%
Marquise Davis run for 1 yd to the MIZ 41Similar
Q3 7:13
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+16
99.7%
Marquise Davis run for 16 yds to the UL 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:38
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
99.8%
Marquise Davis run for 5 yds to the UL 38Similar
Q3 5:53
2ND & 5
OPP 38
+17
99.8%
Marquise Davis run for 17 yds to the UL 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:16
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
99.8%
Marquise Davis run for 3 yds to the UL 18Similar
Q3 4:28
2ND & 7
OPP 18
-1
99.8%
Marquise Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the UL 19Similar
Q3 3:34
3RD & 8
OPP 19
+4
99.8%
Matt Zollers pass complete to Daniel Blood for 4 yds to the UL 23Similar
Q3 3:15
4TH & 12
OPP 23
+41
99.8%
Robert Meyer 41 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:230% → 0%
Q3 3:08
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
99.8%
Lunch Winfield pass incomplete to Robert WilliamsSimilar
Q3 3:03
2ND & 10
OWN 23
0
99.8%
Lunch Winfield pass incomplete to Charles RobertsonSimilar
Q3 2:58
3RD & 10
OWN 23
0
99.8%
Lunch Winfield pass incomplete to Shelton Sampson Jr.Similar
Q3 2:45
4TH & 10
OWN 23
0
99.9%
Nathan Torney punt for 50 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MIZ 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 21TD
18 plays · 73 yds · 10:35100% → 100%
Q3 2:37
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
99.8%
Marquise Davis run for 1 yd to the MIZ 28Similar
Q3 1:45
2ND & 9
OWN 28
+9
99.8%
Matt Zollers pass complete to Shaun Terry II for 9 yds to the MIZ 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
99.8%
Marquise Davis run for 8 yds to the MIZ 45Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 2
OWN 45
+2
99.8%
Marquise Davis run for 2 yds to the MIZ 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
99.8%
Marquise Davis run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 14:13
2ND & 7
50
+5
99.9%
Marquise Davis run for 5 yds to the UL 45Similar
Q4 13:30
3RD & 2
OPP 45
+9
99.9%
Marquise Davis run for 9 yds to the UL 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:29
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-4
99.9%
Matt Zollers run for a loss of 4 yards to the UL 40 Matt Zollers fumbled, recovered by UL Matt ZollersSimilar
Q4 12:11
2ND & 14
OPP 40
+12
99.9%
Marquise Davis run for 12 yds to the UL 28Similar
Q4 11:34
3RD & 2
OPP 28
+1
99.9%
Marquise Davis run for 1 yd to the UL 27Similar
Q4 11:02
4TH & 1
OPP 27
+9
99.9%
Marquise Davis run for 9 yds to the UL 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:24
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+4
99.9%
Marquise Davis run for 4 yds to the UL 14Similar
Q4 9:42
2ND & 6
OPP 14
+1
99.9%
Brendon Haygood run for 1 yd to the UL 13Similar
Q4 8:54
3RD & 5
OPP 13
+8
99.9%
Brendon Haygood run for 8 yds to the UL 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
99.9%
Brendon Haygood run for 2 yds to the UL 3Similar
Q4 7:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
99.9%
Brendon Haygood run for 1 yd to the UL 2Similar
Q4 7:02
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.9%
Marquise Davis run for 2 yds for a TD (Robert Meyer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 22PUNT
10 plays · 5 yds · 4:220% → 0%
Q4 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.9%
Steven Blanco run for 5 yds to the UL 30Similar
Q4 6:21
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
99.9%
Steven Blanco run for 4 yds to the UL 34Similar
Q4 5:35
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
99.9%
Steven Blanco run for 3 yds to the UL 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:02
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
99.9%
Steven Blanco run for no gain to the UL 37Similar
Q4 4:24
2ND & 10
OWN 37
-10
99.9%
(04:28) No Huddle-Shotgun Blanco,Steven rush right for 10 yards gain to the Louis.47 (Phillips III,Mose) PENALTY Louis. Holding (Williams,Bryant) 10 yards from Louis.37 to Louis.27. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:58
2ND & 20
OWN 27
+3
100.0%
Steven Blanco run for 3 yds to the UL 30Similar
Q4 3:16
3RD & 17
OWN 30
0
100.0%
Steven Blanco run for no gain to the UL 30Similar
Q4 2:32
4TH & 17
OWN 30
0
100.0%
Brek Schultz punt for 48 yds, fair catch by DaMarion Fowlkes at the MIZ 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 23END OF GAME
4 plays · 21 yds · 2:20100% → 100%
Q4 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
100.0%
Brett Brown run for 5 yds to the MIZ 27Similar
Q4 1:50
2ND & 5
OWN 27
+2
100.0%
Marquise Davis run for 2 yds to the MIZ 29Similar
Q4 1:09
3RD & 3
OWN 29
+10
100.0%
Marquise Davis run for 10 yds to the MIZ 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
100.0%
Marquise Davis run for 4 yds to the MIZ 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q2 6:22
Tony Sterner 34 yd FG GOOD
-2.8
TD · Q2 3:27
Zylan Perry run for 84 yds for a TD (Tony Sterner KICK)
-2.8
TD · Q2 14:18
Beau Pribula run for 14 yds for a TD (Robert Meyer KICK)
+1.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com