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ULM

UL Monroe 0 at Alabama 73

ALA
2025 · Week 2 · Sep 6, 2025 · Bryant-Denny Stadium
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Win probability · ALA
modelALA aheadULM aheadconfidence bandkey playALA scoreULM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · Landon Graves pass complete to Rico Powers Jr. for 12 yds to the ALA 46 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+48.5+24.30−24.3−48.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 8:10: Ty Simpson pass complete to Germie Bernard for 16 yds for a TD (Conor Talty KICK) — ALA win probability +0.2 pts (now 98%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 3:18: Richard Young run for 3 yds for a TD (Conor Talty KICK) — ALA win probability +0.4 pts (now 98%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 13:04: Ty Simpson run for 8 yds for a TD (Conor Talty KICK) — ALA win probability +0.8 pts (now 99%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 9:20: Austin Mack pass complete to Kaleb Edwards for 6 yds for a TD (Conor Talty KICK) — ULM win probability +0.1 pts (now 1%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 0:31: Ty Simpson pass complete to Isaiah Horton for 29 yds for a TD (Conor Talty KICK) — ALA win probability +0.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ALA made the numbers' call on 2 of 3ULM made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 10:35ULM 4th & 9 at ULM 21, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.7%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:14ULM 4th & 6 at ULM 19, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.8%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:53ULM 4th & 14 at ULM 26, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.1%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.3%
    average punt
  4. Q2 5:48ULM 4th & 6 at ULM 25, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  5. Q2 1:53ALA 4th & 4 at ULM 39, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    99.3%−0.1
    36% to make
    Punt
    99.3%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q3 12:06ULM 4th & 10 at ULM 39, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  7. Q3 12:06ALA 4th & 1 at ULM 35, up 42
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    99.5%−0.2
    45% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.2
    average punt
  8. Q3 6:20ALA 4th & 5 at ULM 28, up 42
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.8%−<0.1
    60% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.3
    average punt
  9. Q3 4:46ULM 4th & 4 at ULM 31, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  10. Q4 8:52ULM 4th & 7 at ALA 43, down 59
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    -0.0%−<0.1
    28% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ALA made the numbers' call on 10 of 10
  1. Q1 12:02ALA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:10ALA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 3:18ALA Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 13:04ALA Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 9:20ALA Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:31ALA Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 0:17ALA Touchdown, up 51 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 12:46ALA Touchdown, up 58 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 6:07ALA Touchdown, up 65 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 1:02ALA Touchdown, up 72 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ALADrive 1TD
7 plays · 80 yds · 2:4098% → 98%
Q1 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+22
98.1%
Ty Simpson pass complete to Germie Bernard for 22 yds to the ALA 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:19
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-5
98.0%
PENALTY ALA False Start (Brailsford,Parker) 5 yards from ALA42 to ALA37. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 13:51
1ST & 15
OWN 37
+22
98.0%
Kevin Riley run for 22 yds to the ULM 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:04
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+9
97.9%
Ty Simpson pass complete to Lotzeir Brooks for 9 yds to the ULM 32Similar
Q1 12:38
2ND & 1
OPP 32
+3
97.8%
Richard Young run for 3 yds to the ULM 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:02
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+29
97.9%
Ty Simpson pass complete to Germie Bernard for 29 yds for a TD (Conor Talty KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:162% → 2%
Q1 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
97.8%
Braylon McReynolds run for 4 yds to the ULM 24Similar
Q1 11:14
2ND & 6
OWN 24
-3
97.7%
Braylon McReynolds run for a loss of 3 yards to the ULM 21Similar
Q1 10:43
3RD & 9
OWN 21
0
97.7%
Aidan Armenta pass incomplete to JP CoulterSimilar
Q1 10:35
4TH & 9
OWN 21
0
97.7%
Makenzie Ryan punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Cole Adams at the ULM 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 3TD
5 plays · 39 yds · 2:0998% → 98%
Q1 10:19
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
97.7%
Kevin Riley run for 2 yds to the ULM 37Similar
Q1 9:49
2ND & 8
OPP 37
+2
97.7%
Kevin Riley run for 2 yds to the ULM 35Similar
Q1 9:04
3RD & 6
OPP 35
+14
97.6%
Ty Simpson pass complete to Lotzeir Brooks for 14 yds to the ULM 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:47
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+5
97.6%
Daniel Hill run for 5 yds to the ULM 16Similar
Q1 8:10
2ND & 5
OPP 16
+16
97.8%
Ty Simpson pass complete to Germie Bernard for 16 yds for a TD (Conor Talty KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:392% → 2%
Q1 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-1
97.7%
Aidan Armenta pass complete to Jake Godfrey for a loss of 1 yard to the ULM 14Similar
Q1 7:07
2ND & 11
OWN 14
+5
97.6%
Hunter Herring run for 5 yds to the ULM 19Similar
Q1 6:29
3RD & 6
OWN 19
+29
97.6%
Aidan Armenta pass complete to Rico Powers Jr. for 29 yds to the ULM 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:14
4TH & 6
OWN 19
+36
97.6%
Makenzie Ryan punt for 40 yds , Cole Adams returns for 36 yds to the ULM 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 5TD
5 plays · 23 yds · 2:4998% → 98%
Q1 6:07
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+4
97.7%
Richard Young run for 4 yds to the ULM 19Similar
Q1 5:17
2ND & 6
OPP 19
-5
97.7%
Ty Simpson run for a loss of 5 yards to the ULM 24Similar
Q1 4:29
3RD & 11
OPP 24
+19
97.6%
Ty Simpson pass complete to Lotzeir Brooks for 19 yds to the ULM 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
97.6%
Richard Young run for 2 yds to the ULM 3Similar
Q1 3:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
98.0%
Richard Young run for 3 yds for a TD (Conor Talty KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · -4 yds · 2:132% → 2%
Q1 3:06
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
98.1%
Zach Palmer-Smith run for 3 yds to the ULM 33Similar
Q1 2:30
2ND & 7
OWN 33
-5
98.1%
(02:35) Shotgun Armenta,Aidan pass complete short right to McReynolds,Braylon caught at ULM25, for 3 yards loss to the ULM30 (Hill-Green,Nikhai; Russaw,Qua) PENALTY ULM Illegal Shift 5 yards from ULM33 to ULM28. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:10
2ND & 12
OWN 28
0
98.1%
Aidan Armenta run for no gain to the ULM 28Similar
Q1 1:22
3RD & 12
OWN 28
-2
98.1%
Dorian Lewis run for a loss of 2 yards to the ULM 26Similar
Q1 0:53
4TH & 14
OWN 26
0
98.1%
Makenzie Ryan punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Cole Adams at the ALA 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 7TD
6 plays · 65 yds · 2:3998% → 99%
Q1 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
98.0%
Daniel Hill run for 5 yds to the ALA 40Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+11
98.1%
Ty Simpson pass complete to Josh Cuevas for 11 yds to the ULM 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:42
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+12
98.1%
Ty Simpson pass complete to Kevin Riley for 12 yds to the ULM 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:05
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+25
98.2%
Ty Simpson pass complete to Rico Scott for 25 yds to the ULM 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:32
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+4
98.2%
Kevin Riley run for 4 yds to the ULM 8Similar
Q2 13:04
2ND & 6
OPP 8
+8
99.0%
Ty Simpson run for 8 yds for a TD (Conor Talty KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 8INT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:101% → 1%
Q2 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
99.0%
Braylon McReynolds run for no gain to the ULM 21Similar
Q2 12:13
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+7
99.1%
Jake Godfrey run for 7 yds to the ULM 28Similar
Q2 11:38
3RD & 3
OWN 28
0
99.0%
Aidan Armenta pass interceptedSimilar
Q2 11:38
3RD & 3
OWN 28
0
99.0%
Aidan Armenta pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 9TD
7 plays · 39 yds · 2:0399% → 99%
Q2 11:23
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+10
99.1%
Austin Mack pass complete to Kevin Riley for 10 yds to the ULM 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:34
2ND & 1
OPP 30
+2
99.0%
Kevin Riley run for 2 yds to the ULM 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:05
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+15
99.1%
Austin Mack pass complete to Kevin Riley for 15 yds to the ULM 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:37
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+7
99.1%
Kevin Riley run for 7 yds to the ULM 6Similar
Q2 9:20
2ND & 3
OPP 6
+6
99.0%
Austin Mack pass complete to Kaleb Edwards for 6 yds for a TD (Conor Talty KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 10PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 3:221% → 0%
Q2 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 6
0
99.4%
Aidan Armenta pass incomplete to Jake GodfreySimilar
Q2 9:03
2ND & 10
OWN 6
+4
99.4%
Zach Palmer-Smith run for 4 yds to the ULM 10Similar
Q2 8:23
3RD & 6
OWN 10
+11
99.5%
Aidan Armenta pass complete to JP Coulter for 11 yds to the ULM 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:47
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
99.5%
Dorian Lewis run for 1 yd to the ULM 22Similar
Q2 7:06
2ND & 9
OWN 22
-1
99.5%
Aidan Armenta pass complete to Braylon McReynolds for a loss of 1 yard to the ULM 21Similar
Q2 6:30
3RD & 10
OWN 21
+4
99.5%
Aidan Armenta run for 4 yds to the ULM 25Similar
Q2 5:48
4TH & 6
OWN 25
+9
99.6%
Makenzie Ryan punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ALA 42 , Cole Adams returns for 9 yds to the ALA 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 11TD
14 plays · 58 yds · 5:05100% → 100%
Q2 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
99.5%
Ty Simpson pass complete to Isaiah Horton for 3 yds to the ALA 45Similar
Q2 4:59
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+4
99.5%
Ty Simpson pass complete to Rico Scott for 4 yds to the ALA 49Similar
Q2 4:21
3RD & 3
OWN 49
+6
99.5%
Ty Simpson pass complete to Kevin Riley for 6 yds to the ULM 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:51
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
99.5%
Kevin Riley run for 3 yds to the ULM 42Similar
Q2 3:10
2ND & 7
OPP 42
-15
99.5%
(03:18) Shotgun Simpson,Ty pass complete deep middle to Bernard,Germie caught at ULM00, for 42 yards to the ULM00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 03:10 PENALTY ALA Pass Interference (Bernard,Germie) 15 yards from ULM42 to ALA43. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:57
2ND & 22
OWN 43
-1
99.5%
Ty Simpson pass complete to Kevin Riley for a loss of 1 yard to the ALA 42Similar
Q2 2:14
3RD & 23
OWN 42
+19
99.6%
Ty Simpson pass complete to Isaiah Horton for 19 yds to the ULM 39Similar
Q2 1:53
4TH & 4
OPP 39
+5
99.5%
Ty Simpson pass complete to Rico Scott for 5 yds to the ULM 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:19
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+11
99.6%
Kevin Riley run for 11 yds to the ULM 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:59
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+4
99.6%
Ty Simpson pass complete to Kevin Riley for 4 yds to the ULM 19Similar
Q2 0:39
2ND & 6
OPP 19
-10
99.6%
(00:39) Shotgun Simpson,Ty rush left for 19 yards gain to the ULM00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 00:39 PENALTY ALA Holding (Brailsford,Parker) 10 yards from ULM19 to ULM29. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:31
2ND & 16
OPP 29
+29
99.7%
Ty Simpson pass complete to Isaiah Horton for 29 yds for a TD (Conor Talty KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 12END OF HALF
3 plays · 11 yds · 0:240% → 0%
Q2 0:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.8%
Braylon McReynolds run for 1 yd to the ULM 26Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+10
99.8%
Braylon McReynolds run for 10 yds to the ULM 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 2:540% → 0%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
99.7%
Aidan Armenta pass complete to Tyler Griffin for 14 yds to the ULM 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:11
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-2
99.7%
Tyrell Reed Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the ULM 37Similar
Q3 14:11
2ND & 12
OWN 37
+2
99.8%
Braylon McReynolds run for 2 yds to the ULM 39Similar
Q3 14:11
3RD & 10
OWN 39
0
99.8%
Aidan Armenta pass complete to Braylon McReynolds for no gain to the ULM 39Similar
Q3 12:06
4TH & 10
OWN 39
0
99.8%
Makenzie Ryan punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Cole Adams at the ALA 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 14FG
12 plays · 48 yds · 5:46100% → 100%
Q3 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+12
99.8%
Kevin Riley run for 12 yds to the ALA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
99.8%
Austin Mack run for 2 yds to the ALA 38Similar
Q3 12:06
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+2
99.8%
Austin Mack run for 2 yds to the ALA 40Similar
Q3 12:06
3RD & 6
OWN 40
+16
99.8%
Austin Mack pass complete to Lotzeir Brooks for 16 yds to the ULM 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:06
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
99.8%
Richard Young run for 5 yds to the ULM 39Similar
Q3 12:06
2ND & 5
OPP 39
+3
99.8%
Kevin Riley run for 3 yds to the ULM 36Similar
Q3 12:06
3RD & 2
OPP 36
+1
99.8%
Kevin Riley run for 1 yd to the ULM 35Similar
Q3 12:06
4TH & 1
OPP 35
+2
99.8%
Richard Young run for 2 yds to the ULM 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:21
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
99.8%
Austin Mack pass incomplete to Lotzeir BrooksSimilar
Q3 7:11
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+4
99.8%
Daniel Hill run for 4 yds to the ULM 29Similar
Q3 6:39
3RD & 6
OPP 29
+1
99.8%
Austin Mack pass complete to Marshall Pritchett for 1 yd to the ULM 28Similar
Q3 6:20
4TH & 5
OPP 28
+46
99.9%
Conor Talty 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:220% → 0%
Q3 6:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Aidan Armenta pass incomplete to Jake GodfreySimilar
Q3 5:40
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-4
99.9%
Hunter Herring run for a loss of 4 yards to the ULM 21Similar
Q3 5:19
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+10
99.9%
Dorian Lewis run for 10 yds to the ULM 31Similar
Q3 4:46
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
99.9%
Makenzie Ryan punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Cole Adams at the ALA 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 16TD
10 plays · 56 yds · 4:22100% → 100%
Q3 4:39
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+7
99.9%
Dre Washington run for 7 yds to the ULM 49Similar
Q3 4:18
2ND & 3
OPP 49
+3
99.9%
Dre Washington run for 3 yds to the ULM 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:46
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
99.9%
Austin Mack pass incomplete to Cole AdamsSimilar
Q3 3:38
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+6
99.9%
Dre Washington run for 6 yds to the ULM 40Similar
Q3 2:59
3RD & 4
OPP 40
+5
99.9%
Austin Mack pass complete to Cole Adams for 5 yds to the ULM 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:12
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
99.9%
AK Dear run for 3 yds to the ULM 32Similar
Q3 1:53
2ND & 7
OPP 32
+25
99.9%
Austin Mack pass complete to Cole Adams for 25 yds to the ULM 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
99.9%
AK Dear run for 3 yds to the ULM 4Similar
Q3 0:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
99.9%
Dre Washington run for 1 yd to the ULM 3Similar
Q3 0:17
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.9%
Austin Mack pass complete to Josh Cuevas for 3 yds for a TD (Peter Notaro KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 17FUMBLE
6 plays · 15 yds · 1:150% → 0%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
100.0%
D'Shaun Ford run for a loss of 2 yards to the ULM 23Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+10
100.0%
Braylon McReynolds run for 10 yds to the ULM 33Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+9
100.0%
Hunter Herring run for 9 yds to the ULM 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
100.0%
Aidan Armenta pass incomplete to Hunter HerringSimilar
Q4 13:45
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+2
100.0%
Aidan Armenta pass complete to Rico Powers Jr. for 2 yds Rico Powers Jr. fumbled, recovered by ALA QB ReeseSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 18TD
4 plays · 19 yds · 0:59100% → 100%
Q4 13:45
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+1
99.9%
Keelon Russell run for 1 yd to the ULM 18Similar
Q4 13:45
2ND & 9
OPP 18
0
99.9%
Keelon Russell pass incomplete to Peter KnudsonSimilar
Q4 12:46
3RD & 9
OPP 18
+18
99.9%
Keelon Russell pass complete to Cole Adams for 18 yds for a TD (Peter Notaro KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 19DOWNS
8 plays · 31 yds · 3:430% → 0%
Q4 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
100.0%
Tyrell Reed Jr. run for 1 yd to the ULM 26Similar
Q4 11:59
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+5
100.0%
Jonathan Bibbs run for 5 yds to the ULM 31Similar
Q4 11:24
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+8
100.0%
Aidan Armenta pass complete to Tyler Griffin for 8 yds to the ALA 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:55
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
100.0%
D'Shaun Ford run for 2 yds to the ALA 44Similar
Q4 10:22
2ND & 8
OPP 44
-6
100.0%
Zach Palmer-Smith run for a loss of 6 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 9:33
3RD & 14
50
+7
100.0%
Zach Palmer-Smith run for 7 yds to the ALA 43Similar
Q4 8:52
4TH & 7
OPP 43
-1
100.0%
Aidan Armenta pass complete to Hunter Herring for a loss of 1 yard to the ALA 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 20TD
7 plays · 56 yds · 2:36100% → 100%
Q4 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+16
100.0%
Keelon Russell pass complete to Jaylen Mbakwe for 16 yds to the ULM 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:02
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
100.0%
Jaylen Mbakwe run for 4 yds to the ULM 36Similar
Q4 7:33
2ND & 6
OPP 36
+11
100.0%
Keelon Russell pass complete to Marshall Pritchett for 11 yds to the ULM 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:52
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
100.0%
Dre Washington run for 5 yds to the ULM 20Similar
Q4 6:12
2ND & 5
OPP 20
0
100.0%
Keelon Russell pass incomplete to Jack SammarcoSimilar
Q4 6:07
3RD & 5
OPP 20
+20
100.0%
Keelon Russell pass complete to MJ Chirgwin for 20 yds for a TD (Peter Notaro KICK) (Peter Notaro KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 21FUMBLE
9 plays · 35 yds · 3:180% → 0%
Q4 5:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
100.0%
Tyrell Reed Jr. run for a loss of 5 yards to the ULM 20Similar
Q4 5:12
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+14
100.0%
D'Shaun Ford run for 14 yds to the ULM 34Similar
Q4 4:41
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
100.0%
D'Shaun Ford run for 3 yds to the ULM 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
100.0%
Landon Graves pass incomplete to Jonathan BibbsSimilar
Q4 3:57
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+5
100.0%
Tyrell Reed Jr. run for 5 yds to the ULM 42Similar
Q4 3:05
3RD & 5
OWN 42
+15
100.0%
Landon Graves pass complete to Hunter Herring for 15 yds to the ALA 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:42
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
100.0%
Landon Graves pass incomplete to Rico Powers Jr.Similar
Q4 2:34
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+3
100.0%
D'Shaun Ford run for 3 yds to the ALA 40 D'Shaun Ford fumbled, recovered by ALA Cayden JonesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 22TD
5 plays · 60 yds · 1:23100% → 100%
Q4 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
100.0%
AK Dear run for 8 yds to the ALA 48Similar
Q4 1:53
2ND & 2
OWN 48
-10
100.0%
(01:56) No Huddle-Shotgun Russell,Keelon pass complete short middle to Mbakwe,Jaylen caught at ALA43, for 9 yards to the ULM43 (Fauntroy,Carl) PENALTY ALA Holding (Lloyd,Jackson) 10 yards from ALA48 to ALA38. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:46
2ND & 12
OWN 38
+6
100.0%
AK Dear run for 6 yds to the ALA 44Similar
Q4 1:02
3RD & 6
OWN 44
+56
100.0%
AK Dear run for 56 yds for a TD (Peter Notaro KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 23END OF GAME
4 plays · 19 yds · 0:540% → 0%
Q4 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
100.0%
Tyrell Reed Jr. run for 9 yds to the ULM 44Similar
Q4 0:30
2ND & 1
OWN 44
-2
100.0%
Tyrell Reed Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the ULM 42Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+12
100.0%
Landon Graves pass complete to Rico Powers Jr. for 12 yds to the ALA 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 13:04
Ty Simpson run for 8 yds for a TD (Conor Talty KICK)
+0.8
TD · Q1 3:18
Richard Young run for 3 yds for a TD (Conor Talty KICK)
+0.4
TD · Q1 8:10
Ty Simpson pass complete to Germie Bernard for 16 yds for a TD (Conor Talty KICK)
+0.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com