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Louisiana Tech 7 at LSU 23

LSU
2025 · Week 2 · Sep 6, 2025 · Tiger Stadium (LA)
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Win probability · LSU
modelLSU aheadLT aheadconfidence bandkey playLSU scoreLT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 3:42 · John Hoyet Chance punt for 49 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+49.0+24.50−24.5−49.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 72Pregame prior+38.1Home team on offense+9.5Score differential+3.4Garbage-time factor+0.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+4.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 0:12: Nic Anderson 7 Yd pass from Garrett Nussmeier (Damian Ramos Kick) — LSU win probability +0.5 pts (now 97%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q4 11:14: Damian Ramos 46 Yd Field Goal — LSU win probability +1.0 pts (now 99%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 4:02: Devin Gandy 33 Yd pass from Blake Baker (Drew Henderson Kick) — LT win probability +3.8 pts (now 5%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 4:02: Timeout LSU, clock 04:02 — LSU win probability +2.6 pts (now 98%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 3:52: Drew Henderson kickoff for 57 yds , Barion Brown return for 42 yds to the 50 yard line — LT win probability +2.4 pts (now 4%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
LSU made the numbers' call on 7 of 8LT made the numbers' call on 7 of 12
  1. Q1 12:32LT 4th & 1 at LT 38, tied
    Close callPunted · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.1%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:06LSU 4th & 13 at LT 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.1%−0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.2%
    47% to make
    Punt
    97.2%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:49LT 4th & 5 at LSU 44, tied
    Close callPunted · 3.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.3%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    3.2%−0.1
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    3.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:31LT 4th & 4 at LSU 41, down 14
    Close callPunted · 3.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    3.1%−0.2
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    3.2%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:24LSU 4th & 6 at LT 6, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 96.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.3%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.4%
    91% to make
    Punt
    95.2%−1.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:42LT 4th & 8 at LT 42, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.8%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.9%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:32LSU 4th & 16 at LSU 37, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.5%−0.4
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.9%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:32LSU 4th & 16 at LSU 37, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.5%−0.4
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.9%
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:33LT 4th & 7 at LSU 48, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.4%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.4%
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:39LSU 4th & 13 at LT 41, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.8%−0.3
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    95.9%−0.2
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    96.1%
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:14LT 4th & 13 at LT 8, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.7%−0.8
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.5%
    average punt
  12. Q3 5:14LT 4th & 13 at LT 8, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.7%−0.8
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.5%
    average punt
  13. Q3 0:50LT 4th & 6 at LT 29, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.7%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.9%
    average punt
  14. Q4 11:14LSU 4th & 24 at LT 29, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.8%−0.7
    7% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.5%
    58% to make
    Punt
    96.2%−1.4
    average punt
  15. Q4 10:26LT 4th & 18 at LT 17, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−0.3
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  16. Q4 8:48LSU 4th & 24 at LSU 38, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.7%−0.5
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.2%
    average punt
  17. Q4 7:05LT 4th & 1 at LT 35, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.7%−0.1
    average punt
  18. Q4 1:55LSU 4th & 2 at LT 2, up 13
    Close callKicked a field goal · 97.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.1%−0.5
    94% to make
    Punt
    95.3%−2.3
    average punt
  19. Q4 0:36LT 4th & 6 at LT 29, down 16
    Close callPunted · 2.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.0%
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.6%−0.3
    average punt
  20. Q4 0:36LT 4th & 6 at LT 29, down 16
    Close callPunted · 2.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.0%
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.6%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
LSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1LT made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 0:12LSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q4 4:02LT Touchdown, down 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
LSUDrive 1INT
5 plays · 11 yds · 1:2099% → 99%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
98.7%
Caden Durham run for 3 yds to the LSU 28Similar
Q1 14:31
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+6
98.7%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Nic Anderson for 6 yds to the LSU 34Similar
Q1 14:12
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
98.6%
Caden Durham run for 2 yds to the LSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
98.6%
Garrett Nussmeier pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:571% → 2%
Q1 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
98.6%
Omiri Wiggins run for 1 yd to the LT 30Similar
Q1 12:54
2ND & 9
OWN 30
+8
98.5%
Trey Kukuk pass complete to Marques Singleton Jr. for 8 yds to the LT 38Similar
Q1 12:39
3RD & 1
OWN 38
0
98.5%
Trey Kukuk pass incomplete to Omiri WigginsSimilar
Q1 12:32
4TH & 1
OWN 38
0
98.5%
John Hoyet Chance punt for 21 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LSU 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 3MISSED FG
11 plays · 25 yds · 4:2199% → 98%
Q1 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
98.5%
Caden Durham run for 4 yds to the LSU 45Similar
Q1 11:45
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+3
98.4%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Caden Durham for 3 yds to the LSU 48Similar
Q1 11:09
3RD & 3
OWN 48
+11
98.4%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Zavion Thomas for 11 yds to the LT 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:39
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
98.3%
Caden Durham run for no gain to the LT 41Similar
Q1 10:01
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+10
98.3%
(10:04) No Huddle-Shotgun Nussmeier,Garrett pass incomplete short middle to Johnson,Ju'Juan thrown to TECH38 PENALTY TECH Holding (Mason,Mekhi) 10 yards from TECH41 to TECH31, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:57
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-5
98.3%
(09:57) No Huddle-Shotgun Thomas,Zavion rush right for 1 yard gain to the TECH30 (Fields,Kolbe) PENALTY LSU Illegal Formation 5 yards from TECH31 to TECH36. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:30
1ST & 15
OPP 36
0
98.2%
Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete to Zavion ThomasSimilar
Q1 9:15
2ND & 15
OPP 36
+2
98.1%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Aaron Anderson for 2 yds to the LT 38Similar
Q1 8:43
3RD & 17
OPP 38
+4
98.1%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Nic Anderson for 4 yds to the LT 34Similar
Q1 8:06
4TH & 13
OPP 34
+51
97.9%
Damian Ramos 51 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 22 yds · 2:072% → 2%
Q1 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+17
97.9%
Trey Kukuk run for 17 yds to the LSU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:42
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
97.8%
Clay Thevenin run for 1 yd to the LSU 48Similar
Q1 7:16
2ND & 9
OPP 48
-2
97.8%
Trey Kukuk run for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 6:23
3RD & 11
50
+6
97.7%
Trey Kukuk pass complete to Eli Finley for 6 yds to the LSU 44Similar
Q1 5:49
4TH & 5
OPP 44
0
97.6%
John Hoyet Chance punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 5TD
12 plays · 98 yds · 5:3198% → 97%
Q1 5:43
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+2
97.6%
Caden Durham run for 2 yds to the LSU 4Similar
Q1 4:58
2ND & 8
OWN 4
0
97.5%
Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete to Bauer SharpSimilar
Q1 4:40
3RD & 8
OWN 4
+16
97.4%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Barion Brown for 16 yds to the LSU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:51
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+15
97.3%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Zavion Thomas for 15 yds to the LSU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:28
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
97.3%
Kaleb Jackson run for 1 yd to the LSU 36Similar
Q1 2:43
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+9
97.2%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Barion Brown for 9 yds to the LSU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:08
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
97.2%
Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete to Barion BrownSimilar
Q1 2:03
2ND & 10
OWN 45
-5
97.1%
(02:07) No Huddle-Shotgun Johnson,Ju'Juan rush left for 5 yards gain to the LSU50 (Mason,Mekhi; Cobbs,Joshua) PENALTY LSU Illegal Shift (Anderson,Nic) 5 yards from LSU45 to LSU40. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:29
2ND & 15
OWN 40
+48
96.9%
Zavion Thomas run for 48 yds to the LT 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:59
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+5
97.0%
Caden Durham run for 5 yds to the LT 7Similar
Q1 0:18
2ND & 5
OPP 7
0
96.9%
Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete to Aaron AndersonSimilar
Q1 0:12
3RD & 5
OPP 7
+7
97.4%
Nic Anderson 7 Yd pass from Garrett Nussmeier (Damian Ramos Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 6PUNT
11 plays · 26 yds · 3:292% → 3%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
97.8%
Trey Kukuk pass complete to Fred Robertson for 5 yds to the LT 38Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 5
OWN 38
+1
97.8%
Andrew Burnette run for 1 yd to the LT 39Similar
Q2 14:23
3RD & 4
OWN 39
+4
97.7%
Trey Kukuk pass complete to Andrew Burnette for 4 yds to the LT 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+9
97.7%
Trey Kukuk pass complete to Marques Singleton Jr. for 9 yds to the LSU 48Similar
Q2 13:33
2ND & 1
OPP 48
+1
97.6%
Omiri Wiggins run for 1 yd to the LSU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:46
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
97.6%
Trey Kukuk pass complete to Dedrick Latulas for 5 yds to the LSU 42Similar
Q2 12:21
2ND & 5
OPP 42
0
97.5%
Trey Kukuk pass incomplete to Devin GandySimilar
Q2 12:05
3RD & 5
OPP 42
+1
97.5%
Trey Kukuk pass complete to Omiri Wiggins for 1 yd to the LSU 41Similar
Q2 11:31
4TH & 4
OPP 41
0
97.5%
John Hoyet Chance punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Zavion Thomas at the LSU 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 7FG
16 plays · 85 yds · 4:5298% → 97%
Q2 11:16
1ST & 10
OWN 9
-1
97.8%
Zavion Thomas run for a loss of 1 yard to the LSU 8Similar
Q2 10:39
2ND & 11
OWN 8
+14
97.8%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Barion Brown for 14 yds to the LSU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:11
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+8
97.8%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Bauer Sharp for 8 yds to the LSU 30Similar
Q2 9:33
2ND & 2
OWN 30
+17
97.7%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Aaron Anderson for 2 yds to the LSU 32 for a 1ST down Louisiana Tech Penalty, (15 Yards) to the LSU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:17
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
97.8%
Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete to Bauer SharpSimilar
Q2 9:09
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+5
97.8%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Aaron Anderson for 5 yds to the LT 48Similar
Q2 8:23
3RD & 5
OPP 48
+5
97.7%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Aaron Anderson for 5 yds to the LT 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:54
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
97.6%
Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete to Aaron AndersonSimilar
Q2 7:54
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+6
97.6%
Zavion Thomas run for 6 yds to the LT 37Similar
Q2 7:25
3RD & 4
OPP 37
+15
97.6%
(07:31) No Huddle-Shotgun Nussmeier,Garrett pass incomplete deep left to Hilton Jr.,Chris thrown to TECH06 PENALTY TECH Pass Interference (Shelby Jr.,Jhamal) 15 yards from TECH37 to TECH22, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:20
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+15
97.6%
(07:25) No Huddle-Shotgun Nussmeier,Garrett pass incomplete short middle to Thomas,Zavion thrown to TECH07, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY TECH Pass Interference (Fields,Jacob) 15 yards from TECH22 to TECH07, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
97.6%
Caden Durham run for 1 yd to the LT 6Similar
Q2 6:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
97.6%
Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete to Trey'Dez GreenSimilar
Q2 6:28
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
97.4%
Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete to Kyle ParkerSimilar
Q2 6:24
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+23
97.3%
Damian Ramos 23 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 2:363% → 3%
Q2 6:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
97.3%
Clay Thevenin run for 5 yds to the LT 30Similar
Q2 6:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+10
97.2%
Clay Thevenin run for 10 yds to the LT 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
97.1%
Clay Thevenin run for 1 yd to the LT 41Similar
Q2 5:05
2ND & 9
OWN 41
0
97.1%
Trey Kukuk pass complete to Clay Thevenin for no gain to the LT 41Similar
Q2 4:09
3RD & 9
OWN 41
+1
97.0%
Trey Kukuk run for 1 yd to the LT 42Similar
Q2 3:42
4TH & 8
OWN 42
0
97.1%
John Hoyet Chance punt for 49 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 9PUNT
12 plays · 28 yds · 3:0297% → 97%
Q2 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+11
97.4%
Harlem Berry run for 11 yds to the LSU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
97.4%
Zavion Thomas run for 3 yds to the LSU 23 Zavion Thomas fumbled, recovered by LSUSimilar
Q2 2:46
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+5
97.3%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Barion Brown for 5 yds to the LSU 28Similar
Q2 2:12
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+3
97.2%
Caden Durham run for 3 yds to the LSU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+12
97.3%
(02:00) Shotgun Nussmeier,Garrett pass incomplete short left to Anderson,Nic thrown to LSU43, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY TECH Pass Interference (Carter,Kameron) 12 yards from LSU31 to LSU43, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-5
97.3%
PENALTY LSU False Start (Berry,Harlem) 5 yards from LSU43 to LSU38. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:39
1ST & 15
OWN 38
+7
97.3%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Caden Durham for 7 yds to the LSU 45Similar
Q2 1:23
2ND & 8
OWN 45
-8
97.4%
Garrett Nussmeier sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the LSU 37Similar
Q2 0:43
3RD & 16
OWN 37
0
97.1%
Garrett Nussmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:32
4TH & 16
OWN 37
+3
97.0%
Grant Chadwick punt for 46 yds , Dedrick Latulas returns for 3 yds to the LT 10Similar
Q2 0:32
4TH & 16
OWN 37
+3
97.0%
Grant Chadwick punt for 46 yds , Dedrick Latulas returns for 3 yds to the LT 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 10END OF HALF
2 plays · -3 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-3
97.1%
(00:27) Kneel down by Louisiana Tech at TECH07 for loss of 3 yards.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 11PUNT
11 plays · 34 yds · 3:163% → 4%
Q3 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-2
96.7%
Clay Thevenin run for a loss of 2 yards to the LT 16Similar
Q3 14:05
2ND & 12
OWN 16
+3
96.7%
Trey Kukuk pass complete to Eli Finley for 3 yds to the LT 19Similar
Q3 13:48
3RD & 9
OWN 19
+15
96.7%
(13:54) No Huddle-Shotgun Kukuk,Trey pass incomplete short right thrown to TECH30 QB hurried by Weeks,Whit PENALTY LSU Personal Foul (Guillory,Jacobian) 15 yards from TECH19 to TECH34, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 13:41
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
96.5%
(13:48) No Huddle-Shotgun Kukuk,Trey rush left for 11 yards gain to the TECH45 (Delane,Mansoor; Haulcy,A.J.), out of bounds PENALTY TECH Holding declined LSU Personal Foul (Weeks,West) TECH Holding (Singleton Jr.,Marques) 25 yards from TECH34 to TECH39, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 13:21
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
96.3%
Trey Kukuk pass complete to Eli Finley for 5 yds to the LT 44Similar
Q3 13:08
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+5
96.2%
Clay Thevenin run for 5 yds to the LT 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
96.1%
Trey Kukuk pass incomplete to Devin GandySimilar
Q3 12:40
2ND & 10
OWN 49
0
96.2%
Trey Kukuk pass complete to Clay Thevenin for no gain to the LT 49Similar
Q3 12:12
3RD & 10
OWN 49
+3
96.3%
Trey Kukuk run for 3 yds to the LSU 48Similar
Q3 11:33
4TH & 7
OPP 48
0
96.3%
John Hoyet Chance punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Zavion Thomas at the LSU 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 12PUNT
11 plays · 49 yds · 4:4797% → 97%
Q3 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-1
96.7%
Caden Durham run for a loss of 1 yard to the LSU 9Similar
Q3 10:47
2ND & 11
OWN 9
+9
96.6%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Barion Brown for 9 yds to the LSU 18Similar
Q3 10:02
3RD & 2
OWN 18
+3
96.6%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Zavion Thomas for 3 yds to the LSU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:26
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+23
96.7%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Aaron Anderson for 23 yds to the LSU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
96.8%
Zavion Thomas run for 3 yds to the LSU 47Similar
Q3 8:10
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+15
96.8%
Barion Brown run for 15 yds to the LT 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:27
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
97.0%
Caden Durham run for 2 yds to the LT 36Similar
Q3 6:50
2ND & 8
OPP 36
0
96.9%
Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete to Chris Hilton Jr.Similar
Q3 6:45
3RD & 8
OPP 36
0
96.8%
Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete to Nic AndersonSimilar
Q3 6:45
4TH & 8
OPP 36
-5
96.6%
(06:45) PENALTY LSU Delay Of Game (Chadwick,Grant) 5 yards from TECH36 to TECH41. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:39
4TH & 13
OPP 41
0
96.5%
Grant Chadwick punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Dedrick Latulas at the LT 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 1:194% → 4%
Q3 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
95.9%
Trey Kukuk pass incomplete to Marques Singleton Jr.Similar
Q3 6:26
2ND & 10
OWN 11
0
96.0%
Andrew Burnette run for no gain to the LT 11Similar
Q3 5:55
3RD & 10
OWN 11
-3
96.0%
Trey Kukuk sacked for a loss of 3 yards to the LT 8Similar
Q3 5:14
4TH & 13
OWN 8
0
96.2%
John Hoyet Chance punt for 25 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LT 33Similar
Q3 5:14
4TH & 13
OWN 8
0
96.2%
John Hoyet Chance punt for 25 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LT 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 14TD
6 plays · 33 yds · 3:1097% → 98%
Q3 5:08
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+11
96.8%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Barion Brown for 11 yds to the LT 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:40
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+1
96.9%
Ju'Juan Johnson run for 1 yd to the LT 21Similar
Q3 3:54
2ND & 9
OPP 21
+13
96.9%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Aaron Anderson for 13 yds to the LT 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
96.8%
Caden Durham run for 4 yds to the LT 4Similar
Q3 2:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
97.3%
Caden Durham run for 1 yd to the LT 3Similar
Q3 1:58
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
97.9%
Caden Durham 3 Yd Run (Damian Ramos Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:033% → 2%
Q3 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.5%
Trey Kukuk pass incomplete to Marques Singleton Jr.Similar
Q3 1:39
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
97.5%
Trey Kukuk pass complete to Marques Singleton Jr. for 4 yds to the LT 29Similar
Q3 1:02
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
97.5%
Trey Kukuk pass incomplete to Marques Singleton Jr.Similar
Q3 0:50
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+12
97.6%
John Hoyet Chance punt for 50 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LSU 33 , Zavion Thomas returns for 12 yds to the LSU 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 16FG
12 plays · 38 yds · 4:2798% → 99%
Q3 0:41
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+6
97.8%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Aaron Anderson for 6 yds to the LSU 39Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 4
OWN 39
+11
97.9%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Barion Brown for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
50
0
98.0%
Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete to Barion BrownSimilar
Q4 14:48
2ND & 10
50
-1
97.9%
Kaleb Jackson run for a loss of 1 yard to the LSU 49Similar
Q4 14:07
3RD & 11
OWN 49
+21
98.1%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Aaron Anderson for 21 yds to the LT 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:52
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-10
98.2%
(13:57) No Huddle-Shotgun Nussmeier,Garrett pass complete short middle to Anderson,Aaron caught at TECH35, for 0 yards to the TECH30 (Leota,Sifa; Woods,Cedric) PENALTY LSU Holding (Jackson,Kaleb) 10 yards from TECH30 to TECH40. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:26
1ST & 20
OPP 40
+19
98.2%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Barion Brown for 19 yds to the LT 21Similar
Q4 12:57
2ND & 1
OPP 21
+6
98.2%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Zavion Thomas for 6 yds to the LT 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:45
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
98.2%
Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete to Kyle ParkerSimilar
Q4 12:39
2ND & 10
OPP 15
-5
98.2%
Zavion Thomas run for a loss of 5 yards to the LT 20Similar
Q4 11:52
3RD & 15
OPP 20
-9
98.2%
Garrett Nussmeier sacked by Mekhi Mason for a loss of 9 yards to the LT 29Similar
Q4 11:14
4TH & 24
OPP 29
+46
99.2%
Damian Ramos 46 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · -8 yds · 0:481% → 1%
Q4 11:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
99.3%
PENALTY TECH False Start (Pierro,David) 5 yards from TECH25 to TECH20. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:08
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+2
99.3%
Fred Robertson run for 2 yds to the LT 22Similar
Q4 10:49
2ND & 13
OWN 22
0
99.3%
Blake Baker pass incomplete to Marlion JacksonSimilar
Q4 10:44
3RD & 13
OWN 22
0
99.3%
Blake Baker pass incomplete to Fred RobertsonSimilar
Q4 10:38
4TH & 13
OWN 22
-5
99.3%
(10:43) punt 39 yards to the LSU39 muffed by Thomas,Zavion at LSU39 recovered by TECH Cobbs,Joshua at LSU41, End Of Play PENALTY TECH Illegal Formation 5 yards from TECH22 to TECH17. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:26
4TH & 18
OWN 17
+12
99.4%
John Hoyet Chance punt for 43 yds , Zavion Thomas returns for 12 yds to the LT 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · -14 yds · 1:3899% → 99%
Q4 10:26
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-5
99.3%
PENALTY LSU False Start (Chester,DJ) 5 yards from TECH48 to LSU47. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:20
1ST & 15
OWN 47
+1
99.3%
Harlem Berry run for 1 yd to the LSU 48Similar
Q4 9:45
2ND & 14
OWN 48
-10
99.3%
Garrett Nussmeier sacked by Christian Davis for a loss of 10 yards to the LSU 38Similar
Q4 8:59
3RD & 24
OWN 38
0
99.2%
Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete to Zavion ThomasSimilar
Q4 8:48
4TH & 24
OWN 38
+14
99.2%
Grant Chadwick punt for 50 yds , Dedrick Latulas returns for 14 yds to the LT 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 19TD
15 plays · 74 yds · 4:381% → 5%
Q4 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
99.3%
Blake Baker run for 4 yds to the LT 30Similar
Q4 8:19
2ND & 6
OWN 30
+1
99.2%
Omiri Wiggins run for 1 yd to the LT 31Similar
Q4 7:42
3RD & 5
OWN 31
+4
99.2%
Blake Baker pass complete to Eli Finley for 4 yds to the LT 35Similar
Q4 7:05
4TH & 1
OWN 35
+1
99.2%
Blake Baker run for 1 yd to the LT 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:42
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
99.3%
Blake Baker run for 4 yds to the LT 40Similar
Q4 6:24
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+12
99.4%
(06:27) No Huddle-Shotgun Baker,Blake pass incomplete short middle to Finley,Eli thrown to TECH45 PENALTY LSU Pass Interference (Weeks,West) 12 yards from TECH40 to LSU48, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 6:07
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+9
99.4%
Blake Baker run for 9 yds to the LSU 39Similar
Q4 5:55
2ND & 1
OPP 39
+2
99.3%
Clay Thevenin run for 2 yds to the LSU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:31
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+9
99.4%
Blake Baker pass complete to Clay Thevenin for 9 yds to the LSU 28Similar
Q4 5:10
2ND & 1
OPP 28
0
99.2%
Blake Baker pass incomplete to Devin GandySimilar
Q4 5:05
3RD & 1
OPP 28
+2
99.3%
Blake Baker run for 2 yds to the LSU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:45
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
99.3%
Blake Baker pass incomplete to Marlion JacksonSimilar
Q4 4:34
2ND & 10
OPP 26
-7
99.3%
Blake Baker sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the LSU 33Similar
Q4 4:02
3RD & 17
OPP 33
+33
95.5%
Devin Gandy 33 Yd pass from Blake Baker (Drew Henderson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 20FG
11 plays · 48 yds · 1:5298% → 99%
Q4 3:47
1ST & 10
50
+1
98.1%
Harlem Berry run for 1 yd to the LT 49Similar
Q4 3:41
2ND & 9
OPP 49
+43
98.2%
Harlem Berry run for 43 yds to the LT 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
98.5%
(03:06) Shotgun Berry,Harlem rush middle for 1 yard gain to the TECH05 (Fields,Kolbe; Shelby Jr.,Jhamal) PENALTY TECH Illegal Substitution 3 yards from TECH06 to TECH03. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
98.5%
Kaleb Jackson run for 1 yd to the LT 2Similar
Q4 2:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
98.5%
Harlem Berry run for no gain to the LT 2Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
98.8%
Harlem Berry run for no gain to the LT 2Similar
Q4 1:55
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+19
99.2%
Damian Ramos 19 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · -11 yds · 1:152% → 2%
Q4 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
98.0%
Andrew Burnette run for a loss of 2 yards to the LT 23Similar
Q4 1:27
2ND & 12
OWN 23
0
98.0%
Blake Baker pass incomplete to Devin GandySimilar
Q4 1:21
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+6
98.1%
Andrew Burnette run for 6 yds to the LT 29Similar
Q4 0:36
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
98.0%
John Hoyet Chance punt for 46 ydsSimilar
Q4 0:36
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
98.0%
John Hoyet Chance punt for 46 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 22END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-1
99.3%
(00:36) Kneel down by LSU at LSU39 for loss of 1 yard.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 4:02
Devin Gandy 33 Yd pass from Blake Baker (Drew Henderson Kick)
-3.8
TD · Q4 4:02
Timeout LSU, clock 04:02
+2.6
KEY PLAY · Q4 3:52
Drew Henderson kickoff for 57 yds , Barion Brown return for 42 yds to the 50 yard line
-2.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com