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APSU

Austin Peay 6 at Georgia 28

UGA
2025 · Week 2 · Sep 6, 2025 · Sanford Stadium
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Win probability · UGA
modelUGA aheadAPSU aheadconfidence bandkey playUGA scoreAPSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · Malaki Dowell run for 2 yds to the APSU 37
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+50.0+25.00−25.0−50.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:50: Nate Frazier run for 2 yds for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK) — UGA win probability +0.2 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 10:54: Chauncey Bowens run for 14 yds for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK) — UGA win probability +1.4 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 5:51: Carson Smith 43 yd FG GOOD — APSU win probability +0.8 pts (now 3%) (top driver: APSU has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q3 4:23: Chris Parson pass incomplete to Shemar Kirk — APSU win probability +0.7 pts (now 3%) (top driver: APSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 5:39: Nate Frazier run for 1 yd for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK) — UGA win probability +1.2 pts (now 100%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UGA made the numbers' call on 3 of 4APSU made the numbers' call on 9 of 10
  1. Q1 11:11APSU 4th & 3 at UGA 46, tied
    Close callPunted · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    0.7%−0.2
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:46APSU 4th & 11 at APSU 24, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.2%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.3%
    average punt
  3. Q2 9:08APSU 4th & 11 at UGA 27, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.6%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    1.7%
    62% to make
    Punt
    1.3%−0.4
    average punt
  4. Q2 7:48UGA 4th & 4 at UGA 31, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.9%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.9%
    average punt
  5. Q2 3:08UGA 4th & 21 at APSU 38, up 11
    Close callPunted · 97.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.2%−0.1
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    97.3%
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    97.3%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:27APSU 4th & 9 at APSU 15, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.4%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.5%
    average punt
  7. Q3 13:35APSU 4th & 5 at APSU 30, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.9%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.0%
    average punt
  8. Q3 9:31APSU 4th & 10 at APSU 48, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.6%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.8%
    average punt
  9. Q3 5:51APSU 4th & 5 at UGA 26, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.8%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    1.8%
    64% to make
    Punt
    0.6%−1.2
    average punt
  10. Q3 4:27UGA 4th & 10 at UGA 10, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.4%−0.3
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.7%
    average punt
  11. Q3 0:50APSU 4th & 1 at UGA 4, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.3%
    65% to convert
    Field goal
    2.3%−0.9
    93% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−3.4
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:22APSU 4th & 2 at UGA 2, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    3.0%−0.6
    94% to make
    Punt
    0.4%−3.2
    average punt
  13. Q4 1:53APSU 4th & 10 at APSU 43, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−<0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  14. Q4 0:31UGA 4th & 7 at UGA 23, up 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.4%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.5%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UGA made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 5:55UGA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:50UGA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 10:54UGA Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 5:39UGA Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UGADrive 1FUMBLE
5 plays · 28 yds · 1:43100% → 100%
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.7%
Gunner Stockton pass complete to Dillon Bell for 3 yds to the UGA 28Similar
Q1 14:20
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+9
99.6%
Gunner Stockton pass complete to Talyn Taylor for 9 yds to the UGA 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:44
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
99.6%
Gunner Stockton run for 7 yds to the UGA 44Similar
Q1 13:09
2ND & 3
OWN 44
+9
99.6%
Nate Frazier run for 9 yds to the APSU 47 Nate Frazier fumbled, recovered by APSU Ellis Ellis Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APSUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:410% → 1%
Q1 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
99.6%
Chris Parson pass complete to Javious Bond for 5 yds to the UGA 48Similar
Q1 12:25
2ND & 5
OPP 48
+4
99.6%
Courtland Simmons run for 4 yds to the UGA 44Similar
Q1 11:45
3RD & 1
OPP 44
-2
99.6%
Courtland Simmons run for a loss of 2 yards to the UGA 46Similar
Q1 11:11
4TH & 3
OPP 46
0
99.5%
Gavin Myers punt for 46 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 3TD
11 plays · 80 yds · 5:16100% → 99%
Q1 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
99.5%
PENALTY UGA Illegal Substitution 5 yards from UGA20 to UGA15. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:04
1ST & 15
OWN 15
+10
99.5%
Chauncey Bowens run for 10 yds to the UGA 25Similar
Q1 10:28
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+13
99.5%
Gunner Stockton pass complete to Colbie Young for 13 yds to the UGA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+17
99.5%
Gunner Stockton pass complete to Zachariah Branch for 17 yds to the APSU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:18
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
99.5%
Gunner Stockton run for 2 yds to the APSU 43Similar
Q1 8:46
2ND & 8
OPP 43
+6
99.4%
Gunner Stockton pass complete to Noah Thomas for 6 yds to the APSU 37Similar
Q1 8:12
3RD & 2
OPP 37
+4
99.4%
Chauncey Bowens run for 4 yds to the APSU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:33
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+23
99.4%
Dwight Phillips Jr. run for 23 yds to the APSU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
99.4%
Chauncey Bowens run for no gain to the APSU 10Similar
Q1 6:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+8
99.3%
Chauncey Bowens run for 8 yds to the APSU 2Similar
Q1 5:55
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.4%
Chauncey Bowens run for 2 yds for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APSUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 2:011% → 1%
Q1 5:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.4%
Chris Parson pass complete to Nate Garnett Jr. for 6 yds to the APSU 31Similar
Q1 5:10
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+1
99.3%
Chris Parson run for 1 yd to the APSU 32Similar
Q1 4:34
3RD & 3
OWN 32
-8
99.3%
Chris Parson sacked by Chris Cole for a loss of 8 yards to the APSU 24Similar
Q1 3:46
4TH & 11
OWN 24
+9
99.3%
Gavin Myers punt for 41 yds , Zachariah Branch returns for 9 yds to the UGA 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 5TD
9 plays · 56 yds · 4:3899% → 99%
Q1 3:28
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
99.3%
Gunner Stockton pass complete to Nate Frazier for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 3:00
2ND & 4
50
+9
99.2%
Gunner Stockton pass complete to Nate Frazier for 9 yds to the APSU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:23
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
99.2%
Nate Frazier run for 4 yds to the APSU 37Similar
Q1 1:41
2ND & 6
OPP 37
+19
99.2%
Gunner Stockton pass complete to Talyn Taylor for 19 yds to the APSU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:02
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-1
99.1%
Zachariah Branch run for a loss of 1 yard to the APSU 19Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 11
OPP 19
+8
99.1%
Gunner Stockton pass complete to Sacovie White-Helton for 8 yds to the APSU 11Similar
Q2 14:54
3RD & 3
OPP 11
+5
99.0%
Gunner Stockton pass complete to Cash Jones for 5 yds to the APSU 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
99.0%
Nate Frazier run for 4 yds to the APSU 2Similar
Q2 13:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.3%
Nate Frazier run for 2 yds for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APSUDrive 6FG
9 plays · 48 yds · 4:311% → 1%
Q2 13:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
99.1%
Chris Parson pass complete to Kamari Maxwell for 13 yds to the APSU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
99.1%
Chris Parson pass complete to Nate Garnett Jr. for 6 yds to the APSU 44Similar
Q2 12:24
2ND & 4
OWN 44
+4
99.0%
Chris Parson pass complete to Jase Skoglund for 4 yds to the APSU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+26
99.0%
Chris Parson pass complete to Kamari Maxwell for 26 yds to the UGA 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:23
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-3
98.9%
Courtland Simmons run for a loss of 3 yards to the UGA 29Similar
Q2 10:33
2ND & 13
OPP 29
0
98.9%
Chris Parson pass complete to Shemar Kirk for no gain to the UGA 29Similar
Q2 9:44
3RD & 13
OPP 29
+2
98.9%
Javious Bond run for 2 yds to the UGA 27Similar
Q2 9:08
4TH & 11
OPP 27
+44
98.7%
Carson Smith 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:1499% → 99%
Q2 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.8%
Gunner Stockton pass incomplete to Dillon BellSimilar
Q2 8:54
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
98.7%
Nate Frazier run for 5 yds to the UGA 30Similar
Q2 8:20
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+1
98.7%
Gunner Stockton run for 1 yd to the UGA 31Similar
Q2 7:48
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
98.6%
Brett Thorson punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Ellis Ellis Jr. at the APSU 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APSUDrive 8INT
4 plays · 10 yds · 2:051% → 2%
Q2 7:39
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+7
98.6%
Chris Parson pass complete to Jase Skoglund for 7 yds to the APSU 31Similar
Q2 6:56
2ND & 3
OWN 31
+2
98.4%
Chris Parson pass complete to Kamari Maxwell for 2 yds to the APSU 33Similar
Q2 6:09
3RD & 1
OWN 33
+1
98.4%
Courtland Simmons run for 1 yd to the APSU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
98.3%
Chris Parson pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 2:1999% → 98%
Q2 5:27
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
98.5%
Chauncey Bowens run for 3 yds to the APSU 36Similar
Q2 4:55
2ND & 7
OPP 36
+9
98.5%
Dwight Phillips Jr. run for 9 yds to the APSU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:05
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+5
98.5%
Gunner Stockton pass complete to Dillon Bell for 5 yds to the APSU 32Similar
Q2 3:41
2ND & 15
OPP 32
+6
98.4%
Gunner Stockton pass complete to Zachariah Branch for 6 yds to the APSU 38Similar
Q2 3:16
3RD & 21
OPP 38
0
98.3%
Gunner Stockton pass incomplete to Cash JonesSimilar
Q2 3:08
4TH & 21
OPP 38
0
98.1%
Brett Thorson punt for 34 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APSUDrive 10PUNT
11 plays · 11 yds · 1:342% → 2%
Q2 3:01
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+8
98.2%
Corey Richardson run for 8 yds to the APSU 12Similar
Q2 2:18
2ND & 2
OWN 12
+2
98.2%
Chris Parson run for 2 yds to the APSU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-5
98.0%
(01:58) No Huddle-Shotgun Parson,Chris pass complete short right to Kirk,Shemar caught at APS11, for 4 yards to the APS18 (Harris,Daniel), out of bounds PENALTY APS Holding (Robinson,Jaden) 5 yards from APS14 to APS09. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:50
1ST & 15
OWN 9
+4
98.0%
Corey Richardson run for 4 yds to the APSU 13Similar
Q2 1:43
2ND & 11
OWN 13
+6
98.0%
Chris Parson run for 6 yds to the APSU 19Similar
Q2 1:36
3RD & 5
OWN 19
-4
98.2%
Chris Parson sacked by CJ Allen for a loss of 4 yards to the APSU 15Similar
Q2 1:27
4TH & 9
OWN 15
0
98.2%
Gavin Myers punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 11END OF HALF
14 plays · 53 yds · 1:2098% → 98%
Q2 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+18
98.4%
Gunner Stockton pass complete to Cash Jones for 18 yds to the APSU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:07
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+9
98.5%
Gunner Stockton pass complete to Cash Jones for 9 yds to the APSU 28Similar
Q2 0:53
2ND & 1
OPP 28
+15
98.4%
Gunner Stockton pass complete to Colbie Young for 15 yds to the APSU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:49
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+7
98.4%
Gunner Stockton pass complete to Noah Thomas for 7 yds to the APSU 6Similar
Q2 0:41
2ND & 3
OPP 6
-1
98.2%
Cash Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the APSU 7Similar
Q2 0:37
3RD & 4
OPP 7
+6
98.1%
Gunner Stockton pass complete to Zachariah Branch for 6 yds to the APSU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
98.2%
Nate Frazier run for no gain to the APSU 1Similar
Q2 0:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
98.0%
Gunner Stockton pass incomplete to Zachariah BranchSimilar
Q2 0:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
97.9%
(00:12) Stockton,Gunner pass incomplete short right to Jones,Cash thrown to APS01 PENALTY APS Holding (Ellis Jr.,Ellis), 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
97.9%
Gunner Stockton pass incomplete to Sacovie White-HeltonSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
97.7%
Chauncey Bowens run for a loss of 1 yard to the APSU 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APSUDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:212% → 2%
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
97.9%
Courtland Simmons run for a loss of 1 yard to the APSU 24Similar
Q3 14:22
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
97.8%
Chris Parson pass incomplete to Courtland SimmonsSimilar
Q3 14:14
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+6
97.9%
Chris Parson pass complete to Shemar Kirk for 6 yds to the APSU 30Similar
Q3 13:35
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
97.8%
Gavin Myers punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UGA 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 13TD
7 plays · 60 yds · 2:3298% → 99%
Q3 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+12
97.9%
Gunner Stockton pass complete to Colbie Young for 12 yds to the APSU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:04
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+9
97.9%
Nate Frazier run for 9 yds to the APSU 39Similar
Q3 12:36
2ND & 1
OPP 39
+9
97.8%
Gunner Stockton pass complete to Colbie Young for 9 yds to the APSU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:08
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
97.8%
Gunner Stockton pass incomplete to Zachariah BranchSimilar
Q3 11:54
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+7
97.8%
Nate Frazier run for 7 yds to the APSU 23Similar
Q3 11:24
3RD & 3
OPP 23
+9
97.6%
Chauncey Bowens run for 9 yds to the APSU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:54
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
99.0%
Chauncey Bowens run for 14 yds for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APSUDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 23 yds · 1:162% → 1%
Q3 10:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+23
98.5%
Chris Parson pass complete to Shemar Kirk for 23 yds to the APSU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
98.3%
Chris Parson pass incomplete to Jaden RobinsonSimilar
Q3 10:16
2ND & 10
OWN 48
0
98.6%
Chris Parson pass complete to Shemar Kirk for no gain to the APSU 48Similar
Q3 9:40
3RD & 10
OWN 48
0
98.6%
Chris Parson pass incomplete to Shemar KirkSimilar
Q3 9:31
4TH & 10
OWN 48
0
98.7%
Gavin Myers punt for 47 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 15FUMBLE
5 plays · 26 yds · 1:3799% → 99%
Q3 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+5
98.8%
Gunner Stockton pass complete to Colbie Young for 5 yds to the UGA 10Similar
Q3 8:57
2ND & 5
OWN 10
+9
98.9%
Nate Frazier run for 9 yds to the UGA 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:27
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+4
98.9%
Nate Frazier run for 4 yds to the UGA 23Similar
Q3 7:54
2ND & 6
OWN 23
0
98.9%
Gunner Stockton pass incomplete to Oscar DelpSimilar
Q3 7:48
3RD & 6
OWN 23
+8
98.9%
Gunner Stockton pass complete to London Humphreys for 8 yds London Humphreys fumbled, recovered by APSU Davion HoodSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APSUDrive 16FG
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:452% → 3%
Q3 7:36
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+1
98.3%
Chris Parson run for 1 yd to the UGA 30Similar
Q3 7:04
2ND & 9
OPP 30
+3
98.3%
Kaden Williams run for 3 yds to the UGA 27Similar
Q3 6:26
3RD & 6
OPP 27
+1
98.3%
Courtland Simmons run for 1 yd to the UGA 26Similar
Q3 5:51
4TH & 5
OPP 26
+43
97.5%
Carson Smith 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:1198% → 98%
Q3 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+9
98.0%
Dwight Phillips Jr. run for 9 yds to the UGA 19Similar
Q3 5:06
2ND & 1
OWN 19
-9
98.3%
(05:11) Phillips Jr.,Dwight rush left for 7 yards gain to the UGA26 (Creary,Deandre) PENALTY UGA Holding (Freeling,Monroe) 9 yards from UGA19 to UGA10. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:44
2ND & 10
OWN 10
0
98.3%
Gunner Stockton pass incomplete to Dillon BellSimilar
Q3 4:39
3RD & 10
OWN 10
0
98.2%
Gunner Stockton pass incomplete to Lawson LuckieSimilar
Q3 4:27
4TH & 10
OWN 10
0
98.1%
Brett Thorson punt for 54 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APSUDrive 18DOWNS
13 plays · 63 yds · 5:013% → 3%
Q3 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
97.4%
Chris Parson pass incomplete to Shemar KirkSimilar
Q3 4:16
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+4
97.4%
Corey Richardson run for 4 yds to the APSU 40Similar
Q3 3:32
3RD & 6
OWN 40
+34
97.3%
Chris Parson pass complete to Jaden Robinson for 34 yds to the UGA 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:53
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+13
96.7%
Chris Parson pass complete to Courtland Simmons for 13 yds to the UGA 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:16
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+4
97.0%
Courtland Simmons run for 4 yds to the UGA 9Similar
Q3 1:28
2ND & 6
OPP 9
+5
96.9%
Chris Parson pass complete to Jase Skoglund for 5 yds to the UGA 4Similar
Q3 1:02
3RD & 1
OPP 4
0
97.5%
Chris Parson pass incomplete to Shemar KirkSimilar
Q3 0:50
4TH & 1
OPP 4
+1
97.5%
Chris Parson run for 1 yd to the UGA 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
97.3%
Chris Parson pass incomplete to Jaden RobinsonSimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
97.2%
Chris Parson run for 1 yd to the UGA 2Similar
Q4 14:54
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
97.5%
Courtland Simmons run for no gain to the UGA 2Similar
Q4 14:22
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
97.4%
Chris Parson pass complete to Jackson Head for 1 yd to the UGA 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 19TD
18 plays · 99 yds · 8:3898% → 100%
Q4 14:17
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+5
98.2%
Gunner Stockton pass complete to London Humphreys for 5 yds to the UGA 6Similar
Q4 13:50
2ND & 5
OWN 6
+4
98.2%
Nate Frazier run for 4 yds to the UGA 10Similar
Q4 13:11
3RD & 1
OWN 10
+3
98.2%
Chauncey Bowens run for 3 yds to the UGA 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:38
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+11
98.2%
Gunner Stockton pass complete to Colbie Young for 11 yds to the UGA 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:08
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+6
98.3%
Dwight Phillips Jr. run for 6 yds to the UGA 30Similar
Q4 11:37
2ND & 4
OWN 30
+11
98.3%
Gunner Stockton pass complete to Colbie Young for 11 yds to the UGA 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:06
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-1
98.4%
Dwight Phillips Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the UGA 40Similar
Q4 10:31
2ND & 11
OWN 40
+5
98.4%
Nate Frazier run for 5 yds to the UGA 45Similar
Q4 9:59
3RD & 6
OWN 45
+11
98.4%
Gunner Stockton pass complete to Noah Thomas for 11 yds to the APSU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:29
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
98.4%
Gunner Stockton run for no gain to the APSU 44Similar
Q4 8:58
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+10
98.4%
Dwight Phillips Jr. run for 10 yds to the APSU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:22
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+6
98.3%
Nate Frazier run for 6 yds to the APSU 28Similar
Q4 7:52
2ND & 4
OPP 28
+16
98.3%
Gunner Stockton pass complete to London Humphreys for 16 yds to the APSU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:28
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-1
98.3%
Dwight Phillips Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the APSU 13Similar
Q4 6:44
2ND & 11
OPP 13
+4
98.4%
Chauncey Bowens run for 4 yds to the APSU 9Similar
Q4 6:14
3RD & 7
OPP 9
+5
98.4%
(06:18) No Huddle-Shotgun Stockton,Gunner pass incomplete short left to Young,Colbie thrown to APS00 PENALTY APS Personal Foul (Williams,Jalon) 5 yards from APS09 to APS04, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 6:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
98.5%
Gunner Stockton run for 3 yds to the APSU 1Similar
Q4 5:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.6%
Nate Frazier run for 1 yd for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APSUDrive 20PUNT
9 plays · 18 yds · 3:390% → 0%
Q4 5:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.6%
Corey Richardson run for 3 yds to the APSU 28Similar
Q4 4:50
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+5
99.6%
Corey Richardson run for 5 yds to the APSU 33Similar
Q4 4:13
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+10
99.6%
Corey Richardson run for 10 yds to the APSU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-1
99.6%
Corey Richardson run for a loss of 1 yard to the APSU 42Similar
Q4 2:52
2ND & 11
OWN 42
0
99.6%
Chris Parson run for no gain to the APSU 42Similar
Q4 2:11
3RD & 11
OWN 42
+1
99.6%
Kaden Williams run for 1 yd to the APSU 43Similar
Q4 1:53
4TH & 10
OWN 43
0
99.6%
Gavin Myers punt for 57 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:11100% → 100%
Q4 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
99.8%
Ryan Puglisi pass complete to Sacovie White-Helton for 4 yds to the UGA 24Similar
Q4 1:14
2ND & 6
OWN 24
-1
99.8%
Josh McCray run for a loss of 1 yard to the UGA 23Similar
Q4 0:38
3RD & 7
OWN 23
0
99.8%
Ryan Puglisi pass incomplete to Sacovie White-HeltonSimilar
Q4 0:31
4TH & 7
OWN 23
0
99.7%
Brett Thorson punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Ellis Ellis Jr. at the APSU 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APSUDrive 22END OF GAME
1 play · 2 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
99.5%
Malaki Dowell run for 2 yds to the APSU 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 10:54
Chauncey Bowens run for 14 yds for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK)
+1.4
TD · Q4 5:39
Nate Frazier run for 1 yd for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK)
+1.2
FG · Q3 5:51
Carson Smith 43 yd FG GOOD
-0.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com