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KU

Kansas 31 at Missouri 42

MIZ
2025 · Week 2 · Sep 6, 2025 · Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · MIZ
modelMIZ aheadKU aheadconfidence bandkey playMIZ scoreKU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDSAFETYFGFGFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 10:17 · Beau Pribula pass incomplete to Marquis Johnson
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+26.5+13.30−13.3−26.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 100Pregame prior+7.3Home team on offense+2.3Garbage-time factor−0.8Score differential−0.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.6Blowout margin−1.1
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 0:00: Robert Meyer 20 yd FG GOOD — MIZ win probability +7.2 pts (now 70%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 0:24: Beau Pribula pass complete to Brett Norfleet for 11 yds for a TD (Robert Meyer KICK) — MIZ win probability +17.0 pts (now 75%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 8:45: Jalon Daniels pass complete to DeShawn Hanika for 6 yds for a TD (Laith Marjan KICK) — KU win probability +30.6 pts (now 69%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 4:14: Beau Pribula pass complete to Brett Norfleet for 27 yds for a TD (Robert Meyer KICK) — MIZ win probability +40.7 pts (now 85%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:49: Jamal Roberts run for 63 yds for a TD (Robert Meyer KICK) — MIZ win probability +6.8 pts (now 96%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MIZ made the numbers' call on 8 of 9KU made the numbers' call on 5 of 8
  1. Q1 13:02KU 4th & 2 at KU 33, tied
    Close callPunted · 32.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:17KU 4th & 1 at MIZ 42, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 31.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    31.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    31.4%−0.5
    30% to make
    Punt
    31.5%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:46MIZ 4th & 9 at MIZ 26, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.1%−0.4
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.5%
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:10MIZ 4th & 2 at KU 3, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 49.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    49.8%
    49% to convert
    Field goal
    48.5%−1.4
    93% to make
    Punt
    43.1%−6.7
    average punt
  5. Q2 3:40MIZ 4th & 10 at KU 31, down 6
    Close callWent for it · 53.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    52.7%−0.5
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    53.3%
    54% to make
    Punt
    51.7%−1.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:03MIZ 4th & 7 at KU 7, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 53.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.4%−0.9
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    53.2%
    91% to make
    Punt
    46.2%−7.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:28KU 4th & 3 at KU 30, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.1%−1.0
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.1%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:28KU 4th & 3 at KU 30, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.1%−1.0
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.1%
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:17MIZ 4th & 4 at KU 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 63.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    64.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    62.6%−1.6
    45% to make
    Punt
    61.6%−2.7
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:17MIZ 4th & 4 at KU 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 63.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    64.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    62.6%−1.6
    45% to make
    Punt
    61.6%−2.7
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:48KU 4th & 3 at MIZ 9, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsKicked a field goal · 43.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    42.3%−1.1
    89% to make
    Punt
    31.0%−12.5
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:34KU 4th & 8 at KU 27, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.3%−1.8
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.0%
    average punt
  13. Q4 12:36MIZ 4th & 6 at MIZ 40, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.9%−0.6
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.5%
    average punt
  14. Q4 5:37MIZ 4th & 7 at KU 46, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 40.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    36.4%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    34.2%−2.2
    23% to make
    Punt
    34.2%−2.2
    average punt
  15. Q4 4:14MIZ 4th & 1 at KU 27, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 41.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    41.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    40.6%−1.2
    62% to make
    Punt
    23.3%−18.5
    average punt
  16. Q4 2:45KU 4th & 7 at KU 28, down 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.6 ptsPunted · 21.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.5%
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.0%−2.6
    average punt
  17. Q4 1:15KU 4th & 5 at KU 34, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.2%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.8%−0.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MIZ made the numbers' call on 4 of 5KU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 10:53MIZ Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    68.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:09KU Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    33.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    33.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 6:53KU Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    36.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    36.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 2:13KU Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 10:10MIZ Touchdown, down 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 0:24MIZ Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 8:45KU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.6%−1.4
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 4:14MIZ Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.8%−1.7
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 1:49MIZ Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.3%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.4%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
KUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:4633% → 33%
Q1 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
67.5%
Leshon Williams run for 3 yds to the KU 28Similar
Q1 14:09
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+6
67.4%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Levi Wentz for 6 yds to the KU 34Similar
Q1 13:37
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-1
67.3%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the KU 33Similar
Q1 13:02
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
67.3%
Finn Lappin punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Kevin Coleman Jr. at the MIZ 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 2TD
5 plays · 71 yds · 2:0267% → 69%
Q1 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+14
67.3%
Beau Pribula pass complete to Brett Norfleet for 14 yds to the MIZ 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:31
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+12
67.5%
Ahmad Hardy run for 12 yds to the KU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:59
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
67.6%
Ahmad Hardy run for 4 yds to the KU 41Similar
Q1 11:24
2ND & 6
OPP 41
+9
67.6%
Beau Pribula pass complete to Donovan Olugbode for 9 yds to the KU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:53
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+32
68.6%
Ahmad Hardy 32 Yd Run (Robert Meyer PAT blocked)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 3TD
8 plays · 62 yds · 2:3332% → 34%
Q1 10:42
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+11
67.8%
Jalon Daniels run for 11 yds to the KU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
67.6%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 5 yds to the MIZ 46Similar
Q1 10:08
2ND & 5
OPP 46
0
67.6%
Jalon Daniels pass incomplete to Doug EmilienSimilar
Q1 9:48
3RD & 5
OPP 46
+4
67.7%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Keaton Kubecka for 4 yds to the MIZ 42Similar
Q1 9:17
4TH & 1
OPP 42
+24
68.0%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Boden Groen for 24 yds to the MIZ 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:39
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+3
67.3%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Emmanuel Henderson Jr. for 3 yds to the MIZ 15Similar
Q1 8:09
2ND & 7
OPP 15
+15
65.7%
J. Daniels pass to D. Hanika for 15 yds for a TD (L. Marjan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 4FUMBLE RETURN TD
4 plays · 10 yds · 1:0366% → 63%
Q1 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+6
66.0%
Jamal Roberts run for 6 yds to the MIZ 24Similar
Q1 7:09
2ND & 4
OWN 24
+1
65.9%
Beau Pribula pass complete to Brett Norfleet for 1 yd to the MIZ 25Similar
Q1 6:53
3RD & 3
OWN 25
+28
62.8%
Austin Alexander 28 Yd Fumble Return (Laith Marjan Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 2:0063% → 61%
Q1 6:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
62.9%
Ahmad Hardy run for no gain to the MIZ 25Similar
Q1 6:12
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-3
62.4%
Beau Pribula sacked for a loss of 3 yards to the MIZ 22Similar
Q1 5:24
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+4
61.5%
Beau Pribula pass complete to Brett Norfleet for 4 yds to the MIZ 26Similar
Q1 4:46
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+21
61.0%
Connor Weselman punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the KU 47 , Tate Nagy returns for 21 yds to the KU 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 6TD
6 plays · 53 yds · 2:0840% → 46%
Q1 4:21
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
60.5%
Jalon Daniels run for 1 yd to the KU 48Similar
Q1 4:05
2ND & 9
OWN 48
0
60.4%
Jalon Daniels pass incomplete to Carson BruhnSimilar
Q1 3:49
3RD & 9
OWN 48
+50
60.5%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Levi Wentz for 50 yds to the MIZ 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
59.6%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 1 yd to the MIZ 1Similar
Q1 2:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
59.1%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for no gain to the MIZ 1Similar
Q1 2:13
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
54.1%
Jalon Daniels run for 1 yd for a TD (Laith Marjan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 7TD
17 plays · 75 yds · 6:5654% → 56%
Q1 2:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
54.4%
Ahmad Hardy run for 6 yds to the MIZ 31Similar
Q1 1:31
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-1
54.3%
Ahmad Hardy run for a loss of 1 yard to the MIZ 30Similar
Q1 0:56
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+20
53.2%
Beau Pribula pass complete to Kevin Coleman Jr. for 20 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:28
1ST & 10
50
0
54.0%
Beau Pribula pass incomplete to Donovan OlugbodeSimilar
Q1 0:21
2ND & 10
50
+1
53.8%
Jamal Roberts run for 1 yd to the KU 49Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 9
OPP 49
+15
53.4%
Beau Pribula pass complete to Xavier Loyd for 15 yds to the KU 34 for a 1ST down Kansas Penalty, Defensive Offside (Austin Alexander) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:38
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
53.8%
Beau Pribula pass complete to Kevin Coleman Jr. for 2 yds to the KU 36Similar
Q2 14:21
2ND & 12
OPP 36
+9
53.1%
Ahmad Hardy run for 9 yds to the KU 27Similar
Q2 13:51
3RD & 3
OPP 27
+4
52.3%
Ahmad Hardy run for 4 yds to the KU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:02
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
51.9%
Ahmad Hardy run for no gain to the KU 23Similar
Q2 12:25
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+12
52.5%
Beau Pribula pass complete to Joshua Manning for 12 yds to the KU 11 for a 1ST down Kansas Penalty, Defensive Offside (Austin Alexander) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:58
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
52.2%
Beau Pribula run for no gain to the KU 11Similar
Q2 11:25
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+5
51.7%
Ahmad Hardy run for 5 yds to the KU 6Similar
Q2 10:44
3RD & 5
OPP 6
+3
50.5%
Ahmad Hardy run for 3 yds to the KU 3Similar
Q2 10:10
4TH & 2
OPP 3
+3
56.1%
Beau Pribula pass complete to Kevin Coleman Jr. for 3 yds for a TD (Robert Meyer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 8SF
2 plays · -50 yds · 0:0043% → 43%
Q2 9:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
57.0%
Jalon Daniels sacked by Zion Young for a loss of 50 yards for a SAFETY Jalon Daniels fumbled, recovered by KU Kobe Baynes , return for 0 yards for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 9FG
20 plays · 63 yds · 8:3258% → 58%
Q2 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
58.3%
Beau Pribula pass incomplete to Marquis JohnsonSimilar
Q2 9:24
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+9
58.0%
Beau Pribula pass complete to Kevin Coleman Jr. for 9 yds to the MIZ 39Similar
Q2 9:10
3RD & 1
OWN 39
+2
59.1%
Jamal Roberts run for 2 yds to the MIZ 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:27
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+12
59.1%
Beau Pribula run for 12 yds to the KU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:57
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
58.8%
Jamal Roberts run for 4 yds to the KU 43Similar
Q2 7:18
2ND & 6
OPP 43
+5
58.6%
Beau Pribula pass complete to Joshua Manning for 5 yds to the KU 38Similar
Q2 6:04
3RD & 1
OPP 38
+7
57.8%
Ahmad Hardy run for 7 yds to the KU 31 Ahmad Hardy fumbled, recovered by KU Keagen Trost for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-3
59.0%
Ahmad Hardy run for a loss of 3 yards to the KU 34Similar
Q2 4:49
2ND & 13
OPP 34
-1
57.3%
Beau Pribula sacked by Leroy Harris III for a loss of 1 yard to the KU 35Similar
Q2 4:21
3RD & 14
OPP 35
+4
55.3%
Beau Pribula pass complete to Kevin Coleman Jr. for 4 yds to the KU 31Similar
Q2 3:40
4TH & 10
OPP 31
+14
52.4%
Beau Pribula pass complete to Donovan Olugbode for 14 yds to the KU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:19
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+1
56.7%
Jamal Roberts run for 1 yd to the KU 16Similar
Q2 2:48
2ND & 9
OPP 16
+9
56.2%
Beau Pribula pass complete to Brett Norfleet for 9 yds to the KU 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
56.0%
Ahmad Hardy run for no gain to the KU 7Similar
Q2 1:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
55.3%
Ahmad Hardy run for no gain to the KU 7Similar
Q2 1:08
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
53.4%
Beau Pribula pass incomplete to Marquis JohnsonSimilar
Q2 1:03
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+25
57.8%
Robert Meyer 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 10PUNT
9 plays · 7 yds · 0:2145% → 43%
Q2 0:49
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+1
55.0%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Emmanuel Henderson Jr. for 1 yd to the KU 24Similar
Q2 0:42
2ND & 9
OWN 24
+2
54.1%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 2 yds to the KU 26Similar
Q2 0:36
3RD & 7
OWN 26
+4
56.1%
Jalon Daniels run for 4 yds to the KU 30Similar
Q2 0:28
4TH & 3
OWN 30
+4
56.6%
Finn Lappin punt for 49 yds , Kevin Coleman Jr. returns for 4 yds to the MIZ 25Similar
Q2 0:28
4TH & 3
OWN 30
+4
56.6%
Finn Lappin punt for 49 yds , Kevin Coleman Jr. returns for 4 yds to the MIZ 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 11FG
7 plays · 84 yds · 0:2056% → 70%
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+39
56.1%
Jamal Roberts run for 39 yds to the KU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:13
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
60.2%
Beau Pribula pass incomplete to Joshua ManningSimilar
Q2 0:13
2ND & 10
OPP 47
-5
59.8%
PENALTY Mizzou False Start (Trost,Keagen) 5 yards from Kansas47 to Mizzou48. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:03
2ND & 15
OWN 48
+50
57.4%
Beau Pribula pass complete to Kevin Coleman Jr. for 50 yds to the KU 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+20
69.7%
Robert Meyer 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 12DOWNS
12 plays · 45 yds · 4:2864% → 64%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
63.5%
Jamal Roberts run for 3 yds to the MIZ 23Similar
Q3 14:07
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+5
63.3%
Beau Pribula pass complete to Kevin Coleman Jr. for 5 yds to the MIZ 28Similar
Q3 13:30
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+10
62.6%
Beau Pribula pass complete to Kevin Coleman Jr. for 10 yds to the MIZ 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:01
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
64.7%
Beau Pribula run for 1 yd to the MIZ 39Similar
Q3 12:28
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+7
64.3%
Jamal Roberts run for 7 yds to the MIZ 46Similar
Q3 11:57
3RD & 2
OWN 46
+13
64.6%
Beau Pribula pass complete to Daniel Blood for 13 yds to the KU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:33
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
66.1%
Ahmad Hardy run for 4 yds to the KU 37Similar
Q3 10:59
2ND & 6
OPP 37
+2
66.1%
Ahmad Hardy run for 2 yds to the KU 35Similar
Q3 10:22
3RD & 4
OPP 35
0
65.7%
Beau Pribula pass incomplete to Kevin Coleman Jr.Similar
Q3 10:17
4TH & 4
OPP 35
0
63.7%
Beau Pribula pass incomplete to Marquis JohnsonSimilar
Q3 10:17
4TH & 4
OPP 35
0
63.7%
Beau Pribula pass incomplete to Marquis JohnsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 13FG
11 plays · 53 yds · 4:1541% → 51%
Q3 10:03
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
58.6%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Carson Bruhn for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:27
1ST & 10
50
-1
55.6%
Jalon Daniels sacked for a loss of 1 yard to the KU 49Similar
Q3 8:48
2ND & 11
OWN 49
0
56.7%
Jalon Daniels pass incomplete to Doug EmilienSimilar
Q3 8:39
3RD & 11
OWN 49
+15
57.9%
Missouri Penalty, (15 Yards) to the MIZ 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:20
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-4
55.2%
Leshon Williams run for a loss of 4 yards to the MIZ 40Similar
Q3 7:29
2ND & 14
OPP 40
+10
56.7%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to DeShawn Hanika for 10 yds to the MIZ 30Similar
Q3 7:12
3RD & 4
OPP 30
+14
54.7%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to DeShawn Hanika for 14 yds to the MIZ 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+4
53.0%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 4 yds to the MIZ 12Similar
Q3 6:30
2ND & 6
OPP 12
0
52.8%
Jalon Daniels pass incomplete to Levi WentzSimilar
Q3 5:54
3RD & 6
OPP 12
+3
54.2%
Jalon Daniels run for 3 yds to the MIZ 9Similar
Q3 5:48
4TH & 3
OPP 9
+26
49.5%
Laith Marjan 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 14TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 5:1653% → 75%
Q3 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
53.2%
Beau Pribula pass complete to Marquis Johnson for 13 yds to the MIZ 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
54.5%
Beau Pribula pass complete to Ahmad Hardy for 2 yds to the MIZ 40Similar
Q3 4:27
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+5
55.8%
Ahmad Hardy run for 5 yds to the MIZ 45Similar
Q3 3:33
3RD & 3
OWN 45
+26
54.8%
Beau Pribula pass complete to Daniel Blood for 26 yds to the KU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:09
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+8
58.9%
Beau Pribula pass complete to Marquis Johnson for 8 yds to the KU 21Similar
Q3 2:37
2ND & 2
OPP 21
+2
58.8%
Ahmad Hardy run for 2 yds to the KU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:31
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
58.8%
Beau Pribula pass incomplete to Xavier LoydSimilar
Q3 2:23
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+4
58.7%
Jamal Roberts run for 4 yds to the KU 15Similar
Q3 1:56
3RD & 6
OPP 15
+5
56.1%
PENALTY Kansas Offside (Dunn Jr.,Tommy) 5 yards from Kansas15 to Kansas10. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 1:37
3RD & 1
OPP 10
+1
55.7%
Jamal Roberts run for 1 yd to the KU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-2
58.2%
Beau Pribula sacked by Kenean Caldwell for a loss of 2 yards to the KU 11Similar
Q3 0:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
0
58.1%
Beau Pribula pass incomplete to Kevin Coleman Jr.Similar
Q3 0:24
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
+11
75.1%
Beau Pribula pass complete to Brett Norfleet for 11 yds for a TD (Robert Meyer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:2630% → 28%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+7
70.0%
Jalon Daniels run for 7 yds to the KU 27Similar
Q4 14:52
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
69.4%
Jalon Daniels pass incomplete to Emmanuel Henderson Jr.Similar
Q4 14:46
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
71.1%
Jalon Daniels pass incomplete to Emmanuel Henderson Jr.Similar
Q4 14:34
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+10
72.3%
Finn Lappin punt for 47 yds , Kevin Coleman Jr. returns for 10 yds to the MIZ 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:5274% → 71%
Q4 14:28
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
73.5%
Ahmad Hardy run for 6 yds to the MIZ 42Similar
Q4 13:51
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+3
75.1%
Ahmad Hardy run for 3 yds to the MIZ 45Similar
Q4 13:28
3RD & 1
OWN 45
0
74.3%
Ahmad Hardy run for no gain to the MIZ 45Similar
Q4 12:45
4TH & 1
OWN 45
-5
72.8%
PENALTY Mizzou Delay Of Game 5 yards from Mizzou45 to Mizzou40. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:36
4TH & 6
OWN 40
0
71.2%
Connor Weselman punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Tate Nagy at the KU 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 17TD
9 plays · 92 yds · 3:4429% → 69%
Q4 12:29
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+1
70.8%
Leshon Williams run for 1 yd to the KU 9Similar
Q4 11:38
2ND & 9
OWN 9
+24
71.2%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to DeShawn Hanika for 24 yds to the KU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
68.9%
Jalon Daniels pass incomplete to Daniel Hishaw Jr.Similar
Q4 10:51
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+25
69.5%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Emmanuel Henderson Jr. for 25 yds to the MIZ 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:12
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+19
64.7%
Jalon Daniels run for 19 yds to the MIZ 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:34
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
61.8%
Jalon Daniels pass incomplete to Levi WentzSimilar
Q4 9:22
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+12
62.7%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Cam Pickett for 12 yds to the MIZ 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:50
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+5
61.7%
(08:50) No Huddle-Shotgun Daniels,Jalon pass incomplete short right to Pickett,Cam thrown to Mizzou00 PENALTY Mizzou Offside (Young,Zion) 5 yards from Mizzou11 to Mizzou06. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:45
1ST & 5
OPP 6
+6
31.1%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to DeShawn Hanika for 6 yds for a TD (Laith Marjan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 18TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:1944% → 85%
Q4 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
43.7%
Beau Pribula pass complete to Jamal Roberts for 9 yds to the MIZ 34Similar
Q4 8:08
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+17
46.9%
Beau Pribula pass complete to Kevin Coleman Jr. for 17 yds to the KU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:44
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
48.9%
Beau Pribula pass complete to Jamal Roberts for no gain to the KU 49Similar
Q4 7:13
2ND & 10
OPP 49
-7
47.6%
Beau Pribula sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the MIZ 44Similar
Q4 6:19
3RD & 17
OWN 44
+10
39.4%
Beau Pribula pass complete to Brett Norfleet for 10 yds to the KU 46Similar
Q4 5:37
4TH & 7
OPP 46
+10
40.1%
Beau Pribula pass complete to Kevin Coleman Jr. for 10 yds to the KU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:25
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
45.5%
Beau Pribula run for 3 yds to the KU 33Similar
Q4 5:04
2ND & 7
OPP 33
0
47.9%
Beau Pribula pass incomplete to Brett NorfleetSimilar
Q4 4:41
3RD & 7
OPP 33
+6
44.8%
Beau Pribula pass complete to Donovan Olugbode for 6 yds to the KU 27Similar
Q4 4:14
4TH & 1
OPP 27
+27
85.4%
Beau Pribula pass complete to Brett Norfleet for 27 yds for a TD (Robert Meyer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:1625% → 22%
Q4 4:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
74.7%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Keaton Kubecka for 5 yds to the KU 30Similar
Q4 3:14
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
73.8%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Daniel Hishaw Jr. for 2 yds to the KU 28Similar
Q4 2:54
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
76.8%
Jalon Daniels pass incomplete to Emmanuel Henderson Jr.Similar
Q4 2:45
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+2
78.1%
Finn Lappin punt for 49 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MIZ 25 , Kevin Coleman Jr. returns for 2 yds to the MIZ 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 20TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:4687% → 96%
Q4 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
87.1%
Jamal Roberts run for 11 yds to the MIZ 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
89.5%
Jamal Roberts run for 1 yd to the MIZ 37Similar
Q4 1:49
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+63
96.3%
Jamal Roberts run for 63 yds for a TD (Robert Meyer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 21INT
7 plays · 11 yds · 0:285% → 5%
Q4 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
94.9%
Jalon Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:26
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+5
95.2%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to DeShawn Hanika for 5 yds to the KU 34Similar
Q4 1:19
3RD & 5
OWN 34
0
95.1%
Jalon Daniels pass incomplete to Keaton KubeckaSimilar
Q4 1:15
4TH & 5
OWN 34
+6
95.4%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Cam Pickett for 6 yds to the KU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:06
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-15
94.6%
Jalon Daniels pass intercepted Daylan Carnell return for no gain to the MIZ 40 Missouri Penalty, (15 Yards) to the MIZ 37Similar
Q4 1:06
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-15
94.6%
Jalon Daniels pass intercepted Daylan Carnell return for no gain to the MIZ 40 Missouri Penalty, (15 Yards) to the MIZ 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 22END OF GAME
3 plays · 12 yds · 1:0697% → 97%
Q4 1:06
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
96.5%
Ahmad Hardy run for 5 yds to the MIZ 42Similar
Q4 1:00
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+5
96.7%
Ahmad Hardy run for 5 yds to the MIZ 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
96.5%
Ahmad Hardy run for 2 yds to the MIZ 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 4:14
Beau Pribula pass complete to Brett Norfleet for 27 yds for a TD (Robert Meyer KICK)
+40.7
TD · Q4 8:45
Jalon Daniels pass complete to DeShawn Hanika for 6 yds for a TD (Laith Marjan KICK)
-30.6
TD · Q3 0:24
Beau Pribula pass complete to Brett Norfleet for 11 yds for a TD (Robert Meyer KICK)
+17
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com