EMU
Eastern Michigan 23 at Kentucky 48
UK2025 · Week 3 · Sep 13, 2025 · Kroger Field
Speed4x
Win probability · UK
modelUK aheadEMU aheadconfidence bandkey play
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EMU · Drive 1INT · 3 plays · 0 yds
Q1 15:00
Aidan Laros kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
90.7%
0.0
Q1 14:50
Noah Kim pass intercepted Daveren Rayner return for 25 yds to the EMU 10
88.9%
-1.7
Q1 14:50
Noah Kim pass intercepted Daveren Rayner return for 25 yds to the EMU 10
88.9%
0.0
UK · Drive 2TD · 2 plays · 10 yds
Q1 14:43
Seth McGowan run for 6 yds to the EMU 4
91.3%
+2.4
Q1 14:11
Seth McGowan run for 4 yds for a TD (Jacob Kauwe KICK)
94.7%
+3.4
EMU · Drive 3DOWNS · 10 plays · 54 yds
Q1 14:11
Aidan Laros kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
94.6%
-0.1
Q1 14:00
Dontae McMillan run for 7 yds to the EMU 32
93.4%
-1.1
Q1 13:21
Tavierre Dunlap run for 9 yds to the EMU 41 for a 1ST down
93.7%
+0.2
Q1 12:44
Dontae McMillan run for 16 yds to the UK 43 for a 1ST down
93.3%
-0.4
Q1 12:14
Noah Kim pass complete to Terry Lockett Jr. for 13 yds to the UK 30 for a 1ST down
92.8%
-0.5
Q1 11:42
Noah Kim pass incomplete to Terry Lockett Jr.
93.6%
+0.8
Q1 11:34
Noah Kim pass incomplete to Porter Rooks
93.6%
0.0
Q1 11:20
Noah Kim pass complete to Ben Prosper for 8 yds to the UK 22
93.6%
0.0
Q1 10:46
Timeout Kentucky, clock 10:46
95.0%
+1.4
Q1 10:41
Tavierre Dunlap run for 1 yd to the UK 21
95.0%
0.0
UK · Drive 4TD · 13 plays · 79 yds
Q1 10:32
Cutter Boley pass complete to Kendrick Law for 2 yds to the UK 23
95.1%
+0.1
Q1 9:58
Seth McGowan run for 7 yds to the UK 30
95.1%
0.0
Q1 9:21
Dante Dowdell run for 6 yds to the UK 36 for a 1ST down
95.4%
+0.2
Q1 8:53
Dante Dowdell run for 1 yd to the UK 37
95.3%
0.0
Q1 8:07
Cutter Boley pass complete to Josh Kattus for 23 yds to the EMU 40 for a 1ST down
95.3%
0.0
Q1 7:42
(07:46) No Huddle-Shotgun Dowdell,Dante rush right for 3 yards gain to the EMU37 (Marshall,Jason) PENALTY UK Holding (Farmer,Jalen) 10 yards from EMU40 to EMU50. NO PLAY.
95.5%
+0.1
Q1 7:16
Dante Dowdell run for 1 yd to the EMU 49
95.5%
+0.1
Q1 6:41
Cutter Boley pass incomplete to Willie Rodriguez
95.4%
-0.1
Q1 6:30
Cutter Boley pass complete to Willie Rodriguez for 25 yds to the EMU 24 for a 1ST down
94.5%
-0.9
Q1 5:51
Cutter Boley pass incomplete to Josh Kattus
94.6%
+0.1
Q1 5:45
Cutter Boley pass incomplete to Hardley Gilmore IV
94.6%
0.0
Q1 5:37
(05:45) No Huddle-Shotgun Boley,Cutter pass incomplete deep right to Rodriguez,Willie thrown to EMU00 PENALTY EMU Personal Foul (Blair,Messiah) 12 yards from EMU24 to EMU12, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.
94.5%
-0.1
Q1 5:32
Seth McGowan run for 12 yds for a TD (Jacob Kauwe KICK)
97.9%
+3.4
EMU · Drive 5FG · 9 plays · 55 yds
Q1 5:32
Aidan Laros kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
97.8%
0.0
Q1 5:20
Noah Kim run for 7 yds to the EMU 32
97.6%
-0.3
Q1 4:53
Tavierre Dunlap run for 5 yds to the EMU 37 for a 1ST down
97.7%
+0.1
Q1 4:18
Tavierre Dunlap run for no gain to the EMU 37
97.6%
0.0
Q1 3:30
Noah Kim pass complete to Tavierre Dunlap for 39 yds to the UK 24 for a 1ST down
97.6%
0.0
Q1 3:06
Noah Kim pass incomplete to Tavierre Dunlap
97.4%
-0.2
Q1 2:50
Noah Kim pass complete to Jamarien Wheeler for 4 yds to the UK 20
97.4%
0.0
Q1 2:24
Noah Kim pass incomplete to Joshua Long
97.4%
0.0
Q1 2:20
Rudy Kessinger 38 yd FG GOOD
95.3%
-2.1
UK · Drive 6PUNT · 7 plays · 17 yds
Q1 2:20
Nathan Dibert kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
95.6%
+0.2
Q1 2:11
Dante Dowdell run for 8 yds to the UK 33
96.2%
+0.6
Q1 1:44
Dante Dowdell run for 7 yds to the UK 40 for a 1ST down Eastern Michigan Penalty, Defensive Offside (Noah Kim) declined for a 1ST down
96.3%
+0.1
Q1 1:22
Dante Dowdell run for 2 yds to the UK 42
96.4%
+0.1
Q1 0:49
Cutter Boley pass incomplete to J.J. Hester
96.4%
0.0
Q1 0:43
Cutter Boley pass incomplete to Kendrick Law
96.3%
-0.1
Q1 0:32
Aidan Laros punt for 51 yds
96.3%
-0.1
EMU · Drive 7PUNT · 8 plays · 31 yds
Q1 0:00
Noah Kim pass complete to Dontae McMillan for 6 yds to the EMU 13
95.9%
-0.4
Q2 14:53
Dontae McMillan run for no gain to the EMU 13
95.9%
0.0
Q2 14:08
Noah Kim pass complete to Tanner Lemaster for 13 yds to the EMU 26 for a 1ST down
95.9%
0.0
Q2 13:35
Noah Kim run for 10 yds to the EMU 36 for a 1ST down
95.9%
0.0
Q2 13:05
Dontae McMillan run for 2 yds to the EMU 38
96.0%
+0.1
Q2 12:28
Noah Kim pass incomplete to Tanner Lemaster
96.0%
0.0
Q2 12:22
Eastern Michigan Penalty, Offensive Holding (Noah Kim) declined
96.0%
0.0
Q2 12:10
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 41 yds , Ty Bryant returns for 25 yds to the UK 46
96.0%
0.0
UK · Drive 8TD · 5 plays · 54 yds
Q2 11:59
Kendrick Law run for 16 yds to the EMU 38 for a 1ST down
96.9%
+0.9
Q2 11:39
Seth McGowan run for 4 yds to the EMU 34
97.0%
0.0
Q2 11:07
Cutter Boley pass complete to Hardley Gilmore IV for 32 yds to the EMU 2 for a 1ST down
97.0%
0.0
Q2 10:45
Seth McGowan run for a loss of 1 yard to the EMU 3
96.9%
0.0
Q2 10:18
Cutter Boley pass complete to Willie Rodriguez for 3 yds for a TD (Jacob Kauwe KICK)
99.2%
+2.2
EMU · Drive 9FG · 12 plays · 56 yds
Q2 10:18
Aidan Laros kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
99.1%
0.0
Q2 10:14
Noah Kim pass incomplete to Terry Lockett Jr.
98.4%
-0.7
Q2 9:56
Noah Kim pass complete to Joey Mattord for 22 yds to the EMU 47 for a 1ST down
98.4%
0.0
Q2 9:13
Noah Kim sacked for a loss of 5 yards to the EMU 42
98.4%
0.0
Q2 8:49
Dontae McMillan run for 14 yds to the UK 44
98.5%
+0.1
Q2 8:16
Dontae McMillan run for 3 yds to the UK 41 for a 1ST down
98.4%
-0.1
Q2 7:33
Noah Kim pass complete to Joshua Long for no gain to the UK 41
98.4%
0.0
Q2 7:03
(07:09) No Huddle-Shotgun Kim,Noah pass incomplete deep right to Devereaux,Nick thrown to UK03 PENALTY UK Pass Interference (Thomas,Kevis) 15 yards from UK41 to UK26, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.
98.4%
0.0
Q2 6:54
Ben Prosper run for 7 yds to the UK 19
98.4%
-0.1
Q2 6:36
Tavierre Dunlap run for no gain to the UK 19
98.1%
-0.2
Q2 5:46
Noah Kim run for no gain to the UK 19
98.1%
0.0
Q2 5:19
Rudy Kessinger 37 yd FG GOOD
97.5%
-0.6
UK · Drive 10TD · 11 plays · 75 yds
Q2 5:18
Nathan Dibert kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
97.7%
+0.2
Q2 5:08
Cutter Boley pass complete to Josh Kattus for 34 yds to the EMU 41 for a 1ST down
97.8%
+0.1
Q2 5:03
Timeout Kentucky, clock 05:03
98.0%
+0.2
Q2 4:56
Seth McGowan run for 17 yds to the EMU 24 for a 1ST down
98.0%
0.0
Q2 4:24
Seth McGowan run for 4 yds to the EMU 20
98.3%
+0.2
Q2 3:57
Seth McGowan run for 11 yds to the EMU 9 for a 1ST down
98.3%
0.0
Q2 3:29
PENALTY UK False Start (Wollschlaeger,Alex) 5 yards from EMU09 to EMU14. NO PLAY.
98.3%
0.0
Q2 3:07
Seth McGowan run for 1 yd to the EMU 13
98.3%
0.0
Q2 2:24
Cutter Boley run for 9 yds to the EMU 4
98.3%
0.0
Q2 2:00
Timeout Kentucky, clock 02:00
98.3%
0.0
Q2 1:55
Cutter Boley pass complete to Josh Kattus for 4 yds for a TD Eastern Michigan Penalty, Defensive Holding (Noah Kim) declined (Jacob Kauwe KICK)
99.6%
+1.3
EMU · Drive 11TD · 5 plays · 75 yds
Q2 1:55
Aidan Laros kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
99.6%
0.0
Q2 1:49
Noah Kim pass complete to Dontae McMillan for 5 yds to the EMU 30
99.0%
-0.6
Q2 1:45
Noah Kim run for 6 yds to the EMU 36 for a 1ST down
99.0%
0.0
Q2 1:36
Noah Kim pass complete to Terry Lockett Jr. for 64 yds for a TD (Rudy Kessinger KICK)
97.7%
-1.3
Q2 1:36
Timeout Kentucky, clock 01:36
99.0%
+1.3
UK · Drive 12PUNT · 6 plays · 9 yds
Q2 1:35
Nathan Dibert kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
97.7%
-1.3
Q2 1:33
Cutter Boley pass incomplete to Seth McGowan
98.2%
+0.4
Q2 1:20
Cutter Boley run for 9 yds to the UK 34
98.2%
0.0
Q2 1:00
Timeout Kentucky, clock 01:00
98.2%
0.0
Q2 0:59
Seth McGowan run for no gain to the UK 34
98.2%
0.0
Q2 0:50
Aidan Laros punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Juan Salas at the EMU 34
98.0%
-0.3
EMU · Drive 13FG · 5 plays · 34 yds
Q2 0:42
Noah Kim pass complete to Joshua Long for 25 yds to the UK 41 for a 1ST down
97.6%
-0.4
Q2 0:28
Noah Kim pass complete to Jamarien Wheeler for 9 yds to the UK 32
97.3%
-0.2
Q2 0:13
Noah Kim pass incomplete to Joshua Long
97.2%
-0.1
Q2 0:08
Noah Kim pass incomplete to Jamarien Wheeler
97.2%
0.0
Q2 0:03
Rudy Kessinger 50 yd FG GOOD
94.0%
-3.2
UK · Drive 14END OF HALF · 3 plays · -1 yds
Q2 0:03
Nathan Dibert kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
94.2%
+0.2
Q2 0:00
C. Boley takes a knee
96.8%
+2.6
Q3 14:56
Nathan Dibert kickoff for 61 yds , Kendrick Law return for 16 yds to the UK 49 Kentucky Penalty, (8 Yards) to the UK 9
94.0%
-2.8
UK · Drive 15PUNT · 6 plays · 37 yds
Q3 14:49
Dante Dowdell run for 3 yds to the UK 12
96.3%
+2.2
Q3 14:09
Cutter Boley pass complete to Fred Farrier II for 33 yds to the UK 45 for a 1ST down
96.3%
0.0
Q3 13:33
Dante Dowdell run for 1 yd to the UK 46
96.4%
+0.1
Q3 12:55
Cutter Boley pass incomplete
96.5%
+0.1
Q3 12:49
Cutter Boley pass incomplete to Hardley Gilmore IV
96.5%
0.0
Q3 12:40
Aidan Laros punt for 54 yds for a touchback
96.4%
-0.1
EMU · Drive 16PUNT · 5 plays · 4 yds
Q3 12:35
Noah Kim pass incomplete to Terry Lockett Jr.
93.7%
-2.7
Q3 12:27
Dontae McMillan run for 2 yds to the EMU 22
93.7%
0.0
Q3 11:55
PENALTY EMU False Start (Small,Everett) 5 yards from EMU22 to EMU17. NO PLAY.
93.7%
0.0
Q3 11:33
Dontae McMillan run for 7 yds to the EMU 24
93.7%
0.0
Q3 10:51
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 42 yds , Ty Bryant returns for 3 yds to the UK 37
93.3%
-0.4
UK · Drive 17FG · 7 plays · 30 yds
Q3 10:42
Seth McGowan run for 14 yds to the EMU 49 for a 1ST down
96.3%
+3.0
Q3 10:12
Seth McGowan run for 5 yds to the EMU 44
96.3%
0.0
Q3 9:34
Cutter Boley run for 5 yds to the EMU 39 for a 1ST down
96.5%
+0.2
Q3 9:27
Seth McGowan run for 6 yds to the EMU 33
96.5%
+0.1
Q3 8:53
Seth McGowan run for no gain to the EMU 33
96.5%
0.0
Q3 8:19
Cutter Boley pass incomplete to Fred Farrier II
96.5%
0.0
Q3 8:13
Jacob Kauwe 51 yd FG GOOD
97.5%
+1.0
EMU · Drive 18DOWNS · 7 plays · 2 yds
Q3 8:13
Aidan Laros kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
97.5%
0.0
Q3 8:10
Noah Kim pass incomplete to Terry Lockett Jr.
97.1%
-0.3
Q3 7:59
Noah Kim pass complete to Joshua Long for 7 yds to the EMU 32
97.2%
0.0
Q3 7:49
PENALTY EMU False Start (Dahoue,Dodji) 5 yards from EMU32 to EMU27. NO PLAY.
97.3%
+0.1
Q3 7:17
Noah Kim pass complete to Nick Devereaux for 5 yds to the EMU 32
97.2%
-0.1
Q3 6:41
PENALTY EMU Delay Of Game 5 yards from EMU32 to EMU27. NO PLAY.
96.9%
-0.2
Q3 6:36
Carter Evans run for no gain to the EMU 27
96.8%
-0.1
UK · Drive 19TD · 4 plays · 27 yds
Q3 6:29
Jason Patterson run for no gain to the EMU 27
97.6%
+0.8
Q3 5:53
Cutter Boley pass complete to Kendrick Law for 27 yds for a 1ST down Kentucky Penalty, (-10 Yards) to the EMU 14 for a 1ST down
97.6%
0.0
Q3 5:44
Seth McGowan run for 6 yds to the EMU 8
97.7%
0.0
Q3 5:15
Seth McGowan run for 8 yds for a TD (Jacob Kauwe KICK)
99.6%
+2.0
EMU · Drive 20DOWNS · 9 plays · 32 yds
Q3 5:15
Aidan Laros kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
99.6%
0.0
Q3 5:06
Noah Kim pass complete to Dontae McMillan for 11 yds to the EMU 36 for a 1ST down
99.2%
-0.5
Q3 4:41
Ben Prosper run for 7 yds to the EMU 43
99.2%
+0.1
Q3 4:04
Noah Kim pass complete to Ben Prosper for 5 yds to the EMU 48 for a 1ST down
99.3%
0.0
Q3 3:39
Noah Kim sacked by Mi'Quise Humphrey-Grace for a loss of 17 yards to the EMU 31
99.3%
0.0
Q3 2:52
Noah Kim pass complete to Joshua Long for 13 yds to the EMU 44
99.4%
+0.1
Q3 2:35
Timeout Kentucky, clock 02:35
99.3%
-0.1
Q3 2:24
Noah Kim run for 10 yds to the UK 46
99.3%
0.0
Q3 1:54
Noah Kim run for 3 yds to the UK 43
99.3%
0.0
UK · Drive 21FG · 8 plays · 51 yds
Q3 1:42
Cutter Boley pass complete to Ja'Mori Maclin for 36 yds to the EMU 21 for a 1ST down
99.7%
+0.4
Q3 1:07
Jason Patterson run for 12 yds to the EMU 9 for a 1ST down
99.8%
0.0
Q3 0:35
Jason Patterson run for 4 yds to the EMU 5
99.8%
0.0
Q3 0:00
(00:11) Boley,Cutter sacked for loss of 9 yards to the EMU14 (Evans,Carter) PENALTY EMU Holding (Scott,Joshua) 3 yards from EMU05 to EMU02, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.
99.8%
0.0
Q4 14:54
Seth McGowan run for no gain to the EMU 2
99.8%
0.0
Q4 14:10
Cutter Boley run for 1 yd to the EMU 1 Eastern Michigan Penalty, Personal Foul (Noah Kim) to the EMU 3
99.8%
0.0
Q4 13:56
Jason Patterson run for a loss of 3 yards to the EMU 6
99.8%
0.0
Q4 13:16
Jacob Kauwe 24 yd FG GOOD
99.8%
+0.1
EMU · Drive 22MISSED FG · 10 plays · 38 yds
Q4 13:16
Aidan Laros kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
99.8%
0.0
Q4 13:10
Noah Kim pass incomplete to Dontae McMillan
99.6%
-0.2
Q4 12:57
Noah Kim pass complete to Nick Devereaux for 7 yds to the EMU 32
99.6%
0.0
Q4 12:31
Noah Kim pass complete to Nick Devereaux for 19 yds to the UK 49 for a 1ST down
99.6%
0.0
Q4 12:15
Noah Kim pass complete to Tanner Lemaster for 3 yds to the UK 46
99.6%
0.0
Q4 11:21
Noah Kim pass complete to Terry Lockett Jr. for 13 yds to the UK 33 for a 1ST down
99.6%
0.0
Q4 11:00
Terry Lockett Jr. pass incomplete to Noah Kim
99.6%
0.0
Q4 10:50
Dontae McMillan run for a loss of 4 yards to the UK 37
99.6%
0.0
Q4 10:12
Noah Kim pass incomplete to Terry Lockett Jr.
99.6%
0.0
Q4 10:06
Rudy Kessinger 55 yd FG MISSED
99.6%
0.0
UK · Drive 23TD · 11 plays · 63 yds
Q4 9:57
Jason Patterson run for a loss of 3 yards to the UK 34
99.8%
+0.2
Q4 9:35
PENALTY UK False Start (Pete,Shiyazh) 5 yards from UK34 to UK29. NO PLAY.
99.8%
0.0
Q4 9:04
Cutter Boley pass complete to Jason Patterson for 9 yds to the UK 38
99.8%
0.0
Q4 8:33
Eastern Michigan Penalty, Defensive Holding (Juan Salas) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down
99.8%
0.0
Q4 8:11
Jason Patterson run for 6 yds to the EMU 44
99.8%
0.0
Q4 7:41
Jason Patterson run for 3 yds to the EMU 41
99.8%
0.0
Q4 6:59
Jason Patterson run for 10 yds to the EMU 31 for a 1ST down
99.8%
0.0
Q4 6:19
Cutter Boley pass complete to Hardley Gilmore IV for 16 yds to the EMU 15 for a 1ST down
99.8%
0.0
Q4 5:53
Jason Patterson run for 4 yds to the EMU 11
99.8%
0.0
Q4 5:22
Jason Patterson run for 5 yds to the EMU 6
99.8%
0.0
Q4 4:46
Jason Patterson run for 6 yds for a TD (Jacob Kauwe KICK)
99.9%
+0.1
EMU · Drive 24TD · 15 plays · 75 yds
Q4 4:46
Aidan Laros kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
99.9%
0.0
Q4 4:40
Dontae McMillan run for 14 yds to the EMU 39 for a 1ST down
99.7%
-0.1
Q4 4:03
Noah Kim pass complete to Jamarien Wheeler for 9 yds to the EMU 48
99.7%
0.0
Q4 3:32
Noah Kim pass complete to Jamarien Wheeler for 10 yds to the UK 42 for a 1ST down
99.7%
0.0
Q4 3:07
Noah Kim pass incomplete to Jamarien Wheeler
99.7%
0.0
Q4 2:54
Noah Kim pass complete to Antonio Floyd for 6 yds to the UK 36
99.7%
0.0
Q4 2:23
Noah Kim pass complete to Ben Prosper for 14 yds to the UK 22 for a 1ST down
99.7%
0.0
Q4 2:11
PENALTY EMU Illegal Snap (Gallegos,Nicholas) 5 yards from UK22 to UK27. NO PLAY.
99.7%
0.0
Q4 2:00
Timeout Kentucky, clock 02:00
99.7%
0.0
Q4 1:54
Dontae McMillan run for 8 yds to the UK 19
99.7%
0.0
Q4 1:47
Dontae McMillan run for 11 yds to the UK 8 for a 1ST down
99.7%
0.0
Q4 1:40
Noah Kim pass incomplete to Nick Devereaux
99.7%
0.0
Q4 1:33
Dontae McMillan run for 3 yds to the UK 5
99.7%
0.0
Q4 1:05
Noah Kim pass incomplete to Antonio Floyd
99.7%
0.0
Q4 0:58
Noah Kim run for 5 yds for a TD (Rudy Kessinger KICK)
99.6%
-0.1
UK · Drive 25END OF GAME · 3 plays · 36 yds
Q4 0:52
Nathan Dibert kickoff for 53 yds , Kendrick Law return for 13 yds to the UK 25
99.6%
0.0
Q4 0:43
Jason Patterson run for 29 yds to the EMU 46 for a 1ST down
99.8%
+0.2
Q4 0:00
Jason Patterson run for 7 yds to the EMU 39
99.8%
0.0
Biggest swings
TD · Q1 14:11
Seth McGowan run for 4 yds for a TD (Jacob Kauwe KICK)
+3.4
TD · Q1 5:32
Seth McGowan run for 12 yds for a TD (Jacob Kauwe KICK)
+3.4
FG · Q2 0:03
Rudy Kessinger 50 yd FG GOOD
-3.2