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VT

Virginia Tech 11 at South Carolina 24

SC
2025 · Week 1 · Aug 31, 2025 · Mercedes-Benz Stadium
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Win probability · SC
modelSC aheadVT aheadconfidence bandkey playSC scoreVT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDSAFETYFGFGFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 10:34 · Nick Veltsistas punt for 45 yds , Vicari Swain returns for 4 yds to the SC 27
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+31.0+15.50−15.5−31.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 15Pregame prior+21.0Home team on offense+0.7Score differential+0.2Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. SAFETY · Q1 4:33: LaNorris Sellers sacked by Kelvin Gilliam Jr. and Kody Huisman for a loss of 2 yards for a SAFETY — VT win probability +2.2 pts (now 28%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 3:42: William Joyce 27 yd FG GOOD — SC win probability +2.5 pts (now 74%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  3. PUNT · Q4 13:36: Nick Veltsistas punt for 57 yds , Vicari Swain returns for 80 yds for a TD (William Joyce KICK) — SC win probability +17.6 pts (now 86%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 9:00: John Love 39 yd FG GOOD — VT win probability +9.9 pts (now 26%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 7:42: LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Nyck Harbor for 64 yds for a TD (William Joyce KICK) — SC win probability +9.0 pts (now 95%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SC made the numbers' call on 6 of 7VT made the numbers' call on 7 of 10
  1. Q1 10:34VT 4th & 3 at VT 32, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.6%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:27SC 4th & 8 at SC 41, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.6%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:31VT 4th & 24 at VT 31, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.1%−1.7
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.8%
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:17SC 4th & 6 at SC 23, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.7%−0.4
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.1%
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:45VT 4th & 11 at SC 12, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 30.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.5%−0.8
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    30.3%
    86% to make
    Punt
    26.2%−4.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:21SC 4th & 6 at SC 29, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.7%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.9%
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:43VT 4th & 3 at VT 36, down 2
    Close callPunted · 31.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.5%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:42SC 4th & 9 at VT 9, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 69.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.1%−0.8
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    68.9%
    89% to make
    Punt
    63.3%−5.6
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:30VT 4th & 1 at VT 45, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 30.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    30.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    30.1%−0.5
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:00VT 4th & 1 at SC 38, down 5
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.6 ptsKicked a field goal · 31.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    30.1%−3.6
    38% to make
    Punt
    30.7%−3.0
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:48VT 4th & 5 at VT 48, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.9%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.0%
    average punt
  12. Q3 8:03SC 4th & 4 at VT 44, up 2
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 68.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    66.2%−3.1
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    68.0%−1.2
    average punt
  13. Q3 0:38SC 4th & 25 at SC 24, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.7%−7.6
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.3%
    average punt
  14. Q4 13:36VT 4th & 18 at VT 23, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.3%−6.0
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.4%
    average punt
  15. Q4 9:00VT 4th & 2 at SC 22, down 9
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.5 ptsKicked a field goal · 14.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    13.3%−1.5
    72% to make
    Punt
    5.6%−9.2
    average punt
  16. Q4 4:43VT 4th & 10 at SC 48, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.7%
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.3%−0.3
    average punt
  17. Q4 2:00SC 4th & 5 at VT 35, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.4%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    97.3%−0.2
    45% to make
    Punt
    96.9%−0.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SC made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 12:09SC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q4 7:42SC Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SCDrive 1TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:4673% → 73%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
72.6%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Maurice Brown II for 14 yds to the SC 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:25
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+20
72.5%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Nyck Harbor for 20 yds to the VT 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:50
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
72.5%
Oscar Adaway III run for 1 yd to the VT 40Similar
Q1 13:30
2ND & 9
OPP 40
+20
72.5%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Brady Hunt for 20 yds to the VT 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:09
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+1
72.5%
Oscar Adaway III run for 1 yd to the VT 19Similar
Q1 12:45
2ND & 9
OPP 19
+4
72.5%
Oscar Adaway III run for 4 yds to the VT 15Similar
Q1 12:09
3RD & 5
OPP 15
+15
73.2%
LaNorris Sellers run for 15 yds for a TD (William Joyce KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 0 yds · 1:3127% → 27%
Q1 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
72.9%
Marcellous Hawkins run for 2 yds to the VT 27Similar
Q1 11:35
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+5
72.9%
Kyron Drones run for 5 yds to the VT 32Similar
Q1 11:08
3RD & 3
OWN 32
-5
73.0%
Virginia Tech Penalty, False Start (Johnny Garrett) to the VT 27Similar
Q1 11:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
73.1%
Kyron Drones pass incomplete to Donavon GreeneSimilar
Q1 10:44
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+5
73.2%
South Carolina Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the VT 32Similar
Q1 10:34
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+4
73.1%
Nick Veltsistas punt for 45 yds , Vicari Swain returns for 4 yds to the SC 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 3:0773% → 73%
Q1 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-2
73.2%
Rahsul Faison run for a loss of 2 yards to the SC 25Similar
Q1 9:55
2ND & 12
OWN 25
+1
73.3%
Rahsul Faison run for 1 yd to the SC 26Similar
Q1 9:17
3RD & 11
OWN 26
+13
73.2%
LaNorris Sellers run for 13 yds to the SC 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
73.5%
LaNorris Sellers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:50
2ND & 10
OWN 39
0
73.5%
LaNorris Sellers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:37
3RD & 10
OWN 39
+7
73.4%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Michael Smith for 7 yds to the SC 46Similar
Q1 8:06
4TH & 3
OWN 46
-5
73.4%
South Carolina Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SC 41Similar
Q1 7:27
4TH & 8
OWN 41
0
73.2%
Mason Love punt for 49 yds, downed at the VT 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 4INT
8 plays · 70 yds · 2:0427% → 27%
Q1 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+4
73.5%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Takye Heath for 4 yds to the VT 14Similar
Q1 6:42
2ND & 6
OWN 14
+5
73.6%
Marcellous Hawkins run for 5 yds to the VT 19Similar
Q1 6:23
3RD & 1
OWN 19
+25
73.7%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Donavon Greene for 25 yds to the VT 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+36
73.1%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Ayden Greene for 36 yds to the SC 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:23
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
72.4%
Kyron Drones pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:19
2ND & 10
OPP 20
0
72.4%
Kyron Drones pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:09
3RD & 10
OPP 20
-2
72.9%
Kyron Drones pass intercepted Fred Johnson return for 2 yds to the SC 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 5SF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:2374% → 72%
Q1 4:56
1ST & 10
OWN 2
0
74.0%
Rahsul Faison run for no gain to the SC 2Similar
Q1 4:33
2ND & 10
OWN 2
-2
71.8%
LaNorris Sellers sacked by Kelvin Gilliam Jr. and Kody Huisman for a loss of 2 yards for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · -14 yds · 1:3428% → 27%
Q1 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
72.5%
P.J. Prioleau run for 1 yd to the VT 46Similar
Q1 3:54
2ND & 9
OWN 46
0
72.6%
Kyron Drones pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:42
3RD & 9
OWN 46
-15
72.9%
Virginia Tech Penalty, Personal Foul (Kyle Altuner) to the VT 31Similar
Q1 3:21
3RD & 24
OWN 31
0
73.6%
Jeremiah Coney run for no gain to the VT 31Similar
Q1 2:31
4TH & 24
OWN 31
-4
73.5%
Nick Veltsistas punt for 46 yds , Vicari Swain returns for a loss of 4 yards to the SC 19 Vicari Swain fumbled, recovered by SC Vicari SwainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:2472% → 71%
Q1 2:41
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+1
71.9%
Oscar Adaway III run for 1 yd to the SC 20Similar
Q1 1:56
2ND & 9
OWN 20
+3
71.6%
Oscar Adaway III run for 3 yds to the SC 23Similar
Q1 1:27
3RD & 6
OWN 23
0
71.2%
LaNorris Sellers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:17
4TH & 6
OWN 23
+5
70.9%
Mason Love punt for 53 yds , Tucker Holloway returns for 5 yds to the VT 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 8FG
9 plays · 59 yds · 2:2527% → 30%
Q1 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
72.9%
Kyron Drones pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:02
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+6
73.0%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Takye Heath for 6 yds to the VT 35Similar
Q1 0:30
3RD & 4
OWN 35
+5
72.8%
South Carolina Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the VT 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
72.3%
Marcellous Hawkins run for 1 yd to the VT 41Similar
Q2 14:48
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+48
72.5%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Donavon Greene for 37 yds to the SC 22 for a 1ST down South Carolina Penalty, Personal Foul (Peyton Williams) to the SC 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:30
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-1
70.9%
Cameron Seldon run for a loss of 1 yard to the SC 12Similar
Q2 13:55
2ND & 11
OPP 12
0
70.9%
Kyron Drones pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:50
3RD & 11
OPP 12
0
71.7%
Kyron Drones pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:45
4TH & 11
OPP 12
+29
70.1%
John Love 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 1:2471% → 70%
Q2 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
71.0%
South Carolina Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the SC 20Similar
Q2 13:30
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+5
70.9%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Brady Hunt for 5 yds to the SC 25Similar
Q2 13:11
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
70.8%
LaNorris Sellers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:53
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+4
70.3%
LaNorris Sellers run for 4 yds to the SC 29Similar
Q2 12:21
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
69.8%
Mason Love punt for 55 yds , Tucker Holloway returns for no gain to the VT 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 3:2730% → 30%
Q2 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+9
70.3%
P.J. Prioleau run for 9 yds to the VT 25Similar
Q2 11:39
2ND & 1
OWN 25
0
69.5%
P.J. Prioleau run for no gain to the VT 25Similar
Q2 10:50
3RD & 1
OWN 25
+4
70.0%
Marcellous Hawkins run for 4 yds to the VT 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
69.8%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Benji Gosnell for no gain to the VT 29Similar
Q2 9:18
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+7
69.6%
Marcellous Hawkins run for 7 yds to the VT 36Similar
Q2 8:50
3RD & 3
OWN 36
0
69.0%
Kyron Drones pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:43
4TH & 3
OWN 36
0
70.0%
Nick Veltsistas punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Jalon Kilgore at the SC 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 11FG
14 plays · 70 yds · 4:3971% → 74%
Q2 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+8
70.5%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Oscar Adaway III for 8 yds to the SC 29Similar
Q2 8:10
2ND & 2
OWN 29
+6
72.1%
Oscar Adaway III run for 6 yds to the SC 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:51
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+23
71.4%
Oscar Adaway III run for 23 yds to the VT 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:28
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
73.1%
Oscar Adaway III run for 2 yds to the VT 40Similar
Q2 7:00
2ND & 8
OPP 40
+9
73.0%
Oscar Adaway III run for 9 yds to the VT 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:24
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-9
73.7%
LaNorris Sellers run for 1 yd to the VT 30 South Carolina Penalty, Offensive Holding (Donovan Murph) to the VT 40Similar
Q2 5:55
1ST & 19
OPP 40
-14
72.3%
LaNorris Sellers sacked by Elhadj Fall for a loss of 14 yards to the SC 46 LaNorris Sellers fumbled, recovered by SC Josiah Thompson , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 5:02
2ND & 33
OWN 46
+30
71.3%
Rahsul Faison run for 30 yds to the VT 24Similar
Q2 4:40
3RD & 3
OPP 24
+15
71.9%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Nyck Harbor for 15 yds to the VT 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
72.8%
Rahsul Faison run for no gain to the VT 9Similar
Q2 3:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
72.8%
LaNorris Sellers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:45
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
0
71.9%
LaNorris Sellers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:42
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
+27
74.4%
William Joyce 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 12END OF HALF
16 plays · 37 yds · 3:3626% → 29%
Q2 3:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
73.7%
Kyron Drones run for 3 yds to the VT 28Similar
Q2 3:06
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+6
73.4%
Kyron Drones run for 6 yds to the VT 34Similar
Q2 2:33
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
72.7%
Kyron Drones run for 2 yds to the VT 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
73.3%
South Carolina Penalty, Defensive Offside (Dylan Stewart) to the VT 41Similar
Q2 1:46
1ST & 5
OWN 41
+3
71.7%
Jeremiah Coney run for 3 yds to the VT 44Similar
Q2 1:14
2ND & 2
OWN 44
0
71.6%
Kyron Drones run for no gain to the VT 44Similar
Q2 0:37
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+1
71.9%
Jeremiah Coney run for 1 yd to the VT 45Similar
Q2 0:30
4TH & 1
OWN 45
+8
74.4%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Ayden Greene for 8 yds to the SC 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:18
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
71.9%
Kyron Drones pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:13
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+9
72.8%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Ayden Greene for 9 yds to the SC 38Similar
Q2 0:06
3RD & 1
OPP 38
0
71.7%
Kyron Drones pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 1
OPP 38
+56
70.8%
John Love 56 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 13PUNT
10 plays · 32 yds · 3:5732% → 33%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+8
68.4%
Marcellous Hawkins run for 8 yds to the VT 24Similar
Q3 14:15
2ND & 2
OWN 24
+3
67.6%
Marcellous Hawkins run for 3 yds to the VT 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:36
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+7
68.0%
Marcellous Hawkins run for 7 yds to the VT 34Similar
Q3 12:56
2ND & 3
OWN 34
+1
66.5%
Marcellous Hawkins run for 1 yd to the VT 35Similar
Q3 12:24
3RD & 2
OWN 35
+8
67.3%
Kyron Drones run for 8 yds to the VT 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
65.5%
Kyron Drones pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:38
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+5
66.2%
P.J. Prioleau run for 5 yds to the VT 48Similar
Q3 10:57
3RD & 5
OWN 48
0
65.2%
Kyron Drones pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:48
4TH & 5
OWN 48
0
67.2%
Nick Veltsistas punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SC 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 39 yds · 2:3068% → 69%
Q3 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+3
68.3%
Oscar Adaway III run for 3 yds to the SC 20Similar
Q3 10:00
2ND & 7
OWN 20
+15
68.1%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Oscar Adaway III for 15 yds to the SC 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:38
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
68.7%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Brady Hunt for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:05
1ST & 10
50
+5
71.3%
LaNorris Sellers run for 5 yds to the VT 45Similar
Q3 8:33
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+1
71.6%
Oscar Adaway III run for 1 yd to the VT 44Similar
Q3 8:09
3RD & 4
OPP 44
0
71.0%
LaNorris Sellers pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:03
4TH & 4
OPP 44
0
69.3%
Mason Love punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Tucker Holloway at the VT 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 15PUNT
11 plays · 33 yds · 4:3532% → 32%
Q3 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 7
0
67.6%
Marcellous Hawkins run for no gain to the VT 7Similar
Q3 7:17
2ND & 10
OWN 7
+11
67.8%
Marcellous Hawkins run for 11 yds to the VT 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+5
66.8%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Cameron Seldon for 5 yds to the VT 23Similar
Q3 6:15
2ND & 5
OWN 23
+3
66.5%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Cameron Seldon for 3 yds to the VT 26Similar
Q3 5:42
3RD & 2
OWN 26
+4
66.8%
Kyron Drones run for 4 yds to the VT 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:57
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+32
65.5%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Donavon Greene for 32 yds to the SC 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:40
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-7
61.8%
Kyron Drones sacked by Dylan Stewart for a loss of 7 yards to the SC 45Similar
Q3 4:40
2ND & 17
OPP 45
-15
63.8%
Virginia Tech Penalty, Personal Foul (Donavon Greene) to the VT 40Similar
Q3 4:00
2ND & 32
OWN 40
0
65.1%
Marcellous Hawkins run for no gain to the VT 40Similar
Q3 3:29
3RD & 32
OWN 40
0
66.0%
Kyron Drones pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:22
4TH & 32
OWN 40
0
67.7%
Nick Veltsistas punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Michael Smith at the SC 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 2:3267% → 64%
Q3 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+21
67.0%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Donovan Murph for 21 yds to the SC 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-10
68.6%
LaNorris Sellers sacked by Braydon Bennett and Emmett Laws for a loss of 10 yards to the SC 29Similar
Q3 1:57
2ND & 20
OWN 29
+5
66.4%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Brady Hunt for 5 yds to the SC 34Similar
Q3 1:00
3RD & 15
OWN 34
-10
65.4%
LaNorris Sellers sacked by Kemari Copeland and Ben Bell for a loss of 10 yards to the SC 24Similar
Q3 0:38
4TH & 25
OWN 24
0
64.3%
Mason Love punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Tucker Holloway at the VT 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 17PUNT RETURN TD
5 plays · -8 yds · 1:2435% → 14%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
64.8%
P.J. Prioleau run for 1 yd to the VT 32Similar
Q4 14:51
2ND & 9
OWN 32
-4
65.1%
Kyron Drones sacked by Jatius Geer for a loss of 4 yards to the VT 28Similar
Q4 14:06
3RD & 13
OWN 28
0
67.4%
Kyron Drones pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:57
4TH & 13
OWN 28
-5
68.6%
Virginia Tech Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the VT 23Similar
Q4 13:36
4TH & 18
OWN 23
+80
86.2%
Nick Veltsistas punt for 57 yds , Vicari Swain returns for 80 yds for a TD (William Joyce KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 18FG
10 plays · 58 yds · 4:3116% → 26%
Q4 13:31
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
84.5%
Kyron Drones run for 1 yd to the VT 21Similar
Q4 13:00
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+10
85.0%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Cameron Seldon for 10 yds to the VT 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+7
85.7%
Marcellous Hawkins run for 7 yds to the VT 38Similar
Q4 11:35
2ND & 3
OWN 38
+4
84.5%
Marcellous Hawkins run for 4 yds to the VT 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+28
84.9%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Isaiah Spencer for 28 yds to the SC 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:37
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
83.3%
Kyron Drones pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:21
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+6
83.4%
Kyron Drones run for 6 yds to the SC 24Similar
Q4 9:45
3RD & 4
OPP 24
+2
84.1%
Kyron Drones run for 2 yds to the SC 22Similar
Q4 9:00
4TH & 2
OPP 22
+39
74.3%
John Love 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 19TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 0:5385% → 95%
Q4 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
85.4%
Rahsul Faison run for 9 yds to the SC 34Similar
Q4 8:25
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+2
86.2%
Rahsul Faison run for 2 yds to the SC 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+64
95.3%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Nyck Harbor for 64 yds for a TD (William Joyce KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 20INT
10 plays · 29 yds · 2:477% → 6%
Q4 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-2
93.3%
Marcellous Hawkins run for a loss of 2 yards to the VT 21Similar
Q4 7:00
2ND & 12
OWN 21
+7
93.6%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Ayden Greene for 7 yds to the VT 28Similar
Q4 6:08
3RD & 5
OWN 28
+13
94.0%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Ayden Greene for 13 yds to the VT 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:32
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+11
93.5%
Jeremiah Coney run for 11 yds to the SC 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:07
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
93.4%
Kyron Drones pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:01
2ND & 10
OPP 48
0
93.3%
Kyron Drones pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:58
3RD & 10
OPP 48
0
93.0%
Kyron Drones pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:43
4TH & 10
OPP 48
-23
93.6%
Kyron Drones pass intercepted Peyton Williams return for 23 yds to the SC 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 21END OF GAME
14 plays · 17 yds · 4:3697% → 99%
Q4 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-1
97.3%
LaNorris Sellers run for a loss of 1 yard to the SC 46Similar
Q4 4:31
2ND & 11
OWN 46
-2
97.6%
Oscar Adaway III run for a loss of 2 yards to the SC 44Similar
Q4 4:20
3RD & 13
OWN 44
+16
97.9%
LaNorris Sellers run for 16 yds to the VT 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:48
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
98.1%
Oscar Adaway III run for 1 yd to the VT 39Similar
Q4 3:48
2ND & 9
OPP 39
-5
98.1%
South Carolina Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the VT 43Similar
Q4 3:30
2ND & 13
OPP 43
+1
98.4%
LaNorris Sellers run for 1 yd to the VT 42Similar
Q4 2:55
3RD & 12
OPP 42
+7
98.4%
Oscar Adaway III run for 7 yds to the VT 35Similar
Q4 2:00
4TH & 5
OPP 35
+6
98.5%
LaNorris Sellers run for 6 yds to the VT 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:46
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-1
98.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the VT 30Similar
Q4 1:06
2ND & 11
OPP 30
-3
98.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the VT 33Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 14
OPP 33
-2
98.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the VT 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
PUNT · Q4 13:36
Nick Veltsistas punt for 57 yds , Vicari Swain returns for 80 yds for a TD (William Joyce KICK)
+17.6
FG · Q4 9:00
John Love 39 yd FG GOOD
-9.9
TD · Q4 7:42
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Nyck Harbor for 64 yds for a TD (William Joyce KICK)
+9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com