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VAN

Vanderbilt 44 at Virginia Tech 20

VT
2025 · Week 2 · Sep 6, 2025 · Lane Stadium
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Win probability · VT
modelVT aheadVAN aheadconfidence bandkey playVT scoreVAN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of GameFG+3VT 69.9%John Love 27 yd FG GOODAWAY 10 - HOME 20 · Q2 0:00
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 0:00 · John Love 27 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remainingTime per score still needed
+56.0+28.00−28.0−56.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 81Home team on offense+11.2Score differential+1.3Garbage-time factor+3.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+5.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.8Time per score still needed−0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:51: Diego Pavia pass complete to Brycen Coleman for 54 yds for a TD (Brock Taylor KICK) — VAN win probability +6.2 pts (now 48%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  2. TD · Q3 8:02: Makhilyn Young run for 1 yd for a TD (Brock Taylor KICK) — VAN win probability +16.7 pts (now 46%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  3. TD · Q3 0:24: Diego Pavia pass complete to Tre Richardson for 26 yds for a TD (Brock Taylor PAT MISSED) — VAN win probability +21.5 pts (now 61%) (top driver: VAN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 10:13: Sedrick Alexander run for 18 yds for a TD (Brock Taylor KICK) — VAN win probability +16.9 pts (now 86%) (top driver: VAN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 6:05: Sedrick Alexander run for 6 yds for a TD (Brock Taylor KICK) — VAN win probability +7.5 pts (now 96%) (top driver: VAN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
VT made the numbers' call on 5 of 7VAN made the numbers' call on 0 of 2
  1. Q1 7:11VT 4th & 9 at VAN 11, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 57.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.3%−0.2
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    57.5%
    87% to make
    Punt
    56.3%−1.2
    average punt
  2. Q2 14:00VT 4th & 11 at VT 24, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.2%−1.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.3%
    average punt
  3. Q2 12:05VT 4th & 1 at VAN 18, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 59.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    59.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    58.5%−1.3
    79% to make
    Punt
    55.0%−4.8
    average punt
  4. Q2 4:19VAN 4th & 4 at VT 11, down 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 31.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.0%
    45% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    30.6%−0.3
    87% to make
    Punt
    25.0%−5.9
    average punt
  5. Q2 0:00VT 4th & 3 at VAN 10, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 69.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.2%
    49% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    69.4%−0.8
    88% to make
    Punt
    62.3%−7.9
    average punt
  6. Q3 5:50VT 4th & 1 at VT 34, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.7 ptsPunted · 63.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.1%−1.7
    average punt
  7. Q4 14:43VT 4th & 23 at VT 12, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.8%−7.4
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.2%
    average punt
  8. Q4 7:44VT 4th & 25 at VT 25, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.1%−3.0
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.1%
    average punt
  9. Q4 2:12VAN 4th & 9 at VT 9, up 17
    Close callWent for it · 97.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.9%−0.2
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    97.1%
    89% to make
    Punt
    95.7%−1.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
VT made the numbers' call on 2 of 2VAN made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 0:06VT Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:51VAN Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 11:10VT Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 8:02VAN Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    34.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    34.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 0:24VAN Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    55.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 10:13VAN Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.2%−0.5
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 6:05VAN Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.8%−0.3
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 2:12VAN Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
VTDrive 1FG
16 plays · 64 yds · 7:3049% → 52%
Q1 14:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
49.4%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Cameron Seldon for 3 yds to the VT 28Similar
Q1 14:01
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+5
49.5%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Ayden Greene for 5 yds to the VT 33Similar
Q1 13:35
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+7
49.6%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Benji Gosnell for 7 yds to the VT 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:04
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
49.9%
Marcellous Hawkins run for 2 yds to the VT 42Similar
Q1 12:32
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+22
50.0%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Donavon Greene for 22 yds to the VAN 36 for a 1ST down Vanderbilt Penalty, Defensive Offside (Kolbey Taylor) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:18
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
50.3%
Kyron Drones pass incomplete to Benji GosnellSimilar
Q1 12:08
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+7
50.3%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Cameron Seldon for 7 yds to the VAN 29Similar
Q1 11:36
3RD & 3
OPP 29
+5
50.4%
Marcellous Hawkins run for 5 yds to the VAN 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:02
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+6
50.7%
Marcellous Hawkins run for 6 yds to the VAN 18Similar
Q1 10:24
2ND & 4
OPP 18
+1
50.9%
P.J. Prioleau run for 1 yd to the VAN 17Similar
Q1 9:30
3RD & 3
OPP 17
+5
51.0%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Isaiah Spencer for 5 yds to the VAN 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:54
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+5
51.4%
Kyron Drones run for 5 yds to the VAN 7Similar
Q1 8:18
2ND & 5
OPP 7
-4
51.5%
Marcellous Hawkins run for a loss of 4 yards to the VAN 11Similar
Q1 7:19
3RD & 9
OPP 11
+10
51.4%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Braydon Bennett for 10 yds to the VAN 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:11
4TH & 9
OPP 11
+28
51.8%
John Love 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 2INT
7 plays · 19 yds · 2:2848% → 48%
Q1 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
51.9%
Diego Pavia run for a loss of 2 yards to the VAN 23Similar
Q1 6:25
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+3
52.1%
Vanderbilt Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 5:50
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+11
52.6%
Diego Pavia pass complete to Junior Sherrill for 11 yds to the VAN 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:07
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
52.1%
Makhilyn Young run for 7 yds to the VAN 44Similar
Q1 4:33
2ND & 3
OWN 44
0
51.7%
Diego Pavia pass interceptedSimilar
Q1 4:33
2ND & 3
OWN 44
0
51.7%
Vanderbilt Penalty, Defensive Holding (Junior Sherrill) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 3TD
9 plays · 85 yds · 4:0852% → 59%
Q1 4:14
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+33
52.2%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Tucker Holloway for 33 yds to the VT 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
53.4%
Kyron Drones pass incomplete to Donavon GreeneSimilar
Q1 3:36
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+7
53.3%
Terion Stewart run for 7 yds to the VAN 45Similar
Q1 2:59
3RD & 3
OPP 45
+27
53.7%
Kyron Drones run for 27 yds to the VAN 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:17
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+17
54.2%
Kyron Drones run for 17 yds to the VAN 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-4
54.5%
Kyron Drones run for a loss of 4 yards to the VAN 5Similar
Q1 1:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
54.7%
PENALTY VU Offside (Singh,Joshua) 3 yards from VU 05 to VU 02. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 0:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
54.8%
Terion Stewart run for no gain to the VAN 2Similar
Q1 0:06
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
59.1%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Ja'Ricous Hairston for 2 yds for a TD Vanderbilt Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Junior Sherrill) declined (John Love KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 4TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:0942% → 48%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+21
58.4%
Diego Pavia pass complete to Junior Sherrill for 21 yds to the VAN 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+54
52.1%
Diego Pavia pass complete to Brycen Coleman for 54 yds for a TD (Brock Taylor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:4353% → 52%
Q2 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
53.2%
Marcellous Hawkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the VT 24Similar
Q2 14:14
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
53.2%
Kyron Drones pass incomplete to Ayden GreeneSimilar
Q2 14:05
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
52.4%
Kyron Drones pass incomplete to Ayden GreeneSimilar
Q2 14:00
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
52.0%
Nick Veltsistas punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Martel Hight at the VAN 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 6FUMBLE
2 plays · -4 yds · 0:2847% → 46%
Q2 13:53
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-5
53.5%
(13:55) Shotgun Pavia,Diego pass complete short left to Hight,Martel caught at VU 45, for 16 yards to the VU 47, out of bounds at VU 47 PENALTY VU Ineligible Downfield on Pass 5 yards from VU 31 to VU 26. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:25
1ST & 15
OWN 26
+1
53.9%
Sedrick Alexander run for 1 yd to the VAN 27 Sedrick Alexander fumbled, recovered by VT Thomas WilliamsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 7TD
8 plays · 27 yds · 2:0156% → 62%
Q2 13:11
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
55.7%
Terion Stewart run for 3 yds to the VAN 24Similar
Q2 12:31
2ND & 7
OPP 24
+6
56.0%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Terion Stewart for 6 yds to the VAN 18Similar
Q2 12:17
3RD & 1
OPP 18
0
55.3%
Kyron Drones pass incomplete to Donavon GreeneSimilar
Q2 12:05
4TH & 1
OPP 18
+8
54.3%
Kyron Drones run for 8 yds to the VAN 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+9
56.2%
Kyron Drones run for 9 yds to the VAN 1Similar
Q2 11:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
62.0%
Kyron Drones run for 1 yd for a TD (John Love KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 8FG
13 plays · 64 yds · 6:4238% → 38%
Q2 11:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
62.1%
Makhilyn Young run for 7 yds to the VAN 32Similar
Q2 10:15
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+3
61.5%
Makhilyn Young run for 3 yds to the VAN 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:37
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-10
62.7%
Vanderbilt Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the VAN 28Similar
Q2 8:51
1ST & 17
OWN 28
+15
63.8%
Diego Pavia run for 15 yds to the VAN 43Similar
Q2 8:07
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+5
63.0%
Makhilyn Young run for 5 yds to the VAN 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+21
63.4%
Sedrick Alexander run for 21 yds to the VT 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:42
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
62.4%
Diego Pavia pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:29
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+14
62.6%
Diego Pavia pass complete to Martel Hight for 14 yds to the VT 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:48
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+4
62.5%
Sedrick Alexander run for 4 yds to the VT 13Similar
Q2 5:03
2ND & 6
OPP 13
+2
62.8%
Diego Pavia run for 2 yds to the VT 11Similar
Q2 4:23
3RD & 4
OPP 11
0
64.3%
Diego Pavia pass incomplete to Martel HightSimilar
Q2 4:19
4TH & 4
OPP 11
+29
62.5%
Brock Taylor 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 9FG
18 plays · 65 yds · 4:1064% → 70%
Q2 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
64.4%
Marcellous Hawkins run for 8 yds to the VT 33Similar
Q2 3:26
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+9
65.8%
Marcellous Hawkins run for 9 yds to the VT 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:42
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+6
66.7%
Tyler Mason run for 6 yds to the VT 48Similar
Q2 2:11
2ND & 4
OWN 48
+3
67.2%
Isaiah Spencer run for 3 yds to the VAN 49Similar
Q2 1:53
3RD & 1
OPP 49
+6
64.9%
Kyron Drones run for 6 yds to the VAN 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:41
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
66.1%
Kyron Drones pass incomplete to Ayden GreeneSimilar
Q2 1:27
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+5
66.6%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Benji Gosnell for 5 yds to the VAN 38Similar
Q2 1:01
3RD & 5
OPP 38
+10
66.2%
(01:04) No Huddle-Shotgun Drones,Kyron pass incomplete short right thrown to VU 40 QB hurried by Capers,Miles and Wood,Zaylin PENALTY VU Holding (Heard,CJ) 10 yards from VU 38 to VU 28, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:34
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
67.8%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Marcellous Hawkins for 3 yds to the VAN 25Similar
Q2 0:34
2ND & 7
OPP 25
+8
67.8%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Harrison Saint Germain for 8 yds to the VAN 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:29
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
70.5%
Kyron Drones pass incomplete to Donavon GreeneSimilar
Q2 0:24
2ND & 10
OPP 17
0
70.3%
Kyron Drones pass incomplete to Benji GosnellSimilar
Q2 0:09
3RD & 10
OPP 17
+7
67.8%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Marcellous Hawkins for 7 yds to the VAN 10Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 3
OPP 10
+27
69.9%
John Love 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 10TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 6:4731% → 46%
Q3 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
69.3%
Diego Pavia run for 7 yds to the VAN 32Similar
Q3 14:12
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+7
68.3%
Sedrick Alexander run for 7 yds to the VAN 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+8
70.4%
Makhilyn Young run for 8 yds to the VAN 47Similar
Q3 12:45
2ND & 2
OWN 47
+7
69.7%
Diego Pavia pass complete to Kayleb Barnett for 7 yds to the VT 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:05
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
70.1%
Diego Pavia run for 5 yds to the VT 41Similar
Q3 11:18
2ND & 5
OPP 41
+4
70.1%
Kayleb Barnett run for 4 yds to the VT 37Similar
Q3 10:45
3RD & 1
OPP 37
+4
70.7%
PENALTY VU False Start 4 yards from VT 37 to VT 41. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:05
3RD & 5
OPP 41
+7
72.1%
Diego Pavia pass complete to Eli Stowers for 7 yds to the VT 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:34
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
70.8%
Diego Pavia pass incomplete to Junior SherrillSimilar
Q3 9:07
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+12
71.1%
Diego Pavia pass complete to Makhilyn Young for 12 yds to the VT 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:41
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+21
70.8%
Tre Richardson run for 21 yds to the VT 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
54.0%
Makhilyn Young run for 1 yd for a TD (Brock Taylor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 2:0362% → 61%
Q3 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
61.5%
Marcellous Hawkins run for 4 yds to the VT 29Similar
Q3 7:10
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
61.9%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Ayden Greene for 5 yds to the VT 34Similar
Q3 6:32
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
62.3%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Cameron Seldon for no gain to the VT 34Similar
Q3 5:50
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
60.8%
Nick Veltsistas punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the VAN 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 12TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 5:1639% → 63%
Q3 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
60.7%
Sedrick Alexander run for 9 yds to the VAN 34Similar
Q3 5:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+3
58.2%
Sedrick Alexander run for 3 yds to the VAN 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:22
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-5
60.3%
(04:23) Shotgun Pavia,Diego pass complete short right to Stowers,Eli caught at VU 42, for 5 yards to the VU 42, out of bounds at VU 42 PENALTY VU Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Spence,Cole) 5 yards from VU 37 to VU 32. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:55
1ST & 15
OWN 32
-5
61.8%
PENALTY VU Delay Of Game 5 yards from VU 32 to VU 27. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:22
1ST & 20
OWN 27
+4
62.0%
Diego Pavia run for 4 yds to the VAN 31Similar
Q3 2:41
2ND & 16
OWN 31
+40
63.4%
Diego Pavia pass complete to Tre Richardson for 25 yds to the VT 44 for a 1ST down Virginia Tech Penalty, Roughing The Passer (Ben Bell) to the VT 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:13
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
56.3%
Makhilyn Young run for 2 yds to the VT 27Similar
Q3 1:39
2ND & 8
OPP 27
+10
56.2%
(01:38) Shotgun Pavia,Diego rush middle for 7 yards gain to the VT 20 (Bass,Jordan) PENALTY VU Holding (Glass,Isaia) 10 yards from VT 27 to VT 37. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:59
2ND & 18
OPP 37
+11
60.6%
Diego Pavia run for 11 yds to the VT 26Similar
Q3 0:24
3RD & 7
OPP 26
+26
39.0%
Diego Pavia pass complete to Tre Richardson for 26 yds for a TD (Brock Taylor PAT MISSED)Similar
Q3 0:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+5
36.7%
PENALTY VU False Start 5 yards from VT 03 to VT 08. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · -13 yds · 0:3846% → 42%
Q3 0:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
45.5%
Kyron Drones pass incomplete to Ayden GreeneSimilar
Q3 0:21
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-5
45.2%
PENALTY VT False Start (Lynch,Aidan) 5 yards from VT 25 to VT 20. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 15
OWN 20
-8
44.8%
Kyron Drones sacked by Khordae Sydnor for a loss of 8 yards to the VT 12Similar
Q4 14:54
3RD & 23
OWN 12
0
43.1%
Virginia Tech Penalty, Illegal Use Of Hands (Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 14:43
4TH & 23
OWN 12
0
42.1%
Nick Veltsistas punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 14TD
8 plays · 56 yds · 4:2261% → 86%
Q4 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
39.2%
Sedrick Alexander run for 1 yd to the VAN 45Similar
Q4 13:53
2ND & 9
OWN 45
0
39.0%
Diego Pavia pass incomplete to Tre RichardsonSimilar
Q4 13:39
3RD & 9
OWN 45
+10
40.6%
Diego Pavia pass complete to Eli Stowers for 10 yds to the VT 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:02
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+8
37.8%
Diego Pavia run for 8 yds to the VT 37Similar
Q4 12:20
2ND & 2
OPP 37
+5
35.0%
Diego Pavia run for 5 yds to the VT 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:36
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
33.7%
Sedrick Alexander run for 3 yds to the VT 29Similar
Q4 10:54
2ND & 7
OPP 29
+11
30.8%
Tre Richardson run for 11 yds to the VT 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:13
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
13.9%
Sedrick Alexander run for 18 yds for a TD (Brock Taylor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 2:2216% → 13%
Q4 10:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-15
16.4%
(10:10) Shotgun Drones,Kyron pass incomplete deep left to Greene,Donavon thrown to VU 30 PENALTY VU Pass Interference (Sewell,Marlen) 15 yards from VT 25 to VT 40, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:57
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-1
18.0%
Kyron Drones run for a loss of 1 yard to the VT 39Similar
Q4 9:06
2ND & 11
OWN 39
+2
17.0%
Kyron Drones run for 2 yds to the VT 41Similar
Q4 8:23
3RD & 9
OWN 41
-16
15.6%
Kyron Drones sacked by CJ Heard for a loss of 16 yards to the VT 25Similar
Q4 7:44
4TH & 25
OWN 25
0
12.8%
Nick Veltsistas punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Martel Hight at the VAN 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 16TD
3 plays · 72 yds · 1:2686% → 96%
Q4 7:31
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+62
14.2%
Makhilyn Young run for 62 yds to the VT 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
11.5%
Diego Pavia run for 4 yds to the VT 6Similar
Q4 6:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
4.0%
Sedrick Alexander run for 6 yds for a TD (Brock Taylor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 17DOWNS
6 plays · 6 yds · 1:224% → 3%
Q4 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
4.4%
Kyron Drones sacked by Nick Rinaldi for a loss of 10 yards to the VT 15Similar
Q4 5:20
2ND & 20
OWN 15
0
3.3%
Kyron Drones pass incomplete to Jeremiah ConeySimilar
Q4 5:07
3RD & 20
OWN 15
+10
3.3%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Tucker Holloway for 10 yds to the VT 25Similar
Q4 4:33
4TH & 10
OWN 25
-6
3.0%
Virginia Tech Penalty, (-6 Yards) to the VT 31Similar
Q4 4:33
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
3.0%
Virginia Tech Penalty, Defensive Holding (Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 18TD
12 plays · 31 yds · 2:1497% → 100%
Q4 4:26
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
2.7%
Diego Pavia run for 2 yds to the VT 29Similar
Q4 4:21
2ND & 8
OPP 29
0
2.6%
Vanderbilt Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 4:16
3RD & 8
OPP 29
+5
2.8%
(04:18) Shotgun Pavia,Diego pass complete short middle to Barrett,Boski caught at VT 14, for 0 yards to the VT 29 PENALTY VU Ineligible Downfield on Pass 5 yards from VT 29 to VT 34. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:02
3RD & 13
OPP 34
+26
2.8%
Blaze Berlowitz pass complete to Jamezell Lassiter for 26 yds to the VT 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
2.2%
Blaze Berlowitz run for 1 yd to the VT 7Similar
Q4 3:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
-4
2.0%
Blaze Berlowitz run for a loss of 4 yards to the VT 11Similar
Q4 2:55
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
+2
2.1%
Chase Gillespie run for 2 yds to the VT 9Similar
Q4 2:12
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
0.5%
Blaze Berlowitz pass complete to Eli Stowers for 9 yds for a TD (Brock Taylor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 19FUMBLE
8 plays · 19 yds · 1:010% → 0%
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
0.3%
William Watson III run for 6 yds to the VT 31Similar
Q4 1:51
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+4
0.3%
Jeremiah Coney run for 4 yds to the VT 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-10
0.3%
(01:29) No Huddle-Shotgun Coney,Jeremiah rush middle for 0 yards to the VT 35 (Kollie,Prince) PENALTY VT Holding 10 yards from VT 35 to VT 25. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:09
1ST & 20
OWN 25
+21
0.3%
Jeremiah Coney run for 21 yds to the VT 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-2
0.3%
William Watson III run for a loss of 2 yards to the VT 44 William Watson III fumbled, recovered by VAN Jailen RuthSimilar
Q4 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-2
0.3%
William Watson III run for a loss of 2 yards to the VT 44 William Watson III fumbled, recovered by VAN Jailen RuthSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 20END OF GAME
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:42100% → 100%
Q4 0:42
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-1
0.2%
D. Dickey takes a kneeSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 11
OPP 45
-1
0.2%
D. Dickey takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 0:24
Diego Pavia pass complete to Tre Richardson for 26 yds for a TD (Brock Taylor PAT MISSED)
-21.5
TD · Q4 10:13
Sedrick Alexander run for 18 yds for a TD (Brock Taylor KICK)
-16.9
TD · Q3 8:02
Makhilyn Young run for 1 yd for a TD (Brock Taylor KICK)
-16.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com