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EMU

Eastern Michigan 23 at Kentucky 48

UK
2025 · Week 3 · Sep 13, 2025 · Kroger Field
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Win probability · UK
modelUK aheadEMU aheadconfidence bandkey playUK scoreEMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDFGTDTDTDFGFGTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 6:36 · Carter Evans run for no gain to the EMU 27
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+45.5+22.80−22.8−45.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 124Pregame prior+22.6Home team on offense+15.7Score differential+5.2Garbage-time factor+3.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+4.0Blowout margin+1.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:18: Cutter Boley pass complete to Willie Rodriguez for 3 yds for a TD (Jacob Kauwe KICK) — UK win probability +1.8 pts (now 95%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:55: Cutter Boley pass complete to Josh Kattus for 4 yds for a TD Eastern Michigan Penalty, Defensive Holding (Noah Kim) declined (Jacob Kauwe KICK) — UK win probability +3.0 pts (now 97%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 1:36: Noah Kim pass complete to Terry Lockett Jr. for 64 yds for a TD (Rudy Kessinger KICK) — EMU win probability +3.6 pts (now 7%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 8:13: Jacob Kauwe 51 yd FG GOOD — UK win probability +1.4 pts (now 95%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 5:15: Seth McGowan run for 8 yds for a TD (Jacob Kauwe KICK) — UK win probability +2.8 pts (now 98%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UK made the numbers' call on 4 of 5EMU made the numbers' call on 7 of 10
  1. Q1 10:41EMU 4th & 2 at UK 22, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    5.7%−0.1
    72% to make
    Punt
    5.3%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 2:20EMU 4th & 6 at UK 20, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 6.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.0%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    6.0%
    75% to make
    Punt
    5.1%−1.0
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:32UK 4th & 8 at UK 42, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.8%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.0%
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:10EMU 4th & 8 at EMU 38, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.1%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 5:19EMU 4th & 3 at UK 19, down 18
    Close callKicked a field goal · 5.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.8%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    5.5%−0.3
    77% to make
    Punt
    3.5%−2.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:50UK 4th & 1 at UK 34, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.3%−<0.1
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.3%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:03EMU 4th & 1 at UK 32, down 15
    Close callKicked a field goal · 7.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    7.0%−0.8
    51% to make
    Punt
    6.8%−1.0
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:40UK 4th & 9 at UK 46, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.5%−0.5
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.0%
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:51EMU 4th & 6 at EMU 24, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.5%−0.3
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.8%
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:13UK 4th & 4 at EMU 33, up 12
    Close callKicked a field goal · 92.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    92.3%−0.5
    49% to make
    Punt
    91.9%−0.9
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:36EMU 4th & 8 at EMU 27, down 15
    Close callWent for it · 5.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.5%−0.5
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    6.0%
    average punt
  12. Q3 1:54EMU 4th & 4 at UK 46, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    0.8%−0.7
    23% to make
    Punt
    1.3%−0.2
    average punt
  13. Q4 13:16UK 4th & 6 at EMU 6, up 22
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.9%−<0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.9%
    91% to make
    Punt
    98.0%−0.9
    average punt
  14. Q4 10:06EMU 4th & 14 at UK 37, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.5%
    40% to make
    Punt
    0.4%−0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 0:58EMU 4th & 5 at UK 5, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−<0.1
    92% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UK made the numbers' call on 5 of 6EMU made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 14:11UK Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:32UK Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 10:18UK Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:55UK Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 1:36EMU Touchdown, down 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 5:15UK Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 4:46UK Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 0:58EMU Touchdown, down 26 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.2%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.3%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
EMUDrive 1INT
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-25
95.3%
Noah Kim pass intercepted Daveren Rayner return for 25 yds to the EMU 10Similar
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-25
95.3%
Noah Kim pass intercepted Daveren Rayner return for 25 yds to the EMU 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 2TD
2 plays · 10 yds · 0:3295% → 95%
Q1 14:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+6
95.3%
Seth McGowan run for 6 yds to the EMU 4Similar
Q1 14:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
95.3%
Seth McGowan run for 4 yds for a TD (Jacob Kauwe KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 3DOWNS
10 plays · 54 yds · 3:195% → 5%
Q1 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
95.2%
Dontae McMillan run for 7 yds to the EMU 32Similar
Q1 13:21
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+9
95.1%
Tavierre Dunlap run for 9 yds to the EMU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+16
95.1%
Dontae McMillan run for 16 yds to the UK 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:14
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+13
95.0%
Noah Kim pass complete to Terry Lockett Jr. for 13 yds to the UK 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:42
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
94.8%
Noah Kim pass incomplete to Terry Lockett Jr.Similar
Q1 11:34
2ND & 10
OPP 30
0
94.8%
Noah Kim pass incomplete to Porter RooksSimilar
Q1 11:20
3RD & 10
OPP 30
+8
94.8%
Noah Kim pass complete to Ben Prosper for 8 yds to the UK 22Similar
Q1 10:41
4TH & 2
OPP 22
+1
94.7%
Tavierre Dunlap run for 1 yd to the UK 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 4TD
13 plays · 79 yds · 5:0095% → 95%
Q1 10:32
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
94.8%
Cutter Boley pass complete to Kendrick Law for 2 yds to the UK 23Similar
Q1 9:58
2ND & 8
OWN 23
+7
94.7%
Seth McGowan run for 7 yds to the UK 30Similar
Q1 9:21
3RD & 1
OWN 30
+6
94.6%
Dante Dowdell run for 6 yds to the UK 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
94.5%
Dante Dowdell run for 1 yd to the UK 37Similar
Q1 8:07
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+23
94.4%
Cutter Boley pass complete to Josh Kattus for 23 yds to the EMU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:42
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-10
94.5%
(07:46) No Huddle-Shotgun Dowdell,Dante rush right for 3 yards gain to the EMU37 (Marshall,Jason) PENALTY UK Holding (Farmer,Jalen) 10 yards from EMU40 to EMU50. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:16
1ST & 20
50
+1
94.4%
Dante Dowdell run for 1 yd to the EMU 49Similar
Q1 6:41
2ND & 19
OPP 49
0
94.3%
Cutter Boley pass incomplete to Willie RodriguezSimilar
Q1 6:30
3RD & 19
OPP 49
+25
94.1%
Cutter Boley pass complete to Willie Rodriguez for 25 yds to the EMU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:51
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
94.3%
Cutter Boley pass incomplete to Josh KattusSimilar
Q1 5:45
2ND & 10
OPP 24
0
94.3%
Cutter Boley pass incomplete to Hardley Gilmore IVSimilar
Q1 5:37
3RD & 10
OPP 24
+12
94.2%
(05:45) No Huddle-Shotgun Boley,Cutter pass incomplete deep right to Rodriguez,Willie thrown to EMU00 PENALTY EMU Personal Foul (Blair,Messiah) 12 yards from EMU24 to EMU12, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:32
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
95.1%
Seth McGowan run for 12 yds for a TD (Jacob Kauwe KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 5FG
9 plays · 55 yds · 3:005% → 6%
Q1 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
94.7%
Noah Kim run for 7 yds to the EMU 32Similar
Q1 4:53
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+5
94.6%
Tavierre Dunlap run for 5 yds to the EMU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
94.5%
Tavierre Dunlap run for no gain to the EMU 37Similar
Q1 3:30
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+39
94.5%
Noah Kim pass complete to Tavierre Dunlap for 39 yds to the UK 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:06
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
94.2%
Noah Kim pass incomplete to Tavierre DunlapSimilar
Q1 2:50
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+4
94.2%
Noah Kim pass complete to Jamarien Wheeler for 4 yds to the UK 20Similar
Q1 2:24
3RD & 6
OPP 20
0
94.0%
Noah Kim pass incomplete to Joshua LongSimilar
Q1 2:20
4TH & 6
OPP 20
+38
93.6%
Rudy Kessinger 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 1:3994% → 93%
Q1 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
93.7%
Dante Dowdell run for 8 yds to the UK 33Similar
Q1 1:44
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+7
93.7%
Dante Dowdell run for 7 yds to the UK 40 for a 1ST down Eastern Michigan Penalty, Defensive Offside (Noah Kim) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
93.8%
Dante Dowdell run for 2 yds to the UK 42Similar
Q1 0:49
2ND & 8
OWN 42
0
93.7%
Cutter Boley pass incomplete to J.J. HesterSimilar
Q1 0:43
3RD & 8
OWN 42
0
93.5%
Cutter Boley pass incomplete to Kendrick LawSimilar
Q1 0:32
4TH & 8
OWN 42
0
93.3%
Aidan Laros punt for 51 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 31 yds · 2:507% → 7%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+6
93.4%
Noah Kim pass complete to Dontae McMillan for 6 yds to the EMU 13Similar
Q2 14:53
2ND & 4
OWN 13
0
93.4%
Dontae McMillan run for no gain to the EMU 13Similar
Q2 14:08
3RD & 4
OWN 13
+13
93.4%
Noah Kim pass complete to Tanner Lemaster for 13 yds to the EMU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+10
93.2%
Noah Kim run for 10 yds to the EMU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
93.0%
Dontae McMillan run for 2 yds to the EMU 38Similar
Q2 12:28
2ND & 8
OWN 38
0
92.7%
Noah Kim pass incomplete to Tanner LemasterSimilar
Q2 12:22
3RD & 8
OWN 38
0
92.8%
Eastern Michigan Penalty, Offensive Holding (Noah Kim) declinedSimilar
Q2 12:10
4TH & 8
OWN 38
+25
93.1%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 41 yds , Ty Bryant returns for 25 yds to the UK 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 8TD
5 plays · 54 yds · 1:4194% → 95%
Q2 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+16
93.6%
Kendrick Law run for 16 yds to the EMU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:39
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
93.7%
Seth McGowan run for 4 yds to the EMU 34Similar
Q2 11:07
2ND & 6
OPP 34
+32
93.6%
Cutter Boley pass complete to Hardley Gilmore IV for 32 yds to the EMU 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
93.6%
Seth McGowan run for a loss of 1 yard to the EMU 3Similar
Q2 10:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
95.4%
Cutter Boley pass complete to Willie Rodriguez for 3 yds for a TD (Jacob Kauwe KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 9FG
12 plays · 56 yds · 4:555% → 7%
Q2 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
95.2%
Noah Kim pass incomplete to Terry Lockett Jr.Similar
Q2 9:56
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+22
95.2%
Noah Kim pass complete to Joey Mattord for 22 yds to the EMU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:13
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-5
94.8%
Noah Kim sacked for a loss of 5 yards to the EMU 42Similar
Q2 8:49
2ND & 15
OWN 42
+14
95.2%
Dontae McMillan run for 14 yds to the UK 44Similar
Q2 8:16
3RD & 1
OPP 44
+3
94.5%
Dontae McMillan run for 3 yds to the UK 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:33
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
94.3%
Noah Kim pass complete to Joshua Long for no gain to the UK 41Similar
Q2 7:03
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+15
94.3%
(07:09) No Huddle-Shotgun Kim,Noah pass incomplete deep right to Devereaux,Nick thrown to UK03 PENALTY UK Pass Interference (Thomas,Kevis) 15 yards from UK41 to UK26, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:54
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+7
93.9%
Ben Prosper run for 7 yds to the UK 19Similar
Q2 6:36
2ND & 3
OPP 19
0
93.9%
Tavierre Dunlap run for no gain to the UK 19Similar
Q2 5:46
3RD & 3
OPP 19
0
94.1%
Noah Kim run for no gain to the UK 19Similar
Q2 5:19
4TH & 3
OPP 19
+37
93.0%
Rudy Kessinger 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 10TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:1394% → 97%
Q2 5:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+34
93.8%
Cutter Boley pass complete to Josh Kattus for 34 yds to the EMU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:56
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+17
94.7%
Seth McGowan run for 17 yds to the EMU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:24
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+4
94.9%
Seth McGowan run for 4 yds to the EMU 20Similar
Q2 3:57
2ND & 6
OPP 20
+11
94.9%
Seth McGowan run for 11 yds to the EMU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-5
94.8%
PENALTY UK False Start (Wollschlaeger,Alex) 5 yards from EMU09 to EMU14. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 14
+1
95.0%
Seth McGowan run for 1 yd to the EMU 13Similar
Q2 2:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 13
+9
95.0%
Cutter Boley run for 9 yds to the EMU 4Similar
Q2 1:55
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
97.3%
Cutter Boley pass complete to Josh Kattus for 4 yds for a TD Eastern Michigan Penalty, Defensive Holding (Noah Kim) declined (Jacob Kauwe KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 11TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 0:133% → 7%
Q2 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
97.1%
Noah Kim pass complete to Dontae McMillan for 5 yds to the EMU 30Similar
Q2 1:45
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+6
96.9%
Noah Kim run for 6 yds to the EMU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+64
93.3%
Noah Kim pass complete to Terry Lockett Jr. for 64 yds for a TD (Rudy Kessinger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 0:4396% → 95%
Q2 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
95.6%
Cutter Boley pass incomplete to Seth McGowanSimilar
Q2 1:20
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
95.6%
Cutter Boley run for 9 yds to the UK 34Similar
Q2 0:59
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
95.3%
Seth McGowan run for no gain to the UK 34Similar
Q2 0:50
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
95.2%
Aidan Laros punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Juan Salas at the EMU 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 13FG
5 plays · 34 yds · 0:396% → 8%
Q2 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+25
94.1%
Noah Kim pass complete to Joshua Long for 25 yds to the UK 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:28
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+9
93.2%
Noah Kim pass complete to Jamarien Wheeler for 9 yds to the UK 32Similar
Q2 0:13
2ND & 1
OPP 32
0
92.8%
Noah Kim pass incomplete to Joshua LongSimilar
Q2 0:08
3RD & 1
OPP 32
0
93.2%
Noah Kim pass incomplete to Jamarien WheelerSimilar
Q2 0:03
4TH & 1
OPP 32
+50
92.3%
Rudy Kessinger 50 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 14END OF HALF
3 plays · -1 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
93.5%
C. Boley takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 37 yds · 2:0994% → 93%
Q3 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+3
93.5%
Dante Dowdell run for 3 yds to the UK 12Similar
Q3 14:09
2ND & 7
OWN 12
+33
93.4%
Cutter Boley pass complete to Fred Farrier II for 33 yds to the UK 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:33
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
93.9%
Dante Dowdell run for 1 yd to the UK 46Similar
Q3 12:55
2ND & 9
OWN 46
0
93.8%
Cutter Boley pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:49
3RD & 9
OWN 46
0
93.4%
Cutter Boley pass incomplete to Hardley Gilmore IVSimilar
Q3 12:40
4TH & 9
OWN 46
0
93.0%
Aidan Laros punt for 54 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:448% → 7%
Q3 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
92.5%
Noah Kim pass incomplete to Terry Lockett Jr.Similar
Q3 12:27
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+2
92.5%
Dontae McMillan run for 2 yds to the EMU 22Similar
Q3 11:55
3RD & 8
OWN 22
-5
92.8%
PENALTY EMU False Start (Small,Everett) 5 yards from EMU22 to EMU17. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:33
3RD & 13
OWN 17
+7
92.8%
Dontae McMillan run for 7 yds to the EMU 24Similar
Q3 10:51
4TH & 6
OWN 24
+3
92.8%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 42 yds , Ty Bryant returns for 3 yds to the UK 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 17FG
7 plays · 30 yds · 2:2994% → 95%
Q3 10:42
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+14
93.6%
Seth McGowan run for 14 yds to the EMU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:12
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
93.8%
Seth McGowan run for 5 yds to the EMU 44Similar
Q3 9:34
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+5
94.0%
Cutter Boley run for 5 yds to the EMU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:27
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+6
94.0%
Seth McGowan run for 6 yds to the EMU 33Similar
Q3 8:53
2ND & 4
OPP 33
0
93.8%
Seth McGowan run for no gain to the EMU 33Similar
Q3 8:19
3RD & 4
OPP 33
0
93.5%
Cutter Boley pass incomplete to Fred Farrier IISimilar
Q3 8:13
4TH & 4
OPP 33
+51
94.9%
Jacob Kauwe 51 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 18DOWNS
7 plays · 2 yds · 1:346% → 5%
Q3 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
93.9%
Noah Kim pass incomplete to Terry Lockett Jr.Similar
Q3 7:59
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
94.2%
Noah Kim pass complete to Joshua Long for 7 yds to the EMU 32Similar
Q3 7:49
3RD & 3
OWN 32
-5
93.9%
PENALTY EMU False Start (Dahoue,Dodji) 5 yards from EMU32 to EMU27. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:17
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+5
94.3%
Noah Kim pass complete to Nick Devereaux for 5 yds to the EMU 32Similar
Q3 6:41
4TH & 3
OWN 32
-5
94.4%
PENALTY EMU Delay Of Game 5 yards from EMU32 to EMU27. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:36
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
94.6%
Carter Evans run for no gain to the EMU 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 19TD
4 plays · 27 yds · 1:1496% → 98%
Q3 6:29
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
95.5%
Jason Patterson run for no gain to the EMU 27Similar
Q3 5:53
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+17
95.5%
Cutter Boley pass complete to Kendrick Law for 27 yds for a 1ST down Kentucky Penalty, (-10 Yards) to the EMU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:44
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+6
95.6%
Seth McGowan run for 6 yds to the EMU 8Similar
Q3 5:15
2ND & 4
OPP 8
+8
98.3%
Seth McGowan run for 8 yds for a TD (Jacob Kauwe KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 20DOWNS
9 plays · 32 yds · 3:122% → 2%
Q3 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
98.3%
Noah Kim pass complete to Dontae McMillan for 11 yds to the EMU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:41
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
98.3%
Ben Prosper run for 7 yds to the EMU 43Similar
Q3 4:04
2ND & 3
OWN 43
+5
98.3%
Noah Kim pass complete to Ben Prosper for 5 yds to the EMU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:39
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-17
98.3%
Noah Kim sacked by Mi'Quise Humphrey-Grace for a loss of 17 yards to the EMU 31Similar
Q3 2:52
2ND & 27
OWN 31
+13
98.5%
Noah Kim pass complete to Joshua Long for 13 yds to the EMU 44Similar
Q3 2:24
3RD & 14
OWN 44
+10
98.4%
Noah Kim run for 10 yds to the UK 46Similar
Q3 1:54
4TH & 4
OPP 46
+3
98.5%
Noah Kim run for 3 yds to the UK 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 21FG
8 plays · 51 yds · 3:2699% → 100%
Q3 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+36
99.1%
Cutter Boley pass complete to Ja'Mori Maclin for 36 yds to the EMU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:07
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+12
99.1%
Jason Patterson run for 12 yds to the EMU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
99.2%
Jason Patterson run for 4 yds to the EMU 5Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
99.2%
(00:11) Boley,Cutter sacked for loss of 9 yards to the EMU14 (Evans,Carter) PENALTY EMU Holding (Scott,Joshua) 3 yards from EMU05 to EMU02, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
99.2%
Seth McGowan run for no gain to the EMU 2Similar
Q4 14:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
99.3%
Cutter Boley run for 1 yd to the EMU 1 Eastern Michigan Penalty, Personal Foul (Noah Kim) to the EMU 3Similar
Q4 13:56
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
-3
99.3%
Jason Patterson run for a loss of 3 yards to the EMU 6Similar
Q4 13:16
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+24
99.6%
Jacob Kauwe 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 22MISSED FG
10 plays · 38 yds · 3:042% → 1%
Q4 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.5%
Noah Kim pass incomplete to Dontae McMillanSimilar
Q4 12:57
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
98.5%
Noah Kim pass complete to Nick Devereaux for 7 yds to the EMU 32Similar
Q4 12:31
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+19
98.4%
Noah Kim pass complete to Nick Devereaux for 19 yds to the UK 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:15
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
98.4%
Noah Kim pass complete to Tanner Lemaster for 3 yds to the UK 46Similar
Q4 11:21
2ND & 7
OPP 46
+13
98.4%
Noah Kim pass complete to Terry Lockett Jr. for 13 yds to the UK 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
98.2%
Terry Lockett Jr. pass incomplete to Noah KimSimilar
Q4 10:50
2ND & 10
OPP 33
-4
98.8%
Dontae McMillan run for a loss of 4 yards to the UK 37Similar
Q4 10:12
3RD & 14
OPP 37
0
99.1%
Noah Kim pass incomplete to Terry Lockett Jr.Similar
Q4 10:06
4TH & 14
OPP 37
+55
99.1%
Rudy Kessinger 55 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 23TD
11 plays · 63 yds · 5:11100% → 100%
Q4 9:57
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-3
99.6%
Jason Patterson run for a loss of 3 yards to the UK 34Similar
Q4 9:35
2ND & 13
OWN 34
-5
99.6%
PENALTY UK False Start (Pete,Shiyazh) 5 yards from UK34 to UK29. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:04
2ND & 18
OWN 29
+9
99.6%
Cutter Boley pass complete to Jason Patterson for 9 yds to the UK 38Similar
Q4 8:33
3RD & 9
OWN 38
+10
99.7%
Eastern Michigan Penalty, Defensive Holding (Juan Salas) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:11
1ST & 10
50
+6
99.8%
Jason Patterson run for 6 yds to the EMU 44Similar
Q4 7:41
2ND & 4
OPP 44
+3
99.8%
Jason Patterson run for 3 yds to the EMU 41Similar
Q4 6:59
3RD & 1
OPP 41
+10
99.8%
Jason Patterson run for 10 yds to the EMU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:19
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+16
99.8%
Cutter Boley pass complete to Hardley Gilmore IV for 16 yds to the EMU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:53
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+4
99.8%
Jason Patterson run for 4 yds to the EMU 11Similar
Q4 5:22
2ND & 6
OPP 11
+5
99.8%
Jason Patterson run for 5 yds to the EMU 6Similar
Q4 4:46
3RD & 1
OPP 6
+6
99.9%
Jason Patterson run for 6 yds for a TD (Jacob Kauwe KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 24TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 3:420% → 1%
Q4 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
99.9%
Dontae McMillan run for 14 yds to the EMU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:03
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+9
99.9%
Noah Kim pass complete to Jamarien Wheeler for 9 yds to the EMU 48Similar
Q4 3:32
2ND & 1
OWN 48
+10
99.9%
Noah Kim pass complete to Jamarien Wheeler for 10 yds to the UK 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:07
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
99.9%
Noah Kim pass incomplete to Jamarien WheelerSimilar
Q4 2:54
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+6
99.9%
Noah Kim pass complete to Antonio Floyd for 6 yds to the UK 36Similar
Q4 2:23
3RD & 4
OPP 36
+14
99.9%
Noah Kim pass complete to Ben Prosper for 14 yds to the UK 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:11
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-5
99.9%
PENALTY EMU Illegal Snap (Gallegos,Nicholas) 5 yards from UK22 to UK27. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:54
1ST & 15
OPP 27
+8
99.9%
Dontae McMillan run for 8 yds to the UK 19Similar
Q4 1:47
2ND & 7
OPP 19
+11
99.9%
Dontae McMillan run for 11 yds to the UK 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
99.9%
Noah Kim pass incomplete to Nick DevereauxSimilar
Q4 1:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
99.9%
Dontae McMillan run for 3 yds to the UK 5Similar
Q4 1:05
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
99.9%
Noah Kim pass incomplete to Antonio FloydSimilar
Q4 0:58
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
99.4%
Noah Kim run for 5 yds for a TD (Rudy Kessinger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 25END OF GAME
3 plays · 36 yds · 0:43100% → 100%
Q4 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+29
99.9%
Jason Patterson run for 29 yds to the EMU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+7
99.9%
Jason Patterson run for 7 yds to the EMU 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 1:36
Noah Kim pass complete to Terry Lockett Jr. for 64 yds for a TD (Rudy Kessinger KICK)
-3.6
TD · Q2 1:55
Cutter Boley pass complete to Josh Kattus for 4 yds for a TD Eastern Michigan Penalty, Defensive Holding (Noah Kim) declined (Jacob Kauwe KICK)
+3
TD · Q3 5:15
Seth McGowan run for 8 yds for a TD (Jacob Kauwe KICK)
+2.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com