USA
South Alabama 15 at Auburn 31
AUB2025 · Week 3 · Sep 13, 2025 · Jordan-Hare Stadium
Speed4x
Win probability · AUB
modelAUB aheadUSA aheadconfidence bandkey play
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AUB · Drive 1TD · 14 plays · 92 yds
Q1 15:00
Hamilton DiBoyan kickoff for 57 yds , Omar Mabson II return for no gain to the AUB 8
91.7%
0.0
Q1 14:53
Eric Singleton Jr. run for 8 yds to the AUB 16
93.1%
+1.4
Q1 14:26
Jeremiah Cobb run for 3 yds to the AUB 19 for a 1ST down
93.0%
-0.1
Q1 13:54
Jackson Arnold pass incomplete to Cam Coleman
93.0%
0.0
Q1 13:42
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Eric Singleton Jr. for 9 yds to the AUB 28
93.0%
0.0
Q1 13:04
Jeremiah Cobb run for 4 yds to the AUB 32 for a 1ST down
93.0%
0.0
Q1 12:28
Jackson Arnold run for 9 yds to the AUB 41
93.0%
0.0
Q1 11:50
Jeremiah Cobb run for 8 yds to the AUB 49 for a 1ST down
93.0%
0.0
Q1 11:06
Jeremiah Cobb run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line
93.1%
+0.1
Q1 10:30
Jackson Arnold pass incomplete to Preston Howard
93.1%
0.0
Q1 10:30
Timeout Auburn, clock 10:30
93.6%
+0.5
Q1 10:20
Jackson Arnold run for 4 yds to the USA 46
93.6%
0.0
Q1 9:34
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Eric Singleton Jr. for 14 yds to the USA 32 for a 1ST down
93.7%
+0.1
Q1 9:09
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Cam Coleman for 32 yds for a TD South Alabama Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Christopher Wallace Jr.) declined (Alex McPherson KICK)
96.2%
+2.5
USA · Drive 2FG · 13 plays · 64 yds
Q1 9:09
Connor Gibbs kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
96.1%
-0.1
Q1 8:58
Bishop Davenport pass complete to Trent Thomas for 16 yds to the USA 41 for a 1ST down
96.9%
+0.8
Q1 8:27
Kentrel Bullock run for 9 yds to the 50 yard line
96.7%
-0.2
Q1 7:56
Kentrel Bullock run for no gain to the 50 yard line
96.5%
-0.2
Q1 7:25
Kentrel Bullock run for 7 yds to the AUB 43 for a 1ST down
96.5%
0.0
Q1 7:00
Bishop Davenport pass incomplete to Devin Voisin
96.4%
-0.1
Q1 6:54
Keenan Phillips run for 4 yds to the AUB 39
96.4%
0.0
Q1 6:24
Bishop Davenport pass complete to Anthony Eager for 9 yds to the AUB 30 for a 1ST down
95.8%
-0.5
Q1 5:51
Auburn Penalty, Personal Foul (Dallas Walker IV) to the AUB 13 for a 1ST down
95.8%
0.0
Q1 5:22
Bishop Davenport pass complete to Anthony Eager for 1 yd to the AUB 12
95.8%
0.0
Q1 4:54
Bishop Davenport run for a loss of 2 yards to the AUB 14
95.8%
0.0
Q1 4:14
Kentrel Bullock run for 3 yds to the AUB 11
95.8%
0.0
Q1 3:43
Hamilton DiBoyan 29 yd FG GOOD
93.0%
-2.8
AUB · Drive 3PUNT · 5 plays · 4 yds
Q1 3:35
Hamilton DiBoyan kickoff for 65 yds , Bryce Cain return for 31 yds to the AUB 31
93.4%
+0.4
Q1 3:28
Jeremiah Cobb run for 4 yds to the AUB 35
94.0%
+0.6
Q1 2:56
Jackson Arnold pass incomplete to Horatio Fields
94.1%
+0.1
Q1 2:53
Jackson Arnold pass incomplete to Preston Howard
94.1%
0.0
Q1 2:45
Hudson Kaak punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the USA 23 South Alabama Penalty, Blocking Out Of Bounds (Brian Dillard) to the USA 12
94.1%
0.0
USA · Drive 4INT · 6 plays · 18 yds
Q1 2:19
Keenan Phillips run for 5 yds to the USA 17
93.2%
-0.9
Q1 2:02
Bishop Davenport pass complete to Devin Voisin for 7 yds to the USA 24 for a 1ST down
93.2%
0.0
Q1 1:44
Keenan Phillips run for a loss of 1 yard to the USA 23
93.2%
0.0
Q1 1:07
Bishop Davenport pass complete to Keenan Phillips for 2 yds to the USA 25
93.2%
0.0
Q1 0:49
(00:50) No Huddle-Shotgun Davenport,Bishop pass incomplete deep right to Voisin,Devin thrown to USA45 broken up by Lee,Kayin PENALTY AUB Offside (Murray,Chris) 5 yards from USA25 to USA30. NO PLAY.
93.2%
0.0
Q1 0:44
South Alabama Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Anthony Eager) declined
93.2%
0.0
AUB · Drive 5TD · 6 plays · 33 yds
Q1 0:32
Jeremiah Cobb run for 15 yds to the USA 18 for a 1ST down
94.0%
+0.8
Q1 0:23
Jackson Arnold pass incomplete to Perry Thompson
94.0%
0.0
Q1 0:00
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Eric Singleton Jr. for 9 yds to the USA 9
93.9%
0.0
Q2 14:51
Jackson Arnold run for 3 yds to the USA 6 for a 1ST down
93.9%
0.0
Q2 14:14
Jackson Arnold run for 6 yds for a TD (Alex McPherson KICK)
97.3%
+3.3
Q2 14:08
Connor Gibbs kickoff for 65 yds , Keenan Phillips return for 18 yds to the USA 47 South Alabama Penalty, Offensive Holding (9 Yards) to the USA 9
93.8%
-3.5
USA · Drive 6PUNT · 4 plays · 6 yds
Q2 14:02
Kentrel Bullock run for 1 yd to the USA 10
97.0%
+3.2
Q2 13:35
Bishop Davenport pass complete to Devin Voisin for 5 yds to the USA 15 South Alabama Penalty, Illegal Formation (Christopher Wallace Jr.) declined
97.0%
0.0
Q2 13:10
Kentrel Bullock run for no gain to the USA 15
97.0%
0.0
Q2 12:24
Aleksi Pulkkinen punt for 39 yds
97.0%
0.0
AUB · Drive 7TD · 7 plays · 54 yds
Q2 12:16
Jeremiah Cobb run for 15 yds to the USA 39 for a 1ST down
97.5%
+0.5
Q2 11:39
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Eric Singleton Jr. for 14 yds to the USA 25 for a 1ST down
97.5%
0.0
Q2 11:03
Jeremiah Cobb run for 6 yds to the USA 19
97.5%
0.0
Q2 10:26
Jackson Arnold pass incomplete to Jeremiah Cobb
97.6%
+0.1
Q2 10:12
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Horatio Fields for 14 yds to the USA 5 for a 1ST down
97.6%
0.0
Q2 9:55
Jackson Arnold pass incomplete to Cam Coleman
97.6%
-0.1
Q2 9:48
Jackson Arnold run for 5 yds for a TD (Alex McPherson KICK)
99.3%
+1.7
USA · Drive 8TD · 12 plays · 75 yds
Q2 9:48
Connor Gibbs kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
99.3%
0.0
Q2 9:39
PJ Martin run for 3 yds to the USA 28
98.5%
-0.8
Q2 9:07
PJ Martin run for 4 yds to the USA 32
98.5%
0.0
Q2 8:32
PJ Martin run for 2 yds to the USA 34
98.5%
0.0
Q2 8:05
PJ Martin run for 2 yds to the USA 36 for a 1ST down
98.5%
-0.1
Q2 7:27
Kentrel Bullock run for 8 yds to the USA 44
98.5%
0.0
Q2 7:02
Bishop Davenport pass complete to Devin Voisin for 21 yds to the AUB 35 for a 1ST down
98.5%
0.0
Q2 6:43
Kentrel Bullock run for no gain to the AUB 35
98.1%
-0.3
Q2 6:10
Bishop Davenport pass complete to Anthony Eager for 11 yds to the AUB 24 for a 1ST down
98.1%
0.0
Q2 5:58
Timeout Auburn, clock 05:58
98.2%
0.0
Q2 5:52
Bishop Davenport pass complete to Anthony Eager for 4 yds to the AUB 20
98.2%
0.0
Q2 5:24
Bishop Davenport pass complete to Jeremy Scott for 20 yds for a TD (Hamilton DiBoyan PAT MISSED)
97.2%
-1.0
AUB · Drive 9TD · 16 plays · 75 yds
Q2 5:24
Hamilton DiBoyan kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
97.3%
+0.1
Q2 5:17
Jeremiah Cobb run for 3 yds to the AUB 28
98.0%
+0.7
Q2 4:50
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Perry Thompson for 4 yds to the AUB 32
98.0%
0.0
Q2 4:21
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Eric Singleton Jr. for 7 yds to the AUB 39 for a 1ST down
98.0%
0.0
Q2 3:49
Eric Singleton Jr. run for 4 yds to the AUB 43
98.0%
0.0
Q2 3:11
Jeremiah Cobb run for 4 yds to the AUB 47
98.0%
0.0
Q2 2:48
Jackson Arnold run for 8 yds to the USA 45 for a 1ST down
98.0%
0.0
Q2 2:19
Jeremiah Cobb run for 2 yds to the USA 43
98.0%
0.0
Q2 2:00
Timeout Auburn, clock 02:00
98.5%
+0.5
Q2 1:52
Jackson Arnold sacked by Tirrell Johnson Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the USA 44
98.5%
0.0
Q2 1:46
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Eric Singleton Jr. for 12 yds to the USA 32 for a 1ST down
98.5%
0.0
Q2 1:22
Jeremiah Cobb run for 9 yds to the USA 23
98.5%
0.0
Q2 1:04
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Cam Coleman for 17 yds to the USA 6 for a 1ST down
98.5%
0.0
Q2 0:53
Jeremiah Cobb run for 4 yds to the USA 2
98.3%
-0.2
Q2 0:43
Jackson Arnold pass incomplete to Preston Howard
98.2%
0.0
Q2 0:40
Jeremiah Cobb run for 2 yds for a TD (Alex McPherson KICK)
99.7%
+1.5
USA · Drive 10END OF HALF · 3 plays · -1 yds
Q2 0:40
Connor Gibbs kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
99.7%
0.0
Q2 0:30
Keenan Phillips run for 4 yds to the USA 29
98.5%
-1.2
Q2 0:00
(00:12) No Huddle-Shotgun Phillips,Keenan rush middle for 4 yards gain to the USA33 (Melendez,Elijah) PENALTY USA Illegal Formation 5 yards from USA29 to USA24. NO PLAY.
98.3%
-0.2
USA · Drive 11TD · 13 plays · 75 yds
Q3 15:00
Connor Gibbs kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
99.5%
+1.2
Q3 14:53
Kentrel Bullock run for 3 yds to the USA 28
98.2%
-1.3
Q3 14:24
Kentrel Bullock run for 4 yds to the USA 32
98.3%
0.0
Q3 13:41
Bishop Davenport pass complete to Brendan Jenkins for 6 yds to the USA 38 for a 1ST down
98.3%
0.0
Q3 13:10
Bishop Davenport pass complete to Brendan Jenkins for 25 yds to the AUB 37 for a 1ST down
98.5%
+0.2
Q3 12:45
Bishop Davenport pass complete to Anthony Eager for 11 yds to the AUB 26 for a 1ST down
98.4%
-0.1
Q3 12:28
PJ Martin run for a loss of 2 yards to the AUB 28
98.4%
0.0
Q3 11:58
Kentrel Bullock run for 6 yds to the AUB 22
98.4%
0.0
Q3 11:07
Bishop Davenport pass complete to Anthony Eager for 14 yds to the AUB 8 for a 1ST down
98.5%
+0.1
Q3 10:47
(10:49) PENALTY USA False Start 5 yards from AUB08 to AUB13. NO PLAY.
98.5%
0.0
Q3 10:27
PJ Martin run for 1 yd to the AUB 12
98.5%
0.0
Q3 10:00
Bishop Davenport pass incomplete to Rod Gibbs
98.5%
0.0
Q3 9:55
Bishop Davenport pass complete to Devin Voisin for 12 yds for a TD (Hamilton DiBoyan PAT MISSED)
97.2%
-1.3
AUB · Drive 12FG · 17 plays · 62 yds
Q3 9:49
Hamilton DiBoyan kickoff for 59 yds , Demarcus Riddick return for 16 yds to the AUB 22
97.3%
+0.1
Q3 9:41
Jeremiah Cobb run for 3 yds to the AUB 25
98.3%
+1.0
Q3 9:05
Jeremiah Cobb run for 14 yds to the AUB 39 for a 1ST down
98.3%
0.0
Q3 8:20
Eric Singleton Jr. run for 3 yds to the AUB 42
98.2%
-0.1
Q3 7:49
Jackson Arnold pass incomplete
98.2%
0.0
Q3 7:39
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Horatio Fields for 6 yds to the AUB 48
98.2%
0.0
Q3 7:14
Jackson Arnold run for 9 yds to the USA 43 for a 1ST down
98.2%
0.0
Q3 6:31
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Omar Mabson II for 7 yds to the USA 36
98.1%
-0.2
Q3 5:59
Jackson Arnold run for 4 yds to the USA 32 for a 1ST down
98.2%
+0.1
Q3 5:16
Omar Mabson II run for 5 yds to the USA 27
98.2%
0.0
Q3 4:21
Omar Mabson II run for 2 yds to the USA 25
98.2%
0.0
Q3 3:50
Omar Mabson II run for 2 yds to the USA 23
98.2%
0.0
Q3 3:13
Jackson Arnold run for 3 yds to the USA 20 for a 1ST down
98.2%
0.0
Q3 2:33
Omar Mabson II run for 4 yds to the USA 16
98.2%
0.0
Q3 1:53
Omar Mabson II run for no gain to the USA 16
98.3%
+0.1
Q3 1:20
Jackson Arnold pass incomplete to Eric Singleton Jr.
98.3%
0.0
Q3 1:15
Alex McPherson 34 yd FG GOOD
98.6%
+0.3
USA · Drive 13FUMBLE · 15 plays · 54 yds
Q3 1:15
Connor Gibbs kickoff for 64 yds
98.6%
0.0
Q3 1:11
Keenan Phillips run for 2 yds to the USA 27
97.9%
-0.7
Q3 0:40
Bishop Davenport run for 7 yds to the USA 34
97.9%
0.0
Q3 0:00
Keenan Phillips run for 6 yds to the USA 40 for a 1ST down
97.9%
0.0
Q4 14:53
Keenan Phillips run for a loss of 1 yard to the USA 39
97.9%
0.0
Q4 14:29
Bishop Davenport pass incomplete to Jeremy Scott
97.9%
0.0
Q4 14:22
Bishop Davenport run for 16 yds to the AUB 45 for a 1ST down
97.9%
0.0
Q4 13:42
Bishop Davenport pass complete to Jeremy Scott for 1 yd to the AUB 44
97.9%
0.0
Q4 13:14
PJ Martin run for a loss of 1 yard to the AUB 45
97.9%
-0.1
Q4 12:44
(12:46) No Huddle-Shotgun Davenport,Bishop pass incomplete deep left to Jones-Thomas,Jeremiah thrown to AUB20 PENALTY AUB Holding (Fegans,AnQuon) 10 yards from AUB45 to AUB35, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.
97.9%
0.0
Q4 12:35
PJ Martin run for 16 yds to the AUB 19 for a 1ST down
97.9%
0.0
Q4 12:20
(12:20) PENALTY USA False Start (Hubbard,Ethan) 5 yards from AUB19 to AUB24. NO PLAY.
97.9%
0.0
Q4 11:56
PJ Martin run for 6 yds to the AUB 18
97.9%
0.0
Q4 11:17
PJ Martin run for no gain to the AUB 18
97.9%
0.0
Q4 10:43
Bishop Davenport sacked by Jared Smith for a loss of 3 yards to the AUB 21 Bishop Davenport fumbled, recovered by AUB Xavier Atkins , return for 0 yards
97.9%
+0.1
AUB · Drive 14PUNT · 4 plays · 2 yds
Q4 10:35
Jeremiah Cobb run for 5 yds to the AUB 26
98.8%
+0.9
Q4 9:48
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Bryce Cain for 3 yds to the AUB 23
98.7%
-0.1
Q4 9:13
Jackson Arnold pass incomplete to Preston Howard
98.7%
0.0
Q4 9:01
Hudson Kaak punt for 46 yds
98.7%
0.0
USA · Drive 15DOWNS · 19 plays · 47 yds
Q4 8:52
Kentrel Bullock run for 5 yds to the USA 36
98.0%
-0.7
Q4 8:22
Bishop Davenport run for 1 yd to the USA 37
98.0%
0.0
Q4 7:55
Bishop Davenport pass incomplete to Brendan Jenkins
98.0%
0.0
Q4 7:49
Bishop Davenport pass incomplete to Anthony Eager
98.0%
0.0
Q4 7:49
(07:54) No Huddle-Shotgun Davenport,Bishop pass incomplete deep right to Eager,Anthony thrown to AUB30 PENALTY AUB Pass Interference (Louidor-Faustin,Kensley) 15 yards from USA37 to AUB48, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.
98.0%
0.0
Q4 7:44
Bishop Davenport pass incomplete to Devin Voisin
98.0%
0.0
Q4 7:41
Bishop Davenport pass incomplete to Kentrel Bullock
98.0%
0.0
Q4 7:29
Kentrel Bullock run for 7 yds to the AUB 41
98.0%
0.0
Q4 6:47
Bishop Davenport pass complete to Anthony Eager for 4 yds to the AUB 37 for a 1ST down
98.0%
0.0
Q4 6:23
Bishop Davenport pass complete to Anthony Eager for 1 yd to the AUB 36
98.2%
+0.2
Q4 5:52
Kentrel Bullock run for 1 yd to the AUB 35
98.2%
0.0
Q4 5:18
Keenan Phillips run for 7 yds to the AUB 28
98.2%
0.0
Q4 4:59
Timeout South Alabama, clock 04:59
98.7%
+0.5
Q4 4:52
Bishop Davenport run for 4 yds to the AUB 24 for a 1ST down
98.7%
0.0
Q4 4:10
Kentrel Bullock run for 1 yd to the AUB 23
98.7%
0.0
Q4 3:40
Kentrel Bullock run for 2 yds to the AUB 21
98.7%
0.0
Q4 3:03
PJ Martin run for a loss of 1 yard to the AUB 22
98.7%
0.0
Q4 2:32
Bishop Davenport pass incomplete to Devin Voisin
98.7%
0.0
Q4 2:32
Bishop Davenport pass incomplete to Devin Voisin
98.7%
0.0
AUB · Drive 16END OF GAME · 5 plays · 15 yds
Q4 2:26
Jeremiah Cobb run for 7 yds to the AUB 29
98.7%
0.0
Q4 2:00
Timeout Auburn, clock 02:00
98.8%
+0.2
Q4 1:54
Jeremiah Cobb run for 10 yds to the AUB 39 for a 1ST down
98.8%
0.0
Q4 1:14
J. Arnold takes a knee
98.8%
0.0
Q4 0:00
J. Arnold takes a knee
98.9%
0.0
Biggest swings
KEY PLAY · Q2 14:08
Connor Gibbs kickoff for 65 yds , Keenan Phillips return for 18 yds to the USA 47 South Alabama Penalty, Offensive Holding (9 Yards) to the USA 9
-3.5
TD · Q2 14:14
Jackson Arnold run for 6 yds for a TD (Alex McPherson KICK)
+3.3
KEY PLAY · Q2 14:02
Kentrel Bullock run for 1 yd to the USA 10
+3.2