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WIS

Wisconsin 14 at Alabama 38

ALA
2025 · Week 3 · Sep 13, 2025 · Bryant-Denny Stadium
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Win probability · ALA
modelALA aheadWIS aheadconfidence bandkey playALA scoreWIS score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 12:25 · Jackson Acker run for 1 yd to the WIS 35 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+40.5+20.30−20.3−40.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 103Pregame prior+10.5Home team on offense+34.7Score differential+29.3Garbage-time factor+10.0Blowout margin+15.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+5.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 12:05: Ty Simpson pass complete to Germie Bernard for 43 yds for a TD (Conor Talty KICK) — ALA win probability +4.1 pts (now 91%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:45: Ty Simpson pass complete to Isaiah Horton for 13 yds for a TD (Conor Talty KICK) — ALA win probability +4.8 pts (now 97%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 14:45: Ty Simpson pass complete to Ryan Williams for 75 yds for a TD (Conor Talty KICK) — ALA win probability +3.2 pts (now 99%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 14:32: Conor Talty kickoff for 75 yds , Vinny Anthony II return for 95 yds for a TD (Nathanial Vakos KICK) — WIS win probability +2.5 pts (now 4%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 11:02: Ty Simpson pass complete to Ryan Williams for 41 yds for a TD (Conor Talty KICK) — ALA win probability +2.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ALA made the numbers' call on 5 of 5WIS made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 11:21WIS 4th & 26 at WIS 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.2%−0.3
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:01ALA 4th & 2 at ALA 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 86.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    86.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    86.8%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:24ALA 4th & 1 at WIS 2, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 84.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    84.8%
    60% to convert
    Field goal
    84.4%−0.4
    94% to make
    Punt
    83.3%−1.5
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:51WIS 4th & 23 at WIS 27, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.8%−0.9
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.7%
    average punt
  5. Q2 5:43WIS 4th & 12 at ALA 43, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.4%−0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    10.4%−0.2
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    10.6%
    average punt
  6. Q4 13:56ALA 4th & 14 at WIS 14, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.8%
    84% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.4
    average punt
  7. Q4 12:25WIS 4th & 1 at WIS 34, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.1%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q4 10:54WIS 4th & 22 at WIS 23, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  9. Q4 9:27ALA 4th & 12 at ALA 21, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  10. Q4 3:31ALA 4th & 6 at ALA 29, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.3%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.4%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ALA made the numbers' call on 5 of 5WIS made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 2:24ALA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 12:05ALA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:45ALA Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 14:45ALA Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 14:32WIS Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 11:02ALA Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 5:29WIS Touchdown, down 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WISDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · -4 yds · 3:2310% → 11%
Q1 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
90.3%
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Grant Stec for 9 yds to the WIS 34Similar
Q1 14:18
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+3
90.2%
Dilin Jones run for 3 yds to the WIS 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
89.9%
Danny O'Neil run for 2 yds to the WIS 39Similar
Q1 12:50
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+4
89.7%
Trech Kekahuna run for 4 yds to the WIS 43Similar
Q1 12:00
3RD & 4
OWN 43
-15
89.5%
O'Neil, Danny pass complete to Brooks Jr., Chris for 7 yards to the 50 yardline, PENALTY WIS pass interference (Kekahuna, Trech) 15 yards to the WIS28, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:55
3RD & 19
OWN 28
-7
89.6%
Danny O'Neil sacked by LT Overton for a loss of 7 yards to the WIS 21Similar
Q1 11:21
4TH & 26
OWN 21
+8
89.5%
Atticus Bertrams punt for 49 yds , Cole Adams returns for 8 yds to the ALA 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 2DOWNS
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:4689% → 89%
Q1 10:47
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
89.3%
Kevin Riley run for no gain to the ALA 38Similar
Q1 10:42
2ND & 10
OWN 38
-5
89.3%
Alabama Penalty, False Start (Josh Cuevas) to the ALA 33Similar
Q1 9:56
2ND & 15
OWN 33
+6
89.0%
Ty Simpson pass complete to Kevin Riley for 6 yds to the ALA 39Similar
Q1 9:30
3RD & 9
OWN 39
+7
88.8%
Ty Simpson run for 7 yds to the ALA 46Similar
Q1 9:01
4TH & 2
OWN 46
0
88.7%
Ty Simpson pass incomplete to Germie BernardSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 3INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q1 8:53
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-3
88.3%
Danny O'Neil pass intercepted Bray Hubbard return for 3 yds to the ALA 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 4TD
11 plays · 61 yds · 5:5689% → 89%
Q1 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
88.6%
Richard Young run for 1 yd to the ALA 40Similar
Q1 8:10
2ND & 9
OWN 40
0
88.5%
Richard Young run for no gain to the ALA 40Similar
Q1 7:30
3RD & 9
OWN 40
+24
88.1%
Ty Simpson pass complete to Ryan Williams for 24 yds to the WIS 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:54
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+5
88.4%
Ty Simpson pass complete to Germie Bernard for 5 yds to the WIS 31Similar
Q1 6:00
2ND & 5
OPP 31
+3
88.2%
Kevin Riley run for 3 yds to the WIS 28Similar
Q1 5:18
3RD & 2
OPP 28
+3
87.8%
Ty Simpson pass complete to Ryan Williams for 3 yds to the WIS 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:40
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+14
87.8%
Ty Simpson pass complete to Lotzeir Brooks for 14 yds to the WIS 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:20
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
87.7%
Kevin Riley run for 2 yds to the WIS 9Similar
Q1 3:30
2ND & 8
OPP 9
+5
87.5%
Ty Simpson run for 5 yds to the WIS 4Similar
Q1 2:55
3RD & 3
OPP 4
+2
87.1%
Richard Young run for 2 yds to the WIS 2Similar
Q1 2:24
4TH & 1
OPP 2
+2
88.6%
Germie Bernard run for 2 yds for a TD (Conor Talty KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 2 yds · 3:1912% → 12%
Q1 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
88.3%
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Darrion Dupree for no gain to the WIS 25Similar
Q1 1:15
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
88.2%
Darrion Dupree run for 3 yds to the WIS 28Similar
Q1 1:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+12
88.3%
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Darrion Dupree for 12 yds to the WIS 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
87.6%
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Darrion Dupree for 1 yd to the WIS 41Similar
Q2 14:51
2ND & 9
OWN 41
-5
87.6%
Danny O'Neil sacked by Qua Russaw for a loss of 5 yards to the WIS 36Similar
Q2 14:08
3RD & 14
OWN 36
-9
88.0%
Danny O'Neil sacked by London Simmons for a loss of 9 yards to the WIS 27Similar
Q2 13:51
4TH & 23
OWN 27
+12
88.2%
Atticus Bertrams punt for 40 yds , Cole Adams returns for 12 yds to the ALA 39 Alabama Penalty, Offensive Holding (Zabien Brown) to the ALA 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 6TD
4 plays · 65 yds · 0:5588% → 91%
Q2 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
87.9%
Ty Simpson pass complete to Josh Cuevas for 9 yds to the ALA 44Similar
Q2 12:45
2ND & 1
OWN 44
-14
88.4%
Ty Simpson sacked by Christian Alliegro for a loss of 14 yards to the ALA 30Similar
Q2 12:25
3RD & 15
OWN 30
+27
87.3%
Ty Simpson pass complete to Isaiah Horton for 12 yds to the WIS 42 for a 1ST down Wisconsin Penalty, Roughing Holder (Mason Reiger) to the WIS 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:05
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+43
91.4%
Ty Simpson pass complete to Germie Bernard for 43 yds for a TD (Conor Talty KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 7PUNT
12 plays · 32 yds · 5:5710% → 10%
Q2 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
90.1%
Dilin Jones run for 1 yd to the WIS 26Similar
Q2 11:05
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+4
90.1%
Danny O'Neil run for 4 yds to the WIS 30Similar
Q2 10:30
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+19
90.1%
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Lance Mason for 19 yds to the WIS 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
89.8%
Jones, Dilin rush for 1 yard to the 50 yardline, PENALTY ALA illegal procedure (TEAM) 5 yards to the ALA46, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:10
1ST & 5
OPP 46
+3
89.5%
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Dilin Jones for 3 yds to the ALA 43Similar
Q2 8:40
2ND & 2
OPP 43
+2
89.5%
Cade Yacamelli run for 2 yds to the ALA 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:57
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-15
89.8%
Kekahuna, Trech rush for 3 yards to the ALA38, PENALTY WIS personal foul (Brunner, Joe) 15 yards to the WIS44, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:25
1ST & 25
OWN 44
+4
90.2%
Danny O'Neil run for 4 yds to the WIS 48Similar
Q2 7:25
2ND & 21
OWN 48
+3
90.2%
Tyrell Henry run for 3 yds to the ALA 49Similar
Q2 5:55
3RD & 18
OPP 49
+6
90.4%
Dilin Jones run for 6 yds to the ALA 43Similar
Q2 5:43
4TH & 12
OPP 43
0
90.5%
Atticus Bertrams punt for 41 yds, downed at the ALA 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 8TD
9 plays · 98 yds · 4:1591% → 97%
Q2 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+11
90.6%
Kevin Riley run for 11 yds to the ALA 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:44
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+1
90.7%
Kevin Riley run for 1 yd to the ALA 14Similar
Q2 3:54
2ND & 9
OWN 14
+6
90.7%
Ty Simpson pass complete to Isaiah Horton for 6 yds to the ALA 20Similar
Q2 3:00
3RD & 3
OWN 20
+10
90.7%
Simpson, Ty pass complete to Bernard, Germie for 6 yards to the ALA26, PENALTY WIS holding (Agard, Omillio) 10 yards to the ALA30, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN ALA.Similar
Q2 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+22
91.2%
Ty Simpson pass complete to Ryan Williams for 22 yds to the WIS 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:15
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
91.7%
Ty Simpson run for no gain to the WIS 48Similar
Q2 1:33
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+16
91.9%
Ty Simpson pass complete to Lotzeir Brooks for 16 yds to the WIS 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:04
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+19
92.1%
Ty Simpson pass complete to Kevin Riley for 19 yds to the WIS 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
96.9%
Ty Simpson pass complete to Isaiah Horton for 13 yds for a TD (Conor Talty KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 9END OF HALF
2 plays · 4 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
96.0%
Darrion Dupree run for 4 yds to the WIS 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 10TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
99.0%
Ty Simpson pass complete to Ryan Williams for 75 yds for a TD (Conor Talty KICK)Similar
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-15
99.0%
Alabama Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Mal Waldrep Jr.) to the ALA 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 12TD
8 plays · 87 yds · 3:2297% → 99%
Q3 14:24
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
96.6%
Ty Simpson pass incomplete to Josh CuevasSimilar
Q3 13:40
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+11
96.6%
Ty Simpson pass complete to Isaiah Horton for 11 yds to the ALA 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:04
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+8
96.8%
Ty Simpson run for 8 yds to the ALA 32Similar
Q3 12:25
2ND & 2
OWN 32
+8
96.9%
Ty Simpson pass complete to Josh Cuevas for 8 yds to the ALA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:53
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+19
97.1%
Ty Simpson run for 19 yds to the WIS 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:10
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
97.2%
Richard Young run for no gain to the WIS 41Similar
Q3 11:02
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+41
99.3%
Ty Simpson pass complete to Ryan Williams for 41 yds for a TD (Conor Talty KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 13INT
13 plays · 54 yds · 5:491% → 1%
Q3 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
99.4%
Dilin Jones run for 8 yds to the WIS 33Similar
Q3 10:08
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+5
99.4%
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Dilin Jones for 5 yds to the WIS 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:34
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
99.4%
Danny O'Neil pass incomplete to Vinny Anthony IISimilar
Q3 9:05
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+7
99.4%
Dilin Jones run for 7 yds to the WIS 45Similar
Q3 8:45
3RD & 3
OWN 45
-5
99.4%
Wisconsin Penalty, Illegal Procedure (Jake Renfro) to the WIS 40Similar
Q3 7:46
3RD & 8
OWN 40
+11
99.5%
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Lance Mason for 11 yds to the ALA 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:10
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
99.5%
Tyrell Henry run for 5 yds to the ALA 44Similar
Q3 6:25
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+8
99.5%
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Vinny Anthony II for 8 yds to the ALA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:08
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+11
99.5%
Danny O'Neil run for 11 yds to the ALA 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:35
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
99.5%
Darrion Dupree run for 4 yds to the ALA 21Similar
Q3 4:56
2ND & 6
OPP 21
-5
99.5%
Danny O'Neil pass intercepted Bray Hubbard return for 5 yds to the ALA 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 14FG
13 plays · 73 yds · 5:20100% → 100%
Q3 4:16
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+8
99.7%
Dre Washington run for 8 yds to the ALA 21Similar
Q3 3:38
2ND & 2
OWN 21
+19
99.7%
Ty Simpson pass complete to Germie Bernard for 19 yds to the ALA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:59
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+15
99.7%
Ty Simpson pass complete to Dre Washington for 15 yds to the WIS 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:45
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
99.7%
Dre Washington run for 5 yds to the WIS 40Similar
Q3 2:00
2ND & 5
OPP 40
+6
99.7%
Ty Simpson pass complete to Isaiah Horton for 6 yds to the WIS 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:18
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
99.8%
Ty Simpson pass complete to Josh Cuevas for 5 yds to the WIS 29Similar
Q3 0:10
2ND & 5
OPP 29
+3
99.8%
Ty Simpson pass complete to Kevin Riley for 3 yds to the WIS 26Similar
Q3 0:01
3RD & 2
OPP 26
+5
99.8%
Simpson, Ty pass incomplete to Bernard, Germie, PENALTY WIS offside (Suggs, Jay'viar) 5 yards to the WIS21, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN ALA.Similar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+12
99.8%
Ty Simpson pass complete to Kaleb Edwards for 12 yds to the WIS 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
99.8%
Ty Simpson pass incomplete to Josh CuevasSimilar
Q4 14:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
-5
99.8%
Ty Simpson pass complete to Germie Bernard for a loss of 5 yards to the WIS 14Similar
Q4 13:59
3RD & GOAL
OPP 14
0
99.8%
Ty Simpson pass incomplete to Ryan WilliamsSimilar
Q4 13:56
4TH & GOAL
OPP 14
+33
99.8%
Conor Talty 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 15PUNT
9 plays · -2 yds · 2:550% → 0%
Q4 13:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.8%
Darrion Dupree run for 3 yds to the WIS 28Similar
Q4 13:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+6
99.8%
Danny O'Neil run for 6 yds to the WIS 34Similar
Q4 12:38
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
99.8%
Danny O'Neil pass incomplete to Chris Brooks Jr.Similar
Q4 12:25
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+1
99.8%
Jackson Acker run for 1 yd to the WIS 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
99.9%
Danny O'Neil pass incomplete to Darrion DupreeSimilar
Q4 11:43
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
99.9%
Danny O'Neil pass incomplete to Jayden BallardSimilar
Q4 11:10
3RD & 10
OWN 35
-12
99.9%
Danny O'Neil sacked by Yhonzae Pierre for a loss of 12 yards to the WIS 23Similar
Q4 10:54
4TH & 22
OWN 23
+53
99.9%
Atticus Bertrams punt for 53 yds , Cole Adams returns for a loss of 1 yard to the ALA 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 16PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:11100% → 100%
Q4 10:38
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
99.8%
Kevin Riley run for 2 yds to the ALA 25Similar
Q4 9:50
2ND & 8
OWN 25
+1
99.9%
Kevin Riley run for 1 yd to the ALA 26Similar
Q4 9:34
3RD & 7
OWN 26
0
99.9%
Ty Simpson pass incomplete to Lotzeir BrooksSimilar
Q4 9:34
4TH & 7
OWN 26
-5
99.8%
Alabama Penalty, False Start (TEAM) to the ALA 21Similar
Q4 9:27
4TH & 12
OWN 21
0
99.8%
Blake Doud punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Tyrell Henry at the WIS 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 17TD
7 plays · 70 yds · 3:310% → 1%
Q4 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
99.9%
Cade Yacamelli run for 6 yds to the WIS 36Similar
Q4 8:25
2ND & 4
OWN 36
+1
99.9%
Cade Yacamelli run for 1 yd to the WIS 37Similar
Q4 7:22
3RD & 3
OWN 37
+8
99.9%
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Jackson Acker for 8 yds to the WIS 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+9
99.9%
Cade Yacamelli run for 9 yds to the ALA 46Similar
Q4 6:15
2ND & 1
OPP 46
+2
99.9%
Danny O'Neil run for 2 yds to the ALA 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
99.9%
Danny O'Neil run for 3 yds to the ALA 41Similar
Q4 5:29
2ND & 7
OPP 41
+41
99.2%
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Jayden Ballard for 41 yds for a TD (Nathanial Vakos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 1:19100% → 100%
Q4 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.6%
AK Dear run for 5 yds to the ALA 30Similar
Q4 4:38
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
99.6%
AK Dear run for 4 yds to the ALA 34Similar
Q4 4:06
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-5
99.6%
Dear, AK rush for 28 yards to the WIS38, PENALTY ALA illegal formation 5 yards to the ALA29, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:38
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
99.6%
Austin Mack pass incomplete to Rico ScottSimilar
Q4 3:31
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
99.6%
Blake Doud punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Tyrell Henry at the WIS 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 19END OF GAME
6 plays · 23 yds · 2:521% → 1%
Q4 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
99.3%
Darrion Dupree run for 4 yds to the WIS 33Similar
Q4 2:35
2ND & 6
OWN 33
+5
99.3%
Darrion Dupree run for 5 yds to the WIS 38Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 1
OWN 38
+3
99.4%
Darrion Dupree run for 3 yds to the WIS 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
99.4%
Cade Yacamelli run for 3 yds to the WIS 44Similar
Q4 1:00
2ND & 7
OWN 44
0
99.4%
Trech Kekahuna run for no gain to the WIS 44Similar
Q4 0:03
3RD & 7
OWN 44
+8
99.4%
Danny O'Neil run for 8 yds to the ALA 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:45
Ty Simpson pass complete to Isaiah Horton for 13 yds for a TD (Conor Talty KICK)
+4.8
TD · Q2 12:05
Ty Simpson pass complete to Germie Bernard for 43 yds for a TD (Conor Talty KICK)
+4.1
TD · Q3 14:45
Ty Simpson pass complete to Ryan Williams for 75 yds for a TD (Conor Talty KICK)
+3.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com