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ETSU

East Tennessee State 17 at Tennessee 72

TENN
2025 · Week 2 · Sep 6, 2025 · Neyland Stadium
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Win probability · TENN
modelTENN aheadETSU aheadconfidence bandkey playTENN scoreETSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGTDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · Mason Phillips run for 2 yds to the TENN 39
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 7:07: Star Thomas run for 2 yds for a TD (Max Gilbert KICK) — TENN win probability +0.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 0:46: Peyton Lewis run for 1 yd for a TD (Max Gilbert KICK) — TENN win probability +0.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 11:41: Star Thomas run for 2 yds for a TD (Max Gilbert KICK) — TENN win probability +0.2 pts (now 99%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
  4. FG · Q2 8:03: Max Gilbert 37 yd FG GOOD East Tennessee State Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Mike Jenkins) to the TENN 35 — TENN win probability +0.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 4:08: Joey Aguilar pass complete to Mike Matthews for 53 yds for a TD (Max Gilbert KICK) — TENN win probability +0.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TENN made the numbers' call on 4 of 5ETSU made the numbers' call on 12 of 13
  1. Q1 11:41ETSU 4th & 20 at ETSU 15, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.3%−0.2
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:28TENN 4th & 5 at ETSU 11, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.3%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.3%
    87% to make
    Punt
    97.8%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:24ETSU 4th & 18 at ETSU 17, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.6%−0.2
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.8%
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:47ETSU 4th & 3 at ETSU 32, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.6%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.7%
    average punt
  5. Q1 5:47ETSU 4th & 3 at ETSU 32, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.6%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.7%
    average punt
  6. Q1 4:02TENN 4th & 5 at ETSU 39, up 17
    Close callPunted · 98.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.4%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    98.3%−0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    98.3%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q1 1:55ETSU 4th & 12 at ETSU 1, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.5%−0.3
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.8%
    average punt
  8. Q2 14:50ETSU 4th & 5 at ETSU 30, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.3%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.3%
    average punt
  9. Q2 10:00ETSU 4th & 3 at ETSU 45, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  10. Q2 8:03TENN 4th & 11 at ETSU 19, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.3%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.4%
    77% to make
    Punt
    99.0%−0.4
    average punt
  11. Q2 8:03TENN 4th & 11 at ETSU 19, up 34
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.3%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.4%
    77% to make
    Punt
    99.0%−0.4
    average punt
  12. Q2 5:38ETSU 4th & 6 at ETSU 45, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  13. Q2 2:23ETSU 4th & 6 at ETSU 47, down 41
    Close callPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  14. Q3 11:52ETSU 4th & 6 at TENN 24, down 41
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.3%
    68% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.4
    average punt
  15. Q3 6:07ETSU 4th & 16 at ETSU 32, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.2
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  16. Q3 0:40ETSU 4th & 8 at ETSU 27, down 52
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  17. Q4 10:43TENN 4th & 17 at ETSU 35, up 52
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−0.1
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    100.0%
    45% to make
    Punt
    99.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  18. Q4 1:58ETSU 4th & 11 at ETSU 24, down 55
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TENN made the numbers' call on 8 of 8ETSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 13:08TENN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:07TENN Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:46TENN Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 11:41TENN Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 4:08TENN Touchdown, up 40 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 1:55ETSU Touchdown, down 35 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 0:22TENN Touchdown, up 40 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 2:45TENN Touchdown, up 51 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 8:46ETSU Touchdown, down 49 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 3:55TENN Touchdown, up 54 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TENNDrive 1TD
7 plays · 82 yds · 1:3299% → 99%
Q1 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+50
99.2%
DeSean Bishop run for 50 yds to the ETSU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:13
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+13
99.2%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Mike Matthews for 13 yds to the ETSU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:55
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+9
99.2%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Braylon Staley for 19 yds Tennessee Penalty, Offensive Holding (Ethan Davis) to the ETSU 21Similar
Q1 13:43
1ST & 12
OPP 21
0
99.2%
DeSean Bishop run for no gain to the ETSU 21Similar
Q1 13:14
2ND & 12
OPP 21
0
99.1%
Joey Aguilar pass incomplete to DeSean BishopSimilar
Q1 13:08
3RD & 12
OPP 21
+21
99.1%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Chris Brazzell II for 21 yds for a TD (Max Gilbert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ETSUDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · -10 yds · 1:221% → 1%
Q1 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.1%
Cade McNamara pass incomplete to Devontae HoustonSimilar
Q1 12:58
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
99.1%
Cade McNamara pass incomplete to Karim PageSimilar
Q1 12:48
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-5
99.1%
(12:55) No Huddle-Shotgun McNamara,Cade pass complete short right to Floyd,Ephraim caught at ETSU40, for 45 yards to the TENN30 (Farooq,Edrees) PENALTY ETSU Illegal Formation 5 yards from ETSU25 to ETSU20. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:20
3RD & 15
OWN 20
-5
99.1%
Devontae Houston run for a loss of 5 yards to the ETSU 15Similar
Q1 11:41
4TH & 20
OWN 15
+16
99.1%
Nate Brackett punt for 55 yds , Boo Carter returns for 16 yds to the ETSU 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 3FG
9 plays · 38 yds · 2:0599% → 99%
Q1 11:33
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
99.1%
Peyton Lewis run for 5 yds to the ETSU 44Similar
Q1 11:12
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+11
99.0%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Braylon Staley for 11 yds to the ETSU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:53
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+17
99.0%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Miles Kitselman for 17 yds to the ETSU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:36
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+4
99.0%
Peyton Lewis run for 4 yds to the ETSU 12Similar
Q1 10:15
2ND & 6
OPP 12
0
99.0%
Joey Aguilar pass incomplete to Braylon StaleySimilar
Q1 10:07
3RD & 6
OPP 12
+1
99.0%
Peyton Lewis run for 1 yd to the ETSU 11Similar
Q1 9:28
4TH & 5
OPP 11
+29
98.9%
Max Gilbert 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ETSUDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · -8 yds · 0:581% → 1%
Q1 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
98.9%
East Tennessee State Penalty, Chop Block (Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 8:42
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+2
98.9%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Devontae Houston for 2 yds Devontae Houston fumbled, recovered by ETSU Devontae HoustonSimilar
Q1 8:42
3RD & 13
OWN 22
0
98.9%
Cade McNamara pass incomplete to Karim PageSimilar
Q1 8:41
4TH & 13
OWN 22
-5
98.9%
(08:40) PENALTY ETSU Delay Of Game 5 yards from ETSU22 to ETSU17. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:24
4TH & 18
OWN 17
+34
98.9%
Nate Brackett punt for 44 yds , Boo Carter returns for 34 yds to the ETSU 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 5TD
4 plays · 27 yds · 1:0999% → 99%
Q1 8:16
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+8
98.9%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Chris Brazzell II for 8 yds to the ETSU 19Similar
Q1 7:52
2ND & 2
OPP 19
+15
98.9%
Star Thomas run for 15 yds to the ETSU 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
98.8%
Star Thomas run for 2 yds to the ETSU 2Similar
Q1 7:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.1%
Star Thomas run for 2 yds for a TD (Max Gilbert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ETSUDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 7 yds · 1:201% → 1%
Q1 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
99.0%
PENALTY ETSU False Start (Wade,Jay) 5 yards from ETSU25 to ETSU20. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:01
1ST & 15
OWN 20
0
99.0%
Khalil Eichelberger run for no gain to the ETSU 20Similar
Q1 6:43
2ND & 15
OWN 20
0
99.0%
Jacolby Criswell pass incomplete to Karim PageSimilar
Q1 6:33
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+12
99.0%
Jacolby Criswell pass complete to Karim Page for 12 yds to the ETSU 32Similar
Q1 5:47
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+4
99.0%
Nate Brackett punt for 44 yds , Boo Carter returns for 4 yds to the TENN 28Similar
Q1 5:47
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+4
99.0%
Nate Brackett punt for 44 yds , Boo Carter returns for 4 yds to the TENN 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 43 yds · 1:3699% → 99%
Q1 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+26
99.2%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Chris Brazzell II for 26 yds to the TENN 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:09
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
99.2%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Ethan Davis for 1 yd to the TENN 45Similar
Q1 4:41
2ND & 9
OWN 45
+11
99.2%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Chris Brazzell II for 11 yds to the ETSU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:36
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
99.2%
Joey Aguilar pass incomplete to DeSean BishopSimilar
Q1 4:26
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+5
99.2%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Miles Kitselman for 5 yds to the ETSU 39Similar
Q1 4:10
3RD & 5
OPP 39
0
99.2%
Joey Aguilar pass incomplete to Miles KitselmanSimilar
Q1 4:02
4TH & 5
OPP 39
0
99.2%
Jackson Ross punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ETSUDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 2:001% → 1%
Q1 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+6
98.9%
Jacolby Criswell pass complete to Karim Page for 6 yds to the ETSU 9Similar
Q1 3:34
2ND & 4
OWN 9
+1
98.9%
Devontae Houston run for 1 yd to the ETSU 10Similar
Q1 2:55
3RD & 3
OWN 10
-9
98.9%
Jacolby Criswell sacked by Joshua Josephs for a loss of 9 yards to the ETSU 1Similar
Q1 2:11
4TH & 12
OWN 1
0
98.8%
(02:11) PENALTY ETSU Delay Of Game. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:55
4TH & 12
OWN 1
+40
98.8%
Nate Brackett punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ETSU 5 , Boo Carter returns for 40 yds to the ETSU 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 9TD
3 plays · 5 yds · 1:0099% → 99%
Q1 1:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
99.1%
Peyton Lewis run for 4 yds to the ETSU 1Similar
Q1 1:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.1%
Peyton Lewis run for no gain to the ETSU 1Similar
Q1 0:46
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.2%
Peyton Lewis run for 1 yd for a TD (Max Gilbert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ETSUDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:391% → 1%
Q1 0:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.1%
Cade McNamara run for 1 yd to the ETSU 26Similar
Q1 0:08
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+4
99.1%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Cole Keller for 4 yds to the ETSU 30Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
99.1%
Cade McNamara pass incomplete to Karim PageSimilar
Q2 14:50
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+9
99.1%
Nate Brackett punt for 37 yds , Daune Morris returns for 9 yds to the TENN 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 11TD
11 plays · 58 yds · 3:0099% → 99%
Q2 14:41
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+13
99.3%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Mike Matthews for 13 yds to the ETSU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:25
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
99.3%
Star Thomas run for no gain to the ETSU 45Similar
Q2 13:57
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+19
99.3%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Mike Matthews for 19 yds to the ETSU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:35
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
99.3%
Joey Aguilar pass incomplete to Braylon StaleySimilar
Q2 13:28
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+19
99.3%
Star Thomas run for 19 yds to the ETSU 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
99.3%
Joey Aguilar pass incomplete to Braylon StaleySimilar
Q2 12:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
99.3%
Star Thomas run for 2 yds to the ETSU 5Similar
Q2 12:13
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
99.2%
(12:17) No Huddle-Shotgun Aguilar,Joey pass incomplete short right to Staley,Braylon thrown to ETSU00 PENALTY ETSU Holding (Moffitt,Trevor) 3 yards from ETSU05 to ETSU02, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
99.3%
Star Thomas run for no gain to the ETSU 2Similar
Q2 11:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.4%
Star Thomas run for 2 yds for a TD (Max Gilbert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ETSUDrive 12DOWNS
6 plays · 20 yds · 1:301% → 1%
Q2 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
99.4%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Ephraim Floyd for 13 yds to the ETSU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:13
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
99.4%
Cade McNamara pass incomplete to Sterling GalbanSimilar
Q2 10:57
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+5
99.1%
Cade McNamara run for 5 yds to the ETSU 43Similar
Q2 10:26
3RD & 5
OWN 43
+2
98.8%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Ephraim Floyd for 2 yds to the ETSU 45Similar
Q2 10:00
4TH & 3
OWN 45
0
98.8%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Khalil Eichelberger for no gain to the ETSU 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 13FG
7 plays · 26 yds · 1:4699% → 100%
Q2 9:49
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+9
99.4%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Braylon Staley for 9 yds to the ETSU 36Similar
Q2 9:31
2ND & 1
OPP 36
+18
99.3%
DeSean Bishop run for 18 yds to the ETSU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:59
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+1
99.4%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Mike Matthews for 1 yd to the ETSU 17Similar
Q2 8:44
2ND & 9
OPP 17
+2
99.2%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Braylon Staley for 2 yds to the ETSU 19Similar
Q2 8:10
3RD & 11
OPP 19
0
99.5%
Joey Aguilar pass incomplete to Chris Brazzell IISimilar
Q2 8:03
4TH & 11
OPP 19
+37
99.6%
Max Gilbert 37 yd FG GOOD East Tennessee State Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Mike Jenkins) to the TENN 35Similar
Q2 8:03
4TH & 11
OPP 19
+37
99.6%
Max Gilbert 37 yd FG GOOD East Tennessee State Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Mike Jenkins) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ETSUDrive 14PUNT
10 plays · 18 yds · 2:130% → 0%
Q2 7:51
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
99.6%
Jacolby Criswell run for 2 yds to the ETSU 29Similar
Q2 7:26
2ND & 8
OWN 29
0
99.6%
Devontae Houston run for no gain to the ETSU 29Similar
Q2 6:51
3RD & 8
OWN 29
+7
99.7%
Jacolby Criswell pass complete to Karim Page for 7 yds to the ETSU 36Similar
Q2 6:45
4TH & 1
OWN 36
+5
99.6%
PENALTY TENN Offside (Bailey,Dominic) 5 yards from ETSU36 to ETSU41, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
99.7%
Jacolby Criswell pass complete to Ephraim Floyd for 1 yd to the ETSU 42Similar
Q2 5:58
2ND & 9
OWN 42
+3
99.6%
Jacolby Criswell run for 3 yds to the ETSU 45Similar
Q2 5:47
3RD & 6
OWN 45
0
99.6%
Jacolby Criswell pass incomplete to Charlie BrowderSimilar
Q2 5:38
4TH & 6
OWN 45
0
99.6%
Nate Brackett punt for 55 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 15TD
6 plays · 80 yds · 1:24100% → 100%
Q2 5:32
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-3
99.7%
Peyton Lewis run for a loss of 3 yards to the TENN 17Similar
Q2 5:09
2ND & 13
OWN 17
0
99.7%
Joey Aguilar pass incomplete to Braylon StaleySimilar
Q2 4:57
3RD & 13
OWN 17
+14
99.7%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Miles Kitselman for 14 yds to the TENN 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:38
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+9
99.7%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Peyton Lewis for 9 yds to the TENN 40Similar
Q2 4:22
2ND & 1
OWN 40
+7
99.7%
Peyton Lewis run for 7 yds to the TENN 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+53
99.7%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Mike Matthews for 53 yds for a TD (Max Gilbert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ETSUDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 22 yds · 1:380% → 0%
Q2 4:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.8%
Khalil Eichelberger run for 7 yds to the ETSU 32Similar
Q2 3:40
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+11
99.8%
Khalil Eichelberger run for 11 yds to the ETSU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
99.8%
Jacolby Criswell pass incomplete to Xavier GaillardetzSimilar
Q2 2:55
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+4
99.8%
Khalil Eichelberger run for 4 yds to the ETSU 47Similar
Q2 2:33
3RD & 6
OWN 47
0
99.8%
Jacolby Criswell pass incomplete to Xavier GaillardetzSimilar
Q2 2:23
4TH & 6
OWN 47
0
99.8%
Nate Brackett punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TENN 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 17FUMBLE
2 plays · -14 yds · 0:13100% → 100%
Q2 2:14
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
99.8%
Star Thomas run for 3 yds to the TENN 22Similar
Q2 2:01
2ND & 7
OWN 22
-17
99.8%
run for a loss of 17 yards to the TENN 5 fumbled, recovered by ETSU Ryan BarrettSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ETSUDrive 18TD
2 plays · 5 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q2 1:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
99.7%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Taharin Sudderth for 5 yds for a TD (Ewan Johnson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 19TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 1:27100% → 100%
Q2 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
99.7%
Star Thomas run for 10 yds to the TENN 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+12
99.7%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Mike Matthews for 12 yds to the TENN 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+7
99.7%
Star Thomas run for 7 yds to the ETSU 46Similar
Q2 1:15
2ND & 3
OPP 46
+7
99.7%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Chris Brazzell II for 7 yds to the ETSU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:09
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+13
99.7%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Braylon Staley for 13 yds to the ETSU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:02
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+15
99.7%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Chris Brazzell II for 15 yds to the ETSU 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:54
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+4
99.7%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Chris Brazzell II for 4 yds to the ETSU 7Similar
Q2 0:22
2ND & 6
OPP 7
+7
99.8%
Star Thomas run for 7 yds for a TD (Max Gilbert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ETSUDrive 20END OF HALF
2 plays · 5 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.8%
Jason Albritton run for 5 yds to the ETSU 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ETSUDrive 21FG
10 plays · 51 yds · 3:020% → 0%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.8%
D'Marius Rucker run for no gain to the ETSU 25Similar
Q3 14:26
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.8%
Cade McNamara pass complete to D'Marius Rucker for 4 yds to the ETSU 29Similar
Q3 13:58
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+22
99.8%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Ephraim Floyd for 22 yds to the TENN 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:39
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+21
99.8%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Charlie Browder for 21 yds to the TENN 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:07
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
99.8%
Cade McNamara pass incomplete to Karim PageSimilar
Q3 12:55
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+5
99.8%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Ephraim Floyd for 5 yds to the TENN 23Similar
Q3 12:30
3RD & 5
OPP 23
-1
99.8%
D'Marius Rucker run for a loss of 1 yard to the TENN 24Similar
Q3 11:52
4TH & 6
OPP 24
+41
99.7%
Ewan Johnson 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 22TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 2:58100% → 100%
Q3 11:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.8%
Justin Baker run for 5 yds to the TENN 30Similar
Q3 11:31
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
99.8%
Jake Merklinger pass incomplete to Chris Brazzell IISimilar
Q3 11:15
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+6
99.8%
Jake Merklinger run for 6 yds to the TENN 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
99.8%
Justin Baker run for 2 yds to the TENN 38Similar
Q3 10:19
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+11
99.8%
Jake Merklinger run for 11 yds to the TENN 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
99.8%
Justin Baker run for 6 yds to the ETSU 45Similar
Q3 9:15
2ND & 4
OPP 45
0
99.8%
Jake Merklinger pass incomplete to Dasaahn BrameSimilar
Q3 9:04
3RD & 4
OPP 45
+12
99.8%
Jake Merklinger pass complete to Dasaahn Brame for 12 yds to the ETSU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:50
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+33
99.8%
Jake Merklinger pass complete to Chris Brazzell II for 33 yds for a TDSimilar
Q3 8:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
Jake Merklinger pass complete to Chris Brazzell II for 1 yd for a TD (Josh Turbyville KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ETSUDrive 23PUNT
8 plays · 7 yds · 2:300% → 0%
Q3 8:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.9%
Khalil Eichelberger run for 5 yds to the ETSU 30Similar
Q3 8:18
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+1
99.9%
Khalil Eichelberger run for 1 yd to the ETSU 31Similar
Q3 7:37
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+7
99.9%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Karim Page for 7 yds to the ETSU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:23
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-8
99.9%
Cade McNamara sacked by Tyre West for a loss of 8 yards to the ETSU 30Similar
Q3 6:52
2ND & 18
OWN 30
+2
99.9%
Khalil Eichelberger run for 2 yds to the ETSU 32Similar
Q3 6:19
3RD & 16
OWN 32
0
99.9%
Cade McNamara pass incomplete to Karim PageSimilar
Q3 6:07
4TH & 16
OWN 32
+11
99.9%
Nate Brackett punt for 46 yds , Daune Morris returns for 11 yds to the TENN 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 24TD
10 plays · 67 yds · 3:19100% → 100%
Q3 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
99.9%
Jake Merklinger pass incomplete to Daune MorrisSimilar
Q3 5:57
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+9
99.9%
Daune Morris run for 9 yds to the TENN 42Similar
Q3 5:31
3RD & 1
OWN 42
+2
99.9%
Daune Morris run for 2 yds to the TENN 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+13
99.9%
Jake Merklinger pass complete to Radarious Jackson for 13 yds to the ETSU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:26
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+1
99.9%
Daune Morris run for 1 yd to the ETSU 42Similar
Q3 3:58
2ND & 9
OPP 42
+27
99.9%
Jake Merklinger pass complete to Joakim Dodson for 27 yds to the ETSU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:43
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+5
99.9%
Daune Morris run for 5 yds to the ETSU 10Similar
Q3 3:18
2ND & 5
OPP 10
+3
99.9%
Daune Morris run for 3 yds to the ETSU 7Similar
Q3 2:45
3RD & 2
OPP 7
+7
99.9%
Jake Merklinger pass complete to Jack Van Dorselaer for 7 yds for a TD (Josh Turbyville KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ETSUDrive 25PUNT
7 plays · 2 yds · 1:570% → 0%
Q3 2:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
99.9%
East Tennessee State Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the ETSU 17Similar
Q3 2:19
1ST & 18
OWN 17
+1
99.9%
D'Marius Rucker run for 1 yd to the ETSU 18Similar
Q3 2:01
2ND & 17
OWN 18
+2
100.0%
Jason Albritton run for 2 yds to the ETSU 20Similar
Q3 1:17
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+7
100.0%
Jacolby Criswell pass complete to Jason Albritton for 7 yds to the ETSU 27Similar
Q3 0:40
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+4
100.0%
Nate Brackett punt for 53 yds , Daune Morris returns for 4 yds to the TENN 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 26FG
14 plays · 41 yds · 4:17100% → 100%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
99.9%
Justin Baker run for 5 yds to the TENN 29Similar
Q4 14:56
2ND & 5
OWN 29
0
99.9%
Jake Merklinger pass incomplete to Dasaahn BrameSimilar
Q4 14:44
3RD & 5
OWN 29
+7
99.9%
Jake Merklinger pass complete to Radarious Jackson for 7 yds to the TENN 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:25
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
99.9%
Justin Baker run for 7 yds to the TENN 43Similar
Q4 13:57
2ND & 3
OWN 43
+15
99.9%
Jake Merklinger pass complete to Radarious Jackson for 15 yds to the ETSU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:42
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
99.9%
Jake Merklinger pass complete to Dasaahn Brame for 4 yds to the ETSU 38Similar
Q4 13:03
2ND & 6
OPP 38
+5
99.9%
Justin Baker run for 5 yds to the ETSU 33Similar
Q4 12:45
3RD & 1
OPP 33
+5
99.9%
Justin Baker run for 5 yds to the ETSU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:27
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
99.9%
Jake Merklinger pass incomplete to Travis Smith Jr.Similar
Q4 12:18
2ND & 10
OPP 28
-3
99.9%
Justin Baker run for a loss of 3 yards to the ETSU 31Similar
Q4 11:55
3RD & 13
OPP 31
-5
99.9%
PENALTY TENN False Start (Ogumoro,Antoni) 5 yards from ETSU31 to ETSU36. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:26
3RD & 18
OPP 36
+1
99.9%
Justin Baker run for 1 yd to the ETSU 35Similar
Q4 10:43
4TH & 17
OPP 35
+53
99.9%
Max Gilbert 53 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ETSUDrive 27TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 1:470% → 0%
Q4 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+24
100.0%
Jacolby Criswell pass complete to Cole Keller for 24 yds to the ETSU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
100.0%
Jason Albritton run for 3 yds to the TENN 48Similar
Q4 9:40
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+9
100.0%
Jacolby Criswell run for 9 yds to the TENN 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:14
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+19
100.0%
Jacolby Criswell pass complete to Cole Keller for 19 yds to the TENN 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:53
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
100.0%
Jacolby Criswell pass incomplete to Xavier GaillardetzSimilar
Q4 8:46
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+20
100.0%
Jason Albritton run for 20 yds for a TD (Ewan Johnson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 28TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 4:36100% → 100%
Q4 8:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
100.0%
George MacIntyre pass complete to Tommy Winton III for 9 yds to the TENN 34Similar
Q4 8:12
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+5
100.0%
George MacIntyre pass complete to Tommy Winton III for 5 yds to the TENN 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-5
100.0%
PENALTY TENN False Start 5 yards from TENN39 to TENN34. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:45
1ST & 15
OWN 34
+6
100.0%
Daune Morris run for 6 yds to the TENN 40Similar
Q4 7:21
2ND & 9
OWN 40
0
100.0%
George MacIntyre pass incomplete to Tommy Winton IIISimilar
Q4 7:05
3RD & 9
OWN 40
+12
100.0%
George MacIntyre pass complete to Tommy Winton III for 12 yds to the ETSU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:39
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+8
100.0%
Daune Morris run for 8 yds to the ETSU 40Similar
Q4 6:01
2ND & 2
OPP 40
+6
100.0%
George MacIntyre pass complete to Trey Weary for 6 yds to the ETSU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:40
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+13
100.0%
George MacIntyre pass complete to Travis Smith Jr. for 13 yds to the ETSU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:05
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+7
100.0%
George MacIntyre pass complete to Travis Smith Jr. for 7 yds to the ETSU 14Similar
Q4 4:31
2ND & 3
OPP 14
+4
100.0%
Daune Morris run for 4 yds to the ETSU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
100.0%
Daune Morris run for 10 yds for a TD (Josh Turbyville KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ETSUDrive 29PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:440% → 0%
Q4 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
100.0%
Jackson Byrd run for a loss of 1 yard to the ETSU 24Similar
Q4 3:12
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+6
100.0%
Jackson Byrd pass complete to Jeremiah Harrison for 6 yds to the ETSU 30Similar
Q4 2:47
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-6
100.0%
Jackson Byrd sacked by Charles House III for a loss of 6 yards to the ETSU 24Similar
Q4 1:58
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
100.0%
Nate Brackett punt for 49 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 30END OF GAME
5 plays · 22 yds · 1:49100% → 100%
Q4 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+2
100.0%
Justin Baker run for 2 yds to the TENN 19Similar
Q4 1:15
2ND & 8
OWN 19
+16
100.0%
Mason Phillips run for 16 yds to the TENN 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
100.0%
Justin Baker run for 2 yds to the TENN 37Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+2
100.0%
Mason Phillips run for 2 yds to the TENN 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q1 7:07
Star Thomas run for 2 yds for a TD (Max Gilbert KICK)
+0.3
TD · Q2 11:41
Star Thomas run for 2 yds for a TD (Max Gilbert KICK)
+0.2
TD · Q1 0:46
Peyton Lewis run for 1 yd for a TD (Max Gilbert KICK)
+0.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com