ALCN
Alcorn State 0 at Mississippi State 63
MSST2025 · Week 3 · Sep 13, 2025 · Davis Wade Stadium
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Win probability · MSST
modelMSST aheadALCN aheadconfidence bandkey play
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MSST · Drive 1TD · 3 plays · 75 yds
Q1 15:00
Grandin Willcox kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
99.9%
0.0
Q1 14:54
Blake Shapen pass incomplete to Brenen Thompson
99.9%
0.0
Q1 14:43
Blake Shapen pass complete to Jordan Mosley for 75 yds for a TD (Kyle Ferrie KICK)
99.9%
0.0
ALCN · Drive 2PUNT · 10 plays · 14 yds
Q1 14:38
Marlon Hauck kickoff for 65 yds , Reggie Davis return for 16 yds to the ALCN 16
99.9%
0.0
Q1 14:31
Jacorian Sewell run for 3 yds to the ALCN 19
99.9%
0.0
Q1 13:55
Jaylon Tolbert pass complete to Omarion Blakes for 6 yds to the ALCN 25
99.9%
0.0
Q1 13:12
Reggie Davis run for 9 yds to the ALCN 34 for a 1ST down
99.9%
0.0
Q1 12:37
Reggie Davis run for 1 yd to the ALCN 35
99.9%
0.0
Q1 11:59
Jaylon Tolbert pass incomplete to Jarvis Rush
99.9%
0.0
Q1 11:56
Jaylon Tolbert pass incomplete to Omarion Blakes
99.9%
0.0
Q1 11:55
PENALTY ASU False Start (Barnes,Brent) 5 yards from ASU35 to ASU30. NO PLAY.
99.9%
0.0
Q1 11:55
Timeout Alcorn State, clock 11:55
99.9%
0.0
Q1 11:40
Demetrion Duvall punt for 40 yds , Anthony Evans III returns for 41 yds to the ALCN 29
99.9%
0.0
MSST · Drive 3TD · 8 plays · 29 yds
Q1 11:34
Fluff Bothwell run for 6 yds to the ALCN 23
99.9%
0.0
Q1 11:15
Fluff Bothwell run for 6 yds to the ALCN 17 for a 1ST down
99.9%
0.0
Q1 10:50
Fluff Bothwell run for 8 yds to the ALCN 9
99.9%
0.0
Q1 10:32
Fluff Bothwell run for 7 yds to the ALCN 2 for a 1ST down
99.9%
0.0
Q1 10:09
(10:12) PENALTY MSU False Start 5 yards from ASU02 to ASU07. NO PLAY.
99.9%
0.0
Q1 9:41
(09:44) Shotgun Shapen,Blake pass complete short middle to Thompson,Brenen caught at ASU11, for 7 yards to the ASU00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 09:41 PENALTY MSU Holding (West,Sam) 10 yards from ASU07 to ASU17. NO PLAY.
99.9%
0.0
Q1 9:30
Blake Shapen pass complete to Fluff Bothwell for 14 yds to the ALCN 3
99.9%
0.0
Q1 9:15
Fluff Bothwell run for 3 yds for a TD (Kyle Ferrie KICK)
100.0%
0.0
ALCN · Drive 4INT · 3 plays · 12 yds
Q1 9:15
Marlon Hauck kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
100.0%
0.0
Q1 9:08
Jacorian Sewell run for 12 yds to the ALCN 37 for a 1ST down
99.9%
0.0
Q1 8:36
Alcorn State Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Jarvis Rush) to the MSST 24 for a 1ST down
99.9%
0.0
MSST · Drive 5TD · 2 plays · 76 yds
Q1 8:25
Blake Shapen pass complete to Anthony Evans III for 34 yds to the ALCN 42 for a 1ST down
100.0%
0.0
Q1 8:02
Kamario Taylor pass complete to Brenen Thompson for 42 yds for a TD (Kyle Ferrie KICK)
100.0%
0.0
ALCN · Drive 6PUNT · 5 plays · 3 yds
Q1 7:55
Marlon Hauck kickoff for 60 yds , Neico Sandifer return for 21 yds to the ALCN 26
100.0%
0.0
Q1 7:47
Jacorian Sewell run for 3 yds to the ALCN 29
100.0%
0.0
Q1 7:03
Jaylon Tolbert run for no gain to the ALCN 29
100.0%
0.0
Q1 6:25
Jaylon Tolbert pass incomplete to Tyran Warren
100.0%
0.0
Q1 6:10
Demetrion Duvall punt for 41 yds , Anthony Evans III returns for 43 yds to the ALCN 27
100.0%
0.0
MSST · Drive 7TD · 3 plays · 27 yds
Q1 5:49
Blake Shapen pass complete to Max Reese for 5 yds to the ALCN 22
100.0%
0.0
Q1 5:36
Davon Booth run for 16 yds to the ALCN 6 for a 1ST down
100.0%
0.0
Q1 5:12
Blake Shapen run for 6 yds for a TD (Kyle Ferrie KICK)
100.0%
0.0
ALCN · Drive 8MISSED FG · 16 plays · 56 yds
Q1 5:12
Marlon Hauck kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
100.0%
0.0
Q1 5:05
Tylan Citizen run for 1 yd to the ALCN 26
100.0%
0.0
Q1 4:35
Tylan Citizen run for a loss of 1 yard to the ALCN 25
100.0%
0.0
Q1 3:58
(04:02) No Huddle-Shotgun Tolbert,Jaylon pass incomplete short right to Kaho,Jamar thrown to ASU30 broken up by Williams,Jayven PENALTY MSU Pass Interference (Williams,Jayven) 5 yards from ASU25 to ASU30, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.
100.0%
0.0
Q1 3:52
Tylan Citizen run for 1 yd to the ALCN 31
100.0%
0.0
Q1 3:10
Tylan Citizen run for 4 yds to the ALCN 35
100.0%
0.0
Q1 2:26
Jaylon Tolbert pass complete to Elijah Griffin for 10 yds to the ALCN 45 for a 1ST down
100.0%
0.0
Q1 1:49
(01:53) No Huddle-Shotgun Sewell,Jacorian rush middle for 9 yards gain to the MSU46 (Smith,Jalen; Manning,Jahron) PENALTY MSU Offside (Jennings,Branden) 5 yards from ASU45 to ASU50. NO PLAY.
100.0%
0.0
Q1 1:21
Jaylon Tolbert pass complete to Kole Williams for 4 yds to the MSST 46
100.0%
0.0
Q1 0:52
Jacorian Sewell run for 2 yds to the MSST 44 for a 1ST down
100.0%
0.0
Q1 0:00
Jaylon Tolbert pass complete to Omarion Blakes for 21 yds to the MSST 23 for a 1ST down
100.0%
0.0
Q2 14:54
Jacorian Sewell run for 3 yds to the MSST 20
100.0%
0.0
Q2 14:19
Jaylon Tolbert pass incomplete to Tyran Warren
100.0%
0.0
Q2 14:19
PENALTY ASU Illegal Substitution 5 yards from MSU20 to MSU25. NO PLAY.
100.0%
0.0
Q2 14:07
Jaylon Tolbert pass complete to Jacorian Sewell for 6 yds to the MSST 19
100.0%
0.0
Q2 13:33
Grandin Willcox 36 yd FG MISSED
100.0%
0.0
MSST · Drive 9INT · 11 plays · 48 yds
Q2 13:26
Fluff Bothwell run for 6 yds to the MSST 26
100.0%
0.0
Q2 13:11
Fluff Bothwell run for 6 yds to the MSST 32 for a 1ST down
100.0%
0.0
Q2 12:54
Blake Shapen pass incomplete to Fluff Bothwell
100.0%
0.0
Q2 12:48
Fluff Bothwell run for 6 yds to the MSST 38
100.0%
0.0
Q2 12:11
Blake Shapen pass complete to Anthony Evans III for 3 yds to the MSST 41
100.0%
0.0
Q2 11:30
Timeout Alcorn State, clock 11:30
100.0%
0.0
Q2 11:23
Fluff Bothwell run for 3 yds to the MSST 44 for a 1ST down
100.0%
0.0
Q2 11:02
Fluff Bothwell run for 13 yds to the ALCN 43 for a 1ST down
100.0%
0.0
Q2 10:38
Blake Shapen pass complete to Brenen Thompson for 11 yds to the ALCN 32 for a 1ST down
100.0%
0.0
Q2 10:05
Blake Shapen run for no gain to the ALCN 32
100.0%
0.0
Q2 9:37
Blake Shapen pass intercepted Bakari McCall return for 14 yds to the ALCN 20
100.0%
0.0
ALCN · Drive 10FUMBLE · 1 play · 10 yds
Q2 9:27
Tylan Citizen run for 10 yds to the ALCN 29 Tylan Citizen fumbled, recovered by MSST Nic Mitchell
100.0%
0.0
MSST · Drive 11TD · 5 plays · 29 yds
Q2 9:16
Blake Shapen pass complete to Anthony Evans III for 7 yds to the ALCN 22
100.0%
0.0
Q2 9:00
Blake Shapen run for 6 yds to the ALCN 16 for a 1ST down
100.0%
0.0
Q2 8:29
Blake Shapen pass complete to Max Reese for 4 yds to the ALCN 20
100.0%
0.0
Q2 7:54
Davon Booth run for a loss of 2 yards to the ALCN 22
100.0%
0.0
Q2 7:20
Blake Shapen pass complete to Anthony Evans III for 22 yds for a TD (Kyle Ferrie KICK)
100.0%
0.0
ALCN · Drive 12PUNT · 5 plays · -8 yds
Q2 7:20
Marlon Hauck kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
100.0%
0.0
Q2 7:15
Jacorian Sewell run for a loss of 3 yards to the ALCN 22
100.0%
0.0
Q2 6:44
Jacorian Sewell run for a loss of 1 yard to the ALCN 21
100.0%
0.0
Q2 6:05
Alcorn State Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Jaylon Tolbert) to the ALCN 17
100.0%
0.0
Q2 5:53
Franklin Rogers punt for 40 yds , Anthony Evans III returns for 13 yds to the ALCN 44
100.0%
0.0
MSST · Drive 13TD · 8 plays · 44 yds
Q2 5:46
Johnnie Daniels run for 5 yds to the ALCN 39
100.0%
0.0
Q2 5:26
Johnnie Daniels run for 4 yds to the ALCN 35
100.0%
0.0
Q2 5:11
Johnnie Daniels run for no gain to the ALCN 35
100.0%
0.0
Q2 4:56
Fluff Bothwell run for 4 yds to the ALCN 31 for a 1ST down
100.0%
0.0
Q2 4:20
Blake Shapen pass incomplete to Brenen Thompson
100.0%
0.0
Q2 4:11
Blake Shapen pass complete to Sanfrisco Magee for 6 yds to the ALCN 25
100.0%
0.0
Q2 3:50
Fluff Bothwell run for 25 yds for a TD (Kyle Ferrie KICK)
100.0%
0.0
Q2 3:50
PENALTY MSU UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Bothwell,Fluff) 15 yards from MSU35 to MSU20. NO PLAY.
100.0%
0.0
ALCN · Drive 14PUNT · 10 plays · 27 yds
Q2 3:43
Marlon Hauck kickoff for 71 yds , Neico Sandifer return for 12 yds to the ALCN 21
100.0%
0.0
Q2 3:33
Jaylon Tolbert pass complete to Damien Jones for no gain to the ALCN 21
100.0%
0.0
Q2 3:03
Jaylon Tolbert pass complete to Damien Jones for 7 yds to the ALCN 28
100.0%
0.0
Q2 2:28
Jaylon Tolbert pass complete to Jacorian Sewell for 11 yds to the ALCN 39 for a 1ST down
100.0%
0.0
Q2 1:54
Jaylon Tolbert pass incomplete to Tyran Warren
100.0%
0.0
Q2 1:46
(01:52) No Huddle-Shotgun Tolbert,Jaylon rush left for 5 yards gain to the ASU44 (Washington,Hunter) PENALTY ASU Holding (Diallo,Ibrahim) 10 yards from ASU39 to ASU29. NO PLAY.
100.0%
0.0
Q2 1:37
Jaylon Tolbert pass complete to Jarvis Rush for 9 yds to the ALCN 38
100.0%
0.0
Q2 1:35
Timeout Alcorn State, clock 01:35
100.0%
0.0
Q2 1:27
Jaylon Tolbert run for 10 yds to the ALCN 48
100.0%
0.0
Q2 0:38
Franklin Rogers punt for 17 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MSST 35
100.0%
0.0
MSST · Drive 15END OF HALF · 1 play · 5 yds
Q2 0:00
Johnnie Daniels run for 5 yds to the MSST 40
100.0%
0.0
ALCN · Drive 16PUNT · 7 plays · -9 yds
Q3 10:00
Marlon Hauck kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
100.0%
0.0
Q3 9:55
(10:00) No Huddle-Shotgun Sewell,Jacorian rush left for 2 yards gain to the ASU27 (Smith,Jalen) PENALTY ASU Holding (Rogers,Cameran) 10 yards from ASU25 to ASU15. NO PLAY.
100.0%
0.0
Q3 9:19
Jaylon Tolbert pass complete to Damien Jones for 5 yds to the ALCN 20
100.0%
0.0
Q3 8:50
Jaylon Tolbert pass complete to Jacorian Sewell for 1 yd to the ALCN 21
100.0%
0.0
Q3 8:15
(08:15) PENALTY ASU False Start (Parker,Deitron) 5 yards from ASU21 to ASU16. NO PLAY.
100.0%
0.0
Q3 8:15
Jaylon Tolbert pass incomplete to Jarvis Rush
100.0%
0.0
Q3 8:03
Franklin Rogers punt for 47 yds
100.0%
0.0
MSST · Drive 17PUNT · 6 plays · 19 yds
Q3 10:00
Kamario Taylor pass complete to Gracen Harris for 4 yds to the MSST 21
100.0%
0.0
Q3 10:00
Kamario Taylor run for 13 yds to the MSST 34 for a 1ST down
100.0%
0.0
Q3 10:00
Kamario Taylor pass incomplete to Gracen Harris
100.0%
0.0
Q3 10:00
Johnnie Daniels run for 2 yds to the MSST 36
100.0%
0.0
Q3 10:00
(10:00) No Huddle-Shotgun Taylor,Kamario pass complete short right to Mitchell,Isaiah caught at MSU46, for 17 yards to the ASU47 (McCall,Bakari; Ruffin,Elijah) PENALTY MSU Ineligible Downfield on Pass declined MSU Illegal Touch-Pass (Mitchell,Isaiah). NO PLAY.
100.0%
0.0
Q3 10:00
Ethan Pulliam punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ALCN 28
100.0%
0.0
ALCN · Drive 18FUMBLE · 2 plays · 8 yds
Q3 10:00
(00:09) PENALTY MSU Offside (Clark,Corey) 5 yards from ASU28 to ASU33. NO PLAY.
100.0%
0.0
Q3 0:00
Andre Washington pass complete to Damien Jones for 3 yds Damien Jones fumbled, recovered by MSST Dwight Lewis III
100.0%
0.0
MSST · Drive 19TD · 5 plays · 63 yds
Q3 7:54
Xavier Gayten run for 4 yds to the MSST 41
100.0%
0.0
Q3 7:17
Xavier Gayten run for 15 yds to the ALCN 44 for a 1ST down
100.0%
0.0
Q3 6:52
Luke Kromenhoek pass complete to Ayden Williams for 13 yds to the ALCN 31 for a 1ST down
100.0%
0.0
Q3 6:28
Xavier Gayten run for 6 yds to the ALCN 25
100.0%
0.0
Q3 5:53
Xavier Gayten run for 25 yds for a TD (Kyle Ferrie KICK)
100.0%
0.0
ALCN · Drive 20PUNT · 10 plays · 19 yds
Q3 5:53
Marlon Hauck kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
100.0%
0.0
Q3 5:47
(05:53) No Huddle-Shotgun Citizen,Tylon rush left for 4 yards gain to the ASU29 (Lockhart,Tyler; Lewis III,Dwight) PENALTY MSU Offside (Hibbler Jr.,Terrance) 5 yards from ASU25 to ASU30. NO PLAY.
100.0%
0.0
Q3 5:24
Andre Washington pass complete to Omarion Blakes for 4 yds to the ALCN 34
100.0%
0.0
Q3 4:57
Andre Washington run for 3 yds to the ALCN 37 for a 1ST down
100.0%
0.0
Q3 4:18
(04:21) No Huddle-Shotgun Washington,Andre pass complete short left to Blakes,Omarion caught at ASU43, for 7 yards to the ASU44, End Of Play PENALTY ASU Pass Interference (Kaho,Jamar) 15 yards from ASU37 to ASU22. NO PLAY.
100.0%
0.0
Q3 3:48
Mississippi State Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the ALCN 41 for a 1ST down
100.0%
0.0
Q3 3:28
Tylan Citizen run for 2 yds to the ALCN 43
100.0%
0.0
Q3 2:51
Tylan Citizen run for 1 yd to the ALCN 44
100.0%
0.0
Q3 2:07
Andre Washington pass incomplete to Elijah Griffin
100.0%
0.0
Q3 1:56
Franklin Rogers punt for 40 yds , Kolin Wilson returns for 1 yd to the MSST 17
100.0%
0.0
MSST · Drive 21TD · 1 play · 3 yds
Q4 9:55
Luke Kromenhoek run for 3 yds for a TD (Marlon Hauck KICK)
100.0%
0.0
ALCN · Drive 22PUNT · 5 plays · 0 yds
Q4 9:55
Marlon Hauck kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
100.0%
0.0
Q4 9:47
Carl McDonald Jr. run for 3 yds to the ALCN 28
100.0%
0.0
Q4 9:04
Carl McDonald Jr. run for 5 yds to the ALCN 23 Carl McDonald Jr. fumbled, recovered by ALCN Andre Washington
100.0%
0.0
Q4 8:14
Jacorian Sewell run for 2 yds to the ALCN 25
100.0%
0.0
Q4 7:29
Franklin Rogers punt for 29 yds
100.0%
0.0
MSST · Drive 23TD · 9 plays · 54 yds
Q4 7:21
Kolin Wilson run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line
100.0%
0.0
Q4 6:54
Kolin Wilson run for 2 yds to the ALCN 48
100.0%
0.0
Q4 6:26
Kamario Taylor run for 8 yds to the ALCN 40 for a 1ST down
100.0%
0.0
Q4 6:07
Timeout Alcorn State, clock 06:07
100.0%
0.0
Q4 6:01
Kolin Wilson run for no gain to the ALCN 40
100.0%
0.0
Q4 5:23
Seth Davis run for 8 yds to the ALCN 32
100.0%
0.0
Q4 4:40
Kamario Taylor run for 19 yds to the ALCN 13 for a 1ST down
100.0%
0.0
Q4 3:54
(03:59) Shotgun Wilson,Kolin rush right for 10 yards gain to the ASU03 (Gibson,Brendon; Snow,Tyreke) PENALTY MSU Holding (Bouldin,Jaekwon) 10 yards from ASU13 to ASU23. NO PLAY.
100.0%
0.0
Q4 3:30
Seth Davis run for 23 yds for a TD (Marlon Hauck KICK)
100.0%
0.0
ALCN · Drive 24PUNT · 6 plays · 3 yds
Q4 3:27
William Wilkinson kickoff for 38 yds , Tobias Hinton return for no gain to the ALCN 27
100.0%
0.0
Q4 3:19
Camren Stewart run for 5 yds to the ALCN 32
100.0%
0.0
Q4 2:35
Ernest Lyons Iii run for 1 yd to the ALCN 33
100.0%
0.0
Q4 1:50
Traylon Minor run for 2 yds to the ALCN 35
100.0%
0.0
Q4 1:12
(01:12) PENALTY ASU False Start (Mcroy,Jaylen) 5 yards from ASU35 to ASU30. NO PLAY.
100.0%
0.0
Q4 0:45
Franklin Rogers punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MSST 38
100.0%
0.0
MSST · Drive 25END OF GAME · 1 play · 17 yds
Q4 0:00
Kolin Wilson run for 17 yds to the ALCN 45 for a 1ST down
100.0%
0.0